Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.
Race 1 – 5.5 furlongs, dirt, 7:05 PM
Win: Ten Figures (4) – 80% confidence
Place: Hank Hill (6) – 60% confidence🥈
Show: Blacksod Bay (2) – 40% confidence🥉
Alternative: Super Enticing (2) – 20% confidence
Ten Figures receives broad support as the consensus win pick. A strong effort is expected from Hank Hill, considered a win threat by multiple Pick Pony analysts.
Recommended Exotics & Value Plays:
Exacta box: Ten Figures, Hank Hill.
Superfecta: Ten Figures, Hank Hill, Blacksod Bay, Super Enticing.
Race 2 – 5.5 furlongs, dirt, 7:32 PM WIN ($16.00)
Win: Ivory Moon (7) – 70% confidence🥇
Place: Anna B (8) – 50% confidence
Show: Bella Baby (3) – 40% confidence🥈
Alternative: Stormwire (1) – 20% confidence
Ivory Moon stands out for value, but Anna B and Bella Baby also have solid support. Watch for Stormwire as a potential surprise in exotics.
Recommended Exotics & Value Plays:
Trifecta box: Ivory Moon, Anna B, Bella Baby.
Use Stormwire underneath for superfecta coverage.
Race 3 – 6 furlongs, dirt, 7:59 PM WIN
Win: Brazilian Queen (6) – 70% confidence🥇
Place: Oscar Night (4) – 50% confidence🥉
Show: Discreet Pleasure (3) – 40% confidence
Brazilian Queen appears as the top consensus selection, favored for both win and place by various Pick Pony analysts.
Recommended Exotics & Value Plays:
Quinella: Brazilian Queen to Oscar Night.
Trifecta: Brazilian Queen, Oscar Night, Discreet Pleasure.
Race 4 – 1 mile, dirt, 8:26 PM BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: Wild Steel (8) – 60% confidence🥈
Place: Cashmere Baby (2) – 50% confidence🥉
Show: Hook Em Up (3) – 30% confidence🥇
Wild Steel receives multiple mentions and represents a value play, while Cashmere Baby is picked for a strong finish.
Recommended Exotics & Value Plays:
Exacta: Wild Steel, Cashmere Baby.
Trifecta box: Wild Steel, Cashmere Baby, Hook Em Up.
Race 5 – 1 mile, dirt, 8:53 PM WIN + EXACTA
Win: American Ballad (7) – 60% confidence🥇Place: Great Tidings (8) – 50% confidenceShow: Reads Artful Run (1) – 30% confidence🥈
American Ballad is a confident win pick for several analysts, with Great Tidings expected to close late for exotics.
Recommended Exotics & Value Plays:
Exacta: American Ballad, Great Tidings.
Value play: Reads Artful Run as a longshot for third.
Race 6 – 6.5 furlongs, dirt, 9:20 PM
Win: Alotaluck (4) – 60% confidence🥈
Place: I Think I'm Here (1) – 50% confidence
Show: Truth Seeker (8) – 30% confidence
Alotaluck and I Think I'm Here are the most consistent among analysts' picks.
Recommended Exotics & Value Plays:
Trifecta: Alotaluck, I Think I'm Here, Truth Seeker.
Race 7 – 6.5 furlongs, dirt, 9:47 PM
Win: Running Bear (5) – 70% confidence🥈
Place: Awesome Account (6) – 50% confidence
Show: Distorted Guy (1) – 30% confidence
Running Bear garners near unanimous confidence, while Awesome Account looks formidable for second.
Recommended Exotics & Value Plays:
Exacta/Trifecta combinations starting with Running Bear on top.
Race 8 – 5.5 furlongs, dirt, 10:14 PM
Win: Speedy Money (7) – 60% confidence
Place: Sgt Muskett (4) – 30% confidence
Show: Feist (8) – 20% confidence
Speedy Money rates as the consensus favorite, and Sgt Muskett should be a pace factor.
Recommended Exotics & Value Plays:
Use Sgt Muskett and Feist underneath Speedy Money for trifectas.
Race 9 – 1 mile, dirt, 10:41 PM
Win: Shame On Callie (7) – 60% confidence
Place: Desert Grace (5) – 50% confidence
Show: My Yellowstone (8) – 30% confidence🥈
Shame On Callie projects as the likely winner, but Desert Grace is considered the main danger.
Recommended Exotics & Value Plays:
Exacta: Shame On Callie, Desert Grace.
Trifecta box with My Yellowstone.
Race 10 – 6 furlongs, dirt, 11:08 PM WIN
Win: Cash Waterfall (7) – 70% confidence🥇
Place: Sombrero Negro (9) – 40% confidence
Show: Silver Twilight (3) – 30% confidence
Cash Waterfall stands out, earning a majority consensus, with Sombrero Negro considered for place value. Silver Twilight is a potential exotic play.
Recommended Exotics & Value Plays:
Win wager: Cash Waterfall.
Exacta box: Cash Waterfall, Sombrero Negro.
Longshot for third: Silver Twilight.
Overall Session Notes
Weather and track conditions may influence late speed, especially in the longer races. Several analysts project potential value on horses making recent class drops. Brazilian Queen and American Ballad are seen as possible singles in rolling exotic wagers. Watch for possible board stunners, particularly in Race 8, where longshot Feist could hit the trifecta.
Exotic bet recommendations for the session:
Rolling daily doubles and Pick 3/4 sequences should lean heavily on consensus win selections, particularly Brazilian Queen in Race 3, Running Bear in Race 7, and Cash Waterfall in Race 10. Trifecta and superfecta values are possible using consensus show and alternative picks underneath the most favored horses.
