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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – New Diamond (5/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Princess Azara (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Mariette (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Becky Is Sexy (9/2), 10 – Mitole's Secret (10/1), 6 – Heavenly Lady (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – R Candy (15/1), 7 – Highway Robbery (15/1), 5 – Bougie Like (20/1), 1 – Summer Forever (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-2-4-3-8-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-2-9-3-10-6-7-1-5 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 10 – Crafty Lawyer (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Pigeon Cay (4/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Party Queen (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Lucky And Pretty (7/1), 3 – Elektra King (5/1), 1 – Pivot To The Power (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Independent Streak (6/1), 8 – Thy Name Is Woman (12/1), 9 – Offthe Beaten Path (20/1), 7 – Prettyrunner (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-8-3-10-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-4-1-8-2-6-3-5-9-7 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – Diferencia (3/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Little Value Added (7/2) |
| Show: | 10 – My Lucky Deia (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Sip'n' Speed (8/1), 6 – Black Bety (7/1), 11 – Joys Of Summer (15/1), 13 – Good Enough For Me (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Una Roca (15/1), 12 – Aurora's Music (12/1), 14 – Siljim (12/1), 4 – Brody's Cat (12/1), 8 – Carousing (20/1), 1 – Crystal Water (10/1), 7 – My Daniela (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-10-8-4-12-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-9-12-11-10-5-4-14-1-13-6-8-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Quistmer (7/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Uncle Truly (6/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Breezer (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 12 – Irish Heatwave (10/1), 11 – Vanzzy (4/1), 2 – Tap Em (5/1), 13 – Krug (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Galilee (20/1), 10 – Growth Capital (20/1), 7 – Old Flag (3/1), 8 – Grimes (15/1), 9 – Hope Joe's Right (12/1), 3 – Trap Line (8/1), 14 – Drill's Boy (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-12-1-3-14-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-12-8-9-4-3-6-2-13-11-1-10-14 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Rosie Ann Rules (3/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Maam Cross (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Come A Waltzing (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Echo Vision (9/2), 2 – How Noon Is Now (5/1), 3 – Jacarandosa (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Luna Anna (15/1), 8 – Algebrainthedark (20/1), 5 – Team Chiquita (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-9-2-4-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-1-6-7-4-5-2-8-3 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Big Effect (9/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Tapsolution (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Zaddy (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Smart Coverage (7/2), 2 – Alfie Solomons (12/1), 5 – Beyond The Bend (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Shiva (7/1), 4 – Strawberry Sky (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-4-2-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-1-5-6-2-8-4 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 7 – Larimar (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Flight Control (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Bonita Vida (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Opposite The Crowd (10/1), 6 – Sweet Queen Bee (12/1), 8 – Silver Candice (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Waterworks (9/1), 3 – Palmary (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-4-8-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-1-6-2-8-4-3 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ember (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Leo And Royal (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Gold Buckle (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Braggadocious (12/1), 4 – Tapio (5/1), 2 – King Miano (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Chopped (10/1), 7 – Hapi Hapi (20/1), 3 – Zippy Gizmo (20/1), 9 – Cleveland Power (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-1-7-4-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-10-2-1-8-6-9-4-7-3 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – New Diamond (5/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Mariette (3/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Princess Azara (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Becky Is Sexy (9/2), 10 – Mitole's Secret (10/1), 9 – R Candy (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Heavenly Lady (12/1), 7 – Highway Robbery (15/1), 1 – Summer Forever (20/1), 5 – Bougie Like (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-9-2-3-8-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-2-9-3-10-6-7-1-5 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 4 – Party Queen (15/1) |
| Place: | 10 – Crafty Lawyer (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Pivot To The Power (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Independent Streak (6/1), 2 – Pigeon Cay (4/1), 3 – Elektra King (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Lucky And Pretty (7/1), 8 – Thy Name Is Woman (12/1), 9 – Offthe Beaten Path (20/1), 7 – Prettyrunner (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-2-10-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-4-1-8-2-6-3-5-9-7 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – Diferencia (3/1) |
| Place: | 10 – My Lucky Deia (4/1) |
| Show: | 13 – Good Enough For Me (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Little Value Added (7/2), 8 – Carousing (20/1), 2 – Sip'n' Speed (8/1), 6 – Black Bety (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Brody's Cat (12/1), 1 – Crystal Water (10/1), 12 – Aurora's Music (12/1), 11 – Joys Of Summer (15/1), 5 – Una Roca (15/1), 14 – Siljim (12/1), 7 – My Daniela (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-10-4-12-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-9-12-11-10-5-4-14-1-13-6-8-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Quistmer (7/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Old Flag (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Breezer (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 13 – Krug (5/1), 12 – Irish Heatwave (10/1), 6 – Uncle Truly (6/1), 11 – Vanzzy (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Grimes (15/1), 2 – Tap Em (5/1), 9 – Hope Joe's Right (12/1), 3 – Trap Line (8/1), 10 – Growth Capital (20/1), 1 – Galilee (20/1), 14 – Drill's Boy (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-12-1-3-7-14 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-12-8-9-4-3-6-2-13-11-1-10-14 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 9 – Maam Cross (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Rosie Ann Rules (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Echo Vision (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – How Noon Is Now (5/1), 3 – Jacarandosa (7/1), 6 – Come A Waltzing (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Team Chiquita (20/1), 7 – Luna Anna (15/1), 8 – Algebrainthedark (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-1-4-2-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-1-6-7-4-5-2-8-3 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Big Effect (9/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Tapsolution (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Smart Coverage (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Beyond The Bend (6/1), 6 – Zaddy (5/1), 8 – Shiva (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Alfie Solomons (12/1), 4 – Strawberry Sky (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-8-5-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-1-5-6-2-8-4 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 7 – Larimar (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Flight Control (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Opposite The Crowd (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bonita Vida (7/2), 6 – Sweet Queen Bee (12/1), 8 – Silver Candice (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Waterworks (9/1), 3 – Palmary (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-5-2-4-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-1-6-2-8-4-3 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ember (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Gold Buckle (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – King Miano (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Leo And Royal (7/2), 8 – Chopped (10/1), 10 – Braggadocious (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Tapio (5/1), 9 – Cleveland Power (15/1), 7 – Hapi Hapi (20/1), 3 – Zippy Gizmo (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-1-8-2-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-10-2-1-8-6-9-4-7-3 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 4 – Mariette (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Princess Azara (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – New Diamond (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Becky Is Sexy (9/2), 10 – Mitole's Secret (10/1), 9 – R Candy (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Heavenly Lady (12/1), 7 – Highway Robbery (15/1), 1 – Summer Forever (20/1), 5 – Bougie Like (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-9-8-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-2-9-3-10-6-7-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 4 – Party Queen (15/1) |
| Place: | 10 – Crafty Lawyer (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Pivot To The Power (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Independent Streak (6/1), 2 – Pigeon Cay (4/1), 3 – Elektra King (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Lucky And Pretty (7/1), 8 – Thy Name Is Woman (12/1), 9 – Offthe Beaten Path (20/1), 7 – Prettyrunner (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-2-10-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-4-1-8-2-6-3-5-9-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #10, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 10 – My Lucky Deia (4/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Diferencia (3/1) |
| Show: | 13 – Good Enough For Me (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Little Value Added (7/2), 8 – Carousing (20/1), 2 – Sip'n' Speed (8/1), 6 – Black Bety (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Brody's Cat (12/1), 1 – Crystal Water (10/1), 12 – Aurora's Music (12/1), 11 – Joys Of Summer (15/1), 5 – Una Roca (15/1), 14 – Siljim (12/1), 7 – My Daniela (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-10-4-9-12 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-9-12-11-10-5-4-14-1-13-6-8-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #3, #13, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Quistmer (7/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Old Flag (3/1) |
| Show: | 13 – Krug (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Breezer (9/2), 6 – Uncle Truly (6/1), 11 – Vanzzy (4/1), 12 – Irish Heatwave (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Tap Em (5/1), 8 – Grimes (15/1), 9 – Hope Joe's Right (12/1), 3 – Trap Line (8/1), 10 – Growth Capital (20/1), 1 – Galilee (20/1), 14 – Drill's Boy (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-12-7-3-1-13 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-12-8-9-4-3-6-2-13-11-1-10-14 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #13, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 9 – Maam Cross (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Rosie Ann Rules (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – How Noon Is Now (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Echo Vision (9/2), 3 – Jacarandosa (7/1), 6 – Come A Waltzing (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Team Chiquita (20/1), 7 – Luna Anna (15/1), 8 – Algebrainthedark (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-1-2-4-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-1-6-7-4-5-2-8-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #1, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 7 – Tapsolution (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Big Effect (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Smart Coverage (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Beyond The Bend (6/1), 6 – Zaddy (5/1), 8 – Shiva (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Strawberry Sky (10/1), 2 – Alfie Solomons (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-5-8-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-1-5-6-2-8-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 7 – Larimar (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Flight Control (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Bonita Vida (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Opposite The Crowd (10/1), 6 – Sweet Queen Bee (12/1), 8 – Silver Candice (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Waterworks (9/1), 3 – Palmary (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-6-4-2-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-1-6-2-8-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ember (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Gold Buckle (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – King Miano (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Chopped (10/1), 1 – Leo And Royal (7/2), 10 – Braggadocious (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Tapio (5/1), 9 – Cleveland Power (15/1), 7 – Hapi Hapi (20/1), 3 – Zippy Gizmo (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-2-8-1-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-10-2-1-8-6-9-4-7-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #2, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.35 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.82 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 7 | 3 – Palmary | 20/1 | 41.7% | +600.4% | 5.00% | $5.00 |
| 4 | 8 – Grimes | 15/1 | 23.4% | +213.2% | 3.55% | $3.55 |
| 2 | 8 – Thy Name Is Woman | 12/1 | 23.4% | +158.7% | 3.31% | $3.31 |
| 8 | 10 – Braggadocious | 12/1 | 23.4% | +158.7% | 3.31% | $3.31 |
| 7 | 8 – Silver Candice | 12/1 | 20.5% | +129.1% | 2.69% | $2.69 |
| 4 | 9 – Hope Joe'S Right | 12/1 | 17.3% | +96.4% | 2.01% | $2.01 |
| 2 | 4 – Party Queen | 15/1 | 13.7% | +92.4% | 1.54% | $1.54 |
| 1 | 6 – Heavenly Lady | 12/1 | 16.7% | +90.9% | 1.89% | $1.89 |
| 1 | 10 – Mitole'S Secret | 10/1 | 18.5% | +80.5% | 2.01% | $2.01 |
| 3 | 1 – Crystal Water | 10/1 | 18.5% | +80.5% | 2.01% | $2.01 |
| 6 | 4 – Strawberry Sky | 10/1 | 18.5% | +80.5% | 2.01% | $2.01 |
| 3 | 4 – Brody'S Cat | 12/1 | 14.7% | +70.8% | 1.47% | $1.47 |
| 4 | 12 – Irish Heatwave | 10/1 | 13.8% | +40.0% | 1.00% | $1.00 |
| 3 | 8 – Carousing | 20/1 | 7.0% | +36.9% | 0.46% | $0.46 |
| 5 | 5 – Team Chiquita | 20/1 | 7.0% | +36.9% | 0.46% | $0.46 |
| 8 | 8 – Chopped | 10/1 | 12.7% | +30.9% | 0.77% | $0.77 |
| 7 | 2 – Opposite The Crowd | 10/1 | 12.1% | +25.8% | 0.64% | $0.64 |
| 8 | 9 – Cleveland Power | 15/1 | 7.5% | +15.4% | 0.26% | $0.26 |
| TOTAL across 18 plays: | 34.4% | $34.40 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| ALFIE SOLOMONS | ALGEBRAINTHEDARK | AURORA'S MUSIC | BECKY IS SEXY | BEYOND THE BEND |
| BLACK BETY | BONITA VIDA | BOUGIE LIKE | BRAGGADOCIOUS | BREEZER |
| CAROUSING | CHOPPED | CLEVELAND POWER | COME A WALTZING | CRAFTY LAWYER |
| DIFERENCIA | DRILL'S BOY | ECHO VISION | ELEKTRA KING | EMBER |
| GALILEE | GOLD BUCKLE | GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME | GRIMES | GROWTH CAPITAL |
| HEAVENLY LADY | HIGHWAY ROBBERY | HOPE JOE'S RIGHT | HOW NOON IS NOW | INDEPENDENT STREAK |
| JACARANDOSA | JOYS OF SUMMER | KING MIANO | KRUG | LARIMAR |
| LITTLE VALUE ADDED | LUCKY AND PRETTY | LUNA ANNA | MAAM CROSS | MARIETTE |
| MY DANIELA | MY LUCKY DEIA | NEW DIAMOND | OFFTHE BEATEN PATH | OLD FLAG |
| PALMARY | PARTY QUEEN | PIGEON CAY | PIVOT TO THE POWER | PRETTYRUNNER |
| QUISTMER | R CANDY | ROSIE ANN RULES | SHIVA | SILJIM |
| SIP'N' SPEED | SMART COVERAGE | STRAWBERRY SKY | SUMMER FOREVER | SWEET QUEEN BEE |
| TAPIO | TAPSOLUTION | TEAM CHIQUITA | THY NAME IS WOMAN | TRAP LINE |
| UNCLE TRULY | VANZZY | WATERWORKS | ZADDY | ZIPPY GIZMO |
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