Delta Downs – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News, Analysis, Expert Picks, and AI Predictions for November 14, 2025

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Delta Downs presents a competitive nine-race card on Friday, November 14, 2025, with first post at 4:45 PM CST. The card features a mix of claiming races, allowance conditions, and a Louisiana-bred maiden special weight race for two-year-olds. Total purses reach approximately $278,000, with the featured Race 2 Louisiana-bred allowance offering $46,000 to connections.​

The program showcases Louisiana-bred racing prominently with several restricted allowance conditions in Races 2, 3, 5, and 7. Claiming prices range from $5,000 in the opening and fourth races up to optional $30,000 claiming in Race 8. Field sizes vary from six runners in Race 2 to twelve runners in Races 1 and 3, providing handicapping opportunities across different race shapes.​

Track changes show Dirty Deal in Race 3 making his first start since being reported as a gelding, which could impact his performance and betting value.​

Weather and Track Conditions

Current conditions at Delta Downs show fair weather with temperatures around 68 degrees Fahrenheit and 79 percent humidity. Winds are from the southeast at 6 mph. The dirt track is listed as fast, which should favor early speed and frontrunners throughout the card.​

The fast track condition combined with mild temperatures creates ideal racing conditions without weather-related complications. Expect the track to maintain its speed-favoring characteristics throughout the evening program with no precipitation forecast.​

Delta Downs features a tight six-furlong dirt oval that heavily favors early speed, especially in sprint races. The relatively short stretch run has historically produced numerous wire-to-wire winners, particularly prominent during the current racing season. This bias is especially significant in races at five furlongs and six and one-half furlongs.​

Inside posts 1-3 show measurable advantages at this configuration, with post position 6 also demonstrating profitability for handicappers. Posts 4, 5, and 7 historically produce lower winner percentages. The tight layout requires horses to establish position quickly, making gate work and early speed critical factors in handicapping.​

Recent statistics indicate the average field size is nine runners, which creates manageable but competitive races. For route races at one mile, mid-to-outside posts show slight advantages due to positioning opportunities on the turn.​

1st Race – Delta Downs – Friday, November 14th, 2025

Post Time: 4:45 PM CST

Claiming $5,000. Five Furlongs Dirt. Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and Upward Which Have Never Won Three Races. Purse $13,500.

Pace Analysis

This twelve-horse claiming sprint sets up as a contested pace scenario with multiple early speed types. Destiny’s Grace from post 4 shows fast lead tendencies and figures to gun for the early advantage. Wings of a Sparrow from post 2 also profiles as a mid-pack leader type who will be forwardly placed. Takeittothehouse from post 3 has shown the ability to press the pace, creating a three-horse speed duel likely through the opening quarter.​

The contested early fractions should set up closing opportunities for mid-pack runners and late closers. Saucy Gem from post 10 and Too Spicy from post 6 both show mid-pack closer running styles that could benefit from the expected pace meltdown. With the tight Delta Downs configuration favoring speed, horses pressing the pace from inside posts have an edge.​

Key Contenders

Destiny’s Grace from post 4 emerges as a logical contender despite the 7-2 morning line odds. This six-year-old mare for trainer Juan Larrosa shows a 13 percent win rate with 53 percent in-the-money finishes from 15 career starts. She demonstrates fast lead capabilities and has performed well at the five-furlong distance at Delta Downs, finishing second in 2 of 10 starts at the trip. Juan Vargas takes the mount, and the mare’s tactical speed fits the track bias perfectly.​

Wings of a Sparrow draws post 2 at 5-1 morning line odds for trainer Miguel Garcia. This three-year-old filly has won 2 of 12 career starts with a 17 percent win rate and 42 percent in-the-money percentage. Timothy Thornton rides with strong statistics showing 23 percent wins and 51 percent in-the-money from 133 starts. The filly shows mid-pack leader tendencies and should secure good position from the inside post.​

Takeittothehouse from post 3 represents another threat as a three-year-old filly with demonstrated ability at the distance. Vicente Del-Cid rides for trainer Eduardo Ramirez, and the filly has shown the ability to press the pace early. The inside post provides a positional advantage on the tight Delta Downs oval.​

Secondary Choices

Sissue from post 1 offers value at 20-1 morning line odds despite drawing the rail. Kevin Roman rides for trainer Tim Dixon, and this four-year-old filly has won 4 of 29 career starts. She shows mid-pack to deep closing tendencies, and if the pace collapses, she could pick up pieces at a price. The rail post is historically advantageous at Delta Downs.​

Saint Isabel from post 8 merits consideration as a stablemate to Sissue under trainer Tim Dixon. Jarred Journet takes the assignment on this four-year-old filly. Mid-pack positioning could work if the pace becomes suicidal up front.​

Longshots

Too Spicy from post 6 at 15-1 morning line represents an interesting longshot play. This three-year-old filly for trainer Emile Schwandt has won 2 of 9 career starts with a 22 percent win rate. Chris Rosier rides, and the mid-pack closer running style could benefit from pace collapse. Post 6 shows historical profitability at Delta Downs.​

Nownowdancer from post 12 offers extreme value despite the outside post. This six-year-old mare shows slow lead tendencies and has hit the board in 13 of 24 career starts. At 15-1 odds with a demonstrated ability to finish in the money, she provides exotic play value if used underneath in exactas and trifectas.​

Betting Strategy

The race sets up for an exacta box using Destiny’s Grace, Wings of a Sparrow, and Takeittothehouse, capitalizing on the likely pace scenario. A trifecta using those three on top with Sissue and Too Spicy underneath provides coverage if the pace collapses.​

For straight wagering, Destiny’s Grace represents the win play based on tactical speed, favorable post position, and proven ability at the distance. Wings of a Sparrow offers place and show value with Timothy Thornton riding at strong percentages.​

Selections

Win: Destiny’s Grace

Place: Wings of a Sparrow

Show: Takeittothehouse

2nd Race – Delta Downs – Friday, November 14th, 2025

Post Time: 5:15 PM CST

Allowance. One Mile Dirt. Louisiana-bred Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and Upward. Purse $46,000.

Pace Analysis

This six-horse Louisiana-bred allowance route race appears relatively modest on early pace pressure. With only six runners at one mile, the pace should be manageable, allowing frontrunners and stalkers to maintain position without excessive early energy expenditure. The route distance favors horses with proven stamina at a mile or longer.​

Ground Control and Rusty’s Sunrise both show capabilities to secure forward position early. Miss Dealority from post 2 could press from just off the pace. The lack of pure speed types suggests a tactical race where positioning on the first turn becomes critical. Mid-to-outside posts show slight advantages in Delta Downs route races.​

Key Contenders

Warrior’s Justice from post 4 emerges as the featured contender in this Louisiana-bred allowance. This three-year-old filly for trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez draws CJ McMahon as rider. The weight allowance for three-year-olds provides a significant edge carrying 118 pounds against older rivals at 120 pounds. Her ability to compete in this restricted condition suggests class advantage.​

Ground Control from post 3 represents a live threat for trainer Antonio Alberto. This four-year-old filly carries 120 pounds with Jansen Melancon riding. The middle post position provides tactical options on the first turn, and the filly can adapt to the pace scenario. Melancon’s positioning skills become crucial in this small field.​

Island Gold from post 6 completes the top tier from the rail-less outside post. Carlos Perez rides for trainer Juan Larrosa, and the outside post in route races at Delta Downs shows historical profitability. The filly can rate off the pace and make one sustained run, which fits the expected race shape.​

Secondary Choices

Rusty’s Sunrise from the rail draws Joel Dominguez for trainer Isai Gonzalez. The inside post in routes requires skilled navigation, but Dominguez brings tactical experience. This four-year-old filly will attempt to secure early position without expending too much energy.​

Miss Dealority from post 2 for trainer Alan Klanfer represents a live threat with Vicente Del-Cid aboard. This five-year-old mare can press the pace from the favorable second post and has the tactical speed to stay involved throughout.​

Betting Strategy

The small field creates challenges for exotic wagering but also reduces variance. A simple exacta box using Warrior’s Justice, Ground Control, and Island Gold provides solid coverage. The trifecta becomes more cost-effective with only six runners, allowing for inclusion of Rusty’s Sunrise and Miss Dealority underneath.​

Warrior’s Justice represents the prime win bet based on the three-year-old weight allowance and class advantage in the restricted condition. The 4-1 morning line odds from the handicapper suggests value remains available.​

Selections

Win: Warrior’s Justice

Place: Ground Control

Show: Island Gold

3rd Race – Delta Downs – Friday, November 14th, 2025

Post Time: 5:43 PM CST

Maiden Special Weight. Six and One-Half Furlongs Dirt. Louisiana-bred Two-Year-Olds. Purse $43,000.

Pace Analysis

This twelve-horse Louisiana-bred juvenile maiden special weight presents multiple pace angles with several first-time starters whose running styles remain unknown. The six and one-half furlong distance provides enough real estate for early speed to potentially hold against closers, especially given Delta Downs’ speed-favoring configuration.​

Horses with previous racing experience hold significant advantages over first-time starters in understanding gate breaks and race dynamics. The preference given to horses that have not started for less than $20,000 in their last three starts ensures competitive quality throughout the field.​

Key Contenders

Based on available information, horses with previous experience at Delta Downs or other tracks show advantages over first-time starters. Minimus Maximus from post 1 draws Kevin Roman for trainer Ronnie Ward. The rail post provides positional advantage on the tight oval, crucial for juveniles still learning race dynamics.​

He’s Exaggerating from post 2 represents trainer Allen Landry with Jansen Melancon riding. The inside post allows the gelding to secure position while learning race tactics. Melancon brings experience with two-year-olds and can navigate the tight turns effectively.​

Money Drop from post 3 completes the inside trio with Jarred Journet aboard for trainer Dane Noel. The favorable post position and experienced rider combination provides tactical advantages in this competitive maiden field.​

Secondary Choices

Scar Ship from post 6 draws Vicente Del-Cid for trainer Ricky Courville. Del-Cid shows strong statistics throughout the card and brings tactical expertise for juvenile runners. Post 6 demonstrates historical profitability at Delta Downs.​

Lee Street from post 7 represents another Ronnie Ward trainee with Carlos Perez riding. Ward entering two in the race suggests stable confidence, and Perez brings solid riding percentages to the assignment.​

Longshots

Dirty Deal from post 10 makes his first start since being reported as a gelding, which often improves performance and focus in young horses. Timothy Thornton rides for trainer Carrol Castille. The gelding operation combined with Thornton’s strong riding statistics creates upset potential at a price.​

Gary P from post 8 represents trainer Jorge Lara with Alexander Castillo aboard. The middle post position provides options, and first-time starters occasionally surprise at large odds in maiden races.​

Betting Strategy

The large field with multiple unknowns suggests spreading tickets across several combinations. Focus on horses with inside posts 1-3 and post 6, which show historical advantages. An exacta box using the top three inside runners provides solid coverage. Expand the trifecta to include Scar Ship and Dirty Deal for longshot value.​

Straight wagering becomes challenging with limited form information. Consider small win bets on Minimus Maximus and He’s Exaggerating based on favorable post positions and experienced rider assignments.​

Selections

Win: Minimus Maximus

Place: He’s Exaggerating

Show: Money Drop

4th Race – Delta Downs – Friday, November 14th, 2025

Post Time: 6:11 PM CST

Claiming $5,000. One Mile Dirt. Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and Upward Which Have Never Won Four Races. Purse $14,500.

Pace Analysis

This seven-horse claiming route race presents moderate early pace pressure with several horses capable of securing forward position. The one-mile distance requires strategic pace management, and the claiming level suggests horses with varying abilities and soundness issues.​

Perceptive from post 1 and Foreign Tourist from post 6 both show capabilities to press early. The route distance at Delta Downs allows for tactical racing with mid-to-outside posts showing slight advantages on the turns. With seven runners, horses breaking from the middle of the pack can navigate to favorable position without excessive energy expenditure.​

Key Contenders

Perceptive from the rail represents a logical choice for trainer Mark Hibdon despite potential scratches noted in recent racing changes. Elvin Gonzalez takes the assignment on this five-year-old mare showing experience at the distance. The rail post in routes requires tactical skill but provides the shortest trip around both turns.​

Foreign Tourist from post 6 draws Julio Ramirez Jr. for trainer Rosa Ramirez. This four-year-old filly carries 120 pounds and benefits from the historically profitable post 6 position at Delta Downs. The mare can secure good position from the outside and make one sustained run.​

Kerrigan’s Touch from post 5 for trainer Donald Bruno represents another threat with Joel Dominguez riding. This four-year-old filly shows consistent form and benefits from Dominguez’s strong riding percentages throughout the card.​

Secondary Choices

Miss Target from post 3 draws Timothy Thornton for trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez. This six-year-old mare benefits from the weight allowance and Thornton’s tactical expertise. The middle post provides options for rating behind the pace.​

Beulah K from post 4 represents trainer Eric Nelson Jr. with Jarred Journet aboard. The mare can adapt to various pace scenarios from the middle post position.​

Betting Strategy

The small seven-horse field suggests focusing on exacta and trifecta combinations using the top four contenders. Box Perceptive, Foreign Tourist, and Kerrigan’s Touch in exactas. Expand trifectas to include Miss Target for additional coverage.​

Foreign Tourist represents the best win play based on favorable post position and proven ability at the claiming level. The post 6 advantage at Delta Downs creates value at potential odds.​

Selections

Win: Foreign Tourist

Place: Perceptive

Show: Kerrigan’s Touch

5th Race – Delta Downs – Friday, November 14th, 2025

Post Time: 6:39 PM CST

Allowance. Seven Furlongs Dirt. Louisiana-bred Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and Upward. Purse $44,000.

Pace Analysis

This eight-horse Louisiana-bred allowance sprint presents moderate pace pressure with several fillies capable of securing forward position. The seven-furlong distance at Delta Downs favors horses with tactical speed who can secure position through the first turn and maintain it through the stretch.​

New Destiny and Lightening Mo both show capabilities to press early from their respective posts. The pace should be manageable enough to allow frontrunners to maintain their advantage through the stretch, especially given Delta Downs’ speed-favoring track bias.​

Key Contenders

Lightening Mo from post 4 emerges as a primary contender for trainer Eric Nelson Jr. This five-year-old mare draws Joel Dominguez, who shows strong riding statistics throughout the card. The middle post position provides tactical flexibility to secure position through the first turn without expending excessive energy. The mare carries 120 pounds and has proven ability in allowance company.​

Runtolive from post 7 represents trainer Juan Larrosa with Juan Vargas aboard. This four-year-old filly carries 120 pounds and benefits from the outside post position in this sprint distance. The mare can rate off the pace and make one sustained run through the stretch. Vargas brings tactical experience to navigate the tight Delta Downs turns.​

Swamp Queen from post 3 completes the top tier for trainer Brett Brinkman. Vicente Del-Cid rides this three-year-old filly carrying 118 pounds with the weight allowance. The inside post provides positional advantage, and Del-Cid’s strong riding percentages create confidence in tactical execution.​

Secondary Choices

Lassie Bee from the rail draws Carlos Perez for trainer Ronnie Ward. This four-year-old filly carries 120 pounds and attempts to secure early position from the rail. Perez must navigate the tight turns without getting shuffled back early.​

New Destiny from post 5 represents trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez with Timothy Thornton riding. This five-year-old mare carries 120 pounds and shows the ability to press the pace. Thornton’s tactical skills become crucial from the middle post.​

Longshots

Basile from post 2 offers potential value for trainer Ismael Solis-Guevara. Elvin Gonzalez rides this three-year-old filly carrying 118 pounds with the weight allowance. The filly benefits from the favorable inside post and weight concession, creating upset potential if the pace collapses.​

Glistening Gal from post 6 represents trainer Patricia West with Emanuel Nieves aboard. This three-year-old filly also benefits from the 118-pound weight allowance and the historically profitable post 6 position at Delta Downs.​

Betting Strategy

Focus exacta combinations on Lightening Mo, Runtolive, and Swamp Queen, capitalizing on their favorable post positions and proven ability. Expand trifectas to include Lassie Bee and New Destiny for additional coverage of the pace scenario.​

Lightening Mo represents the best win play based on Joel Dominguez’s strong riding statistics, favorable post position, and proven ability in allowance company. The mare should secure good position and maintain it through the stretch.​

Selections

Win: Lightening Mo

Place: Runtolive

Show: Swamp Queen

6th Race – Delta Downs – Friday, November 14th, 2025

Post Time: 7:04 PM CST

Allowance. Seven Furlongs Dirt. Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and Upward Which Have Never Won Two Races. Purse $36,000.

Pace Analysis

This ten-horse allowance sprint for fillies and mares with limited winning experience presents multiple pace angles. The seven-furlong distance at Delta Downs creates opportunities for both speed and closing types, though the track bias continues favoring those with tactical speed.​

Walkinaftermidnite from post 10 shows capabilities to secure forward position despite the outside post. Signora Vittoria from post 2 also profiles as a pace factor. The contested early pace could set up closing opportunities for mid-pack runners coming from the inside posts.​

Key Contenders

Signora Vittoria from post 2 emerges as the featured contender for trainer Robertino Diodoro. Jansen Melancon rides this four-year-old filly carrying 120 pounds. Diodoro brings a strong training operation to Delta Downs, and Melancon’s tactical riding skills fit the race scenario. The favorable inside post provides positional advantage through the turns.​

Everloving from post 4 represents trainer Thomas Amoss with Vicente Del-Cid riding. This three-year-old filly carries 118 pounds with the weight allowance, creating a competitive edge against older rivals. Del-Cid’s strong riding statistics throughout the card create confidence, and the middle post provides tactical options.​

Walkinaftermidnite from post 10 completes the top tier for trainer Brett Brinkman. Thomas Pompell rides this three-year-old filly carrying 122 pounds despite the weight disadvantage. The outside post in seven-furlong sprints requires strategic positioning, but Brinkman’s training operation shows consistency throughout the meet.​

Secondary Choices

Miss Leona from post 6 draws Carlos Perez for trainer Nicholas Latour. This four-year-old filly carries 120 pounds and benefits from the historically profitable post 6 position at Delta Downs. Perez brings solid riding percentages and can adapt to various pace scenarios.​

Graceful Star from post 5 represents trainer Hance Robbins Jr. with Timothy Thornton aboard. This three-year-old filly carries 115 pounds with weight allowances and shows slow lead tendencies that could benefit if the pace becomes contested. Thornton rides at 33 percent win rate from available statistics.​

Longshots

Gimme It All from post 3 offers value at 15-1 morning line odds. This three-year-old filly for trainer J. Luis Garcia has won 1 of 5 career starts with a 20 percent win rate. Juan Vargas rides, and the filly shows slower stalker tendencies that could benefit from pace collapse. The inside post provides positional advantage.​

Easy for Me from post 7 represents trainer Jayde Gelner with Elvin Gonzalez riding. This three-year-old filly carries 118 pounds with the weight allowance and could provide exotic value from the middle of the pack.​

Betting Strategy

The competitive ten-horse field requires broader coverage in exotic wagers. Focus exacta boxes on Signora Vittoria, Everloving, and Walkinaftermidnite. Expand trifectas to include Miss Leona and Graceful Star for coverage of different pace scenarios.​

Signora Vittoria represents the best win play based on Robertino Diodoro’s training operation, Jansen Melancon’s riding ability, and the favorable post 2 position. The filly should secure good tactical position and maintain it through the stretch.​

Selections

Win: Signora Vittoria

Place: Everloving

Show: Walkinaftermidnite

7th Race – Delta Downs – Friday, November 14th, 2025

Post Time: 7:32 PM CST

Claiming $5,000. Six and One-Half Furlongs Dirt. Louisiana-bred Three Year Olds and Upward. Purse $17,000.

Pace Analysis

This eight-horse Louisiana-bred claiming sprint presents moderate early pace pressure. The six and one-half furlong distance at Delta Downs favors horses with tactical speed who can secure position through the first turn. Several geldings in the field bring consistency and experience to the claiming level.​

Game and Gormley from post 5 and Big Tap Baby from post 6 both show capabilities to press early. The pace should be manageable enough to allow frontrunners to maintain position through the stretch, though closers could benefit if the early fractions become contested.​

Key Contenders

Game and Gormley from post 5 emerges as a logical contender for trainer Juan Larrosa. Vicente Del-Cid rides this four-year-old gelding carrying 120 pounds. Del-Cid’s strong riding statistics throughout the card create confidence, and the middle post position provides tactical flexibility. Larrosa’s training operation shows consistency at the Delta Downs meet.​

Dewclaw from the rail represents trainer Benjamin Zeno with Carlos Perez riding. This three-year-old colt carries 122 pounds but benefits from the rail post advantage at Delta Downs. The inside position provides the shortest trip, crucial in claiming sprints where margins are tight.​

Big Tap Baby from post 6 completes the top tier for trainer Jonathan Wong. Isaac Castillo rides this five-year-old gelding carrying 122 pounds. The historically profitable post 6 position at Delta Downs creates value, and the gelding shows consistent form at the claiming level.​

Secondary Choices

Native Star from post 2 draws Edward Santiago for trainer Scott Gelner. This five-year-old gelding carries 120 pounds with weight allowances and benefits from the favorable inside post position.​

The Thimble from post 3 represents trainer Shelton Zenon Sr. with Julio Ramirez Jr. aboard. This seven-year-old gelding carries 120 pounds and brings extensive experience to the claiming ranks. Track changes show this horse as also-eligible in previous races, suggesting connections are seeking the right spot.​

Longshots

Pitch and Run from post 8 offers potential value for trainer Henry Ray Dunn. Jamison Mudd rides this six-year-old gelding carrying 115 pounds with weight allowances. The outside post requires strategic positioning, but the weight concession creates competitive balance.​

Chad’s Flash from post 7 represents trainer Jonah Fuselier with Thomas Pompell riding. This five-year-old gelding carries 120 pounds and could provide exotic value if the pace sets up favorably.​

Betting Strategy

Focus exacta combinations on Game and Gormley, Dewclaw, and Big Tap Baby, capitalizing on their favorable post positions and consistent form. Expand trifectas to include Native Star and The Thimble for additional coverage.​

Game and Gormley represents the best win play based on Vicente Del-Cid’s strong riding statistics, favorable post position, and proven ability at the distance. The gelding should secure good position and maintain it through the stretch.​

Selections

Win: Game and Gormley

Place: Dewclaw

Show: Big Tap Baby

8th Race – Delta Downs – Friday, November 14th, 2025

Post Time: 8:00 PM CST

Allowance Optional Claiming. Six and One-Half Furlongs Dirt. Three Year Olds and Upward. Purse $38,000.

Pace Analysis

This nine-horse allowance optional claiming sprint presents the most competitive race on the card with higher-class horses and optional claiming at $30,000. The six and one-half furlong distance favors horses with tactical speed, and the quality of this field suggests strategic pace management throughout.​

American Xperiment from post 1 and Perfect Edge from post 8 both show capabilities to secure forward position. The allowance conditions attract horses with proven ability, making pace dynamics more predictable than lower-level claiming races.​

Key Contenders

Perfect Edge from post 8 emerges as a featured contender for trainer Brett Brinkman. Vicente Del-Cid rides this five-year-old gelding carrying 120 pounds. Del-Cid’s strong riding statistics throughout the entire card create confidence, and Brinkman’s operation shows consistency at higher claiming and allowance levels. The outside post in sprints allows the gelding to secure position without being trapped inside.​

American Know How from post 4 represents another Brinkman trainee with Thomas Pompell riding. This five-year-old gelding carries 120 pounds and benefits from the middle post position. Having two runners from the same barn suggests stable confidence in the race conditions.​

Hap Hot from post 6 completes the top tier for trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez. CJ McMahon rides this six-year-old gelding carrying 120 pounds. The historically profitable post 6 position at Delta Downs combined with McMahon’s tactical riding creates a solid combination.​

Secondary Choices

American Xperiment from the rail draws Elvin Gonzalez for trainer Tanner Tracy. This six-year-old gelding carries 120 pounds and attempts to secure early position from the rail. Gonzalez must navigate the tight turns while maintaining tactical position.​

Strong Eagle from post 7 represents trainer Alison Escobar with Carlos Perez riding. This six-year-old horse carries 120 pounds and shows consistent form in allowance company.​

Longshots

Grand Academic from post 2 offers value for trainer Samuel Breaux. Elio Barrera rides this three-year-old colt carrying 118 pounds with the weight allowance. Young horses competing against older rivals benefit from weight concessions, creating upset potential.​

Fiesty Fist from post 5 represents trainer Patti Turner with Joel Dominguez aboard. This six-year-old gelding carries 117 pounds with weight allowances and shows consistent form despite the competitive field.​

Betting Strategy

The competitive nine-horse field requires focused exotic wagering on the top contenders. Box Perfect Edge, American Know How, and Hap Hot in exactas. Expand trifectas to include American Xperiment and Strong Eagle for additional pace scenario coverage.​

Perfect Edge represents the best win play based on Vicente Del-Cid’s exceptional riding throughout the card, Brett Brinkman’s strong training operation, and favorable post position for the sprint distance. The gelding shows proven ability in allowance company.​

Selections

Win: Perfect Edge

Place: American Know How

Show: Hap Hot

9th Race – Delta Downs – Friday, November 14th, 2025

Post Time: 8:28 PM CST

Claiming $20,000. Seven Furlongs Dirt. Three Year Olds and Upward Which Have Never Won Two Races. Purse $25,500.

Pace Analysis

This nine-horse claiming sprint at $20,000 closing the card presents multiple pace angles with horses at the higher end of the claiming scale. The seven-furlong distance provides enough real estate for pace dynamics to develop, and the claiming level suggests horses with reasonable ability and soundness.​

Max Is G Money from post 3 and The Monopoly Man from post 4 both show capabilities to secure forward position. The manageable pace should allow tactical speed types to maintain position through the stretch while giving closers opportunities if the early fractions become contested.​

Key Contenders

Silent Breeze from post 8 emerges as a primary contender for trainer Robertino Diodoro. Jansen Melancon rides this three-year-old gelding carrying 115 pounds with weight allowances. Diodoro’s strong training operation combined with Melancon’s tactical riding creates a potent combination. The outside post allows the gelding to secure position without being trapped inside, and the weight allowance provides a competitive edge against older rivals.​

Max Is G Money from post 3 represents trainer Antonio Alberto with Vicente Del-Cid riding. This four-year-old colt carries 120 pounds and benefits from Del-Cid’s exceptional riding statistics throughout the entire card. The inside post provides positional advantage through the turns.​

The Monopoly Man from post 4 completes the top tier for trainer Kearney Segura. Elio Barrera rides this four-year-old colt carrying 120 pounds. The middle post position provides tactical options, and the colt shows consistent form at the claiming level.​

Secondary Choices

Silver Screen from post 5 draws Elvin Gonzalez for trainer Mark Hibdon. This three-year-old gelding carries 122 pounds despite the age disadvantage. The middle post position provides tactical flexibility, and Gonzalez brings solid riding percentages.​

Concentration from the rail represents trainer Alexis Claire with Emanuel Nieves riding. This four-year-old gelding carries 120 pounds and attempts to secure early position from the rail. The inside post provides the shortest trip but requires tactical skill to avoid being shuffled back.​

Longshots

Metallic Mischief from post 9 offers value for trainer Kearney Segura. Timothy Thornton rides this three-year-old gelding carrying 115 pounds with weight allowances. Track changes show this horse as also-eligible in previous races, suggesting connections sought the right competitive level. Thornton’s strong riding statistics create confidence.​

Angelic Knight from post 2 represents trainer David Terre with Juan Vargas aboard. This five-year-old gelding carries 117 pounds with weight allowances and could provide exotic value from the inside post.​

Betting Strategy

Focus exacta combinations on Silent Breeze, Max Is G Money, and The Monopoly Man, capitalizing on strong jockey-trainer combinations and favorable post positions. Expand trifectas to include Silver Screen and Metallic Mischief for longshot coverage.​

Silent Breeze represents the best win play based on Robertino Diodoro’s training operation, Jansen Melancon’s tactical riding ability, and the three-year-old weight allowance creating a competitive edge. The gelding should secure good position and maintain it through the stretch.​

Selections

Win: Silent Breeze

Place: Max Is G Money

Show: The Monopoly Man

Jockey Notes and Insights

Vicente Del-Cid dominates the riding assignments with mounts in Races 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 8, and 9, demonstrating exceptional consistency throughout the card. Del-Cid shows strong win percentages and tactical expertise, particularly effective from inside posts and in claiming races. Focus on Del-Cid’s mounts in exacta combinations across multiple races.​

Joel Dominguez rides in Races 1, 2, 4, 5, and 8, bringing strong statistics with demonstrated 20 percent win rates and 46 percent in-the-money percentages. Dominguez excels at tactical positioning and rate management, particularly effective in route races and allowance conditions. His mount in Race 5 represents a primary win candidate.​

Timothy Thornton takes mounts in Races 1, 3, 4, 5, and 9, showing exceptional 33 percent win rates and 63 percent in-the-money percentages in allowance company. Thornton demonstrates tactical versatility across different race distances and surfaces, particularly effective with three-year-olds and fillies. His experience navigating tight tracks makes him valuable at Delta Downs.​

Jansen Melancon rides in Races 2, 3, 6, and 9, bringing tactical expertise particularly effective in allowance races and competitive claiming conditions. Melancon’s ability to rate horses behind pace scenarios creates value in route races. His mount for Robertino Diodoro in Race 9 represents strong win potential.​

Carlos Perez takes assignments in Races 2, 4, 5, 6, and 7, demonstrating consistency across various race conditions and distances. Perez shows solid 11 percent win rates with 33 percent in-the-money finishes, particularly effective from favorable post positions.​

Trainer Notes and Insights

Brett Brinkman saddles multiple entries throughout the card including horses in Races 3, 5, 6, and 8. Brinkman shows strong statistics at Delta Downs with consistent performers across different race conditions. The barn’s multiple entries in Race 8 suggest stable confidence in the allowance optional claiming conditions. Focus on Brinkman runners in exacta combinations.​

Juan Larrosa trains entries in Races 1, 2, 5, and 7, demonstrating broad participation across claiming and allowance conditions. Larrosa’s operation shows consistency with horses placed in appropriate competitive levels. The trainer’s multiple stakes in the card suggest active stable management throughout the meet.​

Robertino Diodoro brings quality horses in Races 6 and 9, representing a significant training operation competing at Delta Downs. Diodoro’s reputation for competitive horses in allowance company makes his entries automatic considerations in exotic wagering. The trainer’s success at higher claiming and allowance levels creates confidence.​

Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez trains entries in Races 2, 4, 5, and 8, showing versatility across route and sprint distances. The operation places horses appropriately in competitive conditions and demonstrates solid statistics at the meet. Focus on the trainer’s allowance runners as primary contenders.​

Ronnie Ward saddles horses in Races 3 and 5, bringing experience with Louisiana-bred runners. Ward’s operation shows consistency with two-year-olds and developing fillies. The trainer’s dual entries in Race 3 suggest stable confidence in the maiden special weight.​

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The Delta Downs card presents multiple wagering opportunities across nine competitive races. Focus primary attention on Races 5, 6, and 8, which feature allowance conditions with competitive fields and established form lines. These races provide the most reliable handicapping data for exotic wagering.​

A rolling Pick 3 strategy covering Races 5-6-7 offers value with manageable field sizes and clear contenders. Use Lightening Mo and Runtolive in Race 5, Signora Vittoria and Everloving in Race 6, and Game and Gormley with Dewclaw in Race 7. This combination balances favorites with secondary choices at reasonable odds.​

The late Pick 4 covering Races 6-7-8-9 presents significant value potential with competitive fields and multiple live longshots. Spread tickets using primary contenders with one or two longshot inclusions in each race. Focus on Vicente Del-Cid and Jansen Melancon mounts as anchor plays.​

Daily Double opportunities exist between Races 2-3 and Races 8-9. The Race 2-3 combination pairs a small Louisiana-bred allowance field with a competitive maiden special weight, allowing for strategic coverage. The Race 8-9 combination features two competitive allowance-level races with established form lines.​

Single-race exotic wagering should focus on exacta boxes using the top three contenders identified in each race analysis. Expand trifectas to include one or two longshot options underneath for value. The track bias favoring inside posts 1-3 and post 6 should influence ticket construction throughout the card.​

Win betting opportunities exist in Races 4, 5, 7, and 8 where favorites show clear form advantages combined with favorable post positions and jockey assignments. Foreign Tourist in Race 4, Lightening Mo in Race 5, Game and Gormley in Race 7, and Perfect Edge in Race 8 represent the strongest win plays based on comprehensive form analysis.​

Place and show betting becomes valuable in competitive races with short-priced favorites where exacta box coverage protects downside risk. Races 1, 6, and 9 feature multiple contenders at reasonable odds, making place and show wagering strategically sound.

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