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Aqueduct presents an eight-race card on Sunday, December 7, 2025, highlighted by two graded stakes events. The Garland of Roses Stakes features a competitive field of fillies and mares at six furlongs, while the Comely Stakes showcases three graded stakes winners clashing at 1 1/8 miles. The card opens with a challenging maiden claiming event and includes several opportunities in New York-bred restricted races.
The racing surface will provide honest racing conditions with the main track expected to be fast. Recent racing at Aqueduct has shown relatively fair track conditions, though handicappers should note that speed has held up well in sprint distances throughout the current meet. Post position statistics favor inside draws in sprints but show more neutral tendencies in route races.
Weather and Track Conditions
The forecast calls for mostly cloudy conditions with temperatures around 33-39 degrees Fahrenheit at post time. Morning temperatures will be approximately 35 degrees with cloudy skies, rising to 37 degrees by the afternoon. The main track is listed as fast with no precipitation expected.
Wind conditions are expected at 15 to 25 MPH from the west, which could impact running styles and stretch drives. The track has been producing fast times throughout the week, and the rail has shown no significant bias in recent days. According to track trends, Saturday December 7th racing showed a fair track with effective running both inside and outside.
Handicappers should note that Aqueduct has demonstrated a moderate speed bias in sprint races during the current meet, with frontrunners and pressers winning approximately 60% of dirt sprints at six furlongs. Route races have played more fairly when honest pace develops. The rail has shown a slight negative impact value around 0.85 compared to outside posts in the 6-8 range producing impact values of 1.4-2.0.
Race 1 – Maiden Claiming
Post Time
12:40 PM
Pace Analysis
This one-mile maiden claiming event for two-year-olds features a competitive field of nine runners with claiming price of $35,000. Two Ducks appears to be the primary speed from post 7, likely pressured by Brass Nucks from the four hole. Bellamy and Lexington Pike, both representing Todd Pletcher, possess tactical speed and should secure favorable stalking positions. The pace scenario sets up moderately contested with multiple horses showing early speed on their past performances.
The distance marks the first attempt at a route for most runners, adding uncertainty to pace dynamics. Natural Shooter has shown ability to rate off the pace in sprint races and stretches out for the first time. Big Brooklyn appears likely to settle in the back half of the field based on prior running patterns.
Key Contenders
Bellamy represents the powerful Todd Pletcher and Flavien Prat combination that has dominated the current Aqueduct meet. Prat leads all jockeys with 37 wins from 101 starts at a 36.6% clip and earnings exceeding $2.6 million. Bellamy ships from Pletcher’s barn with tactical speed that should allow Prat to secure ideal position stalking the early pace. Pletcher entries in maiden claiming races merit serious consideration, particularly when paired with the meet’s leading rider.
Lexington Pike gives Pletcher a second chance in this spot, drawing Manuel Franco for the mount. As a son of Lexitonian out of an Awesome Again mare, the breeding suggests route potential. Franco ranks second in the jockey standings with 20 wins from 122 starts. The Calumet Farm homebred has been training forwardly and represents quality connections looking for a breakthrough performance.
Two Ducks drops significantly in class after competing in maiden special weight company. Trained by Carlos Martin and ridden by Ricardo Santana Jr., this son of Mendelssohn showed decent effort when stretching out to 1 1/16 miles last time. The class relief combined with the added distance could unlock improvement. Santana has recorded 10 wins from 108 starts at the meet.
Secondary Choices
Natural Shooter cuts back from 1 1/16 miles for trainer Melanie Giddings and jockey Luis Rivera Jr. This Munnings colt has shown flashes of ability and the cutback might suit his running style. The barn change and distance adjustment merit consideration at a price.
Brass Nucks represents trainer David Donk with Jose Antonio Gomez aboard. This son of Twirling Candy has tactical speed and could factor if securing an uncontested lead. The inside draw provides options to control the tempo.
Selections
Win: Bellamy
Place: Lexington Pike
Show: Two Ducks
Race 2 – NY-Bred Maiden Claiming
Post Time
1:09 PM
Pace Analysis
This six-furlong maiden claiming sprint for New York-bred two-year-olds carries a $50,000 tag. The Toy Cannon appears to control the pace from the rail after pressing in his debut when claimed for $30,000. Whiskey Runner trained by Brad Cox brings tactical speed from post 7. My Munny Talks makes the surface switch from turf to dirt for Cox after showing early speed in his debut.
Tampa Storm and Sociably Johnny both possess ability to press the pace, creating a scenario where multiple horses vie for early position. The six-furlong distance on the main track should produce honest fractions with several speedballs entered.
Key Contenders
The Toy Cannon drew the rail for trainer Chad Summers and jockey Luis Rivera Jr. This son of Bolt d’Oro was claimed from his debut for $30,000 after pressing the pace and finishing third. The $50,000 level represents a class hike, but the rail draw and tactical speed profile make him formidable. Summers has recorded three wins from nine starters at the meet with strong win percentage.
My Munny Talks switches from turf to dirt for Brad Cox, who saddles this son of Munnings. Cox has exceptional numbers at Aqueduct despite limited starts, winning at 33% with six victories from 18 starters. The trainer’s attention to detail combined with Franco aboard makes this runner dangerous despite the surface switch. Cox entries merit respect when shipping to Aqueduct.
Whiskey Runner represents the Brown barn with Flavien Prat handling the riding assignment. This combination has been lethal throughout the meet. Any entry from Brown deserves consideration in maiden races, and Prat’s ability to secure ideal trips enhances this runner’s chances substantially.
Secondary Choices
Sociably Johnny finished a close second in his debut for trainer Derek Ryan. The son of Speightster showed improvement and drops into a maiden claimer for the first time. Lane Luzzi takes the mount for a barn that could be looking for a placing.
Always Honest ships from the Jimenez barn with Joel Rosario aboard. Rosario has hit the board in 50% of his starts at the meet with four wins from 22 attempts. The jockey switch to a rider of Rosario’s caliber signals intent.
Selections
Win: The Toy Cannon
Place: My Munny Talks
Show: Whiskey Runner
Race 3 – Allowance
Post Time
1:38 PM
Pace Analysis
This six-furlong allowance for New York-breds carries an $81,000 purse and features horses that have never won $20,000 outside of maiden, claiming, or starter races. Long Pour appears to set the pace from post 3 for trainer Steven Asmussen. Three B’s could press from the four hole under Jose Lezcano. Merica’s Back possesses tactical speed and the Flavien Prat ride.
The pace sets up moderately contested with multiple horses showing early foot. The distance favors speed at Aqueduct, and those able to secure good position early hold distinct advantages. East Coast Girl comes from off the pace and will need honest fractions to be effective.
Key Contenders
Merica’s Back ships from the Michael Maker barn with Flavien Prat taking the assignment. This three-year-old gelding won his last start and the Prat partnership provides significant advantage. Maker has strong credentials with turf and dirt runners at Aqueduct. The 120-pound impost with the lasix notation suggests tactical speed to work out a good trip. This combination has been near unstoppable at the meet.
Long Pour represents the powerful Steven Asmussen stable with Ricardo Santana Jr. aboard. This three-year-old colt brings class and consistency to the field. Asmussen runners at Aqueduct merit respect, and Santana has recorded over 100 wins in 2025. The outside post could prove beneficial if the pace becomes contested inside.
Three B’s returns to New York-bred company for Linda Rice after finishing a close second in his last attempt at this level. Jose Lezcano takes the call for a barn that has been hot at the current meet with multiple victories. Rice has 22 wins at Aqueduct and knows how to place her horses.
Secondary Choices
Leo’s Reward tries stakes company for trainer David Donk. This four-year-old has shown ability but faces a tough task against this field. Sahin Civaci handles the riding duties.
East Coast Girl provides a different running style as a closer for trainer Katlynn Gutterson. The five-year-old mare will need pace meltdown to be effective but offers value at morning line odds of 8-1.
Longshots
Beary Funny has strong course form for trainer William Morey and could sneak into the exotics at a price. Van Vollenhoven is another longshot that has shown flashes and could benefit from a contested pace.
Selections
Win: Merica’s Back
Place: Long Pour
Show: Three B’s
Race 4 – NY-Bred Maiden Claiming Fillies
Post Time
2:08 PM
Pace Analysis
This six-furlong maiden claiming sprint for New York-bred two-year-old fillies carries a $50,000 tag and drew nine runners. Power of Women appears to control the pace from post 6 with Joel Rosario aboard. Grit N Glitter brings tactical speed for Mark Hennig and Kendrick Carmouche. My Devine One represents Bill Mott with Sahin Civaci taking the mount.
The pace scenario suggests moderate fractions with several fillies possessing early speed. Admiral Sol and She’s Bankable could also show early foot, creating a scenario where multiple runners battle for position through the opening quarter.
Key Contenders
Power of Women draws the services of Joel Rosario for trainer Charlton Baker. This daughter of Central Banker wears blinkers for the first time and the 18.2% strike rate for Rosario at the meet provides confidence. The breeding suggests sprint ability, and the equipment change could spark improvement.
Grit N Glitter represents Mark Hennig and Kendrick Carmouche, a powerful combination at Aqueduct. Carmouche ranks third in the jockey standings with 17 wins from 100 starts at a 17% clip. This daughter of Accelerate finished second in her debut against open company before trying a mile, which proved too far. The cutback to six furlongs in state-bred company represents a significant class drop.
My Devine One ships from the powerful Bill Mott stable. Mott runners in maiden claiming races deserve respect despite limited starts at Aqueduct. The Hall of Fame trainer won the 2025 Kentucky Derby and Travers with Sovereignty and knows how to place horses.
Secondary Choices
Ty Ty Rose drops into a maiden claimer for the first time for Horacio De Paz with Santana Jr. aboard. The trainer has solid numbers when runners enter their first maiden claiming event.
Admiral Sol represents John Alexander Ortiz with Christopher Elliott riding. The connections could represent value at morning line odds.
Selections
Win: Grit N Glitter
Place: Power of Women
Show: My Devine One
Race 5 – NY-Bred Maiden Claiming
Post Time
2:37 PM
Pace Analysis
This one-mile maiden claiming event for New York-bred three-year-olds and up carries a $30,000 tag. Lucky Dragon appears to show early speed from post 1 under Ricardo Santana Jr. Smallchangegeep brings tactical speed for James Ryerson and Manuel Franco. Good Cop looks to control from post 6 with Kendrick Carmouche aboard for Linda Rice.
The route distance creates opportunities for closers if the pace becomes contested. Projectability represents Bill Mott and could benefit from off-the-pace tactics. The pace sets up honestly contested with multiple horses possessing early speed.
Key Contenders
Good Cop represents Linda Rice and Kendrick Carmouche, a combination that has been successful throughout the meet. This three-year-old gelding by Tiz the Law finished second at the distance last time and appears poised to graduate. Rice has been on a hot streak with multiple wins recently, and Carmouche’s 17% strike rate provides confidence. The morning line favorite status reflects the market’s confidence in this runner.
Smallchangegeep finished a strong second over course and distance last time for trainer James Ryerson. Manuel Franco takes over the mount, and the jockey upgrade signals intent. Franco ranks second in the standings and has excellent chemistry with multiple barns at Aqueduct. This gelding appears ready to breakthrough.
Lucky Dragon draws the rail with Ricardo Santana Jr. for trainer Michael Miceli. The inside post provides options, and Santana’s experience navigating Aqueduct could prove crucial. This son of Lookin At Lucky has shown ability in restricted company.
Secondary Choices
Projectability represents Bill Mott with Sahin Civaci aboard. Any Mott runner merits consideration despite this being a maiden claiming level. The breeding and barn suggest route capability.
Powered by Coal ships from Mark Hennig with Jose Lezcano riding. Hennig has recorded 14 wins from 170 starts at the meet, and this combination could provide value.
Selections
Win: Good Cop
Place: Smallchangegeep
Show: Lucky Dragon
Race 6 – Garland of Roses Stakes
Post Time
3:06 PM
Pace Analysis
The $150,000 Garland of Roses Stakes at six furlongs features eight fillies and mares three years old and upward. Sunday Girl appears to control the early pace from post 5 under Sahin Civaci. Patricia Ann brings tactical speed for Carlos Martin and Kendrick Carmouche. With the Angels possesses early speed and draws Flavien Prat from post 6.
The sprint distance favors those with natural speed, and the pace should develop honestly with multiple horses showing early foot. Tricky Temper could press from post 7 with Manuel Franco aboard. The fractional pace will determine whether closers like Hold Your Breath can be effective.
Key Contenders
With the Angels represents Linda Rice and Flavien Prat, the dominant jockey-trainer combination at the current meet. This three-year-old filly by Omaha Beach won a New York-bred allowance last time and steps up to stakes company. The 118-pound impost provides a weight advantage, and Prat’s 36.6% win rate makes any mount formidable. Rice has excellent numbers placing horses in spots where they can succeed.
Patricia Ann finished second in similar company last time for trainer Carlos Martin. Kendrick Carmouche takes the assignment on this four-year-old daughter of Enticed. The combination has been effective throughout the meet, and this filly possesses tactical speed to work out a good trip.
Sunday Girl draws post 5 with Sahin Civaci for trainer David Duggan. This four-year-old mare carries 122 pounds and has won multiple stakes at Aqueduct. The class and experience make her a formidable opponent despite the high weight.
Secondary Choices
Tricky Temper ships from the Jeremiah Englehart barn with Manuel Franco aboard. This surface switch from turf to dirt could unlock improvement, and Franco’s 16.4% strike rate provides confidence.
Hold Your Breath represents John Servis with Joel Rosario riding. This three-year-old filly carries 118 pounds and could benefit from a contested pace.
Betting Strategy
The Garland of Roses presents opportunities for exotic wagers with competitive fillies entered. A vertical play boxing With the Angels, Patricia Ann, and Sunday Girl in exactas and trifectas provides coverage of the top contenders. Tricky Temper offers value as a longshot inclusion in multi-race wagers.
Selections
Win: With the Angels
Place: Sunday Girl
Show: Patricia Ann
Race 7 – Comely Stakes
Post Time
3:35 PM
Pace Analysis
The $200,000 Grade 3 Comely Stakes at 1 1/8 miles features eight three-year-old fillies including three graded stakes winners. Noticeable could show early speed from post 1 for Todd Pletcher. Valtellina brings tactical speed from post 2. Fully Subscribed possesses natural speed and draws Flavien Prat from post 6.
The two-turn configuration at Aqueduct creates opportunities for stalkers and closers if early fractions become contested. Kappa Kappa has shown ability to rate behind pace. Yes It Tiz switches from turf to dirt for Brad Cox and could sit a forward trip. The pace sets up moderately contested with multiple fillies showing tactical speed.
Key Contenders
Fully Subscribed represents Chad Brown and Flavien Prat, a combination that has dominated stakes racing at Aqueduct. This three-year-old daughter of Tiz the Law won the Mother Goose Stakes by 4 1/2 lengths at the distance last time. Brown seeks his third consecutive Comely victory and has exceptional numbers with three-year-old fillies. Prat’s uncanny ability to secure ideal trips makes this filly formidable despite carrying 122 pounds. The Klaravich homebred has never finished off the board in four starts.
Kappa Kappa ships from trainer Robert Reid Jr. with John Velazquez aboard. This three-year-old filly carries 122 pounds after winning the Ravens Run at Keeneland in October. The daughter of Mastery has won three of four starts and represents a natural two-turn horse. Velazquez provides a significant jockey upgrade.
Yes It Tiz makes the surface switch from turf to dirt for Brad Cox with Manuel Franco riding. This three-year-old daughter of Yes It’s True won a pair of allowances at Kentucky tracks in her only dirt starts. Cox has been exceptional at Aqueduct despite limited starts, and Franco’s 16.4% win rate provides confidence. The barn change and surface switch create intrigue.
Secondary Choices
Quietside represents John Alexander Ortiz with Ricardo Santana Jr. aboard. This three-year-old filly carries 122 pounds and won graded stakes at Keeneland and Churchill. The class makes her dangerous despite question marks about current form.
Ourdaydreaminggirl finished a close third in the Cotillion and represents trainer Louis Linder with Angel Rodriguez riding. The longshot could provide value in exotics.
Betting Strategy
The Comely Stakes presents a competitive renewal with three graded stakes winners. A vertical play using Fully Subscribed on top with Kappa Kappa and Yes It Tiz underneath provides coverage of the main contenders. Including Quietside in trifectas and superfectas offers protection against upsets. The race sets up for multi-race sequences including Pick 3s and Pick 4s.
Selections
Win: Fully Subscribed
Place: Kappa Kappa
Show: Yes It Tiz
Race 8 – Claiming
Post Time
4:04 PM
Pace Analysis
This one-mile claiming event for fillies and mares carries a $17,500 tag and attracted ten runners. Bow to Clara appears to control the pace from post 3 for Linda Rice and Kendrick Carmouche. Widdershins brings tactical speed from post 2. Itwillbefun possesses early speed from post 9 with Flavien Prat aboard.
The route distance creates opportunities for closers if the pace becomes contested. Kyle’s Mom represents a stalking type, while Spirit of Esther could close from off the pace. The pace sets up moderately with several fillies showing early speed.
Key Contenders
Itwillbefun draws the services of Flavien Prat for trainer Michelle Nevin. This three-year-old filly ships with tactical speed and the dominant rider at the meet. Prat’s 36.6% win rate makes any mount formidable, and his ability to secure ideal trips could prove decisive. The morning line favorite status reflects confidence from the betting public.
Kyle’s Mom represents Jeremiah Englehart with Jose Lezcano riding. This three-year-old filly possesses tactical speed and has shown ability in similar spots. Lezcano has recorded 15 wins from 85 starts at the meet with solid earnings.
Bow to Clara ships from Linda Rice with Kendrick Carmouche aboard. This combination has been effective throughout the meet, and Rice’s hot streak makes her entries dangerous. The three-year-old filly could control the pace and prove tough to catch.
Secondary Choices
Spirit of Esther represents Ilkay Kantarmaci with Manuel Franco riding. The four-year-old mare could benefit from a contested pace and offers value at a price.
Calling an Audible draws Luis Rivera Jr. for Edward Barker. The four-year-old mare has shown ability and could factor in the exotics.
Betting Strategy
The finale presents opportunities for rolling exotic carryovers into Sunday’s card. A play using Itwillbefun on top with Kyle’s Mom and Bow to Clara underneath provides coverage of main contenders. Including Spirit of Esther in multi-race wagers offers protection at a price.
Selections
Win: Itwillbefun
Place: Kyle’s Mom
Show: Bow to Clara
Jockey Notes and Insights
Flavien Prat continues his dominance at the Aqueduct fall meet, leading all riders with 37 wins from 101 starts and a remarkable 36.6% win rate. The reigning Eclipse Award winner has earned over $2.6 million at the meet and recently set a NYRA single-day record with seven victories on November 2. Prat’s ability to secure ideal trips and his partnership with top trainers makes him formidable in any mount. His recent five-win performance demonstrates continued excellence.
Manuel Franco ranks second in the jockey standings with 20 wins from 122 starts at a 16.4% clip. Franco has excellent chemistry with multiple barns and excels at navigating Aqueduct’s track configuration. His earnings exceeding $1.6 million reflect quality mounts and consistent performance.
Kendrick Carmouche holds third position with 17 wins from 100 starts at 17%. The recipient of the 2025 George Woolf Memorial Jockey Award has been particularly effective with Linda Rice runners. Carmouche won his first Grade 1 aboard True Timber in the 2020 Cigar Mile at Aqueduct and won the spring meet championship in 2023.
Jose Lezcano has recorded 15 wins from 85 starts at 17.6%. The veteran rider excels in route races and has strong partnerships with multiple barns. His experience navigating Aqueduct proves valuable in competitive spots.
Joel Rosario, despite limited starts with just 22 mounts, has hit the board at a 50% clip with four wins. The Hall of Fame jockey brings class and experience to any mount and merits respect when taking assignments.
Ricardo Santana Jr. has 10 wins from 108 starts at 9.3%. The Oaklawn Park riding champion brings experience and tactical skill, particularly effective with Steven Asmussen runners.
Trainer Notes and Insights
Todd Pletcher leads all trainers at Aqueduct with 71 wins from 350 starts in 2025, earning over $7.4 million. The Hall of Fame conditioner excels with two-year-olds and has multiple entries throughout Sunday’s card. Pletcher’s attention to detail and ability to place horses makes his runners formidable in any spot, particularly when paired with top jockeys.
Chad Brown has strong representation in both stakes races with Fully Subscribed in the Comely. Brown seeks his third consecutive Comely victory and has exceptional numbers with three-year-old fillies on dirt. His partnership with Flavien Prat has been lethal throughout the meet.
Brad Cox ships multiple runners from Kentucky with My Munny Talks and Yes It Tiz. Despite limited starts at Aqueduct, Cox has been exceptional with six wins from 18 starters at 33%. The trainer’s attention to detail and ability to win at major tracks makes his runners dangerous despite shipping.
Linda Rice has been on a hot streak at Aqueduct with 22 wins at the meet. The leading female trainer on the New York circuit excels at placing horses in spots where they can succeed. Her partnership with Kendrick Carmouche has been particularly effective, and multiple entries Sunday suggest live horses.
Bill Mott has quality entries including My Devine One and Projectability. The Hall of Fame trainer won the 2025 Kentucky Derby and Travers with Sovereignty and brings class to any race. Mott runners in maiden events deserve respect based on breeding and preparation.
Steven Asmussen ships Long Pour for the allowance race. The all-time leader in North American wins brings experience and quality, particularly effective with Ricardo Santana Jr. in the irons.
Mark Hennig has Grit N Glitter and Powered by Coal entered. Hennig has recorded 14 wins from 170 starts at the meet and does well off layoffs with proper placement.
Michael Maker brings tactical knowledge with turf and dirt runners. The Kentucky-based conditioner has strong credentials and runners merit consideration when shipping to Aqueduct.
Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays
The Pick 6 beginning in Race 3 presents opportunities with competitive fields throughout the card. A conservative approach would utilize the following structure:
Race 3: Merica’s Back, Long Pour, Three B’s
Race 4: Grit N Glitter, Power of Women, My Devine One
Race 5: Good Cop, Smallchangegeep
Race 6: With the Angels, Sunday Girl, Patricia Ann, Tricky Temper
Race 7: Fully Subscribed, Kappa Kappa
Race 8: Itwillbefun, Kyle’s Mom, Bow to Clara
This provides coverage of main contenders while maintaining reasonable ticket cost. The two stakes races offer opportunities to separate by using shorter fields.
Late Pick 4 Strategy covering Races 5-8 offers value with the following structure:
Race 5: Good Cop, Smallchangegeep, Lucky Dragon
Race 6: With the Angels, Sunday Girl, Patricia Ann
Race 7: Fully Subscribed, Kappa Kappa, Yes It Tiz
Race 8: Spread four deep including Itwillbefun, Kyle’s Mom, Bow to Clara, Spirit of Esther
Pick 3 plays focusing on the two stakes races provide value with competitive fields. Rolling from Race 6 through Race 8 allows handicappers to capitalize on the graded stakes while covering the competitive finale.
Single race exotic plays in the Garland of Roses and Comely Stakes offer value with competitive fillies. Boxing With the Angels, Sunday Girl, and Patricia Ann in exactas and trifectas in Race 6 provides coverage. In Race 7, using Fully Subscribed on top with Kappa Kappa and Yes It Tiz underneath in exactas, with Quietside and Ourdaydreaminggirl included in trifectas and superfectas, offers protection against upsets.
Value plays exist in Race 1 with Bellamy representing the Pletcher-Prat combination. Despite being the favorite, the quality of connections and tactical advantages make this a play with confidence. Similarly, Merica’s Back in Race 3 offers value with the dominant Prat aboard for the Maker barn.
Horizontal wagers including Daily Doubles connecting Race 6 to Race 7 capitalize on the stakes sequence. Using With the Angels and Sunday Girl in Race 6 connected to Fully Subscribed in Race 7 provides solid coverage at reasonable cost.
For players seeking longshot value, East Coast Girl in Race 3 at 8-1 morning line offers closing punch if the pace melts down. Tricky Temper in Race 6 switching surfaces for a strong barn provides upset potential. Ourdaydreaminggirl in Race 7 at 10-1 offers class and could benefit from the pace scenario.
Rolling exotic carryovers from Saturday into Sunday’s card creates opportunities for value-conscious players. The competitive fields throughout Sunday’s card suggest multiple opportunities to catch prices while maintaining coverage of logical contenders.
