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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Maiden Optional Claiming, 6F, $65,700
Win: Go Go Alexander (4) – 38% confidence
Place: Yoshii (1) – 38% confidence
Show: Elgin Park (2) – 25% confidence
Alternative: Master Steal (3) – 38% confidence
Notes: Field lacks clear standout. Multiple analysts view Yoshii as an interesting debutant, while Go Go Alexander brings the benefit of race experience. Watch for potential improvement with Proudly Canadian’s equipment change (blinkers).
Race 2 – Claiming, 6.5F, $56,100
Win: Bachelor Pad (1) – 75% confidence
Place: Indian Peak (4) – 25% confidence
Show: Priceless Will (2) – 38% confidence
Alternative: Souper Success (3) – 38% confidence
Notes: Strongest consensus of the day on Bachelor Pad. This proven track specialist won decisively last time and has exceptional Woodbine credentials. Straightforward underlays on this choice.
Race 3 – Maiden Special Weight, 6F, $115,100
Win: Wine After Whiskey (1) – 71% confidence
Place: Beautiful Things (2) – 29% confidence
Show: Brachetto (4) – 43% confidence
Alternative: Flyonbye (5) – 14% confidence
Notes: Wine After Whiskey carries decisive edge with nearly 3 in 4 handicappers selecting for win. Ran second on debut at Woodbine showing clear ability. Appears vulnerable only to Beautiful Things in a two-way race.
Race 4 – Condition Claiming, 6F, $52,400
Win: Red Pharaoh (3) – 43% confidence
Place: Found My Ball (1) – 14% confidence
Show: Rapid Grey (9) – 29% confidence
Alternative: Frac Right (8) – 14% confidence
Notes: No dominant choice here. Red Pharaoh goes well at this track and won twice at the target claiming level. Rapid Grey represented as speed influence with late-running form. Multiple opinions suggest unpredictable race.
Race 5 – Maiden Special Weight, 1M 70Y, $115,100
Win: Heart Tap (2) – 43% confidence
Place: Ada Clare (5) – 29% confidence
Show: Tracy Arm (1) – 29% confidence
Alternative: Kinzie Girl (3) – 14% confidence
Notes: Ada Clare considered one to beat despite recent disappointment. Heart Tap shows progressive form at extended distances. Tracy Arm debuted encouragingly. Expect competitive race with multiple viable finishers.
Race 6 – Starter Optional Claiming, 6F, $36,300
Win: Echo With Laughter (6) – 43% confidence
Place: Bold Reload (1) – 29% confidence
Show: Your Valentino (8) – 29% confidence
Alternative: Ry Pie (4) – 14% confidence
Notes: No consensus on clear winner. Echo With Laughter claimed after winning and returns in good form. Bold Reload benefits from stalking position. Ry Pie made strong finish in recent effort. Consider multiple combinations.
Race 7 – Maiden Special Weight, 7F, $115,100
Win: Cairo Girl (4) – 43% confidence
Place: Salted (7) – 29% confidence
Show: Orient Beach (1) – 29% confidence
Alternative: Rideau Falls (2) – 14% confidence
Notes: Cairo Girl missed as favorite last start and adds blinkers. Equipment change may prove decisive factor. Salted and Orient Beach represent competitive alternatives with specific form angles worth noting.
Race 8 – Optional Claiming, 7F, $63,800
Win: Phillip My Wine (8) – 43% confidence
Place: Speedy Bear (2) – 14% confidence
Show: Chambers (3) – 29% confidence
Alternative: Paynes Spirit (4) – 14% confidence
Notes: Phillip My Wine has won twice at Woodbine and represents top choice. Chambers showed good form with new connections. Speedy Bear rallied impressively. Paynes Spirit offers potential value at longer odds after dominant win.
Race 9 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 6.5F, $117,600
Win: Society’s Thunder (2) – 43% confidence
Place: The Great Oz (4) – 57% confidence
Show: War Bomber (5) – 14% confidence
Alternative: Babbo (6) – 14% confidence
Notes: Society’s Thunder shows consistency across the campaign. The Great Oz earned strong place consideration from multiple handicappers. Field features competitive depth suggesting potential for upset.
Race 10 – Steady Growth Stakes, 1M 1/16, $100,000
Win: Awesome Bourbon (2) – 29% confidence
Place: Cruden Bay (1) – 29% confidence
Show: Souped Up (6) – 14% confidence
Alternative: Rapid Test (5) – 14% confidence
Notes: Picks scattered across multiple contenders. Awesome Bourbon and Cruden Bay both earned strong consideration. This stakes race may present value opportunity with heavy favorite potentially overbet.
Race 11 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 6F, $114,600
Win: Artemus Citylimits (8) – 29% confidence
Place: Crumlin Lad (5) – 29% confidence
Show: Yacht Boy (4) – 14% confidence
Alternative: Reload’s Rebel (6) – 14% confidence
Notes: Top two choices split analyst opinion nearly evenly. Artemus Citylimits leads from front while Crumlin Lad just missed as heavy favorite. Consider placing both in exotic wagers.
Race 12 – Claiming, 7F, $26,900
Win: Jamiesta (6) – 29% confidence
Place: Winston Blue (3) – 29% confidence
Show: Napa Spirit (5) – 29% confidence
Alternative: Military Force (14) – 14% confidence
Notes: No clear winner emerges. Jamiesta rallied in recent race. Winston Blue consistent at this level. Napa Spirit brings excellent track record with multiple wins at Woodbine. Military Force dropping in class from outside post warrants consideration.
Recommended Exotic Plays by Race
Race 1: Go Go Alexander and Yoshii represent co-favorites with 38% each. Spread exacta and trifecta combinations recommended. Place bets on either option offer value alternative to win play.
Race 2: Bachelor Pad’s dominant 75% consensus suggests heavy favorite underlays. Win play straightforward, but focus place/show plays on Indian Peak and Priceless Will. Superfecta combinations with Souper Success offer deeper exotic value.
Race 3: Wine After Whiskey’s 71% consensus suggests favorite bias. Exacta combinations with Beautiful Things likely underlay. Consider trifecta including Brachetto. Box Wine After Whiskey over Beautiful Things and Brachetto.
Race 4: Scattered opinions create exotic opportunity. Red Pharaoh win combinations with Rapid Grey place/show offers potential. Trifecta mixing Red Pharaoh, Found My Ball, and Frac Right as alternatives presents value.
Race 5: Ada Clare’s expected contention with Heart Tap suggests exacta spread. Try Ada Clare over Heart Tap, Tracy Arm. Superfecta including Kinzie Girl. Multiple-horse trifecta boxes likely necessary.
Race 6: Competitive field with no clear winner. Multi-horse exacta combinations with Echo With Laughter recommended. Bold Reload and Your Valentino represent alternative exacta plays. Superfecta including Ry Pie offers additional coverage.
Race 7: Cairo Girl’s recent run as favorite may generate odds. Consider Cairo Girl exacta with Salted and Orient Beach. Spread trifecta including Rideau Falls. Place betting on second and third choices offers value.
Race 8: Phillip My Wine’s 43% backing suggests play potential. Exacta combinations with Speedy Bear and Chambers. Trifecta including Paynes Spirit. Superfecta combinations recommended given field depth.
Race 9: Analyst opinion scattered across three main choices. Multi-horse exacta combinations with Society’s Thunder, The Great Oz, and War Bomber. Avoid single-horse favorites. Trifecta including Babbo.
Race 10: Stakes race with picks spread widely. This suggests overlay potential. Awesome Bourbon and Cruden Bay exacta in both directions. Trifecta including Souped Up. Multiple combinations recommended.
Race 11: Artemus Citylimits and Crumlin Lad nearly tied. Exacta both directions strongly indicated. Trifecta including Reload’s Rebel and Yacht Boy. Multi-way combinations given close opinion.
Race 12: No consensus winner. Multi-horse exacta combinations spread across Jamiesta, Winston Blue, and Napa Spirit. Superfecta including Military Force as alternative. Trifecta with multiple contenders recommended.
Value Play Observations
Race 2: Bachelor Pad shows 75% consensus, indicating potential to be overbet. Consider value in place and show positions for Indian Peak and Priceless Will at longer odds.
Race 3: Wine After Whiskey at 71% consensus likely underlaid odds. Beautiful Things and Brachetto represent modest value alternatives if looking for upset possibilities.
Race 4: Distributed opinion across three main choices (Red Pharaoh 43%, Rapid Grey 29%, Found My Ball 14%) suggests meaningful value may exist throughout field. Look for contenders at 4-1 or better.
Race 5: No horse exceeds 43% consensus support. Ada Clare and Tracy Arm may represent value angles if getting adequate odds. Heart Tap could also be underlay.
Race 6: Entirely open race with Echo With Laughter at only 43%. Bold Reload, Your Valentino, and Ry Pie all represent potential value as alternatives. Field-wide exotic play recommended.
Race 7: Cairo Girl carries 43% support. Salted and Orient Beach both represent live alternatives with 29% backing each. Avoid heavy favorite play.
Race 8: Phillip My Wine at 43% consensus with Chambers and Speedy Bear close behind. Paynes Spirit offers interesting value at longer odds following impressive win.
Race 9: Three-way split among top choices limits consensus. All three primary contenders likely represent value depending on actual odds. Babbo presents alternative angle.
Race 10: Stakes race with scattered opinion provides maximum value opportunity. Rapid Test and Lac Macaza represent potential long-odds value alternatives. Avoid assuming heavy favorites.
Race 11: Nearly even split between Artemus Citylimits and Crumlin Lad creates value opportunity. Both may be underlay, but place and show betting offers alternatives.
Race 12: Most even distribution of any race on card. Jamiesta, Winston Blue, and Napa Spirit all at 29%. Military Force at 14% from single source. Entire field playable depending on odds.
Overall Wagering Strategy
The Woodbine December 14, 2025 card features strong consensus on only Race 2 (Bachelor Pad 75%) and Race 3 (Wine After Whiskey 71%). Most other races show distributed opinion suggesting value opportunity throughout the card.
Pick Pony analysts recommend avoiding heavy underlays on consensus picks outside of these two races. Multiple exotic combinations using second-choice options from alternative opinions offer the most potential for meaningful return. Field-wide superfecta and tri boxes recommended for races 4, 5, 6, 7, 11, and 12.
Stakes race (Race 10) represents potential overlay opportunity with picks scattered across multiple contenders. Avoid single-horse favorites here.
Daily doubles and pick 3/pick 4 sequences should emphasize value plays from races showing distributed opinion rather than consensus picks that will likely be overbet.
