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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Lea County Stakes – 6 1/2 Furlongs – Purse $100,000
Win: 1 Country Club Crush (57% confidence)🥉
Place: 2 Marks Sassy Girl (86% confidence)
Show: 4 Caprock Cutie (57% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 3 Who Said Its Easy (43% confidence)
Pick Pony analysts note that Country Club Crush is looking for a hat trick after two consecutive wins at Zia Park. Marks Sassy Girl is noted for consistency, having yet to miss the placings, while Caprock Cutie has previous winning form at this track.
Race 2 – Hobbs Fall Classic Stakes – 6 1/2 Furlongs – Purse $100,000
Win: 8 Speed Merchant (86% confidence)🥇Place: 1 Bully Boy (57% confidence)Show: 3 Cowboy Campfire (29% confidence)
Alternative: 5 Cash Waterfall (43% confidence)🥈
Analysts point out a tight contest between the top selections. Speed Merchant is highlighted for hitting the board in all races to date. Bully Boy is seen as improving with every start and closed from behind a hot pace in his last outing.
Race 3 – Claiming – 5 1/2 Furlongs – Purse $32,000
Win: 3 Wheredoesthecashgo (57% confidence)Place: 6 Delbert Too (43% confidence)Alternative: 8 Comfort J Byrd (29% confidence)🥇
Show: 1 Silver Abstract (57% confidence)
Wheredoesthecashgo brings consistent form at Zia Park. Delbert Too is considered a strong contender based on recent performances, while Silver Abstract could surprise at longer odds.
Race 4 – Maiden Special Weight – 6 Furlongs – Purse $45,000
Win: 8 Lucinda Who (71% confidence)🥉
Place: 3 Marka (43% confidence)Show: 2 Pearlofgreatprice (29% confidence)Alternative: 4 Side Stage Jessica (29% confidence)🥇
Lucinda Who rates highly after placing in her only start. Several analysts note the potential of debut runners here, with Pearlofgreatprice and Marka attracting attention as dangerous newcomers.
Race 5 – Claiming – 5 1/2 Furlongs – Purse $28,000
Win: 4 Red Leader (71% confidence)Place: 3 Attilas Tornado (29% confidence)
Show: 1 Blazing To Gold (29% confidence)🥇Alternative: 2 Bart Sip Some (43% confidence)Red Leader is favored by multiple analysts to track the pace and seize command late. Blazing To Gold is expected to show early speed from the rails.
Race 6 – Maiden Claiming – 5 1/2 Furlongs – Purse $20,000
Win: 5 Hoser Satrapa (57% confidence)🥇
Place: 4 Speedy Money (43% confidence)Show: 3 Crossrighthands (29% confidence)Alternative: 2 Ringo (43% confidence)🥈
This race is viewed as a competitive standout for trifecta wagering. Hoser Satrapa brings sharp recent form, while Speedy Money takes a drop in class which could be decisive.
Race 7 – Claiming – 1 Mile – Purse $24,000
Win: 5 Hank Hill (71% confidence)Place: 4 Adiel (57% confidence)Show: 9 Ten Figures (43% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 10 Diablo Rosso (29% confidence)🥈
Hank Hill commands significant respect as a strong consensus pick, despite the rise in trip. Adiel is also noted for recent in-the-money finishes at Zia Park.
Race 8 – Maiden Special Weight – 6 1/2 Furlongs – Purse $55,000
Win: 9 Lady D D (57% confidence)🥈
Place: 3 Dreamily (57% confidence)
Show: 5 Baby Sisters Dream (43% confidence)
Alternative: 2 Back Pay (14% confidence)
Lady D D is shaped as the one to beat by several analysts. Dreamily is expected to keep the race honest, having placed in her only start at this track.
Race 9 – Maiden Special Weight – 5 1/2 Furlongs – Purse $55,000
Win: 10 Hold My Scotch (57% confidence)Place: 1 Low Rollin (43% confidence)🥉Show: 4 Mark Of An Angel (43% confidence)Hold My Scotch is tipped to dictate affairs in a field featuring several untried types. Low Rollin is identified as a dark horse that could add value to exotics.
Alternative: 8 Perfect Ruler (43% confidence)
Race 10 – Maiden Special Weight – 6 1/2 Furlongs – Purse $55,000
Win: 7 M Ls Sportscaster (57% confidence)🥇
Place: 12 Private Equity (57% confidence)🥉Show: 10 Wild Ghost (29% confidence)Alternative: 4 Sapello Gusto (14% confidence)
Described as a difficult race to analyze, M Ls Sportscaster is a marginal top pick after narrowly missing in a debut run. Wild Ghost is a newcomer that could threaten if ready.
Race 11 – Maiden Special Weight – 5 Furlongs – Purse $45,000
Win: 2 Beers On Me (71% confidence)🥈Place: 1 Bad Boy One (43% confidence)Show: 11 Lord Chatham (43% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 5 Another Crossbow (29% confidence)
Beers On Me has solid claims based on exposed form. Lord Chatham brings top recent form to the table, while Bad Boy One is a debut runner drawn the rails that could upset.
Recommended Exotic Plays by Race
Race 1
Analysts suggest a Trifecta keying 1 Country Club Crush with 2 Marks Sassy Girl and 4 Caprock Cutie. A Double wager is also recommended starting with 1 Country Club Crush.
Race 2
An Exacta box or key is recommended with 1 Bully Boy and 8 Speed Merchant, as these two are expected to run 1-2.
Race 6
This race is highlighted as a “stand-out Trifecta” opportunity, with the top three selections 3 Crossrighthands, 4 Speedy Money, and 5 Hoser Satrapa recommended for the combination.
Value Play Observations
Race 2
4 Country Club Sport and 6 Fort Sumner are noted as potential longshots that could snatch a check if the leaders battle too early.
Race 3
1 Silver Abstract is capable of surprising at long odds. 7 New Mexico Jeremy is identified as offering value and could finish prominently.
Race 4
2 Pearlofgreatprice is a “Top Tip” from one source despite being a maiden, suggesting high upside. 5 Canneihaveadrink is mentioned as an intriguing longshot.
Race 9
1 Low Rollin is flagged as a potential dark horse to inject value into the minor placings.
Race 10
6 Gimme A Who and Green Is The Daddy (likely an entry) are potential late threats in a wide-open field.
Race 11
5 Another Crossbow is a longshot to watch who could improve significantly.
