Los Alamitos – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News, Analysis, Expert Picks, and AI Predictions for December 5, 2025


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Los Alamitos wraps up a two-week meet today with an eight-race card of thoroughbred racing. The Southern California circuit returns to the Cypress, California venue for daytime racing with first post at 12:30 PM Pacific Time. Racing today features a solid mix of maiden events, claiming races, and allowance optional claiming contests that will test horses across the distance spectrum from sprints to routes.

Weather and Track Conditions

The forecast for Los Alamitos calls for mostly sunny skies with temperatures reaching a high of 71 degrees and an overnight low of 48 degrees. These are ideal racing conditions for Southern California in early December. The dirt track should be fast, and the racing surface is expected to be in excellent condition given the dry weather pattern that has prevailed throughout the meet. With no rain in the forecast, expect consistent track conditions throughout the card that should favor horses with tactical speed and early positioning.​

The temperate conditions and fast track will play into the hands of horses that can maintain position through the early fractions. Horses making up significant ground from off the pace will need to demonstrate superior closing ability to overcome the likely honest pace scenarios in most races.

Race 1 – Maiden Special Weight for California Bred/Sired Two-Year-Olds

Post Time: 12:30 PM

Distance: 1 Mile Dirt
Purse: $45,000
Conditions: For California Bred or California Sired Maidens, Two Years Old

Pace Analysis

This maiden special weight race for California-breds going a mile should feature moderate pace. The distance is the primary challenge for these juvenile maidens making their route debut or stretching out from shorter distances. Most of these horses have limited experience at this trip, which should set up a tactical race where positioning and efficiency will be critical factors.

Key Contenders

Cruise Home draws the most attention as the morning line favorite at odds around 8-5. Trained by Dean Pederson and ridden by Welfin Orantes, this chestnut gelding by Catalina Cruiser brings solid connections to this spot. Pederson has established himself as a successful breeder and trainer, and Cruise Home represents a quality California-bred prospect looking to break through at the maiden level.​

Bandolero enters from the powerful Doug O’Neill barn with Ricardo Gonzalez in the irons. O’Neill has an exceptional record with two-year-olds, having won the Kentucky Derby twice with juveniles that developed into championship-caliber horses. The Hall of Fame trainer won the 2016 Derby with Nyquist and the 2012 edition with I’ll Have Another, and his ability to develop young horses is well documented. Bandolero should be ready for a strong effort in this spot.​

Scatalotadingdong brings intriguing appeal as a Leonard Powell trainee. This gelding was scratched previously from a Santa Anita maiden special weight as an also-eligible, which suggests connections felt this spot at Los Alamitos offered a better opportunity. The trainer change or race selection indicates confidence in the horse’s current form.​

Secondary Choices

Desert Hawk represents trainer Jose Hernandez Jr. with Armando Ayuso riding. Ayuso has been performing well at the current Del Mar meet and throughout 2025, with strong statistics and multiple stakes victories. The Panamanian jockey has developed into one of the more reliable riders in Southern California and brings tactical savvy to this assignment.​

Autism Unity enters for trainer Samuel Calvario with Geovanni Franco aboard. This colt will need to show significant improvement to factor against this field but cannot be completely dismissed in a race where several horses are trying the distance for the first time.

Longshots

Joey Where’d It Go from the Antonio Garcia barn is the likely longest price on the board. Trained by Garcia and ridden by Kyle Frey, this gelding would need a major forward move to threaten in this spot.

Passion D Oro was on the scratch list due to veterinary issues, so his participation should be confirmed before including him in any wagers. If he runs, this Antonio Garcia trainee represents another longshot possibility.​

Selections

Win: Cruise Home
Place: Bandolero
Show: Scatalotadingdong

The combination of Pederson’s breeding expertise and Orantes in the saddle gives Cruise Home the edge. Bandolero from the O’Neill barn provides solid backup, while Scatalotadingdong offers value as the show horse.

Race 2 – Claiming for Three-Year-Olds and Up

Post Time: 1:00 PM

Distance: 1 Mile Dirt
Purse: $28,000
Claiming Price: $20,000
Conditions: Three Year Olds and Up. Non-winners of a race at a mile or over since October 5 allowed 2 lbs.

Pace Analysis

This mile claiming race should develop into a contested pace scenario with multiple horses showing tactical speed. The claiming level at $20,000 ensures a competitive field where form cycles and recent racing fitness will be critical factors. Horses that have raced recently and shown they can handle the distance figure to have significant advantages.

Key Contenders

So I’m Told enters as the likely favorite for trainer Martin Valenzuela Jr. with Armando Aguilar riding. The six-year-old gelding has been campaigned steadily at Los Alamitos and brings familiarity with the surface. Valenzuela Jr. operates a solid claiming stable, and Aguilar provides competent handling from the rail post.​

Taishan represents a fascinating angle as an eight-year-old gelding trained by Richard Baltas with Tiago Pereira aboard. Baltas returned from a suspension earlier in 2025 and has been rebuilding his stable with quality stock. Taishan has been competitive at various claiming levels and brings significant experience to this assignment. The Brazilian jockey Pereira won the Dubai World Cup in 2010 and has established himself as a reliable rider in Southern California.​

Leyas Candy brings intrigue but was listed on the veterinary scratch list, so his participation needs verification. If he runs for trainer Andrew Harris with Armando Ayuso riding, he represents a live longshot possibility given Ayuso’s current form.​

Secondary Choices

J T’s Watch enters for Genaro Vallejo with Tyler Baze handling the riding assignment. Baze brings experience and tactical ability to this spot, and the gelding has shown competitiveness at this level previously.

Oobubbakakayo was also scratched from a recent allowance optional claiming race due to veterinary concerns. If cleared to run for trainer Jesus Uranga, this four-year-old could offer value with Ricardo Ramirez aboard.​

Autism Puzzle rounds out the secondary contenders for trainer Genaro Vallejo. This gelding will need to show significant improvement but has the trainer-jockey combination working in his favor.

Selections

Win: Taishan
Place: So I’m Told
Show: J T’s Watch

Taishan brings the class edge with Baltas training and Pereira riding. The experience factor with this veteran gelding could prove decisive. So I’m Told provides solid backup from the rail, while J T’s Watch offers value in the show spot.

Race 3 – Bottom-Level Claiming

Post Time: 1:28 PM

Distance: 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt
Purse: $13,000
Claiming Price: $6,250
Conditions: Three Year Olds and Up Which Have Never Won Two Races

Pace Analysis

This bottom-level claiming sprint should feature contested early fractions with multiple horses showing early speed. The short distance and claiming level typically produce honest pace scenarios where horses need to be within striking distance turning for home to have realistic winning chances.

Key Contenders

Spiritist enters as a probable favorite at around 8-5 odds. This five-year-old gelding brings consistency to a race where form cycles can be unpredictable. Armando Ayuso gets the riding assignment, which adds appeal given his strong 2025 statistics.​

Lobdell Lake represents trainer Anthony Saavedra with Kazushi Kimura aboard. The five-year-old gelding has experience at this claiming level and should appreciate the sprint distance. Kimura has been competitive throughout the current meet and brings tactical ability to this assignment.

Smiling Capote drops down for trainer Martin Valenzuela Jr. after recent efforts at higher levels. The three-year-old gelding draws Edgar Payeras as his rider and could appreciate the class relief in this spot.

Secondary Choices

At the Cross enters for trainer Terri Eaton with Pablo Castillo riding. This three-year-old gelding represents a barn that operates successfully at this claiming level and could factor with the right trip.

St Boadin brings experience as a five-year-old gelding but faces a challenge carrying reduced weight of 120 pounds with apprentice Alfredo Bautista aboard. The weight allowance could prove significant if the pace sets up favorably.

Longshots

Uplift and Riolo were both on the scratch list due to veterinary issues, so their participation needs confirmation. C’Mon Lets Switch represents the longest shot on the board as a seven-year-old mare facing geldings in this sprint.​

Selections

Win: Spiritist
Place: Lobdell Lake
Show: Smiling Capote

Spiritist gets the nod with Ayuso riding and solid recent form. Lobdell Lake provides dependable backup, while Smiling Capote could benefit from the dropdown in this competitive sprint.

Race 4 – Starter Optional Claiming

Post Time: 1:59 PM

Distance: 1 Mile Dirt
Purse: $26,000
Claiming Price: $25,000
Conditions: Three Year Olds and Up Which Have Started For A Claiming Price of $20,000 Or Less in 2024-2025

Pace Analysis

This starter optional claiming route should develop moderate early fractions with several horses possessing tactical speed. The conditions create an interesting dynamic where horses that have raced for specific claiming prices become eligible regardless of their current form level. This often produces competitive fields where recent form and distance preferences become critical handicapping factors.

Key Contenders

Clouseau draws significant attention from the George Papaprodromou barn with Kent Desormeaux riding. The five-year-old gelding was scratched from a recent Del Mar stakes race by the trainer, which suggests connections felt this spot offered better value. Desormeaux brings Hall of Fame credentials and tactical expertise that could prove decisive in a tactical mile route. Clouseau was listed as an also-eligible in a previous starter race, indicating he has been targeted for spots where he can be competitive.​

Trusty Rusty represents trainer Robert Hess Jr. with Juan Hernandez aboard. Hess operates a successful stable, and this gelding was also-eligible in a recent starter race, suggesting he has been carefully placed for optimal opportunities.​

Maniatic from Ireland enters for trainer George Papaprodromou, giving the barn a strong entry in this race. The five-year-old gelding brings European breeding and was also-eligible recently, indicating connections have been patient in finding the right spot.​

Secondary Choices

Joint Venture represents trainer Ronald Ellis with Welfin Orantes riding. This five-year-old gelding brings consistency and should appreciate the mile distance based on his breeding and race record.

Big Juanito enters from the Robert Hess Jr. barn, giving the trainer two chances in this competitive field. Abel Lezcano gets the riding call on this seasoned gelding.

Longshots

Low Expectations from the Antonio Garcia stable with Ayuso riding could offer value if the pace sets up favorably. Smooth Salute and Veritas Aequitas round out the field as longer-priced alternatives.

Selections

Win: Clouseau
Place: Trusty Rusty
Show: Joint Venture

Clouseau gets the strong endorsement with Desormeaux riding for Papaprodromou. The trainer scratch from a previous race suggests confidence in this placement. Trusty Rusty provides solid backup from the Hess barn.

Race 5 – Bottom-Level Claiming Sprint

Post Time: 2:30 PM

Distance: 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt
Purse: $13,000
Claiming Price: $6,250
Conditions: Three Year Olds and Up Which Have Never Won Two Races

Pace Analysis

This claiming sprint mirrors the conditions of Race 3, creating another contested pace scenario. The short distance and bottom-level claiming tag typically produce honest fractions where horses need tactical speed or strong closing ability to factor in the finish.

Key Contenders

Lucky’s Loaded enters as a likely favorite around 3-1 odds for trainer Isidro Tamayo with Geovanni Franco riding. This four-year-old gelding has shown competitive form at this level and brings tactical speed that should place him in good position throughout.​

Naval Harbor represents trainer Alberto Ruvalcaba as a three-year-old gelding with apprentice Alfredo Bautista aboard. The weight allowance could prove significant, and the younger horse may be improving as he gains experience.

Drum Bunny from the Samuel Calvario barn with Abel Lezcano riding brings consistency to this field. This four-year-old gelding has competed regularly at this claiming level and should be involved in the pace scenario.

Secondary Choices

Do It for Dave enters for trainer Sean McGowan with Leonel Camacho-Flores riding. This five-year-old gelding brings experience but will need to overcome the outside draw to factor prominently.

Talisker Bay represents trainer Gloria Haley as a seven-year-old veteran. The gelding has extensive experience but faces younger horses with potential improvement curves.

Not My Rodeo rounds out the secondary contenders for trainer Jesus Uranga with Ricardo Ramirez aboard. The six-year-old gelding brings familiarity with this claiming level.

Selections

Win: Lucky’s Loaded
Place: Naval Harbor
Show: Drum Bunny

Lucky’s Loaded appears best suited for this assignment with Franco riding. Naval Harbor provides solid value with the apprentice allowance, while Drum Bunny brings consistency to the show spot.

Race 6 – California-Bred Allowance Optional Claiming for Fillies and Mares

Post Time: 3:00 PM

Distance: 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt
Purse: $46,000
Claiming Price: $20,000
Conditions: California Bred or Sired Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and Up

Pace Analysis

This allowance optional claiming sprint for California-bred fillies and mares should produce competitive early fractions. The combination of state-bred conditions and the optional claiming component creates a field where class and recent form become critical factors. The sprint distance favors horses with natural speed and the ability to maintain position through contested fractions.

Key Contenders

Tina Turner enters as the likely favorite for trainer Steve Knapp with Armando Ayuso riding. The three-year-old filly brings solid credentials and figures to be prominent early. Ayuso has been performing exceptionally well throughout 2025, making this combination particularly dangerous.​

Pavel’s Etoile represents the Antonio Garcia barn with Diego Herrera aboard. This three-year-old filly has shown improvement in recent starts and could benefit from the inside post position to secure a good early position.

A Rousing Babe enters as a five-year-old mare trained by Peter Miller with Ricardo Gonzalez riding. Miller has established himself as one of Southern California’s premier trainers, particularly excelling at Del Mar where he has won multiple training titles. His success with back-to-back Breeders’ Cup doubles in 2017 and 2018 demonstrates his ability to have horses ready for important spots.​

Secondary Choices

Clubhouse Bride from trainer Andy Mathis with Tyler Baze riding brings consistency to this field. The four-year-old filly has competed regularly at this level and should be involved in the pace scenario from her rail draw.

Brookys Gal represents trainer Isidro Tamayo with Abel Lezcano aboard. This four-year-old filly has shown competitive form and could factor with the right trip.

Only Reputation rounds out the secondary contenders for trainer Ryan Hanson with Kazushi Kimura riding. This four-year-old filly will need to overcome the outside post to make a significant impact.

Selections

Win: Tina Turner
Place: A Rousing Babe
Show: Pavel’s Etoile

Tina Turner gets the nod with Ayuso riding and solid recent form. A Rousing Babe from the powerful Miller barn provides quality backup, while Pavel’s Etoile offers value from the Garcia stable.

Race 7 – Allowance Optional Claiming

Post Time: 3:30 PM

Distance: 6 1/2 Furlongs Dirt
Purse: $47,000
Claiming Price: $40,000
Conditions: Three Year Olds and Up Which Have Never Won $21,000 Once Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter, or State Bred

Pace Analysis

This allowance optional claiming sprint represents the feature race on today’s card with the highest purse value. The field includes horses from several top Southern California trainers, which should produce a competitive pace scenario. The 6 1/2-furlong distance creates a unique challenge where horses need both speed and stamina to prevail.

Key Contenders

Voldemort enters as the probable favorite around 9-5 odds for Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert with Juan Hernandez riding. The three-year-old colt brings exceptional connections and represents a barn that consistently produces top-level performers. Baffert’s recent success includes Hope Road winning the Bayakoa Stakes at Del Mar, and his juvenile prospects for 2025 include several highly regarded horses. Voldemort carries reduced weight as a three-year-old competing against older horses, which provides a significant advantage.​​

For All Mankind represents trainer John Sadler with Kyle Frey riding. The six-year-old gelding brings experience and class to this assignment. Sadler operates one of the most successful stables in Southern California, and this veteran gelding has competed in graded stakes company previously. Frey won the Eclipse Award as outstanding apprentice in 2011 and has developed into a reliable rider with multiple graded stakes victories.​

Mining District from the Doug O’Neill barn with Kazushi Kimura aboard brings strong credentials to this spot. The four-year-old gelding was scratched from a recent Del Mar allowance by the trainer, suggesting connections felt this race offered better value. O’Neill’s record with developing horses and finding optimal spots for his stable gives this gelding significant appeal.​

Secondary Choices

Normandy Landing represents Bob Baffert with Ricardo Gonzalez riding. The four-year-old colt gives the Hall of Fame trainer two chances in this competitive field. Gonzalez has been riding well throughout 2025, making this a dangerous combination.​

Style Cat enters for trainer Peter Miller with Diego Herrera aboard. The three-year-old gelding benefits from the weight allowance and represents a barn that excels with tactical sprinters. Miller’s success at Del Mar and his ability to develop young horses makes this colt a live longshot possibility.

R Heisman represents the Miller barn as well, with Armando Aguilar riding. This three-year-old gelding was scratched from a recent Del Mar allowance by the stewards, but if cleared to run, he offers value with the weight allowance and strong connections.​

Longshots

Manitowish enters for trainer Martin Valenzuela Jr. as a seven-year-old veteran with Edgar Payeras riding. Sharp Aza Tack rounds out the field as the longest price for trainer Adan Farias.

Selections

Win: Voldemort
Place: For All Mankind
Show: Mining District

Voldemort gets the strong endorsement with Baffert training and the weight advantage as a three-year-old. For All Mankind from the Sadler barn provides experienced backup, while Mining District from O’Neill offers value after the trainer scratch from a previous spot.

Race 8 – Claiming for Fillies and Mares

Post Time: 4:00 PM

Distance: 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt
Purse: $25,000
Claiming Price: $16,000
Conditions: Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and Up

Pace Analysis

This claiming sprint for fillies and mares closes out the card with a competitive field at the $16,000 claiming level. The distance and conditions should produce honest fractions where horses with tactical speed and consistency have the best chances. Form cycles and recent racing frequency become critical factors at this claiming level.

Key Contenders

Discrepancy enters as the likely favorite around 2-1 odds for trainer Jerry Hollendorfer with Kazushi Kimura riding. The four-year-old filly has shown competitive form at this claiming level and brings consistency to the assignment. Hollendorfer has extensive experience at Los Alamitos and throughout California racing, though his career has included some controversies. Discrepancy tracked from off the rail in her most recent start at Del Mar and finished competitively.​

Miracle Ball represents trainer Jesus Mendoza with Edgar Payeras riding. This four-year-old filly won impressively at Santa Anita six and a half weeks ago and has been freshened for this assignment. Handicappers have identified her as a strong contender, and the class relief dropping from allowance company to this claiming level provides significant appeal.​

Ryan’s Girl enters for trainer George Papaprodromou with Jeremy Laprida aboard. The three-year-old filly carries reduced weight and represents a barn that operates successfully at this claiming level.

Secondary Choices

A Real Jewel brings experience as a seven-year-old mare trained by Jesus Ramos with Francisco Monroy riding. The veteran mare has competed extensively at this claiming level and knows what is required to be competitive.

Big Celebration enters for trainer Jeff Mullins with Adrian Escobedo aboard. This five-year-old mare has shown consistency and should be involved in the pace scenario.

Maniae represents trainer Genaro Vallejo with Armando Ayuso riding. The four-year-old filly could benefit from having the in-form Ayuso in the saddle.

Longshots

Ro Town enters as a five-year-old mare for trainer Sergio Morfin with Ricardo Ramirez riding. Charmed Dream and Perfect Life round out the field as longer-priced alternatives with limited chances against this competitive group.

Selections

Win: Miracle Ball
Place: Discrepancy
Show: Ryan’s Girl

Miracle Ball gets the endorsement coming off the layoff with class relief. Discrepancy from the Hollendorfer barn provides solid backup with consistent form, while Ryan’s Girl offers value with the weight allowance.

Jockey Notes and Insights

Armando Ayuso has been performing exceptionally well throughout 2025, particularly at the Del Mar meet where he ranks among the leading riders. The 31-year-old Panamanian rider has a 21 percent strike rate at Santa Anita and has been rising to the next level in his career. Ayuso has multiple mounts on today’s card and figures prominently in several races, particularly with horses where his tactical ability can be showcased. His recent graded stakes success demonstrates his capability to handle quality horses in important spots.​

Juan Hernandez has established himself as one of Southern California’s most reliable riders with extensive experience at Los Alamitos. His partnership with Bob Baffert has produced numerous stakes victories, and he figures prominently in Race 7 aboard Voldemort.

Ricardo Gonzalez continues to perform well throughout 2025, and his partnership with various top trainers makes him a rider to respect on any assignment.​

Tiago Pereira brings international experience to the Southern California circuit, having won the Dubai World Cup in 2010. The Brazilian rider has been establishing himself at Del Mar and brings tactical savvy and experience to his mounts at Los Alamitos.​

Kyle Frey won the Eclipse Award as outstanding apprentice in 2011 and has developed into a consistent rider with multiple graded stakes victories. His partnership with quality trainers like John Sadler makes him a rider to respect in competitive spots.​

Abel Lezcano brings experience and tactical ability to his mounts throughout the card. His partnerships with various claiming trainers have produced consistent results.

Tyler Baze represents a veteran presence with extensive experience at Los Alamitos and throughout California racing. His tactical ability and familiarity with the track make him dangerous on any mount.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Bob Baffert remains one of the most dominant trainers in American racing with two entries in Race 7. The Hall of Fame conditioner has won the Kentucky Derby twice with juveniles and continues to develop top-level horses across all age groups. His recent success includes Hope Road winning the Bayakoa Stakes at Del Mar, and he seeks his ninth consecutive victory in the Starlet Stakes. Baffert’s ability to spot horses in optimal conditions and have them ready for peak performances makes his entries automatic contenders.​

Doug O’Neill brings his extensive experience with two-year-olds and multiple horses on today’s card. The Hall of Fame trainer won the Kentucky Derby with I’ll Have Another in 2012 and Nyquist in 2016, demonstrating his exceptional ability to develop young horses. O’Neill’s success at identifying talent and placing horses where they can be competitive makes his entries worthy of serious consideration.​​

Peter Miller has established himself as one of Southern California’s premier trainers with particular success at Del Mar, where he has won multiple training titles. Miller’s back-to-back Breeders’ Cup doubles in 2017 and 2018 with Stormy Liberal and Roy H demonstrated his ability to compete at the highest levels. His success with sprint-oriented horses makes his entries in today’s shorter races particularly dangerous.​

John Sadler operates one of the most successful stables in Southern California with horses competing at all levels. His entry For All Mankind in Race 7 brings class and experience to that competitive allowance optional claiming event.​

Richard Baltas returned from a suspension earlier in 2025 and has been rebuilding his stable with quality stock. His entry Taishan in Race 2 represents a veteran gelding with significant experience at various claiming levels.​

George Papaprodromou operates a successful claiming and starter allowance stable with multiple entries on today’s card. His careful placement of horses and patient approach to finding optimal spots makes his entries competitive in appropriate conditions.

Martin Valenzuela Jr. and Genaro Vallejo both operate successful claiming stables at Los Alamitos with multiple entries throughout the card. Their familiarity with the track and consistent placement of horses makes their entries worthy of consideration.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The early Pick 4 covering Races 1 through 4 offers potential value given the competitive nature of several races. Consider using Cruise Home and Bandolero in Race 1, spreading in Race 2 with Taishan, So I’m Told, and J T’s Watch, using Spiritist and Lobdell Lake in Race 3, and keying Clouseau in Race 4.

Race 7 represents the day’s feature event with competitive allowance optional claiming conditions. The presence of two Baffert horses creates interesting exacta and trifecta possibilities. Consider boxing Voldemort and For All Mankind with Mining District in exactas and trifectas for value.

The late Pick 4 covering Races 5 through 8 offers opportunities for value given the competitive nature of the claiming events. Consider using Lucky’s Loaded in Race 5, spreading in Race 6 with Tina Turner, A Rousing Babe, and Pavel’s Etoile, keying Voldemort in Race 7, and using Miracle Ball and Discrepancy in Race 8.

Single-race exotic wagers in Race 7 provide the best value opportunities given the quality of the field and competitive pace scenario. Exactas and trifectas using Voldemort on top with For All Mankind, Mining District, and Normandy Landing underneath offer solid value propositions.

Consider live longshots in several races where class relief or favorable pace scenarios could produce upsets. Style Cat in Race 7 offers value with the Peter Miller training and weight allowance. Miracle Ball in Race 8 provides excellent value dropping from allowance company to this claiming level.

The presence of multiple Bob Baffert, Doug O’Neill, and Peter Miller entries throughout the card creates opportunities for trainer-based wagering strategies. These three Hall of Fame trainers consistently have horses ready for peak performances when spotted in optimal conditions.

Focus on races where jockey-trainer combinations have established track records of success. The Baffert-Hernandez partnership in Race 7, the Miller stable entries with quality riders throughout the card, and the O’Neill entries with experienced jockeys all represent angles worthy of serious consideration.

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