Laurel Park – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News and Analysis for the May 23, 2026 card

TL;DR


Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

 

The Pick Pony Handicapper's Report is published daily and provides analysis of all races on the card. A Pick Pony analyst prepares the report, so selections may differ from the Pick Pony Expert Picks, which are based on the consensus of all Pick Pony analysts.

 

Race Day Overview

Laurel Park follows up Preakness weekend with a solid nine-race card that leans heavily on turf routes and mid-level allowance and claiming races. The sequence features several competitive n1x allowances on both turf and dirt plus a pair of longer turf claimers that should offer good betting value given some vulnerable morning-line favorites.

As of the latest overnight and early-morning information, no significant equipment or rider changes have been posted beyond what appears in the official program, and scratches had not yet materially altered any of the races on the main turf course. Bettors should still re-check late-morning scratches, as they can dramatically reshape the pace in several of today's grass races.

This is the first Saturday card at Laurel Park after the Preakness weekend, so the maintenance crew is coming off a highly scrutinized week. Reports from horsemen and riders indicate the turf has some give but remains very fair, while the dirt has been consistently quick without being overly biased.

Several barns that were relatively quiet during the big weekend appear to have live runners today, especially some of the local outfits in the claiming and n1x allowance ranks. There is also a strong representation of usual Mid-Atlantic turf players, which should make the grass races honest and competitive.

Weather and Track Conditions

Early forecasts for Laurel, Maryland call for partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, light winds, and only a low chance of stray showers late in the day. There has been no significant recent rainfall reported since midweek.

Track maintenance reports and morning training feedback point toward:

Main track: Fast. Surface has been playing reasonably quick but not extremely speed-favoring. Times on Preakness weekend normalized after an earlier week of faster-than-par fractions.

Turf courses: Firm to good-firm. The Preakness turf card and subsequent training have left the grass in good shape. The rail settings and exact firmness can subtly affect trip dynamics, but the course has been reported as fair with both inside and outside paths usable when the pace is honest.

Any last-minute showers are unlikely to change the main track condition but could add a touch of moisture to the turf, which generally helps horses who like a hint of cut in the ground.

Track Bias and Post Position Bias

Recent cards at Laurel (including Preakness weekend and the Friday card immediately preceding this one) indicate:

Main track bias: Inside paths have been decent but not dominant. Forwardly placed runners have an advantage in the shorter dirt sprints, especially when fields lack multiple true speed horses, but deep closers have been able to win when the pace collapses.

In two-turn dirt routes, tactical speed has been important. Horses sitting in the first flight, in the two- to three-wide paths, have enjoyed the best trips. Pure frontrunners who face pressure have been vulnerable late, especially at the 1 1/16- to 1 1/8-mile range.

Turf bias: The turf has been generally fair. Recent races show winners coming from a variety of running styles: front end, stalking, and mid-pack closers. The key has been pace shape and trip more than any strong path or post bias.

Post position trends: Turf sprints and shorter one-mile turf races at Laurel can favor inside-to-middle posts when fields are full; however, at today's intermediate turf distances (around 1 1/8 miles), outside posts have not been a consistent disadvantage. With the longer run into the first turn, even posts 8–10 can secure reasonable position if the rider is aggressive and the horse has some tactical speed.

On dirt routes, inside to middle posts (1–5) remain a small positive, mostly because they allow ground-saving trips into the first turn. Far outside posts require more work, but with modest field sizes today, that disadvantage is reduced.

RACE 1 — Post (12:00)/11:00/10:00/9:00 — 1870f | T | C | Clm 16000n3l | BUN | Purse $24,000

Nine-furlong turf claimer for horses that have never won three races. Several with similar figures make this a good betting race.

Race 1

Pace Analysis

There is a moderate but not overwhelming amount of pace signed on. Green Beans (8) and Fridayswithmurray (2) both have sufficient early speed to contest or sit very close to the lead. Owhatanite (4) and Fairfield Bay (10) can be forwardly placed but usually prefer a tracking role.

Hyteck Prince (9) and Finn Mcsorley (1) are typical mid-pack grinders, while horses like Imagine It All (3), Great Artist (5), Home Invasion (6), and Return Fire (7) tend to do their best running from off the pace.

The likely scenario is Fridayswithmurray (2) and Green Beans (8) vying for the lead into the first turn, with Owhatanite (4) and Fairfield Bay (10) stalking in the second flight. Unless someone unexpectedly guns, the fractions should be honest but not suicidal, slightly favoring tactical stalkers and strong late kickers.

Key Contenders

Fridayswithmurray (2)

Drops into a realistic spot and brings some of the strongest recent turf figures in the field. This barn excels in claiming races, particularly when they move horses into logical spots off modest class drops. Has shown the ability to attend the pace and still finish, which is an ideal style given today's projected tempo. If he reproduces his better efforts from recent turf starts, he is a major win threat.

Finn Mcsorley (1)

Consistent form at and around this level, and the inside draw should allow a ground-saving trip in mid-pack. The rider knows him well and tends to time his move correctly in these longer turf routes. His figures are just a hair below Fridayswithmurray (2) on their best days, but his reliability and the potential for a trip advantage make him a strong contender, particularly if the pace is a touch stronger than expected.

Hyteck Prince (9)

The “other” Lawrence runner has been quietly improving and seems to have found a home on turf routes at this claiming level. The outside draw is not ideal, but with a long run into the first turn, a patient ride can slot him in around mid-pack. His late pace figures are competitive, and he should be running well late if the leaders soften each other up.

Secondary Choices

Owhatanite (4)

One of two from this barn, Owhatanite (4) has enough tactical speed to secure a good position just behind the leaders. His recent efforts show he belongs at this level, though he sometimes hangs a bit in the final furlong. Still, he is logical underneath in exotics and could win with the right trip if he finds a softer early pace than we expect.

Green Beans (8)

Likely to be forwardly placed. Has some of the better early pace numbers in this group and has held on for minor awards when pressured. The concern is his vulnerability in the final furlong against consistent closers like Finn Mcsorley (1) and Hyteck Prince (9). However, if he shakes loose early, he could prove stubborn. He fits well in exactas and trifectas.

Fairfield Bay (10)

Draws outside but owns a tactical style that can mitigate the post. Has been competitive at similar claiming levels. The key will be whether he can avoid losing too much ground on both turns. If he gets a clean, stalking trip, he has enough finishing punch to get a piece.

Longshots

Imagine It All (3)

Lightly regarded on the morning line, but his turf form is not unappealing. He needs things to fall apart up front to be at his best. If the projected pace ends up hotter than expected, he could clunk up for a share at a price.

Great Artist (5)

Stablemate to Owhatanite (4). Tends to be more of a one-run closer. His figures suggest he is a notch below the main contenders, but he's not completely outclassed. Worth a look for deep trifecta or superfecta tickets if his odds drift upward.

Home Invasion (6)

Looks slower on paper and would need a significant step forward. The barn has sprung surprises before, but his lack of tactical speed and mediocre turf finish make him a reach outside of the very bottom of supers.

Return Fire (7)

Another longshot who prefers to settle and make one run. He has occasionally picked up minor checks at similar levels, and if the race melts down, he could sneak into the number. Otherwise, he's an outsider.

Selections

Win: Fridayswithmurray (2) Place: Finn Mcsorley (1) Show: Hyteck Prince (9)

Betting strategy and wagering angles:

Use Fridayswithmurray (2) as an A in early multi-race wagers, backed up by Finn Mcsorley (1) and Hyteck Prince (9) as B's.

Win bet on Fridayswithmurray (2) if he holds at or above 2-1.

Exacta key 2 over 1, 4, 8, 9 and a smaller saver 1, 9 over 2.

Trifecta: 2, 1, 9 over 2, 1, 4, 8, 9, 10 over 2, 1, 3, 4, 5, 8, 9, 10.

RACE 2 — Post (12:31)/11:31/10:31/9:31 — 990f | D | S | Md Sp Wt | AON | Purse $47,000

Two-year-old maiden special weight sprint at about five furlongs for state-breds. First-time starters dominate, so pedigree, works, and barn patterns are key.

Race 2

Pace Analysis

With a field of mostly first-time starters, pace projection is more art than science, but the works suggest a lively early tempo. Pelican Pier (1) has been flashing speed in the mornings, and Island Bandit (3) from this same barn generally shows sharper gate speed. Remembertheword (4) has quick drills that hint at natural speed, while Baru (2) has been working steadily, if less flashy.

Expect a fast early pace, with Island Bandit (3) and Remembertheword (4) prominent. Pelican Pier (1) and perhaps Magic Elixir (6) stalk just behind. Speed Focused (5) might try to send, but her works look a bit slower relative to the top pair.

Key Contenders

Island Bandit (3)

From a barn that is excellent with early-season juveniles. His workout pattern shows both speed and foundation, including a couple of sharp gate works that suggest he is well-schooled and ready to fire. Draws an ideal inside-to-middle post that should allow him to break and control his trip. With a top local rider aboard, he looks like the one to beat.

Remembertheword (4)

Another with a strong series of morning drills. This barn is very dangerous with first-time starters and has been clicking at a good rate with their juvenile stock. The inside-to-outside draw (post 4 of 6) is fine, and the rider is familiar with the circuit. If he breaks cleanly, he should be right with Island Bandit (3) early and has every chance to go on with it.

PELlCAN PIER (1)

Stablemate to Island Bandit (3). The rail can be tricky for a debut runner, but he has drilled quickly enough to suggest he might simply break and go. This outfit knows how to send hard from the inside post. The main question is whether he finishes as strongly as his barn mate. Still, he is a must-use in all exotics and a serious upset candidate.

Secondary Choices

Baru (2)

Has a solid, if not flashy, workout pattern. The barn gets them ready, but this one's works look a hair slower than the main contenders. Could be the type who needs a race, but if the leaders overdo it early, he might be the one running late to snag a minor award.

Magic Elixir (6)

Comes in with a series of steady works that imply some ability. The trainer is capable with young horses, and the presence of a strong rider suggests some confidence. This filly might be more of a stalking type than pure speed, which could work if the top trio duel each other into submission. An intriguing underneath player.

Longshots

Speed Focused (5)

On paper, looks a bit slower than the others based on work times. The barn does pop with longshots at times, especially when they have speed, but this filly may be behind the others mentally and physically first time out. She would be a surprise in the win slot but could pick up a small check if several rivals underperform.

Selections

Win: Island Bandit (3) Place: Remembertheword (4) Show: Pelican Pier (1)

Betting strategy and wagering angles:

In multi-race bets, lean heavily on Island Bandit (3) and Remembertheword (4) as primary A's. Backup with Pelican Pier (1) as a B.

Win bet on Island Bandit (3) if 2-1 or better; otherwise consider an exacta approach.

Exacta box 3 and 4, with savers 3, 4 over 1, 2, 6.

Trifecta: 3, 4 over 1, 3, 4 over 1, 2, 6.

RACE 3 — Post (1:05)/12:05/11:05/10:05 — 1210f | T | M | Md 16000 | BUN | Purse $24,000

Turf maiden claimer at roughly six furlongs for older horses. Several with prior turf experience drop into a realistic spot.

Race 3

Pace Analysis

Not an abundance of confirmed early speed. Vida (7) has shown some tactical speed and could be on or near the lead. Karma's Inthehouse (8) can also be forwardly placed based on her profile. Star Atlas (3) and Goodluck Road (6) likely sit just behind them.

Fiery Debut (2), Flying To Work (1), and Hawksbury Hustler (9) look like mid-pack stalkers or closers, while Broadside Salvo (4), Beautiful Quality (5), and Master Nibbles (10) probably settle further back.

Given the lack of a clear speed demon, an aggressive ride from Vida (7) or Karma's Inthehouse (8) could give them a significant tactical edge.

Key Contenders

Vida (7)

Draws a favorable middle post and appears to have the best combination of turf ability and tactical speed. Her recent races suggest she has enough early foot to stay close and a decent turn of foot to finish. Dropping into a softer maiden claiming spot suits her, and her figures are competitive with, or better than, most of this field. A logical top choice.

Karma's Inthehouse (8)

Another who should benefit from the likely moderate pace. She has had some chances, but her turf efforts at similar levels are competitive. From just outside Vida (7), she can either press or sit off depending on how the inside horses break. She is a major win player and a strong candidate to be in the exacta.

Goodluck Road (6)

Has been knocking on the door and seems to be trending the right way. She lacks the pure early speed of Vida (7) and Karma's Inthehouse (8), but she finishes well when she gets a clean trip. If the top two hook up early or one of the longshots decides to send, she could take advantage late.

Secondary Choices

Star Atlas (3)

Shows some turf ability and has run races that put her in the mix here. Her style is more tactical stalker than deep closer, which should play well if she can secure a spot just behind the leaders. She feels like a solid key for the lower exotics, with an outside shot to win if she improves slightly.

Flying To Work (1)

The rail draw can be tricky, but she might work out a good ground-saving trip. Her form is a bit inconsistent, yet her better efforts would make her a contender for a minor piece. Needs to break cleanly and find room turning for home.

Hawksbury Hustler (9)

From an outside post, she will likely be taken back and make one run. Has shown some finishing kick in prior turf starts, though usually against similar or slightly weaker company. She is more likely to round out trifectas and superfectas than to win.

Longshots

Fiery Debut (2)

Appears a cut below the main players on turf figures so far, but these low-level maiden claimers can be chaotic. If the blinkers or a small change in tactics wake her up, she might sneak into the bottom of the exotics.

Broadside Salvo (4) and Beautiful Quality (5)

Stablemates. Both appear to be more in the developmental stage and have not shown a lot yet in the afternoon. They would need significant improvement to contend and are best left for deep supers.

Master Nibbles (10)

The far outside post and lack of notable turf performance make him a longshot. He will need a perfect trip and improvement to factor.

Selections

Win: Vida (7) Place: Karma's Inthehouse (8) Show: Goodluck Road (6)

Betting strategy and wagering angles:

Use Vida (7) and Karma's Inthehouse (8) as A's in the early turf sequences, with Goodluck Road (6) and Star Atlas (3) as B's.

Win bet on Vida (7) if she floats above her morning line, or a small win bet on Karma's Inthehouse (8) if she offers better value.

Exacta box 7 and 8, with 6 and 3 under in saver tickets.

Trifecta: 7, 8 over 3, 6, 7, 8 over 1, 2, 3, 6, 7, 8, 9.

RACE 4 — Post (1:41)/12:41/11:41/10:41 — 1760f | D | C | Clm 12500n3l | BUN | Purse $22,000

Two-turn dirt claimer for non-winners of three. Small but competitive field.

Race 4

Pace Analysis

Speedy Alex (4) and Cademan (6) both have forward tendencies, with Speedy Alex (4) likely to be the more aggressive early. Panagiotis (2) and Freedom Maker (3) are tactical stalkers, Blo By'em (5) generally sits mid-pack, and Rapidity (1) can either stalk or sit just behind if asked.

With only six runners, this shapes up as a relatively honest, but not blistering, route pace. Tactical position and the ability to quicken turning for home will matter more than raw early speed.

Key Contenders

Panagiotis (2)

The most consistent recent form and solid route figures make Panagiotis (2) the horse to beat. He typically sits just behind the pace and finishes well. The rider should be able to secure a perfect tracking trip in this small field. If he runs back to his last couple of starts at similar levels, he is a deserving favorite and a major win candidate.

Blo By'em (5)

Has the kind of grinding style that fits this race if the pace is even or slightly quicker than expected. This barn is very capable in these mid-level claimers, and the rider has had success timing late moves in route races. Blo By'em (5) might be slightly pace-dependent, but in a field where no one is a domineering front runner, he looms large late.

Secondary Choices

Cademan (6)

Appears to be cycling into good form and could be the main pace presence if Speedy Alex (4) is not aggressively ridden. His figures put him right in the mix, and he can be dangerous if allowed to control the pace. Even if pressed, he has shown enough tenacity to hang around for a share.

Freedom Maker (3)

Has been a bit inconsistent but owns races that would make him competitive here. He can sit a nice stalking trip behind Speedy Alex (4) and Cademan (6). If he puts his best foot forward, he could certainly hit the board and threatens for an upset with the right setup.

Longshots

Rapidity (1)

From the rail, he might try to save ground and sneak up the fence. His recent efforts have been slightly below the top contenders, but he is not far off. Needs some improvement and a favorable pace to win; more of an underneath type at this stage.

Speedy Alex (4)

Has early foot but has struggled to finish strongly when pressured in the lane. If he somehow shakes loose with soft fractions, he could get brave; otherwise, he looks vulnerable to the stalkers and closers in the last furlong. Worth considering only as a saver in exotic tickets.

Selections

Win: Panagiotis (2) Place: Blo By'em (5) Show: Cademan (6)

Betting strategy and wagering angles:

Single Panagiotis (2) in some multi-race sequences where you need coverage elsewhere; in others, back up with Blo By'em (5).

Win bet on Panagiotis (2) if he is not pounded below 6-5. If he is too short, look at Blo By'em (5) as a win-overlay candidate at 3-1 or better.

Exacta: 2 over 3, 5, 6 and small saver 5 over 2, 6.

Trifecta: 2, 5 over 2, 3, 5, 6 over 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6.

RACE 5 — Post (2:11)/1:11/12:11/11:11 — 1870f | D | C | Clm 7500n1y | BUN | Purse $18,000

Lower-level route claimer for horses that have not won a race in the past year. These types of races often hinge on current form, subtle barn moves, and trip.

Race 5

Pace Analysis

Formal Affair (2) projects as one of the main speed elements. City Panda (3) and Morning Thoughts (4) can both show tactical speed, while Mission Mike (5) has occasionally been forward but tends to do better sitting just off the pace.

Top Blood (1) and Forrest City (7) are more likely to settle mid-pack or slightly behind, and Likebelivingnmagic (6) is a deep closer.

The pace should be honest, but unlikely to be blazing. Formal Affair (2) may attempt to control it from an inside draw. That scenario would favor a tactical stalker like City Panda (3) or Morning Thoughts (4) if they can apply pressure at the right times.

Key Contenders

Formal Affair (2)

Comes from a barn that places horses very aggressively and has an excellent record in these lower-level route claimers. His recent figures stand out in this group, and he has the versatility to either set or press the pace. With a solid rider in the irons, he looks poised to get a favorable trip. The one to beat.

City Panda (3)

Has been competing against similar company and often shows good tactical speed. From post 3, he should get a sweet stalking trip right behind Formal Affair (2). If the favorite is at all vulnerable late, City Panda (3) may be the one to take advantage. Very logical win candidate and a must-use in all exotics.

Secondary Choices

Morning Thoughts (4)

Stablemate to City Panda (3). He has had some ups and downs but is capable of a strong effort on his best day. Might sit a bit further off the pace than City Panda (3), which could allow him to avoid a head-on duel yet still be within striking distance. A solid underneath horse with some upset potential if the race shape favors a mid-pack closer.

Mission Mike (5)

Has the kind of grinding style that works in these elongated route races. His figures are a shade below the top two, but he can pick up pieces late. If Formal Affair (2) faces more pressure than expected and City Panda (3) flattens out, Mission Mike (5) could be rolling late for a share.

Longshots

Top Blood (1)

The inside draw may help him save ground and stay in touch early. His recent form is not inspiring, but he drops into a spot where a mild improvement could put him into the trifecta. Needs things to go his way, but not impossible underneath.

Likebelivingnmagic (6)

Appears to be overmatched on paper and would need a big turnaround in form to contend. Deep closer style could land him a minor share if the pace collapses, but he's a longshot.

Forrest City (7)

Lightly regarded on the morning line. Has shown only modest form so far, but sometimes these lower-level claimers can see sudden reversals of form. Use only in the deepest exotic slots.

Selections

Win: Formal Affair (2) Place: City Panda (3) Show: Morning Thoughts (4)

Betting strategy and wagering angles:

In multi-race exotics, lean on Formal Affair (2) and City Panda (3) as A's. Use Morning Thoughts (4) and Mission Mike (5) as backups.

Win bet on Formal Affair (2) if at or above 8-5; otherwise consider a value-driven win bet on City Panda (3) if he is 3-1 or better.

Exacta: 2, 3 over 2, 3, 4, 5 with small saver 4 over 2, 3.

Trifecta: 2, 3 over 2, 3, 4, 5 over 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7.

RACE 6 — Post (2:42)/1:42/12:42/11:42 — 1210f | T | A | Alw 49000n1x | BUM | Purse $49,000

A tough allowance on turf at about six furlongs. This is one of the deeper races on the card and an important leg for the middle Pick 4 and late Pick 5.

Race 6

Pace Analysis

There is solid but not crazy early pace signed on. Waittilmidnitehour (4) can show speed, Ready For Trouble (5) is quick when sent, and Dale's Bluff (7) has tactical speed as well. Hue (2) usually sits close to the pace without being a need-the-lead type.

Mopo (9) and Wise And Elegant (10) both prefer to settle and make one run, while River Seine (1), Soaring Angel (3), Blame The Banker (6), and Aldene (8) can all sit mid-pack.

This shapes up as an honest to slightly quick turf sprint where stalking types and strong finishers should have every chance. A meltdown is unlikely unless one or two unexpected horses send hard.

Key Contenders

Mopo (9)

Brings the best recent turf sprint figures in the field and has performed well against similar n1x company. His late kick is powerful when he gets a clear lane, and the outside post could actually help by keeping him in the clear. If the pace is honest and he avoids traffic, he will be flying late and has a high chance to run by them all in the stretch.

Hue (2)

Tactical style fits this race very well. Hue (2) tends to sit just behind the first wave of speed and make a well-timed run. Has run consistently good races on the Laurel turf and is a logical win threat. The inside-ish draw helps him save ground and perhaps get first run on Mopo (9).

Waittilmidnitehour (4)

Capable of being right on the pace or stalking just off. Has competed well in similar allowance races and has the right kind of early speed for these turf sprints. If the pace is moderate rather than hot, he could prove hard to catch, and his figures make him a must-use.

Secondary Choices

River Seine (1)

From the rail, he might have to work out a trip behind the speed, but he has shown enough ability to be competitive at this level. His closing kick is not quite as explosive as Mopo (9), yet he can grind home for a share. A solid underneath player and worth including in multi-race exotics.

Aldene (8)

Appears to be a bit of a wild card. Has flashed some ability and is now in a spot where slight improvement would make her competitive. The post is fine for her running style, and if she gets a good setup, she could factor for a minor award.

Wise And Elegant (10)

Draws the extreme outside but is another who finishes well. The post could force him to drop back and circle wide, which is not ideal, but if the pace collapses or if they go faster than expected, he can pick up pieces in the lane. More of a trifecta/superfecta type.

Longshots

Soaring Angel (3)

Has some ability but appears to be just a notch below the top contenders. Would need a career-best effort and a perfect trip to win. Can be included deep in exotics.

Ready For Trouble (5)

Has speed but appears to be outclassed at this allowance level. If he sends hard, he might impact the pace more than the outcome. Could hang around for a minor share on his best day, but he is a longshot.

Blame The Banker (6)

Form and figures make him tough to endorse for anything more than a small share. Needs significant improvement.

Dale's Bluff (7)

Another price horse who could show speed early but appears vulnerable late. Best used as a small piece in superfectas if you expect the pace scenario to play out favorably for him.

Selections

Win: Mopo (9) Place: Hue (2) Show: Waittilmidnitehour (4)

Betting strategy and wagering angles:

Use Mopo (9) and Hue (2) as primary A's in the middle Pick 4 and late Pick 5. Waittilmidnitehour (4) and River Seine (1) as B's.

Win bet on Mopo (9) if 2-1 or better. If he is heavily bet, look to Hue (2) for a better win price.

Exacta: 9 over 1, 2, 4, 8, 10 and 2 over 1, 4, 9.

Trifecta: 2, 4, 9 over 1, 2, 4, 8, 9, 10 over 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 8, 9, 10.

RACE 7 — Post (3:13)/2:13/1:13/12:13 — 1210f | T | A | Alw 48000n1x | BUN | Purse $48,000

Another turf sprint allowance, this time with a large, deep field. Trip and value will be critical.

Race 7

Pace Analysis

Sinetic (1), Brightshininglight (3), Rye Diggitydog (4), and Feisty Notion (5) can all show speed. Dynaflame (6) and Jigger (9) might also be forwardly placed if asked. Enduring Gold (7), Creed's Vision (8), Thataway (10), Enzo (11), and Schrader (12) are more likely mid-pack or closing types.

With so many potential speed elements, this race could feature a swift early pace. That would tilt things toward a horse who can sit mid-pack and deliver a strong late run while avoiding traffic.

Key Contenders

Creed's Vision (8)

Brings strong turf sprint form and has been knocking on the door at this level. His running style, sitting just off the pace and making one sustained run, fits perfectly with this race shape. The post is excellent for a horse like him, allowing options to track inside or sit in the clear. He looks like a central player and a major win candidate.

Enzo (11)

Has serious late kick and has run some of the best figures in the field when everything goes right. The far outside draw is not ideal but may actually help him stay in the clear and make a wide sweeping run. If the anticipated hot pace materializes, Enzo (11) will be charging down the center of the course late.

Rye Diggitydog (4)

One of the key speed horses, but he is not a need-the-lead type. He can sit just off the faster elements and pounce on the turn. His recent turf efforts at similar levels are solid, and he has the right rider to judge the pace. If the front does not collapse, he could be the one who gets first run and holds off the closers.

Secondary Choices

Brightshininglight (3)

Possesses tactical speed and has run well on the lawn. If she breaks sharply, she might sit a perfect pressing trip just off the leaders. Her figures are just a step behind the top two, but not by much. Very usable in exactas and trifectas.

Enduring Gold (7)

Mid-pack type who can finish. Needs a clean trip and a reasonably hot pace, but in a field like this, that's likely. Does not have the same finishing punch as Enzo (11), yet she can be right there for a minor award.

Thataway (10)

From just outside mid-gate, Thataway (10) can drop in behind the early speed and save some ground. His closing punch is adequate, and in a race where the leaders might weaken, he could be picking up pieces late at a price.

Longshots

Sinetic (1)

On the rail, he may be forced to go from the gate. If he makes an uncontested lead, he could hang around longer than expected, but given the other speed, that scenario seems unlikely. Use sparingly underneath.

Virginia Fitz (2)

Has some ability but appears slightly below the top echelon here on recent turf figures. Needs to step up and get a perfect trip. More of a minor exotic player.

Feisty Notion (5)

Speedy type who will be involved early, but her stamina and finishing ability are question marks against this group. Could hang on for a small share.

Dynaflame (6)

Similar profile to Feisty Notion (5): early speed, questionable stamina versus this field. Use only in deeper exotics.

Jigger (9)

Typically forwardly placed. Needs a substantial improvement to win; best case is perhaps mid-pack or minor exotic finish.

Schrader (12)

Way on the outside and a bit inconsistent. Would need a big jump forward and plenty of racing luck. Deep longshot.

Selections

Win: Creed's Vision (8) Place: Enzo (11) Show: Rye Diggitydog (4)

Betting strategy and wagering angles:

Spread a bit in this race for multi-race wagers. Use Creed's Vision (8) and Enzo (11) as A's, with Rye Diggitydog (4), Brightshininglight (3), and Enduring Gold (7) as B's.

Win bet on Creed's Vision (8) if you get around 3-1 or better. Enzo (11) is an appealing win play if his odds drift up due to the outside draw.

Exacta boxes: 8 and 11, and 8 and 4, with savers 8, 11 over 3, 4, 7, 10.

Trifecta: 8, 11 over 3, 4, 7, 8, 11 over 1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 10, 11, 12.

RACE 8 — Post (3:45)/2:45/1:45/12:45 — 1540f | D | A | Alw 48000n1x | BUN | Purse $48,000

Dirt route for n1x allowance horses. This race includes a heavy morning-line favorite who may go off at a very short price.

Race 8

Pace Analysis

Easy Action (6) looks like the controlling speed on paper. Roll On Jesse (2) and Change My World (3) can be forwardly placed, while And Sum (4) is a versatile type who can stalk or sit mid-pack. Dancing Denae (5) usually sits off the pace, and Randy Said So (1) has been more of a mid-pack grinder.

Given Easy Action (6) has shown strong early speed and quality, he is likely to go right to the front. Unless someone decides to aggressively challenge him, the pace could be moderate and quite favorable for the favorite.

Key Contenders

Easy Action (6)

On paper, the standout. His recent figures are clearly superior to this field, and his early speed combined with a good gate rider make him a legitimate odds-on type. If he breaks cleanly and makes the lead, it is hard to envision anyone else out-finishing him. In terms of raw handicapping, he is a likely single in multi-race tickets.

Change My World (3)

Appears to be the main alternative. He has consistent dirt route form and can sit in a stalking position behind Easy Action (6). If the favorite stumbles, faces unexpected pressure, or simply regresses, Change My World (3) is well positioned to take advantage.

Secondary Choices

And Sum (4)

Tactical type who should get a good trip just behind the front runners. His figures put him slightly below Easy Action (6) and Change My World (3), but he is not far off. Likely to be around at the finish and looms large for exacta and trifecta considerations.

Roll On Jesse (2)

Could be part of the early pace picture and then try to hang on for a share. His form is a bit inconsistent, but if he breaks well and sits just off Easy Action (6), he might get first run on the deeper closers. More of an underneath player.

Longshots

Randy Said So (1)

Needs a leap forward in form to seriously contend for the win. The inside draw helps, and he could save ground while others chase Easy Action (6), but his finishing ability appears limited against this group. A minor trifecta/superfecta consideration.

Dancing Denae (5)

Deep-closing style is not ideal given the projected race shape, especially if Easy Action (6) controls a moderate pace. Would need a meltdown that seems unlikely. Uses for the bottom of supers only if the odds are huge.

Selections

Win: Easy Action (6) Place: Change My World (3) Show: And Sum (4)

Betting strategy and wagering angles:

Treat Easy Action (6) as a key single in horizontal exotics like the late Pick 4 and Pick 5.

Because Easy Action (6) will be a very short price, straight win bets on him are not attractive. Focus instead on exotics.

Exacta: 6 over 2, 3, 4 and a small saver 3 over 2, 4, 6 in case of a favorite flop.

Trifecta: 6 over 2, 3, 4 over 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.

RACE 9 — Post (4:17)/3:17/2:17/1:17 — 1870f | T | C | Clm 30000n3l | BUM | Purse $35,000

Turf route claimer for non-winners of three. A compact but quality group and a fascinating betting race.

Race 9

Pace Analysis

Shine On Moon (2) and Gripen (4) can both be forwardly placed, with Boys Go To Jupiter (5) potentially adding some early pace pressure if ridden aggressively. Weekend Wife (1) and Lien On Her (3) usually sit mid-pack, while Mitole's Girl (6) and Minari (7) are more classic turf closers.

Expect an honest but controlled pace. If Shine On Moon (2) gets comfortable on the lead or stalking, she could be tough to reel in. However, with several capable finishers, the race should be decided by trip and who gets the first run turning for home.

Key Contenders

Shine On Moon (2)

Brings strong recent turf route form and fits this 30000 non-winners of three condition well. Her tactical speed is a major asset; she can either lead or sit just off Gripen (4). With a top local rider aboard, she is likely to get a premium trip and has the figures to capitalize. A very strong win candidate.

Lien On Her (3)

Another with consistent turf form and a style that fits this pace setup. Lien On Her (3) tends to sit in mid-pack and then quicken turning for home. If the leaders go a touch too fast, she will be well positioned to pounce. Her numbers are not far off Shine On Moon (2), and she offers a viable alternative if the favorite is overbet.

Minari (7)

Possesses one of the stronger late kicks in the field and has been competitive in similar turf routes. The wide draw is manageable given the longer run into the first turn and her closing style. If the pace is more contested than expected, Minari (7) might benefit most and could be rolling late at a decent price.

Secondary Choices

Gripen (4)

Has enough early foot to be prominent from the break. The key question is whether she can withstand the late charge from the better finishers. Her past races suggest she is capable of hanging on for a share, and if she gets to the front and relaxes, she could prove hard to pass.

Weekend Wife (1)

From the rail, she will likely save ground and sit in mid-pack. Her best efforts put her a notch below the top runners here, but the ground-saving trip could bridge that gap. A solid candidate for the lower rungs of exactas and trifectas.

Longshots

Boys Go To Jupiter (5)

Might try to force the pace or press Shine On Moon (2) early. His turf form suggests he is not quite at the level of the main contenders. Could help shape the race by adding pace but will likely fade late.

Mitole's Girl (6)

Closer who might be compromised if the pace is not particularly hot. Needs both a fast pace and a perfect trip to get into the trifecta. A longshot for deep exotics.

Selections

Win: Shine On Moon (2) Place: Lien On Her (3) Show: Minari (7)

Betting strategy and wagering angles:

In the late Pick 4 and Pick 5, use Shine On Moon (2) and Lien On Her (3) as primary A's, with Minari (7) and Gripen (4) as B's.

Win bet on Lien On Her (3) if she is significantly higher odds than Shine On Moon (2), offering a value alternative.

Exacta: 2, 3 over 1, 2, 3, 4, 7 with a smaller box 2 and 3.

Trifecta: 2, 3, 7 over 1, 2, 3, 4, 7 over 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7.

Jockey Notes and Insights

Several jockeys stand out on today's card and their tendencies should influence how you structure bets.

Angel Cruz

Rides multiple key mounts, including Pelican Pier (1) in Race 2, Hawksbury Hustler (9) in Race 3, Cademan (6) in Race 4, Mission Mike (5) in Race 5, Hue (2) in Race 6, Change My World (3) in Race 8, and others. Cruz is particularly strong on tactical stalkers and has been riding the Laurel turf and dirt as well as anyone. When he is on a logical contender with tactical speed, it usually pays to upgrade that horse slightly.

Jevian Toledo

Has a strong local reputation, especially on turf and in routes. He rides Magic Elixir (6) in Race 2, Flying To Work (1) in Race 3, Soaring Angel (3) in Race 6, and Enzo (11) in Race 7. Toledo's strength is timing late runs and navigating traffic. His presence on Enzo (11) in Race 7 is a key positive in a race that demands a strong finishing ride.

Mychel Sanchez

Booked on several high-profile runners, including Fridayswithmurray (2) in Race 1, Aldene (8) in Race 6, Creed's Vision (8) in Race 7, and And Sum (4) in Race 8. He rides aggressively and is adept at putting forwardly placed horses in good positions early. His rides can be decisive in tight pace scenarios, especially in turf sprints where position is everything.

Tais Lyapustina

Pilots Finn Mcsorley (1) in Race 1, Vida (7) in Race 3, and Brightshininglight (3) in Race 7, among others. She tends to shine on horses who have tactical speed but do not want to be on the lead. Her familiarity with certain barns and horses, especially on today's turf card, is a plus.

Jorge Ruiz and Jose Vargas

Both have multiple turf mounts and are trustworthy in navigating the often-tricky Laurel turf trips. Ruiz rides Star Atlas (3) in Race 3, Waittilmidnitehour (4) in Race 6, Enduring Gold (7) in Race 7, and And Sum (4) in Race 8. Vargas partners with Broadside Salvo (4) in Race 3, Morning Thoughts (4) in Race 5, Mopo (9) in Race 6, and Shine On Moon (2) in Race 9. Their mounts deserve extra consideration in close calls.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Jamie Ness

Typically one of the leading trainers in the region and shows up today with key runners such as Fridayswithmurray (2) in Race 1 and Ready For Trouble (5) in Race 6. Ness excels with claimers and horses dropping into logical spots. His runners are often well-meant when placed at realistic levels, and they often improve second off the claim or when returning quickly.

Jose Corrales

Has multiple live runners including Baru (2) and Remembertheword (4) in Race 2, Speedy Alex (4) in Race 4, Formal Affair (2) in Race 5, and Dancing Denae (5) in Race 8. Corrales often targets state-bred conditions and lower- to mid-level claimers, and his horses tend to be fit and forwardly placed. His juveniles in Race 2 deserve special attention given his record with early 2-year-olds.

Brittany Russell and Phillip Capuano

Both are high-percentage barns in the Mid-Atlantic, with Russell sending out Soaring Angel (3) in Race 6 and Capuano saddling Dale's Bluff (7) and Mopo (9) in Race 6. When these barns team up with top riders in turf sprints, their horses usually run to their press. Mopo (9) in particular looks like a well-spotted runner for Capuano.

Michael Trombetta

A constant presence in Maryland turf racing, with Waittilmidnitehour (4) and Aldene (8) in Race 6, Enduring Gold (7) in Race 7, and And Sum (4) in Race 8. Trombetta is very good at placing turf horses in the right class spots. His entries today are well meant and should be used liberally in multi-race bets, especially in the turf allowances.

Hugh McMahon

Sends Wise And Elegant (10) in Race 6, Rye Diggitydog (4) and Schrader (12) in Race 7, and Lien On Her (3) in Race 9. McMahon's turf runners can outrun their odds, particularly when they get a good pace to chase. Lien On Her (3) in Race 9 looks like a carefully spotted contender at a claiming level where she can win.

Local turf and claiming specialists

Trainers like Susan Cooney, Tim Keefe, and Keri Brion each have turf and claiming runners that fit well today: Star Atlas (3) and Beautiful Quality (5) in Race 3 for Cooney; Weekend Wife (1) in Race 9 for Keefe; Minari (7) in Race 9 for Brion. These barns tend to spot realistically and can offer value, especially with horses dropping into the right conditions or returning to their preferred surfaces.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

Multi-race sequences

Early Pick 4 (Races 1–4):

Race 4: PANAGIOTIS (2) as primary single; BLO BY’EM (5) as backup.

Middle Pick 4 (Races 3–6):

Race 6: MOPO (9), HUE (2), WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR (4), with RIVER SEINE (1) as a backup.

Late Pick 4 (Races 6–9):

Race 9: SHINE ON MOON (2), LIEN ON HER (3), MINARI (7), GRIPEN (4).

Key singles and strong opinions

Easy Action (6) in Race 8 is a likely heavy favorite and a logical single in the late horizontals.

Panagiotis (2) in Race 4 and Formal Affair (2) in Race 5 are both strong win candidates, though not invincible. Using them as leaning singles or strong A's can help create efficient tickets.

Value plays

Race 9: LIEN ON HER (3) and MINARI (7) both offer upside against SHINE ON MOON (2) if the pace is honest and the favorite does not get an easy lead.

Overall bankroll approach

The card offers a few strong favorites that can anchor multi-race wagers, particularly Easy Action (6) and, to a slightly lesser extent, Panagiotis (2) and Formal Affair (2). Use these as structural pillars in your Pick 4 and Pick 5 plays, and then press value opinions in the more open turf races (Races 1, 3, 6, 7, and 9).

On the win-bet front, focus on horses that are likely overlays relative to their winning chances: Goodluck Road (6) in Race 3, Hyteck Prince (9) in Race 1, Enzo (11) in Race 7, and Lien On Her (3) or Minari (7) in Race 9, depending on the tote.

As always, monitor tote action and late scratches, which can significantly alter pace scenarios and value, particularly in the turf races with fuller fields.

Before wagering, check the Latest Race Scratches, Changes, and Conditions post for any last-minute scratches or race changes.


Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback