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Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Classic Alphie (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Ripple's Rocket (7/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Cajun Swagger (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Collect Now (4/1), 2 – Jonesboogie (30/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Geaux Warrior (15/1), 6 – I Nita Warrior (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-6-7-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-7-1-3-6-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Matching Funds (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Royal Irish (7/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Golden City Street (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Classic Sensation (7/2), 4 – Sunset Skip (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Arco Thunder (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-1-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-3-2-6-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Havemercionus (6/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Kisses For Cooper (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Princess Deeana (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Artic Sailor (10/1), 3 – Bulletproof Bess (5/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Daddy's Last Sweet (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-3-1-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-1-2-6-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 10 – Coboch (6/5) |
| Place: | 6 – C Mac Da Boss (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Gotta Keep Him (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Righteous Star (20/1), 4 – Great Barrier (15/1), 9 – Capella Red (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Penei (8/1), 7 – Cajun Blast (30/1), 2 – Bayou Boy (30/1), 8 – Chou Chou D'aven (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-10-6-8-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-3-6-8-1-9-4-5-7-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Morally Complex (7/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Myspittinimage (6/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Texas Sequoia (6/5) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Mary Claire (8/1), 4 – Torrey Pine (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Bodi Odi (30/1), 1 – My Lil Poker Face (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-3-7-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-7-5-1-4-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 7 – Nobel Gary (4/1) |
| Place: | 11 – Heroic Act (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Task (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – My Russian (12/1), 8 – Blue Chair Bay (5/1), 1 – Rebel Moon (10/1), 10 – Friday Night Fever (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Got Stripes (3/1), 12 – Rickie Roooo Ster (20/1), 4 – Field Study (20/1), 9 – Max S (30/1), 2 – Bottle It (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-10-7-6-8-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-7-6-1-10-5-8-2-3-4-9-12 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – He's Charlie (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Bearcat (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Our Bodie (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Hustlin' Man (5/1), 2 – Quikonthetrigger (6/1), 3 – Gabbys Bling (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Stray Lightning (10/1), 6 – Chief Now Now (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-2-4-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-5-2-4-3-7-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Classic Alphie (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Ripple's Rocket (7/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Cajun Swagger (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Collect Now (4/1), 3 – Geaux Warrior (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Jonesboogie (30/1), 6 – I Nita Warrior (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-7-6-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-7-1-3-6-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Matching Funds (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Royal Irish (7/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Golden City Street (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Classic Sensation (7/2), 6 – Arco Thunder (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Sunset Skip (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-1-6-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-3-2-6-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Havemercionus (6/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Kisses For Cooper (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Princess Deeana (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Artic Sailor (10/1), 3 – Bulletproof Bess (5/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Daddy's Last Sweet (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-1-3-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-1-2-6-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 10 – Coboch (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Gotta Keep Him (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – C Mac Da Boss (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Righteous Star (20/1), 4 – Great Barrier (15/1), 1 – Penei (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Cajun Blast (30/1), 8 – Chou Chou D'aven (10/1), 9 – Capella Red (15/1), 2 – Bayou Boy (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-10-6-8-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-3-6-8-1-9-4-5-7-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 3 – Texas Sequoia (6/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Myspittinimage (6/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Morally Complex (7/5) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Mary Claire (8/1), 1 – My Lil Poker Face (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Torrey Pine (15/1), 2 – Bodi Odi (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-3-7-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-7-5-1-4-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 7 – Nobel Gary (4/1) |
| Place: | 3 – My Russian (12/1) |
| Show: | 11 – Heroic Act (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Got Stripes (3/1), 1 – Rebel Moon (10/1), 8 – Blue Chair Bay (5/1), 6 – Task (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Bottle It (12/1), 12 – Rickie Roooo Ster (20/1), 9 – Max S (30/1), 10 – Friday Night Fever (8/1), 4 – Field Study (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-7-8-10-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-7-6-1-10-5-8-2-3-4-9-12 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – He's Charlie (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Bearcat (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Our Bodie (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Quikonthetrigger (6/1), 4 – Hustlin' Man (5/1), 3 – Gabbys Bling (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Stray Lightning (10/1), 6 – Chief Now Now (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-2-7-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-5-2-4-3-7-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 4 – Ripple's Rocket (7/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Classic Alphie (8/5) |
| Show: | 7 – Collect Now (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Cajun Swagger (6/1), 6 – I Nita Warrior (30/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Geaux Warrior (15/1), 2 – Jonesboogie (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-7-6-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-7-1-3-6-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Royal Irish (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Matching Funds (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Golden City Street (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Classic Sensation (7/2), 6 – Arco Thunder (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Sunset Skip (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-1-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-3-2-6-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Havemercionus (6/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Kisses For Cooper (4/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Artic Sailor (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Princess Deeana (5/1), 3 – Bulletproof Bess (5/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Daddy's Last Sweet (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-2-3-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-1-2-6-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 10 – Coboch (6/5) |
| Place: | 6 – C Mac Da Boss (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Gotta Keep Him (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Penei (8/1), 4 – Great Barrier (15/1), 9 – Capella Red (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Chou Chou D'aven (10/1), 5 – Righteous Star (20/1), 2 – Bayou Boy (30/1), 7 – Cajun Blast (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-10-6-8-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-3-6-8-1-9-4-5-7-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 3 – Texas Sequoia (6/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Morally Complex (7/5) |
| Show: | 5 – Myspittinimage (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Mary Claire (8/1), 4 – Torrey Pine (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – My Lil Poker Face (15/1), 2 – Bodi Odi (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-3-7-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-7-5-1-4-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 11 – Heroic Act (4/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Nobel Gary (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Got Stripes (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Task (10/1), 3 – My Russian (12/1), 8 – Blue Chair Bay (5/1), 10 – Friday Night Fever (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Rebel Moon (10/1), 2 – Bottle It (12/1), 4 – Field Study (20/1), 9 – Max S (30/1), 12 – Rickie Roooo Ster (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-10-11-7-6-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-7-6-1-10-5-8-2-3-4-9-12 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 1 – Bearcat (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – He's Charlie (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Our Bodie (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Hustlin' Man (5/1), 2 – Quikonthetrigger (6/1), 3 – Gabbys Bling (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Stray Lightning (10/1), 6 – Chief Now Now (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-8-4-7-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-5-2-4-3-7-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 26, FPS: 51, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 35, Mid Pace: 22, Late Pace: 43, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 51, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 51, All Races: 56, Best Race: 27, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots with positive calibrated edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 3 | 4 – Artic Sailor | 10/1 | 14.9% | +64.0% | 1.60% | $3.20 |
| 7 | 5 – Stray Lightning | 10/1 | 14.9% | +64.0% | 1.60% | $3.20 |
| 4 | 8 – Chou Chou D'Aven | 10/1 | 14.4% | +58.7% | 1.47% | $2.93 |
| 7 | 3 – Gabbys Bling | 10/1 | 13.7% | +51.2% | 1.28% | $2.56 |
| 6 | 1 – Rebel Moon | 10/1 | 12.5% | +37.0% | 0.93% | $1.85 |
| 4 | 9 – Capella Red | 15/1 | 8.3% | +33.4% | 0.56% | $1.11 |
| 4 | 4 – Great Barrier | 15/1 | 8.2% | +31.7% | 0.53% | $1.06 |
| 5 | 4 – Torrey Pine | 15/1 | 7.9% | +27.1% | 0.45% | $0.90 |
| 5 | 1 – My Lil Poker Face | 15/1 | 7.7% | +22.9% | 0.38% | $0.76 |
| 1 | 3 – Geaux Warrior | 15/1 | 7.5% | +20.2% | 0.34% | $0.67 |
| 7 | 6 – Chief Now Now | 15/1 | 7.4% | +17.9% | 0.30% | $0.60 |
| 6 | 2 – Bottle It | 12/1 | 8.9% | +15.1% | 0.31% | $0.63 |
| 6 | 3 – My Russian | 12/1 | 8.1% | +5.8% | 0.12% | $0.24 |
| 3 | 5 – Daddy'S Last Sweet | 15/1 | 6.6% | +5.5% | 0.09% | $0.18 |
| 6 | 6 – Task | 10/1 | 9.5% | +4.9% | 0.12% | $0.25 |
| 2 | 6 – Arco Thunder | 10/1 | 9.2% | +1.1% | 0.03% | $0.05 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| ARCO THUNDER | ARTIC SAILOR | BAYOU BOY | BEARCAT | BLUE CHAIR BAY |
| BOTTLE IT | BULLETPROOF BESS | C MAC DA BOSS | CAJUN BLAST | CAJUN SWAGGER |
| CHIEF NOW NOW | CHOU CHOU D'AVEN | CLASSIC ALPHIE | CLASSIC SENSATION | COBOCH |
| DADDY'S LAST SWEET | FIELD STUDY | FRIDAY NIGHT FEVER | GABBYS BLING | GEAUX WARRIOR |
| GOT STRIPES | GOTTA KEEP HIM | GREAT BARRIER | HAVEMERCIONUS | HE'S CHARLIE |
| HUSTLIN' MAN | I NITA WARRIOR | JONESBOOGIE | KISSES FOR COOPER | MARY CLAIRE |
| MAX S | MORALLY COMPLEX | MY LIL POKER FACE | MY RUSSIAN | MYSPITTINIMAGE |
| OUR BODIE | PENEI | PRINCESS DEEANA | QUIKONTHETRIGGER | REBEL MOON |
| RIGHTEOUS STAR | RIPPLE'S ROCKET | ROYAL IRISH | STRAY LIGHTNING | SUNSET SKIP |
| TEXAS SEQUOIA | TORREY PINE |
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