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The Pick Pony Mini Tip Sheet is published daily and provides consolidated analysis of all races on the card. A Pick Pony analyst prepares the report, so selections may differ from the Pick Pony Expert Picks, which are based on the consensus of all Pick Pony analysts.
Tonight features a massive ten-race card at Turfway Park, anchored by the prestigious Forego Stakes in Race 9. The program offers a diverse mix of maiden, claiming, and allowance events with large, competitive fields. With deep entries across the board, handicappers should look for value in contested sprints and tactical opportunities in the route races.
Weather Forecast & Track Conditions
- Weather: Sunny during the day transitioning to a cloudy night. High of 50°F, low of 25°F. Winds at 6 mph from the south.
- Surface: The Tapeta synthetic surface is expected to remain tight and consistent as temperatures drop.
- Track Bias: Minimal. While the long stretch at Turfway generally favors closers, the cooler evening air may slightly assist frontrunners in maintaining their speed. Inside posts remain advantageous for saving ground in two-turn route events.
Race Notes & Key Contenders
Early Sequence (Races 1–4)
- Race 1 (05:55 PM): A six-furlong sprint for maiden claimers with a projected hot early pace.
- Key Contender: Point to That Star (3) – Drops into a favorable spot with significant class relief.
- Secondary: Jane Payne (2), Gold Lady (4).
- Longshot: Blue Opal (11).
- Race 2 (06:25 PM): A one-mile route where a moderate, methodical tempo is expected.
- Key Contender: Some R Blessed (4) – Well-placed to bounce back with positional speed.
- Secondary: Leave It to Kitten (2), Driftwood (7).
- Longshot: Long Shorts (1).
- Race 3 (06:55 PM): A chaotic six-furlong sprint with a swift, honest pace.
- Key Contender: Brie’s in Town (4) – Recent course and distance winner.
- Secondary: Chado (1), Homie (11).
- Longshot: Spinning Pride (10).
- Race 4 (07:25 PM): A one-mile test that may favor forwardly placed runners due to a sluggish projected tempo.
- Key Contender: Call Me Toni (3) – Superior speed figures and a class drop.
- Secondary: Acousticat (1), My Sexy Blonde (7).
- Longshot: Total Luna Eclipse (12).
Middle Sequence (Races 5–7)
- Race 5 (07:55 PM): Maiden Special Weight sprint featuring several debuting runners.
- Key Contender: Cinister Cix (7) – Narrowly missed last time; poised for natural progression.
- Secondary: Policy Change (10), More Than Prada (8).
- Longshot: Dixie Devil (5).
- Race 6 (08:25 PM): A mile claiming race with light early speed on paper.
- Key Contender: Mo Caliente (4) – Facing significantly easier company than last start.
- Secondary: Third Degree (6), Merlotti (8).
- Longshot: Permit to Carry (11).
- Race 7 (08:55 PM): One-mile maiden claiming event favoring tactical stalkers.
- Key Contender: Original Score (4) – Beautifully placed to graduate after a narrow miss.
- Secondary: Big Hawk (7), Represented (1).
- Longshot: Paramount’s Pick (12).
Late Sequence & Feature (Races 8–10)
- Race 8 (09:25 PM): A 6.5-furlong sprint for fillies and mares requiring stamina.
- Key Contender: Cynane (2) – Seeking to repeat a recent course and distance victory.
- Secondary: Bundchen (6), The Amazing Mizzen (1).
- Longshot: Razzle Red (10).
- Race 9 (09:55 PM) – THE FOREGO STAKES: High-quality field with a blistering projected pace.
- Key Contender: Its Bourbon Thirty (3) – Entering in peak form with ascending figures.
- Secondary: Playmea Tune (6), Script (8).
- Longshot: Prince of Power (10).
- Race 10 (10:25 PM): Full field maiden claiming sprint where the break is critical.
- Key Contender: Smokin Hot Wife (2) – Consistent placer dropping into a winnable spot.
- Secondary: Goldencross (6), Mother Volga (1).
- Longshot: Muscle Mommy (11).
Personnel to Watch
- Jockeys: Luan Machado (dominant force on Tapeta), Gerardo Corrales (tactical expert), and Walter A. Rodriguez (excellent in route races).
- Trainers: Michael Maker (master of turf-to-synthetic moves), Brad Cox (high-level stakes accuracy), and William Cowans (local specialist with high-value longshots).
