Zia Park – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News, Analysis, Expert Picks, and AI Predictions for November 11, 2025

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Zia Park presents a ten-race card of New Mexico thoroughbred racing on Tuesday, November 11, 2025, featuring a mix of maiden claiming events, allowance conditions, and competitive claiming races. The track is in the midst of its annual fall meet, which showcases predominantly New Mexico-bred horses competing at purse levels ranging from $26,000 to $62,000. First post time is 12:05 PM Mountain Time.​

The card features several restricted conditions for New Mexico-bred horses, highlighting the state’s breeding program with maiden claiming prices ranging from $7,500 to $10,000 and open claiming levels reaching $20,000. Race 6 offers allowance conditions at one mile, while Race 7 presents a competitive allowance sprint for state-bred fillies and mares with a purse of $62,000. The final race is a maiden special weight contest for two-year-old fillies running Lasix-free.​

Weather and Track Conditions

Weather conditions for Tuesday, November 11, 2025, at Zia Park in Hobbs, New Mexico, are forecast to be sunny with a high temperature of 78°F and a low of 36°F. Clear skies are expected throughout the racing program with light winds from the south-southwest at approximately 7 mph. Humidity levels will be around 25 percent, creating ideal racing conditions.​

The track surface is listed as firm for the dirt track, which should provide excellent footing for speed horses. The morning started cool but temperatures will rise into the mid-70s by afternoon racing, creating fast track conditions that typically favor horses with tactical speed. No precipitation is expected, and the sunny conditions should maintain consistent footing throughout the ten-race card.​

Race 1 – Maiden Claiming $7,500

Post Time: 12:05 PM MT

This five and one-half furlong maiden claiming sprint for New Mexico-bred horses presents a compact field of six geldings seeking their first victory. The $26,000 purse and $7,500 claiming price indicate horses with limited ability, making this a challenging puzzle for handicappers.

Key Contenders

Call Me Hollywood represents trainer Todd Fincher and jockey Tanner Fincher in this opener. The three-year-old gelding benefits from the leading trainer at the current Zia Park meet, as Fincher has been dominating with exceptional statistics including a recent five-win performance on November 4. The Fincher family operation shows strong form, and any first-time starter from this barn deserves respect.​

Green Is the Daddy draws the rail post with Luis Valenzuela aboard for trainer Simon Buechler. The three-year-old gets equipment change with blinkers on, which can provide focus for first-time starters. Valenzuela brings solid experience to Zia Park, and the inside draw provides tactical flexibility in a short field.

Secondary Choices

Sgt Muskett enters as the only five-year-old in this maiden field, racing for trainer Jose Gonzalez with Jose Miguel Vazquez in the saddle. The age factor raises concerns about ability level, but the horse’s presence at this claiming level suggests connections believe this is an appropriate spot. Drawing the outside post at six provides a clean trip opportunity.

Tinaja represents trainer Gary Cross with Oscar Andrade Jr. handling riding duties. The three-year-old draws post three, offering a middle ground position. Andrade has shown solid form at the meet with experience on various runners throughout the card.

Longshots

Awsome Charlie exits trainer Casey Lambert’s barn with Alfredo Sigala riding. The three-year-old gelding wearing blinkers draws post two but faces a quality barn in the Fincher operation that should prove difficult to overcome.

Pace Analysis

This sprint distance should produce straightforward early pace with speed horses establishing position quickly. The compact field suggests a moderate tempo through the opening quarter-mile, with horses settling into their running positions early. The turn comes up quickly at five and one-half furlongs, making early positioning crucial for success.

Selections

Win: Call Me Hollywood

Place: Green Is the Daddy

Show: Sgt Muskett

Race 2 – Maiden Claiming $10,000

Post Time: 12:32 PM MT

A five-furlong sprint for New Mexico-bred maiden geldings three years old and up features seven runners competing for a $29,500 purse. The $10,000 claiming price represents a step up from the opener, suggesting these horses possess slightly more ability.

Key Contenders

Stormwire represents the Todd Fincher barn with veteran jockey Fausto Da Silva handling the reins. The four-year-old gelding wears blinkers and draws the outside post, which provides a clear view of the field in this short sprint. Da Silva brings tactical awareness to rate horses effectively, particularly valuable in competitive claiming company. The Fincher connection makes this gelding a serious threat.​

Eyecandothisallday exits trainer Sherry Armstrong’s barn with Christian Ramos riding. The three-year-old gelding wearing blinkers draws post three, providing an ideal position for the five-furlong distance. Armstrong shows consistent form at the meet, making her runners respectable contenders.

Secondary Choices

Go for Thunder represents trainer Bart Hone with Francisco Amparan aboard. The three-year-old gelding wears blinkers and draws post two, offering inside positioning in this sprint. Hone maintains a solid operation at Zia Park with multiple runners throughout the card.

Chino Mirage enters for trainer Timothy Gleason with Irwin Rosendo riding. The three-year-old gelding wearing blinkers draws the middle post at four, which provides tactical options in this competitive sprint.

Longshots

Ringo opens the card for trainer Sherry Armstrong with Enrique Portillo Gomez riding. The four-year-old gelding wears blinkers and draws the rail, but faces strong opposition from the Fincher barn. Gomez brings experience as a multiple stakes-winning jockey with over 1,000 career victories.​

Pace Analysis

Five furlongs produces rapid early fractions with horses showing speed from the gate establishing position quickly. The abbreviated distance leaves no room for error, making gate-to-wire speed a valuable commodity. Horses breaking alertly and securing favorable positions should control this race throughout.

Selections

Win: Stormwire

Place: Eyecandothisallday

Show: Go for Thunder

Race 3 – Claiming $20,000

Post Time: 12:59 PM MT

Race 3 features a five and one-half furlong claiming sprint for three-year-olds and upward that have never won two races, carrying a purse of $41,000. The claiming price is set at $20,000 for open company and $25,000 for New Mexico-bred horses. Three-year-olds carry 121 pounds while older horses carry 123 pounds, with non-winners of a race since August 11, 2025 allowed a two-pound weight concession. This represents solid claiming company for Zia Park with horses transitioning from maiden ranks into competitive claiming conditions.​

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

The five and one-half furlong distance creates immediate tactical pressure with horses needing to establish position within the first quarter-mile. Sprint races at this distance typically produce contested early fractions, particularly when multiple horses possess tactical speed. The abbreviated distance leaves minimal room for late-closing tactics, making gate-to-wire speed and early positioning crucial factors. Horses securing favorable positions through the opening quarter while rating kindly should control the tempo entering the turn. The final furlong tests stamina and determination as the field straightens for home.​

The field composition suggests moderate early pace with several horses likely showing speed from their inside draws. The Fincher entry running as a team creates strategic advantages, allowing one horse to establish the tempo while the stablemate provides tactical flexibility. Horses breaking alertly and securing favorable positions within the first three spots should dictate terms throughout. The dirt surface at Zia Park typically favors horses with tactical speed who can maintain position without excessive early energy expenditure.

I’m a Dude To

The Todd Fincher-trained three-year-old gelding emerges as the morning line favorite at odds of 9-5, representing exceptional value given the barn’s current dominance. By The Factor out of Gadget Queen, this gelding possesses a pedigree combining speed and stamina, as The Factor’s offspring typically excel at sprint distances from five furlongs to seven furlongs. Recent form shows consistency with the pattern 62-3421, indicating competitive efforts in maiden company before breaking through for the first victory.​

Luis Fuentes handles riding duties, bringing his consecutive leading rider titles at Zia Park to this partnership. The combination of Fincher’s exceptional training skills and Fuentes’ tactical awareness creates significant advantages in competitive claiming company. Fincher’s recent performance winning five races on November 4 at a 56 percent strike rate demonstrates the barn’s peak form entering this assignment. The gelding draws post three, providing ideal positioning for the sprint distance with clear sightlines and tactical options.​

The move from maiden ranks into $20,000 claiming company represents appropriate placement for this gelding’s ability level. The weight assignment of 121 pounds reflects the three-year-old allowance without additional concessions, suggesting connections believe this horse possesses sufficient class to compete without weight relief. Breaking from the middle of a seven-horse field creates flexibility for various running styles, though the gelding’s breeding suggests tactical speed from the gate. The partnership with stablemate Nightnthequarter as an entry provides betting value and strategic race tactics.

Nightnthequarter

The four-year-old gelding represents Todd Fincher’s second entry with Tanner Fincher handling riding duties, creating a father-son partnership that has proven effective throughout the current meet. Sired by Midnight Lute, a multiple Grade 1 stakes winner known for producing sprinters with tactical speed and determination, this gelding brings proven pedigree credentials to competitive claiming company. The equipment change adding blinkers for this assignment suggests connections seek improved focus and concentration during the early pace scenario.​

Drawing post five in a seven-horse field provides outside positioning with clear visibility of the entire field through the opening quarter-mile. The addition of blinkers may enhance the gelding’s ability to maintain focus while settling into a comfortable rhythm behind or alongside stablemate I’m a Dude To. The Fincher barn’s strategy likely involves using both entries to control pace dynamics, with one horse establishing the tempo while the other maintains striking position.

The gelding carries 121 pounds, receiving no weight concessions despite the four-year-old status. This weight assignment indicates the horse has raced since August 11 with some success, preventing eligibility for the two-pound allowance. The morning line odds of 2-1 reflect respect for the Fincher barn’s current form and the strategic advantage of running as an entry. The family connections between trainer and jockey create seamless communication regarding race tactics and strategy.

L Squared

The five-year-old gelding trained by Joy Marlin brings veteran experience to this claiming sprint with Tracy Hebert handling riding duties. Sired by Square Eddie out of Lyla Della by Ecclesiastic, this gelding possesses a pedigree suited for middle-distance racing, though the five and one-half furlong distance may test his early tactical speed. Morning line odds of 7-2 suggest handicappers respect the gelding’s consistency in higher-grade company.​

Recent form indicates the gelding has competed at allowance levels before dropping into claiming ranks, suggesting connections either seek aggressive placement or the horse requires a class drop to regain winning form. The five-year-old status brings race experience and maturity advantages against younger three-year-old competition. Drawing post four provides mid-pack positioning with tactical options for rating behind early speed or pressing the pace throughout.

The weight assignment of 123 pounds represents the highest in the field, indicating the gelding has won races since August 11 and carries no concessions. This additional weight creates disadvantages in sprint distances where every pound matters during the final furlong. The partnership with veteran jockey Hebert provides experience in rating horses effectively, particularly valuable when conceding weight to younger opposition. The gelding’s breeding suggests comfort at six furlongs or beyond, making the abbreviated five and one-half furlong distance potentially challenging for sustained speed.

Community Service

The three-year-old gelding trained by Rafael Barraza draws post two with Luis Ramon Rodriguez handling riding duties. Recent form shows the pattern 535×7, indicating inconsistent efforts with scattered placings in maiden and lower-level claiming company. The morning line odds of 8-1 reflect skepticism regarding the gelding’s ability to compete with the Fincher entry and more established claimers.​

Drawing the two post provides inside positioning with potential traffic concerns through the turn. The inside draw requires alertness from the gate to secure favorable position before the field converges entering the turn. The weight assignment of 119 pounds indicates eligibility for the two-pound allowance as a non-winner since August 11, providing slight relief in competitive claiming company. The three-year-old status creates additional weight advantages compared to older rivals.

The partnership with Rodriguez brings solid experience though lacks the proven winning statistics of riders like Fuentes or Valenzuela. The barn shows moderate form at the current meet without the dominant statistics characterizing operations like Fincher or Cappellucci. The gelding’s recent form suggests difficulty winning races, making this assignment against proven claimers a significant challenge. The abbreviated sprint distance favors horses with natural tactical speed, a quality this gelding’s form suggests may be lacking.

Land Speed

The three-year-old colt trained by Clinton Crawford presents the most intriguing pedigree in the field, being by Mitole out of Bonneville Flats by Flat Out. Mitole captured the 2019 Horse of the Year title and multiple Grade 1 sprint championships, establishing himself as one of North America’s premier sprinters. This pedigree suggests elite sprint potential at distances from five furlongs to seven furlongs.​

However, recent form creates significant concerns about the colt’s current condition and ability. The scratch watch indicates Land Speed was withdrawn from an allowance race at Albuquerque on October 10 for veterinary reasons, raising questions about soundness and readiness for today’s assignment. The colt previously raced for Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen before transferring to Crawford’s barn, suggesting connections recognized the horse required different management or placement strategies.

Enrique Portillo Gomez handles riding duties, bringing his multiple stakes-winning credentials and over 1,000 career victories to this partnership. Drawing post six in a seven-horse field creates outside positioning requiring early speed to avoid traffic through the turn. The weight assignment of 119 pounds provides the two-pound allowance as a non-winner since August 11, offering slight relief in competitive company. The morning line odds of 8-1 reflect skepticism regarding the colt’s recent veterinary issues and ability to fire fresh.​

Despite the pedigree advantages and elite breeding, the recent scratch for veterinary reasons creates substantial risk for handicappers. The colt demonstrates proven ability with a victory at Remington Park in October 2024, indicating capability when sound and properly placed. The distance reduction to five and one-half furlongs may suit the Mitole breeding perfectly, though the layoff since the October scratch raises fitness concerns.

Whiskey Rye

The four-year-old gelding trained by Terri Rust draws the outside post with Luis Valenzuela handling riding duties. Valenzuela’s presence creates immediate interest as the jockey has demonstrated exceptional form throughout the current Zia Park meet with consistent winning performances across multiple barns. The morning line odds of 12-1 suggest handicappers view this assignment as challenging against the Fincher entry and more proven claimers.​

Drawing post seven in a seven-horse field requires immediate speed from the gate to secure position before the field compresses entering the first turn. The outside draw creates potential traffic concerns if the gelding fails to break alertly and establish position within the first quarter-mile. The abbreviated sprint distance leaves minimal room for ground-saving tactics or late-closing moves, making early positioning crucial for success.

The weight assignment of 121 pounds indicates the gelding has raced since August 11 without qualifying for the two-pound allowance. The four-year-old status brings maturity advantages though lacks the physical development benefit of five-year-old rivals. The partnership with Valenzuela provides the gelding’s strongest asset, as the jockey’s tactical awareness and current hot streak create opportunities in competitive claiming company. The barn shows limited statistics at the current meet compared to dominant operations like Fincher or Cappellucci.

American Storm

The three-year-old gelding trained by Tony Sedillo draws the rail post with Felipe Valdez handling riding duties. Recent form shows the pattern 1x6x, indicating scattered performances with limited consistency in maiden and lower-level claiming company. The morning line odds of 20-1 reflect significant skepticism regarding the gelding’s ability to compete with proven claimers and the dominant Fincher entry.​

Drawing post one provides inside positioning with potential advantages for gate-to-wire speed horses. The rail position creates ground-saving opportunities through the turn though requires alertness to avoid being pinned behind slower horses. The weight assignment of 119 pounds provides the two-pound allowance as a non-winner since August 11, offering maximum weight relief in competitive claiming company.

The partnership with Valdez brings solid experience though lacks the proven winning credentials of elite riders like Fuentes or Valenzuela. The barn shows moderate form at the current meet without dominant statistics. The gelding’s recent form suggests difficulty competing against established claimers, making this assignment a significant challenge. The abbreviated sprint distance requires immediate tactical speed, a quality the gelding’s form suggests may be inconsistent.

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

The Fincher entry of I’m a Dude To and Nightnthequarter likely produces the highest speed figures in the field based on recent performances and barn form. I’m a Dude To’s recent maiden victory combined with the barn’s exceptional current statistics suggests competitive Beyer figures in the 65-70 range, appropriate for $20,000 claiming company at Zia Park. The gelding’s progression through maiden ranks into claiming conditions indicates proper placement and development.​

L Squared brings proven class advantages having competed at allowance levels before today’s claiming assignment. The five-year-old gelding’s experience in higher-grade company suggests speed figures potentially exceeding the field average, though recent form raises questions about current ability. The class drop from allowance to $20,000 claiming indicates connections recognize the need for aggressive placement to regain winning form.

Land Speed possesses the most intriguing pedigree credentials as a Mitole colt from the Steve Asmussen barn before transferring to Crawford. The colt’s breeding suggests potential for elite speed figures when sound and properly placed. However, the recent veterinary scratch creates uncertainty about current form and fitness. The colt’s victory at Remington Park in October 2024 demonstrates capability producing competitive figures in maiden special weight company.

The remaining horses in the field show moderate speed figures appropriate for lower-level claiming company. Community Service, Whiskey Rye, and American Storm lack the proven class and recent form suggesting competitive figures against the Fincher entry and established claimers. The sprint distance amplifies class differences as horses cannot hide tactical deficiencies over five and one-half furlongs.

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

Zia Park’s dirt track configuration favors horses with tactical speed who secure favorable positions within the first quarter-mile. The five and one-half furlong distance features a relatively short run to the first turn, making the break from the gate crucial for establishing position. Horses drawing inside posts gain ground-saving advantages through the turn though risk traffic concerns if pinned behind slower rivals. Outside post positions require immediate speed to secure position before the field converges.

Post three provides I’m a Dude To with ideal positioning for the sprint distance. The middle draw offers clear sightlines with tactical options for pressing the pace or rating behind early speed. Post five gives Nightnthequarter outside positioning with visibility of the entire field through the opening quarter-mile. The Fincher entry’s post positions create strategic advantages for controlling pace dynamics throughout.

L Squared’s post four draw provides mid-pack positioning with tactical flexibility. The five-year-old gelding can rate behind early speed or press the pace depending on the opening quarter scenario. Land Speed’s post six assignment requires early speed from the talented but troubled colt. The outside draw creates challenges securing position before the field compresses entering the turn.

The track surface listed as fast should provide consistent footing throughout the card. Weather conditions forecasting sunny skies with temperatures reaching 78 degrees create ideal racing conditions without concerns about track moisture or sealed surfaces. The firm track favors horses with natural tactical speed who can maintain position without excessive early energy expenditure.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The Fincher entry of I’m a Dude To and Nightnthequarter creates exceptional betting value as the morning line odds suggest both horses will offer playable prices despite representing the dominant barn at the meet. I’m a Dude To at 9-5 provides solid value for win betting given the trainer’s exceptional form and the jockey partnership with Luis Fuentes. The entry creates opportunities for cost-effective exacta and trifecta construction using both horses in multiple combinations.​

Straight win betting on I’m a Dude To represents the most conservative approach, backing the proven barn and jockey combination with tactical speed advantages from an ideal post position. The gelding’s recent maiden victory combined with appropriate placement in $20,000 claiming company suggests readiness to compete effectively at this level.

Exacta wagering using the Fincher entry over L Squared and Land Speed creates attractive payouts if either proven claimer or talented pedigree play secures the place position. An exacta box of I’m a Dude To, Nightnthequarter, and L Squared provides solid coverage of the most likely top-three finishers. The five-year-old gelding’s class advantages from allowance competition make him a legitimate threat for the exacta despite conceding weight.

Trifecta construction should emphasize the Fincher entry in the first two positions with deeper coverage in third using L Squared, Land Speed, and potentially Whiskey Rye with Valenzuela. A trifecta using I’m a Dude To and Nightnthequarter with L Squared and Land Speed creates four combinations: 3-5/3-5/4-6, 3-5/4-6/3-5, and all combinations thereof. This structure provides comprehensive coverage while maintaining manageable ticket costs.

Longshot players intrigued by Land Speed’s elite pedigree and potential bounce-back performance can construct exactas using the Mitole colt over the Fincher entry and L Squared. An exacta wheel of 6/3-4-5 creates three combinations at reasonable cost. However, the recent veterinary scratch creates substantial risk that must be acknowledged before committing significant wagering funds.

Superfecta construction for aggressive bettors should key the Fincher entry in the first two spots with comprehensive coverage in third and fourth using L Squared, Land Speed, Whiskey Rye, and Community Service. A superfecta of 3-5/3-5/4-6-7/2-4-6-7 creates multiple winning combinations at manageable cost while maintaining focus on the most logical contenders.

Daily double connections linking Race 2 with Race 3 using Stormwire from the Fincher barn with the Race 3 entry creates attractive sequence possibilities. Pick 3 players constructing tickets through Races 2-3-4 should use the Fincher horses in both Race 2 and Race 3 while spreading in Race 4’s competitive claiming event.

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: I’m a Dude To represents exceptional value at morning line odds of 9-5 given the dominant form of trainer Todd Fincher and the proven partnership with jockey Luis Fuentes. The three-year-old gelding by The Factor possesses ideal sprint breeding combined with recent maiden victory demonstrating readiness for competitive claiming company. Drawing post three provides perfect positioning for the five and one-half furlong distance with tactical flexibility for various pace scenarios. Fincher’s remarkable five-win performance on November 4 at a 56 percent strike rate demonstrates the barn’s peak form entering this assignment. The gelding’s pedigree combining speed and stamina makes the abbreviated sprint distance ideal for tactical advantages. The partnership with Fuentes brings consecutive leading rider titles and proven tactical awareness to this competitive claiming event. Confidence level: High.​

Place: L Squared brings proven class advantages having competed at allowance levels before today’s claiming assignment. The five-year-old gelding trained by Joy Marlin possesses race experience and maturity advantages against younger three-year-old competition. The morning line odds of 7-2 provide value for place betting as the gelding’s allowance credentials suggest competitive ability even while conceding weight to the field. Drawing post four offers tactical positioning for rating behind the Fincher entry while maintaining striking position entering the final furlong. Veteran jockey Tracy Hebert brings experience rating horses effectively in competitive claiming company. The gelding’s consistency in higher-grade competition makes him a logical threat for the exacta despite carrying top weight of 123 pounds. Confidence level: Medium-High.​

Show: Nightnthequarter completes the top-three selections as the second entry from the dominant Fincher barn. The four-year-old gelding by Midnight Lute possesses proven sprint pedigree combined with the tactical advantages of running as an entry with stablemate I’m a Dude To. The partnership with Tanner Fincher creates seamless communication regarding race strategy and pace tactics. Drawing post five provides outside positioning with clear visibility for tactical maneuvering throughout the abbreviated sprint distance. The equipment change adding blinkers suggests connections seek improved focus during the early pace scenario. The entry structure creates betting value while maintaining comprehensive coverage of the Fincher barn’s dominant form at the current meet. Confidence level: Medium-High.​

Alternative exotic plays include Land Speed as a live longshot at 8-1 morning line odds. The three-year-old Mitole colt possesses elite pedigree credentials though recent veterinary scratch creates substantial risk. Handicappers willing to accept the risk of potential soundness issues can construct exactas using Land Speed over the Fincher entry and L Squared at potentially generous payouts. The Mitole breeding suggests explosive sprint ability when sound and properly placed, making the colt an intriguing underneath play in trifecta and superfecta construction despite recent concerns.​

Race 4 – Claiming $7,500

Post Time: 1:26 PM MT

A six and one-half furlong claiming race restricted to New Mexico-breds three years old and up features eight runners competing for a $33,000 purse. The conditions allow non-winners of a race since August 11 to carry two pounds less, providing relief for struggling horses.

Key Contenders

Izeright represents trainer Bart Hone with Alejandro Medellin aboard. The seven-year-old gelding wears blinkers and carries top weight of 123 pounds from post six. Hone maintains consistent form at Zia Park, and the veteran gelding brings experience to this competitive claiming group.

Storm Bayou enters for trainer Dick Cappellucci with Enrique Portillo Gomez riding. The nine-year-old gelding wears blinkers and draws the rail post. Cappellucci provides veteran guidance with consistent runners throughout the meet, and Gomez brings proven ability at the track.​

Secondary Choices

Playing Field exits trainer Sherry Armstrong’s barn with Christian Ramos handling the mount. The seven-year-old gelding wears blinkers and draws post three with the weight concession at 121 pounds. Armstrong shows solid form with multiple runners on today’s card.

Clue represents trainer Alberto Amparan with Aldo Arboleda aboard. The five-year-old gelding draws post two and receives the weight allowance at 121 pounds, providing tactical advantages in the middle distance race.

Longshots

Hold Me Only enters as a nine-year-old gelding for trainer Gary Cross with Tracy Hebert riding. The veteran wears blinkers and draws post seven, facing younger opposition but bringing extensive experience.

Pace Analysis

The six and one-half furlong distance allows horses time to establish position through the opening half-mile. The pace should be moderate with horses settling into comfortable positions before accelerating entering the turn. Horses rating kindly early while maintaining striking position should have the advantage down the lane.

Selections

Win: Storm Bayou

Place: Izeright

Show: Playing Field

Race 5 – Maiden Claiming $10,000

Post Time: 1:53 PM MT

Race 5 features a six-furlong maiden claiming sprint for New Mexico-bred fillies and mares three, four, and five years old, carrying a purse of $29,500. The claiming price is set at $10,000, representing moderate maiden claiming conditions for state-bred competition. Three-year-olds carry 121 pounds while older fillies and mares carry 123 pounds. This represents the typical progression for New Mexico-bred maidens seeking their first victory after unsuccessful attempts in higher-level maiden special weight or maiden claiming competition.​

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

The six-furlong distance creates strategic opportunities for various running styles while maintaining enough distance for tactical maneuvers. Maiden claiming races at this level typically produce moderate early pace with fillies seeking to establish position through the opening quarter-mile without excessive early speed. The distance allows horses to settle into comfortable rhythms through the first half-mile before accelerating entering the final furlong. Fillies breaking alertly and securing positions within the first four spots should control tempo throughout.​

The field composition suggests moderate early fractions with several fillies likely showing tactical speed from inside draws. Maiden races often produce uneven pace dynamics as inexperienced horses adjust to competitive racing conditions. The scratch watch indicates Tucum Kari was previously listed as also-eligible at Albuquerque on October 24, suggesting recent activity and potential fitness advantages. Fillies rating kindly while maintaining striking position should have tactical advantages entering the stretch drive.

Desert Grace

The three-year-old filly trained by Joel Marr emerges as the morning line favorite drawing post seven with Miguel Fuentes Jr. handling riding duties. By Punctuate out of Desert Stepper by Desert God, this filly possesses a pedigree combining speed and stamina appropriate for the six-furlong distance. Punctuate’s offspring typically show versatility at sprint distances from five furlongs through seven furlongs, making this assignment ideal for the filly’s breeding profile.​

Marr brings exceptional credentials with over $12 million in career earnings, demonstrating long-term success developing horses through various conditions. The trainer’s patient approach allows fillies to mature physically and mentally before aggressive placements. Fuentes Jr. continues establishing his reputation at Zia Park with consistent performances across multiple barns. The partnership creates confidence in the filly’s preparation and readiness for this maiden claiming assignment.​

Drawing post seven in an eight-horse field provides outside positioning with clear visibility throughout the opening half-mile. The outside draw requires alertness from the gate to secure favorable position before the field converges entering the turn. The three-year-old status creates weight advantages carrying 121 pounds compared to older mares at 123 pounds. The filly’s breeding suggests natural tactical speed allowing her to establish position early while rating kindly through the middle stages.

Marr’s willingness to enter this filly in maiden claiming company at the $10,000 level indicates realistic assessment of current ability. The move from higher conditions into claiming ranks represents appropriate placement for fillies requiring additional seasoning. The trainer’s success developing state-bred horses makes any runner from his barn competitive in New Mexico-bred maiden conditions.

Legion Heiress

The three-year-old filly trained by Raul Beltran Moreno draws the outside post at eight with Victor Castro handling riding duties. The morning line odds suggest handicappers respect this filly’s potential despite the challenging outside draw in a maiden claiming sprint. Beltran Moreno maintains consistent form at Zia Park with runners competing across various conditions throughout the current meet.​

Drawing the outside post in a maiden claiming sprint creates significant challenges securing favorable position through the opening quarter-mile. The outside draw requires immediate speed from the gate to avoid being forced wide through the turn. Fillies breaking from post eight face traffic concerns unless showing natural tactical speed allowing early positioning. The three-year-old status provides weight relief carrying 121 pounds against older competition.

Castro brings solid experience handling various running styles though lacks the proven winning credentials of elite riders like Fuentes Jr. or Portillo Gomez. The partnership demonstrates competence though may not provide the tactical advantages necessary to overcome the challenging outside draw. The filly’s presence in $10,000 maiden claiming company suggests connections believe this level represents appropriate placement for current ability.

The filly’s recent form and preparation remain uncertain without detailed past performance information. Maiden claiming fillies at this level typically show scattered efforts with improving form as experience accumulates. The challenging outside draw combined with moderate connections creates skepticism about winning chances against more favorably positioned rivals with stronger partnerships.

Rampage Rose

The three-year-old filly trained by Johnny Singh draws post three with Enrique Portillo Gomez handling riding duties. Portillo Gomez brings proven stakes-winning credentials with over 1,000 career victories in North America, creating immediate interest in any mount he accepts. The morning line odds reflect respect for the jockey’s ability to maximize performance from horses at all ability levels.​

Drawing post three provides ideal positioning for the six-furlong distance with clear sightlines and tactical options throughout. The inside-middle draw allows the filly to secure favorable position through the opening quarter-mile without excessive early energy expenditure. The three-year-old status creates weight advantages carrying 121 pounds compared to older mares. The partnership with Portillo Gomez provides the filly’s strongest asset in competitive maiden claiming company.

Singh maintains a moderate operation at Zia Park without the dominant statistics characterizing barns like Fincher or Cappellucci. The trainer shows consistency developing horses through various conditions though lacks the overwhelming winning percentages of elite operations. The barn’s willingness to place this filly with Portillo Gomez demonstrates confidence in current preparation and readiness.

Recent form shows the pattern 9 indicating a ninth-place finish in the filly’s most recent start. This single-digit finishing position suggests competitive efforts against similar maiden claiming competition. The six-furlong distance represents standard placement for developing three-year-old fillies seeking their first victory. The combination of favorable post position and elite jockey creates legitimate winning chances despite moderate barn statistics.

Whiskey On Ice

The three-year-old filly trained by Danny Morales draws post four with Miguel Perez handling riding duties. Morales has two entries in this race with stablemate Regal’s Charm drawing post five, suggesting the trainer possesses depth in his maiden filly division. The morning line odds indicate handicappers view both Morales runners as legitimate contenders in this competitive maiden claiming sprint.​

Drawing post four provides mid-pack positioning with tactical options for various running styles. The inside-middle draw creates flexibility for pressing early pace or rating behind speed depending on the opening quarter scenario. The three-year-old status provides weight relief carrying 121 pounds compared to older mares. The partnership with Perez brings solid experience though lacks the proven winning credentials of riders like Portillo Gomez or Fuentes Jr.

Morales demonstrates consistent form at the current meet with multiple runners across various conditions. The trainer’s willingness to enter two fillies in this maiden claiming event indicates confidence in stable preparation and condition. Trainers entering multiple horses typically possess one preferred runner with the second serving as a backup option or genuine contender depending on individual circumstances.

The filly’s recent form and preparation remain uncertain without detailed past performance data. Maiden claiming fillies at the $10,000 level typically show scattered performances with gradual improvement as racing experience accumulates. The favorable post position combined with established trainer creates legitimate chances for competitive efforts against similar maiden claiming competition.

Regal’s Charm

The three-year-old filly enters as the second runner for trainer Danny Morales with Luis Ramon Rodriguez handling riding duties from post five. Running as stablemates with Whiskey On Ice creates strategic opportunities for controlling pace dynamics through the opening half-mile. The morning line odds suggest handicappers view both Morales runners with similar respect in competitive maiden claiming conditions.​

Drawing post five provides outside-middle positioning with clear visibility throughout the opening quarter-mile. The post position offers tactical flexibility for various running styles while avoiding the extreme outside draws requiring immediate speed. The three-year-old status creates weight advantages carrying 121 pounds compared to older competition. The partnership with Rodriguez brings solid experience developing young horses through maiden conditions.

The Morales double entry creates betting value opportunities using both fillies in exotic wagering combinations. Trainers entering multiple horses often possess one preferred runner though both may show competitive ability depending on pace scenarios and trip developments. The strategic advantages of running as stablemates allow one filly to establish tempo while the partner maintains striking position.

Rodriguez demonstrates competence handling various running styles though lacks the elite credentials of proven winning riders like Portillo Gomez or Fuentes Jr. The partnership represents solid connections appropriate for maiden claiming competition at the $10,000 level. The filly’s presence in this condition indicates realistic assessment of current ability by connections familiar with Zia Park competition.

Shame On Callie

The four-year-old filly trained by Clinton Crawford draws post six with Felipe Valdez handling riding duties. The four-year-old status creates disadvantages carrying 123 pounds compared to three-year-old fillies at 121 pounds. Older maidens competing at the $10,000 claiming level typically demonstrate limited ability or soundness concerns preventing successful efforts at higher conditions.​

Drawing post six provides outside positioning requiring alertness from the gate to secure favorable position through the turn. The outside draw creates potential traffic concerns if the filly fails to break alertly and establish position within the first quarter-mile. The additional weight assignment of 123 pounds amplifies challenges competing against younger, lighter rivals. The partnership with Valdez brings experience though the connections face significant obstacles overcoming post position and weight disadvantages.

Crawford maintains moderate form at the current meet without dominant statistics characterizing elite operations. The trainer’s four-year-old maiden filly entering at the $10,000 claiming level suggests realistic placement acknowledging ability limitations. Older maidens typically face significant challenges defeating younger, improving three-year-old competition with weight advantages and potential upside.

Tormenta G G

The three-year-old filly trained by Hermenegildo Aldavaz draws post two with Oscar Andrade Jr. handling riding duties. The inside draw provides potential advantages for ground-saving tactics though creates traffic concerns if pinned behind slower horses through the turn. The three-year-old status offers weight relief carrying 121 pounds compared to older mares.​

Drawing post two requires alertness from the gate to secure favorable position without being trapped along the inside through the turn. The inside draw creates both advantages through ground-saving opportunities and disadvantages through potential traffic problems. Andrade Jr. demonstrates solid form at the current meet with experience handling various runners across multiple conditions throughout the card.

Aldavaz maintains moderate operations at Zia Park without the dominant statistics of elite trainers. The barn shows consistency developing horses through various conditions though lacks overwhelming winning percentages. The filly’s presence in $10,000 maiden claiming company indicates appropriate placement for current ability level against similar New Mexico-bred competition.

Tucum Kari

The five-year-old mare trained by Bernadette Barrios draws the rail post with Kevin Carmona handling riding duties. The five-year-old status creates significant disadvantages carrying top weight of 123 pounds while competing as a maiden at the $10,000 claiming level. Older maidens reaching five years old without securing victories face substantial questions about ability and competitiveness.​

The scratch watch indicates Tucum Kari was listed as also-eligible at Albuquerque on October 24 in Race 3, a maiden claiming event at the $8,000 level. This recent activity suggests current fitness though the also-eligible status indicates the mare failed to draw into the earlier race. Drawing the rail post provides inside positioning with ground-saving advantages though creates significant traffic concerns if trapped behind slower horses.

Carmona brings experience handling various running styles though lacks the proven winning credentials of elite riders dominating the current meet. The partnership faces substantial challenges overcoming the mare’s age disadvantages and top weight assignment. Five-year-old maidens competing at lower claiming levels typically demonstrate limited ability preventing successful efforts against younger, improving competition.

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

Desert Grace likely produces the highest projected speed figures based on connections and breeding profile. Marr’s exceptional training credentials combined with Fuentes Jr.’s consistent riding form suggest the filly possesses competitive figures appropriate for $10,000 maiden claiming company. The Punctuate pedigree indicates potential for figures in the 55-65 range when the filly fires her best effort.​

Rampage Rose brings the elite jockey advantage through Portillo Gomez’s proven winning ability. The combination of favorable post position and stakes-winning rider suggests potential for competitive figures despite moderate barn statistics. Three-year-old maiden claimers at this level typically produce figures ranging from 50-60 depending on individual ability and pace scenarios.

The Morales entry of Whiskey On Ice and Regal’s Charm likely shows similar projected figures given their stablemate status and comparable conditions. Trainers entering multiple fillies typically possess runners with similar ability levels competing for the same purse money. The fillies’ figures probably range between 50-60 based on the $10,000 claiming level and New Mexico-bred restrictions.

Legion Heiress faces challenges producing competitive figures from the extreme outside post position. The challenging draw combined with moderate connections creates skepticism about the filly’s ability to match figures from more favorably positioned rivals. Older maidens like Shame On Callie and Tucum Kari typically show declining figures as age accumulates without corresponding improvement in competitive ability.

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

Zia Park’s dirt track configuration favors horses with tactical speed securing favorable positions through the opening quarter-mile. The six-furlong distance features adequate run to the first turn allowing horses to establish position without excessive early pressure. Inside posts provide ground-saving advantages through the turn though create traffic concerns if trapped behind slower rivals. Outside posts require immediate speed to avoid being forced wide through the turn.​

Post three provides Rampage Rose with ideal positioning for the six-furlong distance. The inside-middle draw offers clear sightlines with tactical options throughout the race. Posts four and five give the Morales entry of Whiskey On Ice and Regal’s Charm excellent positioning for controlling pace dynamics. The middle draws create strategic advantages for various running styles while avoiding extreme inside or outside posts.

Desert Grace’s post seven assignment requires alertness from the gate to secure position before the field converges entering the turn. The outside draw creates challenges though the filly’s breeding suggests natural tactical speed allowing early positioning. Legion Heiress faces the most challenging post position drawing the extreme outside at eight, requiring immediate speed to avoid traffic through the turn.

The track surface listed as fast should provide consistent footing throughout the afternoon card. Weather conditions forecasting sunny skies with temperatures reaching 78 degrees create ideal racing conditions without concerns about moisture or sealed surfaces. The firm track favors fillies with natural tactical speed who can maintain position without excessive early energy expenditure.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Desert Grace represents solid value for win betting at projected morning line odds based on the Marr training credentials and Fuentes Jr. partnership. The combination of elite trainer with proven development skills and consistent jockey creates confidence in the filly’s preparation. Straight win betting on Desert Grace provides conservative approach backing proven connections with appropriate breeding for the six-furlong distance.​

Rampage Rose offers exceptional value through the elite jockey advantage with Portillo Gomez. The combination of favorable post position and proven stakes-winning rider creates legitimate winning chances despite moderate barn statistics. Exacta wagering using Desert Grace over Rampage Rose provides solid coverage of the two most logical contenders with proven connections.

The Morales entry of Whiskey On Ice and Regal’s Charm creates cost-effective exotic wagering opportunities using both fillies in multiple combinations. Exacta boxes including Desert Grace, Rampage Rose, and both Morales runners provide comprehensive coverage of the most likely top finishers. An exacta box of 3-4-5-7 creates six combinations covering the logical contenders from favorable post positions with established connections.

Trifecta construction should emphasize Desert Grace and Rampage Rose in the first two positions with deeper coverage in third using the Morales entry and Legion Heiress. A trifecta using 3-7/3-4-5-7/4-5-8 creates multiple winning combinations at manageable cost. This structure provides comprehensive coverage while maintaining focus on the most logical contenders with proven connections.

Superfecta construction for aggressive bettors should key Desert Grace and Rampage Rose in the first two spots with comprehensive coverage in third and fourth using the Morales entry, Legion Heiress, and Tormenta G G. A superfecta of 3-7/3-7/4-5-8/2-4-5-8 creates multiple winning combinations while maintaining manageable ticket costs.

Daily double connections linking Race 4 with Race 5 using Storm Bayou or Izeright with Desert Grace creates attractive sequence possibilities. Pick 3 players constructing tickets through Races 4-5-6 should use Desert Grace and Rampage Rose in Race 5 while spreading in the surrounding competitive claiming and allowance events.

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: Desert Grace represents exceptional value based on the elite training credentials of Joel Marr and the consistent riding form of Miguel Fuentes Jr. The three-year-old filly by Punctuate possesses ideal sprint breeding combining speed and stamina appropriate for the six-furlong distance. Marr’s career earnings exceeding $12 million demonstrate long-term success developing horses through various conditions with patient, methodical approaches. Drawing post seven provides outside positioning with clear visibility throughout the opening half-mile, and the filly’s breeding suggests natural tactical speed allowing early position establishment. The trainer’s willingness to enter this filly in $10,000 maiden claiming company indicates realistic assessment of current ability with confidence in readiness for this assignment. The partnership with Fuentes Jr. brings consistent form and tactical awareness to competitive maiden claiming conditions. Confidence level: High.​

Place: Rampage Rose offers exceptional place value through the elite jockey advantage of Enrique Portillo Gomez. The stakes-winning rider with over 1,000 career victories brings proven tactical skill maximizing performance from horses at all ability levels. Drawing post three provides ideal positioning for the six-furlong distance with clear sightlines and tactical options throughout the race. The three-year-old filly’s inside-middle draw creates flexibility for various running styles while avoiding extreme outside posts requiring immediate speed. The partnership with Portillo Gomez provides the filly’s strongest asset in competitive maiden claiming company despite moderate barn statistics from trainer Johnny Singh. Recent form showing a ninth-place finish indicates competitive efforts against similar maiden claiming competition. The combination of favorable post position and elite jockey credentials creates legitimate chances for exacta finishes even if unable to secure victory. Confidence level: Medium-High.​

Show: Whiskey On Ice completes the top-three selections as the first entry from trainer Danny Morales. The three-year-old filly drawing post four provides mid-pack positioning with tactical options for various running styles throughout the six-furlong distance. Morales demonstrates consistent form at the current meet with two entries in this maiden claiming event, suggesting depth in the barn’s filly division and confidence in stable preparation. The inside-middle draw creates flexibility for pressing early pace or rating behind speed depending on opening quarter developments. The partnership with Miguel Perez brings solid experience appropriate for maiden claiming conditions at the $10,000 level. The filly’s presence in this competitive field alongside stablemate Regal’s Charm creates strategic opportunities for controlling pace dynamics while maintaining cost-effective exotic wagering coverage. The trainer’s consistent form combined with favorable post position makes this filly a logical threat for the trifecta despite lacking elite connections. Confidence level: Medium.​

Alternative exotic plays include using both Morales runners Whiskey On Ice and Regal’s Charm in exacta and trifecta combinations for comprehensive coverage of the trainer’s double entry. Legion Heiress offers longshot value in trifecta and superfecta construction despite the challenging outside post position, as three-year-old maidens occasionally produce surprise efforts when connections identify appropriate spots. Handicappers willing to accept risk can construct superfectas using Desert Grace and Rampage Rose in the first two positions with deeper coverage including Tormenta G G and the Morales entry in the final spots for potentially generous payouts.

Race 6 – Allowance

Post Time: 2:20 PM MT

Race 6 features a one-mile allowance contest for three-year-olds and upward carrying a purse of $50,000. The conditions specify horses having never won a race other than maiden, claiming, or starter, or horses never having won two races. Three-year-olds carry 121 pounds while older horses carry 123 pounds. Non-winners of a race at a mile or over since August 11, 2025 receive a two-pound allowance, with winners preferred for this competitive allowance assignment. This represents a significant step up from claiming conditions into restricted allowance company, creating strategic class dynamics throughout the field.​

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

The one-mile distance creates strategic opportunities for various running styles while rewarding horses who rate kindly through the opening half-mile before accelerating entering the stretch. Allowance races at this level typically produce moderate early pace with horses establishing comfortable positions through the first six furlongs before tactical moves develop on the backstretch. The distance favors horses with tactical speed combined with stamina reserves for sustained efforts through the final quarter-mile.​

The field composition suggests measured early fractions with multiple horses likely showing tactical speed from various post positions. Horses securing favorable positions within the first four spots while maintaining striking distance should control tempo throughout. The one-mile configuration at Zia Park allows adequate time for horses to establish rhythm through the opening half-mile before the backstretch run creates opportunities for position improvement. Horses rating kindly while conserving energy for late acceleration should have significant advantages entering the stretch drive.

The presence of the Cappellucci entry with Remember Big Jim and Yo Soy Roy creates strategic pace advantages, allowing one runner to establish tempo while the stablemate maintains tactical flexibility. Route races favor horses demonstrating stamina combined with closing speed, making the final quarter-mile decisive for determining winner and exacta finishers.

Remember Big Jim

The three-year-old colt trained by Dick Cappellucci draws post seven with Luis Fuentes handling riding duties. By Medaglia d’Oro, a multiple Grade 1 winner and successful sire producing horses with route stamina and class, this colt possesses elite pedigree credentials for the one-mile distance. Medaglia d’Oro’s offspring typically excel at middle distances from one mile through nine furlongs, making this assignment ideal for the colt’s breeding profile.​

Recent form shows the pattern 2-27412, indicating consistent efforts with multiple place finishes in competitive allowance and maiden special weight company. The colt secured a second-place finish in his most recent start at Albuquerque Downs, demonstrating competitive ability against quality opposition. The progression through maiden ranks into allowance conditions represents appropriate development for a three-year-old with elite breeding.​

Cappellucci brings veteran training expertise with consistent form throughout the current meet. The trainer has two entries in this allowance race with stablemate Yo Soy Roy, demonstrating depth in his stable and confidence in preparation. Fuentes continues his exceptional form at Zia Park with consecutive leading rider titles, bringing proven tactical skill and winning credentials to this partnership. The combination of elite pedigree, veteran trainer guidance, and championship jockey creates formidable winning chances.​

Drawing post seven in an eight-horse field provides outside positioning with clear visibility throughout the one-mile journey. The outside draw requires alertness establishing position through the opening quarter-mile but allows tactical flexibility for various running styles. The three-year-old status creates weight advantages carrying just 119 pounds compared to older rivals at 121-123 pounds. The colt receives additional weight relief through the age allowance, providing significant tactical advantages in competitive allowance company.

The Medaglia d’Oro breeding suggests natural rating ability allowing the colt to settle comfortably behind early pace before accelerating with sustained runs through the stretch. The pedigree indicates preference for tactical positioning rather than wire-to-wire speed, making the one-mile distance ideal for demonstrating the colt’s stamina and closing ability. The partnership with Fuentes provides tactical awareness necessary for maximizing the colt’s late-running style.

Winning Big

The four-year-old gelding trained by Raymond Valerio draws post four with Aldo Arboleda handling riding duties. The morning line odds suggest handicappers view this gelding as the likely favorite based on recent form and competitive efforts in similar allowance conditions. Recent form shows the pattern 32341, indicating consistent performances with multiple top-three finishes demonstrating competitive ability at this class level.​

Drawing post four provides mid-pack positioning with tactical flexibility for various running styles throughout the one-mile journey. The inside-middle draw creates advantages for horses demonstrating tactical speed while conserving energy through the opening half-mile. The gelding carries top weight of 123 pounds, indicating recent success without qualification for weight concessions. This weight assignment suggests the gelding won races after August 11, preventing eligibility for the two-pound allowance.

Arboleda demonstrates solid form at the current meet with multiple place finishes across various conditions. The jockey brings experience handling different running styles though lacks the championship credentials of riders like Fuentes or Portillo Gomez. Valerio maintains moderate operations at Zia Park without the dominant statistics characterizing elite trainers, though consistent form suggests competent preparation.

The gelding’s top weight assignment creates challenges competing against younger, lighter rivals with weight advantages. Every pound matters in competitive allowance company at one mile, where stamina and sustained speed determine final outcomes. The gelding’s consistency suggests reliable performances though the weight disadvantage may prove decisive against quality opposition with more favorable conditions.

Yo Soy Roy

The four-year-old gelding enters as the second runner for trainer Dick Cappellucci with Ramon Vazquez handling riding duties from post eight. Running as stablemates with Remember Big Jim creates strategic advantages for controlling pace dynamics through the one-mile journey. The morning line odds reflect the entry structure, with both Cappellucci runners combined for wagering purposes.​

Drawing the outside post at eight requires immediate tactical awareness establishing position through the opening quarter-mile. The extreme outside draw creates challenges securing favorable position before the field settles into rhythm down the backstretch. The gelding carries 121 pounds, receiving no weight concessions despite the four-year-old status. The four-year-old competing against a three-year-old colt with age allowances creates additional weight disadvantages.

The Cappellucci double entry demonstrates confidence in stable depth and preparation quality. Trainers entering multiple horses typically possess one preferred runner with the second serving tactical purposes for pace control or genuine competitive threat depending on individual circumstances. The strategic advantages of running as stablemates allow one horse to establish comfortable tempo while the partner maintains position for tactical moves.

Vazquez brings experience handling various running styles though lacks elite credentials compared to championship riders dominating the meet. The partnership faces substantial obstacles overcoming the challenging outside draw combined with weight disadvantages competing against younger, lighter rivals. The one-mile distance requires proper positioning through the opening half-mile, making the outside draw particularly problematic for securing favorable tactical placement.

Nativity

The four-year-old filly trained by Jeff Hudson draws post two with Fausto Da Silva handling riding duties. The filly represents the only female in this allowance contest, creating gender challenges competing against colts and geldings at one mile. The filly carries just 118 pounds, receiving seven-pound weight relief compared to older males at 123 pounds and five pounds compared to three-year-old males.​

Da Silva brings proven stakes-winning credentials with consistent performances across multiple tracks throughout his career. The veteran jockey’s tactical awareness suits route distances where proper positioning and patient riding prove crucial for success. Drawing post two provides inside positioning with ground-saving advantages though creates traffic concerns if trapped behind slower horses through the turn.

Hudson maintains moderate operations though demonstrates competence developing horses through various conditions. The trainer’s willingness to enter this filly against male opposition indicates confidence in current ability and competitive form. The filly’s presence in open allowance company suggests legitimate class credentials warranting respect despite gender disadvantages.

The substantial weight relief creates tactical advantages for the filly competing against heavier rivals. Seven pounds represents significant relief in competitive allowance company at one mile, where sustained speed and stamina determine outcomes. The filly’s breeding and recent form remain uncertain without detailed performance data, though the inside draw combined with weight advantages creates opportunities for competitive efforts.

John John

The four-year-old gelding trained by Casey Lambert draws post three with Alfredo Juarez Jr. handling riding duties. Recent form shows the pattern 323122416, indicating scattered performances with inconsistent efforts across various conditions. The gelding’s recent form suggests difficulty maintaining consistency in competitive allowance company.​

Drawing post three provides inside-middle positioning with tactical flexibility for the one-mile journey. The favorable draw creates opportunities for ground-saving tactics while maintaining striking position through the opening half-mile. The gelding carries 121 pounds, receiving no weight concessions despite the four-year-old status. Lambert demonstrates consistent form at the current meet with multiple runners across various conditions throughout the card.

Juarez Jr. brings solid experience with consistent performances though lacks the championship credentials of elite riders dominating the meet. The partnership faces challenges competing against superior connections including the Cappellucci entry with Fuentes and other established operations. The gelding’s inconsistent form creates skepticism about reliability in competitive allowance company requiring sustained efforts through one mile.

St. Elmo

The five-year-old gelding trained by Bart Hone draws the rail post with Elvin Gonzalez handling riding duties. Recent form indicates competitive efforts in route races at one mile and beyond, suggesting comfort at the distance. The gelding carries 121 pounds, receiving the two-pound weight allowance as a non-winner at a mile or over since August 11.​

Drawing the rail post provides inside positioning with ground-saving advantages throughout the one-mile journey. The rail draw creates both opportunities through distance advantages and risks through potential traffic concerns if trapped behind slower horses. Gonzalez demonstrates solid form at the meet with experience handling various running styles across multiple conditions.

Hone maintains consistent operations at Zia Park with multiple runners throughout today’s card. The trainer shows competence developing horses though lacks the dominant statistics characterizing elite operations like Fincher or Cappellucci. The gelding’s presence in competitive allowance company suggests legitimate class credentials though the rail draw creates tactical uncertainties requiring perfect trip execution.

Kirby Derby

The six-year-old gelding trained by Carlos Gonzalez draws post six with Miguel Perez handling riding duties. The six-year-old status creates age disadvantages competing against younger, potentially improving rivals with weight advantages. The gelding carries 121 pounds, receiving the two-pound weight allowance as a non-winner at a mile or over since August 11.

Drawing post six provides outside-middle positioning requiring tactical awareness through the opening quarter-mile. The post position offers flexibility for various running styles while avoiding extreme inside or outside draws. Perez brings experience though lacks elite credentials compared to championship riders. Gonzalez maintains moderate operations without dominant statistics.

Miss Lucky Lady

The six-year-old mare trained by Raul Beltran Moreno draws post five with Kevin Carmona handling riding duties. The mare represents the oldest competitor in the field, creating age disadvantages competing against younger rivals. The mare carries just 118 pounds, receiving substantial weight relief as a female competing in open company.

The combination of advanced age and gender creates significant challenges securing competitive finishes against younger, potentially improving opposition. The substantial weight relief provides tactical advantages though may prove insufficient overcoming fundamental age and class disadvantages. Carmona brings experience though the connections face substantial obstacles competing against superior operations.

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

Remember Big Jim likely produces the highest projected speed figures based on elite Medaglia d’Oro breeding combined with the Cappellucci training expertise and Fuentes partnership. The colt’s recent second-place finish at Albuquerque Downs suggests competitive figures in the 75-85 range appropriate for restricted allowance company. The three-year-old status indicates potential improvement as physical maturity develops.​

Winning Big brings proven consistency with recent form suggesting reliable figures though the top weight assignment creates disadvantages. The gelding’s pattern 32341 indicates competitive ability producing figures appropriate for this class level. The four-year-old status suggests established ability without significant upside potential compared to improving three-year-old opposition.

The Cappellucci entry strategy suggests Remember Big Jim represents the preferred runner with superior breeding and championship jockey, while Yo Soy Roy provides tactical pace support or backup competitive threat. The entry structure creates betting value while maintaining comprehensive coverage of the trainer’s allowance runners.

Nativity brings gender disadvantages though substantial weight relief creates opportunities for competitive figures. Fillies and mares typically produce slightly lower raw speed figures than male counterparts though weight concessions compensate for these differences. Da Silva’s proven tactical skill maximizes the filly’s potential for competitive performances.

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

Zia Park’s one-mile configuration features adequate run to the first turn allowing horses to establish position without excessive early pressure. The route distance favors horses with tactical speed securing positions within the first four spots while maintaining striking distance through the opening half-mile. Inside posts provide ground-saving advantages throughout the journey though create traffic concerns if trapped behind slower rivals.​

Remember Big Jim’s post seven assignment provides outside positioning with clear visibility throughout the race. The outside draw requires alertness establishing position but offers tactical flexibility for various running styles. The Medaglia d’Oro breeding suggests comfort rating behind early pace before sustained acceleration through the stretch.

Winning Big’s post four draw provides ideal mid-pack positioning for controlling tempo. The inside-middle post creates strategic advantages for horses demonstrating tactical speed while conserving energy. Nativity’s post two assignment offers inside positioning with ground-saving benefits though potential traffic concerns require Da Silva’s tactical expertise.

The track surface listed as fast should provide consistent footing throughout the afternoon card. Weather conditions forecasting sunny skies with temperatures reaching 78 degrees create ideal racing conditions without moisture concerns. The firm track favors horses with sustained speed who maintain position without excessive early energy expenditure.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Remember Big Jim represents exceptional value for win betting based on elite Medaglia d’Oro pedigree combined with the proven Cappellucci and Fuentes partnership. The three-year-old colt brings age and weight advantages competing against older, heavier rivals in competitive allowance company. Straight win betting on Remember Big Jim provides conservative approach backing proven connections with superior breeding for the one-mile distance.​

Exacta wagering using Remember Big Jim over Winning Big and Nativity provides solid coverage of the most logical contenders. An exacta box of 7-4-2 creates six combinations covering the top connections with favorable race setups. The structure emphasizes Remember Big Jim in the win position while providing backup coverage if the favorite Winning Big secures victory.

Trifecta construction should feature Remember Big Jim in the first position with comprehensive second and third coverage using Winning Big, Nativity, John John, and the Cappellucci stablemate Yo Soy Roy. A trifecta using 7/2-4-8/2-3-4-8 creates multiple winning combinations at manageable cost. This structure provides focus on the logical winner while maintaining coverage of competitive runners for place and show positions.

Superfecta construction for aggressive bettors should key Remember Big Jim on top with comprehensive coverage in second through fourth positions. A superfecta of 7/2-4-8/1-2-3-4-8/1-2-3-4-5-8 creates extensive winning combinations while maintaining manageable ticket costs. The structure emphasizes the logical winner with deep coverage acknowledging competitive depth throughout the allowance field.

Daily double connections linking Race 5 with Race 6 using Desert Grace with Remember Big Jim creates attractive sequence possibilities. Pick 3 players constructing tickets through Races 5-6-7 should use Remember Big Jim in Race 6 while spreading in the surrounding maiden claiming and allowance sprint events for comprehensive coverage.

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: Remember Big Jim represents exceptional value based on elite Medaglia d’Oro pedigree combined with the proven partnership of trainer Dick Cappellucci and jockey Luis Fuentes. The three-year-old colt possesses ideal breeding for the one-mile distance, as Medaglia d’Oro’s offspring consistently excel at middle-distance routes with sustained stamina and closing ability. Recent form showing a second-place finish at Albuquerque Downs demonstrates competitive ability in quality allowance company. The progression from maiden special weight into restricted allowance conditions represents appropriate development for a colt with championship breeding. Cappellucci’s veteran training expertise combined with Fuentes’ consecutive leading rider titles creates formidable connections maximizing the colt’s potential. Drawing post seven provides outside positioning with clear visibility, and the three-year-old status creates substantial weight advantages carrying just 119 pounds compared to older rivals at 121-123 pounds. The five-pound weight advantage over older geldings proves significant in competitive allowance company at one mile where sustained speed determines outcomes. Confidence level: High.​

Place: Winning Big offers solid place value despite top weight assignment of 123 pounds. The four-year-old gelding brings proven consistency with recent form pattern 32341 indicating reliable performances in competitive allowance company. Drawing post four provides ideal mid-pack positioning with tactical flexibility for controlling pace dynamics through the one-mile journey. Trainer Raymond Valerio demonstrates competent preparation, and jockey Aldo Arboleda brings consistent form at the current meet. The morning line odds suggest handicappers view this gelding as the likely favorite, creating respect for proven ability despite weight disadvantages. The gelding’s consistency makes him a logical threat for exacta finishes even when unable to overcome Remember Big Jim’s superior breeding and weight advantages. The favorable post position combined with established class credentials creates legitimate chances for place finishes in competitive allowance company. Confidence level: Medium-High.​

Show: Nativity completes the top-three selections as the only filly competing in this allowance contest. The four-year-old filly trained by Jeff Hudson draws post two with proven stakes-winning jockey Fausto Da Silva handling riding duties. The filly carries just 118 pounds, receiving substantial seven-pound weight relief compared to older males and five pounds compared to three-year-old males. This significant weight advantage creates tactical opportunities for competitive performances despite gender disadvantages. Da Silva’s championship credentials bring tactical awareness crucial for route distances requiring patient positioning and sustained acceleration. The inside draw provides ground-saving advantages throughout the one-mile journey, and Hudson’s willingness to enter this filly against male opposition indicates confidence in competitive ability. The combination of substantial weight relief, elite jockey credentials, and favorable post position makes this filly a logical threat for trifecta finishes despite gender challenges. Confidence level: Medium.​

Alternative exotic plays include using the Cappellucci entry of Remember Big Jim and Yo Soy Roy in exacta and trifecta combinations for comprehensive coverage of the trainer’s double entry. John John offers longshot value in trifecta and superfecta construction despite inconsistent form, as the favorable post three draw combined with Juarez Jr.’s experience creates occasional upset potential. Handicappers seeking deeper payouts can construct superfectas keying Remember Big Jim on top with extensive coverage including St. Elmo and Kirby Derby in the final positions for potentially generous returns.

Race 7 – Allowance

Post Time: 2:47 PM MT

Race 7 features a five-furlong allowance sprint for New Mexico-bred fillies and mares three, four, and five years old, carrying the day’s highest purse of $62,000. The conditions specify fillies and mares having never won two races, with three-year-olds carrying 121 pounds while older competitors carry 123 pounds. Non-winners of a race since August 11, 2025 receive a two-pound weight allowance, with winners preferred for this competitive allowance assignment. This represents the feature race of the day with the largest field of ten runners competing in restricted state-bred allowance company.​

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

The five-furlong distance creates immediate tactical pressure with fillies and mares establishing position within the opening quarter-mile. Sprint races at this abbreviated distance typically produce contested early fractions, particularly when multiple horses possess natural speed from the gate. The brief distance leaves minimal room for late-closing tactics, making gate-to-wire speed and early positioning crucial factors for success. Fillies and mares securing favorable positions through the opening quarter while rating kindly should control tempo throughout.​

The field composition featuring ten runners suggests rapid early pace with several fillies showing speed from various post positions. The large field creates potential traffic concerns requiring clean breaks and immediate tactical positioning. Horses breaking alertly from inside draws gain ground-saving advantages while outside posts require exceptional speed establishing position before the field converges. The abbreviated distance amplifies every advantage and disadvantage, making post position and tactical speed paramount.

The Fincher entry with Punkin Puddin drawing post four provides ideal inside-middle positioning for controlling pace dynamics. The Bart Hone trio featuring Mo Money Time, Strike the Senses, and an additional runner creates strategic complexity with multiple horses from the same barn competing for the purse. The Buechler operation sends two runners with Sirrah and Hush’s Ghost, creating additional entry dynamics influencing pace scenarios.

Punkin Puddin

The three-year-old filly trained by Todd Fincher draws post four with Luis Valenzuela handling riding duties. By Proceed out of a dam line combining speed and precocity, this filly possesses breeding suited for sharp sprint distances from five furlongs through six furlongs. Recent form shows the pattern 223-13, indicating consistent competitive efforts with multiple place finishes before securing a recent victory. The filly returns from a 49-week layoff, creating questions about fitness and readiness for competitive allowance company.​

Fincher’s exceptional form at the current meet provides significant confidence despite the extended layoff. The trainer’s recent five-win performance on November 4 at a 56 percent strike rate demonstrates the barn’s peak condition entering this feature allowance assignment. Valenzuela brings his premier riding credentials to this partnership, combining tactical awareness with proven winning ability throughout the current meet. The combination of dominant trainer and elite jockey creates formidable connections maximizing the filly’s potential.​

Drawing post four provides ideal inside-middle positioning for the five-furlong sprint. The favorable draw creates tactical options for pressing early pace or securing position behind speed while maintaining striking distance. The three-year-old status creates weight advantages carrying 121 pounds compared to older mares at 123 pounds. The filly’s weight assignment indicates recent racing success preventing eligibility for the two-pound allowance.

The extended 49-week layoff represents the primary concern evaluating this filly’s winning chances. Horses returning from lengthy absences typically require races for fitness development, though elite trainers like Fincher occasionally produce sharp efforts first time back. The trainer’s dominant current form suggests confidence in the filly’s preparation and readiness. The breeding indicates natural speed allowing immediate tactical positioning from the favorable post draw.

Hush’s Ghost

The three-year-old filly trained by Simon Buechler draws post nine with Luis Fuentes handling riding duties. The partnership combines Buechler’s consistent operation with Fuentes’ consecutive leading rider titles at Zia Park, creating proven connections in competitive allowance company. The filly’s presence in this feature allowance represents appropriate placement for restricted state-bred conditions.​

Fuentes secured his second straight leading rider title at Zia Park’s 2023 meet, bringing championship credentials and tactical expertise to this partnership. The jockey’s 17 percent win rate and 49 percent in-the-money percentage provide consistent value for bettors across all conditions. The partnership with Buechler demonstrates the barn’s confidence placing this filly with the meet’s premier rider.

Drawing post nine in a ten-horse field creates challenging outside positioning requiring immediate speed from the gate. The outside draw forces the filly wide through the opening quarter-mile unless demonstrating exceptional early acceleration. Five-furlong sprints leave minimal time for ground-saving maneuvers, making the outside post particularly problematic for securing favorable position. The three-year-old status provides weight relief carrying 121 pounds compared to older mares.

The challenging post position represents significant obstacles overcoming despite elite jockey credentials. Fuentes’ tactical skill provides the filly’s strongest asset, though even championship riders face difficulties overcoming extreme outside draws in abbreviated sprints. The filly’s breeding and running style remain uncertain without detailed performance data, creating additional handicapping challenges evaluating true competitive ability.

Strike the Senses

The three-year-old filly trained by Bart Hone draws post two with Enrique Portillo Gomez handling riding duties. Hone enters three fillies in this feature allowance, demonstrating exceptional depth in his state-bred filly division. The trainer’s willingness to compete multiple runners indicates confidence in stable preparation and competitive conditioning. Portillo Gomez brings proven stakes-winning credentials with over 1,000 career victories to this partnership.​

Recent form shows Strike the Senses secured a victory at Sunland Park on April 7, 2025, demonstrating competitive ability in similar allowance conditions. The filly’s win came with Portillo Gomez riding, establishing proven chemistry between jockey and mount. The partnership’s success at Sunland Park creates confidence for today’s assignment at Zia Park in comparable state-bred allowance company.

Drawing post two provides inside positioning with ground-saving advantages throughout the five-furlong journey. The inside draw creates both opportunities through distance savings and risks through potential traffic concerns if trapped behind slower fillies. The three-year-old status provides weight relief carrying 119 pounds, receiving the two-pound allowance as a non-winner since August 11. The weight concession creates tactical advantages competing against heavier rivals.

The combination of elite jockey credentials, favorable inside post position, and weight relief creates legitimate winning chances despite competition from the dominant Fincher operation. Portillo Gomez’s proven ability maximizing performance from horses at all ability levels makes any mount competitive. The inside draw suits the jockey’s tactical style allowing patient positioning before sustained acceleration through the stretch.

Bonified Wildcat

The three-year-old filly trained by Casey Lambert draws the outside post at ten with Fausto Da Silva handling riding duties. By Kentucky Wildcat, a stallion known for producing sprint-oriented offspring with tactical speed, this filly possesses breeding suited for five-furlong conditions. Lambert demonstrates consistent form at the current meet with multiple runners across various conditions throughout the card.​

Da Silva brings proven championship credentials with consistent performances throughout his career at tracks across North America. The veteran jockey’s tactical awareness suits sprint distances requiring patient positioning and sustained acceleration. The partnership with Lambert creates solid connections appropriate for competitive allowance company at restricted state-bred levels.

Drawing the extreme outside post at ten creates the most challenging position in the field. The outside draw requires exceptional speed from the gate to secure favorable position before the field converges through the opening quarter-mile. Five-furlong sprints leave minimal time for ground-saving maneuvers, making the outside post particularly problematic for competitive efforts. The three-year-old status provides weight relief carrying 119 pounds with the two-pound allowance.

The challenging post position represents insurmountable obstacles despite elite jockey credentials and favorable weight assignment. Da Silva’s proven tactical skill provides the filly’s strongest asset, though even championship riders face extreme difficulties overcoming the outside post in abbreviated sprints with large fields. The filly requires perfect trip execution combined with pace collapse to produce competitive efforts from the disadvantageous draw.

Mo Money Time

The three-year-old filly enters as the first runner for trainer Bart Hone with Alfredo Juarez Jr. handling riding duties from the rail post. Hone’s three entries in this feature allowance demonstrate exceptional depth in his state-bred filly division. The trainer’s multiple runners create strategic opportunities for controlling pace dynamics through the abbreviated five-furlong distance.​

Drawing the rail post provides inside positioning with ground-saving advantages throughout the sprint journey. The rail creates both opportunities through distance savings and significant risks through traffic concerns if trapped behind slower fillies. Five-furlong sprints require immediate tactical positioning, making the rail post challenging without exceptional early speed. The three-year-old status provides weight relief carrying 119 pounds with the two-pound allowance.

Juarez Jr. demonstrates solid form at the current meet with consistent performances across multiple barns and conditions. The jockey brings experience though lacks the championship credentials of riders like Fuentes, Portillo Gomez, or Valenzuela dominating the meet. The partnership with Hone’s large stable provides regular opportunities though this filly likely represents a secondary option compared to stablemate Strike the Senses with Portillo Gomez.

The rail post combined with moderate jockey credentials creates skepticism about winning chances against superior connections from favorable positions. Trainers entering multiple horses typically designate one preferred runner, with Mo Money Time likely serving tactical purposes for pace control benefiting stablemate Strike the Senses in the better position with elite rider.

Sirrah

The three-year-old filly trained by Simon Buechler draws post three with Erik Asmussen handling riding duties. Running as stablemates with Hush’s Ghost creates strategic opportunities for controlling pace though Buechler likely designates one preferred runner. The three-year-old status provides weight relief carrying 119 pounds with the two-pound allowance.

Drawing post three provides inside-middle positioning with tactical flexibility for various running styles. The favorable post creates options for pressing early pace or rating behind speed while maintaining striking position. Asmussen brings solid experience though lacks proven winning credentials compared to championship riders throughout the field.

The partnership represents secondary option from the Buechler barn compared to stablemate Hush’s Ghost with elite jockey Fuentes. Trainers entering multiple fillies typically possess one preferred runner, with Sirrah likely serving tactical purposes or genuine competitive threat depending on individual circumstances and pace scenarios.

Sapello Samba

The three-year-old filly trained by Miguel Hernandez draws post five with Erick Medellin handling riding duties. The morning line odds suggest handicappers view this filly as a longshot despite favorable mid-pack positioning. Recent form remains uncertain without detailed performance data.

Drawing post five provides outside-middle positioning with clear visibility throughout the opening quarter-mile. The post offers tactical flexibility though requires alertness establishing position before the field converges. The three-year-old status provides weight relief carrying 119 pounds with the two-pound allowance.

Shes Acting Single

The three-year-old filly trained by Hermenegildo Aldavaz draws post six with Oscar Andrade Jr. handling riding duties. The filly carries 119 pounds, receiving the two-pound weight allowance. Andrade Jr. demonstrates solid form at the meet with consistent performances.

Drawing post six provides outside-middle positioning requiring tactical awareness through the opening quarter-mile. The post position offers flexibility though faces challenges from extreme outside draws. Recent form information suggests the filly returns from a 33-week layoff, creating fitness questions similar to Punkin Puddin though without elite training connections.

Leonas Girl

The five-year-old mare trained by Danny Morales draws post seven with Luis Ramon Rodriguez handling riding duties. The five-year-old status creates age disadvantages competing against younger, potentially improving three-year-old fillies. The mare carries 121 pounds without weight concessions.

Drawing post seven provides outside positioning requiring immediate tactical awareness. The mare’s age creates skepticism about competitive ability against younger opposition with weight advantages. Rodriguez brings experience though the connections face substantial challenges overcoming age and weight disadvantages.

Ms Tres Morena

The three-year-old filly trained by Jose Gonzalez draws post eight with Jose Miguel Vazquez handling riding duties. The three-year-old status provides weight relief carrying 119 pounds with the two-pound allowance. The outside draw creates positioning challenges.

Drawing post eight requires immediate speed establishing favorable position before the field converges. The filly faces traffic concerns from the outside draw in the large field. The connections demonstrate competence though lack elite credentials necessary for overcoming challenging post position.

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

Punkin Puddin likely produces the highest projected speed figures based on elite Fincher training credentials combined with Valenzuela’s championship riding. The filly’s form pattern 223-13 indicates consistent performances with recent improvement securing victory before the layoff. The breeding suggests figures in the 70-75 range appropriate for restricted state-bred allowance competition. The 49-week layoff creates uncertainty about current fitness though Fincher’s dominant form suggests confidence in sharp preparation.​

Strike the Senses brings proven class credentials with a victory at Sunland Park in April 2025 demonstrating competitive ability in similar allowance conditions. The partnership with Portillo Gomez creates confidence in reliable figures appropriate for this class level. Three-year-old fillies in restricted state-bred allowance company typically produce figures ranging from 65-75 depending on individual ability and pace scenarios.

Hush’s Ghost brings elite jockey advantages through Fuentes’ championship credentials though the challenging outside post creates obstacles producing competitive figures. The Buechler training operation demonstrates consistency though lacks the dominant statistics characterizing Fincher’s barn. The filly’s figures likely range between 65-72 based on restricted allowance conditions and moderate training connections.

The Hone trio featuring Strike the Senses, Mo Money Time, and a third runner likely shows similar projected figures given comparable conditions and state-bred restrictions. Trainers entering multiple fillies typically possess runners with similar ability levels competing for the substantial purse money. The fillies’ figures probably range between 65-72 based on allowance conditions and New Mexico-bred competition.

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

Zia Park’s five-furlong configuration favors fillies and mares with immediate tactical speed securing favorable positions within the opening quarter-mile. The abbreviated distance amplifies every positional advantage and disadvantage, making post draws crucial for competitive success. Inside posts provide ground-saving advantages though create traffic concerns if trapped behind slower fillies. Outside posts require exceptional speed avoiding wide trips through the turn.​

Post four provides Punkin Puddin with ideal inside-middle positioning for the abbreviated sprint distance. The draw offers clear sightlines with tactical options for various running styles. Posts two and three give Strike the Senses and Sirrah excellent inside positioning with ground-saving benefits while avoiding the extreme rail requiring perfect timing. The middle draws create strategic advantages for controlling pace while maintaining tactical flexibility.

Posts nine and ten assign Hush’s Ghost and Bonified Wildcat the most challenging positions in the large field. The extreme outside draws require immediate speed establishing position before the field converges through the opening quarter-mile. Five-furlong sprints leave minimal time for recovery from poor breaks or wide trips, making these positions particularly problematic despite elite jockey credentials.

The track surface listed as fast should provide consistent footing throughout the afternoon card. Weather conditions forecasting sunny skies with temperatures reaching 78 degrees create ideal racing conditions without moisture concerns. The firm track favors fillies with natural tactical speed maintaining position without excessive early energy expenditure.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Punkin Puddin represents solid value for win betting despite the extended layoff based on Fincher’s dominant form and the elite Valenzuela partnership. The combination of championship trainer with exceptional current statistics and premier jockey creates confidence in sharp preparation. Straight win betting on Punkin Puddin provides conservative approach backing proven connections with ideal post position despite fitness questions from the layoff.​

Strike the Senses offers exceptional value through elite jockey credentials with Portillo Gomez combined with favorable inside post position and weight relief. The filly’s proven victory at Sunland Park demonstrates competitive ability in similar allowance conditions. Exacta wagering using Punkin Puddin and Strike the Senses provides solid coverage of the two most logical contenders with superior connections and favorable race setups.

The Fincher and Buechler entries create cost-effective exotic wagering opportunities though the challenging post positions for Hush’s Ghost limit competitiveness. Exacta boxes including Punkin Puddin, Strike the Senses, and potentially Mo Money Time from the Hone barn provide comprehensive coverage of logical contenders. An exacta box of 2-4 creates two combinations emphasizing the strongest connections with favorable positions.

Trifecta construction should feature Punkin Puddin and Strike the Senses in the first two positions with deeper third coverage using Hush’s Ghost, Bonified Wildcat, and Mo Money Time. A trifecta using 2-4/2-4/9-10-1 creates multiple winning combinations at manageable cost. This structure emphasizes logical winners while acknowledging elite jockey credentials from challenging posts may produce place finishes.

Superfecta construction for aggressive bettors should key Punkin Puddin and Strike the Senses in the first two spots with comprehensive coverage in third and fourth positions. A superfecta of 2-4/2-4/1-9-10/1-3-9-10 creates extensive winning combinations while maintaining focus on superior connections. The structure acknowledges the large field creates opportunities for longshots securing minor awards from favorable trips.

Daily double connections linking Race 6 with Race 7 using Remember Big Jim with Punkin Puddin and Strike the Senses creates attractive sequence possibilities. Pick 3 players constructing tickets through Races 6-7-8 should use both Punkin Puddin and Strike the Senses in Race 7 while spreading in surrounding allowance and claiming events for comprehensive coverage.

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: Punkin Puddin represents exceptional value based on the dominant form of trainer Todd Fincher combined with championship jockey Luis Valenzuela. The three-year-old filly possesses ideal sprint breeding by Proceed suited for sharp five-furlong conditions with tactical speed. Fincher’s remarkable recent performance winning five races on November 4 at a 56 percent strike rate demonstrates the barn’s peak condition entering this feature allowance assignment. The trainer’s exceptional statistics throughout the current meet create confidence in sharp preparation despite the extended 49-week layoff. Valenzuela brings consecutive leading rider titles with proven tactical awareness maximizing performance from horses at all ability levels. Drawing post four provides ideal inside-middle positioning with clear sightlines and tactical options for various running styles throughout the abbreviated sprint distance. The three-year-old status creates weight advantages carrying 121 pounds compared to older mares, and the favorable post combined with elite connections makes this filly the logical choice despite fitness questions from the layoff. The combination of dominant trainer, championship jockey, and ideal positioning creates formidable winning chances in competitive state-bred allowance company. Confidence level: High.​

Place: Strike the Senses offers exceptional place value through proven stakes-winning jockey Enrique Portillo Gomez combined with favorable inside post position and weight relief. The three-year-old filly trained by Bart Hone secured a victory at Sunland Park on April 7, 2025, with Portillo Gomez riding, demonstrating competitive ability in similar allowance conditions. The proven chemistry between jockey and mount creates confidence for today’s assignment in comparable state-bred allowance company. Portillo Gomez brings over 1,000 career victories with tactical expertise maximizing performance from horses across all ability levels. Drawing post two provides inside positioning with ground-saving advantages throughout the five-furlong journey while the three-year-old status creates weight relief carrying just 119 pounds with the two-pound allowance. The favorable inside draw suits Portillo Gomez’s patient tactical style allowing position maintenance before sustained acceleration through the stretch. The combination of elite jockey credentials, proven past success, favorable post position, and weight advantages creates legitimate chances for exacta finishes even against the dominant Fincher operation. Confidence level: Medium-High.​

Show: Hush’s Ghost completes the top-three selections despite the challenging post nine draw. The three-year-old filly trained by Simon Buechler draws proven championship jockey Luis Fuentes, who secured consecutive leading rider titles at Zia Park with exceptional statistics including 17 percent win rate and 49 percent in-the-money percentage. Fuentes’ tactical expertise and championship credentials provide the filly’s strongest asset in competitive allowance company. The partnership demonstrates Buechler’s confidence placing this filly with the meet’s premier rider for the feature allowance assignment. The three-year-old status provides weight relief carrying 121 pounds compared to older mares. While the outside post nine draw creates significant challenges requiring immediate speed and perfect trip execution, Fuentes’ proven ability overcoming positional disadvantages makes this filly a legitimate threat for trifecta finishes. Championship riders occasionally produce competitive efforts from challenging draws through superior tactical awareness and patient positioning. The elite jockey credentials combined with solid training operation creates chances for minor awards despite the disadvantageous post position. Confidence level: Medium.​

Alternative exotic plays include using the Bart Hone trio in trifecta and superfecta combinations for comprehensive barn coverage. Mo Money Time drawing the rail with Juarez Jr. offers longshot value in deeper exotics despite moderate connections. Bonified Wildcat provides extreme longshot opportunities in superfecta construction despite the challenging post ten draw, as Da Silva’s championship credentials occasionally produce surprise efforts when pace scenarios create opportunities. Handicappers seeking generous payouts can construct superfectas using Punkin Puddin and Strike the Senses on top with extensive coverage including Sirrah, Shes Acting Single, and the Hone runners in final positions.

Race 8 – Claiming $10,000

Post Time: 3:14 PM MT

A six-furlong claiming sprint for three-year-olds and up features ten runners competing for a $26,500 purse. The conditions specify horses never having won two races, with non-winners since August 11 receiving a two-pound allowance.

Key Contenders

Fete represents trainer Dick Cappellucci with Alejandro Medellin riding. The three-year-old gelding wears blinkers and draws post eight carrying 119 pounds with the weight concession. Cappellucci provides consistent guidance throughout the meet, and the gelding benefits from the weight allowance in competitive claiming company.

Fast Service enters as a stablemate to Fete from the Cappellucci barn with Ramon Vazquez aboard. The five-year-old gelding wears blinkers and draws post five. The double entry from Cappellucci demonstrates depth in the barn’s claiming division.

Secondary Choices

Scorpion Shot represents trainer Bernadette Barrios with Alfredo Juarez Jr. riding. The four-year-old gelding wears blinkers and draws the outside post at ten. Juarez Jr. brings solid experience to this partnership in competitive claiming company.

Lovesunfair exits trainer Daniel Hernandez’s barn with Oscar Andrade Jr. handling the mount. The four-year-old gelding draws post four and carries 121 pounds, providing mid-pack positioning for tactical flexibility.

Longshots

Blue Ocean Rave represents trainer Martin Valdez-Cabral with Christian Ramos riding. The three-year-old gelding wears blinkers and draws post six carrying 119 pounds with the weight allowance.

Pace Analysis

Six furlongs allows horses to establish comfortable early positions while maintaining enough distance for tactical maneuvers. The pace should be contested with multiple horses showing early speed from various positions. Horses securing favorable positions while rating kindly should have advantages entering the stretch drive.

Selections

Win: Fete

Place: Fast Service

Show: Scorpion Shot

Race 9 – Claiming $7,500

Post Time: 3:41 PM MT

A five-furlong sprint for New Mexico-bred fillies and mares features the largest field of eleven runners competing for a $32,000 purse. The conditions restrict entries to horses not having won a race since May 11, creating an ultra-competitive claiming event.

Key Contenders

Shell Game represents trainer Edgar Moreno with Enrique Portillo Gomez riding. The seven-year-old mare wears blinkers and draws post eight. Gomez brings proven stakes-winning experience to this claiming sprint, and the mare’s veteran presence provides tactical advantages in the large field.​

Pretty Peppy enters for trainer Filiberto Quiroz with Luis Valenzuela aboard. The five-year-old mare wears blinkers and draws post six. Valenzuela’s strong form at the meet makes any mount competitive, particularly in claiming company where his tactical awareness proves valuable.

Secondary Choices

Chama Storm represents trainer Jose Gonzalez with Larry Marquez riding. The five-year-old mare wears blinkers and draws post seven, offering good positioning in the large sprint field.

Annie Get Ur Guns exits trainer Arturo Chavez’s barn with Fausto Da Silva aboard. The six-year-old mare draws post nine, and Da Silva’s experience rating horses effectively suits the sprint distance in competitive claiming company.

Longshots

Shame On Charlotte represents trainer Martin Valdez-Cabral with Christian Ramos riding. The five-year-old mare wears blinkers and draws the outside post at eleven, facing significant traffic concerns in the large field.

Pace Analysis

Five furlongs with eleven fillies and mares creates chaotic early pace dynamics. Multiple horses will show speed from the gate, creating potential traffic concerns through the opening quarter. The large field makes clean breaks and favorable positioning crucial for success. Fillies and mares securing clear trips while maintaining striking position should have significant advantages.

Selections

Win: Shell Game

Place: Pretty Peppy

Show: Chama Storm

Race 10 – Maiden Special Weight

Post Time: 4:08 PM MT

Race 10 serves as the finale featuring a five and one-half furlong maiden special weight sprint for New Mexico-bred two-year-old fillies, carrying a purse of $55,000. All fillies carry equal weight of 120 pounds. This race will be run Lasix-free, representing progressive medication policies restricting performance-enhancing drugs for juvenile horses. The conditions specify registered New Mexico-bred maidens seeking their first career victory in the highest level of maiden competition without claiming price exposure. This represents the card’s closing feature with ten first-time winners competing under medication-free conditions.​

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

The five and one-half furlong distance for two-year-old fillies creates immediate tactical pressure with horses establishing position within the opening quarter-mile. Juvenile maiden races typically produce uneven pace dynamics as inexperienced fillies adjust to competitive racing conditions while learning proper gate-to-wire tactics. The abbreviated distance leaves minimal room for late-closing tactics, making gate alertness and early positioning crucial for success. Fillies breaking sharply and securing favorable positions through the opening quarter while rating kindly should control tempo throughout.​

The field composition featuring ten juvenile fillies suggests rapid early fractions with several showing natural speed from breeding and training preparation. Two-year-old maiden races create unique handicapping challenges as most fillies possess limited racing experience, making breeding analysis and workout patterns crucial evaluation tools. The Lasix-free conditions create additional variables as fillies racing without medication support must rely entirely on natural stamina and fitness levels.

The Fincher filly Day At a Time drawing post nine provides outside positioning requiring immediate tactical awareness from championship jockey Valenzuela. The Cappellucci double entry with Wash Money and Caprock Cutie creates strategic opportunities for controlling pace dynamics. Fillies demonstrating precocious speed from proven sprint pedigrees should establish early advantages while inexperienced runners adjust to competitive pressures.

Day At a Time

The two-year-old filly trained by Todd Fincher draws post nine with Luis Valenzuela handling riding duties. By Cinco Charlie out of a dam line combining speed and precocity, this filly possesses breeding suited for sharp sprint distances appropriate for juvenile competition. Fincher’s exceptional record developing New Mexico-bred two-year-olds provides the foundation for confidence in this maiden special weight assignment.​

Fincher’s remarkable recent performance winning five races on November 4 at a 56 percent strike rate demonstrates the barn’s peak condition entering the card’s finale. The trainer has entered twelve two-year-old thoroughbreds in various stakes trials at Albuquerque Downs, showcasing exceptional depth in his juvenile division. Fincher’s success developing young horses makes any two-year-old from his barn competitive in maiden special weight company regardless of experience level.

Valenzuela brings consecutive leading rider titles at Zia Park with proven tactical expertise maximizing performance from horses at all experience levels. The jockey recently guided Speed Merchant to victory in the New Mexico State Fair Thoroughbred Derby for two-year-olds, demonstrating comfort handling juvenile runners in competitive conditions. The partnership between dominant trainer and championship jockey creates formidable connections for this maiden assignment.

Drawing post nine in a ten-horse field creates challenging outside positioning requiring immediate speed from the gate. The outside draw forces the filly wide through the opening quarter-mile unless demonstrating exceptional early acceleration. Juvenile fillies breaking from outside posts face additional pressure maintaining focus while establishing position against more experienced runners from favorable draws.

The filly’s breeding by Cinco Charlie suggests natural sprint speed appropriate for the five and one-half furlong distance. Two-year-old fillies by sprint-oriented stallions typically show precocious early development allowing competitive efforts with minimal racing experience. The Lasix-free conditions create no disadvantages as juvenile horses often race without medication support during early career development.

Caprock Cutie

The two-year-old filly enters as the first runner for trainer Dick Cappellucci with Alfredo Juarez Jr. handling riding duties from post eight. By Marking out of Katie, this filly possesses breeding combining tactical speed with stamina appropriate for middle sprint distances. Cappellucci demonstrates consistent form at the current meet with multiple runners across various conditions throughout the card.​

Recent form shows Caprock Cutie finished fifth in a previous maiden special weight attempt at Zia Park on November 3, indicating competitive ability while gaining valuable racing experience. Two-year-old fillies typically show improvement from debut efforts as they adjust to competitive pressures and develop proper racing tactics. The filly’s previous experience provides advantages over first-time starters learning racing fundamentals.

Drawing post eight provides outside-middle positioning requiring tactical awareness through the opening quarter-mile. The post offers flexibility for various running styles while avoiding the extreme outside requiring immediate speed. Juarez Jr. demonstrates solid form at the meet with consistent performances across multiple barns and conditions. The partnership with Cappellucci’s established operation creates competent connections for maiden special weight company.

The filly runs as stablemate to Wash Money drawing post four, creating strategic opportunities for controlling pace dynamics through the abbreviated sprint distance. Trainers entering multiple fillies typically possess one preferred runner with the second serving tactical purposes or genuine competitive threat depending on individual circumstances. Caprock Cutie’s previous racing experience likely designates her as the preferred runner compared to first-time starter Wash Money.

Wash Money

The two-year-old filly enters as the second runner for trainer Dick Cappellucci with Elvin Gonzalez handling riding duties from post four. As a first-time starter, this filly faces challenges competing against experienced runners with previous racing knowledge. First-time starters must demonstrate exceptional natural ability and professional gate-to-wire tactics to overcome experience disadvantages.​

Drawing post four provides ideal inside-middle positioning with clear sightlines and tactical options for various running styles throughout the sprint distance. The favorable post creates opportunities for horses demonstrating precocious speed from quality breeding and thorough training preparation. First-time starters from elite training operations occasionally produce sharp efforts when properly prepared with solid workout patterns.

Gonzalez brings experience handling various running styles though lacks the championship credentials of riders like Valenzuela or Portillo Gomez dominating the meet. The partnership with Cappellucci creates solid connections appropriate for maiden special weight company though likely represents secondary option compared to stablemate Caprock Cutie with previous experience.

The filly’s status as first-time starter creates substantial uncertainty evaluating true competitive ability without racing evidence. Two-year-old maidens rely heavily on breeding analysis and workout patterns when assessing debut runners, making detailed pedigree research crucial for handicapping first-timers. The favorable post position provides maximum opportunity for competitive debut performance if the filly possesses natural talent.

Wicked Whiskey

The two-year-old filly trained by Larry Chavez draws the rail post with Enrique Portillo Gomez handling riding duties. Recent form shows the pattern 55, indicating two fifth-place finishes in previous maiden special weight attempts. The consistent mid-pack finishes demonstrate competitive ability while suggesting potential improvement with additional racing experience.​

Portillo Gomez brings proven stakes-winning credentials with over 1,000 career victories to this partnership. The championship jockey’s tactical expertise maximizes performance from horses at all ability levels, making any mount competitive in maiden company. The proven winning credentials create immediate interest in any assignment Portillo Gomez accepts.

Drawing the rail post provides inside positioning with ground-saving advantages throughout the sprint journey. The rail creates both opportunities through distance savings and significant risks through traffic concerns if trapped behind slower fillies. Juvenile maiden races produce uneven pace dynamics making the rail position challenging without exceptional early speed or patient tactical positioning.

The filly’s two previous fifth-place finishes indicate consistent competitive efforts without breakthrough performances. Two-year-old fillies typically show improvement with additional racing experience as they develop proper racing tactics and physical maturity. The partnership with championship jockey Portillo Gomez provides tactical advantages potentially unlocking the filly’s winning potential.

Runaway Daisy

The two-year-old filly trained by Dallas Barton draws post two with Francisco Amparan handling riding duties. Recent form shows the pattern 36, indicating third and sixth-place finishes in previous maiden special weight attempts. The filly secured a third-place finish before regressing to sixth in her most recent start at Albuquerque on September 21, behind winner Speed Merchant.​

Drawing post two provides inside positioning with ground-saving advantages though potential traffic concerns if trapped behind slower fillies. The inside draw requires alertness from the gate combined with tactical awareness maintaining position through the opening quarter-mile. Amparan demonstrates solid experience handling various running styles though lacks elite credentials compared to championship riders.

The filly’s inconsistent form pattern creates questions about reliability in competitive maiden special weight company. Two-year-old fillies showing regressive form typically require additional time for physical and mental development before producing breakthrough efforts. The third-place finish demonstrates competitive ability though the subsequent sixth-place effort raises concerns about current form progression.

Mixtery

The two-year-old filly trained by Casey Lambert draws post five with Fausto Da Silva handling riding duties. The filly wears blinkers for this assignment, suggesting connections seek improved focus during the early pace scenario. As a first-time starter, this filly faces challenges competing against experienced runners with previous racing knowledge.​

Da Silva brings proven championship credentials with consistent performances throughout his career at tracks across North America. The veteran jockey’s tactical awareness suits sprint distances requiring patient positioning and sustained acceleration. The partnership with Lambert creates solid connections appropriate for competitive maiden special weight company.

Drawing post five provides mid-pack positioning with tactical flexibility for various running styles. The inside-middle draw creates options for pressing early pace or rating behind speed while maintaining striking position. The equipment change adding blinkers suggests the filly may benefit from improved concentration during competitive racing conditions.

The filly’s status as first-time starter creates substantial handicapping challenges without racing evidence evaluating true ability. The addition of Da Silva’s championship credentials combined with blinkers equipment creates intrigue for debut performance, though first-time starters face significant experience disadvantages against runners with previous racing knowledge.

Venus Rocks

The two-year-old filly trained by Dan Dennison draws post six with Christian Ramos handling riding duties. As a first-time starter, this filly faces experience disadvantages competing against runners with previous racing knowledge. The mid-pack post position offers tactical flexibility though requires proper execution from inexperienced connections.

Charlizeangelbaby

The two-year-old filly trained by Fred Danley draws post seven with Alejandro Medellin handling riding duties. As a first-time starter, this filly competes without racing experience against more seasoned runners. The outside-middle post requires tactical awareness establishing position through the opening quarter-mile.

M G Joy Ride

The two-year-old filly trained by Miguel Hernandez draws post three with Erick Medellin handling riding duties. As a first-time starter, this filly faces experience challenges though draws favorable inside-middle positioning providing tactical options for debut performance.

Pass the Test

The two-year-old filly trained by Greg Green draws the outside post at ten with Miguel Perez handling riding duties. Recent form indicates the filly finished second in a previous maiden special weight attempt, demonstrating competitive ability while gaining valuable experience. The outside post creates significant positioning challenges requiring immediate speed from the gate.​

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

Day At a Time likely produces the highest projected speed figures based on elite Fincher training credentials combined with Valenzuela’s championship riding. The filly’s breeding by Cinco Charlie suggests natural sprint speed appropriate for competitive figures in the 50-60 range typical for New Mexico-bred juvenile maiden special weight company. Fincher’s exceptional record developing two-year-olds creates confidence in proper preparation despite limited racing experience.​

Caprock Cutie brings proven competitive ability with a fifth-place finish in previous maiden special weight company at Zia Park. Two-year-old fillies typically show improvement from debut efforts as physical maturity develops and racing experience accumulates. The filly’s figures from her debut likely range between 45-55, with potential improvement from additional racing education.

Wicked Whiskey’s consistent form pattern 55 indicates reliable performances producing figures in the 45-50 range appropriate for competitive maiden special weight company. The partnership with championship jockey Portillo Gomez creates opportunities for figure improvement through superior tactical guidance. Two-year-old fillies with multiple racing experiences typically show gradual figure progression as competitive confidence develops.

First-time starters including Wash Money, Mixtery, Venus Rocks, Charlizeangelbaby, and M G Joy Ride face substantial uncertainty evaluating projected figures without racing evidence. Juvenile debut runners rely entirely on breeding analysis, workout patterns, and training reputation for figure projections, making these fillies challenging handicapping puzzles without performance data.

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

Zia Park’s five and one-half furlong configuration for two-year-old fillies favors horses with immediate tactical speed securing favorable positions within the opening quarter-mile. The abbreviated distance amplifies every positional advantage and disadvantage, making post draws crucial for competitive success in large juvenile maiden fields. Inside posts provide ground-saving advantages though create traffic concerns if trapped behind slower runners. Outside posts require exceptional speed avoiding wide trips through the turn.

Post nine assigns Day At a Time the most challenging position outside only Pass the Test at ten. The outside draw requires immediate tactical awareness from Valenzuela establishing position before the field converges through the opening quarter-mile. Championship jockeys occasionally overcome disadvantageous draws through superior tactical positioning, though the outside posts create substantial obstacles in abbreviated juvenile sprints with large fields.

Posts four and five give Wash Money and Mixtery excellent inside-middle positioning for controlling pace dynamics. The middle draws create strategic advantages for various running styles while avoiding extreme inside or outside posts. Post eight provides Caprock Cutie with outside-middle positioning requiring alertness but offering flexibility for experienced runner with previous racing knowledge.

The track surface listed as fast should provide consistent footing throughout the afternoon card. Weather conditions forecasting sunny skies with temperatures reaching 78 degrees create ideal racing conditions without moisture concerns. The firm track favors fillies with natural tactical speed maintaining position without excessive early energy expenditure, particularly important for juveniles racing without Lasix support.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Day At a Time represents solid value for win betting despite challenging post position based on Fincher’s dominant form and elite Valenzuela partnership. The combination of championship trainer with exceptional two-year-old development record and leading rider creates confidence in competitive debut performance. Straight win betting on Day At a Time provides approach backing proven connections with superior breeding despite outside draw challenges.​

The Cappellucci entry creates cost-effective exotic wagering opportunities using both Caprock Cutie and Wash Money in multiple combinations. Exacta boxes including Day At a Time with both Cappellucci runners provides comprehensive coverage of logical contenders with proven connections. An exacta box of 4-8-9 creates six combinations emphasizing strongest connections with favorable race setups.

Wicked Whiskey offers value through championship jockey Portillo Gomez despite rail post position and inconsistent form. The proven stakes-winning rider brings tactical expertise potentially unlocking the filly’s winning potential from previous competitive efforts. Exacta wagering using Day At a Time over Wicked Whiskey and the Cappellucci entry provides solid coverage of most logical contenders.

Trifecta construction should feature Day At a Time and Caprock Cutie in the first two positions with deeper third coverage using Wicked Whiskey, Wash Money, and potentially Mixtery with Da Silva. A trifecta using 8-9/4-8-9/1-4-5 creates multiple winning combinations at manageable cost. This structure emphasizes logical winners while acknowledging experienced runners and championship jockeys should control top-three finishes.

Superfecta construction for aggressive bettors should key Day At a Time and Caprock Cutie in the first two spots with comprehensive coverage in third and fourth positions. A superfecta of 8-9/4-8-9/1-4-5/1-4-5-10 creates extensive winning combinations while maintaining focus on superior connections. The structure acknowledges the large field with multiple first-time starters creates opportunities for longshots securing minor awards from favorable trips and debut brilliance.

Pick 3 and Pick 4 players constructing tickets through the late races should use Day At a Time and Caprock Cutie in Race 10 while spreading in preceding competitive claiming and allowance events for comprehensive coverage. The finale provides solid anchoring opportunities using proven connections despite challenging handicapping dynamics with juvenile maiden competition.

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: Day At a Time represents exceptional value based on the dominant form of trainer Todd Fincher combined with championship jockey Luis Valenzuela. The two-year-old filly possesses quality breeding by Cinco Charlie suited for precocious sprint speed appropriate for the five and one-half furlong distance. Fincher’s exceptional record developing New Mexico-bred two-year-olds provides foundational confidence, as the trainer recently won five races on November 4 at a 56 percent strike rate demonstrating peak barn condition. Fincher entered twelve two-year-old thoroughbreds in stakes trials at Albuquerque Downs, showcasing exceptional depth in his juvenile division and commitment to proper two-year-old development. Valenzuela recently guided Speed Merchant to victory in the New Mexico State Fair Thoroughbred Derby for two-year-olds, demonstrating proven ability handling juvenile runners in competitive conditions. The partnership between dominant trainer and championship jockey creates formidable connections maximizing the filly’s potential for sharp debut performance despite the challenging post nine draw. While the outside position creates tactical obstacles, Valenzuela’s proven expertise overcoming positional disadvantages combined with Fincher’s superior training makes this filly the logical choice in competitive maiden special weight company. Confidence level: High.​

Place: Caprock Cutie offers solid place value through previous racing experience combined with the established Cappellucci training operation. The two-year-old filly trained by Dick Cappellucci finished fifth in her maiden special weight debut on November 3 at Zia Park, demonstrating competitive ability while gaining valuable racing knowledge. Two-year-old fillies typically show significant improvement from debut efforts as they adjust to competitive pressures and develop proper racing tactics through experience accumulation. Drawing post eight provides outside-middle positioning with tactical flexibility for various running styles throughout the sprint distance. The filly’s breeding by Marking suggests tactical speed appropriate for the five and one-half furlong distance. Cappellucci demonstrates consistent form throughout the current meet with multiple runners across various conditions. Alfredo Juarez Jr. brings solid experience handling juvenile runners though lacks championship credentials of elite riders. The filly’s previous racing experience provides substantial advantages over first-time starters learning competitive fundamentals, making her a logical threat for exacta finishes even against superior connections from the Fincher operation. Confidence level: Medium-High.​

Show: Wicked Whiskey completes the top-three selections despite the challenging rail post position. The two-year-old filly trained by Larry Chavez draws proven stakes-winning jockey Enrique Portillo Gomez, who brings over 1,000 career victories with tactical expertise maximizing performance from horses at all ability levels. Recent form showing two consecutive fifth-place finishes indicates consistent competitive efforts demonstrating the filly’s ability to compete in maiden special weight company. Two-year-old fillies with multiple racing experiences typically show gradual improvement as physical maturity develops and racing confidence builds through competitive exposure. Drawing the rail post provides inside positioning with ground-saving advantages throughout the sprint journey, though traffic concerns require Portillo Gomez’s championship tactical awareness for successful execution. The proven jockey brings proven ability overcoming positional challenges through patient positioning and timely acceleration. While the filly’s form suggests difficulty securing victory against superior connections, the championship jockey combined with favorable inside positioning makes her a legitimate threat for trifecta finishes in competitive juvenile maiden company. Confidence level: Medium.​

Alternative exotic plays include using the Cappellucci double entry of Wash Money and Caprock Cutie in trifecta and superfecta combinations for comprehensive barn coverage. Mixtery drawing post five with championship jockey Fausto Da Silva offers intriguing longshot value in deeper exotics despite first-time starter status, as Da Silva occasionally produces brilliant debuts when partnered with properly prepared runners. Pass the Test provides extreme longshot opportunities in superfecta construction with previous racing experience showing a second-place finish, though the challenging post ten draw creates substantial obstacles. Handicappers seeking generous payouts can construct superfectas using Day At a Time and Caprock Cutie on top with extensive coverage including first-time starters and experienced runners in final positions for potentially generous returns in this competitive juvenile maiden finale.

Jockey Notes and Insights

Luis Fuentes continues demonstrating why he secured consecutive leading rider titles at Zia Park’s meets. With strong career statistics showing 578 victories from 3,415 starts and earnings exceeding $15.5 million, Fuentes brings proven tactical skill to every mount. His 17 percent win rate and 49 percent in-the-money percentage provide consistent value for bettors. Fuentes rides I’m a Dude To in Race 3, Remember Big Jim in Race 6, and Hush’s Ghost in Race 7, offering multiple opportunities throughout the card.​

Enrique Portillo Gomez brings extensive experience as a multiple stakes-winning jockey with over 1,000 career victories in North America. His tactical awareness proves particularly valuable in competitive claiming and allowance company. Gomez rides Storm Bayou in Race 4, Rampage Rose in Race 5, Strike the Senses in Race 7, Shell Game in Race 9, and Wicked Whiskey in Race 10, providing consistent guidance across various race types and conditions.​

Luis Valenzuela emerges as a premier rider at the current meet with strong statistics across multiple trainers. His tactical positioning and race-reading ability make him particularly effective in sprint distances. Valenzuela rides Green Is the Daddy in Race 1, Whiskey Rye in Race 3, Punkin Puddin in Race 7, Pretty Peppy in Race 9, and Day At a Time in Race 10, offering excellent betting opportunities throughout the card.

Fausto Da Silva provides veteran experience with solid recent form at the meet. His ability to rate horses effectively proves valuable in both sprint and route races, particularly in competitive claiming company. Da Silva rides Stormwire in Race 2, Nativity in Race 6, Bonified Wildcat in Race 7, Annie Get Ur Guns in Race 9, and Mixtery in Race 10.​

Trainer Notes and Insights

Todd Fincher leads the current Zia Park meet with dominant statistics, including a remarkable five-win performance on November 4 that represented a 56 percent strike rate for that single card. With over 1,430 career victories and earnings exceeding $42.4 million, Fincher has won training championships at every track across New Mexico. His 2022 season produced 104 winners, establishing a personal record that he continues to challenge. Fincher’s success extends beyond state lines with victories at Del Mar, Keeneland, Churchill Downs, Remington Park, and Lone Star Park.​

Fincher sends out Call Me Hollywood in Race 1, Nightnthequarter and I’m a Dude To as an entry in Race 3, Punkin Puddin and Hush’s Ghost as an entry in Race 7, and Day At a Time with Caprock Cutie as an entry in Race 10. This distribution demonstrates the barn’s depth across multiple divisions and provides numerous betting opportunities throughout the card. The trainer’s 20 percent win rate and consistent earnings create excellent wagering value.

Dick Cappellucci provides veteran guidance with consistent runners throughout the meet. His experience proves particularly valuable in competitive claiming and allowance company. Cappellucci sends out Storm Bayou in Race 4, Remember Big Jim and Yo Soy Roy in Race 6, and Fete with Fast Service in Race 8. The trainer’s multiple entries in key races demonstrate confidence in his string’s preparation.​

Bart Hone maintains a solid operation at Zia Park with multiple runners throughout today’s card. Hone sends out Go for Thunder in Race 2, Izeright in Race 4, St. Elmo in Race 6, and three entries in Race 7 including Mo Money Time, Strike the Senses, and an unmentioned third. The trainer’s willingness to compete across various conditions demonstrates depth in his stable.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

Focus on Todd Fincher’s runners throughout the card as the trainer demonstrates exceptional form with his recent five-win performance on November 4. His entries in Races 1, 3, 7, and 10 provide multiple scoring opportunities. The trainer’s consistent statistics and leading position at the meet create reliable wagering value across all divisions.​

Exacta combinations featuring Luis Fuentes in Races 3, 6, and 7 offer solid return potential. His proven ability and tactical skill provide anchor opportunities in competitive fields. Pairing Fuentes with other established riders like Enrique Portillo Gomez and Luis Valenzuela creates value exacta boxes in the allowance and claiming races.

Daily double connections linking Race 1 with Race 2 using the Fincher entry Call Me Hollywood with Stormwire creates an attractive sequence. Additional daily double opportunities exist between Races 6 and 7 using the Cappellucci runners Remember Big Jim with the Fincher entry in the allowance sprint.

Pick 3 sequences focusing on Races 3-4-5 provide scoring opportunities through competitive claiming and maiden races. Using the Fincher entry in Race 3, Storm Bayou in Race 4, and Desert Grace in Race 5 creates a solid foundation. Alternative Pick 3 plays in Races 7-8-9 using Punkin Puddin, the Cappellucci entry in Race 8, and Shell Game offers late-card value.

Best single-race value plays include I’m a Dude To in Race 3, Storm Bayou in Race 4, Remember Big Jim in Race 6, Punkin Puddin in Race 7, and Day At a Time in Race 10. These selections benefit from established connections between leading trainers and proven jockeys at the current meet.

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