Posted inTracks

Santa Anita Park – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News and Analysis for the March 13, 2026 card

No CommentsPosted inTracks

TL;DR


Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

The Pick Pony Handicapper's Report is published daily and provides analysis of all races on the card. A Pick Pony analyst prepares the report, so selections may differ from the Pick Pony Expert Picks, which are based on the consensus of all Pick Pony analysts.

Don’t forget Pick Pony’s Expert Picks, AI Picks, and Past Performance Sheets/Racing Forms!

Santa Anita Park offers a nine race Friday card on March 13, 2026, with a mix of dirt and turf events highlighted by state bred allowance and maiden special weight races that should attract solid betting pools. The turf rail is scheduled at 30 feet for the grass races, which is a meaningful factor in trip and bias assessment, especially in the two route events at 1 1/8 miles and 1 mile and the 6 1/2 furlong turf sprint.

This meet has generally played fairly on dirt, with tactical speed preferred but not mandatory, while the turf has tended to reward horses with position and a well timed late run when the rail is out, given the tighter turns and shorter stretch run. Today's sequence includes a lower level claiming opener, several state bred maiden claimers, a solid allowance optional claimer for California bred fillies and mares on dirt, and a wide open turf maiden special weight finale with a large field and Super High 5 possibilities.

The scratch watch data shows several horses on this card re entering after prior scratches or also eligible status, which can signal intent or simply placement; examples include Smooth Salute (2) in Race 1, Go Trigger Cut (5) in Race 2, Susie's Loaded (2) in Race 5, Ryan's Girl (4) in Race 7, Chief Resident (5) and Flash Of Lightning (7) in Race 9. These notes are worth keeping in mind when evaluating form cycles and trainer intent.​

Weather and Track Conditions

Forecast data for the greater Santa Anita area in mid March 2026 shows mild, dry conditions with typical afternoon temperatures in the low to upper 60s Fahrenheit and only a small chance of rain, suggesting a fast main track and firm to good firm turf. The specific forecast for Friday March 13 calls for temperatures around 60 to 68 degrees during racing hours, light to gentle breezes, and low to moderate humidity, with little to no precipitation risk.

Historical March weather patterns at nearby Santa Ana and Arcadia show that the climate is generally dry with just a few rainy days in the month, so moisture is unlikely to compromise footing. With no major recent storms noted and the rail set at 30 feet, expect the turf to play on the firmer side of the spectrum, producing legitimate but sometimes slower final times due to the configuration rather than the actual ground.

On the main track, similar conditions in this meet have produced a consistent, relatively fast surface that is fair but slightly favorable to horses who can secure forward or pressing positions while avoiding wide trips. There are no indications of an off track or sealed surface today.​

Track Bias and Post Position Notes

Santa Anita's main track at one mile and shorter has typically shown a mild preference for horses with tactical speed, especially inside to middle posts that can secure position into the first turn, though deep closers are not eliminated when the pace is contested. At 5 1/2 furlongs, inside and speed have a modest edge, but fit stalkers in the two to five paths also win regularly when fields are large and pace is strong.

On turf, when the rail is at or near 30 feet, route races can favor horses with inside to middle draws who can save ground on both turns, while wide sweeping moves are more difficult because of the tighter geometry and shorter stretch. At 1 1/8 miles, the starting position and run to the first turn make post position less critical than at some inner turf courses, but ground saving trips still matter and extreme outside posts would be a disadvantage; fortunately today's opener has only six runners at that distance.

For the 6 1/2 furlong turf sprint with the rail out, the configuration typically rewards horses who can secure forward stalking spots and then finish, and extreme inside posts can sometimes get shuffled if they do not break sharply, while outer posts can be hung wide on the turn. For the one mile turf maiden in Race 9, inside to middle draws are preferred because they allow ground saving early placement and make it easier to find cover before tipping out turning for home.

Given the expected conditions and configuration, handicapping emphasis should be on horses with tactical speed and efficient running styles who can avoid being trapped inside or forced to make wide, sustained runs, particularly in the turf races.

1st Race – Santa Anita Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Claiming, 1 1/8 miles, turf, four year olds and up, non winners of three lifetime, 30000 claiming, rail 30 feet.

Post Time

Approximate post time is 1:00 PM local.​

Pace Analysis

This is a compact field of six older geldings on turf, and pace does not appear particularly hot on paper. Empires Classic (1) has some tactical speed and can secure the rail, while Smooth Salute (2) and Gem Mint Ten (5) have shown the ability to attend the pace or press, and Promissio (6) can be involved if asked. Geometry (4) and Sketchy (3) project more as mid pack or off the pace runners, with Geometry (4) likely to be ridden for a strong late run given the Jonathan Thomas profile.​

Given the configuration and the absence of a confirmed need the lead type, expect a moderate tempo that favors horses sitting second to fourth early, with late runners needing to be in range by the far turn.

Key Contenders

Geometry (4) ships in for the strong Jonathan Thomas barn with Antonio Fresu up, a combination that has been effective at this meet in turf routes. His style as a late running gelding fits the turf route profile, and Thomas typically spots horses aggressively but realistically in non winners of three lifetime claiming when they are ready to win; the class placement here is logical for an improving four year old. From post 4 he should get a clean trip tracking the inside trio and have first run on deeper closers.

Gem Mint Ten (5) brings Abel Lezcano and Robertino Falcone Jr., another capable turf team. As a six year old with multiple solid turf route efforts, he looks like the class seasoned claimant in this group and can stalk from a perfect mid gate draw, which is advantageous with the rail at 30 feet. His ability to maintain form over time and his likely fair price make him a strong contender.

Empires Classic (1) for Mike Puype with Kazushi Kimura in the irons projects to secure the rail and a ground saving trip near the pace. Puype's turf horses often improve with distance and Kimura has been riding the grass course well, so a stepping forward effort in this softer non winners of three spot is plausible, especially if he is able to control or sit just off a modest pace.

Secondary Choices

Smooth Salute (2) drops back into claiming after trying tougher graded stakes company previously, as indicated by the scratch watch listing in a prior San Marcos. The class relief into a non winners of three turf route makes sense and Victor Espinoza is a savvy rider on the Santa Anita grass, though at age six he may have plateaued. From post 2 he should get a clean tracking trip, but he may be somewhat overbet on back class.

Promissio (6) for Doug ONeill and Emisael Jaramillo is an intriguing pace factor from the outside post. ONeill can move horses up in claiming spots and Jaramillo is aggressive early, so expect them to try to secure forward position despite the outer draw; if he relaxes, he could hang around for a share at a mid range price.

Longshots

Sketchy (3) with Diego Herrera and Antonio Garcia is the most ambiguous in this compact group and may be the longest price on the board. His form likely shows inconsistent finishing, and while he can pick up pieces late if the pace becomes more contested than projected, he would need a step forward and the right trip to factor seriously; he is more of a back end exotic inclusion than a key.​

Selections

Win Geometry (4)
Place Gem Mint Ten (5)
Show Empires Classic (1)

Wagering strategy: Key Geometry (4) and Gem Mint Ten (5) in exactas and trifectas, leaning on those two over Empires Classic (1), Smooth Salute (2), and Promissio (6). Use Geometry (4) and Gem Mint Ten (5) as early sequence anchors in multi race wagers like the early Pick 5, while being lightly inclusive with Empires Classic (1) for coverage.

2nd Race – Santa Anita Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Maiden claiming 12500, one mile dirt, California bred or sired maidens, ages three to five.

Post Time

Approximate post time is 1:33 PM.​

Pace Analysis

This is a seven horse field with limited proven early speed, a common profile in lower level maiden claimers. Stage Run (2), Rachel's Gig (4), and Go Trigger Cut (5) have the profiles to show some speed, while Irish Element (6) and Silversmith (7) should be mid pack or stalking. Brahms Mendelssohn (1) and Next Trick (3) project more as grinders or off pace types.​

The likely shape is a relatively soft early pace, favoring horses who can sit within a length or two of the lead by the first turn, especially from inside and middle posts.

Key Contenders

Silversmith (7) is a three year old with upside, trained by Michael McCarthy and ridden by Ricardo Gonzalez, which is a solid combination for improving route types. Being a three year old facing older in a maiden claimer can be an advantage when the younger horse has upside and the older runners have had multiple chances, and the outside post at a mile allows Gonzalez to assess the pace and either stalk or press without traffic. He looks like the most likely improver and win candidate if his morning works and prior efforts are acceptable.

Irish Element (6) for Doug ONeill and Emisael Jaramillo also stands out on connections and likely ability to stretch out on the main track. ONeill is effective with maiden claimers and route placements, and Jaramillo's aggressive style can secure a good stalking position from post 6, just off the presumed leaders. If he has shown any prior positional speed, that makes him a key player.

Brahms Mendelssohn (1) from the rail with Kyle Frey and Brendan Galvin deserves respect because of the inside draw and the potential to improve around two turns for the first or second time in this class. The rail can be a blessing if he breaks cleanly and secures a ground saving spot behind the leaders, and Frey is capable of nursing these types along to hit the frame.

Secondary Choices

Stage Run (2) for Craig Lewis with Kazushi Kimura has enough tactical speed and an inside post to be part of the pace and maybe take them a long way if the others hesitate. Lewis can get a maiden home when dropping or finding the right field, and while the form may be modest, the dynamics of this race give him a chance to steal it or hold on for a minor award.

Rachel's Gig (4) with Cristobal Herrera and Alberto Ruvalcaba is more of a mid priced option who might improve routing again or with a shakeup in tactics. His profile suggests he may sit in the second flight and try to grind into the stretch; he is usable underneath in exotics, especially trifectas and supers if offered.​

Longshots

Next Trick (3) for Ruben Gomez and Armando Aguilar is a five year old gelding with several chances and a modest looking pattern, which will likely keep his price high. As an older maiden, he needs a significant improvement or a race meltdown to win, but he can be considered as a very deep exotic inclusion in large tickets if his odds are substantial.​

Go Trigger Cut (5) with Welfin Orantes and Bill McLean appears on the scratch watch as a prior vet scratch, which is a concern. Returning here for 12500 suggests low confidence, and while he might show speed for a half mile, he is more likely to fade unless the barn has solved an issue; he is a longshot.​

Selections

Win Silversmith (7)
Place Irish Element (6)
Show Brahms Mendelssohn (1)

Wagering strategy: Focus win and win place bets on Silversmith (7) if he offers fair value; otherwise, prefer exactas boxing Silversmith (7) and Irish Element (6) and using Brahms Mendelssohn (1) and Stage Run (2) underneath. In multi race wagers, use Silversmith (7) and Irish Element (6) as A types with Brahms Mendelssohn (1) as a backup.

3rd Race – Santa Anita Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Claiming 10000, one mile dirt, four year olds and up, non winners of two lifetime.

Post Time

Approximate post time is 2:05 PM.​

Pace Analysis

This six horse field looks more pace competitive than the second race. White Mountain (1) has rail speed possibilities, Spun Not Stirred (2) has prior sprint speed and now routes, and Smiling Tizzy (5) can be forwardly placed. Grandisimo (3) may sit just behind that trio, while Mischief Moments (4) and Fincairn (6) project as late runners or mid pack grinders.​

The early fractions should be honest as multiple runners vie for position into the first turn, creating an opportunity for a stalker with stamina and finishing kick.

Key Contenders

Grandisimo (3) with Vicente Del Cid for trainer Isidro Tamayo looks like the ideal trip horse in this group. Tamayo is effective with claimers stretching out or maintaining form and Del Cid is an aggressive but patient rider who can place Grandisimo (3) just off the leaders in the clear. His style and probable class fit make him a prime win candidate.

White Mountain (1) for Ryan Hanson and Adrian Escobedo should be forward from the rail and could control or sit just inside second if Spun Not Stirred (2) goes on. Hanson has done well with claimers this meet, and Escobedo has ridden the main track competently; if White Mountain (1) is fit and handling the distance, he can be stubborn on the lead.

Smiling Tizzy (5) with Kyle Frey for Jose Valdez appears on the scratch watch as a prior also eligible in a starter race, hinting at some respect from connections. Dropping into this non winners of two lifetime claiming spot may be the right class placement, and from post 5 he can sit just outside the leaders and get first run turning for home.​

Secondary Choices

Spun Not Stirred (2) under Armando Ayuso for Genaro Vallejo shows a prior vet scratch in a non winners of two lifetime 16000 event, which raises fitness questions. However, if healthy, the drop to 10000 and the stretch out from sprints make him dangerous on the front end, especially with Ayuso's aggressive style; he is a risky but potent contender.​

Fincairn (6) with Alfredo Bautista for Gloria Haley is the outside closer type who might benefit most if the pace melts. His chances increase if the top four knock heads and he can grind past tiring rivals late; he is more attractive underneath but can upset if he finds his best form.​

Longshots

Mischief Moments (4) with light weight apprentice Ali Husain for Ruben Gomez figures as the longshot of the group. The weight break could help, but he likely lacks the figures of the main contenders and may be pace compromised from mid pack; consider him as a superfecta filler rather than a core play.​

Selections

Win Grandisimo (3)
Place White Mountain (1)
Show Smiling Tizzy (5)

Wagering strategy: Use Grandisimo (3) as the primary win and horizontal key, backing up with White Mountain (1) on multi race tickets. Vertical players can key Grandisimo (3) over White Mountain (1), Smiling Tizzy (5), Spun Not Stirred (2), and Fincairn (6) in exactas and trifectas.

4th Race – Santa Anita Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Maiden claiming 50000, six furlongs turf, three year old fillies, rail at 30 feet.

Post Time

Approximate post time is 2:36 PM.​

Pace Analysis

Nine fillies sprinting on turf at this level tends to generate a lively pace. Pantages (1), Sugar Reign (3), Olivia (4), Hot Rod Christine (7), and Cosmo Friday (8) all have sprint profiles, and at least two of them are likely to go aggressively early. Hard Hearted (6), Tulavias World (5), Our Agenda (9), and perhaps Greys Over Bays (2) are more likely to sit in the second flight or mid pack.​

With the rail out at 30 feet, pace pressure could compromise pure front end types, making stalkers who can sit two to four lengths off the lead in the clear particularly appealing.

Key Contenders

Olivia (4) for Ryan Hanson with Kazushi Kimura looks like a key pace stalking type from an ideal middle post. Kimura can break alertly, secure an outside stalking spot just off the inside speed, and then press the leaders turning for home, which tends to be effective in these turf sprints with the rail out. If her form shows any prior turf ability or strong works, she is a primary win candidate.

Hot Rod Christine (7) with Kyle Frey for Tim McCanna projects as another major contender. McCanna has a solid record with turf sprinters and Frey is adept at judging pace; from post 7, she should be able to track outside and pounce late. Her placement at the 50000 level suggests some stable confidence.

Cosmo Friday (8) for Doug ONeill and Emisael Jaramillo adds more quality and pace to the field. ONeill places his turf maidens aggressively and Jaramillo will likely have Cosmo Friday (8) forward or pressing from the outset; her outside post is a slight disadvantage but manageable given her tactical speed.

Secondary Choices

Pantages (1) from the rail with Adrian Escobedo for Ryan Hanson must break sharply or risk getting bottled up inside. If she leaves quickly, she could set the pace or sit just behind a dueling pair and save ground throughout, giving her a chance to hang on for at least a minor award; she is a usable secondary contender based on trip potential.​

Hard Hearted (6) with Antonio Fresu for Ruben Gomez is an interesting type who may be making her debut or early start and should be finishing late. Fresu excels on the grass, and from post 6 he can maneuver her into mid pack with cover and then angle out; she is a logical secondary inclusion, especially if pace is hot.

Longshots

Greys Over Bays (2) with Tyler Baze for Sean McCarthy should be a mid priced or longer shot who may benefit from an inside stalking trip if she handles the turf. Her limitations likely lie in finishing kick rather than pace, so she profiles as more of a minor award candidate unless she shows unexpected improvement.​

Sugar Reign (3) with Armando Aguilar, Tulavias World (5) with Cesar Belmont, and Our Agenda (9) with Francisco Monroy all project as longer shot fillies whose main appeal will be as deep exotic pieces. Sugar Reign (3) could be involved early and fade late, Tulavias World (5) seems more like a mid pack type needing a big step forward, and Our Agenda (9) has the widest draw with a likely challenging trip, making a win tough but a clunk up into the superfecta possible.​

Selections

Win Olivia (4)
Place Hot Rod Christine (7)
Show Cosmo Friday (8)

Wagering strategy: Emphasize exactas and trifectas built around Olivia (4), Hot Rod Christine (7), and Cosmo Friday (8), with Pantages (1) and Hard Hearted (6) as underneath players. In multi race sequences, consider all three key contenders as A level coverage because of the race's volatility.

5th Race – Santa Anita Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Maiden claiming 20000, one mile dirt, California bred three year old fillies.

Post Time

Approximate post time is 3:06 PM.​

Pace Analysis

Seven fillies routing at this claiming level with some first time or lightly raced types suggests a fair but not blazing pace. Gogotiz (1), Susie's Loaded (2), Shes Back (4), and Good Golly Dolly (5) project as the most likely to show early foot, while Willow In The Wind (3), Real Lucky In Love (6), and Julia Street (7) are more likely to track or sit just off the pace.​

The inside post positions for Gogotiz (1) and Susie's Loaded (2) could produce early contention, and if they hook up, it could set things up for a mid pack stalker.

Key Contenders

Willow In The Wind (3) with Antonio Fresu for Ruben Gomez looks like the right combination of connections, post, and likely running style. From the three hole she should work out a ground saving stalking trip behind the early leaders, and Fresu's strength in managing dirt routes adds upside for a finishing run. She fits as a logical main win candidate assuming her form shows progression.

Good Golly Dolly (5) for Doug ONeill with Abel Lezcano is another strong contender. ONeill is adept with California bred maiden claimers, and from post 5 she can stalk or press from outside the inside speed, giving Lezcano tactical options. If she shows even moderate two turn ability, she is a major player.

Julia Street (7) for Michael McCarthy with Ricardo Gonzalez, carrying blinkers as indicated by the equipment note, may show improved focus and early speed. McCarthy can be dangerous with equipment changes, and the outside post allows Gonzalez to place her in a comfortable stalking position without traffic; she has upset potential at a fair price.

Secondary Choices

Susie's Loaded (2) appears on the scratch watch as re entered after previously appearing in a maiden special weight 50000 event. Vicente Del Cid rides for Isidro Tamayo, which is a capable pairing; from the inside she may be sent to secure position and could be hanging around late if she handles the level and distance.

Shes Back (4) with Kyle Frey for Jamey Thomas has a profile that suggests she can sit just off the pace and stay on for a share. Thomas places horses well in claiming races, and Frey can coax a grinding effort to hit the board even if she lacks a big finishing kick.

Longshots

Gogotiz (1) for Isidro Tamayo with Armando Ayuso must overcome the rail and possibly pressure from Susie's Loaded (2) to have a chance. If she fails to relax, she could fade late; she is an underneath possibility but a longshot to win.​

Real Lucky In Love (6) with Cristobal Herrera for Steve Sherman, wearing blinkers, is likely a longer priced filly who may improve but still needs to show more to threaten for the win. She is a candidate for trifecta or superfecta use if her odds are large enough.​

Selections

Win Willow In The Wind (3)
Place Good Golly Dolly (5)
Show Julia Street (7)

Wagering strategy: Focus win bets on Willow In The Wind (3) at acceptable odds, with exactas and trifectas using Good Golly Dolly (5) and Julia Street (7) prominently. In horizontals, use Willow in the Wind (3) as a key, backed up with Good Golly Dolly (5) and Julia Street (7).

6th Race – Santa Anita Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Claiming 25000, six and one half furlongs turf, fillies and mares four and up, rail 30 feet.

Post Time

Approximate post time is 3:36 PM.​

Pace Analysis

Nine older fillies and mares sprinting on turf at this level typically produce a strong, contested pace. Headed For Om (1), Shangrilama (2), Invincible Molly (3), and Candy Bar (7) have potential to be forward, while Tam's Little Angel (4), Special Flower (5), Petite Treat (6), Shin Jidai (8), and Lamporghini (9) are more likely to stalk or close.​

With multiple pace elements from both inside and middle posts and the rail out, the race could favor a mid pack closer who can quicken late while saving some ground.

Key Contenders

Shin Jidai (8) for Leonard Powell with Emisael Jaramillo is a key turf contender with a stalking and closing style that fits this race shape. Powell is a very capable turf trainer and Jaramillo has shown good judgment on the Santa Anita grass; from post 8 she can track three to five lengths off and then launch her rally when the leaders tire.

Headed For Om (1) under Juan Hernandez for John Sadler draws the rail and has tactical speed, which could be a major asset if she breaks sharply and either controls the pace or gets a pocket trip. Hernandez is one of the top riders at the meet and Sadler's turf sprinters are typically well prepared, making Headed for Om (1) a strong win candidate.

Petite Treat (6) for Mike Puype with Abel Lezcano offers an improving four year old profile in a field with several older, more exposed mares. Her middle draw allows her to stalk the pace and find a clean lane in the lane, and Puype's turf horses often move forward with experience.

Secondary Choices

Shangrilama (2) with Kazushi Kimura for Mark Glatt is a logical secondary contender. Glatt is one of the more reliable turf trainers at Santa Anita, and from post 2 she can secure a stalking or pace pressing position along the rail; if the pace is not too hot, she can be right there at the finish.

Tam's Little Angel (4) with Mirco Demuro for Hector Palma may be a bit of a price but has back class and experience on the turf. Demuro is an accomplished turf rider and may sit mid pack, looking for late running room; she is very usable in exotics.​

Longshots

Invincible Molly (3) with Armando Ayuso, Special Flower (5) with Edwin Maldonado, Candy Bar (7) with Tyler Baze, and Lamporghini (9) with Diego Herrera all profile as longer shots or mid priced runners with some chance for slices. Invincible Molly (3) could get involved early and hang on for a minor placing, Special Flower (5) is a hard knocking type who may lack the finishing burst but can be close, Candy Bar (7) is pace dependent, and Lamporghini (9) has to overcome the outside draw but may be closing late into a hot pace.​

Selections

Win Shin Jidai (8)
Place Headed For Om (1)
Show Petite Treat (6)

Wagering strategy: Anchor multi race wagers with Shin Jidai (8) and Headed For Om (1), using Petite Treat (6) and Shangrilama (2) as backups. Vertical plays can key Shin Jidai (8) over Headed for Om (1), Petite Treat (6), Shangrilama (2), and Tam's Little Angel (4) in exactas and trifectas.

7th Race – Santa Anita Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Allowance optional claiming 70000, one mile dirt, California bred or sired fillies and mares four and up, non winners of a state bred other than or two lifetime, or 20000 claiming.

Post Time

Approximate post time is 4:06 PM.​

Pace Analysis

This is a compact five horse field with several tactical types. Lavender Love (1) and Buds N Suds (3) project to be on or near the lead, with Ryan's Girl (4) and Stay In Line (5) stalking, and Dorie Miller (2) possibly mid pack or on the rail behind the leaders.​

The pace should be moderate; the small field size and quality of these mares make it less likely that a meltdown occurs, so positional speed and finishing ability are both important.

Key Contenders

Lavender Love (1) with Armando Ayuso for Richard Baltas draws the rail and can take advantage of it. Baltas is a strong dirt trainer, and Lavender Love (1) likely has enough speed to either lead or sit a perfect pocket trip; in these small field routes on a fair dirt track, that is a significant edge.

Dorie Miller (2) under Juan Hernandez for Leonard Powell is an obvious top contender as well. Powell spots his mares well and Dorie Miller (2) has likely been knocking on the door at this level; Hernandez's presence suggests strong barn intent, and from post 2 she can sit just off Lavender Love (1) and launch at the right time.

Buds N Suds (3) with Tyler Baze for Steve Knapp has a pace presence and could be the other main player. Knapp's barn is capable at this level and Baze will not let her get too far off the action; she can either press or sit outside, depending on how Lavender Love (1) is ridden, and that flexibility makes her dangerous.

Secondary Choices

Ryan's Girl (4) appears as a re entered runner after a scratch from a prior allowance optional claiming event. Kyle Frey rides for Genaro Vallejo, a combination that can pop at this level; while she may not be as classy as the top two, she can certainly get a stalking trip and must be considered for second or third.

Stay In Line (5) with Emisael Jaramillo for Andy Mathis is more of a grinder type who might do best if the leading trio go faster than expected. Her outside post in a five horse field is not a disadvantage, and she could pick up pieces late to hit the board.​

Selections

Win Lavender Love (1)
Place Dorie Miller (2)
Show Buds N Suds (3)

Wagering strategy: This race looks chalky; use Lavender Love (1) and Dorie Miller (2) as primary multi race singles or A types. Vertical bets might be limited to exactas and trifectas keyed around these two, perhaps with small saver bets on Buds N Suds (3) if the odds justify it.

8th Race – Santa Anita Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Claiming 10000, five and one half furlongs dirt, four year olds and up.

Post Time

Approximate post time is 4:36 PM.​

Pace Analysis

This is a full field of ten older geldings at a sprint distance, so pace should be hot. Man Child (1), Devil Moon (2), Hey Brother (3), Habeas (4), Windribbon (5), Winds Of Freedom (6), Binging (7), and Carol's Comic (8) have sprint oriented profiles and at least some speed, while The Big Cheeseola (9) and Broadway Unions (10) can either press or stalk.​

The rail and inside posts may go quickly to avoid being shuffled, and outside horses could be forced to be wide if they chase too aggressively. This sets up for a horse who can sit mid pack and make a well timed run, or a class horse who can withstand pressure.

Key Contenders

Winds Of Freedom (6) with Kyle Frey for Blaine Wright is a prime contender in this spot. Wright places his sprinters effectively and Frey is strong in these claiming sprints; from post 6, Winds of Freedom (6) can sit just behind the speed, avoid the worst of the inside duel, and then pounce turning for home.

The Big Cheeseola (9) with Kazushi Kimura for Steve Knapp is another key player. From post 9 he can break outside the main pace scrum and either press three wide or sit just off the leaders in the clear; Kimura's timing and Knapp's conditioning make him a serious win candidate.

Broadway Unions (10) for Jose Valdez with Antonio Fresu draws the far outside, which can actually be beneficial in a crowded, pace heavy sprint. Fresu can let the inside scramble unfold and then decide whether to tuck in or sit three wide stalking; his finishing strength will be an asset late if the pace collapses.

Secondary Choices

Man Child (1) with Ricardo Ramirez for Jesus Uranga has the rail and early speed, which could be an advantage or a trap. If he breaks sharply, he could control the race along the rail, but pressing from the inside in a ten horse field is demanding; he is dangerous but also vulnerable.​

Habeas (4) with Cesar Belmont for Brian Koriner is a mid pack sprinter who should get a good trip in the second flight, saving ground. Koriner's barn can fire at this level, and if the pace melts, Habeas (4) could be right there, making him a solid secondary inclusion in exotics.​

Longshots

Devil Moon (2) for Ruben Gomez, Hey Brother (3) for Librado Barocio, Windribbon (5) for Jose Hernandez Jr., Binging (7) for Antonio Garcia, and Carol's Comic (8) for Val Brinkerhoff are all older sprint claimers with varying degrees of competitiveness. Windribbon (5) is ten, suggesting declining form, though his back class could still earn him a small share; Binging (7) and Carol's Comic (8) may be pace factors who fade, while Devil Moon (2) and Hey Brother (3) are hard to endorse on top but can be used sparingly in deeper vertical tickets if odds are large.​

Selections

Win Winds Of Freedom (6)
Place The Big Cheeseola (9)
Show Broadway Unions (10)

Wagering strategy: Key Winds Of Freedom (6) in win bets and horizontals, using The Big Cheeseola (9) and Broadway Unions (10) as strong secondary keys. Exactas and trifectas can be built around those three, with Man Child (1), Habeas (4), and one or two longshots underneath.

9th Race – Santa Anita Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Maiden special weight 70000, one mile turf, California bred or sired three year olds, rail 30 feet.

Post Time

Approximate post time is 5:06 PM.​

Pace Analysis

This large field of eleven state bred maiden colts and geldings at a mile on turf promises a fair to honest pace. Big Vengeance (2), John Metcalfe (4), Chief Resident (5), Passion D Oro (6), and Robin Olds (8) can be forward or pressing, while Dr. Filkins (1), Practical Blame (3), Flash Of Lightning (7), Doing Time (9), Positive Times (10), and Beeblebrox (98) are likely mid pack or closing types depending on running styles.​

With the rail at 30 feet, inside and middle posts with tactical speed have an edge, but closers can still be effective if they secure ground saving trips and launch at the right time.

Key Contenders

Dr. Filkins (1) for Sean McCarthy with Kyle Frey is a key inside player in this route. The rail at a mile can be tricky, but Frey is an experienced turf rider and can secure a ground saving stalking trip just behind the leaders if Dr. Filkins (1) breaks cleanly; McCarthy's turf runners are often well meant in maiden special weights.

Chief Resident (5) with Emisael Jaramillo for Mark Glatt looks like a major contender based on connections and likely running style. Glatt's turf horses in California bred maiden special weight company are consistently dangerous, and from post 5, Jaramillo can sit in an ideal position, tracking the leaders and getting first run in the lane.

Flash Of Lightning (7) under Kazushi Kimura for Richard Baltas appears on the scratch watch as previously also eligible in a similar race, suggesting the barn has been looking for the right spot. From post 7 he should get a comfortable outside stalking trip, and Baltas excels in turf maiden races; he is a top contender if he draws in as expected.

Secondary Choices

John Metcalfe (4) with Juan Hernandez for Craig Lewis is another who should be well positioned early. With blinkers noted, he may be more forward, and Hernandez is unlikely to let him get shuffled from this favorable post; he could be on or near the lead and must be respected.

Robin Olds (8) with Armando Ayuso for Phil DAamato is a live runner given DAamatos turf prowess, even though the post is a bit wider than ideal. Ayuso can tuck him into mid pack and ride for a late run, making him a strong secondary inclusion in exotics and horizontals.

Longshots

Big Vengeance (2) with Diego Herrera for Antonio Garcia, Practical Blame (3) with Antonio Fresu for Brendan Galvin, Passion D Oro (6) with Victor Espinoza for Antonio Garcia, Doing Time (9) with Tyler Baze for Felix Rondan, Positive Times (10) with Kazushi Kimura for Ryan Hanson, and Beeblebrox (98) as the trailing program number are all potential prices. Practical Blame (3) has some appeal as a Fresu ridden potential improver, and Positive Times (10) has to work out a trip from a wider post but could be a longshot to clunk up; Doing Time (9) and Big Vengeance (2) will need either improvement or a perfect trip to win, while Passion D Oro (6) might be a pace element who fades late.​

Selections

Win Chief Resident (5)
Place Dr. Filkins (1)
Show Flash Of Lightning (7)

Wagering strategy: This finale is a good spread race in multi race wagers, but Chief Resident (5), Dr. Filkins (1), and Flash Of Lightning (7) should be the core. Vertical players can key Chief Resident (5) over Dr. Filkins (1), Flash of Lightning (7), John Metcalfe (4), and Robin Olds (8) in exactas and trifectas, with a few longshots like Practical Blame (3) and Positive Times (10) for deeper tickets.

Jockey Notes and Insights

Juan Hernandez remains the top local rider at this meet, excelling on both dirt and turf, and his mounts in Headed For Om (1) in Race 6 and Dorie Miller (2) in Race 7 merit extra attention for consistency and tactical acumen. His presence on John Metcalfe (4) in Race 9 also signals confidence from the connections in that turf maiden.​

Kazushi Kimura has proven to be a strong addition to the colony with particularly good results on turf and in route races, as seen with Geometry (4) in Race 1, Stage Run (2) in Race 2, Olivia (4) in Race 4, Shangrilama (2) in Race 6, and Flash Of Lightning (7) and Positive Times (10) in Race 9. His mounts frequently work out ground saving yet aggressive trips that are valuable when the rail is out.

Antonio Fresu is another rider who has shined on turf and in route races, and his mounts Geometry (4) in Race 1, Willow In The Wind (3) in Race 5, Broadway Unions (10) in Race 8, and Practical Blame (3) in Race 9 are all boosted by his presence. His ability to time late runs and navigate traffic is particularly important in today's grass races.

Kyle Frey remains a solid, underrated rider in this colony, giving honest efforts and excelling in pace judgment on dirt. His mounts Brahms Mendelssohn (1) in Race 2, Smiling Tizzy (5) in Race 3, Hot Rod Christine (7) in Race 4, Shes Back (4) in Race 5, Buds N Suds (3) in Race 7, Winds Of Freedom (6) in Race 8, and Dr. Filkins (1) in Race 9 deserve handicapping consideration based on his ability alone.​

Emisael Jaramillo brings a strong forward riding style that can change race shapes and benefit horses like Promissio (6) in Race 1, Irish Element (6) in Race 2, Cosmo Friday (8) in Race 4, Good Golly Dolly (5) in Race 5, Shin Jidai (8) in Race 6, Stay In Line (5) in Race 7, and Chief Resident (5) in Race 9. When he is aboard, expect his mounts to be placed in the race early, which can be a tactical edge.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Jonathan Thomas is selective with his West Coast runners and spots them where they can win, giving Geometry (4) in Race 1 strong appeal as a live shipper or high percentage stable entrant. His focus on turf and patient development make Geometry (4) a key horse in the opener.

Doug ONeill has multiple live runners today, including Promissio (6) in Race 1, Irish Element (6) in Race 2, Cosmo Friday (8) in Race 4, Good Golly Dolly (5) in Race 5, and Special Flower (5) in Race 6. ONeill is particularly effective with claiming and maiden claiming stock and can move horses forward with equipment or class changes, so his runners must always be given serious consideration.

Mark Glatt's turf and synthetic runners are consistently dangerous at this meet, and his horses Shangrilama (2) in Race 6 and Chief Resident (5) in Race 9 stand out. He places them where they can win and often has them ready off short breaks, which is important in today's grass events.

John Sadler and Leonard Powell are also trainers to watch on this card. Sadler's Headed For Om (1) in Race 6 is well spotted in a claiming turf sprint, and Powells Dorie Miller (2) in Race 7 and Shin Jidai (8) in Race 6 have the benefit of a barn that excels in route and turf races.

Richard Baltas and Phil DAamato both have strong turf reputations in Southern California. Baltas sends Lavender Love (1) in Race 7 and Flash Of Lightning (7) in Race 9, while DAamato has Robin Olds (8) in Race 9; these runners deserve long looks despite field depth because of their barns' historical success on the Santa Anita grass course.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

This card sets up well for an early Pick 5 strategy focusing on a blend of strong opinions and spreads. In Race 1, Geometry (4) and Gem Mint Ten (5) can be used as primary A tickets, with Empires Classic (1) as backup; Race 2 can lean on Silversmith (7) and Irish Element (6) as A, with Brahms Mendelssohn (1) as B; Race 3 revolves around Grandisimo (3) as a key A, backed by White Mountain (1) and Smiling Tizzy (5).​

Race 4 is a spread race where Olivia (4), Hot Rod Christine (7), and Cosmo Friday (8) are A level, with Pantages (1) and Hard Hearted (6) as backups. Race 5 can be approached with Willow In The Wind (3) as a strong single or key, supported with Good Golly Dolly (5) and Julia Street (7) for broader coverage.​

For the late Pick 4 or Pick 5, Race 6 can be structured with Shin Jidai (8) and Headed For Om (1) as main A horses, Petite Treat (6) and Shangrilama (2) as Bs. Race 7 appears chalky, favoring Lavender Love (1) and Dorie Miller (2) as primary, with Buds N Suds (3) as a saver. Race 8 can use Winds Of Freedom (6) as a bold single if seeking value, or as an A heavily supported by The Big Cheeseola (9) and Broadway Unions (10).​

Race 9 is a good place to spread, but Chief Resident (5), Dr. Filkins (1), and Flash Of Lightning (7) are the core. For those seeking value, Practical Blame (3), John Metcalfe (4), and Robin Olds (8) can be added as price enhancers in trifectas and as C type coverage in multi race wagers.​

Value plays on this card include Geometry (4) in Race 1 if his price drifts because of local favoritism toward known claimers, Silversmith (7) in Race 2 as an improving three year old facing older veterans, and Willow In The Wind (3) in Race 5 if she is overshadowed by more obvious barns. Another potential value is Broadway Unions (10) in Race 8, whose outside post and connection to a less prominent barn may cause bettors to underestimate his chance given Fresus skill and the likely pace scenario.

Tags:

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback