Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Fair Meadows Tulsa, July 19, 2026


Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

 

Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algo Picks – Algo 1
 
Race 1
Win:7 – Searchin Safari (6/1)
Place:1 – Risky With Whiskey (3/1)
Show:4 – Windtapper Win (5/1)
Other contenders:6 – Vicente's Shadow (5/2), 5 – Hit One Out (8/1)
Rest of field:2 – R D C Posse (6/1), 3 – Awesome Outlaw (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-5-1-6-3
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-2-4-3-7
 
Race 2
Win:4 – Texas Holdem (2/1)
Place:6 – Storms Last (3/1)
Show:2 – That's Something (8/5)
Other contenders:3 – Ripster (6/1), 5 – The Last Moxy (15/1)
Rest of field:1 – Flashy Boy Goes (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-2-3-5-1
🎯 Longshots: 2-4-6-5-1-3
 
Race 3
Win:1 – Zoeys Louie V (5/2)
Place:3 – Cuz Sooner Magic (3/1)
Show:4 – Dtl Ramblin Man (7/5)
Other contenders:2 – Vegas Secrets (15/1), 5 – Rev It Up Wagon (6/1)
Rest of field:6 – Candy Doux (20/1), 7 – Ana Runnin Chaos (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-3-2-5-7
🎯 Longshots: 4-1-3-2-6-7-5
 
Race 4
Win:5 – Capo Sm Chicks (3/1)
Place:3 – Isabela Lights (5/2)
Show:6 – Big Country 2 (5/1)
Other contenders:2 – Tiptoeing Tulip (7/2), 4 – Amadeuss (5/1)
Rest of field:1 – Redd Dirt Runner (20/1), 7 – Rare Reina (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-6-7-2-1
🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-7-6-4-1
 
Race 5
Win:8 – El Rubikin (3/1)
Place:6 – Jc Perseus (7/2)
Show:3 – Looks Executive Mrl (4/1)
Other contenders:7 – Reds A Blaze (6/1), 9 – Valiant King (8/1), 2 – Fdd Cleatsbabydoll (12/1)
Rest of field:5 – Ae Forty Five (10/1), 1 – Beauxreguard (12/1), 4 – Cyber Choo Choo (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-3-7-4-9
🎯 Longshots: 8-6-9-5-2-1-3-4-7
 
Race 6
Win:2 – Squeakies Toy (5/1)
Place:4 – Jessies Blue Wagon (7/2)
Show:10 – C O P Keating (3/1)
Other contenders:1 – Our Special Shake (8/1), 9 – Jess Juanita (10/1), 5 – Big Financial Cartel (12/1)
Rest of field:6 – Mrblue Wagon (8/1), 3 – Reckless Follies (8/1), 7 – Dashin Mav (15/1), 8 – Pegasus Bloom (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-10-6-3-5
🎯 Longshots: 10-4-1-6-3-7-9-5-2-8
 
Race 7
Win:6 – Eye Cue (4/1)
Place:8 – Sheza Violent Eagle (7/2)
Show:4 – Whileubeengone (4/1)
Other contenders:3 – Tempting Seis (5/1), 10 – Runaway Scooter (8/1), 7 – Coatimundi (12/1)
Rest of field:5 – Kvn Is Coming (12/1), 9 – Favorite Baby (15/1), 1 – Oh Relentless Go (15/1), 2 – Averys Marble Queen (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-10-3-8-7
🎯 Longshots: 8-10-4-5-7-9-6-2-1-3
 
Race 8
Win:6 – Small Townn Hero (3/1)
Place:9 – Uptown Bigg Daddy (5/1)
Show:5 – Eclipse 2024 (2/1)
Other contenders:3 – Mister Willcox (8/1), 7 – Cara Cortada 727 (12/1), 1 – Besame El Polvo (12/1)
Rest of field:4 – Cybernetic (12/1), 10 – Caros Pyc (15/1), 8 – Furr Love (15/1), 2 – D Winter (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-3-9-7-1
🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-7-1-10-8-4-9-2
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
Algo Picks – Algo 2
 
Race 1
Win:1 – Risky With Whiskey (3/1)
Place:4 – Windtapper Win (5/1)
Show:6 – Vicente's Shadow (5/2)
Other contenders:2 – R D C Posse (6/1), 7 – Searchin Safari (6/1)
Rest of field:3 – Awesome Outlaw (6/1), 5 – Hit One Out (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-6-7-3
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-2-4-3-7
 
Race 2
Win:4 – Texas Holdem (2/1)
Place:2 – That's Something (8/5)
Show:6 – Storms Last (3/1)
Other contenders:3 – Ripster (6/1), 5 – The Last Moxy (15/1)
Rest of field:1 – Flashy Boy Goes (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-6-3-5-1
🎯 Longshots: 2-4-6-5-1-3
 
Race 3
Win:3 – Cuz Sooner Magic (3/1)
Place:1 – Zoeys Louie V (5/2)
Show:4 – Dtl Ramblin Man (7/5)
Other contenders:5 – Rev It Up Wagon (6/1), 2 – Vegas Secrets (15/1)
Rest of field:6 – Candy Doux (20/1), 7 – Ana Runnin Chaos (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-4-5-2-7
🎯 Longshots: 4-1-3-2-6-7-5
 
Race 4
Win:5 – Capo Sm Chicks (3/1)
Place:3 – Isabela Lights (5/2)
Show:2 – Tiptoeing Tulip (7/2)
Other contenders:4 – Amadeuss (5/1), 6 – Big Country 2 (5/1)
Rest of field:7 – Rare Reina (8/1), 1 – Redd Dirt Runner (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-2-6-7-4
🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-7-6-4-1
 
Race 5
Win:6 – Jc Perseus (7/2)
Place:3 – Looks Executive Mrl (4/1)
Show:8 – El Rubikin (3/1)
Other contenders:7 – Reds A Blaze (6/1), 5 – Ae Forty Five (10/1), 4 – Cyber Choo Choo (12/1)
Rest of field:9 – Valiant King (8/1), 1 – Beauxreguard (12/1), 2 – Fdd Cleatsbabydoll (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-8-7-4-5
🎯 Longshots: 8-6-9-5-2-1-3-4-7
 
Race 6
Win:10 – C O P Keating (3/1)
Place:4 – Jessies Blue Wagon (7/2)
Show:2 – Squeakies Toy (5/1)
Other contenders:1 – Our Special Shake (8/1), 6 – Mrblue Wagon (8/1), 3 – Reckless Follies (8/1)
Rest of field:9 – Jess Juanita (10/1), 8 – Pegasus Bloom (20/1), 5 – Big Financial Cartel (12/1), 7 – Dashin Mav (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 10-4-2-6-3-1
🎯 Longshots: 10-4-1-6-3-7-9-5-2-8
 
Race 7
Win:8 – Sheza Violent Eagle (7/2)
Place:6 – Eye Cue (4/1)
Show:4 – Whileubeengone (4/1)
Other contenders:1 – Oh Relentless Go (15/1), 3 – Tempting Seis (5/1), 5 – Kvn Is Coming (12/1)
Rest of field:10 – Runaway Scooter (8/1), 9 – Favorite Baby (15/1), 7 – Coatimundi (12/1), 2 – Averys Marble Queen (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-1-8-3-5
🎯 Longshots: 8-10-4-5-7-9-6-2-1-3
 
Race 8
Win:5 – Eclipse 2024 (2/1)
Place:6 – Small Townn Hero (3/1)
Show:9 – Uptown Bigg Daddy (5/1)
Other contenders:3 – Mister Willcox (8/1), 7 – Cara Cortada 727 (12/1), 1 – Besame El Polvo (12/1)
Rest of field:4 – Cybernetic (12/1), 10 – Caros Pyc (15/1), 8 – Furr Love (15/1), 2 – D Winter (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-9-3-7-1
🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-7-1-10-8-4-9-2
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Algo Picks – Algo 3
 
Race 1
Win:4 – Windtapper Win (5/1)
Place:1 – Risky With Whiskey (3/1)
Show:6 – Vicente's Shadow (5/2)
Other contenders:2 – R D C Posse (6/1), 7 – Searchin Safari (6/1)
Rest of field:3 – Awesome Outlaw (6/1), 5 – Hit One Out (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-6-7-3
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-2-4-3-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #6, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2
Win:4 – Texas Holdem (2/1)
Place:2 – That's Something (8/5)
Show:6 – Storms Last (3/1)
Other contenders:3 – Ripster (6/1), 5 – The Last Moxy (15/1)
Rest of field:1 – Flashy Boy Goes (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-6-3-5-1
🎯 Longshots: 2-4-6-5-1-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #6, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3
Win:3 – Cuz Sooner Magic (3/1)
Place:1 – Zoeys Louie V (5/2)
Show:4 – Dtl Ramblin Man (7/5)
Other contenders:5 – Rev It Up Wagon (6/1), 2 – Vegas Secrets (15/1)
Rest of field:6 – Candy Doux (20/1), 7 – Ana Runnin Chaos (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-4-5-7-2
🎯 Longshots: 4-1-3-2-6-7-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4
Win:5 – Capo Sm Chicks (3/1)
Place:2 – Tiptoeing Tulip (7/2)
Show:3 – Isabela Lights (5/2)
Other contenders:4 – Amadeuss (5/1), 6 – Big Country 2 (5/1)
Rest of field:7 – Rare Reina (8/1), 1 – Redd Dirt Runner (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-2-6-4-7
🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-7-6-4-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5
Win:6 – Jc Perseus (7/2)
Place:3 – Looks Executive Mrl (4/1)
Show:8 – El Rubikin (3/1)
Other contenders:7 – Reds A Blaze (6/1), 5 – Ae Forty Five (10/1), 9 – Valiant King (8/1)
Rest of field:4 – Cyber Choo Choo (12/1), 1 – Beauxreguard (12/1), 2 – Fdd Cleatsbabydoll (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-8-7-4-5
🎯 Longshots: 8-6-9-5-2-1-3-4-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #8, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6
Win:10 – C O P Keating (3/1)
Place:4 – Jessies Blue Wagon (7/2)
Show:2 – Squeakies Toy (5/1)
Other contenders:6 – Mrblue Wagon (8/1), 1 – Our Special Shake (8/1), 3 – Reckless Follies (8/1)
Rest of field:8 – Pegasus Bloom (20/1), 9 – Jess Juanita (10/1), 5 – Big Financial Cartel (12/1), 7 – Dashin Mav (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 10-4-2-6-3-8
🎯 Longshots: 10-4-1-6-3-7-9-5-2-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #4, #2, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7
Win:6 – Eye Cue (4/1)
Place:8 – Sheza Violent Eagle (7/2)
Show:4 – Whileubeengone (4/1)
Other contenders:1 – Oh Relentless Go (15/1), 3 – Tempting Seis (5/1), 5 – Kvn Is Coming (12/1)
Rest of field:10 – Runaway Scooter (8/1), 9 – Favorite Baby (15/1), 2 – Averys Marble Queen (12/1), 7 – Coatimundi (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-8-1-3-5
🎯 Longshots: 8-10-4-5-7-9-6-2-1-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #8, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8
Win:5 – Eclipse 2024 (2/1)
Place:6 – Small Townn Hero (3/1)
Show:9 – Uptown Bigg Daddy (5/1)
Other contenders:3 – Mister Willcox (8/1), 7 – Cara Cortada 727 (12/1), 1 – Besame El Polvo (12/1)
Rest of field:4 – Cybernetic (12/1), 10 – Caros Pyc (15/1), 8 – Furr Love (15/1), 2 – D Winter (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-9-3-7-1
🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-7-1-10-8-4-9-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #9, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Kelly Edge Plays
Kelly Edge Plays   (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim)    Morning-line reliability: +0.36 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it)    Weekend sizing: ×0.82 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged)
RaceHorseMLP(win)Edge¼ KellyBet on $ bankroll
75 – Kvn Is Coming12/123.4%+160.3%3.34%$3.34
810 – Caros Pyc15/112.8%+82.3%1.37%$1.37
79 – Favorite Baby15/112.7%+80.8%1.35%$1.35
55 – Ae Forty Five10/111.3%+19.0%0.47%$0.47
TOTAL across 4 plays:6.5%$6.53
Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly.
Index - Horses Running In This Card
AE FORTY FIVEAMADEUSSANA RUNNIN CHAOSAVERYS MARBLE QUEENAWESOME OUTLAW
BESAME EL POLVOBIG COUNTRY 2BIG FINANCIAL CARTELC O P KEATINGCANDY DOUX
CARA CORTADA 727CAROS PYCCOATIMUNDICUZ SOONER MAGICCYBER CHOO CHOO
D WINTERDASHIN MAVDTL RAMBLIN MANECLIPSE 2024EL RUBIKIN
FAVORITE BABYFDD CLEATSBABYDOLLFLASHY BOY GOESFURR LOVEHIT ONE OUT
JC PERSEUSJESS JUANITAJESSIES BLUE WAGONKVN IS COMINGLOOKS EXECUTIVE MRL
MRBLUE WAGONOH RELENTLESS GOOUR SPECIAL SHAKEPEGASUS BLOOMR D C POSSE
RECKLESS FOLLIESREDD DIRT RUNNERREDS A BLAZEREV IT UP WAGONRIPSTER
RUNAWAY SCOOTERSEARCHIN SAFARISHEZA VIOLENT EAGLESMALL TOWNN HEROSQUEAKIES TOY
TEMPTING SEISTEXAS HOLDEMTHAT'S SOMETHINGTHE LAST MOXYTIPTOEING TULIP
VALIANT KINGVEGAS SECRETSVICENTE'S SHADOWWHILEUBEENGONEWINDTAPPER WIN

 


Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback