Sunland Park - Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet - News and Analysis for the March 8, 2026 card

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AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Big last-race effort (81) — 12 pts above recent average. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (51.52%). (4) Track specialist — 2 wins from 7 starts here (29%). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Trainer 'GONZALEZ JOSE A' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) Averages 75.3 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 61.3 in other configs (3 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 8/10 — angles: Big Last Effort, Troubled Trip Comeback, Return to Proven Setup, Track Specialist, Closer in Pace Duel, Stable on Fire.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Bt slw;5p;bid3p;repeld. (3) Consistently breaks behind post position (4 of last 5 starts). (4) Consistently runs wide at the first call (4 of last 5 starts). (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 28 days since last race. (6) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.5 pts: [81, 64, 71, 73, 59]) — unpredictable performer. (7) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 88 (2/5) Mod2(W): 93 (3/5) Mod3(W): 92 (2/5) Mod1-LS: 98 (2/5) Mod2-LS: 94 (3/5) Mod3-LS: 71 (5/5) Mod4(Form): 92 (2/5) Win Prob: 68.9% Value Score: 3.09 ★ ML: 2.50 (9/5) Overlay %: -4.57 Fair Odds: 4.64 (9/2) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	D	C
Finish Pos	C	D
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	A	B
Trainer Effectiveness	B	D
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	D	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	A	B
Sprint FPS	B	C
Route FPS	B	B
Trainer Effectiveness	B	D
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	D	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	D
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	C	C

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AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (33.93%). (3) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 4/10 — angles: Won at This Distance, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (3) Trip note from last race: Swung widest;moved up. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 20 days since last race. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 14.5 pts: [59, 85, 63, 67, 45]) — unpredictable performer.

Mod1(W): 100 (1/5) Mod2(W): 100 (1/5) Mod3(W): 100 (1/5) Mod1-LS: 89 (3/5) Mod2-LS: 99 (2/5) Mod3-LS: 80 (3/5) Mod4(Form): 100 (1/5) Win Prob: 75.5% Value Score: 2.9 ★ ML: 2.00 (9/5) Overlay %: -8.42 Fair Odds: 4.68 (9/2) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	F	C
Finish Pos	C	D
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	A	B
Distance Speed	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	D	F
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	C	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	C
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	B	B
Sprint FPS	A	B
Route FPS	C	C
Trainer Effectiveness	D	F
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	C	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	C	C

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AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (46%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (3) Fourth race back from a 156-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (4) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Trainer 'MARR JOEL H' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S', 'T', 'V']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Averages 73.0 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 62.4 in other configs (3 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Return to Proven Setup, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Hot Trainer, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 7 starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Stalked ins; gave way. (4) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (5) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 28 days since last race.

Mod1(W): 85 (3/5) Mod2(W): 78 (5/5) Mod3(W): 74 (4/5) Mod1-LS: 67 (4/5) Mod2-LS: 78 (5/5) Mod3-LS: 71 (4/5) Mod4(Form): 63 (5/5) Win Prob: 58.4% Value Score: 4.11 ★ ML: 4.50 (7/2) Overlay %: 2.71 Fair Odds: 4.91 (9/2) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	B	B
Finish Pos	A	B
Dirt Speed	F	C
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	F	C
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	A	B
3rd Party Ratings	B	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	C	B
Sprint FPS	A	B
Route FPS	A	B
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	A	B
3rd Party Ratings	B	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (54%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 11 wins from 34 starts (32%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Fourth race back from a 50-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (6) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Trainer 'CAPPELLUCCI DICK' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Career-best figure (76) buried in races 4–10 back — 10 pts above race median and 7 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (9) Averages 68.6 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 63.3 in other configs (5 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Hot Trainer-Jockey Pairing, Hot Jockey, Return to Proven Setup, Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Stable on Fire, Hot Trainer, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Chased 3pbtw;no factor. (3) Was the betting favorite in the last race but finished off the board. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 28 days since last race. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.8 pts: [69, 59, 57, 76, 75]) — unpredictable performer.

Mod1(W): 81 (5/5) Mod2(W): 81 (4/5) Mod3(W): 72 (5/5) Mod1-LS: 61 (5/5) Mod2-LS: 82 (4/5) Mod3-LS: 80 (2/5) Mod4(Form): 63 (4/5) Win Prob: 59.8% Value Score: 4.21 ★ ML: 4.50 (7/2) Overlay %: 2.70 Fair Odds: 4.92 (9/2) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	C	D
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	C
Finish Pos	B	C
Dirt Speed	D	B
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	D	B
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	F	C
Sprint FPS	C	C
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (16.67%). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Fourth race back from a 304-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (5) Career-best figure (77) buried in races 4–10 back — 11 pts above race median and 17 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'O', 'S', 'U', 'V']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Averages 62.3 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 55.0 in other configs (3 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Troubled Trip Comeback, Return to Proven Setup, Hidden Figure, Closer in Pace Duel, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($6,250 → $15,000). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Speed average (57) well below field median (66). (4) Trip note from last race: Off slow;5p3/16;mvd up. (5) Rising in class ($6,250 → $15,000) after finishing 4 last out — double negative. (6) Cold trainer - low ITM rate (3%). (7) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 0 Mod2(W): 0 Mod3(W): 0 Mod1-LS: 0 Mod2-LS: 0 Mod3-LS: 0 Mod4(Form): 0 Win Prob: 14.8% Value Score: 3.97 ★ ML: 20.00 (20/1) Overlay %: 8.58 Fair Odds: 7.13 (6/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	F	F
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	F	D
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	A	B
Finish Pos	F	F
Dirt Speed	C	B
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	B
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	D	C
Sprint FPS	F	D
Route FPS	F	D
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	D
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (72) well above field median (66). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (40.54%). (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 81 vs field 76). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Fourth race back from a 91-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (7) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Trainer 'GONZALEZ ANDRES' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'F', 'O', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Class Superiority, Troubled Trip Comeback, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Stable on Fire, Late Kick Advantage, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (3) Trip note from last race: 3p;5-4p2nd;best of rst.

Mod1(W): 81 (4/5) Mod2(W): 98 (2/5) Mod3(W): 86 (3/5) Mod1-LS: 100 (1/5) Mod2-LS: 100 (1/5) Mod3-LS: 100 (1/5) Mod4(Form): 84 (3/5) Win Prob: 64.7% Value Score: 3.31 ★ ML: 3.00 (5/2) Overlay %: -0.99 Fair Odds: 4.40 (7/2) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	A	A
Finish Pos	A	B
Dirt Speed	B	B
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	B
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	B	C
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	A	A
Sprint FPS	D	D
Route FPS	D	C
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	B	C
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (55%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (36.36%). (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 88 vs field 84). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Career-best figure (90) buried in races 4–10 back — 18 pts above race median and 12 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (7) Cutting back to sprint (1430 yds) from routes — sprint speed figures (41.6) are 5.4 pts better than route figures (36.2). (8) Averages 79.1 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 37.0 in other configs (8 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Return to Proven Setup, Early Speed Edge, Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Distance Cutback, Hot Trainer.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($7,500 → $10,000). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (4) Trip note from last race: Tired;eased stretch. (5) Consistently breaks behind post position (4 of last 5 starts). (6) Consistently runs wide at the first call (4 of last 5 starts). (7) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($16,000 → $10,000 → $7,500). (8) Rising in class ($7,500 → $10,000) after finishing 10 last out — double negative. (9) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 27.8 pts: [14, 74, 78, 77, 75]) — unpredictable performer. (10) Both speed figures (78→74→14) AND claiming price ($16,000→$10,000→$7,500) have declined in each of last 3 starts.

Mod1(W): 61 (5/7) Mod2(W): 48 (6/7) Mod3(W): 68 (5/7) Mod1-LS: 60 (5/7) Mod2-LS: 43 (7/7) Mod3-LS: 17 (7/7) Mod4(Form): 30 (5/7) Win Prob: 46% Value Score: 5.18 ★ ML: 8.00 (7/1) Overlay %: 2.50 Fair Odds: 7.80 (7/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	F	F
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	C
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	D	C
Finish Pos	F	F
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	A	A
Distance Speed	F	D
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	C	B
Late Pace	F	D
Sprint FPS	F	C
Route FPS	F	D
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	C
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (78) well above field median (72). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (48.00%). (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 84 vs field 79). (5) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (7) Trainer 'VALDEZ-CABRAL MARTIN MANUEL' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Career-best figure (85) buried in races 4–10 back — 13 pts above race median and 7 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Class Superiority, Troubled Trip Comeback, Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Late Kick Advantage, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Sent;outkicked;2d best. (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race.

Mod1(W): 93 (2/7) Mod2(W): 82 (2/7) Mod3(W): 84 (3/7) Mod1-LS: 51 (6/7) Mod2-LS: 77 (2/7) Mod3-LS: 37 (5/7) Mod4(Form): 64 (3/7) Win Prob: 65.3% Value Score: 4.5 ★ ML: 4.50 (7/2) Overlay %: -1.11 Fair Odds: 6.46 (11/2) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	C	B
Late Pace	A	A
Finish Pos	B	B
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	D	D
Distance Speed	B	B
Trainer Effectiveness	B	B
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	B	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	A	A
Sprint FPS	B	A
Route FPS	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	B	B
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	B	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	C	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 88 vs field 84). (4) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Trainer 'MARR JOEL H' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'V']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 6/10 — angles: Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Early Speed Edge, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($6,250 → $10,000). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Vied 3wd; inched clear. (4) Last race was career-best speed (74) — bounce risk after peak effort. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 28 days since last race.

Mod1(W): 59 (6/7) Mod2(W): 44 (7/7) Mod3(W): 50 (7/7) Mod1-LS: 83 (3/7) Mod2-LS: 43 (6/7) Mod3-LS: 59 (4/7) Mod4(Form): 30 (6/7) Win Prob: 51.9% Value Score: 5.84 ★ ML: 8.00 (7/1) Overlay %: 2.65 Fair Odds: 7.68 (7/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	C
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	D	C
Finish Pos	C	B
Dirt Speed	D	C
Turf Speed	D	D
Distance Speed	D	C
Trainer Effectiveness	D	B
Jockey Effectiveness	A	B
3rd Party Ratings	D	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	C
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	D	C
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	D	B
Jockey Effectiveness	A	B
3rd Party Ratings	D	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	C
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (80) well above field median (72). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (54%). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 11 wins from 34 starts (32%). (4) Career-best speed figure (79) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (5) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (6) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 83 vs field 79). (7) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (8) Trainer 'CAPPELLUCCI DICK' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 10/10 — angles: Class Superiority, Career-Best Recent Figure, Hot Trainer-Jockey Pairing, Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Closer in Pace Duel, Stable on Fire, Late Kick Advantage, Hot Trainer.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($5,000 → $10,000). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Bmpd st;bid 4w;gamely.

Mod1(W): 100 (1/7) Mod2(W): 100 (1/7) Mod3(W): 100 (1/7) Mod1-LS: 85 (2/7) Mod2-LS: 100 (1/7) Mod3-LS: 85 (2/7) Mod4(Form): 100 (1/7) Win Prob: 71.5% Value Score: 3.14 ★ ML: 2.50 (9/5) Overlay %: -7.92 Fair Odds: 5.71 (11/2) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	A
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	A	A
Finish Pos	D	C
Dirt Speed	C	B
Turf Speed	A	A
Distance Speed	A	B
Trainer Effectiveness	B	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	B	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	A	A
Sprint FPS	B	A
Route FPS	D	B
Trainer Effectiveness	B	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	B	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	D	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Career-best speed figure (81) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (31.82%). (4) Strong speed 2 back (81), modest dip last out (74) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (5) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Troubled Trip Comeback, Form Reversal, Won at This Distance, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Stalk 3w;yielded lane.

Mod1(W): 50 (7/7) Mod2(W): 58 (4/7) Mod3(W): 59 (6/7) Mod1-LS: 100 (1/7) Mod2-LS: 57 (4/7) Mod3-LS: 100 (1/7) Mod4(Form): 29 (7/7) Win Prob: 46.2% Value Score: 5.21 ★ ML: 8.00 (7/1) Overlay %: 3.58 Fair Odds: 7.03 (6/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	C	B
Finish Pos	A	B
Dirt Speed	B	B
Turf Speed	D	D
Distance Speed	F	D
Trainer Effectiveness	D	C
Jockey Effectiveness	F	D
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	B	B
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	D	C
Jockey Effectiveness	F	D
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (44%). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['F', 'O', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 6/10 — angles: Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: 3p-ins; no factor.

Mod1(W): 70 (4/7) Mod2(W): 54 (5/7) Mod3(W): 72 (4/7) Mod1-LS: 0 Mod2-LS: 54 (5/7) Mod3-LS: 26 (6/7) Mod4(Form): 57 (4/7) Win Prob: 53.4% Value Score: 4.01 ★ ML: 5.00 (9/2) Overlay %: -0.41 Fair Odds: 6.75 (6/1) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	C
Early Pace	F	C
Mid Pace	F	C
Late Pace	B	B
Finish Pos	B	B
Dirt Speed	D	B
Turf Speed	B	B
Distance Speed	B	B
Trainer Effectiveness	C	B
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	C	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	B
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	F	C
Late Pace	B	B
Sprint FPS	D	B
Route FPS	D	B
Trainer Effectiveness	C	B
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	C	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	C
Early Pace	F	C
Mid Pace	F	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 49-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (40.54%). (4) 4 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (5) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (6) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (7) Consistent workout spacing (7, 8 days) — disciplined training regimen. (8) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Dropping in class ($10,000 vs last $12,500) after a 49-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (10) Returning from 49-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (11) Trainer 'GONZALEZ ANDRES' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (12) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Class Drop After Rest, Bullet Workout, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Stable on Fire, Sharp Return Workout, Sharp Workout Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 49 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Speed average (63) well below field median (72). (4) Trip note from last race: Inside;4p;empty. (5) Post 7 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (6) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.2 pts: [47, 62, 62, 72, 66]) — unpredictable performer.

Mod1(W): 0 Mod2(W): 0 Mod3(W): 0 Mod1-LS: 11 (7/7) Mod2-LS: 0 Mod3-LS: 0 Mod4(Form): 0 Win Prob: 35% Value Score: 7.02 ★ ML: 15.00 (14/1) Overlay %: 5.90 Fair Odds: 8.18 (7/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	F	D
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	D	B
Late Pace	F	D
Finish Pos	D	F
Dirt Speed	F	C
Turf Speed	B	C
Distance Speed	C	C
Trainer Effectiveness	F	D
Jockey Effectiveness	D	C
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	D	D
Sprint FPS	C	B
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	F	D
Jockey Effectiveness	D	C
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	D
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	D	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (54%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 4 wins from 10 starts (40%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (33.93%). (4) Track specialist — 2 wins from 8 starts here (25%). (5) Fourth race back from a 83-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (6) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (8) Trainer 'ARMSTRONG SHERRY' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (9) Career-best figure (84) buried in races 4–10 back — 12 pts above race median and 7 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (10) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S', 'U']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Hot Trainer-Jockey Pairing, Troubled Trip Comeback, Won Here Before, Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Track Specialist, Stable on Fire, Hot Trainer, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($7,500 → $10,000). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (4) Trip note from last race: 3w-ins;duel;gamely. (5) Post 8 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 81 (3/7) Mod2(W): 76 (3/7) Mod3(W): 86 (2/7) Mod1-LS: 71 (4/7) Mod2-LS: 73 (3/7) Mod3-LS: 60 (3/7) Mod4(Form): 81 (2/7) Win Prob: 59.9% Value Score: 3.37 ★ ML: 3.50 (5/2) Overlay %: -5.18 Fair Odds: 6.96 (6/1) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	B
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	B	B
Finish Pos	A	B
Dirt Speed	B	B
Turf Speed	D	D
Distance Speed	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	D	C
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	C
Early Pace	F	C
Mid Pace	D	B
Late Pace	C	B
Sprint FPS	D	C
Route FPS	C	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	D	C
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	B
Early Pace	D	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 151-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (4) 4 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (5) Consistent workout spacing (8, 7 days) — disciplined training regimen. (6) Dropping in class ($5,000 vs last $6,250) after a 151-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (7) Trainer 'GONZALEZ ANDRES' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Career-best figure (77) buried in races 4–10 back — 11 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'S', 'V']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Class Drop After Rest, Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Hidden Figure, Stable on Fire, Sharp Workout Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 151 days. (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 7 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Prsd pc;4p;gave way. (4) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (5) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 40 (5/7) Mod2(W): 37 (5/7) Mod3(W): 33 (5/7) Mod1-LS: 93 (2/7) Mod2-LS: 40 (5/7) Mod3-LS: 43 (4/7) Mod4(Form): 24 (5/7) Win Prob: 44.5% Value Score: 5.23 ★ ML: 8.00 (7/1) Overlay %: 8.47 Fair Odds: 4.89 (9/2) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P-P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	D	C
Finish Pos	C	D
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	B	C
Distance Speed	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	B	D
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	F	C
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	B	D
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	D
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (38%). (2) Career-best speed figure (75) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Equipment change today (code: 2). (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (11.11%). (5) Fourth race back from a 71-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (6) Strong speed 2 back (75), modest dip last out (66) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (7) Trainer 'BLEA TONY JR' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Form Reversal, Stable on Fire, Hot Trainer, Classic Fourth Race Pattern, Equipment Change.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (4 of last 5 starts). (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 9 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Off slw;2p;up 4th;cght. (4) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (5) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 25 (7/7) Mod2(W): 26 (6/7) Mod3(W): 21 (6/7) Mod1-LS: 51 (3/7) Mod2-LS: 25 (6/7) Mod3-LS: 56 (2/7) Mod4(Form): 15 (6/7) Win Prob: 31.8% Value Score: 4.58 ★ ML: 10.00 (9/1) Overlay %: 4.79 Fair Odds: 7.51 (7/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P-P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	B	B
Finish Pos	D	F
Dirt Speed	D	C
Turf Speed	C	C
Distance Speed	D	B
Trainer Effectiveness	A	C
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	C	D
Late Pace	C	B
Sprint FPS	B	C
Route FPS	D	D
Trainer Effectiveness	A	C
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Big last-race effort (66) — 17 pts above recent average. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (25.00%). (4) Track specialist — 2 wins from 6 starts here (33%). (5) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 87 vs field 82). (6) Fourth race back from a 106-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (7) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Trainer 'BARRIOS BERNADETTE' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Big Last Effort, Early Speed Edge, Won at This Distance, Track Specialist, Stable on Fire, Won Here Before, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Speed average (56) well below field median (66). (2) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (3) Trip note from last race: Press ins;faded lane. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 17.9 pts: [66, 56, 61, 29, 29]) — unpredictable performer.

Mod1(W): 0 Mod2(W): 0 Mod3(W): 0 Mod1-LS: 14 (6/7) Mod2-LS: 0 Mod3-LS: 0 Mod4(Form): 0 Win Prob: 31.8% Value Score: 6.65 ★ ML: 15.00 (14/1) Overlay %: 5.17 Fair Odds: 9.05 (8/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P-P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	F	F
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	F	D
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	F	D
Finish Pos	F	F
Dirt Speed	F	C
Turf Speed	A	B
Distance Speed	F	C
Trainer Effectiveness	C	F
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	D
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	D	C
Sprint FPS	C	C
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	C	F
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($7,500 → $5,000). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (20.93%). (4) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Trainer 'ROJERO LUIS C' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (7) Career-best figure (80) buried in races 4–10 back — 14 pts above race median and 11 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Class Drop, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Swung 6w;evenly late. (2) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race.

Mod1(W): 25 (6/7) Mod2(W): 18 (7/7) Mod3(W): 17 (7/7) Mod1-LS: 9 (7/7) Mod2-LS: 19 (7/7) Mod3-LS: 24 (5/7) Mod4(Form): 7 (7/7) Win Prob: 24.2% Value Score: 4.12 ★ ML: 12.00 (11/1) Overlay %: 4.45 Fair Odds: 8.67 (8/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P-P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	F
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	D	C
Finish Pos	D	F
Dirt Speed	B	B
Turf Speed	D	D
Distance Speed	B	B
Trainer Effectiveness	D	F
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	C	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	B	B
Sprint FPS	D	C
Route FPS	F	D
Trainer Effectiveness	D	F
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	C	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (2) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 80 vs field 74). (3) Fourth race back from a 50-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (4) Career-best figure (74) buried in races 4–10 back — 8 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'T']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 6/10 — angles: Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Hidden Figure, Late Kick Advantage, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 10 recent starts). (2) Trip note from last race: 3p;5p1/8;rallied btwn. (3) Consistently runs wide at the first call (4 of last 5 starts). (4) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 28 days since last race. (6) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 61 (3/7) Mod2(W): 58 (2/7) Mod3(W): 60 (2/7) Mod1-LS: 22 (5/7) Mod2-LS: 57 (2/7) Mod3-LS: 51 (3/7) Mod4(Form): 53 (3/7) Win Prob: 60.1% Value Score: 4.32 ★ ML: 4.50 (7/2) Overlay %: -1.22 Fair Odds: 6.88 (6/1) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P-P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	B	A
Finish Pos	C	D
Dirt Speed	C	B
Turf Speed	D	D
Distance Speed	C	B
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	D
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	A	A
Sprint FPS	F	D
Route FPS	C	D
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	D
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($7,500 → $5,000). (2) Only early-speed horse in the race - uncontested lead possible. (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (38%). (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (44%). (5) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 86 vs field 82). (6) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Trainer 'BLEA TONY JR' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Career-best figure (76) buried in races 4–10 back — 10 pts above race median and 8 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'O', 'T']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Averages 68.0 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 62.0 in other configs (6 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 10/10 — angles: Lone Speed Advantage, Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Return to Proven Setup, Early Speed Edge, Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Hot Trainer, Class Drop.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Speed average (58) well below field median (66). (2) Trip note from last race: Track 2wd btw; no bid.

Mod1(W): 57 (4/7) Mod2(W): 45 (4/7) Mod3(W): 48 (4/7) Mod1-LS: 0 Mod2-LS: 49 (4/7) Mod3-LS: 21 (7/7) Mod4(Form): 47 (4/7) Win Prob: 56% Value Score: 4.39 ★ ML: 5.00 (9/2) Overlay %: -1.46 Fair Odds: 7.85 (7/1) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P-P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	C	C
Finish Pos	B	C
Dirt Speed	D	B
Turf Speed	D	D
Distance Speed	D	B
Trainer Effectiveness	A	C
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	A	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	D	B
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	C
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	A	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($7,500 → $5,000). (2) Speed average (74) well above field median (66). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (43%). (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (31.82%). (5) In the money in last 3 consecutive starts. (6) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 81 vs field 74). (7) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 10/10 — angles: Class Superiority, Consistent In-The-Money, Troubled Trip Comeback, Won at This Distance, Late Kick Advantage, Hot Trainer, Class Drop, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Trckd 3-4w;surged;up. (2) Post 7 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 100 (1/7) Mod2(W): 100 (1/7) Mod3(W): 100 (1/7) Mod1-LS: 100 (1/7) Mod2-LS: 100 (1/7) Mod3-LS: 100 (1/7) Mod4(Form): 100 (1/7) Win Prob: 85.2% Value Score: 2.67 ★ ML: 1.40 (10/11) Overlay %: -17.08 Fair Odds: 5.75 (11/2) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P-P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	A	A
Finish Pos	A	B
Dirt Speed	B	B
Turf Speed	B	B
Distance Speed	C	B
Trainer Effectiveness	A	C
Jockey Effectiveness	C	D
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	A	A
Sprint FPS	B	A
Route FPS	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	C
Jockey Effectiveness	C	D
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	C	C

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AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (71) well above field median (66). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Equipment change today (code: 1). (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (33.93%). (5) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 83 vs field 74). (6) Fourth race back from a 366-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (7) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Career-best figure (79) buried in races 4–10 back — 13 pts above race median and 11 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 8/10 — angles: Class Superiority, Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Late Kick Advantage, Classic Fourth Race Pattern, Equipment Change.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (2) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 7 starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Ins;chase 5w;no rally. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 20 days since last race. (5) Post 8 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 69 (2/7) Mod2(W): 56 (3/7) Mod3(W): 58 (3/7) Mod1-LS: 43 (4/7) Mod2-LS: 57 (3/7) Mod3-LS: 22 (6/7) Mod4(Form): 59 (2/7) Win Prob: 50.7% Value Score: 3.31 ★ ML: 4.00 (7/2) Overlay %: -3.12 Fair Odds: 7.20 (6/1) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P-P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	A	A
Finish Pos	A	C
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	A	A
Distance Speed	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	D	F
Jockey Effectiveness	B	C
3rd Party Ratings	B	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	B	A
Sprint FPS	D	D
Route FPS	D	D
Trainer Effectiveness	D	F
Jockey Effectiveness	B	C
3rd Party Ratings	B	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	C

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AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (40.54%). (3) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 88 vs field 83). (5) Strong speed 2 back (68), modest dip last out (62) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (6) Trainer 'GONZALEZ ANDRES' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (7) Career-best figure (76) buried in races 4–10 back — 10 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Troubled Trip Comeback, Form Reversal, Bullet Workout, Early Speed Edge, Hidden Figure, Stable on Fire.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($5,000 → $7,500). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 8 recent starts). (4) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 6 starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Pace 2wd;weakened. (6) Rising in class ($5,000 → $7,500) after finishing 4 last out — double negative. (7) Stepping up to $7,500 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $6,250). (8) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 41 (6/8) Mod2(W): 31 (6/8) Mod3(W): 35 (6/8) Mod1-LS: 60 (4/8) Mod2-LS: 39 (6/8) Mod3-LS: 67 (2/8) Mod4(Form): 15 (6/8) Win Prob: 46% Value Score: 9.37 ★ ML: 15.00 (14/1) Overlay %: 5.55 Fair Odds: 8.56 (8/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	C	C
Finish Pos	A	C
Dirt Speed	D	B
Turf Speed	A	A
Distance Speed	C	C
Trainer Effectiveness	D	D
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	D	D
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	D	D
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 125-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Dropping in class today ($20,000 → $7,500). (3) Speed average (71) well above field median (66). (4) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (46%). (5) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (41.67%). (6) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 74 vs field 69). (7) Dropping in class ($7,500 vs last $20,000) after a 125-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (8) Trainer 'MARR JOEL H' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (9) Career-best figure (82) buried in races 4–10 back — 16 pts above race median and 7 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 10/10 — angles: Class Superiority, Class Drop After Rest, Hidden Figure, Stable on Fire, Late Kick Advantage, Hot Trainer, Class Drop.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 125 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 8 recent starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Svd gnd;no bid. (5) 0 wins from post 2 in 3 recent starts. (6) 0 wins from 8 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 92 (2/8) Mod2(W): 76 (3/8) Mod3(W): 91 (2/8) Mod1-LS: 47 (5/8) Mod2-LS: 82 (3/8) Mod3-LS: 37 (6/8) Mod4(Form): 75 (4/8) Win Prob: 66.2% Value Score: 4.22 ★ ML: 4.00 (7/2) Overlay %: -2.11 Fair Odds: 6.36 (11/2) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	A	B
Finish Pos	D	F
Dirt Speed	B	B
Turf Speed	B	B
Distance Speed	A	B
Trainer Effectiveness	B	B
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	D	D
Sprint FPS	B	B
Route FPS	C	B
Trainer Effectiveness	B	B
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (11.11%). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($5,000 → $7,500). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Speed average (57) well below field median (66). (4) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 7 recent starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Close up 3-4w;no rally. (6) Rising in class ($5,000 → $7,500) after finishing 6 last out — double negative. (7) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 6 (8/8) Mod2(W): 8 (8/8) Mod3(W): 14 (8/8) Mod1-LS: 0 Mod2-LS: 9 (8/8) Mod3-LS: 8 (8/8) Mod4(Form): 2 (7/8) Win Prob: 17.1% Value Score: 4.57 ★ ML: 20.00 (20/1) Overlay %: 5.60 Fair Odds: 9.71 (9/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	D	D
Finish Pos	C	D
Dirt Speed	B	B
Turf Speed	B	B
Distance Speed	D	C
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	C	B
Late Pace	C	C
Sprint FPS	C	B
Route FPS	C	B
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Big last-race effort (61) — 9 pts above recent average. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (4) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Trainer 'BARRIOS BERNADETTE' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 8/10 — angles: Big Last Effort, Hot Jockey, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($5,000 → $7,500). (2) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (4 of last 5 starts). (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Speed average (54) well below field median (66). (5) Trip note from last race: Asked 4w;by faders. (6) 0 wins from post 4 in 3 recent starts. (7) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (8) Rising in class ($5,000 → $7,500) after finishing 5 last out — double negative.

Mod1(W): 9 (7/8) Mod2(W): 10 (7/8) Mod3(W): 17 (7/8) Mod1-LS: 18 (7/8) Mod2-LS: 11 (7/8) Mod3-LS: 25 (7/8) Mod4(Form): 2 (8/8) Win Prob: 26.6% Value Score: 7.12 ★ ML: 20.00 (20/1) Overlay %: 5.65 Fair Odds: 9.66 (9/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	F	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	F	D
Finish Pos	D	F
Dirt Speed	F	C
Turf Speed	C	C
Distance Speed	B	C
Trainer Effectiveness	D	F
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	C	B
Late Pace	F	D
Sprint FPS	C	B
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	D	F
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (36.17%). (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 82 vs field 69). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Career-best figure (78) buried in races 4–10 back — 12 pts above race median and 8 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['L', 'O', 'S']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) Averages 72.4 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 66.2 in other configs (5 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 6/10 — angles: Troubled Trip Comeback, Return to Proven Setup, Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Late Kick Advantage.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 9 starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Chase 4w;no rally. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 10.9 pts: [61, 50, 70, 75, 76]) — unpredictable performer.

Mod1(W): 56 (5/8) Mod2(W): 55 (5/8) Mod3(W): 55 (5/8) Mod1-LS: 63 (3/8) Mod2-LS: 58 (5/8) Mod3-LS: 54 (4/8) Mod4(Form): 38 (5/8) Win Prob: 38.9% Value Score: 4.46 ★ ML: 8.00 (7/1) Overlay %: 2.33 Fair Odds: 8.05 (7/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	A	A
Finish Pos	B	C
Dirt Speed	A	B
Turf Speed	B	B
Distance Speed	F	F
Trainer Effectiveness	B	B
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	C	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	B	C
Sprint FPS	D	B
Route FPS	D	C
Trainer Effectiveness	B	B
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	C	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($75,000 → $40,000). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (42%). (3) Career-best speed figure (89) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (33%). (5) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Trainer 'ASMUSSEN STEVEN M' has 4 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Class Drop, Hot Trainer.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Tracked rail; weakened.

Mod1(W): 66 (6/7) Mod2(W): 64 (4/7) Mod3(W): 61 (6/7) Mod1-LS: 0 Mod2-LS: 66 (4/7) Mod3-LS: 50 (4/7) Mod4(Form): 53 (6/7) Win Prob: 29.7% Value Score: 2.71 ★ ML: 6.00 (11/2) Overlay %: 1.29 Fair Odds: 7.16 (6/1) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — OP

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — OP

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	B
Early Pace	C	D
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	C	B
Finish Pos	D	F
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	A	A
Distance Speed	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	D	D
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	B	B
Sprint FPS	B	C
Route FPS	B	C
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	D	D
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	B
Early Pace	C	D
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (54%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 4 wins from 10 starts (40%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (33.93%). (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 72 vs field 69). (5) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Trainer 'ARMSTRONG SHERRY' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 8/10 — angles: Hot Trainer-Jockey Pairing, Troubled Trip Comeback, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Late Kick Advantage, Hot Trainer.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 83 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Stalk;4p;duel;up. (4) Last race was career-best speed (76) — bounce risk after peak effort. (5) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($12,500 → $10,000 → $7,500). (6) First start at SUN — never raced here before (last seen at: ZIA, ALB).

Mod1(W): 78 (3/8) Mod2(W): 77 (2/8) Mod3(W): 78 (4/8) Mod1-LS: 75 (2/8) Mod2-LS: 83 (2/8) Mod3-LS: 59 (3/8) Mod4(Form): 92 (2/8) Win Prob: 70.1% Value Score: 3.57 ★ ML: 3.00 (5/2) Overlay %: -7.84 Fair Odds: 7.49 (6/1) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	B	C
Finish Pos	C	F
Dirt Speed	D	B
Turf Speed	C	B
Distance Speed	F	F
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	D	C
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	A	B
Sprint FPS	B	A
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	D	C
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (31.82%). (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($5,000 → $7,500). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Speed average (56) well below field median (66). (4) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 8 recent starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Awk stride 1/2; 4-2p. (6) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (7) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (8) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (9) Rising in class ($5,000 → $7,500) after finishing 7 last out — double negative. (10) Post 7 in a 9-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (11) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 0 Mod2(W): 0 Mod3(W): 0 Mod1-LS: 14 (8/8) Mod2-LS: 0 Mod3-LS: 0 Mod4(Form): 0 Win Prob: 14.9% Value Score: 3.98 ★ ML: 20.00 (20/1) Overlay %: 5.44 Fair Odds: 9.90 (9/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	B	C
Finish Pos	F	F
Dirt Speed	C	B
Turf Speed	F	D
Distance Speed	A	B
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	D	D
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	B	B
Sprint FPS	F	D
Route FPS	F	D
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	D	D
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 49-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Big last-race effort (74) — 15 pts above recent average. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (5) 3 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (6) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (7) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Returning from 49-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (9) Trainer 'LAMBERT CASEY T' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (10) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 8/10 — angles: Big Last Effort, Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Stable on Fire, Sharp Return Workout, Sharp Workout Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 49 days. (2) Rising in class today ($5,000 → $7,500). (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Trip note from last race: Bmp brk;4p;bid1/4;ltgn. (5) Consistently breaks behind post position (5 of last 5 starts). (6) Consistently runs wide at the first call (4 of last 5 starts). (7) Last race was career-best speed (74) — bounce risk after peak effort. (8) Post 8 in a 9-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (9) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.2 pts: [74, 54, 62, 62, 72]) — unpredictable performer.

Mod1(W): 71 (4/8) Mod2(W): 66 (4/8) Mod3(W): 85 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 35 (6/8) Mod2-LS: 69 (4/8) Mod3-LS: 44 (5/8) Mod4(Form): 84 (3/8) Win Prob: 63.9% Value Score: 3.66 ★ ML: 3.50 (5/2) Overlay %: -5.16 Fair Odds: 7.14 (6/1) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	C
Finish Pos	A	C
Dirt Speed	D	C
Turf Speed	D	C
Distance Speed	C	C
Trainer Effectiveness	C	C
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	C	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	C	C
Sprint FPS	D	C
Route FPS	D	D
Trainer Effectiveness	C	C
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	C	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (54%). (2) Big last-race effort (83) — 10 pts above recent average. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (4) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (5) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 89 vs field 83). (6) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Returning from 55-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (8) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Trainer 'ARMSTRONG SHERRY' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (10) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Big Last Effort, Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Bullet Workout, Early Speed Edge, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Sharp Return Workout, Hot Trainer, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 55 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Bmp brk;2p;dug in;held. (4) Last race was career-best speed (83) — bounce risk after peak effort. (5) Post 9 in a 9-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 100 (1/8) Mod2(W): 100 (1/8) Mod3(W): 100 (1/8) Mod1-LS: 100 (1/8) Mod2-LS: 100 (1/8) Mod3-LS: 100 (1/8) Mod4(Form): 100 (1/8) Win Prob: 72.1% Value Score: 3.22 ★ ML: 2.50 (9/5) Overlay %: -9.46 Fair Odds: 6.72 (6/1) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	D	D
Finish Pos	B	C
Dirt Speed	A	B
Turf Speed	F	D
Distance Speed	A	B
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	A	B
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Career-best speed figure (84) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (45%). (4) In the money in last 3 consecutive starts. (5) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (6) Strong speed 2 back (84), modest dip last out (76) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (7) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S', 'U']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Consistent In-The-Money, Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Form Reversal, Bullet Workout, Won at This Distance, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Duel pace ins;repelled.

Mod1(W): 74 (4/7) Mod2(W): 73 (4/7) Mod3(W): 67 (4/7) Mod1-LS: 46 (6/7) Mod2-LS: 71 (4/7) Mod3-LS: 53 (3/7) Mod4(Form): 74 (4/7) Win Prob: 61.1% Value Score: 4.19 ★ ML: 4.50 (7/2) Overlay %: -2.11 Fair Odds: 7.01 (6/1) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	B
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	B	B
Finish Pos	B	B
Dirt Speed	D	B
Turf Speed	C	B
Distance Speed	F	B
Trainer Effectiveness	C	C
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	C	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	B
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	D	A
Late Pace	B	B
Sprint FPS	B	A
Route FPS	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	C	C
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	C	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	B
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (84) well above field median (78). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (55%). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 4 wins from 11 starts (36%). (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (5) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 88 vs field 78). (6) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (7) Fourth race back from a 212-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (8) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Career-best figure (95) buried in races 4–10 back — 17 pts above race median and 8 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (10) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 10/10 — angles: Class Superiority, Hot Trainer-Jockey Pairing, Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Late Kick Advantage, Hot Trainer, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Awk st;3-4w;outkicked.

Mod1(W): 100 (1/7) Mod2(W): 100 (1/7) Mod3(W): 89 (2/7) Mod1-LS: 78 (3/7) Mod2-LS: 100 (1/7) Mod3-LS: 38 (5/7) Mod4(Form): 82 (3/7) Win Prob: 70.8% Value Score: 4.41 ★ ML: 4.00 (7/2) Overlay %: -1.82 Fair Odds: 6.03 (11/2) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	A
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	D	B
Late Pace	A	A
Finish Pos	D	C
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	A	A
Distance Speed	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	A	A
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	A
Early Pace	D	B
Mid Pace	B	A
Late Pace	A	A
Sprint FPS	D	B
Route FPS	D	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	A	A
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	A
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	D	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 49-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (36.00%). (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Returning from 49-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (6) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (7) Carries 5 lbs less than field median (119 lbs vs median 124 lbs). (8) Averages 75.2 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 67.5 in other configs (8 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 6/10 — angles: Return to Proven Setup, Won at This Distance, Sharp Return Workout, Won Here Before, Weight Advantage.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 49 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Bmp brk;svd gnd;faded.

Mod1(W): 47 (7/7) Mod2(W): 49 (6/7) Mod3(W): 49 (5/7) Mod1-LS: 93 (2/7) Mod2-LS: 46 (7/7) Mod3-LS: 100 (1/7) Mod4(Form): 31 (7/7) Win Prob: 36.2% Value Score: 4.97 ★ ML: 10.00 (9/1) Overlay %: 4.92 Fair Odds: 7.19 (6/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	B
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	C	B
Late Pace	C	B
Finish Pos	B	B
Dirt Speed	F	B
Turf Speed	D	D
Distance Speed	D	A
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	D	C
3rd Party Ratings	B	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	A
Early Pace	B	A
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	B	B
Sprint FPS	D	B
Route FPS	D	B
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	D	C
3rd Party Ratings	B	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	B
Early Pace	B	A
Mid Pace	B	A
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Fourth race back from a 78-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (5) Strong speed 2 back (70), modest dip last out (61) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (6) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Hot Jockey, Form Reversal, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (67) well below field median (78). (3) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 8 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Ins-3w;no response. (5) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (6) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (7) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race. (8) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.8 pts: [61, 70, 52, 73, 76]) — unpredictable performer.

Mod1(W): 0 Mod2(W): 0 Mod3(W): 0 Mod1-LS: 0 Mod2-LS: 0 Mod3-LS: 0 Mod4(Form): 0 Win Prob: 22.2% Value Score: 5.81 ★ ML: 20.00 (20/1) Overlay %: 5.84 Fair Odds: 9.35 (8/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	F	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	F	C
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	C
Late Pace	F	C
Finish Pos	D	D
Dirt Speed	C	A
Turf Speed	B	B
Distance Speed	C	A
Trainer Effectiveness	D	D
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	F	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	D
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	C
Late Pace	F	D
Sprint FPS	F	C
Route FPS	F	C
Trainer Effectiveness	D	D
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	F	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	C
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (28.57%). (3) Track specialist — 2 wins from 8 starts here (25%). (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Trainer 'GONZALEZ ANDRES' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (7) Career-best figure (87) buried in races 4–10 back — 9 pts above race median and 12 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 6/10 — angles: Troubled Trip Comeback, Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Track Specialist, Stable on Fire, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (3 of 5 starts). (3) Trip note from last race: 3-4w;willingly;mssd 2d. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.0 pts: [75, 67, 66, 84, 85]) — unpredictable performer.

Mod1(W): 54 (6/7) Mod2(W): 51 (5/7) Mod3(W): 44 (7/7) Mod1-LS: 6 (7/7) Mod2-LS: 52 (5/7) Mod3-LS: 3 (7/7) Mod4(Form): 56 (5/7) Win Prob: 47.4% Value Score: 4.14 ★ ML: 6.00 (11/2) Overlay %: 0.20 Fair Odds: 7.58 (7/1) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	B
Early Pace	D	B
Mid Pace	D	B
Late Pace	B	B
Finish Pos	C	C
Dirt Speed	C	A
Turf Speed	D	D
Distance Speed	D	A
Trainer Effectiveness	D	D
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	D	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	C
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	D	B
Late Pace	C	B
Sprint FPS	B	A
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	D	D
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	D	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	B
Early Pace	B	A
Mid Pace	D	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (31.82%). (3) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (4) Career-best figure (95) buried in races 4–10 back — 17 pts above race median and 16 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 4/10 — angles: Off-Track Ace, Hidden Figure.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 7 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Saved ground;no rally. (4) 0 wins from post 6 in 3 recent starts. (5) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 20 days since last race. (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.7 pts: [73, 78, 79, 95, 75]) — unpredictable performer. (8) 0 wins from 9 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 62 (5/7) Mod2(W): 46 (7/7) Mod3(W): 47 (6/7) Mod1-LS: 65 (4/7) Mod2-LS: 46 (6/7) Mod3-LS: 19 (6/7) Mod4(Form): 40 (6/7) Win Prob: 41% Value Score: 4.6 ★ ML: 8.00 (7/1) Overlay %: 2.86 Fair Odds: 7.50 (6/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	B
Early Pace	B	A
Mid Pace	B	A
Late Pace	D	B
Finish Pos	F	D
Dirt Speed	B	A
Turf Speed	A	A
Distance Speed	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	D	D
3rd Party Ratings	D	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	B
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	C	B
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	D	D
3rd Party Ratings	D	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	B
Early Pace	C	A
Mid Pace	C	A
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 36-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (55%). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 10 wins from 35 starts (29%). (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (37.23%). (5) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 92 vs field 88). (6) Fourth race back from a 66-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (7) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Dropping in class ($15,000 vs last $20,000) after a 36-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (9) Outstanding wet-track record: 4W from 7 starts (57%) — thrives when the going is off. (10) Career-best figure (91) buried in races 4–10 back — 13 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Class Drop After Rest, Hot Trainer-Jockey Pairing, Off-Track Ace, Early Speed Edge, Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Hot Trainer, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 36 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Vied 2w-3pbtw;gave way. (4) Post 7 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.5 pts: [71, 65, 85, 76, 84]) — unpredictable performer. (6) First start at SUN — never raced here before (last seen at: TUP, ALB).

Mod1(W): 85 (3/7) Mod2(W): 89 (3/7) Mod3(W): 86 (3/7) Mod1-LS: 54 (5/7) Mod2-LS: 88 (3/7) Mod3-LS: 42 (4/7) Mod4(Form): 91 (2/7) Win Prob: 68.3% Value Score: 3.83 ★ ML: 3.50 (5/2) Overlay %: -3.63 Fair Odds: 6.04 (11/2) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	A
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	D	B
Finish Pos	A	B
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	D	D
Distance Speed	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	B	A
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	B
Early Pace	B	A
Mid Pace	B	A
Late Pace	D	C
Sprint FPS	C	A
Route FPS	C	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	B	A
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	B
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (43%). (2) Career-best speed figure (88) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (36.36%). (4) In the money in last 8 consecutive starts. (5) Strong speed 2 back (88), modest dip last out (80) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (6) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Returning from 49-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (8) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Consistent In-The-Money, Troubled Trip Comeback, Form Reversal, Won at This Distance, Sharp Return Workout, Hot Trainer, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 49 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Stalk;5p;drift;clear. (4) Post 8 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 96 (2/7) Mod2(W): 97 (2/7) Mod3(W): 100 (1/7) Mod1-LS: 100 (1/7) Mod2-LS: 99 (2/7) Mod3-LS: 94 (2/7) Mod4(Form): 100 (1/7) Win Prob: 64.1% Value Score: 3.2 ★ ML: 3.00 (5/2) Overlay %: -6.26 Fair Odds: 6.25 (11/2) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	A
Early Pace	B	A
Mid Pace	B	A
Late Pace	A	A
Finish Pos	A	B
Dirt Speed	B	A
Turf Speed	C	B
Distance Speed	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	A	A
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	A
Early Pace	D	B
Mid Pace	C	A
Late Pace	A	A
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	A	A
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	D	B
Mid Pace	B	A
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (29.58%). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (60) well below field median (68). (3) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (4) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 4 recent starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Outrun;eased stretch. (6) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins.

Mod1(W): 0 Mod2(W): 0 Mod3(W): 0 Mod1-LS: 0 Mod2-LS: 0 Mod3-LS: 19 (6/7) Mod4(Form): 0 Win Prob: 15.2% Value Score: 3.97 ★ ML: 20.00 (20/1) Overlay %: 5.25 Fair Odds: 10.00 (9/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	F	F
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	F	D
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	D	D
Finish Pos	D	F
Dirt Speed	C	B
Turf Speed	A	A
Distance Speed	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	F	D
Sprint FPS	F	D
Route FPS	F	D
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($7,500 → $5,000). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (38%). (3) Big last-race effort (76) — 9 pts above recent average. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (25.00%). (5) Fourth race back from a 69-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (6) Trainer 'BLEA TONY JR' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (7) Career-best figure (81) buried in races 4–10 back — 13 pts above race median and 5 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'T']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 8/10 — angles: Big Last Effort, Troubled Trip Comeback, Hidden Figure, Stable on Fire, Hot Trainer, Class Drop, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 8 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Pace 2w;re-bid 4w late.

Mod1(W): 86 (3/7) Mod2(W): 79 (3/7) Mod3(W): 92 (4/7) Mod1-LS: 68 (7/7) Mod2-LS: 77 (4/7) Mod3-LS: 56 (3/7) Mod4(Form): 82 (3/7) Win Prob: 55.9% Value Score: 3.12 ★ ML: 3.50 (5/2) Overlay %: -3.77 Fair Odds: 6.08 (11/2) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	D	C
Finish Pos	B	C
Dirt Speed	D	B
Turf Speed	D	D
Distance Speed	B	B
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	C	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	C
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	D	C
Sprint FPS	A	B
Route FPS	C	C
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	C	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (20.93%). (3) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (4) Returning from 55-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (5) Trainer 'ROJERO LUIS C' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (6) Career-best figure (77) buried in races 4–10 back — 9 pts above race median and 8 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Bullet Workout, Hidden Figure, Stable on Fire, Sharp Return Workout.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 55 days. (2) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (3 of last 5 starts). (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 8 starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Track;svd gnd;tired. (6) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (7) Consistently runs wide at the first call (4 of last 5 starts). (8) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 16 (7/7) Mod2(W): 21 (7/7) Mod3(W): 29 (7/7) Mod1-LS: 81 (4/7) Mod2-LS: 18 (7/7) Mod3-LS: 4 (7/7) Mod4(Form): 11 (6/7) Win Prob: 19.8% Value Score: 3.94 ★ ML: 15.00 (14/1) Overlay %: 6.65 Fair Odds: 7.56 (7/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	B	B
Finish Pos	F	F
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	D	D
Distance Speed	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	D	F
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	C
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	A	B
Sprint FPS	C	C
Route FPS	D	C
Trainer Effectiveness	D	F
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($10,000 → $5,000). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (3) Track specialist — 3 wins from 6 starts here (50%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Fourth race back from a 58-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Hot Jockey, Track Specialist, Closer in Pace Duel, Class Drop, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (4) Today's distance is longer than any previous start. (5) Trip note from last race: Swung 6-7w;no factor. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race. (7) 0 wins from 9 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 22 (6/7) Mod2(W): 25 (6/7) Mod3(W): 35 (6/7) Mod1-LS: 71 (6/7) Mod2-LS: 27 (6/7) Mod3-LS: 0 Mod4(Form): 11 (7/7) Win Prob: 27.8% Value Score: 5.52 ★ ML: 15.00 (14/1) Overlay %: 4.74 Fair Odds: 9.23 (8/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	F
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	C
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	B	B
Finish Pos	F	F
Dirt Speed	B	A
Turf Speed	B	B
Distance Speed	F	F
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	D	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	C
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	B	B
Sprint FPS	D	D
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	D	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($7,500 → $5,000). (2) Speed average (74) well above field median (68). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (33.93%). (5) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Trainer 'QUIROZ FILIBERTO' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (7) Career-best figure (80) buried in races 4–10 back — 12 pts above race median and 7 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Averages 74.8 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 69.5 in other configs (8 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Class Superiority, Return to Proven Setup, Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Class Drop.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Finish positions worsening over last 4 starts. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Chased;flattened out.

Mod1(W): 77 (4/7) Mod2(W): 87 (2/7) Mod3(W): 96 (3/7) Mod1-LS: 90 (3/7) Mod2-LS: 88 (2/7) Mod3-LS: 55 (4/7) Mod4(Form): 100 (1/7) Win Prob: 66.9% Value Score: 2.91 ★ ML: 2.50 (9/5) Overlay %: -8.56 Fair Odds: 5.92 (11/2) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	A	B
Finish Pos	A	C
Dirt Speed	D	B
Turf Speed	B	A
Distance Speed	D	B
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	D	C
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	B	B
Sprint FPS	B	B
Route FPS	B	B
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	D	C
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (47%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (36.36%). (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 86 vs field 82). (4) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Trainer 'VALDEZ-CABRAL MARTIN MANUEL' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (6) Last race E1 pace (90.0) was 4.4 pts above personal avg (85.6) and horse still finished 8th — pace collapse victim; expect bounce if today's fractions are softer. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 6/10 — angles: Pace Collapse Victim, Early Speed Edge, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Hot Trainer.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (3) Trip note from last race: Press btw 3w;gave way.

Mod1(W): 91 (2/7) Mod2(W): 76 (4/7) Mod3(W): 98 (2/7) Mod1-LS: 72 (5/7) Mod2-LS: 81 (3/7) Mod3-LS: 42 (5/7) Mod4(Form): 74 (4/7) Win Prob: 67.6% Value Score: 4.2 ★ ML: 4.00 (7/2) Overlay %: -1.04 Fair Odds: 5.64 (11/2) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	F	D
Finish Pos	C	D
Dirt Speed	F	B
Turf Speed	C	B
Distance Speed	C	B
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	B	C
3rd Party Ratings	A	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	D	D
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	B	C
3rd Party Ratings	A	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($7,500 → $5,000). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (54%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 81 vs field 75). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Trainer 'CAPPELLUCCI DICK' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Hot Jockey, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Stable on Fire, Late Kick Advantage, Hot Trainer, Class Drop.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 8 starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Late bid;not enough. (4) Post 7 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 100 (1/7) Mod2(W): 100 (1/7) Mod3(W): 100 (1/7) Mod1-LS: 100 (1/7) Mod2-LS: 100 (1/7) Mod3-LS: 100 (1/7) Mod4(Form): 91 (2/7) Win Prob: 66.3% Value Score: 3.29 ★ ML: 3.00 (5/2) Overlay %: -5.39 Fair Odds: 5.78 (11/2) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	A	A
Finish Pos	A	C
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	D	D
Distance Speed	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	A	A
Sprint FPS	D	C
Route FPS	B	B
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	C	D
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($10,000 → $5,000). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (44%). (4) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Trainer 'QUIROZ FILIBERTO' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (6) Averages 74.0 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 64.0 in other configs (4 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 6/10 — angles: Hot Jockey, Return to Proven Setup, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Class Drop.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (3) Trip note from last race: Ins;stdy 3/8;no rally. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race. (5) Post 8 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 52 (5/7) Mod2(W): 51 (5/7) Mod3(W): 53 (5/7) Mod1-LS: 98 (2/7) Mod2-LS: 51 (5/7) Mod3-LS: 58 (2/7) Mod4(Form): 35 (5/7) Win Prob: 44.7% Value Score: 5 ★ ML: 8.00 (7/1) Overlay %: 2.13 Fair Odds: 8.03 (7/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	C	C
Finish Pos	B	C
Dirt Speed	B	A
Turf Speed	A	A
Distance Speed	D	B
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	A	B
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	C
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	C
Sprint FPS	B	B
Route FPS	D	C
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	A	B
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 83-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Finish positions improving over last 4 starts. (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (4) Big last-race effort (73) — 13 pts above recent average. (5) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (28.57%). (6) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 79 vs field 75). (7) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (8) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Returning from 83-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (10) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (11) Speed improved +5 pts then +7 pts in last 2 starts (61 → 66 → 73) — trainer is progressively building fitness. (12) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'S', 'T', 'V']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (13) Averages 66.6 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 60.8 in other configs (5 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (14) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 10/10 — angles: Form Surge, Big Last Effort, Troubled Trip Comeback, Return to Proven Setup, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Improving Finisher, Sharp Return Workout, Late Kick Advantage, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 83 days. (2) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (3 of last 5 starts). (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Trip note from last race: Track;svd gnd;miss. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.6 pts: [73, 66, 61, 53, 53]) — unpredictable performer. (6) Two consecutive 5+ pt speed jumps (61 → 66 → 73) and last race speed is well above career average (64) — high bounce risk after back-to-back peak efforts.

Mod1(W): 55 (6/10) Mod2(W): 65 (6/10) Mod3(W): 66 (5/10) Mod1-LS: 50 (8/10) Mod2-LS: 64 (6/10) Mod3-LS: 42 (9/10) Mod4(Form): 63 (5/10) Win Prob: 40.8% Value Score: 3.76 ★ ML: 6.00 (11/2) Overlay %: -0.96 Fair Odds: 9.11 (8/1) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	A	B
Finish Pos	C	F
Dirt Speed	D	B
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	C
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	C	D
Late Pace	B	B
Sprint FPS	D	C
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (23.53%). (3) Fourth race back from a 433-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (4) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Averages 54.3 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 49.0 in other configs (6 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: Return to Proven Setup, Won at This Distance, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (52) well below field median (64). (3) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 14 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Prmpt 2wbtw;chsd;faded. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 11.7 pts: [56, 35, 67, 55, 49]) — unpredictable performer.

Mod1(W): 11 (10/10) Mod2(W): 4 (10/10) Mod3(W): 11 (10/10) Mod1-LS: 0 Mod2-LS: 14 (10/10) Mod3-LS: 18 (10/10) Mod4(Form): 20 (8/10) Win Prob: 20.8% Value Score: 4.37 ★ ML: 15.00 (14/1) Overlay %: 2.69 Fair Odds: 12.44 (11/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	F	F
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	F	D
Finish Pos	D	F
Dirt Speed	C	B
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	D	C
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	C	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	F	D
Sprint FPS	C	C
Route FPS	D	D
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (70) well above field median (64). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (46%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (4) Trainer 'MARR JOEL H' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (5) Career-best figure (78) buried in races 4–10 back — 14 pts above race median and 5 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'O', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Class Superiority, Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Hidden Figure, Stable on Fire, Hot Trainer.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (3) Trip note from last race: Hopped;4-5w;outkicked.

Mod1(W): 99 (2/10) Mod2(W): 91 (2/10) Mod3(W): 97 (2/10) Mod1-LS: 65 (6/10) Mod2-LS: 91 (2/10) Mod3-LS: 76 (5/10) Mod4(Form): 83 (3/10) Win Prob: 57% Value Score: 4.13 ★ ML: 4.50 (7/2) Overlay %: -3.70 Fair Odds: 8.90 (8/1) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	C	B
Finish Pos	A	C
Dirt Speed	B	B
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	B	B
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	A	B
3rd Party Ratings	A	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	C	C
Sprint FPS	B	B
Route FPS	C	C
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	A	B
3rd Party Ratings	A	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	C	C

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AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 56-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (33.93%). (4) Track specialist — 6 wins from 16 starts here (38%). (5) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Returning from 56-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (7) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (8) Career-best figure (74) buried in races 4–10 back — 10 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Track Specialist, Sharp Return Workout, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 56 days. (2) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (4 of last 5 starts). (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (5) Trip note from last race: Btwn;4p;pass tiring.

Mod1(W): 40 (7/10) Mod2(W): 47 (7/10) Mod3(W): 32 (8/10) Mod1-LS: 76 (3/10) Mod2-LS: 45 (8/10) Mod3-LS: 100 (1/10) Mod4(Form): 28 (7/10) Win Prob: 30.2% Value Score: 5.17 ★ ML: 12.00 (11/1) Overlay %: 2.80 Fair Odds: 10.56 (10/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	B	B
Finish Pos	B	D
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	A	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	D	C
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	B	B
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	A	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	C	C

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AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (47%). (2) Career-best speed figure (81) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (4) Track specialist — 2 wins from 7 starts here (29%). (5) Strong speed 2 back (81), modest dip last out (70) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (6) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Trainer 'VALDEZ-CABRAL MARTIN MANUEL' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'T']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Averages 72.6 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 61.4 in other configs (5 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Return to Proven Setup, Form Reversal, Track Specialist, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Hot Trainer.

Mod1(W): 100 (1/10) Mod2(W): 100 (1/10) Mod3(W): 100 (1/10) Mod1-LS: 65 (5/10) Mod2-LS: 100 (1/10) Mod3-LS: 54 (7/10) Mod4(Form): 90 (2/10) Win Prob: 64.4% Value Score: 4.24 ★ ML: 4.00 (7/2) Overlay %: -4.28 Fair Odds: 8.16 (7/1) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	C	C
Finish Pos	A	C
Dirt Speed	B	B
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	A	B
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	A	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	A	A
Sprint FPS	A	B
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	A	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (40.54%). (2) Fourth race back from a 54-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (3) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (4) Career-best figure (76) buried in races 4–10 back — 12 pts above race median and 9 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: Hidden Figure, Won Here Before, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (4 of last 5 starts). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (4) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (5) Trip note from last race: Angld out;needed more.

Mod1(W): 30 (9/10) Mod2(W): 33 (9/10) Mod3(W): 32 (9/10) Mod1-LS: 79 (2/10) Mod2-LS: 32 (9/10) Mod3-LS: 42 (8/10) Mod4(Form): 18 (9/10) Win Prob: 22% Value Score: 4.63 ★ ML: 15.00 (14/1) Overlay %: 3.35 Fair Odds: 11.35 (10/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	F
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	C	D
Late Pace	C	B
Finish Pos	C	F
Dirt Speed	D	B
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	F	C
Trainer Effectiveness	D	D
Jockey Effectiveness	B	C
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	C	D
Late Pace	D	C
Sprint FPS	C	B
Route FPS	D	D
Trainer Effectiveness	D	D
Jockey Effectiveness	B	C
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (67%). (2) Big last-race effort (71) — 15 pts above recent average. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (44%). (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 84 vs field 80). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Outstanding wet-track record: 2W from 4 starts (50%) — thrives when the going is off. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Big Last Effort, Hot Jockey, Off-Track Ace, Early Speed Edge, Closer in Pace Duel, Hot Trainer.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (5 of last 5 starts). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) First time at today's distance. (4) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (5) Today's distance is longer than any previous start. (6) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 19 starts). (7) Trip note from last race: Swung widest;flattened. (8) Post 7 in a 11-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (9) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.2 pts: [71, 49, 63, 56, 59]) — unpredictable performer. (10) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 39 (8/10) Mod2(W): 43 (8/10) Mod3(W): 52 (7/10) Mod1-LS: 76 (4/10) Mod2-LS: 47 (7/10) Mod3-LS: 97 (2/10) Mod4(Form): 17 (10/10) Win Prob: 38.2% Value Score: 8.04 ★ ML: 15.00 (14/1) Overlay %: 3.82 Fair Odds: 10.67 (10/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	D	D
Finish Pos	F	F
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	C
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	B
3rd Party Ratings	C	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	C	C
Sprint FPS	A	B
Route FPS	F	D
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	B
3rd Party Ratings	C	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Finish positions improving over last 4 starts. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Career-best speed figure (74) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (31.82%). (5) In the money in last 3 consecutive starts. (6) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 80 vs field 75). (7) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (8) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (10) Trainer 'ROJERO LUIS C' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (11) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (12) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 10/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Consistent In-The-Money, Troubled Trip Comeback, Closer in Pace Duel, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Improving Finisher, Late Kick Advantage, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Ins-2p;rallied;up late. (3) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (4) Outside post (8) in a large field of 11 horses. (5) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($10,000 → $8,000 → $6,250). (6) Post 8 in a 11-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 83 (3/10) Mod2(W): 88 (3/10) Mod3(W): 87 (3/10) Mod1-LS: 55 (7/10) Mod2-LS: 89 (3/10) Mod3-LS: 82 (4/10) Mod4(Form): 100 (1/10) Win Prob: 56.4% Value Score: 3.34 ★ ML: 3.50 (5/2) Overlay %: -6.94 Fair Odds: 9.06 (8/1) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	A	A
Finish Pos	A	C
Dirt Speed	F	C
Turf Speed	A	C
Distance Speed	C	B
Trainer Effectiveness	D	F
Jockey Effectiveness	C	D
3rd Party Ratings	D	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	A	A
Sprint FPS	D	C
Route FPS	C	C
Trainer Effectiveness	D	F
Jockey Effectiveness	C	D
3rd Party Ratings	D	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (70) well above field median (64). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (44%). (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 84 vs field 75). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Strong speed 2 back (75), modest dip last out (68) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (7) Career-best figure (84) buried in races 4–10 back — 20 pts above race median and 9 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Class Superiority, Hot Jockey, Form Reversal, Hidden Figure, Closer in Pace Duel, Late Kick Advantage.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (5 of last 5 starts). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (4) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 6 recent starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Off slow;moved up. (6) Outside post (9) in a large field of 11 horses. (7) 0 wins from post 9 in 3 recent starts. (8) Post 9 in a 11-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (9) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 72 (5/10) Mod2(W): 70 (5/10) Mod3(W): 56 (6/10) Mod1-LS: 100 (1/10) Mod2-LS: 69 (5/10) Mod3-LS: 62 (6/10) Mod4(Form): 35 (6/10) Win Prob: 39.7% Value Score: 5.75 ★ ML: 10.00 (9/1) Overlay %: 2.20 Fair Odds: 9.99 (9/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	F	F
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	A	A
Finish Pos	B	D
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	A	A
Sprint FPS	F	D
Route FPS	F	D
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (11.11%). (3) Trainer 'BLEA TONY JR' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'T', 'V']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (5) Averages 65.0 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 58.4 in other configs (5 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: Troubled Trip Comeback, Return to Proven Setup, Stable on Fire.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 5 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Vie 3-2w;clrd;cght lat. (4) Outside post (10) in a large field of 11 horses. (5) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (6) Post 10 in a 11-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (7) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 80 (4/10) Mod2(W): 70 (4/10) Mod3(W): 84 (4/10) Mod1-LS: 32 (9/10) Mod2-LS: 70 (4/10) Mod3-LS: 86 (3/10) Mod4(Form): 75 (4/10) Win Prob: 50.8% Value Score: 4.02 ★ ML: 5.00 (9/2) Overlay %: -2.43 Fair Odds: 8.78 (8/1) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	D
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	B	D
Late Pace	D	C
Finish Pos	D	F
Dirt Speed	C	B
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	B	B
Trainer Effectiveness	C	C
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	C	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	C
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	C	C
Sprint FPS	B	B
Route FPS	B	B
Trainer Effectiveness	C	C
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	C	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	C	C

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AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (31.82%).

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 97 days. (2) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (4 of last 5 starts). (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Speed average (52) well below field median (64). (5) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (6) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (7) Trip note from last race: Svd gnd;no factor. (8) Outside post (11) in a large field of 11 horses. (9) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (10) Post 11 in a 11-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (11) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 13.6 pts: [34, 62, 68, 64, 62]) — unpredictable performer. (12) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 0 Mod2(W): 0 Mod3(W): 0 Mod1-LS: 11 (10/10) Mod2-LS: 0 Mod3-LS: 0 Mod4(Form): 0 Win Prob: 11.1% Value Score: 3.06 ★ ML: 20.00 (20/1) Overlay %: 3.45 Fair Odds: 13.15 (12/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	F	F
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	C	D
Mid Pace	C	D
Late Pace	F	D
Finish Pos	F	F
Dirt Speed	F	C
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	F	C
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	C	D
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	C	D
Late Pace	F	C
Sprint FPS	F	D
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	C	D
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 48-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Big last-race effort (66) — 9 pts above recent average. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (48.00%). (5) 3 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (6) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 86 vs field 82). (7) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (8) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Big Last Effort, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Sharp Workout Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 48 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (6 of 10 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Chase;3p;outkicked. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 11.3 pts: [66, 56, 72, 43, 65]) — unpredictable performer.

Mod1(W): 23 (7/9) Mod2(W): 25 (6/9) Mod3(W): 22 (7/9) Mod1-LS: 40 (4/9) Mod2-LS: 24 (6/9) Mod3-LS: 36 (5/9) Mod4(Form): 20 (6/9) Win Prob: 40.9% Value Score: 7.08 ★ ML: 12.00 (11/1) Overlay %: 2.73 Fair Odds: 10.75 (10/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	B	D
Finish Pos	C	C
Dirt Speed	A	C
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	A	C
Trainer Effectiveness	D	C
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	C	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	D
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	B	D
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	D	C
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	C	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	F
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Career-best speed figure (65) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (41.86%). (4) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (5) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Troubled Trip Comeback, Bullet Workout, Won at This Distance, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Drifted 3/16;held safe.

Mod1(W): 56 (3/9) Mod2(W): 44 (3/9) Mod3(W): 48 (3/9) Mod1-LS: 15 (9/9) Mod2-LS: 43 (3/9) Mod3-LS: 71 (2/9) Mod4(Form): 45 (5/9) Win Prob: 54.6% Value Score: 5.09 ★ ML: 6.00 (11/2) Overlay %: -2.00 Fair Odds: 10.44 (9/1) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	D
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	C	D
Finish Pos	A	B
Dirt Speed	D	C
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	D	C
Trainer Effectiveness	C	C
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	C	D
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	C	C
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	D
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 48-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (36.36%). (4) 3 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (5) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 86 vs field 82). (6) Consistent workout spacing (8, 7 days) — disciplined training regimen. (7) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Career-best figure (70) buried in races 4–10 back — 10 pts above race median and 8 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Sharp Workout Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 48 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Speed average (53) well below field median (60). (4) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 6 starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Trailed;2p;no factor. (6) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 15.0 pts: [40, 48, 62, 34, 70]) — unpredictable performer.

Mod1(W): 0 Mod2(W): 0 Mod3(W): 0 Mod1-LS: 32 (6/9) Mod2-LS: 0 Mod3-LS: 33 (7/9) Mod4(Form): 2 (9/9) Win Prob: 24.8% Value Score: 6.94 ★ ML: 20.00 (20/1) Overlay %: 4.23 Fair Odds: 11.81 (11/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	F	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	D	D
Finish Pos	F	D
Dirt Speed	B	C
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	A	C
Trainer Effectiveness	D	C
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	D	D
Sprint FPS	F	C
Route FPS	F	D
Trainer Effectiveness	D	C
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (51.52%). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Returning from 48-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (6) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (7) Trainer 'GONZALEZ JOSE A' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'U', 'V']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Troubled Trip Comeback, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Stable on Fire, Sharp Return Workout, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 48 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Duel;4p;gave way. (4) Last race was career-best speed (68) — bounce risk after peak effort.

Mod1(W): 27 (6/9) Mod2(W): 22 (7/9) Mod3(W): 25 (6/9) Mod1-LS: 52 (2/9) Mod2-LS: 21 (7/9) Mod3-LS: 29 (8/9) Mod4(Form): 19 (7/9) Win Prob: 28.4% Value Score: 4.91 ★ ML: 12.00 (11/1) Overlay %: 2.43 Fair Odds: 11.18 (10/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	D
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	B	C
Finish Pos	D	D
Dirt Speed	C	C
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	C
Trainer Effectiveness	D	D
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	C	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	D
Early Pace	F	C
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	A	C
Sprint FPS	C	B
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	D	D
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	C	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	D
Early Pace	F	C
Mid Pace	B	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 48-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Speed average (67) well above field median (60). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (51%). (4) Career-best speed figure (71) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (5) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (37.23%). (6) 3 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (7) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 74 vs field 68). (8) Strong speed 2 back (71), modest dip last out (65) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (9) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 10/10 — angles: Class Superiority, Career-Best Recent Figure, Form Reversal, Won at This Distance, Late Kick Advantage, Hot Trainer, Sharp Workout Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 48 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Stalk;4p;faded.

Mod1(W): 62 (2/9) Mod2(W): 55 (2/9) Mod3(W): 55 (2/9) Mod1-LS: 43 (3/9) Mod2-LS: 51 (2/9) Mod3-LS: 34 (6/9) Mod4(Form): 60 (2/9) Win Prob: 59.4% Value Score: 4.34 ★ ML: 4.50 (7/2) Overlay %: -3.80 Fair Odds: 9.13 (8/1) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	A	B
Finish Pos	A	B
Dirt Speed	B	C
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	A	C
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	C	B
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	B	C
Sprint FPS	B	A
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	C	B
3rd Party Ratings	A	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 48-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (4) 3 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (5) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 73 vs field 68). (6) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (7) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Trainer 'LAMBERT CASEY T' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'O', 'V']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Stable on Fire, Late Kick Advantage, Sharp Workout Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 48 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Bmp brk;3p;improved.

Mod1(W): 44 (4/9) Mod2(W): 43 (4/9) Mod3(W): 43 (4/9) Mod1-LS: 22 (8/9) Mod2-LS: 41 (4/9) Mod3-LS: 42 (3/9) Mod4(Form): 55 (3/9) Win Prob: 53.3% Value Score: 4.25 ★ ML: 5.00 (9/2) Overlay %: -3.38 Fair Odds: 9.93 (9/1) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	D
Early Pace	F	C
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	A	C
Finish Pos	B	B
Dirt Speed	A	C
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	C
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	A	B
3rd Party Ratings	A	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	C
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	A	B
Sprint FPS	D	B
Route FPS	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	A	B
3rd Party Ratings	A	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	D
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Big last-race effort (82) — 17 pts above recent average. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (29.58%). (4) Fourth race back from a 47-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (5) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Speed improved +26 pts then +7 pts in last 2 starts (49 → 75 → 82) — trainer is progressively building fitness. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 8/10 — angles: Form Surge, Big Last Effort, Won Here Before, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 6 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Ins;angl 3-4w;evenly. (4) Last race was career-best speed (82) — bounce risk after peak effort. (5) Post 7 in a 10-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (6) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 13.5 pts: [82, 75, 49, 71, 57]) — unpredictable performer. (7) Two consecutive 5+ pt speed jumps (49 → 75 → 82) and last race speed is well above career average (56) — high bounce risk after back-to-back peak efforts.

Mod1(W): 9 (9/9) Mod2(W): 10 (9/9) Mod3(W): 6 (9/9) Mod1-LS: 34 (5/9) Mod2-LS: 12 (9/9) Mod3-LS: 29 (9/9) Mod4(Form): 0 Win Prob: 17.9% Value Score: 5 ★ ML: 20.00 (20/1) Overlay %: 17.39 Fair Odds: 3.77 (7/2) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	F
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	F	D
Finish Pos	F	D
Dirt Speed	F	D
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	D	C
Trainer Effectiveness	F	D
Jockey Effectiveness	D	C
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	D	D
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	C	A
Trainer Effectiveness	F	D
Jockey Effectiveness	D	C
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	F
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	C	C

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AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (73) well above field median (60). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (54%). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 11 wins from 34 starts (32%). (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (5) In the money in last 3 consecutive starts. (6) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 78 vs field 68). (7) Fourth race back from a 56-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (8) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (10) Trainer 'CAPPELLUCCI DICK' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (11) Career-best figure (83) buried in races 4–10 back — 23 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (12) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'U']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (13) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 10/10 — angles: Class Superiority, Consistent In-The-Money, Hot Trainer-Jockey Pairing, Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Won Here Before, Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Late Kick Advantage, Hot Trainer, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Duel pace 2w;repelled. (3) Outside post (8) in a large field of 10 horses. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (5) Post 8 in a 10-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 100 (1/9) Mod2(W): 100 (1/9) Mod3(W): 100 (1/9) Mod1-LS: 100 (1/9) Mod2-LS: 100 (1/9) Mod3-LS: 100 (1/9) Mod4(Form): 100 (1/9) Win Prob: 80.5% Value Score: 2.79 ★ ML: 1.60 (9/5) Overlay %: -17.82 Fair Odds: 8.02 (7/1) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	A	B
Finish Pos	A	B
Dirt Speed	A	B
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	B	C
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	A	A
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	A	B
Sprint FPS	D	B
Route FPS	C	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	A	A
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	C
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Big last-race effort (65) — 26 pts above recent average. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (33.93%). (4) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (5) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 87 vs field 82). (6) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['F', 'O', 'S']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Big Last Effort, Troubled Trip Comeback, Bullet Workout, Won at This Distance, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (53) well below field median (60). (3) Trip note from last race: Press 3w;shook free. (4) Outside post (9) in a large field of 10 horses. (5) Post 9 in a 10-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (6) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 24.3 pts: [65, 8, 52, 56, 68]) — unpredictable performer.

Mod1(W): 42 (5/9) Mod2(W): 33 (5/9) Mod3(W): 30 (5/9) Mod1-LS: 0 Mod2-LS: 27 (5/9) Mod3-LS: 0 Mod4(Form): 45 (4/9) Win Prob: 49.8% Value Score: 4.63 ★ ML: 6.00 (11/2) Overlay %: -3.08 Fair Odds: 12.05 (11/1) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	D	D
Finish Pos	C	C
Dirt Speed	C	C
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	C
Trainer Effectiveness	B	B
Jockey Effectiveness	D	C
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	F	D
Sprint FPS	B	A
Route FPS	D	C
Trainer Effectiveness	B	B
Jockey Effectiveness	D	C
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 48-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (47%). (3) Big last-race effort (62) — 10 pts above recent average. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (5) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Returning from 48-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (7) Trainer 'VALDEZ-CABRAL MARTIN MANUEL' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 9/10 — angles: Big Last Effort, Hot Jockey, Won at This Distance, Stable on Fire, Sharp Return Workout, Hot Trainer.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 48 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Speed average (55) well below field median (60). (4) Trip note from last race: Outside;4p;empty. (5) Outside post (10) in a large field of 10 horses. (6) Last race was career-best speed (62) — bounce risk after peak effort. (7) Post 10 in a 10-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 21 (8/9) Mod2(W): 19 (8/9) Mod3(W): 9 (8/9) Mod1-LS: 24 (7/9) Mod2-LS: 16 (8/9) Mod3-LS: 42 (4/9) Mod4(Form): 10 (8/9) Win Prob: 33.1% Value Score: 7.04 ★ ML: 15.00 (14/1) Overlay %: 3.30 Fair Odds: 11.51 (11/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — EE · Fast

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	D
Finish Pos	B	B
Dirt Speed	D	D
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	F	C
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	D
Sprint FPS	C	B
Route FPS	D	B
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	B	C
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	C	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (3) In the money in last 5 consecutive starts. (4) Track specialist — 2 wins from 5 starts here (40%). (5) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 86 vs field 82). (6) Fourth race back from a 49-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (7) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Career-best figure (88) buried in races 4–10 back — 8 pts above race median and 5 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (10) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'O', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 8/10 — angles: Consistent In-The-Money, Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Hidden Figure, Won at This Distance, Track Specialist, Won Here Before, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (3) Trip note from last race: 4w;outkicked for 2nd.

Mod1(W): 50 (3/6) Mod2(W): 37 (3/6) Mod3(W): 44 (3/6) Mod1-LS: 26 (6/6) Mod2-LS: 33 (4/6) Mod3-LS: 4 (5/6) Mod4(Form): 37 (4/6) Win Prob: 54.4% Value Score: 4.92 ★ ML: 6.00 (11/2) Overlay %: 2.47 Fair Odds: 6.39 (11/2) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	B
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	B	B
Late Pace	D	B
Finish Pos	C	B
Dirt Speed	D	A
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	A
Trainer Effectiveness	C	C
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	B	A
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	A
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	B	A
Late Pace	C	A
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	C	A
Trainer Effectiveness	C	C
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	B	A
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	B
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (42%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (3) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (4) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (5) Trainer 'LAMBERT CASEY T' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'S']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Bullet Workout, Stable on Fire, Hot Trainer, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (70) well below field median (80). (3) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (4) Trip note from last race: Inside bid;drew clear. (5) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (6) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.3 pts: [79, 77, 81, 60, 74]) — unpredictable performer.

Mod1(W): 0 Mod2(W): 0 Mod3(W): 0 Mod1-LS: 69 (4/6) Mod2-LS: 0 Mod3-LS: 0 (6/6) Mod4(Form): 0 Win Prob: 24.9% Value Score: 5.16 ★ ML: 15.00 (14/1) Overlay %: 5.82 Fair Odds: 8.38 (7/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	F	F
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	F	C
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	F	C
Late Pace	F	B
Finish Pos	C	B
Dirt Speed	F	B
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	F	C
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	C	A
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	B
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	C	B
Late Pace	C	A
Sprint FPS	F	C
Route FPS	F	C
Trainer Effectiveness	B	C
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	C	A
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	C
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	F	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (48%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (31.82%). (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 87 vs field 82). (4) Career-best figure (90) buried in races 4–10 back — 10 pts above race median and 9 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: Troubled Trip Comeback, Hidden Figure, Hot Trainer.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (3) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (4) Trip note from last race: Stp slw;btw;angld 3w. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race.

Mod1(W): 25 (5/6) Mod2(W): 35 (4/6) Mod3(W): 23 (5/6) Mod1-LS: 74 (3/6) Mod2-LS: 36 (3/6) Mod3-LS: 35 (3/6) Mod4(Form): 24 (5/6) Win Prob: 44% Value Score: 5.11 ★ ML: 8.00 (7/1) Overlay %: 3.44 Fair Odds: 7.30 (6/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	A
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	C	A
Finish Pos	D	B
Dirt Speed	B	A
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	C	D
3rd Party Ratings	C	A
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	B
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	D	B
Late Pace	B	A
Sprint FPS	B	A
Route FPS	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	C	D
3rd Party Ratings	C	A
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	B
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	B	A
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 85 vs field 82). (4) Fourth race back from a 49-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (5) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'O', 'S']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Won at This Distance, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (3) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (4) Trip note from last race: Inside;needed more. (5) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (6) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (7) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race.

Mod1(W): 13 (6/6) Mod2(W): 25 (6/6) Mod3(W): 27 (4/6) Mod1-LS: 44 (5/6) Mod2-LS: 24 (6/6) Mod3-LS: 5 (4/6) Mod4(Form): 15 (6/6) Win Prob: 47% Value Score: 6.69 ★ ML: 10.00 (9/1) Overlay %: 11.71 Fair Odds: 4.33 (7/2) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	A
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	B	A
Finish Pos	F	B
Dirt Speed	C	A
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	B	A
Trainer Effectiveness	F	D
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	D	A
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	A
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	B	A
Late Pace	D	A
Sprint FPS	C	A
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	F	D
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	D	A
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	B
Early Pace	C	B
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 5 starts (40%). (3) Big last-race effort (90) — 11 pts above recent average. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (51.52%). (5) Won last 3 consecutive starts. (6) Track specialist — 4 wins from 5 starts here (80%). (7) Fourth race back from a 49-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (8) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (10) Trainer 'QUIROZ FILIBERTO' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (11) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'O']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (12) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 10/10 — angles: Win Streak Momentum, Big Last Effort, Hot Trainer-Jockey Pairing, Troubled Trip Comeback, Won Here Before, Won at This Distance, Track Specialist, Stable on Fire, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (3) Trip note from last race: Well handled;drew off. (4) Last race was career-best speed (90) — bounce risk after peak effort. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race. (6) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 12.5 pts: [90, 90, 86, 62, 72]) — unpredictable performer.

Mod1(W): 100 (1/6) Mod2(W): 100 (1/6) Mod3(W): 88 (2/6) Mod1-LS: 100 (1/6) Mod2-LS: 100 (1/6) Mod3-LS: 100 (1/6) Mod4(Form): 100 (1/6) Win Prob: 84.5% Value Score: 2.84 ★ ML: 1.60 (9/5) Overlay %: -14.02 Fair Odds: 5.35 (9/2) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	B
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	C	B
Late Pace	C	B
Finish Pos	A	A
Dirt Speed	B	A
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	D	B
Trainer Effectiveness	D	D
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	A	A
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	A
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	A	A
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	D	D
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	A	A
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	B
Early Pace	B	B
Mid Pace	C	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (45%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (28.57%). (3) Track specialist — 4 wins from 10 starts here (40%). (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 87 vs field 82). (5) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (7) Career-best figure (94) buried in races 4–10 back — 14 pts above race median and 11 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'O']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Averages 87.0 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 79.4 in other configs (4 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Troubled Trip Comeback, Return to Proven Setup, Hidden Figure, Track Specialist, Won at This Distance, Late Kick Advantage, Hot Trainer, Won Here Before.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Steady decline across 4 metrics: speed, E1 pace, E2 pace, late pace. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (4) Trip note from last race: Gain 3wd 1/4;no kick.

Mod1(W): 32 (4/6) Mod2(W): 30 (5/6) Mod3(W): 19 (6/6) Mod1-LS: 0 Mod2-LS: 26 (5/6) Mod3-LS: 0 Mod4(Form): 48 (3/6) Win Prob: 52.5% Value Score: 4.07 ★ ML: 5.00 (9/2) Overlay %: -0.82 Fair Odds: 7.28 (6/1) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	A
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	C	B
Late Pace	A	A
Finish Pos	B	A
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	F	B
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	B
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	C	B
Late Pace	F	B
Sprint FPS	C	B
Route FPS	C	A
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	F	B
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	C
Early Pace	D	C
Mid Pace	C	B
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (36.00%). (3) In the money in last 10 consecutive starts. (4) Track specialist — 9 wins from 16 starts here (56%). (5) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 88 vs field 82). (6) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (7) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Has won at SUN on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Carries 5 lbs less than field median (119 lbs vs median 124 lbs). (10) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'O', 'S']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 8/10 — angles: Consistent In-The-Money, Troubled Trip Comeback, Won at This Distance, Closer in Pace Duel, Track Specialist, Late Kick Advantage, Won Here Before, Weight Advantage.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Asked 5w;closed well.

Mod1(W): 84 (2/6) Mod2(W): 95 (2/6) Mod3(W): 100 (1/6) Mod1-LS: 90 (2/6) Mod2-LS: 95 (2/6) Mod3-LS: 59 (2/6) Mod4(Form): 93 (2/6) Win Prob: 67.1% Value Score: 2.6 ★ ML: 2.00 (9/5) Overlay %: -8.60 Fair Odds: 4.81 (9/2) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — E · Lone early

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	A
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	A	A
Finish Pos	A	A
Dirt Speed	A	A
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	C	C
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	A	A
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	A
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	C
Late Pace	A	A
Sprint FPS	D	C
Route FPS	D	B
Trainer Effectiveness	C	C
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	A	A
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	A
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	D	C
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Career-best speed figure (52) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (20.93%). (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 23 vs field 16). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Trainer 'ROJERO LUIS C' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Closer in Pace Duel, Stable on Fire.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Swung 5w;needed more.

Mod1(W): 0 Mod2(W): 4 (11/11) Mod3(W): 8 (9/11) Mod1-LS: 23 (9/11) Mod2-LS: 0 Mod3-LS: 0 Mod4(Form): 8 (9/11) Win Prob: 11.9% Value Score: 2.44 ★ ML: 15.00 (14/1) Overlay %: 2.38 Fair Odds: 12.79 (12/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	F	F
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	F
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	C	D
Late Pace	C	D
Finish Pos	D	F
Dirt Speed	C	D
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	F
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	F
Early Pace	C	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	C	C
Sprint FPS	D	D
Route FPS	F	D
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	F
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	B	D
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (57) well above field median (50). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (54%). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 11 wins from 34 starts (32%). (4) Career-best speed figure (57) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (5) Equipment change today (code: 1). (6) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (7) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 74 vs field 68). (8) Trainer 'CAPPELLUCCI DICK' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 10/10 — angles: Class Superiority, Career-Best Recent Figure, Hot Trainer-Jockey Pairing, Hot Jockey, Stable on Fire, Late Kick Advantage, Hot Trainer, Equipment Change.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 55 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (4) Unproven on dirt surface (2 starts). (5) Trip note from last race: 3-4p;pass tiring.

Mod1(W): 75 (3/11) Mod2(W): 100 (1/11) Mod3(W): 90 (3/11) Mod1-LS: 34 (7/11) Mod2-LS: 94 (3/11) Mod3-LS: 57 (6/11) Mod4(Form): 81 (3/11) Win Prob: 56.6% Value Score: 4.36 ★ ML: 5.00 (9/2) Overlay %: -2.40 Fair Odds: 8.44 (7/1) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	D
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	C	D
Late Pace	A	B
Finish Pos	B	D
Dirt Speed	B	D
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	F
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	A	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	D
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	B	D
Late Pace	A	C
Sprint FPS	A	B
Route FPS	C	C
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	A	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	A
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	A	D
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (49%). (2) Career-best speed figure (45) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (40.54%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 6/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Closer in Pace Duel, Hot Trainer, Sharp Gate Work.

Mod1(W): 73 (4/11) Mod2(W): 68 (4/11) Mod3(W): 58 (5/11) Mod1-LS: 0 Mod2-LS: 61 (4/11) Mod3-LS: 34 (9/11) Mod4(Form): 64 (4/11) Win Prob: 40.1% Value Score: 3.6 ★ ML: 6.00 (11/2) Overlay %: -1.67 Fair Odds: 9.57 (9/1) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	B
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	C	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	B	C
Finish Pos	F	F
Dirt Speed	D	D
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	F
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	B	C
3rd Party Ratings	C	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	C	D
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	B	C
Sprint FPS	B	B
Route FPS	A	B
Trainer Effectiveness	A	A
Jockey Effectiveness	B	C
3rd Party Ratings	C	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	D	F
Mid Pace	D	F
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 49-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Speed average (62) well above field median (50). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (4) Career-best speed figure (62) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (5) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (22.73%). (6) 3 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (7) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 72 vs field 68). (8) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (9) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 83 vs field 80). (10) Trainer 'GONZALEZ ANDRES' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (11) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'O', 'V']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (12) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 10/10 — angles: Class Superiority, Career-Best Recent Figure, Troubled Trip Comeback, Early Speed Edge, Closer in Pace Duel, Stable on Fire, Late Kick Advantage, Sharp Workout Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 49 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (4) Unproven on dirt surface (1 start). (5) Trip note from last race: 5p;bid1/4;improved.

Mod1(W): 100 (1/11) Mod2(W): 98 (3/11) Mod3(W): 100 (1/11) Mod1-LS: 23 (10/11) Mod2-LS: 99 (2/11) Mod3-LS: 60 (5/11) Mod4(Form): 90 (2/11) Win Prob: 52.3% Value Score: 3.69 ★ ML: 4.50 (7/2) Overlay %: -3.83 Fair Odds: 8.68 (8/1) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	D
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	A	C
Finish Pos	A	C
Dirt Speed	A	D
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	F
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	C	D
3rd Party Ratings	A	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	D
Early Pace	A	C
Mid Pace	A	B
Late Pace	A	C
Sprint FPS	C	C
Route FPS	C	C
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	C	D
3rd Party Ratings	A	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	D
Early Pace	D	F
Mid Pace	D	F
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Career-best speed figure (52) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (29.58%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 6/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Closer in Pace Duel.

Mod1(W): 13 (9/11) Mod2(W): 17 (9/11) Mod3(W): 20 (8/11) Mod1-LS: 23 (8/11) Mod2-LS: 22 (9/11) Mod3-LS: 32 (10/11) Mod4(Form): 17 (6/11) Win Prob: 20.3% Value Score: 3.39 ★ ML: 12.00 (11/1) Overlay %: 1.36 Fair Odds: 12.60 (12/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	F
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	B	D
Late Pace	B	C
Finish Pos	D	F
Dirt Speed	C	D
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	F
Trainer Effectiveness	D	D
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	C	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	F
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	B	D
Late Pace	B	C
Sprint FPS	B	C
Route FPS	B	C
Trainer Effectiveness	D	D
Jockey Effectiveness	C	C
3rd Party Ratings	C	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	F
Early Pace	D	F
Mid Pace	D	F
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Career-best speed figure (64) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (44%). (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 91 vs field 80). (5) Trainer 'BARRIOS BERNADETTE' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 8/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Hot Jockey, Early Speed Edge, Stable on Fire.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (3 of 3 starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Press btw 2w;faded. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 10.5 pts: [46, 69, 48, 64, 49]) — unpredictable performer. (5) 0 wins from 6 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 47 (6/11) Mod2(W): 44 (6/11) Mod3(W): 62 (4/11) Mod1-LS: 100 (1/11) Mod2-LS: 43 (6/11) Mod3-LS: 84 (2/11) Mod4(Form): 4 (10/11) Win Prob: 58.7% Value Score: 12.06 ★ ML: 15.00 (14/1) Overlay %: 3.20 Fair Odds: 11.39 (10/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	A	F
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	F	F
Finish Pos	C	F
Dirt Speed	A	C
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	A	C
Trainer Effectiveness	D	F
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	A	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	F
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	A	A
Late Pace	F	F
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	A	A
Trainer Effectiveness	D	F
Jockey Effectiveness	B	B
3rd Party Ratings	A	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	A	F
Early Pace	A	A
Mid Pace	D	F
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Career-best speed figure (53) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 84 vs field 80). (5) Fourth race back from a 62-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (6) Trainer 'LAMBERT CASEY T' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'F', 'L', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 8/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Hot Jockey, Troubled Trip Comeback, Early Speed Edge, Stable on Fire, Classic Fourth Race Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 4 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Btw 3w;shuffled;ran on. (4) Post 7 in a 12-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 33 (8/11) Mod2(W): 29 (7/11) Mod3(W): 33 (7/11) Mod1-LS: 38 (6/11) Mod2-LS: 30 (7/11) Mod3-LS: 36 (7/11) Mod4(Form): 16 (7/11) Win Prob: 31.1% Value Score: 5.19 ★ ML: 12.00 (11/1) Overlay %: 2.48 Fair Odds: 10.80 (10/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	B	C
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	C	D
Finish Pos	F	F
Dirt Speed	B	D
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	F
Trainer Effectiveness	C	C
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	B	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	F
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	D	D
Late Pace	B	C
Sprint FPS	A	A
Route FPS	A	C
Trainer Effectiveness	C	C
Jockey Effectiveness	A	A
3rd Party Ratings	B	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	A	B
Mid Pace	B	D
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Career-best speed figure (52) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (23.53%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Closer in Pace Duel.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (3) Unproven on dirt surface (1 start). (4) Trip note from last race: Hopped st;angld widest. (5) Outside post (8) in a large field of 12 horses. (6) Post 8 in a 12-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 51 (5/11) Mod2(W): 50 (5/11) Mod3(W): 38 (6/11) Mod1-LS: 48 (4/11) Mod2-LS: 47 (5/11) Mod3-LS: 69 (3/11) Mod4(Form): 41 (5/11) Win Prob: 29% Value Score: 3.35 ★ ML: 8.00 (7/1) Overlay %: -0.71 Fair Odds: 11.58 (11/1) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	B	F
Early Pace	C	D
Mid Pace	B	D
Late Pace	D	D
Finish Pos	B	D
Dirt Speed	C	D
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	F
Trainer Effectiveness	B	B
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	C	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	F
Early Pace	C	D
Mid Pace	B	D
Late Pace	D	D
Sprint FPS	D	D
Route FPS	D	D
Trainer Effectiveness	B	B
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	C	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	B	F
Early Pace	D	F
Mid Pace	D	F
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Career-best speed figure (43) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (51.52%). (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 23 vs field 16). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Trainer 'GONZALEZ JOSE A' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Closer in Pace Duel, Stable on Fire.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (40) well below field median (50). (3) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (4) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (5) Trip note from last race: Widest 1/2;no factor. (6) Outside post (9) in a large field of 12 horses. (7) Post 9 in a 12-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 3 (11/11) Mod2(W): 0 Mod3(W): 0 Mod1-LS: 4 (11/11) Mod2-LS: 2 (11/11) Mod3-LS: 36 (8/11) Mod4(Form): 2 (11/11) Win Prob: 16.9% Value Score: 3.46 ★ ML: 15.00 (14/1) Overlay %: 1.36 Fair Odds: 15.04 (14/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	F	F
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	C	D
Late Pace	D	D
Finish Pos	C	F
Dirt Speed	F	D
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	F
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	C	F
3rd Party Ratings	B	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	C	D
Late Pace	D	D
Sprint FPS	F	D
Route FPS	D	D
Trainer Effectiveness	C	D
Jockey Effectiveness	C	F
3rd Party Ratings	B	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	C	D
Mid Pace	A	D
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate. (2) Career-best speed figure (47) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (28.57%). (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 73 vs field 68). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Career-Best Recent Figure, Closer in Pace Duel, Late Kick Advantage.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (3) Unproven on dirt surface (1 start). (4) Trip note from last race: Broke in;gain;flatten. (5) Outside post (10) in a large field of 12 horses. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 20 days since last race. (7) Post 10 in a 12-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 13 (10/11) Mod2(W): 13 (10/11) Mod3(W): 4 (10/11) Mod1-LS: 47 (5/11) Mod2-LS: 15 (10/11) Mod3-LS: 21 (11/11) Mod4(Form): 14 (8/11) Win Prob: 22.7% Value Score: 3.79 ★ ML: 12.00 (11/1) Overlay %: 0.74 Fair Odds: 13.86 (13/1) O/U: Fair

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	D	F
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	A	C
Finish Pos	D	F
Dirt Speed	D	D
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	F
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	F
Early Pace	F	D
Mid Pace	F	D
Late Pace	A	C
Sprint FPS	C	D
Route FPS	B	C
Trainer Effectiveness	F	F
Jockey Effectiveness	D	F
3rd Party Ratings	F	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	D	F
Mid Pace	D	F
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (46%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (3) 3 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Trainer 'MARR JOEL H' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 6/10 — angles: Hot Jockey, Closer in Pace Duel, Stable on Fire, Hot Trainer, Sharp Workout Pattern.

⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) First time at today's distance. (4) Has never raced on dirt surface. (5) Outside post (11) in a large field of 12 horses. (6) Post 11 in a 12-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.

Mod1(W): 99 (2/11) Mod2(W): 99 (2/11) Mod3(W): 98 (2/11) Mod1-LS: 98 (2/11) Mod2-LS: 100 (1/11) Mod3-LS: 60 (4/11) Mod4(Form): 100 (1/11) Win Prob: 59.8% Value Score: 3.84 ★ ML: 4.00 (7/2) Overlay %: -5.34 Fair Odds: 8.76 (8/1) O/U: Underlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	A	A
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	F	F
Mid Pace	F	F
Late Pace	F	F
Finish Pos	A	A
Dirt Speed	F	F
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	C	F
Trainer Effectiveness	B	B
Jockey Effectiveness	A	B
3rd Party Ratings	F	F
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	F	F
Mid Pace	F	F
Late Pace	F	F
Sprint FPS	F	F
Route FPS	F	F
Trainer Effectiveness	B	B
Jockey Effectiveness	A	B
3rd Party Ratings	F	F
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	F	F
Early Pace	D	F
Mid Pace	D	F
Late Pace	C	C

★ Free Preview

AI Performances Chart

AI Speed AI Opponent Performance Trend

Chart Guide (2.0.35)

Bubbles: Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic); Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position; Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin; Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line: Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol: ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races: Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger): Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend: Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line: AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race

✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (46%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (11.11%). (3) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 80 vs field 16). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (7) Returning from 83-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Bullet Workout, Closer in Pace Duel, Sharp Return Workout, Hot Trainer, Sharp Gate Work.

⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 83 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 10 recent starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Outside;6p;no bid. (5) Outside post (12) in a large field of 12 horses. (6) Post 12 in a 12-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (7) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.

Mod1(W): 34 (7/11) Mod2(W): 25 (8/11) Mod3(W): 2 (11/11) Mod1-LS: 76 (3/11) Mod2-LS: 25 (8/11) Mod3-LS: 100 (1/11) Mod4(Form): 0 Win Prob: 25.2% Value Score: 5.17 ★ ML: 15.00 (14/1) Overlay %: 2.43 Fair Odds: 12.70 (12/1) O/U: Overlay

Score Definitions

Mod1(W): Winner Model 1 score (0–100) — AI composite rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses (e.g. 1/9) shows this horse’s rank out of the field size.
Mod2(W): Winner Model 2 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod3(W): Winner Model 3 score (0–100) — AI rating among field contenders (higher = stronger). The number in parentheses shows rank within the field.
Mod1-LS: Longshot Model 1 score (0–100) — AI model trained to surface high-value longshots. Higher = stronger longshot profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Mod2-LS: Longshot Model 2 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod3-LS: Longshot Model 3 score (0–100) — AI longshot model. Higher = stronger longshot profile.
Mod4(Form): Form Model score (0–100) — AI sequence model trained on recent form patterns to capture momentum and trajectory. Higher = stronger recent form profile. Rank in parentheses shows position within the field.
Win Prob: LightGBM estimated win probability expressed as a percentage. This is a raw model output, not normalized to sum to 100% across the field — use it for comparison rather than as an absolute probability.
Value Score: Win Prob divided by the market-implied probability (derived from morning line). Values above 1.0 mean the model sees more win chance than the odds imply — a ★ star appears when Value Score ≥ 1.3, indicating a 30%+ model edge over the market.
ML: Morning line odds set by the track handicapper before wagering opens
Overlay %: How much the fair odds exceed the morning line, expressed as a percentage — positive values indicate value
Fair Odds: Model-derived fair-value odds based on estimated win probability
O/U: Overlay or Underlay — whether the horse offers value (O) or is overbet (U) relative to fair odds

Track Bias by Lane — SUN

Lane Bias Guide

Bar Direction: Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
Color: Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
Bias Score: Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
Races: Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.

Race Pace Bias — P · Slow

Race Pace Bias Guide

Bar Height & Direction: Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
Race Shape: Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
Pace Category: FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
Flag (★): A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.

Total Pace — SUN

Total Pace Guide

Bar Segments: Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
Bar Height: Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
Grades & Rankings: Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions

E1 — Early

E2 — Mid

LP — Stretch

Performance vs. Peers

Performance vs. Peers Guide

Bars (per post): Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line: Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line: Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles: Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border: Thicker border = this horse’s post position.

Figure Comparison

Rating: The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed: Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace: Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse: The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.

Winning Profiles

Axes: X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants: Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines: Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse: Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.

AI Model Comparison

Winner Models (green): Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red): Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue): Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse: Highlighted with a darker column background.

Race Pace Simulation

Race Pace Simulation Guide

Slider: Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order: Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario: Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Track Bias: Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
Boxed Indicator: Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles: E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.

E1 — Early E2 — Mid LP — Stretch

🏁 Gate Finish 🏁

Track Bias ◀ Closer Speed ▶ 0

Stat	vs. Current Card	vs. All Horses
Averages Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating	C	D
Pace Trip Longshot	—	—
Connections Longshot	—	—
Situational Longshot	—	—
Speed	C	F
Early Pace	C	C
Mid Pace	B	D
Late Pace	C	D
Finish Pos	A	A
Dirt Speed	B	D
Turf Speed	C	D
Distance Speed	A	C
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Recent Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	D	F
Early Pace	D	D
Mid Pace	C	D
Late Pace	C	D
Sprint FPS	C	D
Route FPS	C	D
Trainer Effectiveness	A	B
Jockey Effectiveness	F	F
3rd Party Ratings	D	D
Predictions AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed	C	F
Early Pace	B	C
Mid Pace	A	D
Late Pace	C	C

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