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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ask Arthur (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Toms Prospector (7/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Gimme A Chance (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Solingo (6/1), 2 – Orphan Sandy (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Stumpy's Love Song (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-6-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-5-4-2-6-3 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – My Lightnin Bolt (15/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Miss Jeopardy (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Miracle Ball (3/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – My Maybelenne (3/1), 5 – Lady Riley (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Rockin Marie (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-6-1-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-1-2-4-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Jomist (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Sound Of Lute (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – King Baldwin (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Shake Til Dawn (6/1), 5 – Selwyn (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Chasin Kobe's Odds (10/1), 7 – Astro Nine (5/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-3-5-6-2-4 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – I Was An Out (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Stella Bella (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Maximum To Excel (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – R N B Baby (9/2), 5 – Lady Captain (12/1), 7 – Platinum Sunrise (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Pickmeupatmidnight (15/1), 1 – Kansas Smoke (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-2-6-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-2-5-3-6-1-7 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 6 – The Wife Found Out (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – She's A Cyclone (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Classic Cash (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Lillabet (7/2), 8 – Ritaville (5/1), 5 – Breathtaking Folly (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – K Dog (15/1), 3 – Lilly Of Prince (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-2-1-8-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-7-1-3-2-8 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 6 – Dial It Down (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Rhyme Away (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Nasty Business (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Enticing Hottie (9/2), 7 – A V From The Logo (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Out Dance Em (15/1), 3 – Smart Effort (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-2-1-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-2-7-3-5-1 | |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 5 – Dreaminonthenile (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Miss Mingo (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Cupids Sweety (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bayleywick (8/1), 1 – Gotta Love Life (4/1), 8 – Peggy Rules (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Ourpeppermintcandy (20/1), 7 – Aprettylulaby (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-2-4-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-8-6-3-2-1-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ask Arthur (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Toms Prospector (7/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Gimme A Chance (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Solingo (6/1), 2 – Orphan Sandy (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Stumpy's Love Song (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-4-3-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-5-4-2-6-3 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 3 – Miss Jeopardy (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Miracle Ball (3/2) |
| Show: | 1 – My Maybelenne (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Lady Riley (6/1), 2 – Rockin Marie (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – My Lightnin Bolt (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-1-5-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-1-2-4-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Jomist (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Sound Of Lute (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – King Baldwin (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Shake Til Dawn (6/1), 5 – Selwyn (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Chasin Kobe's Odds (10/1), 7 – Astro Nine (5/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-3-5-6-2-4 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – I Was An Out (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Stella Bella (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – R N B Baby (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Maximum To Excel (3/1), 7 – Platinum Sunrise (20/1), 5 – Lady Captain (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Kansas Smoke (20/1), 3 – Pickmeupatmidnight (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-2-6-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-2-5-3-6-1-7 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 6 – The Wife Found Out (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – She's A Cyclone (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Lillabet (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Lilly Of Prince (20/1), 2 – Classic Cash (5/1), 8 – Ritaville (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Breathtaking Folly (12/1), 7 – K Dog (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-1-3-2-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-7-1-3-2-8 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 6 – Dial It Down (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Rhyme Away (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Nasty Business (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Enticing Hottie (9/2), 7 – A V From The Logo (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Out Dance Em (15/1), 3 – Smart Effort (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-2-1-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-2-7-3-5-1 | |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 4 – Bayleywick (8/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Dreaminonthenile (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Miss Mingo (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Cupids Sweety (7/2), 1 – Gotta Love Life (4/1), 8 – Peggy Rules (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Ourpeppermintcandy (20/1), 7 – Aprettylulaby (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-6-2-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-8-6-3-2-1-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ask Arthur (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Toms Prospector (7/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Gimme A Chance (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Solingo (6/1), 6 – Stumpy's Love Song (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Orphan Sandy (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-4-3-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-5-4-2-6-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Miracle Ball (3/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Miss Jeopardy (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – My Maybelenne (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Lady Riley (6/1), 2 – Rockin Marie (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – My Lightnin Bolt (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-1-5-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-1-2-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Jomist (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Sound Of Lute (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – King Baldwin (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Shake Til Dawn (6/1), 5 – Selwyn (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Chasin Kobe's Odds (10/1), 7 – Astro Nine (5/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-3-5-6-2-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – I Was An Out (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Stella Bella (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – R N B Baby (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Maximum To Excel (3/1), 7 – Platinum Sunrise (20/1), 5 – Lady Captain (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Kansas Smoke (20/1), 3 – Pickmeupatmidnight (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-2-6-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-2-5-3-6-1-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 6 – The Wife Found Out (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – She's A Cyclone (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Lillabet (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Lilly Of Prince (20/1), 2 – Classic Cash (5/1), 8 – Ritaville (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Breathtaking Folly (12/1), 7 – K Dog (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-1-3-2-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-7-1-3-2-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 6 – Dial It Down (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Rhyme Away (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Nasty Business (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Enticing Hottie (9/2), 7 – A V From The Logo (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Out Dance Em (15/1), 3 – Smart Effort (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-2-1-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-2-7-3-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 4 – Bayleywick (8/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Dreaminonthenile (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Miss Mingo (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Gotta Love Life (4/1), 2 – Cupids Sweety (7/2), 8 – Peggy Rules (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Ourpeppermintcandy (20/1), 7 – Aprettylulaby (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-6-1-2-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-8-6-3-2-1-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.34 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.88 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 7 | 7 – Platinum Sunrise | 20/1 | 28.0% | +394.8% | 4.93% | $4.93 |
| 10 | 7 – Aprettylulaby | 20/1 | 28.0% | +394.8% | 4.93% | $4.93 |
| 9 | 7 – A V From The Logo | 10/1 | 14.2% | +45.2% | 1.13% | $1.13 |
| TOTAL across 3 plays: | 11.0% | $11.00 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| A V FROM THE LOGO | AB BOOGIE | AJS FAVORITE IA | APRETTYLULABY | ASK ARTHUR |
| BAYLEYWICK | BREATHTAKING FOLLY | CALL A RUNAWAY | CARTEL SPECIAL STORM | CHASIN KOBE'S ODDS |
| CLASSIC CASH | COWBOY 123 | CUPIDS SWEETY | CYBER SEIS | DIAL IT DOWN |
| ENTICING HOTTIE | FOLLIES FAVORITE | GIMME A CHANCE | GOTTA LOVE LIFE | I WAS AN OUT |
| IMMA SOUTHERN BELL | JEFRIS FLY N COWGIRL | JESS A LAST CHANCE | JOMIST | K DOG |
| KING BALDWIN | LADY CAPTAIN | LADY RILEY | LETT HER FLY | LILLABET |
| MAXIMUM TO EXCEL | MIRACLE BALL | MISS JEOPARDY | MISS MINGO | MUDDY MAN |
| MY MAYBELENNE | NASTY BUSINESS | OFFICER SMITH | ORPHAN SANDY | OURPEPPERMINTCANDY |
| PEGGY RULES | PICKMEUPATMIDNIGHT | PLATINUM SUNRISE | POETRY MANN | PRIZE FLYTER |
| RELENTLESS ECLIPSE | RHYME AWAY | RITAVILLE | ROCKIN MARIE | ROYAL CANDY KING |
| SHAKE TIL DAWN | SHE'S A CYCLONE | SHESAFAVORITECOWGIRL | SMART EFFORT | SOLINGO |
| STELLA BELLA | STUMPY'S LOVE SONG | SWEET LIL HERO | TAKIN TOO LONG | TETOS TRES BOOGIE |
| TOMS PROSPECTOR | TS FIRE 123 | VF WHEELY FOOSED | WHY SO POLITICAL |
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