Pick Pony Mini Tip Sheet for Laurel Park – Racing News and Analysis for February 28, 2026


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The Pick Pony Mini Tip Sheet is published daily and provides consolidated analysis of all races on the card. A Pick Pony analyst prepares the report, so selections may differ from the Pick Pony Expert Picks, which are based on the consensus of all Pick Pony analysts.

The program at Laurel Park for Saturday, February 28, 2026, features a nine-race card with a primary focus on claiming and starter optional claiming events. The highlight of the afternoon is Race 8, an Allowance Optional Claiming sprint for three-year-olds, while Race 7 offers a testing 1 1/8 mile distance for older horses. The first race is scheduled to post at 12:00 PM EST. This card presents several competitive fields where tactical speed and barn intent will be the primary factors for success.

Weather and Track Conditions

The weather forecast for Laurel, Maryland, indicates partly cloudy skies with afternoon temperatures reaching the mid-40s. With no significant rain expected, the main dirt track is anticipated to be fast. During the winter months at Laurel, the surface can vary based on overnight temperatures and moisture retention, so the consistency of the cushion during the early races will be important to monitor.

Track Bias Analysis

Laurel Park’s dirt surface frequently rewards horses with early tactical speed, particularly in sprint distances of 5 1/2 to 7 furlongs. A horse able to secure a position on or near the rail often finds a significant advantage if the track is playing tight. In route races like the one-mile and nine-furlong events on today’s card, saving ground on the turns is essential. While the outside posts are generally fair, they can be a disadvantage in the one-mile races if a horse is caught wide going into the first turn.

Race-by-Race Analysis

1st Race – Laurel Park – Saturday, February 28th, 2026

Pace Analysis

Rapidity (3) and Agent Kelly (7) are the likely pace pressers in this one-mile event. Lucked In (1) will likely attempt to hold the rail position, ensuring a moderate to Honest tempo.

Key Contenders

Agent Kelly (7) enters in strong form and has the tactical versatility to sit just off the lead. Rapidity (3) is the other primary speed threat and should be prominent throughout.

Secondary Choices

Lucked In (1) has the advantage of the inside draw and enough speed to be a factor. Docsgotallthecandy (2) is the most likely closer if the leaders tire.

Longshots

Sincerito (4) has shown enough talent in the past to be a consideration if the favorites falter.


2nd Race – Laurel Park – Saturday, February 28th, 2026

Pace Analysis

Stress Reliever (1) and A Cozy Thing (4) are the speed of the speed here. The pace should be brisk for this one-mile distance.

Key Contenders

Stress Reliever (1) has the rail and the speed to control the race from the jump. Blo By The Field (2) is a consistent performer who fits well at this level.

Secondary Choices

Lord's Lady (3) should benefit from a potential duel between the top two. A Cozy Thing (4) provides early pressure but may struggle with the final furlong.


3rd Race – Laurel Park – Saturday, February 28th, 2026

Pace Analysis

This six-furlong sprint will likely see Turkish Breeze (1) and Stardust Biggy (3) vying for the early lead.

Key Contenders

Turkish Breeze (1) is the horse to beat based on trainer stats and the inside post. My Girl Back Home (6) has the benefit of an outside draw to stay clear of dirt.

Secondary Choices

Stardust Biggy (3) has shown morning ability that could translate to an improved performance today. Eastcoastgirlsrhip (4) is a capable runner in this maiden class.

Longshots

Whimmoffortune (2) could show improvement in her second career start.


4th Race – Laurel Park – Saturday, February 28th, 2026

Pace Analysis

Pit Stop Man (3) and Rob The Rich (4) look like the primary speed influences in this seven-furlong test.

Key Contenders

Rob The Rich (4) has the class edge and the speed to clear this field. Fightertown (1) should get a ground-saving trip behind the leaders.

Secondary Choices

Daufuskie Island (6) is a veteran runner with a solid record at Laurel. Mister Agent (2) provides an Honest effort and should be passing horses late.


5th Race – Laurel Park – Saturday, February 28th, 2026

Pace Analysis

The pace in this maiden mile appears light, with Hello Newman (6) and Tell 'em I'm Comin (4) likely to be near the front by default.

Key Contenders

Under The Rug (1) has the best recent form and the distance should suit perfectly. Tell 'em I'm Comin (4) is a logical threat dropping into this spot.

Secondary Choices

Hello Newman (6) stretches out from sprints and could be dangerous if left alone on the lead. Kitty's Son (5) is an improving type who adds value to the field.

Longshots

Brother Bobo (7) is a price Play who could sneak into the frame with a clean trip.


6th Race – Laurel Park – Saturday, February 28th, 2026

Pace Analysis

Firmantown (4) and Trulli Warrior (1) are both extremely fast and will likely hook up early in this six-furlong sprint.

Key Contenders

Firmantown (4) has the speed to outrun this group if he can clear early. Trulli Warrior (1) is the other major speed influence from the rail.

Secondary Choices

Paralegal (7) is the primary stalker and will be the first to move if the speed tires. Schrader (2) is a closer who would benefit from a fast pace.


7th Race – Laurel Park – Saturday, February 28th, 2026

Pace Analysis

At 1 1/8 miles, the pace is usually more measured. Bold Endeavor (1) and Fan Club (3) should set or sit very close to a moderate tempo.

Key Contenders

Bold Endeavor (1) is a distance specialist who excels at this track. States United (2) comes into the race with two consecutive wins and is at the top of his game.

Secondary Choices

Fan Club (3) has tactical speed and enters from a high-percentage barn. Master Of None (4) is a consistent runner who rarely misses a check.


8th Race – Laurel Park – Saturday, February 28th, 2026

Pace Analysis

The Big Lep (1) and Wall Art (5) are the quickest horses in this 5 1/2 furlong feature and will engage early.

Key Contenders

The Big Lep (1) is a high-speed individual who is dangerous when he gets the lead. Wall Art (5) has comparable speed and will press from the outside.

Secondary Choices

Our Day Will Come (2) is the most likely horse to capitalize if the leaders go too fast. Cairo Surprise (4) has tactical foot and can sit a good trip.


9th Race – Laurel Park – Saturday, February 28th, 2026

Pace Analysis

Quahog Republic (1) and Furious George (2) should be the main speed targets in the finale.

Key Contenders

Quahog Republic (1) finds a field he should be able to handle. Furious George (2) has been knocking on the door and fits well here.

Secondary Choices

Railroad Inn (4) has shown enough to be a factor in this maiden claiming group. Manseeyasway (5) is another who has shown occasional flashes of talent.

Jockey Notes and Insights

Hazlewood Yedsit is a jockey to watch on this card, as he is listed on several live mounts for high-percentage trainers. His aggressive riding style often plays well with the Laurel surface. Carlos Lopez is one of the most reliable veteran riders on the circuit and is particularly effective when breaking from inside posts. Mychel Sanchez is a high-intent rider whose presence often signals a horse is ready for a top effort.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Jamie Ness is the trainer to beat in the Mid-Atlantic, and his horses in Races 2, 4, and 7 are all significant threats. Kieron Magee is exceptionally strong in sprint races and maiden claiming events, with live runners in Races 3, 6, and 8. Joanne Shankle and Phillip Capuano both have high win percentages at Laurel Park and have several well-placed runners on today’s program.

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