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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Miss Classified (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Wicca Wisdom (7/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Beautiful Mandate (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Candymonium (10/1), 3 – Here Kitty Kitty (10/1), 6 – Blazing Zenna (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Star Ella (6/1), 7 – Tiz Independence (15/1), 8 – Elika (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-7-3-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-5-6-9-3-7-8-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Go West (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – More Love (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Wauhatchie (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Zippin Gigi (9/2), 7 – Liltonytwophones (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Sunset Town (8/1), 4 – Roundball Rock (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-7-4-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-1-7-4-6-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Empire Vybz (9/5) |
| Place: | 6 – The Ace Project (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Idol Gold (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Snitch (8/1), 2 – Cash Daddy (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Flashy Idol (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-1-3-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-6-3-2-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Laketown Elly (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Perfect Date (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Midnight Goddess (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – It's Browns Time (9/2), 4 – Dunn's River (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Mandolin Breeze (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-4-2-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-4-1-6 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Amy's Star (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Kettle Kiss (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Quick Rendezvous (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Boogie Boogee (4/1), 3 – Mobil Memory (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – The Kid's Prayer (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-2-3-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-1-3-6-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – I Wanna Win (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Wetzel (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Sammy's Smile (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Relish The Ride (5/1), 2 – Controller (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Need To Know Basis (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-1-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-1-2-3-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Reign Champagne (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Lamporghini (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Rapido Rosa (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Riobella (7/2), 2 – Explosive Lady (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Mi Bella Genio (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-5-4-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-5-1-3-2 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 8 – Mobil Mission (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Vecchi (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Strike Plate (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Guess Again (8/1), 9 – P J's Boy (8/1), 2 – He Is Dynamic (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Seeking Freedom (5/1), 3 – Smoocher (15/1), 6 – El Mexicano (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-1-8-9-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-8-9-1-7-6-2-3-4 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Miss Classified (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Wicca Wisdom (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Candymonium (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Here Kitty Kitty (10/1), 9 – Beautiful Mandate (9/2), 6 – Blazing Zenna (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Star Ella (6/1), 8 – Elika (20/1), 7 – Tiz Independence (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-5-6-2-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-5-6-9-3-7-8-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – More Love (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Go West (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Wauhatchie (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Zippin Gigi (9/2), 7 – Liltonytwophones (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Sunset Town (8/1), 4 – Roundball Rock (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-7-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-1-7-4-6-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Empire Vybz (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Idol Gold (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Flashy Idol (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – The Ace Project (3/1), 3 – Snitch (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Cash Daddy (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-5-6-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-6-3-2-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – Perfect Date (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Laketown Elly (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Midnight Goddess (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – It's Browns Time (9/2), 4 – Dunn's River (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Mandolin Breeze (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-4-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-4-1-6 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Amy's Star (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Quick Rendezvous (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Kettle Kiss (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Mobil Memory (10/1), 5 – Boogie Boogee (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – The Kid's Prayer (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-2-3-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-1-3-6-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – I Wanna Win (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Sammy's Smile (2/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Wetzel (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Relish The Ride (5/1), 2 – Controller (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Need To Know Basis (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-3-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-1-2-3-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Reign Champagne (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Lamporghini (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Rapido Rosa (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Riobella (7/2), 2 – Explosive Lady (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Mi Bella Genio (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-4-5-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-5-1-3-2 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 8 – Mobil Mission (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Strike Plate (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Vecchi (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Seeking Freedom (5/1), 1 – Guess Again (8/1), 9 – P J's Boy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – El Mexicano (10/1), 2 – He Is Dynamic (12/1), 3 – Smoocher (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-8-1-9-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-8-9-1-7-6-2-3-4 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Miss Classified (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Wicca Wisdom (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Candymonium (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Here Kitty Kitty (10/1), 9 – Beautiful Mandate (9/2), 6 – Blazing Zenna (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Star Ella (6/1), 8 – Elika (20/1), 7 – Tiz Independence (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-5-6-2-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-5-6-9-3-7-8-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – More Love (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Go West (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Wauhatchie (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Zippin Gigi (9/2), 7 – Liltonytwophones (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Sunset Town (8/1), 4 – Roundball Rock (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-7-5-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-1-7-4-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Empire Vybz (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Idol Gold (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Flashy Idol (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – The Ace Project (3/1), 3 – Snitch (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Cash Daddy (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-5-6-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-6-3-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – Perfect Date (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Laketown Elly (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Midnight Goddess (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – It's Browns Time (9/2), 4 – Dunn's River (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Mandolin Breeze (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-4-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-4-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Amy's Star (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Quick Rendezvous (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Kettle Kiss (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Mobil Memory (10/1), 5 – Boogie Boogee (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – The Kid's Prayer (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-2-3-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-1-3-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – I Wanna Win (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Sammy's Smile (2/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Wetzel (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Relish The Ride (5/1), 2 – Controller (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Need To Know Basis (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-3-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-1-2-3-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Reign Champagne (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Lamporghini (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Rapido Rosa (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Riobella (7/2), 2 – Explosive Lady (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Mi Bella Genio (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-4-5-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-5-1-3-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 8 – Mobil Mission (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Vecchi (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Strike Plate (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Seeking Freedom (5/1), 1 – Guess Again (8/1), 9 – P J's Boy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – El Mexicano (10/1), 2 – He Is Dynamic (12/1), 3 – Smoocher (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-8-1-9-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-8-9-1-7-6-2-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #5, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.36 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.95 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 7 | 1 – Mi Bella Genio | 12/1 | 18.1% | +122.3% | 2.55% | $2.55 |
| 1 | 4 – Candymonium | 10/1 | 15.8% | +66.7% | 1.67% | $1.67 |
| 2 | 7 – Liltonytwophones | 10/1 | 15.8% | +66.7% | 1.67% | $1.67 |
| 5 | 3 – Mobil Memory | 10/1 | 14.2% | +51.4% | 1.28% | $1.28 |
| 1 | 3 – Here Kitty Kitty | 10/1 | 14.0% | +48.6% | 1.21% | $1.21 |
| 6 | 3 – Need To Know Basis | 12/1 | 10.6% | +34.7% | 0.72% | $0.72 |
| TOTAL across 6 plays: | 9.1% | $9.10 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| AMY'S STAR | BEAUTIFUL MANDATE | BLAZING ZENNA | BOOGIE BOOGEE | CANDYMONIUM |
| CONTROLLER | DUNN'S RIVER | EL MEXICANO | ELIKA | EMPIRE VYBZ |
| FLASHY IDOL | GO WEST | GUESS AGAIN | HE IS DYNAMIC | HERE KITTY KITTY |
| IDOL GOLD | IT'S BROWNS TIME | KETTLE KISS | LAKETOWN ELLY | LAMPORGHINI |
| MANDOLIN BREEZE | MI BELLA GENIO | MIDNIGHT GODDESS | MISS CLASSIFIED | MOBIL MEMORY |
| MORE LOVE | NEED TO KNOW BASIS | P J'S BOY | PERFECT DATE | QUICK RENDEZVOUS |
| REIGN CHAMPAGNE | RELISH THE RIDE | RIOBELLA | ROUNDBALL ROCK | SAMMY'S SMILE |
| SMOOCHER | SNITCH | STAR ELLA | STRIKE PLATE | SUNSET TOWN |
| THE KID'S PRAYER | TIZ INDEPENDENCE | VECCHI | WAUHATCHIE | WETZEL |
| ZIPPIN GIGI |
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