Charles Town – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News, Analysis, Expert Picks, and AI Predictions for January 23, 2026

TL;DR


Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

Don’t forget Pick Pony’s Expert Picks, AI Picks, and Past Performance Sheets/Racing Forms!

The Pick Pony Handicapper’s Report is published daily and provides analysis of all races on the card. A Pick Pony analyst prepares the report, so selections may differ from the Pick Pony Expert Picks, which are based on the consensus of all Pick Pony analysts.

Charles Town Races has moved its Friday, January 23, 2026 post time up two hours to 5:00 PM ET to beat dangerously cold weather forecasted to arrive late Friday night. Director of Racing Operations Charlie McIntosh emphasized the adjustment prioritizes safety for horses, jockeys, and track personnel while completing the full nine-race card before temperatures plummet. At the typical 11:00 PM finish time, conditions are predicted to reach 19 degrees with 17 mile-per-hour winds creating a wind chill of 4 degrees.

The early post time ensures horsemen and track staff can complete operations and travel home before severe conditions develop. Charles Town operates a compact three-quarter-mile bullring configuration that forces horses into the first turn immediately after the gate opens, creating systematic advantages for early speed and inside posts throughout the card.

Weather and Track Conditions

Current conditions at Eastern West Virginia Regional Airport show fair weather with 37 degrees Fahrenheit and 79% humidity. The track surface should be fast and dry for the early evening start, maintaining Charles Town’s characteristic speed-favoring bias. Fast dirt surfaces at this venue historically reward frontrunners while hindering closers attempting to rally from the back of the pack. The compact configuration magnifies these advantages during sprint races at 4.5 furlongs, where wire-to-wire victories occur at a remarkable 58% rate.

Inside posts one through three produce combined win rates exceeding 47% in sprint distances, with posts one and two individually hitting 15.8% and 15.9% respectively—well above statistical expectations. Route races provide more tactical flexibility where stalkers and closers maintain legitimate winning chances despite the track’s general speed bias. The fast surface conditions expected tonight will amplify these traditional patterns throughout the card.

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

Charles Town’s tight six-furlong oval creates pronounced advantages that sophisticated handicappers exploit for consistent profit. The configuration forces horses into the first turn within strides of the gate, rewarding sharp breaks and tactical positioning. Sprint races magnify these advantages dramatically, while two-turn routes diminish but do not eliminate post position effects.

At 4.5 furlongs, the inside bias becomes especially pronounced with historical data confirming 58% wire-to-wire victories at this distance. Posts one through three produce combined win rates exceeding 47% in sprint distances, creating mandatory respect for inside draws coupled with early speed. The abbreviated contests reward horses that break alertly and secure rail position through the opening furlong.

Seven-furlong races present different dynamics despite the compact configuration. The dual-turn format taxes frontrunners more severely, creating opportunities for stalkers and closers positioned mid-pack entering the far turn. Route races at longer distances feature three turns around Charles Town’s bullring, making gate-to-wire victories extremely difficult except on sloppy surfaces.​

Jockeys who understand these patterns hold significant advantages. Arnaldo Bocachica’s eight consecutive riding titles reflect his mastery of Charles Town’s configuration, particularly his ability to secure favorable position from any post while preserving mount energy for stretch drives. The compact oval demands sharp tactical decisions where positioning through the first turn often determines race outcomes.

Race 1 – Starter Optional Claiming

Post Time: 5:00 PM

4.5 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $22,700. Four Year Olds and Upward which have started for a claiming price of $5,000 or less since January 23, 2025 or Claiming Price $10,000.

Pace Analysis

The pace sets up moderately contested with multiple horses demonstrating early speed capabilities. Talkin Pharoah shows the fastest leader profile with 11 wins from 23 starts establishing him as the most accomplished frontrunner. Head of the Class enters with consecutive victories exhibiting slower leader tendencies that position him just behind the initial pace. Summerstateofmind brings slower leader credentials from post one with 6 wins from 55 career starts.

The 4.5-furlong configuration provides minimal recovery time for closers attempting late rallies. With Charles Town’s 58% wire-to-wire success rate at this distance, horses securing early position gain decisive advantages. Captivated Drama represents the lone closer in the field carrying an 8-14-19 record, but the abbreviated sprint distance and track bias work against his running style.

Optimistic Nate from post four adds pace depth with slower leader credentials and a 5-9-11 record. The multiple speed horses should create honest fractions through the opening quarter, though the short distance leaves limited opportunity for pace meltdowns. Frontrunners breaking alertly and securing inside position through the tight first turn hold overwhelming tactical advantages.​

Key Contenders

Talkin Pharoah enters as the deserving 2-2 morning line favorite with the most impressive credentials in the field. The six-year-old gelding by Macho Uno demonstrates fast leader running style perfectly suited for Charles Town’s abbreviated sprint configuration. The 11-17-18 career record translates to a remarkable 48% win rate with 78% in-the-money percentage establishing consistent competitiveness.

Most importantly, Talkin Pharoah captured his most recent 4.5-furlong Charles Town start, demonstrating current fitness and venue familiarity. Trainer Michael E. Jones Jr. operates at 13% win rate with 28% in-the-money percentage at Charles Town through the current meet. J.D. Acosta brings leading rider credentials with five wins from 28 starts (17.86%) through mid-January. Acosta’s 16% win rate at Charles Town over 1,625 career starts with 45% in-the-money percentage establishes his mastery of the venue.

The Jones/Acosta combination provides competent connections capable of executing the frontrunning strategy necessary for success at this distance. The 124-pound weight assignment represents top weight but reflects class advantage over several rivals carrying weight concessions. Morning line odds of 2-2 appear justified given form advantage and tactical profile alignment with track bias.

Head of the Class represents the primary danger having captured consecutive victories at this distance. The five-year-old gelding by Algorithms carries momentum from back-to-back scores demonstrating peak current form. The slower leader running style positions him just behind the initial pace where he can stalk the leaders and pounce.​

Trainer Ronney W. Brown leads all Charles Town conditioners with five wins through mid-January, operating at 21.74% strike rate during recent action. Moises Santaella rides for the hot barn having posted 13.79% win rate with solid 44% in-the-money percentage. The Brown/Santaella partnership produces consistent results throughout the meet with strong chemistry between rider and trainer.

The 119-pound weight assignment provides three-pound advantage over Talkin Pharoah, creating minor edge in competitive field. Recent form shows victories at this exact distance establishing confidence and familiarity with the demanding configuration. Morning line odds of 2-1 reflect legitimate contention though the slower leader profile may leave him vulnerable if Talkin Pharoah establishes comfortable early lead.

Secondary Choices

Captivated Drama merits respect despite unfavorable running style for the distance and configuration. The six-year-old gelding by Algorithms demonstrates fastest closer running style with 8-14-19 record translating to 30% win rate. Recent form shows victory at six furlongs where the additional distance provided more recovery time for late rally.

Trainer Kevin J. Joy operates at 29.33% win rate with 56% place percentage and impressive 73.33% show percentage during recent meet action. Victor Rodriguez provides competent handling though his 7.14% win rate at the meet represents below-average performance. The 122-pound weight assignment matches most rivals providing no advantage.

The primary concern centers on tactical disadvantage where the abbreviated sprint distance and overwhelming speed bias work against closers attempting late rallies. Charles Town’s 58% wire-to-wire success rate at 4.5 furlongs creates nearly insurmountable obstacles for horses lacking early speed. Morning line odds of 2-1 appear generous given tactical mismatch, though the strong connections merit inclusion on exotic wagers.

Optimistic Nate warrants minor consideration from post four with 5-9-11 record establishing 20% win rate. Trainer Timothy Shanley captured three wins last week going 3-for-8 demonstrating strong current form. Justin Lewis brings 15.63% win rate through the early meet with competent tactical abilities. The slower leader profile positions the gelding just behind initial pace where tactical speed proves valuable.

Longshots

Summerstateofmind draws the rail with Angel Cruz riding for trainer Michelle R. Wilson. The five-year-old gelding by Imagining brings 6-17-21 record from 55 career starts establishing 11% win rate with 38% in-the-money percentage. Recent form shows third-place efforts at this distance but lacks the speed figures to compete with top contenders. Morning line odds of 10-1 reflect longshot status though the inside post provides theoretical advantage in sprint.​

A G Diamond represents the longest shot on the board at 20-1 morning line odds with slowest closer running style creating massive tactical disadvantage. The five-year-old gelding by A.P. Indian demonstrates 2-4-7 record from 20 starts establishing just 10% win rate. Juan Mauricio Nunez rides for new trainer Jose A. Ramirez making debut with the gelding. The combination of unfavorable running style, low win percentage, and new connections creates minimal upset potential.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The race sets up as straightforward sprint where early speed and inside position determine outcomes. Talkin Pharoah offers legitimate win potential at morning line odds of 2-2, though live price may shrink below 3-2 at post time given form advantage. The fast leader profile aligns perfectly with track bias where 58% wire-to-wire success rate at 4.5 furlongs creates powerful edge for frontrunners.

Head of the Class provides value protection in exacta and trifecta wagers given consecutive victories and hot trainer. The Brown/Santaella combination fires consistently throughout the meet creating confidence despite tactical concerns about slower leader profile. Exotic wagers should structure around these two logical contenders with Captivated Drama offering upset potential despite unfavorable running style.

Horizontal wagering strategies should single or key Talkin Pharoah in early legs of pick sequences given form advantage and tactical superiority. The combination of accomplished connections, appropriate running style, and current fitness creates foundation for multi-race wagers extending through the card. Vertical exotic wagers should include Head of the Class prominently while using Captivated Drama and Optimistic Nate as tertiary options.

Selections

Win: Talkin Pharoah (7)

Place: Head of the Class (2)

Show: Captivated Drama (5)

Race 2 – Maiden Special Weight

Post Time: 5:30 PM

4.5 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $30,600. For Maidens, Three Years Old.

Pace Analysis

The pace scenario appears moderately contested with multiple horses showing potential early speed. Bahama Village from post seven and Camden Hills from post five both demonstrate untested capabilities as first-time starters. The maiden special weight condition creates uncertainty where past performance data remains limited for several contenders making career debuts.

Flatter My Dad appears on the scratch watch potentially removing the 9-5 morning line favorite from consideration. His removal significantly impacts pace dynamics and wagering calculations. I’m Not Catty represents the most experienced runner with proven ability at Charles Town, though his previous efforts show inconsistent results requiring improvement.

The 4.5-furlong sprint configuration favors horses breaking alertly and securing favorable position through the demanding first turn. With Charles Town’s 58% wire-to-wire success rate at this distance, first-time starters demonstrating sharp gate work and tactical speed gain decisive advantages. Trainer quality and jockey competence prove especially important in maiden races where inexperience creates potential for traffic trouble and positional disadvantages.

Key Contenders

Bahama Village emerges as the top selection with Steven Chircop training and J.D. Acosta riding. The three-year-old colt by Bullsbay makes his career debut from post seven with strong connections suggesting readiness. Chircop captured three wins through mid-January establishing solid 2026 meet performance. Acosta brings 17.86% win rate with proven ability to handle first-time starters successfully.

The morning line odds of 2-1 reflect reasonable assessment of debut potential given unknown quantities in the field. Chircop’s conditioning methods typically have horses fit and ready for debut efforts, particularly in sprint distances where fitness requirements prove less demanding than routes. The outside post seven provides clear run into the first turn avoiding potential early traffic that plagues inside posts in maiden races with inexperienced runners.​

I’m Not Catty represents the experience advantage having made previous starts at Charles Town. The three-year-old gelding by Uncle Lino runs for the powerful Brown/Santaella combination that leads the current meet standings. Ronney W. Brown’s five wins pace all Charles Town trainers with 21.74% strike rate during recent action. Moises Santaella brings solid form with 13.79% win rate and strong partnership record alongside Brown.

The 117-pound apprentice weight allowance provides five-pound advantage over several rivals carrying 122 pounds, creating meaningful edge in competitive maiden field. Previous experience at the venue eliminates learning curve where first-time starters often struggle with tight turns and demanding configuration. Morning line odds of 7-2 appear reasonable though the inconsistent prior form creates questions about ultimate ability level.

Secondary Choices

Camden Hills warrants consideration making career debut for trainer Kevin J. Joy with Victor Rodriguez riding. Joy operates at impressive 29.33% win rate with 56% place percentage during recent meet action. The trainer’s strong current form suggests horses arrive fit and ready for first asking. Rodriguez provides competent handling despite below-average 7.14% meet win rate.

The three-year-old colt by Connect draws post five providing favorable inside position where ground-saving proves valuable on tight bullring. Morning line odds of 7-2 reflect uncertainty surrounding debut effort but connections inspire confidence. First-time starters from successful barns often demonstrate sharpness where professional conditioning produces immediate results.

This Is the Life enters for trainer Michael E. Jones Jr. with Jeiron Barbosa riding from post one. The three-year-old gelding by Uncle Lino brings 0-0-2 record from 10 starts establishing consistent competitiveness without breakthrough victory. Jones operates at 13% win rate with 28% in-the-money percentage at Charles Town. The inside post provides theoretical advantage in sprint though maiden races often feature erratic breaks that compromise rail position.

Longshots

Pay Da Baby represents another Jones trainee making debut with Christian Hiraldo riding. The three-year-old colt by Munnings draws post two creating inside positioning advantages. Hiraldo demonstrates 5.56% meet win rate reflecting below-average performance through early action. Morning line odds of 10-1 indicate longshot status though Jones barn occasionally produces surprises with debut runners.

Titanio rounds out the field as longest shot at 20-1 morning line odds for trainer Jaime Cruz. The three-year-old colt by Tiznow shows 0-2-2 record from six starts with consistent place finishes without victory. Justin Lewis handles riding duties bringing competent skills despite modest debut success rate. The outside post three provides clear passage into first turn but tactical disadvantages on tight oval create obstacles.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The maiden special weight condition creates uncertainty where debut runners often spring surprises against more experienced rivals. Bahama Village offers legitimate win potential with strong connections and favorable post position. The Chircop/Acosta combination inspires confidence given their proven success with first-time starters at Charles Town.

I’m Not Catty provides safety valve in exotic wagers given experience advantage and powerful Brown/Santaella partnership. The apprentice weight allowance creates additional edge where five pounds proves meaningful in competitive maiden field. Structuring exacta wagers around these two logical contenders while including Camden Hills as upset possibility maximizes value potential.

Vertical exotic strategies should box the top three choices while extending trifecta coverage to include This Is the Life as longshot saver. The race lacks overwhelming favorite following potential scratch of Flatter My Dad, creating opportunities where maiden races often produce generous payoffs. Horizontal wagers through pick sequences should use multiple horses given uncertainty surrounding debut efforts and limited form information.

Selections

Win: Bahama Village (7)

Place: I’m Not Catty (8)

Show: Camden Hills (5)

Race 3 – Claiming Fillies and Mares

Post Time: 6:00 PM

6.5 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $13,600. For Fillies and Mares Four Years Old and Upward which have never won three races. Claiming Price $5,000, if for $4,500, allowed 2 lbs.

Pace Analysis

The pace scenario appears moderately contested with several fillies demonstrating frontrunning capabilities. Slanderous from post three and Melancia from post five both show fast leader profiles suggesting early positioning battles. The two-turn configuration provides more recovery time for closers compared to abbreviated sprints, creating tactical flexibility where multiple running styles maintain winning chances.​

Don’t Blink represents the Brown/Santaella combination seeking continued success at the meet. The four-year-old filly demonstrates experience at Charles Town where familiarity with tight turns proves valuable. Impetus Echo arrives from Great Britain bringing international flavor with unknown adaptation to American dirt racing surfaces. The Sunday Diaz Jr./Michael E. Jones Jr. partnership handles the foreign-bred filly seeking breakthrough domestically.​

The 6.5-furlong distance features two turns around Charles Town’s bullring, requiring horses to navigate demanding configuration while maintaining momentum. Inside posts one through three provide ground-saving advantages though maiden claiming fillies sometimes struggle with early positioning from rail draws. The race lacks overwhelming speed suggesting reasonable fractions where stalkers positioned mid-pack enter contention approaching the stretch.

Key Contenders

Don’t Blink emerges as the top selection with Moises Santaella riding for trainer Ronney W. Brown. The four-year-old filly by Algorithms demonstrates tactical speed suitable for stalking early leaders. Brown’s five wins pace all Charles Town trainers establishing momentum entering Friday’s card. Santaella brings solid 13.79% win rate with strong chemistry alongside Brown trainer.

The 117-pound apprentice weight allowance provides seven-pound advantage over several rivals carrying 124 pounds, creating significant edge in competitive claiming field. The weight concession combined with hot connections creates powerful combination where Brown/Santaella partnership fires consistently throughout the meet. Morning line odds of 9-2 appear generous given form advantage and connections quality.

Recent performances demonstrate consistent competitiveness at Charles Town where venue familiarity eliminates learning curve. The two-turn configuration suits stalking running style where Don’t Blink can secure favorable position behind early leaders before unleashing stretch bid. The claiming condition provides appropriate class level where the filly figures competitive against rivals with similar accomplishments.

Impetus Echo represents intriguing option arriving from Great Britain trained by Michael E. Jones Jr. The four-year-old filly by Outstrip brings international pedigree with unknown adaptation to American dirt surfaces. Jones operates at 13% win rate with 28% in-the-money percentage at Charles Town through current meet. Sunday Diaz Jr. provides competent handling with 4.17% meet win rate reflecting struggles through early action.

The transition from European turf to American dirt creates uncertainty where foreign-bred horses sometimes struggle with surface change and racing tactics. Jones’ experience conditioning horses for Charles Town’s demanding configuration inspires confidence despite statistical concerns about win percentages. Morning line odds reflect unknown variables surrounding surface adaptation and tactical adjustment.

Secondary Choices

Slanderous warrants consideration from post three with Jose Montano riding for trainer Kevin J. Joy. The four-year-old filly demonstrates fast leader running style suitable for securing early position. Joy operates at impressive 29.33% win rate with 56% place percentage during recent meet action. The trainer’s hot form creates confidence where horses arrive fit and competitive.

Montano brings competent riding skills with 11.11% meet win rate reflecting average performance. The inside post three provides favorable positioning where ground-saving around two turns proves valuable. The fast leader profile aligns with Charles Town’s speed-favoring bias though two-turn configuration diminishes pure speed advantage compared to sprints. Morning line odds of 3-1 reflect legitimate contention though pace scenario questions persist.​

Melancia enters from post five for trainer Jamie D. Collyer with Alexis Rios-Conde Jr. riding. The four-year-old filly by Speightstown demonstrates fast leader credentials suggesting early positioning battle with Slanderous. Rios-Conde Jr. shows 8.33% meet win rate with limited recent success. The outside post five creates tactical challenge where securing early position requires aggressive riding from the gate.

Longshots

Emm Ess Eh draws post one for trainer Stacey R. Viands with Justin Lewis riding. The five-year-old mare brings modest credentials with 124-pound weight assignment. Lewis demonstrates 15.63% meet win rate providing competent handling. The rail draw creates ground-saving potential though maiden claiming mares sometimes struggle with early positioning from inside posts. Morning line odds reflect limited upset potential.​

Centimorgan represents another Viands trainee from post six with J.D. Acosta riding. The four-year-old filly carries 122-pound weight assignment reflecting allowance conditions. Acosta brings strong 17.86% meet win rate with proven tactical abilities. The weight advantage combined with Acosta’s skills creates minor upset possibility though overall form suggests limited winning chances.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The claiming race for fillies and mares creates competitive environment where multiple horses figure prominently in outcome. Don’t Blink offers solid win potential with hot Brown/Santaella connections and significant apprentice weight allowance. The seven-pound advantage proves meaningful in claiming ranks where horses demonstrate similar ability levels.

Impetus Echo provides intriguing exotic play given foreign breeding and Jones training. European-bred horses occasionally excel when switching to American dirt if they possess tactical speed and professional handling. Including the British-bred filly in exacta and trifecta wagers adds value dimension where upset potential exists.

Vertical exotic structures should emphasize Don’t Blink while including Impetus Echo and Slanderous as secondary options. Trifecta coverage should extend through top five finishers given competitive nature of claiming ranks where form cycles create unpredictable outcomes. Horizontal pick sequence wagers should spread among top three choices given uncertainty surrounding foreign-bred adaptation and claiming class volatility.

Selections

Win: Don’t Blink (2)

Place: Impetus Echo (4)

Show: Slanderous (3)

Race 4 – Allowance Fillies and Mares

Post Time: 6:35 PM

7 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $31,700. For Fillies and Mares Four Years Old and Upward which have never won a race other than maiden, claiming, starter, waiver claiming, restricted or state bred races or which have never won two races. Races where entered for $12,500 or less not considered in weight allowances.

Pace Analysis

The pace sets up favorably for closers and stalkers with moderate early fractions expected. Bellofthebluegrass demonstrates fastest leads running style suggesting she will establish early position from post seven. Seven Natty Patty brings fastest stalker credentials positioning her just behind the leaders where she can track the pace comfortably.

The seven-furlong distance features two turns around Charles Town’s configuration, taxing frontrunners more severely than abbreviated sprints. This format creates opportunities for horses positioned mid-pack entering the far turn where closing kicks prove effective. The allowance condition attracts higher-quality fillies and mares compared to claiming ranks, producing more predictable pace scenarios where professional riders execute tactical strategies effectively.​

City Taah represents lone mid-pack closer in the field with 4-6-7 record establishing consistent competitiveness. Trainer Jeff C. Runco captured four wins last week going 4-for-12 demonstrating exceptional hot streak entering Friday’s card. The route distance suits her closing style where the additional ground provides recovery time for late rallies.

Key Contenders

Bellofthebluegrass enters as the logical favorite with Arnaldo Bocachica riding for trainer Anthony Farrior. The five-year-old mare by Midshipman demonstrates fastest leads running style with 3-8-8 record establishing 19% win rate and 50% in-the-money percentage. Most importantly, recent form shows runner-up finish on January 3 at Charles Town establishing current fitness and venue familiarity.

Farrior captured his fourth consecutive Charles Town training title in 2025 with 130 victories, operating at 23.18% win rate with 52% place percentage. The four-time defending champion demonstrates exceptional horsemanship with consistent success at all class levels. Bocachica leads the current meet with seven wins from 30 starts (23.33%), extending his eight-year reign as Charles Town’s dominant rider.

The Farrior/Bocachica partnership represents the most accomplished connections at Charles Town where their chemistry produces consistent results. Bocachica’s mastery of the tight bullring configuration proves invaluable where securing favorable position through turns determines outcomes. Morning line odds of 3-1 appear generous given connections quality and recent runner-up effort demonstrating competitive form. The 122-pound weight assignment reflects allowance conditions with two-pound concession creating minor advantage.

Seven Natty Patty represents the primary danger with Moises Santaella riding for trainer Ronney W. Brown. The five-year-old mare by Mo Town demonstrates fastest stalker running style with impressive 7-12-14 record. Recent form shows third-place finish with victory on October 30 establishing current competitiveness. Brown leads all trainers with five wins through mid-January, operating at strong pace entering Friday.

The Brown/Santaella combination fires consistently throughout the meet with proven chemistry between trainer and rider. Santaella’s 13.79% win rate combines with Brown’s hot streak creating dangerous partnership. The 117-pound apprentice weight allowance provides five-pound advantage over Bellofthebluegrass, creating meaningful edge in allowance ranks where weight proves more significant than claiming conditions.

The fastest stalker profile positions Seven Natty Patty ideally where she can track Bellofthebluegrass through early fractions before launching stretch bid. Morning line odds of 5-2 establish her as favorite though connections comparison favors Bellofthebluegrass with elite Farrior/Bocachica partnership. Recent form shows consistency with place finishes demonstrating reliable competitiveness.

Secondary Choices

City Taah merits serious consideration with Warren Ebow III riding for trainer Jeff C. Runco. The four-year-old filly by City of Light demonstrates mid-pack closer running style with solid 4-6-7 record establishing 25% win rate. Most significantly, Runco went 4-for-12 last week demonstrating exceptional hot streak entering Friday’s card.

The trainer operates at impressive 30% win rate during recent action with 53% in-the-money percentage establishing dominant form. Runco leads the meet in recent wins creating powerful momentum where horses arrive fit and competitive. Ebow brings 11.54% meet win rate reflecting average performance. The 115-pound apprentice weight allowance provides seven-pound advantage over Bellofthebluegrass, creating significant edge.

Recent form shows victory on previous start establishing peak fitness and confidence. The mid-pack closer running style suits seven-furlong distance where tactical positioning entering far turn proves decisive. Morning line odds of 5-1 appear generous given hot trainer and recent victory. The weight advantage combined with Runco’s form creates upset potential.

Marilyn Moonroe enters from post two with Juan Mauricio Nunez riding for trainer Javier Contreras. The four-year-old filly by Aldrin demonstrates mid-pack leader running style with 3-5-6 record establishing 27% win rate. Contreras operates competently though lacks the hot streak demonstrated by Brown, Farrior, and Runco. Nunez shows modest 5.26% meet win rate reflecting struggles through early action. Morning line odds of 9-2 reflect legitimate contention though connections comparison creates disadvantage.

Longshots

Tafaany represents longshot option from post one for trainer Owen Garber with Sunday Diaz Jr. riding. The four-year-old filly by Mohaymen brings 2-2-3 record from eight starts with recent victory establishing current form. Garber trains limited starters at Charles Town creating uncertainty about conditioning methods. Diaz demonstrates 4.17% meet win rate reflecting poor performance. Morning line odds of 8-1 indicate longshot status though recent victory merits minor exotic consideration.

Gun Runnin Gal draws post three for trainer Michael E. Jones Jr. with Jeiron Barbosa riding. The six-year-old mare by Gun Runner brings extensive experience with 5-11-14 record from 38 starts. Jones operates at 13% win rate with proven ability to condition older mares. The slower deep running style creates tactical disadvantage on speed-favoring surface. Morning line odds of 15-1 reflect minimal winning chances.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The allowance race features Charles Town’s elite trainer/jockey combinations creating competitive environment. Bellofthebluegrass offers legitimate win potential with Farrior/Bocachica partnership representing gold standard connections at the venue. The recent runner-up finish demonstrates current fitness while the fastest leads profile aligns with pace scenario.

Seven Natty Patty provides serious exacta threat given Brown/Santaella hot streak and five-pound weight advantage. The fastest stalker running style positions her ideally to track early leader before launching stretch bid. Structuring exacta wagers with Bellofthebluegrass on top and Seven Natty Patty underneath maximizes value while respecting connections quality.

City Taah represents excellent value play given Runco’s exceptional 4-for-12 week and seven-pound apprentice weight allowance. Including the recent winner in trifecta coverage adds dimension where hot trainers often produce multiple winners during peak form cycles. Vertical exotic strategies should emphasize top three choices while extending coverage to include Marilyn Moonroe as value saver.

Selections

Win: Bellofthebluegrass (7)

Place: Seven Natty Patty (5)

Show: City Taah (4)

Race 5 – West Virginia-Bred Claiming

Post Time: 7:00 PM

4.5 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $15,800. For Accredited West Virginia-Bred Four Year Olds and Upward which have not won two races since July 23, 2025 or which have never won four races. Claiming Price $5,000, if for $4,500, allowed 2 lbs.

Pace Analysis

The pace appears moderately contested with several geldings demonstrating frontrunning capabilities. Rocket Appeal from post two brings established early speed with 126-pound top weight reflecting class advantage. The nine-year-old gelding shows veteran savvy where experience at Charles Town’s demanding configuration proves valuable.

The 4.5-furlong sprint configuration creates overwhelming advantages for horses securing early position. Charles Town’s 58% wire-to-wire success rate at this distance establishes speed bias where frontrunners dominate outcomes. Inside posts one through three provide ground-saving benefits where securing rail position through tight first turn proves decisive.

Take Your Time from post three and Estrella Fugaz from post four both demonstrate frontrunning tendencies creating potential early positioning battles. The abbreviated sprint distance provides minimal recovery time for closers attempting late rallies, magnifying advantages for horses breaking alertly and establishing favorable position immediately.

Key Contenders

Rocket Appeal emerges as the logical favorite despite nine-year-old age and top weight assignment. The veteran gelding by Friesan Fire brings extensive Charles Town experience with proven ability to win at the claiming level. Recent form shows victory on January 3 establishing current fitness and competitive form at the venue.

Trainer James W. King Jr. conditions the gelding competently with Justin Lewis handling riding duties. Lewis demonstrates solid 15.63% meet win rate with competent tactical abilities. The 126-pound top weight reflects class advantage where Rocket Appeal has competed successfully at higher levels previously. The inside post two provides favorable positioning where ground-saving around tight first turn proves valuable.​

The fast leader running style aligns perfectly with Charles Town’s speed-favoring bias at 4.5 furlongs. With 58% wire-to-wire success rate at this distance, frontrunners breaking alertly dominate outcomes. Recent victory demonstrates peak fitness where confidence and familiarity combine to create winning formula. Morning line odds of 5-2 establish deserved favoritism given form advantage and tactical superiority.

Take Your Time represents the primary danger from post three with Sunday Diaz Jr. riding for trainer Lela G. Hanagan. The five-year-old gelding demonstrates frontrunning capabilities suggesting early positioning battle with Rocket Appeal. Diaz brings 4.17% meet win rate reflecting struggles through early action. The 124-pound weight assignment provides two-pound advantage over Rocket Appeal creating minor edge.​

Recent form requires analysis where prior performances demonstrate competitiveness at the claiming level. The inside post three provides ground-saving advantages though early speed duel with Rocket Appeal creates pace scenario concerns. Morning line odds of 12-1 indicate longshot status though tactical speed suitable for sprint distance merits exotic consideration.

Secondary Choices

Park Ave Prince enters from post eight for trainer Michael E. Jones Jr. with Jeiron Barbosa riding. The five-year-old gelding brings Charles Town experience with proven ability at the venue. Jones operates at 13% win rate with competent conditioning methods. Barbosa demonstrates 21% meet win rate establishing hot recent form. The outside post eight creates tactical disadvantage where securing early position requires aggressive riding.

Recent performances demonstrate consistency at claiming level where Park Ave Prince maintains competitiveness against similar rivals. The claiming price provides appropriate class level for the gelding’s current ability. Morning line odds reflect evaluation of winning chances given post position disadvantage and pace scenario concerns.

Rip N Roll represents another option from post five with Juan Mauricio Nunez riding for trainer Tabitha M. Wilhelm. The five-year-old gelding demonstrates competitiveness at Charles Town where venue familiarity eliminates learning curve. Nunez shows modest 5.26% meet win rate reflecting poor performance through early action. Morning line odds of 6-1 indicate moderate contention though connections comparison creates questions.​

Longshots

Spirit of Windsor draws the rail with Joe Stokes riding for trainer Timothy M. Collins. The seven-year-old gelding brings veteran experience with modest recent form. Stokes demonstrates 11.76% meet win rate with competent abilities. The inside post one provides theoretical advantage though uncertain current form creates questions. Morning line odds reflect longshot status.​

Auburn Mill enters from post six with Moises Santaella riding for trainer Jean L. Adorno. The nine-year-old gelding carries 119-pound apprentice weight allowance providing seven-pound advantage. Santaella brings solid credentials with 13.79% meet win rate. The significant weight concession creates value dimension where claiming ranks prove sensitive to weight variations. Morning line odds indicate longshot status though weight advantage merits exotic consideration.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The West Virginia-bred claiming sprint sets up straightforward where early speed dominates outcomes. Rocket Appeal offers legitimate win potential given recent victory and tactical superiority at 4.5-furlong distance. The veteran gelding’s familiarity with Charles Town configuration creates comfort level where experience proves valuable.

Structuring exacta wagers around Rocket Appeal on top while including Take Your Time and Park Ave Prince underneath provides coverage of logical contenders. The pace scenario suggests early positioning battle where horses securing favorable position through first turn gain decisive advantages. Trifecta coverage should extend through Auburn Mill given seven-pound apprentice weight allowance and Santaella’s competent handling.

Horizontal pick sequence wagers should emphasize Rocket Appeal given form advantage and tactical profile alignment with track bias. The West Virginia-bred condition restricts field to local horses where Charles Town regulars demonstrate venue familiarity. Single or strong key approach maximizes value in multi-race wagers extending through card.

Selections

Win: Rocket Appeal (2)

Place: Take Your Time (3)

Show: Park Ave Prince (8)

Race 6 – West Virginia-Bred Fillies and Mares Claiming

Post Time: 7:35 PM

6.5 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $21,500. For Accredited West Virginia-Bred Fillies and Mares Four Years Old and Upward which have never won three races. Claiming Price $15,000, if for $12,500, allowed 2 lbs. Races where entered for $10,000 or less not considered in weight allowances.

Pace Analysis

The pace scenario appears moderately contested with multiple fillies and mares demonstrating tactical speed. Hello Foxy from post four and Crafty Candygram from post five both show mid-pack leader tendencies suggesting positioning battle through early fractions. The two-turn 6.5-furlong configuration provides recovery time for closers compared to abbreviated sprints.​

R Special represents logical frontrunner from post one with the rail draw providing ground-saving advantages. Trainer Stephen Murdock conditions the four-year-old filly seeking breakthrough performance at higher claiming level. Reshawn Latchman handles riding duties bringing competent tactical abilities where inside post creates favorable scenario.​

Classy Bay enters for the powerful Brown/Santaella combination from post nine with outside draw creating tactical challenge. The four-year-old filly demonstrates fastest stalker running style where positioning behind early leaders suits tactical profile. The 119-pound apprentice weight allowance provides five-pound advantage over several rivals creating meaningful edge in competitive claiming field.​

Key Contenders

R Special emerges as the logical favorite stepping down in class after solid third-place finish in tougher company. The four-year-old filly by Gift Box demonstrates tactical speed suitable for securing early position from favorable rail draw. Trainer Stephen Murdock conditions competently with Reshawn Latchman providing experienced handling.​

The class dropdown represents key form angle where fillies often improve dramatically when facing easier competition. Recent performances at higher levels establish R Special possesses ability exceeding current rivals. The inside post one provides ground-saving advantages around two turns where rail position proves valuable on Charles Town’s tight configuration.

Morning line odds of 5-2 establish deserved favoritism given class advantage and favorable post position. The 122-pound weight assignment reflects allowance conditions with proven ability to carry weight successfully. Recent form demonstrates current fitness where competitive effort against better establishes readiness to dominate easier spot. The tactical speed profile aligns with pace scenario where securing early position creates winning formula.

Classy Bay represents serious exacta threat with Moises Santaella riding for trainer Ronney W. Brown. The four-year-old filly demonstrates fastest stalker running style with proven ability at Charles Town. Brown leads all trainers with five wins through mid-January establishing momentum entering Friday’s card. Santaella brings solid 13.79% meet win rate with strong chemistry alongside Brown trainer.

The 119-pound apprentice weight allowance provides five-pound advantage over R Special creating meaningful edge. The Brown/Santaella partnership fires consistently throughout the meet producing reliable results. The outside post nine creates tactical challenge where securing favorable position requires skilled riding, but Santaella demonstrates proven ability to overcome post disadvantages.

Recent form shows consistency at the claiming level with competitive efforts establishing current fitness. The fastest stalker profile positions Classy Bay ideally where she can track early pace before launching stretch bid. Morning line odds of 7-2 reflect legitimate contention given powerful connections and weight advantage. The two-turn configuration suits stalking style where tactical positioning proves decisive.

Secondary Choices

Subtle Storm merits consideration with Warren Ebow III riding for trainer Jeff C. Runco. The five-year-old mare by Maclean’s Music demonstrates fast closer running style with recent victory establishing current form. Runco captured four wins last week going 4-for-12 demonstrating exceptional hot streak. The trainer operates at 30% win rate during recent action creating powerful momentum.

Ebow brings 11.54% meet win rate reflecting average performance. The 117-pound apprentice weight allowance provides five-pound advantage creating additional edge. The fast closer profile creates tactical disadvantage at Charles Town where speed bias favors frontrunners, but two-turn configuration provides recovery time for late rallies. Morning line odds of 2-1 appear short given running style concerns despite hot trainer.​

Hello Foxy enters from post four with Larry C. Reynolds riding for trainer Timothy C. Grams. The five-year-old mare demonstrates mid-pack leader running style with competitive record at claiming level. Grams operates at 16% meet win rate with competent conditioning methods. Reynolds brings 26% win rate with strong recent performance. The mid-pack profile suits pace scenario though overall form suggests limited winning chances against class droppers.

Longshots

Juba’s Topaz represents longshot option from post two for trainer Linda Dollinger-Stehr with Abnel J. Bocachica riding. The four-year-old filly brings modest credentials with inconsistent recent form. The connections lack the hot streaks demonstrated by Brown and Runco creating disadvantage. Morning line odds of 15-1 reflect longshot status with minimal upset potential.

Sweet N Tricky draws post seven for trainer Elizabeth E. Meehan with Alexis Rios-Conde Jr. riding. The four-year-old filly demonstrates mid-pack closer running style with limited recent success. Rios-Conde Jr. shows 0% meet win rate through 22 starts reflecting poor performance. The tactical profile creates disadvantage on speed-favoring surface. Morning line odds of 10-1 indicate longshot status.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The West Virginia-bred claiming race for fillies and mares features class dropper R Special as deserving favorite. The step down in competition creates powerful form angle where fillies often dominate easier spots after competing at higher levels. Structuring win wagers on R Special maximizes value given class advantage and favorable post position.

Classy Bay provides excellent exacta coverage given powerful Brown/Santaella connections and five-pound apprentice weight allowance. The fastest stalker profile positions her ideally to track early pace before launching stretch bid. Boxing R Special and Classy Bay in exacta wagers creates foundation while including Subtle Storm in trifecta coverage acknowledges Runco’s hot streak.

Vertical exotic strategies should emphasize top three choices while extending coverage through Hello Foxy as value saver. The claiming condition creates competitive environment where form cycles and class fluctuations produce unpredictable outcomes. Horizontal pick sequence wagers should use R Special and Classy Bay given connections quality and tactical advantages.

Selections

Win: R Special (1)

Place: Classy Bay (9)

Show: Subtle Storm (3)

Race 7 – West Virginia-Bred Maiden Fillies

Post Time: 8:00 PM

4.5 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $30,600. For Accredited West Virginia-Bred Maidens, Fillies and Mares Four, Five, and Six Years Old.

Pace Analysis

The pace scenario remains uncertain with limited form information on maiden fillies ranging from four to six years old. Sweet Lime and Lino’s Legacy both demonstrate potential frontrunning capabilities though prior efforts show inconsistent results requiring improvement. The maiden condition at advanced ages creates questions about ultimate ability where fillies failing to graduate through normal development cycles often lack winning talent.

The 4.5-furlong sprint configuration heavily favors early speed with Charles Town’s 58% wire-to-wire success rate at this distance. Maidens breaking alertly and securing favorable position through tight first turn gain overwhelming advantages. Inside posts one through three provide ground-saving benefits though maiden fillies sometimes struggle with early positioning from rail draws.

The eleven-horse field creates traffic concerns where inexperienced runners navigating tight quarters produce unpredictable outcomes. Trainer quality and jockey competence prove especially important in maiden races where avoiding trouble and securing clean trips determine results. The West Virginia-bred condition restricts field to local fillies where familiarity with Charles Town configuration provides comfort level.

Key Contenders

Sweet Lime emerges as logical selection from post six with Justin M. Lewis riding for trainer Joseph Pyke. The four-year-old filly by Maclean’s Music demonstrates previous experience at Charles Town where venue familiarity eliminates learning curve. Lewis brings solid 15.63% meet win rate with proven tactical abilities. The outside post six provides clear passage into first turn avoiding potential early traffic plaguing inside posts.​

Pyke trains competently with maiden fillies where conditioning methods produce competitive efforts. The four-year-old status indicates reasonable development timeline compared to older maidens suggesting superior natural ability. Recent workouts demonstrate fitness preparation though maiden form analysis proves challenging without victory establishing capability.

Morning line odds reflect assessment of maiden field where multiple fillies figure prominently in outcome. The tactical speed profile aligns with Charles Town’s speed-favoring bias at 4.5 furlongs where frontrunners dominate. Lewis’ competent handling provides confidence where skilled riding proves decisive in maiden races featuring inexperienced runners navigating traffic.

Lino’s Legacy represents primary alternative from post three with Jose Montano riding for trainer Timothy C. Grams. The four-year-old filly by Uncle Lino demonstrates previous starts at Charles Town establishing venue familiarity. Grams operates at 16% meet win rate with competent conditioning methods. Montano brings 11.11% meet win rate reflecting average performance.​

The inside post three provides ground-saving advantages where rail position proves valuable on tight bullring. Recent efforts demonstrate competitiveness at maiden level without breakthrough victory. The four-year-old status suggests reasonable development compared to older maidens in field. Morning line odds reflect legitimate contention though overall maiden form creates uncertainty about ultimate ability.

Secondary Choices

Stolen Secrets merits consideration from post two with Moises Santaella riding for trainer Ronney W. Brown. The four-year-old filly benefits from powerful connections where Brown leads all trainers with five wins through mid-January. Santaella brings solid 13.79% meet win rate with proven success for Brown barn. The 121-pound weight assignment provides five-pound advantage over several rivals.

The inside post two creates ground-saving potential though maiden fillies sometimes struggle with early positioning from rail draws. Brown’s dominance at current meet inspires confidence where horses arrive fit and competitive. The connections quality represents strongest in field though maiden form remains uncertain. Morning line odds reflect legitimate contention given powerful partnership.

Hold Dem enters from post one for trainer Joseph Pyke with Christian Hiraldo riding. The five-year-old mare draws the rail with Hiraldo demonstrating 5.56% meet win rate reflecting below-average performance. The advanced age creates questions about development where failure to graduate through normal cycles suggests limited ability. Morning line odds reflect concerns about older maiden’s capabilities.​

Longshots

Changes represents longshot from post eight with Juan Mauricio Nunez riding for trainer Cynthia E. McKee. The four-year-old filly brings modest credentials with Nunez showing 5.26% meet win rate. McKee operates at 26% meet win rate demonstrating strong recent form. The trainer’s hot streak creates minor upset possibility though overall maiden form suggests limited winning chances.

Belle Cause and One Year More both represent Kristy Gazzier trainees with Jorge Julio handling riding duties. The trainer sends out multiple entries creating uncertainty about training intentions. Julio demonstrates 0% meet win rate through four starts reflecting poor performance. The multiple entries suggest one serves as pacesetter for stable companion. Morning line odds reflect longshot status for both fillies.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The maiden race for older West Virginia-bred fillies creates uncertainty where development concerns plague advanced-age maidens. Sweet Lime offers reasonable win potential given Pyke/Lewis connections and favorable post position. The outside post six provides clear passage avoiding early traffic that compromises maiden races.

Lino’s Legacy provides value coverage in exotic wagers given Grams conditioning and inside post three. Stolen Secrets represents serious contention given powerful Brown/Santaella partnership despite maiden form concerns. Structuring exacta and trifecta wagers around these three logical contenders maximizes coverage while acknowledging maiden race unpredictability.

Vertical exotic strategies should spread among top five choices given uncertain maiden form and advanced ages creating questions about ultimate abilities. The eleven-horse field produces generous exotic payoffs where maiden races often spring surprises. Horizontal pick sequence wagers should use multiple horses given uncertainty and avoid single selections in older maiden events.

Selections

Win: Sweet Lime (6)

Place: Lino’s Legacy (3)

Show: Stolen Secrets (2)

Race 8 – Allowance Fillies and Mares

Post Time: 8:30 PM

7 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $36,200. For Fillies and Mares Four Years Old and Upward. Races where entered for $25,000 or less not considered in weight allowances.

Pace Analysis

The pace scenario sets up favorably for Overnight Pow Wow establishing comfortable early lead. The five-year-old mare by Fiber Sonde demonstrates fastest leader running style with dominant 11-14-15 record establishing 65% win rate. Miss Harriett adds pace pressure with slowest leader credentials though her running style suggests she will settle just behind Overnight Pow Wow rather than engaging directly.​

Happy Clouds and Serenade Me both demonstrate closing running styles where they will position mid-pack before launching late rallies. The seven-furlong two-turn configuration creates tactical flexibility where multiple running styles maintain winning chances. The allowance condition attracts highest-quality fillies and mares on tonight’s card producing most competitive race of evening.​

Overnight Pow Wow’s dominant record suggests she possesses significant class advantage over rivals where 65% win rate establishes superiority. The fastest leader profile combined with tactical superiority creates scenario where she establishes comfortable position before repelling late challenges. Morning line odds of 1-1 reflect deserved favoritism given overwhelming form advantage.​

Key Contenders

Overnight Pow Wow stands as overwhelming favorite with Reshawn Latchman riding for trainer Cynthia E. McKee. The five-year-old mare by Fiber Sonde demonstrates exceptional 11-14-15 record from 17 starts establishing remarkable 65% win rate with 88% in-the-money percentage. The dominant statistics reflect genuine class superiority where Overnight Pow Wow has consistently defeated similar and better competition.

McKee operates at impressive 26% meet win rate with 61% in-the-money percentage demonstrating strong current form. Latchman brings solid 8.33% meet win rate with competent tactical abilities. The 124-pound weight assignment reflects recent allowance conditions with proven ability to carry weight successfully. Recent victory on August 3, 2025 demonstrates peak form though extended layoff since October creates minor fitness concern.

The fastest leader running style positions Overnight Pow Wow ideally where she can establish comfortable early position before controlling pace throughout. Charles Town’s speed-favoring bias benefits frontrunners though seven-furlong two-turn configuration provides more recovery time for closers compared to sprints. Morning line odds of 1-1 establish deserved favoritism given overwhelming form advantage and class superiority.​

The primary concern centers on the extended layoff since October where fitness level remains uncertain without recent race. McKee’s strong conditioning methods inspire confidence where trainer demonstrates proven ability to have horses fit for return efforts. The allowance condition provides appropriate class level where Overnight Pow Wow has dominated previously. Bettors accepting short odds must evaluate risk-reward proposition where heavy favorite provides minimal return.

Miss Harriett represents most serious danger with Arnaldo Bocachica riding for trainer Brandon McFarlane. The five-year-old mare by Blofeld demonstrates slowest leader running style with solid 10-11-17 record establishing 40% win rate. Recent form shows consistent competitiveness at Laurel Park though return to Charles Town creates questions about surface adaptation.

McFarlane trains competently with proven success developing fillies and mares. Bocachica leads the current meet with seven wins from 30 starts (23.33%) establishing dominance at Charles Town. The elite jockey provides significant advantage where his mastery of the configuration proves invaluable. The 122-pound weight assignment provides two-pound advantage over Overnight Pow Wow creating minor edge.

The slowest leader profile positions Miss Harriett to settle just behind Overnight Pow Wow where she can track the pace comfortably before launching stretch bid. The tactical scenario creates legitimate upset potential where Bocachica’s skills combine with favorable positioning. Morning line odds of 5-2 reflect serious contention though form comparison favors Overnight Pow Wow’s dominant record.

Secondary Choices

Happy Clouds warrants consideration with Gerald Almodovar riding for trainer Ryan A. Gillespie. The six-year-old mare by Union Rags demonstrates mid-pack closer running style with solid 8-24-32 record from 48 starts. Recent form shows competitive efforts at Laurel Park establishing current fitness. Gillespie conditions competently with proven success at multiple venues.​

Almodovar brings 9.09% meet win rate reflecting below-average performance through limited action. The 122-pound weight assignment provides two-pound advantage over Overnight Pow Wow. The mid-pack closer profile creates tactical disadvantage at Charles Town where speed bias favors frontrunners though seven-furlong distance provides recovery time for late rallies. Morning line odds of 3-1 appear reasonable given running style concerns and form comparison.​

Serenade Me enters from post two with J.D. Acosta riding for trainer Ryan A. Gillespie. The four-year-old filly demonstrates slower closer running style with modest 3-5-6 record establishing 30% win rate. Acosta brings strong 17.86% meet win rate with proven tactical abilities. The 122-pound weight assignment provides advantage though overall form suggests limited winning chances against class leader Overnight Pow Wow.

Longshots

Maddie Ten represents longshot option from post one with Paul A. Luna riding for trainer Daniel W. Siculietano. The five-year-old mare brings 9-15-22 record from 50 starts establishing consistent competitiveness without dominant form. Recent victory on January 3 demonstrates current fitness though overall record suggests limited ability to compete with Overnight Pow Wow. Morning line odds of 20-1 reflect longshot status.

Juba’s Parade rounds out field from post six with Wilfredo Santiago riding for trainer Wade S. Sanderson. The six-year-old mare demonstrates slower deep running style with 8-13-17 record from 33 starts. The tactical profile creates disadvantage on speed-favoring surface. Morning line odds of 10-1 indicate longshot status with minimal upset potential.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The allowance race features Overnight Pow Wow as overwhelming favorite with dominant 65% win rate establishing class superiority. The mare’s exceptional record suggests genuine talent exceeding rivals’ capabilities. Bettors must evaluate risk-reward proposition where 1-1 morning line odds provide minimal return despite high probability of victory.

Miss Harriett represents most serious exotic threat given elite Bocachica riding and favorable tactical positioning. The slowest leader profile positions her to track Overnight Pow Wow before launching stretch challenge. Structuring exacta wagers with Overnight Pow Wow on top and Miss Harriett underneath creates foundation while acknowledging heavy favorite’s dominance.

Vertical exotic strategies should emphasize top two choices while including Happy Clouds in trifecta coverage given closer running style and Laurel Park form. The allowance condition creates competitive environment though Overnight Pow Wow’s class advantage suggests dominant performance. Horizontal pick sequence wagers should strongly consider single on Overnight Pow Wow given overwhelming form advantage and shortened odds making box approaches inefficient.

Selections

Win: Overnight Pow Wow (5)

Place: Miss Harriett (4)

Show: Happy Clouds (3)

Race 9 – West Virginia-Bred Fillies and Mares Claiming

Post Time: 9:00 PM

4.5 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $15,800. For West Virginia-Bred Fillies and Mares Four Years Old and Upward which have not won two races since July 23, 2025 or which have never won four races. Claiming Price $5,000, if for $4,500, allowed 2 lbs.

Pace Analysis

The pace appears moderately contested with multiple fillies and mares demonstrating frontrunning capabilities. Just Have Faith from post one and Cowgirl Attitude from post three both show tactical speed suggesting early positioning battles. The 4.5-furlong sprint configuration creates overwhelming advantages for horses securing early position where Charles Town’s 58% wire-to-wire success rate establishes speed bias.

The ten-horse field creates crowding concerns through tight first turn where fillies and mares navigating traffic while establishing position face challenges. The claiming condition produces competitive environment where form cycles and class fluctuations create unpredictable outcomes. Inside posts one through three provide ground-saving advantages though claiming fillies sometimes struggle with early positioning from rail draws.

The West Virginia-bred restriction limits field to local fillies and mares where Charles Town regulars demonstrate venue familiarity. The abbreviated sprint distance provides minimal recovery time for closers attempting late rallies, magnifying advantages for frontrunners breaking alertly and establishing favorable position immediately.

Key Contenders

Just Have Faith emerges as logical selection from post one with Victor Rodriguez riding for trainer Kevin J. Joy. The six-year-old mare by Fiber Sonde demonstrates tactical speed suitable for securing early position from favorable rail draw. Joy operates at impressive 29.33% win rate with 56% place percentage during recent meet action. Rodriguez brings competent handling despite 7.14% meet win rate reflecting below-average performance.

The inside post one provides ground-saving advantages where rail position proves valuable on tight bullring configuration. Joy’s exceptional current form inspires confidence where horses arrive fit and competitive. The 124-pound weight assignment reflects claiming conditions with proven ability to carry weight successfully at this level. Recent performances demonstrate consistency at claiming level establishing current fitness.

Morning line odds reflect assessment of competitive claiming field where multiple fillies figure prominently. The tactical speed profile aligns with Charles Town’s speed-favoring bias at 4.5 furlongs where frontrunners dominate outcomes. Joy’s hot trainer status combined with favorable post position creates winning formula despite Rodriguez’s modest statistics.

Shewearsstilettos represents serious contention from post four with Denis Vicente Araujo riding for trainer Ronney W. Brown. The six-year-old mare demonstrates experience at Charles Town where venue familiarity eliminates learning curve. Brown leads all trainers with five wins through mid-January establishing momentum entering Friday’s card. Araujo brings solid 18.75% meet win rate with proven tactical abilities.

The 122-pound weight assignment provides two-pound advantage over Just Have Faith creating minor edge. Brown’s dominance at current meet inspires confidence where horses consistently deliver competitive efforts. Recent form requires analysis where prior performances demonstrate ability at claiming level. The middle post four creates neutral positioning where securing early position requires competent riding.

Secondary Choices

Playing for Two merits consideration from post five with Justin M. Lewis riding for trainer Timothy Shanley. The six-year-old mare brings Charles Town experience with proven ability at the venue. Shanley captured three wins last week going 3-for-8 demonstrating strong current form. Lewis brings solid 15.63% meet win rate with competent tactical abilities.

The 124-pound weight assignment matches several rivals providing no advantage. The middle post five creates neutral positioning scenario where tactical decisions prove important. Shanley’s hot streak creates confidence where trainer demonstrates momentum entering Friday’s card. Recent performances demonstrate consistency at claiming level though overall form suggests limited winning chances against hot trainers Joy and Brown.

Aim’s Jubilee enters from post two with Moises Santaella riding for trainer Ronney W. Brown. The seven-year-old mare carries 117-pound apprentice weight allowance providing seven-pound advantage over top weight carriers. Santaella brings solid 13.79% meet win rate with proven success for Brown barn. The significant weight concession creates value dimension where claiming ranks prove sensitive to weight variations.​

Longshots

Cowgirl Attitude represents longshot option from post three with Angel Cruz riding for trainer Jean L. Adorno. The six-year-old mare demonstrates tactical speed suitable for sprint distance. Cruz brings 13.64% meet win rate with competent abilities. The inside post three provides ground-saving advantages though overall claiming form suggests limited winning chances. Morning line odds reflect moderate contention.​

Crafty Windsor Cat enters from post seven with Christian Hiraldo riding for trainer Curtis W. Bass. The seven-year-old mare brings modest credentials with Hiraldo showing 5.56% meet win rate reflecting below-average performance. The outside post seven creates tactical disadvantage where securing early position requires aggressive riding. Morning line odds indicate longshot status.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The West Virginia-bred claiming sprint for fillies and mares sets up competitive where multiple horses figure prominently. Just Have Faith offers legitimate win potential given Joy’s exceptional 29.33% meet win rate and favorable rail draw. The hot trainer status creates confidence where horses consistently deliver peak performances during winning streaks.

Shewearsstilettos provides serious exacta threat given powerful Brown/Araujo connections. The leading trainer combines with solid jockey creating dangerous partnership capable of producing winners consistently. Structuring exacta wagers around these two logical contenders maximizes coverage while respecting connections quality and current form.

Playing for Two represents value play given Shanley’s 3-for-8 week demonstrating hot streak. Including the Lewis-ridden mare in trifecta coverage adds dimension where hot trainers often produce multiple winners during peak form cycles. Vertical exotic strategies should emphasize top three choices while extending coverage through Aim’s Jubilee given seven-pound apprentice weight allowance.

Selections

Win: Just Have Faith (1)

Place: Shewearsstilettos (4)

Show: Playing for Two (5)

Jockey Notes and Insights

Arnaldo Bocachica dominates the Charles Town riding colony with seven wins from 30 starts (23.33%) through mid-January, extending his eight-year reign as the venue’s leading rider. The veteran jockey won his eighth consecutive riding title in 2025 with 196 victories from 598 starts at a remarkable 33% win rate while banking $3,923,659. His mastery of Charles Town’s tight bullring configuration proves invaluable where securing favorable position through demanding turns determines outcomes consistently.

Bocachica won his first career race at Charles Town in 2006 as a teenager, achieving his 1,000th win there in 2015, his 2,000th in 2021, and his 3,000th on October 1, 2025. All major career milestones occurred at Charles Town, including his first graded stakes victory aboard Covey Trace in the 2016 Grade 3 Charles Town Oaks. Despite offers from Monmouth, Laurel, and Parx, Bocachica remains content at Charles Town where he rides the best horses.​

His partnership with trainer Anthony Farrior represents the gold standard at Charles Town, combining Farrior’s 23.18% training win rate with Bocachica’s tactical brilliance. The combination consistently produces results across all class levels, making any horse with this partnership an automatic contender regardless of conditions. Bocachica’s 16% career win rate at Charles Town over 1,625 starts with 45% in-the-money percentage establishes his dominance.

J.D. Acosta provides solid alternative with five wins from 28 starts (17.86%) through mid-January. The veteran rider demonstrates exceptional tactical abilities having won over 3,300 career races. His 16% career win rate at Charles Town across 1,625 starts with 45% in-the-money percentage matches Bocachica’s statistical profile. Acosta excels at sprint distances, particularly 6.5-7 furlongs where he hits 15% win rate with 43% in-the-money percentage.

His value proposition shines through positive return on investment where bettors backing Acosta consistently profit long-term. The partnership with trainer Michael E. Jones Jr. produces reliable results where the combination understands Charles Town’s configuration demands. Acosta’s experience proves especially valuable in maiden and claiming races where traffic management and tactical positioning determine outcomes.​

Justin M. Lewis ranks third in the standings with five wins from 32 starts (15.63%). The competent rider demonstrates solid tactical abilities across all distances and conditions. His partnership with various trainers creates flexibility where Lewis maintains mounts for multiple barns. The workmanlike approach produces consistent results without dominant statistical profile, but his reliability makes him valuable partner for trainers seeking competent handling.​

Moises Santaella demonstrates emerging talent with four wins from 29 starts (13.79%) as apprentice jockey. His partnership with leading trainer Ronney W. Brown creates powerful combination where the hot barn provides quality mounts. Santaella’s apprentice weight allowance proves especially valuable in claiming ranks where five pounds creates meaningful advantages. The Brown/Santaella partnership fires consistently throughout the meet with strong chemistry between rider and trainer producing reliable results.

Denis Vicente Araujo brings solid credentials with three wins from 16 starts (18.75%), leading all riders in win percentage with sufficient sample size. The positive added wins statistic of +1.66 demonstrates he wins more races than odds suggest, indicating value proposition for bettors. His tactical abilities shine in route races where positioning entering far turn proves decisive.​

Trainer Notes and Insights

Ronney W. Brown leads all Charles Town trainers with five wins through mid-January, establishing momentum entering Friday’s card. The multiple-time champion captured his second consecutive training title in 2025 with 114 wins, finishing behind only Anthony Farrior’s 130 victories. Brown operates at 21.74% win rate with consistent success across all class levels. His partnership with Moises Santaella creates reliable combination where apprentice weight allowances enhance competitive edges in claiming races.

Brown trains primarily for his own account alongside wife Nicole, maintaining hands-on approach where personal investment ensures attention to detail. The stable focuses on claiming horses and West Virginia-breds, developing consistent winners through patient conditioning methods. Brown’s success rate increases notably when reuniting with horses he previously trained, demonstrating ability to understand individual quirks and training requirements.

Anthony Farrior captured his fourth consecutive Charles Town training title in 2025 with 130 victories, operating at 23.18% win rate with 52% place percentage. The dominant trainer also led earnings with $2,964,071, narrowly surpassing Jeff Runco by under $80,000. Farrior’s partnership with Arnaldo Bocachica represents Charles Town’s premier combination where elite jockey executes trainer’s tactical instructions perfectly.

Farrior’s conditioning methods produce consistently competitive horses across all class levels from maiden claimers through allowance ranks. The four-time defending champion demonstrates exceptional horsemanship with proven ability to identify claiming opportunities and place horses advantageously. His recent move toward higher-quality stock reflects confidence in barn’s capabilities while maintaining success in bread-and-butter claiming ranks that built championship foundation.

Jeff C. Runco ranks among the meet’s hottest trainers having gone 4-for-12 last week, demonstrating exceptional current form. The veteran conditioner operates at impressive 30% win rate during recent action with 53% in-the-money percentage. Runco finished third in the 2025 standings with 99 wins while ranking second in earnings, establishing consistent excellence across full season.

Runco’s versatility shines through success across all distances and surfaces, from 4.5-furlong sprints through mile-and-sixteenth routes. His patient development of young horses produces results where fillies and colts progress systematically through conditions. The trainer excels particularly with route horses where stamina building and pace education create foundation for sustained success. Current hot streak suggests barn firing on all cylinders entering Friday’s card.

Michael E. Jones Jr. operates at 13% win rate with 28% in-the-money percentage through 78 starters at the current meet. The second-generation horseman learned training methods from grandmother Sylvia Bishop, the first African-American female trainer in the country. Bishop’s fundamental lesson—be good to your horses and they will be good to you—guides Jones’ horsemanship philosophy where horse welfare takes priority over short-term results.

Jones demonstrates particular skill with older mares and geldings where patient handling produces peak performances during late career. His partnership with J.D. Acosta creates reliable combination where veteran jockey executes tactical strategies effectively. Jones’ success rate increases notably in allowance and starter races where class evaluation and proper placement prove decisive.

Kevin J. Joy operates at exceptional 29.33% win rate with 56% place percentage and 73.33% show percentage during recent meet action. The hot trainer demonstrates remarkable consistency where horses arrive fit and competitive across all conditions. Joy’s success spans claiming through allowance ranks with particular strength in West Virginia-bred races where knowledge of local breeding patterns provides advantages.

His conditioning methods emphasize soundness and proper placement, avoiding overmatching horses while finding winnable spots. Joy’s recent form suggests barn peaking at ideal time entering Friday’s card where multiple entries provide excellent wagering opportunities. The trainer’s strike rate warrants automatic respect regardless of post position or running style disadvantages.

Timothy Shanley captured three wins last week going 3-for-8, demonstrating strong current momentum. The trainer operates at 11.24% career win rate at Charles Town over 1,112 starts, establishing competent long-term record. Shanley’s recent hot streak creates confidence where horses deliver peak efforts during winning cycles. His success rate increases notably with sprint horses where fitness requirements prove less demanding than route races.

Cynthia E. McKee operates at impressive 26% meet win rate with 61% in-the-money percentage demonstrating strong current form. The trainer conditions Overnight Pow Wow, tonight’s most accomplished runner with dominant 65% career win rate. McKee’s success rate particularly shines when returning horses from layoffs where 33% win rate from horses returning after six months or greater establishes exceptional ability to have horses fit and ready.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The nine-race card features distinct separation between logical contenders and overmatched rivals, creating opportunities for structured multi-race wagers. Early races provide foundation for pick sequences where identifying singles and keys maximizes value while minimizing ticket costs. The sprint-heavy card favors early speed throughout, with seven of nine races contested at distances of seven furlongs or less.

Race 1 sets up as potential single where Talkin Pharoah offers legitimate win candidacy with 48% career win rate and tactical superiority at 4.5 furlongs. The Jones/Acosta combination provides competent connections while fast leader profile aligns perfectly with track bias. Opening leg singles prove valuable when form advantages combine with tactical superiority, allowing spread in later races while maintaining efficiency.​

Race 4 features Charles Town’s elite connections battling in allowance ranks. Bellofthebluegrass represents the Farrior/Bocachica partnership—Charles Town’s gold standard combination. Seven Natty Patty counters with Brown/Santaella providing five-pound apprentice weight advantage. City Taah adds intrigue with Runco training during exceptional 4-for-12 week. Boxing these three in exacta creates foundation while spreading trifecta through remaining contenders captures value.​

Race 8 presents Overnight Pow Wow as overwhelming favorite with 65% career win rate establishing class superiority. The 1-1 morning line odds provide minimal win return, but singling in horizontal wagers proves efficient given overwhelming form advantage. Miss Harriett offers serious exacta threat with elite Bocachica riding, creating dutching opportunity where betting both horses in different exotic positions captures value while managing favorite’s short odds.​

The claiming races (3, 5, 6, 9) feature competitive fields where hot trainers provide reliable indicators. Brown’s five wins lead the meet with consistent performance across all conditions. Joy’s exceptional 29.33% win rate creates automatic respect in Race 9 despite modest jockey statistics. Runco’s 4-for-12 week establishes momentum in Race 3 where Subtle Storm warrants respect despite running style concerns.

Pick 3 sequences offer excellent value opportunities where structured approaches balance risk and reward. Early Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) begins with potential single on Talkin Pharoah before spreading Race 2 maiden chaos and landing on claiming fillies. Middle Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) features allowance standouts before navigating West Virginia-bred sprints. Late Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) includes maiden uncertainty, allowance favorite, and claiming finale.

Pick 4 and Pick 5 wagers require aggressive spread through maiden and claiming races while singling obvious standouts. Overnight Pow Wow’s class advantage in Race 8 creates foundation for Pick 4 (Races 5-8) where West Virginia-bred sprints provide multiple logical contenders. Structuring tickets with A-B-C approach—spreading widest in weakest races while keying strongest contenders—maximizes coverage efficiency.

Rolling doubles prove especially valuable when hot trainers send out multiple horses throughout card. Brown trains in Races 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, and 9, providing seven opportunities where consistent trainer produces results. Joy conditions in Races 2 and 9, offering bookend chances where exceptional 29.33% win rate warrants respect. Runco’s momentum creates opportunities in Races 3, 4, and 6 during peak form cycle.

Daily double wheel approaches work effectively connecting races with clear standouts to competitive sequences. Race 4 into Race 5 connects allowance feature with West Virginia-bred sprint where Bellofthebluegrass wheels to multiple claiming horses. Race 7 into Race 8 wheels maiden uncertainty to Overnight Pow Wow single, capturing value when maiden produces generous odds before landing on heavy favorite.

Exacta box strategies prove cost-efficient in competitive claiming ranks where three-horse boxes cost $6 while covering six combinations. Races 3, 5, 6, and 9 feature claiming conditions where form cycles create unpredictable outcomes warranting broad coverage. Identifying top three contenders through trainer form, jockey statistics, and pace scenarios creates foundation for profitable boxes.

Trifecta strategies require discipline where extending coverage beyond logical contenders inflates costs without proportional value increase. Races with clear pace scenarios and class separation warrant structured approaches using keys and savers. Race 8 provides example where Overnight Pow Wow keys over Miss Harriett and Happy Clouds with one longshot saver captures value while controlling costs.

The abbreviated post time creates urgency where late-breaking scratches and track condition changes require monitoring. With temperatures dropping throughout evening and winds increasing, later races may encounter deteriorating conditions affecting results. Early races run on optimal fast track while final races potentially face temperature impacts on horse performance and jockey decision-making.

Value hunting proves especially productive when morning line odds underestimate hot trainer form cycles. Brown, Runco, Joy, and McKee all demonstrate exceptional recent statistics warranting respect regardless of individual horse credentials. When these trainers send out horses at generous odds, value propositions exist where long-term profitability derives from backing form cycles rather than individual performances.

The West Virginia-bred restrictions in Races 5, 6, 7, and 9 create compact fields where local horses demonstrate venue familiarity. This subset produces more predictable results compared to open claiming ranks where out-of-state shippers introduce unknown variables. Emphasizing West Virginia-bred races in horizontal wagers provides foundation where consistency trumps chaos.

Cross-track wagering opportunities exist where Charles Town’s 5:00 PM start overlaps with Laurel Park, Gulfstream Park, and Fair Grounds evening programs. Sophisticated bettors structure horizontal sequences combining tracks where Charles Town singles connect to competitive sequences at higher-profile venues. This approach maximizes betting capital efficiency while maintaining action throughout evening.

Money management principles prove essential during nine-race cards where bankroll preservation ensures action through finale. Allocating 10-12% of session bankroll per race creates sustainability where early losses don’t compromise later opportunities. The claiming-heavy card produces volatile results where disciplined bet sizing prevents catastrophic drawdowns during cold streaks while capitalizing on hot sequences.

In summary, Friday’s Charles Town card rewards handicappers emphasizing trainer form cycles, jockey statistics, and pace scenario analysis. The sprint-heavy configuration favors early speed throughout with tactical positioning proving decisive. Hot trainers Brown, Runco, Joy, and McKee provide reliable indicators across multiple races where form cycles create profitable betting opportunities. Structured multi-race approaches balancing singles on class standouts with spread in competitive sequences maximize value while managing risk appropriately.

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback