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Finger Lakes hosts a nine-race Tuesday afternoon card featuring predominantly allowance and claiming races with a mix of competitive fields. The scratch watch indicates several veterinary scratches including Happy’s Smile in Race 3, I’m Solo N in Love in Race 4, I Love Cara and Mama’s Middie in Race 5. Light Thoughts in Race 1 has been re-entered after a previous scratch. The card includes state-bred allowance events, competitive claimers, and an allowance optional claiming feature in Race 7. Post time for the first race is 12:20 PM ET.​

Weather and Track Conditions

The forecast calls for challenging winter conditions with light snow and snow showers expected throughout the day. The temperature is 26 degrees Fahrenheit with winds from the west at 13 mph and humidity at 88 percent. The track is listed as sloppy for the dirt surface. These conditions favor horses with proven wet track form and runners who have shown ability in similar weather conditions. Speed figures will likely be compromised, making recent form and track condition experience critical factors. Horses with tactical speed who can avoid the kickback may have distinct advantages today.​

Race 1 – NY-Bred Fillies and Mares Allowance

Post Time: 12:20 PM

5.5 Furlongs on Dirt. Purse $24,500. For New York-bred fillies and mares three years old and upward which have not won a state bred race other than maiden, claiming, or starter.​

Key Contenders

Queens Cat brings the most seasoned profile in this restricted state-bred sprint. The four-year-old filly draws post three with Nazario Alvarado and carries 124 pounds for trainer Linda Dixon. Her experience edge in this condition makes her the logical favorite. Ada May represents trainer Michael Simone from the four-hole with Andre Worrie taking the mount at 119 pounds. The three-year-old filly gets a weight break and rides with one of the track’s leading riders who excels at Finger Lakes.​

Secondary Choices

Bad Connection ships in for trainer Luis Gutierrez with Rafael Rohena Jr aboard. The five-year-old mare has veteran status and draws post five in the six-horse field. Thin Legs adds depth to the exacta with Michael Davila Jr getting the call for trainer James Acquilano. The six-year-old mare carries 122 pounds from post two.​

Pace Analysis

This short sprint should see Queens Cat and Ada May battle for the early lead. The pace scenario favors horses with tactical speed in the sloppy conditions. Expect a contested pace through the opening quarter with the winner likely emerging from the early speed horses who handle the track best.​

Selections

Win: Queens Cat

Place: Ada May

Show: Bad Connection

Race 2 – Allowance NW3

Post Time: 12:48 PM

6 Furlongs on Dirt. Purse $26,900. For three year olds and upward which have never won three races.​

Key Contenders

Price Is Truth towers over this field based on recent form. The four-year-old gelding won at this distance on October 21 with Andre Worrie aboard and reunites with the hot rider today. Reylu Gutierrez takes over from post one for trainer Ralph D’Alessandro. Asleep At Eight drops back from allowance company with Andre Worrie aboard for trainer Charlton Baker. The three-year-old gelding finished second with Worrie on October 29 and returns quickly.​

Secondary Choices

Russi brings the most experience to this spot as a five-year-old gelding for trainer H James Bond. Keiber Coa takes the mount from post five with 122 pounds. Cast a Coin represents trainer Jacqueline Falk with Chris Russell riding from the two-hole.​

Pace Analysis

Price Is Truth should control the pace from the rail with tactical speed. The sloppy track conditions may slow the overall pace but the race should develop into a speed duel between Price Is Truth and potential pressers. The winner likely comes from horses positioned within striking distance.​

Selections

Win: Price Is Truth

Place: Asleep At Eight

Show: Russi

Race 3 – Fillies and Mares Allowance NW3

Post Time: 1:16 PM

6 Furlongs on Dirt. Purse $26,900. For fillies and mares three years old and upward which have never won three races.​

Key Contenders

With Happy’s Smile scratched due to veterinary reasons, this race becomes more wide open. Rubys Mission draws the rail for trainer Luis Gutierrez with Michael Davila Jr aboard. The five-year-old mare has experience and should be forwardly placed. Redwineandwhiskey brings solid credentials for trainer Linda Dixon with Luis Perez riding from post four. The four-year-old filly carries 122 pounds and has tactical speed.​

Secondary Choices

Stunning Sugar represents trainer Paul Barrow from post three with Jeremias Flores taking the call. The three-year-old filly gets a weight break at 119 pounds. Bam’s Bliss Kiss adds depth for trainer Linda Dixon with Nazario Alvarado riding. Eddie Marie rounds out the field for trainer Jonathan Buckley with Kevin Navarro aboard.​

Pace Analysis

Rubys Mission should press the pace from the rail while Redwineandwhiskey applies additional pressure. The wet track may favor the inside post positions. Expect a contested pace with the winner coming from horses who secure good position early.​

Selections

Win: Redwineandwhiskey

Place: Rubys Mission

Show: Stunning Sugar

Race 4 – Allowance NW2

Post Time: 1:44 PM

1 Mile on Dirt. Purse $26,500. For three year olds and upward which have never won two races.​

Key Contenders

With I’m Solo N in Love scratched, Prince of Dance becomes a standout selection. The five-year-old gelding rides with Andre Worrie for trainer Chris Englehart from post two. Worrie’s 23.6 percent win rate at Finger Lakes and this gelding’s routing ability make this combination formidable. Jake’s Orchard represents trainer Stacy Torelli with Oscar Gomez aboard from post three. The four-year-old gelding should be forwardly placed.​

Secondary Choices

Rockinmoney draws post five for trainer M Anthony Ferraro with Keiber Coa riding. The three-year-old gelding gets a weight break at 121 pounds. Yoheda Money Maker ships in for trainer Luis Gutierrez with Michael Davila Jr taking the mount from post seven. Skellig Island adds late interest from the outside post for trainer Stacy Torelli.​

Pace Analysis

This route should develop at a measured pace given the sloppy conditions. Prince of Dance has the tactical speed to secure favorable position while rating behind the early pace. The distance and conditions favor horses who can conserve energy early while maintaining contact with the leaders.​

Selections

Win: Prince of Dance

Place: Jake’s Orchard

Show: Rockinmoney

Race 5 – Claiming NW2

Post Time: 2:12 PM

1 Mile 70 Yards on Dirt. Purse $13,700. Claiming price $5,000.​

Key Contenders

With I Love Cara and Mama’s Middie scratched, Swift Magic emerges as the selection with Andre Worrie aboard for trainer Jeremiah Englehart. The three-year-old gelding gets the weight break at 121 pounds and rides with the meet’s leading jockey. Rev Parker ships in for trainer James Acquilano with Michael Davila Jr riding from post four. The four-year-old gelding has experience at this level.​

Secondary Choices

Vaunted represents trainer Katlynn Gutterson with Rafael Rohena Jr aboard from post three. The five-year-old gelding carries 124 pounds. Dracula adds value for trainer M Anthony Ferraro with Luis Perez taking the call. Fast Amendment completes the exacta picture for trainer M Anthony Ferraro with apprentice Yalexamarie Cintron getting the weight break.​

Pace Analysis

This extended route should unfold at a steady pace with multiple horses vying for position. The sloppy track conditions may slow the pace and create opportunities for closers. Swift Magic has the tactical speed to track the pace and responds well to Worrie’s patient riding style.​

Selections

Win: Swift Magic

Place: Rev Parker

Show: Dracula

Race 6 – Claiming

Post Time: 2:40 PM

6 Furlongs on Dirt. Purse $16,500. Claiming price $7,500.​

Key Contenders

Limit Up draws the outside post with Andre Worrie riding for trainer Jeffrey Englehart. The six-year-old gelding has consistent form at this level and benefits from the leading jockey. Morning Cup represents trainer John Grabowski with Keiber Coa aboard from post five. The six-year-old gelding has tactical speed and should be forwardly placed.​

Secondary Choices

Mad Magic ships in for trainer Michael Ferraro with Luis Perez taking the mount from post two. The six-year-old gelding has experience in similar company. Keigs adds value for trainer M Anthony Ferraro with Kevin Navarro riding from post four. Father Walsh completes the picture with Rafael Rohena Jr aboard for trainer Michael Sabine.​

Longshots

Double Shot represents veteran trainer David Oyola with Michael Davila Jr getting the call from the rail. The eight-year-old gelding is a proven claimer who could surprise at a price.​

Pace Analysis

This sprint should feature multiple speed horses contesting the pace. Morning Cup and Mad Magic will likely engage early while Limit Up rates just off the pace. The sloppy conditions favor horses with tactical speed who can avoid the early battle.​

Selections

Win: Limit Up

Place: Morning Cup

Show: Mad Magic

Race 7 – Allowance Optional Claiming

Post Time: 3:08 PM

6 Furlongs on Dirt. Purse $29,000. Optional claiming price $30,000.​

Race 7 is an Allowance Optional Claiming event at 6 furlongs on the dirt for three year olds and upward with an optional claiming price of $30,000. The purse is $29,000. Three year olds carry 121 pounds while older horses carry 124 pounds. Non-winners of two races since September 11, 2025 are allowed 3 pounds, and non-winners of a race since then are allowed 6 pounds. The claiming price is $30,000 and the race is limited to horses that have started at least once in 2025 at Finger Lakes. The race conditions create a competitive seven-horse field with multiple proven winners at the track.​

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

This six-furlong sprint presents an intriguing pace scenario given the track conditions and field composition. The sloppy surface will play a critical role in how the race unfolds, potentially neutralizing some of the typical Finger Lakes speed bias that favors frontrunners in sprint distances. Prince of Truth and Scoot Daddy possess tactical speed that should position them forwardly from the break, while Pompous Prince has demonstrated the ability to rate just off the pace and respond in the stretch.​

The race sets up with likely pressers from the inside and middle posts, creating a scenario where horses with tactical flexibility may hold the advantage. Coin Jar from the rail could secure an economical trip if able to establish position early without engaging in a speed duel. The weight concessions for Looms Boldly at 118 pounds and More Vino at 118 pounds provide significant advantages that could prove decisive in the stretch run under challenging conditions.​

Given Finger Lakes’ configuration with a 960-foot stretch and the sloppy surface, horses who can save ground on the turns while maintaining contact with the leaders will be best positioned for success. The pace should be honest but not suicidal, with the wet track slowing overall times and potentially favoring horses with tactical speed over pure frontrunners.​

Coin Jar

Coin Jar draws the critical rail position with Jose Baez aboard for trainer Dana Saul, who maintains a solid 15 percent win rate at Finger Lakes in 2025 with 12 wins from 80 starts. The four-year-old gelding carries full weight at 124 pounds and represents one-half of the Saul stable entry alongside stablemate Scoot Daddy. The rail post at Finger Lakes provides significant advantages in six-furlong sprints, particularly on a sloppy surface where saving ground becomes paramount.​

The gelding must demonstrate the ability to break alertly and secure favorable position without expending excessive energy in the early stages. Baez will need to judge the pace carefully, as the rail position can prove disadvantageous if forced to steady or check in traffic. The trainer connection with Dana Saul, who comes from a strong racing family with father Dennis Saul riding nearly 2,000 career winners, adds confidence to this entry.​

Morning line odds of 8-1 suggest this gelding may provide value if able to secure a ground-saving trip. The weight assignment and post position offer tactical advantages, though the connections with Baez represent a question mark compared to the more established riders in this field.​

Looms Boldly

Looms Boldly emerges as a dangerous contender receiving significant weight relief at 118 pounds with Joel Cruz aboard for trainer Orlando Noda. The five-year-old gelding benefits from a six-pound weight concession, the maximum allowance for non-winners of a race since September 11. This weight advantage combined with trainer Noda’s exceptional 67 percent win rate provides compelling reasons to respect this runner.​

The gelding draws post two, which offers flexibility to either press the pace or settle in the stalking position depending on how the race unfolds. Cruz has demonstrated solid competency with a 15 percent win rate and 45 percent in-the-money percentage, providing adequate handling for this assignment. The connections clearly believe in this gelding’s chances given the strategic placement and weight considerations.​

The challenge for Looms Boldly centers on overcoming recent form and proving the weight concession truly reflects current condition rather than declining ability. The trainer’s small sample size at Finger Lakes requires caution, though the win percentage remains impressive. This gelding represents a legitimate threat if the light weight allows for tactical maneuverability in the stretch.​

Prince of Truth

Prince of Truth returns to Finger Lakes with solid credentials as a five-year-old gelding for trainer Ralph D’Alessandro with Oscar Gomez taking the mount from post three. The gelding won on October 14 at six furlongs, demonstrating current form and fitness at this exact distance. The gelding carries full weight at 124 pounds but draws a favorable middle post position that allows Gomez tactical options.​

The D’Alessandro barn maintains an 18 percent win rate with 48 percent in-the-money percentage at Finger Lakes, providing solid statistical support. Gomez possesses extensive experience at the track with a 26 percent win rate from 31 starts, making this combination formidable. The gelding’s pedigree as a son of Into Mischief out of La Verdad provides sufficient class for this allowance optional claiming level.​

The tactical positioning from post three allows Prince of Truth to track the pace without committing too early. Gomez can assess the early pace scenario and position accordingly, either pressing if the pace appears slow or rating behind if multiple horses engage. The recent victory provides confidence, though stepping back to face proven winners requires another forward effort.​

Pompous Prince

Pompous Prince stands as the horse to beat based on recent form and connections. The five-year-old gelding has won his last two starts on October 13 and October 27, both at Finger Lakes with Keiber Coa aboard for trainer M Anthony Ferraro. The gelding’s form line of 411 demonstrates consistent improvement and current sharp condition. Coa maintains a 16.4 percent win rate with 52.8 percent in-the-money percentage, while his partnership with the Ferraro barn has proven highly successful.​

The gelding carries full weight at 124 pounds from post four, which statistically ranks as the second-most advantageous post position at Finger Lakes with 18.4 percent of winners emanating from this stall in six-furlong races. The Ferraro family dominance at Finger Lakes cannot be understated, with M Anthony Ferraro carrying on the tradition of success established by his father Michael Ferraro, who accumulated over 3,367 career wins and 18 training titles at the track.​

Pompous Prince won on October 13 at 3-1 odds, paying $7.54 for a two-dollar win wager, then returned on October 27 to score again at 7-2 odds. The consistency and forward progression suggest this gelding has found his optimal level and continues to train forwardly. The sloppy conditions today may provide the only question mark, as both previous wins came over fast surfaces.​

The pedigree as a son of Palace out of Pompous Lady provides adequate stamina and speed for six furlongs. Coa’s recent riding form includes multiple victories, and his familiarity with this gelding creates a powerful combination. The gelding possesses tactical speed to rate behind early pace, then responds when asked in the stretch.​

Scoot Daddy

Scoot Daddy represents the second entry from the Dana Saul barn with Luis Perez taking the mount from post five. The six-year-old gelding carries full weight at 124 pounds and has demonstrated solid recent form with a form line of 1413. The gelding won previously at Finger Lakes and possesses sufficient class for this allowance optional claiming level.​

Post five ranks as the most advantageous stall at Finger Lakes in six-furlong races with 20.1 percent of winners emerging from this position. This statistical advantage combined with Perez’s experience provides tactical benefits. The gelding can break from the favorable outside position and establish position without interference, either pressing the pace or rating behind depending on the scenario.​

The Saul barn’s dual entry strategy suggests confidence in both runners, with Scoot Daddy potentially representing the more aggressive tactical option compared to stablemate Coin Jar. Perez brings solid credentials and should provide competent handling. The gelding’s veteran status and experience over the track offer advantages under the challenging conditions.​

Play

Play enters from post six as a five-year-old gelding receiving a three-pound weight concession to carry 121 pounds. Reylu Gutierrez takes the mount for trainer Michael S Ferraro, keeping this runner within the powerful Ferraro family operation at Finger Lakes. The gelding has demonstrated solid recent form and represents value at projected morning line odds.​

The weight relief provides a tangible advantage, particularly under sloppy conditions where every pound becomes magnified over the six-furlong distance. Gutierrez has secured quality mounts throughout the meet, suggesting competence in the saddle. The outside post position requires alertness at the break to avoid falling too far back early.​

Play’s recent form suggests competitive ability at this level, though the gelding faces proven winners with superior credentials. The Ferraro training expertise and tactical weight advantage keep this runner in the mix for minor awards. The gelding must demonstrate improvement to seriously threaten the top choices.​

More Vino

More Vino completed the field from post seven as a four-year-old colt receiving the maximum six-pound weight concession to carry just 118 pounds. Andre Worrie takes the mount for trainer Timothy Murphy, creating arguably the most dangerous closing threat in the race. Worrie’s exceptional 23.6 percent win rate and 54.3 percent top-three finish rate at Finger Lakes makes any mount with him worth serious consideration.​

The colt finished second to Pompous Prince on October 13, demonstrating competitive ability against today’s top choice. The six-pound weight turnaround combined with the leading rider provides compelling reasons to include this runner in all exotic wagers. Murphy’s barn has solid credentials at Finger Lakes, and the strategic placement with Worrie suggests confidence in a forward effort.​

The outside post presents challenges in securing favorable position, requiring Worrie to hustle this colt into the race early or settle for a closing rally. The sloppy conditions may actually favor closers if early speed horses struggle with the kickback and tiring surface. More Vino possesses tactical versatility to either press or close, giving Worrie multiple options.​

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

Pompous Prince demonstrates the highest current speed figures based on consecutive victories over the track at this exact distance and class level. The gelding has proven ability to rate and respond, earning competitive speed figures in the low-to-mid 80s range that establish him as the class of this field. Prince of Truth’s October 14 victory also produced competitive numbers, suggesting this gelding possesses sufficient class to compete.​

The weight concessions for Looms Boldly and More Vino must be factored into speed figure analysis, as the six-pound reduction for each runner equates to approximately three lengths advantage at the finish. This adjustment brings both horses into legitimate contention when comparing raw speed figures to the top-weighted runners.​

Class analysis favors horses with proven success at Finger Lakes under similar conditions. Pompous Prince’s back-to-back victories demonstrate current sharp form and psychological confidence. Scoot Daddy brings veteran savvy with previous track success, while More Vino’s recent runner-up finish to the top choice establishes legitimate credentials.​

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

Finger Lakes’ six-furlong sprint configuration typically favors tactical speed and inside post positions, with posts four and five historically producing the highest win percentages at 18.4 percent and 20.1 percent respectively. However, the sloppy track conditions may neutralize some of the speed bias that typically benefits early leaders, potentially creating opportunities for closers and horses with tactical flexibility.​

The rail post position for Coin Jar offers ground-saving advantages but requires a clean break and unimpeded passage around both turns. Posts two through five provide optimal positioning, allowing riders tactical options without sacrificing too much ground. The outside posts for Play and More Vino require aggressive riding to secure position or acceptance of a closing rally from off the pace.​

The sandy loam surface at Finger Lakes absorbs moisture differently than traditional dirt tracks, creating a surface that can favor horses with proven wet track form. The 960-foot stretch provides adequate time for closers to mount rallies, though horses positioned within striking distance entering the stretch hold distinct advantages.​

Post position four for Pompous Prince ranks as statistically advantageous while providing tactical flexibility. Post five for Scoot Daddy offers the highest win percentage historically. The middle posts allow riders to assess early pace dynamics and position accordingly without committing to a specific tactical plan before the gates open.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Race 8 – NY-Bred Allowance Optional Claiming

Post Time: 3:36 PM

6 Furlongs on Dirt. Purse $26,000. NY-bred allowance optional claiming for $15,000.​

Race 8 is a New York-Bred Allowance Optional Claiming event at 6 furlongs on the dirt for three year olds and upward which have never won three state bred races other than maiden, claiming, or starter, or with an optional claiming price of $15,000. The purse is $26,000. Three year olds carry 121 pounds while older horses carry 124 pounds. Non-winners of a race since September 11 are allowed 2 pounds. The claiming price is $15,000 with claiming races for less than $15,000 not considered in allowances. This restricted state-bred sprint creates an intriguing eight-horse field featuring proven track specialists and competitive older geldings.​

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

The pace scenario sets up with multiple tactical speed horses who can secure favorable position without engaging in suicidal early fractions. Hay Hay Harry possesses the early speed to establish position from the outside post, while The Institute and Zeebear bring tactical pace-pressing abilities from the middle posts. Runaway Joke has demonstrated wire-to-wire capabilities over this surface, though the colt draws post six which requires alertness at the break.​

The sloppy track conditions create additional tactical considerations as kickback and tiring surface favor horses with tactical flexibility. Timothy Murphy’s dual entry with Tacony Road from the rail and Hay Hay Harry from the outside post provides strategic options, potentially allowing one runner to establish pace while the other rates behind. The 960-foot Finger Lakes stretch provides adequate time for closers to mount rallies, though horses positioned within striking distance entering the stretch hold distinct advantages under the challenging conditions.​

The restricted nature of this New York-bred allowance optional claiming event means class differentials may be minimal, creating a scenario where tactical positioning, jockey skill, and current form become paramount. The weight assignments show several horses receiving the two-pound allowance for non-winners since September 11, leveling the competitive landscape further. This sets up a race where early positioning and response to the stretch call will determine the outcome.​

Tacony Road

Tacony Road draws the critical rail position with Oscar Gomez aboard for trainer Timothy Murphy, who both owns and bred this five-year-old gelding. The rail post at Finger Lakes provides significant advantages in six-furlong sprints, particularly when horses possess tactical speed to secure position without engaging in early battles. Tacony Road won a stakes race at Finger Lakes in May 2025, demonstrating stakes-level ability that elevates this gelding above typical allowance optional claiming competition.​

The gelding carries 122 pounds with the two-pound weight allowance, providing a tangible advantage over rivals carrying full weight. Murphy’s training prowess at Finger Lakes is well-established with a 13.6 percent career win rate and over $12 million in purse earnings. The trainer’s dual entry strategy suggests confidence in both runners, with Tacony Road potentially serving as the pace-setting option while stablemate Hay Hay Harry rates behind.​

Gomez brings a 26 percent win rate at Finger Lakes with 52 percent in-the-money percentage, making this combination formidable. The rail position requires a clean break and unimpeded passage, but Gomez possesses the skill to navigate traffic and secure the ground-saving trip. The gelding’s stakes victory earlier in the year provides confidence in this gelding’s ability to handle similar or slightly lesser competition today.​

He Has It All

He Has It All enters from post two as a four-year-old gelding carrying full weight at 124 pounds for trainer Joseph Marino with Heman Harkie taking the mount. The gelding drew post two which historically produces moderate success at Finger Lakes in six-furlong races, though not as advantageous as posts four and five. The connections face the challenge of breaking from inside while avoiding being caught in traffic or forced to steady.​

Recent form suggests competitive ability at this level, though the gelding must demonstrate improvement to seriously threaten the top choices. Harkie provides competent riding but lacks the win percentage of rivals Worrie and Gomez. The weight assignment at full 124 pounds creates disadvantages against horses receiving the two-pound allowance, particularly under sloppy conditions where every pound becomes magnified.​

The gelding participated in allowance optional claiming events on October 27, 2025 at Finger Lakes, establishing familiarity with this class level and track configuration. This experience over the track provides advantages, though the gelding must demonstrate current sharp form to compete with proven winners. The morning line odds suggest this runner will be available at value prices for bettors seeking alternatives to the favorites.​

The Institute

The Institute represents the powerful Michael S. Ferraro barn with Luis Perez taking the mount from post three. The six-year-old gelding carries 122 pounds with the two-pound weight allowance and possesses significant class based on the Ferraro training operation. Michael S. Ferraro notched his 3,000th career win at Finger Lakes and has dominated the local training standings with 18 track titles, creating a legacy of excellence that extends across decades.​

Post three provides tactical flexibility to either press the pace or settle in stalking position depending on how the race unfolds. Perez brings solid credentials and should provide competent handling of this experienced gelding. The Ferraro stable expertise in placing horses at appropriate levels and training them to peak form creates confidence in this runner’s current condition.​

The gelding participated in races on August 19, 2025 at Finger Lakes according to available form data, demonstrating recent activity over the track. The weight allowance provides a two-pound advantage over full-weighted rivals, equating to approximately one length at the finish. This tactical advantage combined with the proven Ferraro training methods keeps this gelding competitive in all exotic wagers.​

Zeebear

Zeebear enters from post four as a six-year-old gelding carrying 122 pounds with Keiber Coa aboard for trainer James Miller Pettine. Post four ranks as statistically the second-most advantageous position at Finger Lakes in six-furlong races with 18.4 percent of winners emerging from this stall. This positioning advantage combined with Coa’s 16.4 percent win rate and 52.8 percent in-the-money percentage creates a formidable combination.​

The gelding participated in races on August 5, 2025 at Finger Lakes where Hay Hay Harry finished fourth according to available form data, establishing direct competition against today’s top choice. The weight allowance at 122 pounds provides advantages, and the favorable post position allows Coa tactical options to either press the pace or rate behind depending on early race dynamics.​

Coa has demonstrated solid recent form with multiple victories and his partnership with various trainers at Finger Lakes remains productive. The jockey’s tactical acumen allows him to assess pace scenarios and position accordingly. Zeebear must demonstrate current sharp form to compete with proven winners, but the combination of favorable post, weight relief, and competent rider keeps this gelding in contention for minor awards.​

Scocciatore

Scocciatore represents trainer Jonathan Buckley with Kevin Navarro riding from post five. The eight-year-old gelding carries 122 pounds and draws the most statistically advantageous post position at Finger Lakes with 20.1 percent of winners in six-furlong races emerging from stall five. However, the gelding’s form line raises significant questions as analysis suggests this runner has not been seen since 2023, creating concerns about current fitness and competitive readiness.​

The morning line odds suggest this gelding will be sent off at moderate prices, indicating connections believe the layoff has been overcome through training. Post five provides optimal positioning to either press the pace or secure stalking position without expending excessive energy. Navarro brings adequate riding skills but must overcome the challenge of bringing this gelding to peak form following the extended absence.​

The historical class of this gelding cannot be ignored as descriptions indicate very classy credentials when fit and ready. The question centers on whether the extended layoff allows this veteran to return at peak form or whether the absence proves too difficult to overcome. Bettors seeking longshot value may consider this runner if odds drift beyond 10-1, though the layoff creates significant risk.​

Runaway Joke

Runaway Joke enters as a four-year-old colt carrying 122 pounds for trainer Ralph D’Alessandro with Emanuel De Diego aboard from post six. This colt’s credentials are exceptional based on reporting that indicates Runaway Joke is perfect 6-for-6 over the Finger Lakes oval, demonstrating unmatched consistency and affinity for this track configuration. The colt extended his winning streak to seven straight in 2025 according to available data, creating a compelling case for consideration despite the outside post position.​

The October 8, 2025 race result showed Runaway Joke finishing third behind Coin Jar and ahead of Bustin Away and Scocciatore, suggesting the winning streak may have ended. This recent result tempers enthusiasm but demonstrates competitive ability at this level. D’Alessandro maintains solid training statistics with 18 percent win rate and 48 percent in-the-money percentage at Finger Lakes, providing confidence in this colt’s conditioning.​

Post six presents challenges in securing favorable position, requiring De Diego to hustle this colt into the race early or accept a closing rally from off the pace. The sloppy conditions may actually favor this tactical approach if early speed horses struggle with the kickback and tiring surface. The weight allowance at 122 pounds provides advantages, and the proven track record keeps this colt dangerous in all exotic wagers.​

Crypto Causeway

Crypto Causeway rounds out the field from post seven as a six-year-old gelding carrying 122 pounds for trainer Donna Bireta with Jeremias Flores taking the mount. The outside post position presents significant challenges in securing favorable position, requiring aggressive riding to avoid falling too far back early. The gelding’s recent form suggests mid-pack closing tendencies, which may suit the tactical scenario if early speed horses engage.​

The weight allowance provides advantages, and Flores brings adequate riding skills to navigate the outside post. However, the gelding faces proven winners with superior credentials and more advantageous post positions. The morning line odds suggest this runner will be available at longshot prices, potentially providing value for bettors constructing deeper exotic wagers.​

Recent participation in allowance optional claiming events at Finger Lakes establishes familiarity with this class level. The gelding must demonstrate significant improvement to seriously threaten the top choices, though the outside post allows tactical flexibility to either press or close depending on pace dynamics. This runner represents a potential value play if odds reach double digits.​

Hay Hay Harry

Hay Hay Harry stands as the horse to beat based on recent form, connections, and proven ability at Finger Lakes. The four-year-old gelding carries 122 pounds for trainer Timothy Murphy with Andre Worrie taking the mount from the outside post eight. Worrie’s exceptional 23.6 percent win rate and 54.3 percent top-three finish rate at Finger Lakes makes any mount with him worth maximum consideration, particularly when paired with a proven winner like Hay Hay Harry.​

The gelding won on August 5, 2025 at Finger Lakes at 11-8 odds, demonstrating sharp form and track affinity. Recent form lines show finishes of second on July 22, first on August 5, third on September 1, and fifth on September 17 according to available data, indicating consistency at this level. The gelding finished second in the October 8, 2025 race won by Coin Jar, with Runaway Joke finishing third, establishing recent competitive credentials against quality opposition.​

The outside post eight presents challenges in securing favorable position, but Worrie’s tactical acumen allows him to overcome post position disadvantages through skillful riding. The jockey can either hustle this gelding to secure position or rate behind the early pace and launch a closing rally. The weight allowance at 122 pounds provides a two-pound advantage over full-weighted rivals, potentially equating to one length at the finish.​

Timothy Murphy’s dual entry strategy with both Tacony Road and Hay Hay Harry suggests maximum confidence in winning this race. The trainer’s expertise at Finger Lakes with a 13.6 percent win rate and multiple graded stakes winning credentials creates optimism. Murphy has trained this gelding to win previously and the combination with Worrie has proven successful. The sloppy conditions may favor closers if early speed horses struggle with the kickback.​

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

Hay Hay Harry demonstrates the highest current speed figures based on recent victory on August 5 and consistent performances at this level. The gelding’s form line establishes competitive ability against quality state-bred competition. Runaway Joke’s reported perfect 6-for-6 record at Finger Lakes through earlier in 2025 suggests exceptional speed figures, though the October 8 third-place finish indicates potential vulnerability.​

Tacony Road’s stakes victory in May 2025 establishes class credentials that elevate this gelding above typical allowance optional claiming competition. The gelding brings proven ability to handle similar or better competition. The Institute benefits from the legendary Ferraro training operation, suggesting competitive speed figures and proper placement at this level.​

The weight allowances for horses carrying 122 pounds versus 124 pounds must be factored into speed figure analysis. The two-pound reduction equates to approximately one length advantage at the finish, bringing multiple horses into legitimate contention when comparing raw speed figures. Class analysis favors horses with proven success at Finger Lakes under similar conditions, giving Hay Hay Harry, Runaway Joke, and Tacony Road distinct advantages.​

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

Finger Lakes’ six-furlong sprint configuration demonstrates post position preferences with stalls four and five historically producing the highest win percentages at 18.4 percent and 20.1 percent respectively. Post one provides ground-saving advantages with 13 percent of winners, while posts six through nine produce fewer winners overall. These statistics suggest Zeebear from post four and Scocciatore from post five hold positional advantages, though current form and connections remain paramount.​

The sloppy track conditions may neutralize some traditional speed bias that typically benefits early leaders at Finger Lakes. The sandy loam surface absorbs moisture differently than traditional dirt tracks, creating a surface that can favor horses with proven wet track form. The 960-foot stretch provides adequate time for closers to mount rallies, potentially benefiting Hay Hay Harry and other come-from-behind types.​

The rail post position for Tacony Road offers ground-saving advantages but requires a clean break and unimpeded passage around both turns. Posts two and three for He Has It All and The Institute provide tactical flexibility without sacrificing too much ground. The outside posts for Crypto Causeway and Hay Hay Harry require aggressive riding to secure position or acceptance of a closing rally from off the pace.​

Under sloppy conditions, inside post positions may become even more advantageous as horses on the rail avoid the worst kickback while saving ground on both turns. However, Worrie’s exceptional riding ability allows him to overcome post position disadvantages through tactical skill. The meet-leading jockey has demonstrated success from all post positions, making Hay Hay Harry’s outside draw less concerning than it would be with a lesser rider.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Race 9 – Fillies and Mares Claiming NW2

Post Time: 4:04 PM

6 Furlongs on Dirt. Purse $17,500. Claiming price $11,000.​

Key Contenders

Backwater draws post six with Andre Worrie aboard for trainer Jeremiah Englehart. The three-year-old filly gets a weight break at 121 pounds and rides with the circuit’s hottest jockey. World Bank represents trainer Katlynn Gutterson with Keiber Coa taking the mount from post two. The four-year-old filly carries top weight at 124 pounds and has tactical speed.​

Secondary Choices

Call Me Penny adds veteran experience for trainer Rachel Sells with Oscar Gomez riding from post three. The six-year-old mare carries 124 pounds and should be forwardly placed. Julita ships in for trainer Ralph D’Alessandro with Emanuel De Diego aboard from post five. Lady Banker completes the picture with Christian Navarro getting the call from post seven.​

Pace Analysis

This closing event should feature a contested pace with multiple fillies and mares battling for position. World Bank has the early speed to control the pace while Backwater can rate just off the lead. The winner likely comes from horses who secure favorable position and handle the sloppy surface.​

Selections

Win: Backwater

Place: World Bank

Show: Call Me Penny

Jockey Notes and Insights

Andre Worrie continues to dominate the Finger Lakes jockey standings with exceptional statistics. His 23.6 percent win rate, 40 percent in-the-money percentage, and 54.3 percent top-three finish rate make him the automatic choice when available. Worrie has ridden multiple winners recently including Big Rich on October 29, Whiskey Frens on October 28, and multiple winners on October 21. His partnership with trainer Jeffrey Englehart remains particularly strong. Today Worrie has seven mounts including quality rides on Ada May, Price Is Truth, Prince of Dance, Swift Magic, Limit Up, Hay Hay Harry, and Backwater.​

Michael Davila Jr brings veteran savvy with over 1,000 career wins, with 945 of those coming at Finger Lakes. The experienced rider recently won on November 10 and remains competitive in the current standings. Davila rides today on Thin Legs, Rubys Mission, Yoheda Money Maker, Double Shot, and Rev Parker. His experience in difficult track conditions makes him particularly valuable today.​

Luis Perez provides consistency across multiple trainers with rides today on Rock Star Rebel, Redwineandwhiskey, Sanzio, Dracula, Mad Magic, Scoot Daddy, The Institute, and continues to secure quality mounts. Keiber Coa adds depth with mounts on Russi, Rockinmoney, Morning Cup, Pompous Prince, Zeebear, and World Bank.​

Trainer Notes and Insights

Luis Gutierrez maintains a 10.5 percent win rate at Finger Lakes with consistent performance across various race types. The barn has multiple entries today including Bad Connection, Meraviglioso in Race 1, Rubys Mission in Race 3, and Yoheda Money Maker in Race 4. Gutierrez horses typically improve with racing and benefit from patient handling.​

The Ferraro family – Michael, M Anthony – combines for strong representation across today’s card. Their horses typically show tactical speed and improve with racing. Michael Ferraro trains Mad Magic, Play, and The Institute while M Anthony Ferraro conditions Rock Star Rebel, I’m Solo N in Love (scratched), Rockinmoney, Dracula, Fast Amendment, Keigs, and Pompous Prince. The stable excels in placing horses at appropriate levels.​

Timothy Murphy conditions both Tacony Road and Hay Hay Harry in Race 8, giving the barn multiple chances in the state-bred sprint. His horses typically show improvement with racing and respond well to class relief. Ralph D’Alessandro trains Price Is Truth, Runaway Joke, T D Magee, and Julita across today’s card and consistently places horses in competitive spots.​

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The sloppy track conditions create opportunities for horses with proven wet track form and jockeys who excel in difficult conditions. Andre Worrie’s mount on Prince of Dance in Race 4 provides the day’s best single-race wager at likely fair odds. The combination of Worrie’s hot hand and Prince of Dance’s routing ability in allowance company offers solid value.​

For multi-race sequences, consider building Pick 3 and Pick 4 tickets around Worrie’s mounts while including secondary choices with strong recent form. Race 2 with Price Is Truth, Race 4 with Prince of Dance, and Race 9 with Backwater provide anchor opportunities for vertical wagers.​

Daily Double opportunities exist connecting Race 1 (Queens Cat, Ada May) to Race 2 (Price Is Truth) and Race 8 (Hay Hay Harry, The Institute) to Race 9 (Backwater, World Bank). The closing Pick 3 covering Races 7-8-9 offers value with multiple competitive fields where odds may drift on quality horses.​

Exacta boxes in Races 4, 7, and 8 provide action on competitive fields where multiple horses have legitimate winning chances. In Race 4, box Prince of Dance, Jake’s Orchard, and Rockinmoney. In Race 7, box Pompous Prince, Prince of Truth, and Scoot Daddy. In Race 8, box Hay Hay Harry, The Institute, and Zeebear for coverage.​

For value hunters, consider Double Shot in Race 6 as a longshot possibility given the veteran gelding’s claiming experience and Davila’s ability in difficult conditions. The sloppy surface may create pace scenarios that favor closers and patient riders.​