Hawthorne – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News, Analysis, Expert Picks, and AI Predictions for October 26, 2025

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Hawthorne Race Course presents a challenging nine-race card on Sunday, October 26, 2025, with cloudy conditions and temperatures around 53°F creating potentially favorable racing conditions. The track conditions show ESE winds at 5-6 mph with 55% humidity, though early morning showers are possible, which could impact the racing surface.​

Weather and Track Conditions

Current weather at Hawthorne shows cloudy skies with temperatures holding steady at 53°F and ESE winds at 5-6 mph. The forecast indicates potential for early showers, which handicappers should monitor closely as Hawthorne’s deep dirt surface can become more challenging for frontrunners when moisture is added. The track’s conventional dirt surface is notably deep even under normal conditions, creating natural advantages for horses that can rally from off the pace.​

Hawthorne’s track bias historically favors late closers and horses that can make wide moves, as the deep surface proves taxing for early speed. Post position three has proven most profitable in sprint races with an 18.5% win rate, while inside draws generally show strong performance.​

Race-by-Race Analysis

Race 1: Maiden Special Weight Fillies (5F Dirt, 2:43 PM)

This seven-horse maiden special weight for two-year-old fillies presents several first-time starters against limited experience. Cloudy Lass stands out with proven ability, having earned $9,390 in two starts with a second and third-place finish. Her connections with trainer Chris Block (33% win rate with small sample) and her stalking style suit Hawthorne’s bias.​

Carpet Queen and Voodoo Lady represent the powerful Larry Rivelli stable, which shows a 36% win rate this meet. Both are first-time starters, with Rivelli’s strong statistics making them live contenders despite inexperience. Voodoo Lady draws the rail-friendly post 5 and carries morning line odds of 3-1.​

Auntie Vodka and Candy Talking come from the Hugh Robertson barn, while Motown Sound has raced twice without success but could improve with experience.​

Pace Analysis: Limited speed figures make pace projection difficult, but expect moderate early fractions with Cloudy Lass likely setting or pressing the pace.

Race 2: Illinois-bred Allowance (5.5F Turf, 3:14 PM)

This turf allowance for Illinois-bred fillies and mares features ten runners with Green Grace dropping from trainer DiZeo’s barn at reduced weight. The race could move to dirt if turf conditions prove unsuitable.​

Tizmeonemoretime brings class from trainer Fernando Alonso’s stable, while Mom’s Palace offers value from the claiming ranks with trainer Cipriano Contreras. The turf distance favors horses with tactical speed who can position well early.

Harper Briana and Miss Mikos add depth to this competitive allowance field, with both carrying full weight assignments.

Race 3: Allowance Optional Claiming 2YO Fillies (5.5F Dirt, 3:44 PM)

Six two-year-old fillies contest this allowance optional claimer with Spirited Anne and Tiz China representing the potent Larry Rivelli stable. Rivelli’s 36% win rate makes both worth strong consideration.​

Quick Sand from trainer Christopher Davis offers an alternative angle, while Diva Las Vegas brings tactical speed under Alvin Ortiz. The distance suits speed-oriented juveniles who can handle Hawthorne’s deep surface.

Race 4: Starter Optional Claiming (6F Dirt, 4:14 PM)

This seven-horse starter optional claimer for three-year-olds and up features Uncashed from the Larry Rivelli barn at the top level. Doctor Oscar provides experience in these conditions under trainer Tim Padilla.​

Sally’s Suprise offers mare power from trainer Eduardo Rodriguez, while Sir Sterling brings closing appeal for trainer Tony Rengstorf. The six-furlong distance on Hawthorne’s deep track should favor horses with tactical speed.

Race 5: Starter Optional Claiming (7.5F Turf, 4:46 PM)

Thirteen runners create a challenging turf race that moves to 1m 70y on dirt if taken off the grass. River Redemption brings experience from trainer Terry Young, while Silver Quarters offers value from the veteran ranks.

Hawks Creek and Eye Dee Kay add tactical options, with the extended distance favoring horses that can sustain their rally. Monitor weather conditions closely as this race could be moved to the main track.

Race 6: Claiming Fillies/Mares (1M Turf, 5:13 PM)

Eleven fillies and mares contest this turf mile claimer with Get N Tipsy leading trainer John Haran’s representation. Royal Laughter provides speed from the Anthony Blea stable.

Deal’em and Weep offers tactical positioning under Alonso Quinonez, while King’s Legacy brings mare power to the distance. The turf mile requires sustained effort and tactical positioning.

Race 7: Claiming (1M 70Y Dirt, 5:43 PM)

Seven runners contest this extended claiming event with Sharp Stick representing the Anthony Blea stable. Canyon Shadows offers tactical speed from trainer Frank Kirby’s barn.

Alvin provides value from trainer Ida Spagnola, while Rocket Hotshot brings veteran savvy to the distance. The marathon distance requires horses with proven stamina and tactical speed.

Race 8: Maiden Claiming (1M Turf, 6:13 PM)

Eight maiden claimers contest this turf mile with Good Yegg bringing experience from trainer Carlos Ramirez. Stormy Attack offers three-year-old improvement potential.

Anthony the Great provides tactical options under trainer Armando Hernandez, while Cash App Mike brings speed from the Daniel Simonovich stable. Weather conditions remain crucial for turf racing.

Race 9: Claiming Fillies/Mares (6F Dirt, 6:43 PM)

Nine fillies and mares close the card in this claiming sprint with Rose’s Wish offering early speed from trainer Antonio Meraz. Sally Bali provides veteran class from trainer Manuel Chavez.

Highwood represents trainer Tanner Tracy in this competitive finale, while Foxy Zorra brings tactical speed to the distance. The sprint distance on Hawthorne’s surface favors early positioning.

Jockey and Trainer Notes

Orlando Mojica leads Hawthorne jockeys with 60 wins from 253 starts, representing a solid 23% strike rate. His mount Auntie Vodka in Race 1 deserves attention despite first-time starter status. Mojica also rides Tiz China in Race 3 and Get N Tipsy in Race 6, providing strong riding opportunities throughout the card.​

Santiago Gonzalez ranks second with 51 wins from 295 starts. His aggressive riding style suits Hawthorne’s bias toward tactical speed. Key mounts include Harper Briana in Race 2 and Cash App Mike in Race 8.​

Larry Rivelli dominates trainer statistics with a 36% win rate and strong earnings. His multiple entries in Races 1, 3, and 4 provide excellent wagering angles, particularly Carpet QueenVoodoo LadySpirited Anne, and Tiz China.​

Wagering Strategies

The Pick 4 spanning Races 6-9 offers value with manageable field sizes and competitive claiming events. Key horses Get N TipsyCanyon ShadowsAnthony the Great, and Highwood provide solid foundation bets.​

Daily Double opportunities exist in Races 1-2 using Cloudy Lass with Tizmeonemoretime for value players seeking larger payouts. The Larry Rivelli stable provides multiple exacta and trifecta opportunities, particularly in Race 1 with Carpet Queen and Voodoo Lady.

Late Pick 5 covering Races 5-9 allows for broader coverage using multiple Rivelli trainees and top jockey selections. Weather monitoring remains essential as turf races could move to the main track, dramatically altering pace scenarios and betting values.

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