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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Crew Dragon (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – R N R Audible (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Superstar Swank (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Mongolian Champ (4/1), 2 – Bavaria Road (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-5-2-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Dutton Street Girl (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Low Key (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Dontmesswithtess (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Chamaville (9/2), 1 – Rebel Gal (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-2-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-3-1-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – Mr. Who (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Cobblestone Bridge (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Sir Exton (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Prince Rama (3/1), 2 – Scottish Storm (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-4-2 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – Mr Fabricator (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Hot Legs Romolo (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Logical Myth (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Socal Red (9/2), 5 – Holiday Fantasy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Loring Park (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-1-6-4-5 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 3 – No Bills Campaign (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Aint Behavin (1/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Smile Smile Smile (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Twentythreeonblack (8/1), 1 – Ruly'S Street (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-4-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Baby Doll Peach (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Kaia'S Choice (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Heavenly Captive (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Blues Cross (5/1), 1 – Nancy'S Shawl (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Mariarosadelaserda (9/2), 5 – Charging Darling (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-7-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-6-7-1-4-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 4 – Pat Can'T Count (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Matt'S Luck (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Flying Martini (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Outlaw Run (7/2), 3 – Latin Force (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – More Money Mo (12/1), 1 – Arjun For Karz (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-5-4-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-2-3-5-6-1 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Crew Dragon (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – R N R Audible (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Superstar Swank (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Mongolian Champ (4/1), 2 – Bavaria Road (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-5-2-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Dutton Street Girl (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Low Key (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Dontmesswithtess (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Rebel Gal (5/1), 4 – Chamaville (9/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-2-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-3-1-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – Mr. Who (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Cobblestone Bridge (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Prince Rama (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Sir Exton (4/1), 2 – Scottish Storm (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-4-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-4-2 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – Mr Fabricator (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Hot Legs Romolo (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Logical Myth (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Socal Red (9/2), 5 – Holiday Fantasy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Loring Park (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-1-6-4-5 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 5 – Aint Behavin (1/1) |
| Place: | 3 – No Bills Campaign (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Smile Smile Smile (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Twentythreeonblack (8/1), 1 – Ruly'S Street (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-4-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Baby Doll Peach (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Heavenly Captive (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Mariarosadelaserda (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Nancy'S Shawl (6/1), 7 – Blues Cross (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Kaia'S Choice (4/1), 5 – Charging Darling (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-6-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-6-7-1-4-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 4 – Pat Can'T Count (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Matt'S Luck (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Flying Martini (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Outlaw Run (7/2), 3 – Latin Force (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Arjun For Karz (15/1), 6 – More Money Mo (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-5-4-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-2-3-5-6-1 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Crew Dragon (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – R N R Audible (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Superstar Swank (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Mongolian Champ (4/1), 2 – Bavaria Road (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-5-2-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Dutton Street Girl (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Low Key (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Dontmesswithtess (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Rebel Gal (5/1), 4 – Chamaville (9/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-2-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-3-1-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – Mr. Who (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Cobblestone Bridge (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Prince Rama (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Sir Exton (4/1), 2 – Scottish Storm (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-4-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-4-2 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Hot Legs Romolo (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Mr Fabricator (9/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Logical Myth (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Socal Red (9/2), 5 – Holiday Fantasy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Loring Park (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-1-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-1-6-4-5 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 5 – Aint Behavin (1/1) |
| Place: | 3 – No Bills Campaign (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Smile Smile Smile (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Ruly'S Street (8/1), 4 – Twentythreeonblack (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-4-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Baby Doll Peach (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Mariarosadelaserda (9/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Nancy'S Shawl (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Kaia'S Choice (4/1), 6 – Heavenly Captive (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Blues Cross (5/1), 5 – Charging Darling (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-7-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-6-7-1-4-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 4 – Pat Can'T Count (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Flying Martini (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Matt'S Luck (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Outlaw Run (7/2), 3 – Latin Force (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – More Money Mo (12/1), 1 – Arjun For Karz (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-5-4-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-2-3-5-6-1 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 8, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 38, Mid Pace: 14, Late Pace: 67, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 76, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 26, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 26, Weight: 91, Medications: 4, Weather: 13, Race Trouble: 66, Last Race: 51, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 26, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots with positive calibrated edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 4 | 4 – Loring Park | 10/1 | 10.0% | +10.4% | 0.26% | $0.52 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| AINT BEHAVIN | ARJUN FOR KARZ | BABY DOLL PEACH | BAVARIA ROAD | BLUES CROSS |
| CHARGING DARLING | COBBLESTONE BRIDGE | CREW DRAGON | DONTMESSWITHTESS | DUTTON STREET GIRL |
| HEAVENLY CAPTIVE | HOLIDAY FANTASY | HOT LEGS ROMOLO | KAIA'S CHOICE | LATIN FORCE |
| LORING PARK | LOW KEY | MARIAROSADELASERDA | MATT'S LUCK | MONGOLIAN CHAMP |
| MR FABRICATOR | MR. WHO | NANCY'S SHAWL | NO BILLS CAMPAIGN | OUTLAW RUN |
| PRINCE RAMA | R N R AUDIBLE | REBEL GAL | RULY'S STREET | SCOTTISH STORM |
| SMILE SMILE SMILE | SOCAL RED | SUPERSTAR SWANK | TWENTYTHREEONBLACK |
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