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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Passioned (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Olazabal (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Expensive Cut (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Rhymes Like Dimes (6/1), 5 – Sagamore Mischief (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Whiskey Frens (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-3-4-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-3-5-2-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Hamilton's Reason (1/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Im Gunna (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Runaway Roscoe (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Chicago Charlie (5/1), 5 – Solo Flight (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Last Vintage (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-4-3-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-2-6-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – Lollipops (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Ring Of The Rise (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Jessica's Ride (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Pencima (5/1), 3 – Jay's Love (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Bounty Killah (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-1-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-1-3-4-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Emerald Forest (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Sutton Breeze (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Coin Jar (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Nutsie (9/2), 5 – Fighter Kite (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Newport Bridge (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-1-2-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-2-6-1-5 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Gramma G G (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Kozy Bee (8/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Taparoo (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Alacrity (20/1), 5 – Tremendous Bee (5/2), 6 – Ty Ty Rose (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Klum (6/1), 8 – Roses At Noon (20/1), 9 – Ezra's Jet (20/1), 10 – Lookie Here (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-6-5-1-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-3-6-9-10-4-7-8 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 2 – Pompous Prince (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Scocciatore (9/2) |
| Show: | 6 – East Coast Girl (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Squire Creek (5/1), 7 – Canyouhearmerunnin (10/1), 5 – Classic Cut (12/1), 9 – Crypto Causeway (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Puckish (12/1), 4 – Without Pretence (20/1), 11 – Capt Jax Parrow (20/1), 10 – Tacony Road (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-7-5-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-3-5-9-6-1-8-4-11-10 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – Top Of The Table (7/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Inouaintalkintome (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Tale Of The Tail (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Follow Your Arrow (6/1), 1 – Princess Cairo (8/1), 2 – Beauty's Bangle (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Bayou Melody (8/1), 7 – My Sweet Adaline (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-3-1-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-4-8-7-3-5-2 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Asleep At Eight (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Price Is Truth (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Not For Hire (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Stevie Wonderful (5/1), 6 – Muscle Shoals (10/1), 1 – Cast A Coin (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Vino's Valentine (6/1), 8 – Kismeholdmethrlme (12/1), 3 – God's Angel (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-7-9-8-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-8-1-2-5-9-7-3 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 8 – Bargain Purchase (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Concrete Kid (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Le Midi's Treasure (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Romantic Charmer (8/1), 5 – Wingo Starr (10/1), 6 – Baracudabobbi (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Darby Dreams (8/1), 1 – Kealybug (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-3-2-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-8-4-2-5-7-6-1 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Olazabal (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Expensive Cut (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Passioned (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Sagamore Mischief (7/2), 2 – Rhymes Like Dimes (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Whiskey Frens (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-3-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-3-5-2-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Hamilton's Reason (1/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Im Gunna (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Runaway Roscoe (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Chicago Charlie (5/1), 5 – Solo Flight (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Last Vintage (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-1-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-2-6-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – Lollipops (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Jessica's Ride (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Ring Of The Rise (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Jay's Love (8/1), 5 – Pencima (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Bounty Killah (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-1-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-1-3-4-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – Sutton Breeze (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Emerald Forest (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Coin Jar (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Fighter Kite (6/1), 6 – Newport Bridge (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Nutsie (9/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-2-6-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-2-6-1-5 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Gramma G G (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Kozy Bee (8/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Taparoo (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Alacrity (20/1), 5 – Tremendous Bee (5/2), 6 – Ty Ty Rose (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Klum (6/1), 8 – Roses At Noon (20/1), 9 – Ezra's Jet (20/1), 10 – Lookie Here (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-6-5-1-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-3-6-9-10-4-7-8 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 2 – Pompous Prince (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Scocciatore (9/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Squire Creek (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – East Coast Girl (7/2), 7 – Canyouhearmerunnin (10/1), 5 – Classic Cut (12/1), 9 – Crypto Causeway (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Puckish (12/1), 4 – Without Pretence (20/1), 11 – Capt Jax Parrow (20/1), 10 – Tacony Road (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-8-7-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-3-5-9-6-1-8-4-11-10 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – Top Of The Table (7/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Inouaintalkintome (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Tale Of The Tail (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Follow Your Arrow (6/1), 1 – Princess Cairo (8/1), 2 – Beauty's Bangle (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Bayou Melody (8/1), 7 – My Sweet Adaline (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-3-5-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-4-8-7-3-5-2 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Asleep At Eight (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Not For Hire (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Price Is Truth (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Cast A Coin (10/1), 6 – Muscle Shoals (10/1), 7 – Stevie Wonderful (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Vino's Valentine (6/1), 8 – Kismeholdmethrlme (12/1), 3 – God's Angel (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-7-9-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-8-1-2-5-9-7-3 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 8 – Bargain Purchase (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Concrete Kid (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Le Midi's Treasure (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Romantic Charmer (8/1), 6 – Baracudabobbi (6/1), 7 – Darby Dreams (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Wingo Starr (10/1), 1 – Kealybug (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-2-4-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-8-4-2-5-7-6-1 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Olazabal (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Expensive Cut (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Passioned (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Sagamore Mischief (7/2), 2 – Rhymes Like Dimes (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Whiskey Frens (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-3-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-3-5-2-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Hamilton's Reason (1/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Runaway Roscoe (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Im Gunna (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Chicago Charlie (5/1), 5 – Solo Flight (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Last Vintage (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-1-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-2-6-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – Lollipops (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Jessica's Ride (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Ring Of The Rise (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Jay's Love (8/1), 5 – Pencima (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Bounty Killah (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-1-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-1-3-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) ⭐ Best Bet race | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – Sutton Breeze (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Emerald Forest (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Coin Jar (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Fighter Kite (6/1), 6 – Newport Bridge (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Nutsie (9/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-2-6-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-2-6-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Gramma G G (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Kozy Bee (8/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Taparoo (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Alacrity (20/1), 5 – Tremendous Bee (5/2), 6 – Ty Ty Rose (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Klum (6/1), 8 – Roses At Noon (20/1), 9 – Ezra's Jet (20/1), 10 – Lookie Here (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-6-5-1-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-3-6-9-10-4-7-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 2 – Pompous Prince (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Scocciatore (9/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Squire Creek (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – East Coast Girl (7/2), 7 – Canyouhearmerunnin (10/1), 5 – Classic Cut (12/1), 9 – Crypto Causeway (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Puckish (12/1), 4 – Without Pretence (20/1), 11 – Capt Jax Parrow (20/1), 10 – Tacony Road (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-8-7-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-3-5-9-6-1-8-4-11-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #8, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – Top Of The Table (7/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Inouaintalkintome (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Tale Of The Tail (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Follow Your Arrow (6/1), 1 – Princess Cairo (8/1), 2 – Beauty's Bangle (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Bayou Melody (8/1), 7 – My Sweet Adaline (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-3-5-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-4-8-7-3-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Asleep At Eight (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Not For Hire (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Price Is Truth (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Cast A Coin (10/1), 7 – Stevie Wonderful (5/1), 6 – Muscle Shoals (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Vino's Valentine (6/1), 8 – Kismeholdmethrlme (12/1), 3 – God's Angel (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-7-9-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-8-1-2-5-9-7-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 8 – Bargain Purchase (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Concrete Kid (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Le Midi's Treasure (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Romantic Charmer (8/1), 6 – Baracudabobbi (6/1), 7 – Darby Dreams (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Wingo Starr (10/1), 1 – Kealybug (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-2-4-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-8-4-2-5-7-6-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · playable | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.39 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.95 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 1 | 4 – Whiskey Frens | 20/1 | 21.4% | +345.5% | 4.32% | $4.32 |
| 5 | 1 – Gramma G G | 10/1 | 17.4% | +90.8% | 2.27% | $2.27 |
| 6 | 7 – Canyouhearmerunnin | 10/1 | 17.4% | +90.8% | 2.27% | $2.27 |
| 8 | 1 – Cast A Coin | 10/1 | 17.4% | +90.8% | 2.27% | $2.27 |
| 3 | 4 – Bounty Killah | 12/1 | 8.8% | +13.6% | 0.28% | $0.28 |
| TOTAL across 5 plays: | 11.4% | $11.42 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| ALACRITY | ASLEEP AT EIGHT | BARACUDABOBBI | BARGAIN PURCHASE | BAYOU MELODY |
| BOUNTY KILLAH | CANYOUHEARMERUNNIN | CAPT JAX PARROW | CAST A COIN | CHICAGO CHARLIE |
| COIN JAR | CONCRETE KID | CRYPTO CAUSEWAY | DARBY DREAMS | EAST COAST GIRL |
| EXPENSIVE CUT | EZRA'S JET | FIGHTER KITE | FOLLOW YOUR ARROW | GOD'S ANGEL |
| HAMILTON'S REASON | IM GUNNA | INOUAINTALKINTOME | JAY'S LOVE | JESSICA'S RIDE |
| KISMEHOLDMETHRLME | KLUM | KOZY BEE | LAST VINTAGE | LE MIDI'S TREASURE |
| LOOKIE HERE | MUSCLE SHOALS | MY SWEET ADALINE | NEWPORT BRIDGE | NOT FOR HIRE |
| OLAZABAL | PASSIONED | PENCIMA | POMPOUS PRINCE | PRICE IS TRUTH |
| PUCKISH | RHYMES LIKE DIMES | RING OF THE RISE | ROMANTIC CHARMER | ROSES AT NOON |
| SAGAMORE MISCHIEF | SCOCCIATORE | SOLO FLIGHT | SQUIRE CREEK | STEVIE WONDERFUL |
| TACONY ROAD | TALE OF THE TAIL | TAPAROO | TOP OF THE TABLE | TREMENDOUS BEE |
| VINO'S VALENTINE | WHISKEY FRENS | WINGO STARR | WITHOUT PRETENCE |
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