Tip Sheet – Analysis of Expert Picks and Statistical Consensus for TBelmont at the Big A September 25, 2025.

Race 1 – Claiming

Official Entries: Foxy Cara (1), Best Impression (2), She’s Complicated (3), Brooklyn Dantz (4), Dolce Sera (5), Rodeo Star (6)

Expert Picks

Andy Serling:

• Win: Rodeo Star (6)
• Place: She’s Complicated (3)
• Show: Best Impression (2)
• 4th: Foxy Cara (1)

David Aragona:

• Win: She’s Complicated (3)
• Place: Rodeo Star (6)
• Show: Best Impression (2)
• 4th: Foxy Cara (1)

Racing Dudes:

• Win: Best Impression (2)

FanDuel:

• Win: Best Impression (2)
• 2nd: She’s Complicated (3)

At The Races:

• Win: She’s Complicated (3)
• 2nd: Best Impression (2)
• 3rd: Rodeo Star (6)

Hitch Abernathy:

• Win: She’s Complicated (3)
• Place: Rodeo Star (6)
• Show: Foxy Cara (1)

Betting News:

• Win: Best Impression (2)
• Place: She’s Complicated (3)
• Show: Rodeo Star (6)
• 4th: Foxy Cara (1)

Racenet:

• Win: She’s Complicated (3)
• Place: Best Impression (2)
• Show: Brooklyn Dantz (4)
• 4th: Foxy Cara (1)

Consensus Picks

Position	Horse	Count
Win	She’s Complicated	5
	Best Impression	3
	Rodeo Star	1
Place	Best Impression	3
	Rodeo Star	3
Show	Foxy Cara	3
	Brooklyn Dantz	1

---

Race 2 – Claiming

Official Entries: Handle On You (1), Belle Cherie (2), Carolina Smokeshow (3), Ragtime Sizzle (4), Going for Glory (5), Auroralinna (6)

Expert Picks

Andy Serling:

• Win: Belle Cherie (2)
• Place: Auroralinna (6)
• Show: Ragtime Sizzle (4)
• 4th: Carolina Smokeshow (3)

David Aragona:

• Win: Belle Cherie (2)
• Place: Ragtime Sizzle (4)
• Show: Auroralinna (6)
• 4th: Carolina Smokeshow (3)

Racing Dudes:

• Win: Belle Cherie (2)

FanDuel:

• Win: Auroralinna (6)
• Place: Belle Cherie (2)

At The Races:

• Win: Belle Cherie (2)
• Place: Handle On You (1)

Hitch Abernathy:

• Win: Carolina Smokeshow (3)
• Place: Auroralinna (6)
• Show: Belle Cherie (2)

Betting News:

• Win: Auroralinna (6)
• Place: Belle Cherie (2)
• Show: Carolina Smokeshow (3)

Racenet:

• Win: Carolina Smokeshow (3)
• Place: Belle Cherie (2)
• Show: Ragtime Sizzle (4)
• 4th: Handle On You (1)

Consensus Picks

Position	Horse	Count
Win	Belle Cherie	4
	Carolina Smokeshow	2
	Auroralinna	2
Place	Auroralinna	3
	Belle Cherie	2
	Ragtime Sizzle	2
Show	Belle Cherie	3
	Ragtime Sizzle	2
	Carolina Smokeshow	2

---

Race 3 – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Entries: Will Not Be Swayed (2), Filly Crystal (1), Beautiful Crazy (3), Delightful Flame (8), Kadena (12), Sailaway (13), Hey Cookie (10)

Expert Picks

Andy Serling:

• Win: Kadena (12)
• Place: Will Not Be Swayed (2)
• Show: Sailaway (13)
• 4th: Delightful Flame (8)

David Aragona:

• Win: Will Not Be Swayed (2)
• Place: Filly Crystal (1)
• Show: Beautiful Crazy (3)
• 4th: Delightful Flame (8)

Racing Dudes:

• Win: Kadena (12)

FanDuel:

• Win: Kadena (12)

At The Races:

• Win: Will Not Be Swayed (2)
• Place: Hey Cookie (10)

Hitch Abernathy:

• Win: Beautiful Crazy (3)
• Place: Hey Cookie (10)
• Show: Sailaway (13)

Racenet:

• Win: Will Not Be Swayed (2)
• Place: Delightful Flame (8)
• Show: Filly Crystal (1)
• 4th: Beautiful Crazy (3)

Consensus Picks

Position	Horse	Count
Win	Will Not Be Swayed	3
	Kadena	2
	Beautiful Crazy	1
Place	Delightful Flame	3
Show	Sailaway	2
	Filly Crystal	2
	Hey Cookie	2

---

Race 4 – Maiden Optional Claiming

Official Entries: Mr Browns Town (6), The Obliterator (11), Supreme Good (9), You’re Lookin Good (7), World Wide Web (1), Lexington Pike (3)

Expert Picks

Andy Serling:

• Win: Mr Browns Town (6)
• Place: Supreme Good (9)
• Show: You’re Lookin Good (7)
• 4th: The Obliterator (11)

David Aragona:

• Win: Mr Browns Town (6)
• Place: You’re Lookin Good (7)
• Show: Supreme Good (9)
• 4th: The Obliterator (11)

Racing Dudes:

• Win: Mr Browns Town (6)

FanDuel:

• Win: Mr Browns Town (6)
• Place: Supreme Good (9)
• Show: The Obliterator (11)

At The Races:

• Win: Mr Browns Town (6)
• Place: The Obliterator (11)

Hitch Abernathy:

• Win: Supreme Good (9)
• Place: Magnum’s Macrobrst (not in official entries)
• Show: French Knight (not in official entries)

Racenet:

• Win: Mr Browns Town (6)
• Place: You’re Lookin Good (7)
• Show: World Wide Web (1)
• 4th: Lexington Pike (3)

Consensus Picks

Position	Horse	Count
Win	Mr Browns Town	5
Place	Supreme Good	2
	You’re Lookin Good	2
Show	The Obliterator	2
	World Wide Web	1