Gulfstream Park – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News, Analysis, Expert Picks, and AI Predictions for November 21, 2025

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The Pick Pony Handicapper’s Report is published daily and provides analysis of all races on the card. A Pick Pony analyst prepares the report, so selections may differ from the Pick Pony Expert Picks, which are based on the consensus of all Pick Pony analysts and are generally more accurate.

Gulfstream Park hosts a full card of nine races today, November 21, 2025, with a mix of maiden, claiming, and optional claiming races. The card features both dirt and synthetic surfaces, with distances ranging from 5.5 furlongs to 1 mile 70 yards. The majority of races are for state-bred horses or maidens, with several claiming races at different price points. The purse sizes range from $24,500 to $56,000, providing solid opportunities for handicappers and bettors alike.​

Weather and Track Conditions

The weather at Gulfstream Park today is partly cloudy with temperatures in the low 80s Fahrenheit and minimal chance of precipitation. The track conditions are reported as fast for both dirt and synthetic surfaces, indicating optimal footing and likely speed-favoring biases. The synthetic surface, known for its consistency, should remain fast and safe for racing.​

Post Time

The first race begins at 12:20 PM ET, with subsequent races spaced approximately 30 minutes apart.

Track Bias

Recent data from Gulfstream Park shows a moderate early speed bias, particularly on dirt sprints (5.5 furlongs), where horses with tactical speed or early pace have had success. On the synthetic surface, the bias is less pronounced, but horses with early speed still tend to fare well, especially in longer races. Post position bias favors inside posts in sprints, while middle posts can be advantageous in longer races.​


1st Race – Maiden Special Weight

Pace Analysis

The field is small, and most fillies have shown tactical speed in prior races. Expect a moderate early pace with multiple contenders pressing the lead.

Key Contenders

Sally J. has shown early speed and a solid gate-to-wire ability. Sweet Ruby is consistent and has the tactical speed to stay close. Lady Rockula has been competitive and can close if the pace is hot.

Secondary Choices

Sister Slew has been improving and can move forward from off the pace. Blazing Bridgette has shown flashes of speed but is inconsistent. Souper Landslide is lightly raced and may improve with experience.

Longshots

Timeforpeace is untested but could surprise if she breaks well and gets a good trip.

Betting Strategy

Look for value in the win pool with Sally J. or Sweet Ruby. Consider an exacta box with the top three contenders.

Selections

Win: Sally J.
Place: Sweet Ruby
Show: Lady Rockula


2nd Race – Maiden Claiming

Pace Analysis

This sprint features several early speed types, likely setting up a fast pace. The closers will need a clear trip to threaten.

Key Contenders

Serenity Path has speed and a good recent effort. Just Majestic is lightly raced and may improve with more experience. Goldie Glory has tactical speed and a solid record.

Secondary Choices

Junegenai has shown early speed and could be a factor if the pace is hot. Toasttothestones is lightly raced but has shown some ability. Grenache is lightly raced and could surprise.

Longshots

Bella’s Breeze and Samaritan’s Joy are unproven but could benefit from a pace meltdown.

Betting Strategy

Look for value in the win pool with Serenity Path or Goldie Glory. Consider an exacta box with the top three.

Selections

Win: Serenity Path
Place: Goldie Glory
Show: Just Majestic


3rd Race – Claiming

Pace Analysis

The field features several speed types, but the longer distance favors horses with tactical speed and late-running ability.

Key Contenders

Sponge Time has shown tactical speed and a solid record. Cryptonym is lightly raced and may improve. Will of a Warrior has a strong record and can close if the pace is hot.

Secondary Choices

Last Run is lightly raced and could improve. Kuwait Towers has shown early speed and could be a factor. Moral Agency is lightly raced and could surprise.

Longshots

Il Alchemysta is lightly raced and could improve with more experience.

Betting Strategy

Look for value in the win pool with Sponge Time or Cryptonym. Consider an exacta box with the top three.

Selections

Win: Sponge Time
Place: Cryptonym
Show: Will of a Warrior


4th Race – Maiden Claiming

Pace Analysis

The field features several early speed types, but the longer distance favors horses with tactical speed and late-running ability.

Key Contenders

Bonfiglio has shown early speed and a solid record. Temperature Rising is lightly raced and may improve. Final Payment is lightly raced and could surprise.

Secondary Choices

Expert Witness has shown early speed and could be a factor. Dancing Bill is lightly raced and could improve. Lao Way is lightly raced and could surprise.

Longshots

Sweet Lazarus and UFO are lightly raced and could benefit from a pace meltdown.

Betting Strategy

Look for value in the win pool with Bonfiglio or Temperature Rising. Consider an exacta box with the top three.

Selections

Win: Bonfiglio
Place: Temperature Rising
Show: Final Payment


5th Race – Starter Optional Claiming

Pace Analysis

The field features several early speed types, but the longer distance favors horses with tactical speed and late-running ability.

Key Contenders

St. Olaf Rose has shown early speed and a solid record. Vayesta is lightly raced and may improve. Heir to the Roar has a strong record and can close if the pace is hot.

Secondary Choices

Rockets Sister has shown early speed and could be a factor. Happy Ride is lightly raced and could improve. Party Shaker is lightly raced and could surprise.

Longshots

Warda and Demar’s Legacy are lightly raced and could benefit from a pace meltdown.

Betting Strategy

Look for value in the win pool with St. Olaf Rose or Vayesta. Consider an exacta box with the top three.

Selections

Win: St. Olaf Rose
Place: Vayesta
Show: Heir to the Roar


6th Race – Maiden Special Weight

Pace Analysis

The field features several early speed types, but the longer distance favors horses with tactical speed and late-running ability.

Key Contenders

Itza Teamster has shown early speed and a solid record. Escapades is lightly raced and may improve. Deep Dusk has a strong record and can close if the pace is hot.

Secondary Choices

Thought Control is lightly raced and could improve. Hot Lead is lightly raced and could surprise. Voltaic is lightly raced and could benefit from a pace meltdown.

Longshots

Viking Sun and Nadir Han are lightly raced and could surprise.

Betting Strategy

Look for value in the win pool with Itza Teamster or Escapades. Consider an exacta box with the top three.

Selections

Win: Itza Teamster
Place: Escapades
Show: Deep Dusk


7th Race – Claiming

Pace Analysis

The field features several early speed types, but the longer distance favors horses with tactical speed and late-running ability.

Key Contenders

El Guty has shown early speed and a solid record. Bullet Blues is lightly raced and may improve. Triumphant Road has a strong record and can close if the pace is hot.

Secondary Choices

Song So Sweet is lightly raced and could improve. Thingsrgettinharry is lightly raced and could surprise. Antillean is lightly raced and could benefit from a pace meltdown.

Longshots

Sneak Preview and Garrincha are lightly raced and could surprise.

Betting Strategy

Look for value in the win pool with El Guty or Bullet Blues. Consider an exacta box with the top three.

Selections

Win: El Guty
Place: Bullet Blues
Show: Triumphant Road


8th Race – Allowance Optional Claiming

Pace Analysis

The field features several early speed types, but the longer distance favors horses with tactical speed and late-running ability.

Key Contenders

Foggy Note has shown early speed and a solid record. Baby Blocks is lightly raced and may improve. Tree C’s Kai has a strong record and can close if the pace is hot.

Secondary Choices

Airdrie Hill is lightly raced and could improve. Lucy’s Cookie is lightly raced and could surprise. Souper Amusing is lightly raced and could benefit from a pace meltdown.

Longshots

Be Thankful and Neodera are lightly raced and could surprise.

Betting Strategy

Look for value in the win pool with Foggy Note or Baby Blocks. Consider an exacta box with the top three.

Selections

Win: Foggy Note
Place: Baby Blocks
Show: Tree C’s Kai


9th Race – Claiming

Pace Analysis

The field features several early speed types, but the longer distance favors horses with tactical speed and late-running ability.

Key Contenders

Grace the Law has shown early speed and a solid record. Geaux Amy is lightly raced and may improve. Carroll’s Honor has a strong record and can close if the pace is hot.

Secondary Choices

Carats Forever is lightly raced and could improve. Fully Entitled is lightly raced and could surprise. La Tremenda is lightly raced and could benefit from a pace meltdown.

Longshots

Pop Rox and Slew Diva are lightly raced and could surprise.

Betting Strategy

Look for value in the win pool with Grace the Law or Geaux Amy. Consider an exacta box with the top three.

Selections

Win: Grace the Law
Place: Geaux Amy
Show: Carroll’s Honor


Jockey Notes and Insights

Heriberto Figueroa and Miguel Angel Vasquez have shown consistent results in recent Gulfstream Park races, particularly with speed types. Joe Bravo and Edgard Zayas are reliable choices for horses with tactical speed. Edwin Gonzalez and Jose Morelos have also performed well with closers and late-running types.​

Trainer Notes and Insights

Heather Smullen and Diane D. Morici have had success with maidens and state-bred horses. Mark E. Casse and J. Kent Sweezey are known for preparing horses to peak at the right time. Patrick L. Biancone and Kenneth G. McPeek have a solid record with fillies and maidens.​

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

  • Focus on races with early speed types, as the track bias favors horses with tactical speed.
  • Look for value in the win pools with lightly raced horses who have shown improvement.
  • Consider exacta boxes with the top three contenders in each race for better coverage.
  • Monitor the scratches and program changes for last-minute opportunities.
  • Pay attention to jockeys and trainers with strong recent records at Gulfstream Park.

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