Tip Sheet – Pick Pony Expert Picks, Predictions, and Race Analysis – Saratoga August 9, 2025

Here are the comprehensive picks and predictions for Saturday’s races at Saratoga Race Course, featuring two major graded stakes races. Don’t forget to check our AI Picks and a free sample of our exclusive Pick Pony Past Performance Sheet (Racing Form).

Featured Stakes Races

Race 9: Saratoga Oaks (G2) – Post Time 5:07 PM Eastern

Top Contenders:

  • #1 Opulent Restraint (2/1) – Gets the rail in this six-horse field and is the only horse who really likes to lead early, making her difficult to catch

  • #6 Laurelin (9/5) – Undefeated in four starts and won the Pennsylvania Oaks in June. Expected as the betting favorite

  • #5 Totally Justified (6/1) – Top value pick offering good betting odds

  • #2 Sigh No More – Improved since importing from Europe and won the Boiling Springs Stakes at Monmouth

Recommended Plays:

  • Opulent Restraint for win, exacta boxes with Sigh No More and Laurelin

  • Totally Justified as value play with Opulent Restraint and Laurelin as backup options

Race 10: Sword Dancer (G1) – Turf Stakes

Top Contenders:

  • #6 Far Bridge (9/5) – The favorite

  • El Cordobes and Nations Pride – Both strong contenders from Charlie Appleby

Race 8: Allowance Optional Claiming – Post Time 4:31 PM Eastern

This race presents good betting opportunities as the 2-1 favorite Damon’s Mound is considered vulnerable after being away from races for 13 months.

Top Contenders:

  • #8 Surveillance – Drops from stakes to allowance level and won last time at this level with a 114 Equibase Speed Figure

  • #6 Little Ni – Strong contender

  • #4 Light the Way – Trained by Linda Rice and has been running well in sprints

  • #3 Maximus Meridius – Listed among top win contenders

Alternative Strategy: Damon’s Mound could still win despite concerns, followed by Little Ni and Surveillance.

Race 11: Late in the Card

Top Contenders:

  • #7 Street View (15/1) – Opening at attractive odds after winning on June 12 as the 9-5 favorite

  • #3 Practical Lov – Won easily at Saratoga last month to break her maiden

  • Whocouldaskformo – Among top three contenders

 
 

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