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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Claiming, 1,214 yards, Dirt
Win: 2-Goshen (80% confidence)
Place: 1-Computadora (40% confidence)
Show: 7-Long Tall Woman (40% confidence)
Alternative: 5-Gatita Suave (20% confidence)
Goshen appears primed off a letup win. Computadora resumes at higher form. Long Tall Woman and Gatita Suave complete expected finish.
Race 2 – Claiming, 1,433 yards, Dirt
Win: 8-Quirky Ride (40% confidence)
Place: 1-Going Streakin (40% confidence)
Show: 12-Gidget Rose Lee (40% confidence)
Alternative: 5-Starlit Sofi (20% confidence)
Close contest with three analysts supporting Quirky Ride for top spot. Going Streakin shows dangerous form drawn perfectly. Gidget Rose Lee fresh return offers place value. Starlit Sofi racing back at non-metro provides alternative consideration.
Race 3 – Maiden Claiming, 1,323 yards, Dirt
Win: 11-Court (33% confidence)
Place: 9-Freestate (33% confidence)
Show: 8-Gramp’s Legacy (33% confidence)
Alternative: 5-Eske Castle (17% confidence)
Difficult maiden with minimal information available. Court unsighted when fresh has respect. Freestate shows dangerous letup form. Gramp’s Legacy and Eske Castle offer two-other contenders worth consideration.
Race 4 – Claiming, 1,214 yards, Dirt
Win: 9-Happy Cat (33% confidence)
Place: 2-Grimes (33% confidence)
Show: 3-Neon Leon (50% confidence)
Alternative: 7-Maya Prince (17% confidence)
Happy Cat leads as the returning choice. Grimes offers upset potential after extended break. Neon Leon shows consistent form with strong recent effort. Maya Prince has placed recently and remains dangerous.
Race 5 – Maiden Special Weight, 1,323 yards, Dirt, 100,000 Purse
Win: 12-Cinq A Sept (60% confidence)
Place: 4-What’s The Tea (40% confidence)
Show: 10-Best Girl Magic (40% confidence)
Alternative: 11-Cup Of Coffee (20% confidence)
Cinq A Sept clear consensus winner with commanding support. What’s The Tea makes debut with reasonable prospects. Best Girl Magic just missed at higher class and improves dropping. Cup Of Coffee consistent placer offers third option.
Race 6 – Claiming, 8 furlongs 110 yards, Dirt
Win: 6-Hedge The Risk (40% confidence)
Place: 3-Born Flashy (40% confidence)
Show: 12-River Of Time (40% confidence)
Alternative: 4-Memphis Pharoah (20% confidence)
Hedge The Risk well-placed despite recent poor effort. Born Flashy returning form from Horseshoe Indianapolis strong. River Of Time comes back to form with letup. Memphis Pharoah remains contender.
Race 7 – Maiden Special Weight, 1,323 yards, Dirt
Win: 10-Fire’s Out (67% confidence)
Place: 4-Lots Of Kisses (50% confidence)
Show: 3-Emmy Blue (50% confidence)
Alternative: 12-Vinalia (17% confidence)
Fire’s Out dominates consensus from resuming fresh form. Lots Of Kisses shows two other placings for win consideration. Emmy Blue continues improving trajectory from recent efforts. Vinalia offers additional choice.
Race 8 – Claiming, 1 mile, Dirt, 43,500 Purse
Win: 11-Main Beach (60% confidence)
Place: 1-Major Dax (60% confidence)
Show: 4-Punxsutawney Phil (40% confidence)
Alternative: 12-Did It Dialed (17% confidence)
Main Beach returning four lengths back at Belmont shows serious player status. Major Dax rails offer pace advantage. Punxsutawney Phil fresh winner provides additional support. Did It Dialed completing field.
Race 9 – Maiden Claiming, 1,323 yards, Dirt, 30,800 Purse
Win: 2-I Forgot To Ask (43% confidence)
Place: 6-Mountain High (43% confidence)
Show: 1-Paul’s Guitar (43% confidence)
Alternative: 12-Boris Badenov (17% confidence)
Three-way split reflects competitive field. I Forgot To Ask returning fitter after recent placement. Mountain High improved form with class drop and dirt switch. Paul’s Guitar provides winning chance. Boris Badenov completes reasonable alternative.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Race 1: Pick Pony analysts suggest backing Goshen in win-only situations given dominant consensus. Computadora at 9-2 offers place value for multi-leg exotics. Box Goshen with Computadora and Gatita Suave in exacta for bankroll management.
Race 2: Split field suggests Quirky Ride-Going Streakin exacta represents fair middle ground. Starlit Sofi at 6-1 offers exotic overlay possibilities in Superfecta structures. Consider three-horse trifecta boxing top choices rather than single selections.
Race 3: Heavy uncertainty warrants caution. American Brass at 15-1 shows compelling value for debuting gelding with bloodline advantage. Avoid heavy investment in clear winner; instead play place and show coverage with Court-Freestate combinations.
Race 4: Three-way consensus suggests passing or minimal investment. Betting News and Tip Meerkat selections differ from Fan Odds consensus, suggesting potentially mispriced longshot opportunities. Monitor final odds for Princess Of Pennies at 15-1.
Race 5: Cinq A Sept overwhelming favorite suggests strong win recommendation. Boxed exacta with What’s The Tea and Best Girl Magic captures likely outcomes. Superfecta with Cup Of Coffee offers value play at 12-1 odds.
Race 6: Three-way split indicates evenly matched field. Hedge The Risk offers best win value for return-form consideration. Exacta wheels with Hedge The Risk over Born Flashy and River Of Time recommended for place coverage.
Race 7: Fire’s Out clear consensus win recommendation despite potential public action. Lots Of Kisses-Emmy Blue exacta offers winning combination with place support. Consider minimal investment given four-way opinion consensus strength.
Race 8: Main Beach-Major Dax pairing represents strong exacta structure with 60% dual consensus. Super High 5 carryover (7,432) suggests Mountain High keying effort, with emphasis on Point Barrow, I Forgot To Ask alternatives. Win bet Main Beach represents primary recommendation.
Race 9: Pass or minimal exotic investment recommended given three-way consensus split. TwinSpires analysis highlighting surface switch and trainer form improves Mountain High case for win consideration. Multiple choice suggestions prevent strong exotic recommendation.
