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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Brown Lite (1/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Rise Again (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Silvercreek Annie (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Known To Be (4/1), 7 – Cloudsinmycoffee (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Our Last Penny (12/1), 5 – Frisky Business (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-4-3-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-3-5-4-7-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Dancing Raquel (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Beelieve Her (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Play Free Bird (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Dynamic Strike (8/1), 6 – Jackie Flash (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Cymbal Court (15/1), 7 – Midnightcandystorm (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-3-5-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-1-5-6-2-7 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Oregon County (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Promise Code (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Shabam (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Free Maker (5/1), 1 – Prairie Drifter (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Poderoso Equs (6/1), 6 – Frisco Kid (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-3-5-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-5-2-7-1-6 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Northvale Road (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Lovely Sassicaia (5/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Paco's Pico (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Lexington River (3/1), 4 – Hay Scooby Doo (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Fort Langley (10/1), 5 – Makena's Joy (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-7-3-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-7-6-3-4-5 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – I'm In Control (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Smoocherro (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Sophia's Storm (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Girl From De Bayou (4/1), 1 – Sumitup (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Mystic Song (6/1), 4 – Payton's Indian (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-3-1-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-5-7-6-4 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 8 – Bandera Azteca (2/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Mr. Dazzle (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Gallant Oak (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Sherlyn Go Go (8/1), 6 – Curly Esa (20/1), 1 – Diamond Concerto (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Will The Thrill (20/1), 2 – Charming Charlie (15/1), 4 – Discretionary Day (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-5-9-3-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-8-5-3-1-6-7-2-4 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 1 – Really Ralis (3/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Acknowledge (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Princeoftheprairie (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – War Is Hell (15/1), 4 – Borderland (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Moonman Rules (30/1), 3 – Silver Spiced (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-7-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-7-5-4-3-2 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Brown Lite (1/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Silvercreek Annie (5/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Rise Again (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Known To Be (4/1), 2 – Our Last Penny (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Cloudsinmycoffee (10/1), 5 – Frisky Business (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-6-3-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-3-5-4-7-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Dancing Raquel (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Play Free Bird (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Beelieve Her (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Dynamic Strike (8/1), 6 – Jackie Flash (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Cymbal Court (15/1), 7 – Midnightcandystorm (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-1-3-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-1-5-6-2-7 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Oregon County (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Promise Code (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Shabam (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Free Maker (5/1), 7 – Poderoso Equs (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Prairie Drifter (15/1), 6 – Frisco Kid (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-3-5-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-5-2-7-1-6 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Northvale Road (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Paco's Pico (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Lexington River (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Lovely Sassicaia (5/1), 4 – Hay Scooby Doo (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Makena's Joy (12/1), 6 – Fort Langley (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-7-3-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-7-6-3-4-5 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – I'm In Control (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Smoocherro (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Girl From De Bayou (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Sophia's Storm (8/1), 1 – Sumitup (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Mystic Song (6/1), 4 – Payton's Indian (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-3-1-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-5-7-6-4 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 8 – Bandera Azteca (2/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Mr. Dazzle (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Gallant Oak (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Diamond Concerto (6/1), 5 – Sherlyn Go Go (8/1), 6 – Curly Esa (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Will The Thrill (20/1), 2 – Charming Charlie (15/1), 4 – Discretionary Day (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-9-3-5-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-8-5-3-1-6-7-2-4 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 1 – Really Ralis (3/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Acknowledge (4/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Borderland (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – War Is Hell (15/1), 7 – Princeoftheprairie (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Moonman Rules (30/1), 3 – Silver Spiced (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-7-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-7-5-4-3-2 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Brown Lite (1/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Silvercreek Annie (5/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Rise Again (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Known To Be (4/1), 7 – Cloudsinmycoffee (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Our Last Penny (12/1), 5 – Frisky Business (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-6-3-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-3-5-4-7-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Dancing Raquel (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Beelieve Her (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Play Free Bird (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Dynamic Strike (8/1), 6 – Jackie Flash (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Cymbal Court (15/1), 7 – Midnightcandystorm (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-5-1-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-1-5-6-2-7 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Oregon County (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Shabam (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Poderoso Equs (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Promise Code (4/1), 5 – Free Maker (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Prairie Drifter (15/1), 6 – Frisco Kid (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-7-2-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-5-2-7-1-6 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – Lovely Sassicaia (5/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Northvale Road (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Paco's Pico (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Lexington River (3/1), 4 – Hay Scooby Doo (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Fort Langley (10/1), 5 – Makena's Joy (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-7-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-7-6-3-4-5 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – I'm In Control (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Smoocherro (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Girl From De Bayou (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Sophia's Storm (8/1), 5 – Mystic Song (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Sumitup (10/1), 4 – Payton's Indian (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-3-6-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-5-7-6-4 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 9 – Mr. Dazzle (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Bandera Azteca (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Diamond Concerto (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Gallant Oak (4/1), 5 – Sherlyn Go Go (8/1), 6 – Curly Esa (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Charming Charlie (15/1), 7 – Will The Thrill (20/1), 4 – Discretionary Day (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-8-1-3-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-8-5-3-1-6-7-2-4 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 1 – Really Ralis (3/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Acknowledge (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Princeoftheprairie (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Borderland (5/1), 5 – War Is Hell (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Silver Spiced (20/1), 2 – Moonman Rules (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-7-4-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-7-5-4-3-2 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 26, FPS: 51, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 35, Mid Pace: 22, Late Pace: 43, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 51, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 51, All Races: 56, Best Race: 27, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots with positive calibrated edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 6 | 7 – Will The Thrill | 20/1 | 17.2% | +262.1% | 3.28% | $6.55 |
| 1 | 7 – Cloudsinmycoffee | 10/1 | 14.9% | +64.0% | 1.60% | $3.20 |
| 4 | 6 – Fort Langley | 10/1 | 14.9% | +64.0% | 1.60% | $3.20 |
| 5 | 1 – Sumitup | 10/1 | 12.4% | +36.0% | 0.90% | $1.80 |
| 2 | 7 – Midnightcandystorm | 20/1 | 6.4% | +34.0% | 0.43% | $0.85 |
| 6 | 2 – Charming Charlie | 15/1 | 8.2% | +30.8% | 0.51% | $1.03 |
| 2 | 6 – Jackie Flash | 10/1 | 11.7% | +28.6% | 0.71% | $1.43 |
| 1 | 5 – Frisky Business | 15/1 | 7.9% | +26.0% | 0.43% | $0.87 |
| 2 | 2 – Cymbal Court | 15/1 | 7.5% | +19.4% | 0.32% | $0.65 |
| 3 | 1 – Prairie Drifter | 15/1 | 7.5% | +19.4% | 0.32% | $0.65 |
| 7 | 7 – Princeoftheprairie | 10/1 | 10.4% | +14.4% | 0.36% | $0.72 |
| 7 | 5 – War Is Hell | 15/1 | 7.0% | +12.7% | 0.21% | $0.42 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| ACKNOWLEDGE | BANDERA AZTECA | BEELIEVE HER | BORDERLAND | BROWN LITE |
| CLOUDSINMYCOFFEE | CURLY ESA | CYMBAL COURT | DANCING RAQUEL | DIAMOND CONCERTO |
| DYNAMIC STRIKE | FORT LANGLEY | FREE MAKER | FRISCO KID | FRISKY BUSINESS |
| GIRL FROM DE BAYOU | HAY SCOOBY DOO | I'M IN CONTROL | JACKIE FLASH | KNOWN TO BE |
| LOVELY SASSICAIA | MAKENA'S JOY | MIDNIGHTCANDYSTORM | MOONMAN RULES | MR. DAZZLE |
| NORTHVALE ROAD | OREGON COUNTY | OUR LAST PENNY | PACO'S PICO | PAYTON'S INDIAN |
| PODEROSO EQUS | PRAIRIE DRIFTER | PRINCEOFTHEPRAIRIE | PROMISE CODE | REALLY RALIS |
| SHABAM | SHERLYN GO GO | SILVER SPICED | SILVERCREEK ANNIE | SMOOCHERRO |
| SUMITUP | WAR IS HELL | WILL THE THRILL |
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