Posted inAnalysis Reports

Remington Park – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News and Analysis for the October 17, 2026 card

No CommentsPosted inAnalysis, Reports

TL;DR


Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

 

The Pick Pony Handicapper's Report is published daily and provides analysis of all races on the card. A Pick Pony analyst prepares the report, so selections may differ from the Pick Pony Expert Picks, which are based on the consensus of all Pick Pony analysts.

 

Do our stated chances come true?

Every horse our AI Win Probability model rated, grouped by the chance we gave it, against how often that group actually won.

What we saidWhat happened
0%14%27%41%55%3%7%12%18%26%39%What we said — 3.1%What we said — 7.4%What we said — 12.5%What we said — 18.1%What we said — 25.9%What we said — 38.5%What we saidWhat happened — 3.4%What happened — 8.2%What happened — 13.7%What happened — 21.0%What happened — 30.3%What happened — 44.4%What happened

Where the two lines meet, the published percentage was exactly right.

Show the numbers
WeekWhat we saidWhat happened
3%3.1%3.4%
7%7.4%8.2%
12%12.5%13.7%
18%18.1%21.0%
26%25.9%30.3%
39%38.5%44.4%

Remington Park Race Day Overview — Saturday, October 17, 2026

Remington Park's fall meet rolls into another Saturday card featuring nine races, a solid mix of maiden events, claiming races, and an allowance turf sprint that shapes up as one of the more competitive contests of the afternoon. The card opens with a pair of dirt claiming and maiden events before transitioning through a full slate that includes two maiden special weight races worth $38,000 each and a turf allowance in Race 8 that brings out some of the better horses on the grounds. The Breeders' Cup looms two weeks away at Keeneland on October 30-31, and while today's card at Remington Park operates in the background of that championship weekend buildup, there is plenty of serious wagering to be had on this nine-race program.

The death of Medaglia d'Oro at Jonabell Farm at age 27 resonates across the industry this weekend, with the legendary sire responsible for 31 Grade I winners and 101 graded stakes winners over the course of his stud career. His legacy will be felt at every level of the game, including at mid-level tracks like Remington where his descendants regularly populate maiden and claiming fields.

The Steve Asmussen barn has multiple runners across this card, as is typical at a track where his operation is perennially dominant. His son Erik Asmussen has continued to develop into a reliable riding option at the Oklahoma City oval. The Williams, Young, Buehrer, Hanson, and Flores stables are also well-represented across today's program, creating several interesting trainer matchups worth monitoring when building exotic tickets.

Weather and Track Conditions — Remington Park, October 17, 2026

Oklahoma City is experiencing typical mid-October fall conditions, with temperatures expected to be in the low-to-mid 60s at post time for the first race. The region has been largely dry through the week, with overnight lows dropping into the mid-40s. No significant precipitation is anticipated for the racing day, which should allow the main track to maintain a fast or good rating throughout the card. The turf course, used in Race 5 and Race 8, should be firm to good given the dry recent conditions.

Remington Park's main track at one mile is a conventional oval, and the strip tends to favor horses that can secure positions in the early portions of races, particularly on days when the surface is hard and true. The turf course at Remington Park tends to play fairly honest, with pace scenarios dictating results more than any pronounced lane bias.

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

Remington Park's main track has historically shown a moderate speed bias, particularly in shorter dirt sprints and routes. Horses that can secure a stalking position three-to-four lengths off the lead through the early fractions tend to have an edge over pure closers who must travel wide on the final turn. In route races, the rail to the four hole has produced solid results during the fall meet, as horses can save ground through the first turn while avoiding the early speed war that often damages frontrunners. Inner posts in longer dirt routes deserve a slight advantage when the track is fast.

On the turf, Remington Park's inner turf course plays somewhat tighter than larger ovals, and pace tends to compress in turf sprints around one turn. Horses with tactical speed that can sit second or third early and make one sustained run into the stretch have the best historical record. Extreme closers on turf at Remington Park face an uphill battle unless the pace is truly suicidal.

Post position in today's twelve-horse maiden fields on dirt should not be heavily weighted against any particular gate, though posts one through four carry a small edge in terms of path efficiency in the seven-furlong range for dirt events.

RACE 1 — Post 7:30 — 1210f | D | C | Clm 7500n2l | BUN | Purse $11,500

This is a claiming event for $7,500 going approximately one mile and a half furlongs on the main track, restricted to non-winners of two lifetime races. With a modest purse of $11,500, this is the bottom of the barrel in terms of class on today's card, but it is a full field of nine with several legitimate contenders and at least one horse that figures to be significantly overbet.

Pace Analysis

The early pace scenario in Race 1 sets up as contentious. Runaround Rowdy (1) from the Scott Young barn has shown a willingness to press the pace in previous efforts. Njustlikethat (7) from the Steve Williams operation is another that has shown early foot. Gonnabeagoodday (5) under Erik Asmussen for the powerful Asmussen operation has been positioned prominently in recent efforts. The presence of three horses with early speed inclinations could lead to honest fractions at this limited level, potentially setting things up for a closer or stalker.

Key Contenders

Gonnabeagoodday (5) is the morning line favorite at 2-1 and carries the most significant connections on paper, trained by Hall of Famer Steven M. Asmussen and ridden by his son Erik. The Asmussen barn operates at a high clip at Remington Park during the fall meet, and horses placed in the claiming ranks at this level with that barn rarely miss without a reason. Gonnabeagoodday (5) projects as a stalker who can sit just off the early pace and make a decisive run on the turn. The 2-1 morning line is fair value for a horse of this profile at this level.

Runaround Rowdy (1) is co-listed at 4-1 on the morning line and draws the rail for trainer Scott Young and jockey Floyd Wethey Jr. Young has maintained a steady presence at Remington Park and knows the nuances of placing horses competitively. Rail posts in this distance can be tricky in a big field if the horse gets squeezed early, but if Runaround Rowdy (1) can break cleanly and establish position without burning excessive energy, it has the pace figures to compete.

Secondary Choices

Njustlikethat (7) is also posted at 4-1 and gives Steve Williams a two-horse entry of sorts with Gospel War Cry (4). Njustlikethat (7) with Obed Sanchez aboard has the tactical flexibility to either press the pace or sit close. Williams has shown in recent weeks that he knows how to spot horses in the right spots, and Njustlikethat (7) may represent slight value versus the favorite at the same morning line odds.

Fully Funded (8) at 6-1 for trainer Shon Dunlap and jockey Rene Diaz is a horse to respect. Dunlap is a quiet but effective conditioner at the Oklahoma City oval, and Diaz has been one of the busier and more productive riders on the grounds. If Fully Funded (8) has been working acceptably, the 6-1 morning line represents legitimate overlay potential.

Longshots

Brody's Chrome (9) at 8-1 for Jesse Oberlander and R.A. Vazquez has shown enough at times to threaten in a field this modest. Oberlander is a capable barn in this claiming range. Gospel War Cry (4) at 8-1 rounds out the Williams two-entry and should get early position under Emanuel Castillo Zabala, though it looks a step below stablemate Njustlikethat (7) in this spot. Rugged Sawyer Lee (3) at 10-1 for Oscar Flores and Tyler Bacon is a horse that could improve off its most recent effort but faces tough competition at the top. Stoops Tornado (2) at 12-1 for Frederico Villafranco and Mario Fuentes appears to be the most difficult to support here. Lucky Kingbird (6) at 20-1 for Steve Davis and Cassidy Fletcher is a throwout at current odds in this company.

Betting Strategy

Gonnabeagoodday (5) is the play here. With Asmussen's consistent success rate at this meet and a field that sets up with pace to run at, the favorite should be included in all exotic tickets. Use Fully Funded (8) as a secondary win consideration. In exactas, key Gonnabeagoodday (5) on top with Njustlikethat (7), Runaround Rowdy (1), and Fully Funded (8) underneath. Trifecta tickets should run Gonnabeagoodday (5) on top with Runaround Rowdy (1), Njustlikethat (7), and Fully Funded (8) in second and third.

Selections

Win: Gonnabeagoodday (5) Place: Fully Funded (8) Show: Njustlikethat (7)

RACE 2 — Post 7:58 — 1210f | D | M | Md 20000 | AON | Purse $21,000

An eleven-horse maiden field going one mile and a half furlongs on the dirt, open to all ages non-winners. The $21,000 purse is modest, and the maiden ranks at this level attract a wide variety of horses with differing profiles. The field includes some horses coming back to try again after multiple unsuccessful efforts and potentially a first-time starter or two who could surprise at their debut.

Pace Analysis

With eleven horses entered, the early fractions in Race 2 figure to be moderately honest. Triple Blessings (7) and Bear Down Eleven (8) both have projection profiles that suggest they will be near the early pace. Mo Town Jerome (3) for Asmussen is the type that can be positioned anywhere, lending versatility. Fields this large on dirt at a route distance often compress into a bunched early scenario where finding clean running room through the stretch becomes critical.

Key Contenders

Triple Blessings (7) at 4-1 for trainer Justin Evans and jockey Tyler Bacon is one of the more interesting profiles in this field. Evans is a productive trainer in these maiden conditions at Remington Park, and Bacon has been effective in the mornings and afternoons this meet. Triple Blessings (7) has the look of a horse entered at the right spot.

Bear Down Eleven (8) at 4-1 for Austin Gustafson and Rene Diaz is another strong contender. Gustafson runs Maximus Flatter (10) in this same race, giving him a two-pronged attack. Bear Down Eleven (8) is the more likely of the pair based on morning line positioning, and Diaz is one of the track's more reliable riders when horses have legitimate shots.

Mo Town Jerome (3) at 6-1 for the Asmussen barn carries significant stable confidence given the choice of Erik Asmussen to ride. The Asmussen operation rarely wastes Erik's services on horses without a realistic chance, and at 6-1, Mo Town Jerome (3) represents value if the stable is pointing this runner seriously at this spot.

Secondary Choices

Expect A Preacher (2) at 5-1 for Jesse Sauceda and Mario Fuentes is a horse that handicappers have noted as a potential pace figure standout. Sauceda also runs Mr. Candy Man (9) at 12-1, but Expect A Preacher (2) is the barn's primary hope here. Last Call Cowboy (5) at 8-1 for Evans gives the trainer a two-horse entry alongside Triple Blessings (7), and while it is the secondary choice of the barn, it should not be completely dismissed.

Longshots

Scott's Sea (6) at 12-1 for Jerry Glen Stephens and Emanuel Castillo Zabala is a horse that has likely been pointed at this spot but faces a tough crowd. Mr. Candy Man (9) at 12-1 is the second Sauceda entry and could surprise at a price. Maximus Flatter (10) at 10-1 is the second Gustafson runner and, while the barn is double-barreled, it's harder to get to at that price versus Bear Down Eleven (8). Ain't Got Me Yet (11) at 15-1 for Scott Corderman and Osvaldo Quinonez-Lopez is a shot in the dark. Pop Pops Millie (1) at 15-1 for Flores and Ernesto Valdez-Jimenez has struggled to break through. Lieutenant Dano (4) at 15-1 for Steve Martin and Isaiah Wiseman appears to be a complete underdog in this spot.

Betting Strategy

Use Triple Blessings (7) and Bear Down Eleven (8) as the top two choices with Mo Town Jerome (3) as a live longshot play. In exactas, box the top three. In trifectas, spread slightly to include Expect A Preacher (2). The 4-1 morning lines on the top pair are fair, but if either drifts to 5-1 or beyond, that represents overlay value worth taking seriously.

Selections

Win: Triple Blessings (7) Place: Bear Down Eleven (8) Show: Mo Town Jerome (3)

RACE 3 — Post 8:26 — 1320f | D | C | Clm 10000n3l | BUM | Purse $17,500

An eight-horse field of fillies and mares going a mile on the main track, claiming for $10,000 restricted to non-winners of three lifetime. The purse is $17,500 and the field is a manageable size, making this one of the easier races to dissect on the card. Momacya (1) looms as a likely dominant presence, and the question is whether anything else can mount a serious challenge.

Pace Analysis

Momacya (1) figures to set or stalk the early pace from the inside, and at 2-1, her supporters are expecting a wire-to-wire or near-wire performance. Callitfateluckarma (5) and Beverly Diner (6) are both horses that figure to be in the mix early. The pace should be honest given multiple forwardly-placed types, which could set up Eurpurdy (7) or Ruby's Posse (8) if things get too hot upfront.

Key Contenders

Momacya (1) is the 2-1 morning line choice for trainer Mark Buehrer and jockey Jose Alvarez. Buehrer is a consistent performer at Remington Park, and Momacya (1) has been placed in a spot where her numbers are clearly superior to the field. The inside post is workable at a mile on this track, and Alvarez has shown good chemistry with this barn in previous engagements. This is a horse to be against only if you have a very specific angle.

Callitfateluckarma (5) at 4-1 for Shon Dunlap and jockey I.V. Diego is the main challenger. Dunlap's horses often perform well in this claiming range, and the 4-1 morning line gives some breathing room for an exacta approach.

Beverly Diner (6) at 4-1 for the Asmussen barn and Erik Asmussen is the other major contender. When the Asmussen stable sends a filly or mare to the claiming ranks at 4-1, there is typically a plan in place. Beverly Diner (6) is worth strong consideration in exotic plays even if she does not win outright.

Secondary Choices

Lucy's Halo (4) at 5-1 for Jesus Munoz Escobedo and Weston Hamilton is a pace factor that may find herself in contention early. At 5-1, she is fair value if she can rate off the early leaders and unleash a sustained run. Eurpurdy (7) at 6-1 for Vic Hanson and Isaiah Wiseman is a horse that can close into a fast pace, and if the frontrunners go too fast, she is the type to benefit.

Longshots

Ruby's Posse (8) at 8-1 for Hanson and Fernando Jara is the second Hanson entry and represents a minor threat at that price. Miss Pairodocs (2) at 10-1 for Marti Rodriguez and David Cabrera has not shown enough to rate a serious play here. United Sister (3) at 12-1, also for Rodriguez and Mario Fuentes, is the barn's secondary hope and a likely toss.

Betting Strategy

Momacya (1) is a clear win selection here, though the 2-1 price limits single-ticket value somewhat. Build exactas using Momacya (1) on top with Beverly Diner (6) and Callitfateluckarma (5) in second. Trifectas should run those three in varying combinations with Lucy's Halo (4) added underneath. At 4-1, Beverly Diner (6) to place is an attractive wager given the Asmussen barn's reliability.

Selections

Win: Momacya (1) Place: Beverly Diner (6) Show: Callitfateluckarma (5)

RACE 4 — Post 8:54 — 1760f | D | S | Md Sp Wt | GON | Purse $38,000

A ten-horse maiden special weight race for geldings on the main track going approximately one mile and a half furlongs. The $38,000 purse is the top figure for any dirt event on today's card, and maiden special weight races for state-bred or open geldings at this distance can sometimes produce sharp debut winners who go on to career success. This is a race where first-time starters and horses showing solid workout patterns often outperform their morning line odds.

Pace Analysis

With ten horses entered, the pace scenario in Race 4 is difficult to pin down given the maiden nature of the field. Engine Ninety Nine (1) and G Train (7) figure to be among the early speed based on their connections and projections. Lucky You (8) for the Buehrer barn and Alvarez has the inside rail and should be positioned favorably. At a longer distance of nearly a mile and a half, pace meltdowns become more likely when immature maidens go out too fast, and the closers in this field deserve some consideration.

Key Contenders

G Train (7) at 4-1 for trainer C.R. Trout and jockey David Cabrera is a major player here. Trout is a trainer who does his homework in maiden routes, and Cabrera has developed into a reliable pilot at the meet. If G Train (7) has been working acceptably, the 4-1 morning line offers legitimate value.

Lucky You (8) at 4-1 for Mark Buehrer and Jose Alvarez gives Buehrer a strong one-two punch with ENGINE NINETY NINE on the card, though Lucky You (8) is the more attractively priced of the pair and benefits from a favorable rail draw at this extended maiden trip.

Engine Ninety Nine (1) at 3-1 for Cindy Monroy and L.S. Quinonez is the morning line favorite from the rail, and Monroy is a competent conditioner who spots horses well. The 3-1 price makes sense if Engine Ninety Nine (1) has shown the right preparation, but the rail in a ten-horse maiden route can be problematic if early pace gets chaotic.

Secondary Choices

A Wild Posse (2) at 6-1 for Tristan Ashford and Ronnie Huckaby is a horse that deserves attention. Ashford is a trainer on the rise at Remington Park, and Huckaby is a steady hand that can get a horse into position from a second-post draw. Brielle (6) at 10-1 for Jesse Oberlander and S. Elliott could be a lightly raced horse pointing at a big debut performance.

Longshots

Fifty Two Fifty (4) at 8-1 for Buehrer and Diaz gives the trainer a third runner in this race and could find himself involved at a price. Docket (9) at 12-1 for Jaime Castellanos and Geovanni Franko-Angeles is a long shot that would need significant improvement or a first-time starter advantage to factor. Turner Falls (5) at 15-1 for Francisco Bravo and Fernando Jara is a tough sell at current odds. Natalies Code (10) at 15-1 for Oberlander and Hamilton is the second Oberlander entry and appears to be the second choice of the barn. Heza Fast Man (3) at 20-1 for trainer J.S. Hunt and Vazquez is a throwout in this spot.

Betting Strategy

Use G Train (7) and Lucky You (8) as the top two plays, with Engine Ninety Nine (1) as a win-single consideration despite the 3-1 morning line. Exactas keying G Train (7) on top over Lucky You (8), Engine Ninety Nine (1), and A Wild Posse (2) offer solid structures. Given the maiden nature of this field, spreading in trifectas is advisable. Buehrer running three horses suggests stable confidence, and one of the three is likely to be on the board.

Selections

Win: G Train (7) Place: Lucky You (8) Show: Engine Ninety Nine (1)

RACE 5 — Post 9:22 — 1100f | T | C | Clm 20000n2l | BUM | Purse $22,000

A twelve-horse turf claiming race going approximately six furlongs and three-eighths on the turf, for horses that have not won two races. This is a wide field for a turf sprint at Remington Park, and pace analysis becomes critical when twelve horses are compressed into a single-turn turf sprint. The $22,000 purse and $20,000 claiming price make this a middle-tier turf race at the fall meet level.

Pace Analysis

The turf sprint at this distance figures to produce a quick early pace with twelve horses breaking from the gate. Divineintervention (3) for Asmussen has shown tactical speed in turf efforts, and Runaway Okie (4) from Scott Young's barn should be forwardly placed. Traject (5) for Matt Hebert and I.V. Diego has shown ability on turf and could press early. Races like this on turf at Remington Park have a tendency to see early pace stack up through the first quarter, then compress into a bunch heading for home, making it a field-racing scenario where post position and trip luck play a significant role.

Key Contenders

Divineintervention (3) at 2-1 is the dominant morning line choice for the Asmussen barn with Erik Asmussen riding. This is a horse that has shown turf proficiency and is placed at a claiming level where she is expected to dominate. At 2-1, the price is short for a twelve-horse field on turf where anything can happen, but the talent level is clearly a cut above the rest of the field based on Asmussen's typical preparation of turf runners.

Runaway Okie (4) at 4-1 for Scott Young and Leandro Goncalves is a horse to respect. Young has a steady hand with claiming turf runners, and Goncalves has been among the more effective riders at Remington Park in recent weeks. If Runaway Okie (4) can secure a position just outside the leaders, she has the pace figures to finish strongly.

Secondary Choices

Traject (5) at 5-1 for Matt Hebert and I.V. Diego is a stalker type that could make a sustained run at the top two if the pace plays into her favor. At 5-1, she represents overlay potential versus the short favorite. Demotion (10) at 8-1 for Karen Jacks and Javier Padron-Barcenas is a horse that handicappers have flagged as a potential surprise in this spot, with turf figures that may be underestimated by the morning line.

Longshots

Back Then Rite Now (11) at 12-1 for Boyd Caster and Tyler Bacon should be included as a trifecta consideration in a race this large. Claire's Curlin (2) at 10-1 for Danny Pish and Cabrera is a turf runner that could improve significantly given the opportunity. Ship Her West (9) at 10-1 for Joe Offolter and Richard Eramia has turf experience that could translate into a late run at good odds. Eagle Vision (7) at 20-1 for Allen Dupuy and Weston Hamilton is a throwout. Dialed Into You (6) at 20-1 for Sauceda and Wiseman is a horse that needs everything to go right to factor. Jo Tom (8) at 20-1 for Neil Koch and Fuentes is another long price that does not figure in the win picture. K K's First Dance (12) at 15-1 for Kirt Clark and Erik McNeil is a horse that would need a significant performance improvement to figure. Hello Goodbye (1) at 15-1 for Dick Cappellucci and Floyd Wethey Jr. is overpriced as a win play but could sneak onto the trifecta.

Betting Strategy

Divineintervention (3) must be used on the win portion of all tickets but at 2-1 should not be wagered on a single basis for meaningful profit. The play is to use Divineintervention (3) on top in exactas with Runaway Okie (4) and Traject (5) underneath. Trifectas should spread in third to include Demotion (10), Claire's Curlin (2), and Back Then Rite Now (11). In a field this large on turf, throwing four or five horses in third at reasonable prices is the smart approach.

Selections

Win: Divineintervention (3) Place: Runaway Okie (4) Show: Traject (5)

RACE 6 — Post 9:50 — 1320f | D | S | Md Sp Wt | AOF | Purse $38,000

A twelve-horse maiden special weight race for fillies on the main track going a mile. One of the signature races on today's card from a purse perspective, this all-female MSW going a flat mile invites the top filly maidens on the grounds and could produce a future stakes or allowance performer. Nedra Nell (3) looms as a dominant morning line choice, though twelve-horse fields always carry upset potential.

Pace Analysis

Nedra Nell (3) projects as a pace-presser or stalker type for trainer Patrick Swan. Shotgun Sally (8) for Buehrer and Diaz should also be early. Real Eyes (9) for Hanson and Jara may rate off the pace and come with a late run. With twelve fillies going a mile, the field typically strings out through the first turn and sets up honest fractions, making this a relatively reliable pace scenario for betting purposes.

Key Contenders

Nedra Nell (3) at 2-1 for Patrick Swan and David Cabrera is the overwhelming morning line choice. Swan has a strong track record with first-level maiden fillies at Remington Park, and Cabrera is a solid pick-up for the barn. The 2-1 morning line is somewhat short for a twelve-horse maiden field, but if the horse has shown the right works and readiness, she should handle the competition. Notably, Swan also runs Miss Neigh Neigh (10) in this race, giving him a two-pronged attack.

Shotgun Sally (8) at 4-1 for Mark Buehrer and Rene Diaz is the main challenger. Buehrer has been active all card today with multiple entries, and Shotgun Sally (8) figures to be among the more forwardly placed horses. At 4-1, she represents genuine value if she can press Nedra Nell (3) and out-sustain her through the stretch.

Secondary Choices

Real Eyes (9) at 5-1 for Vic Hanson and Fernando Jara is a closer type who benefits when the front-runners go hard. Hanson has been a reliable mid-level trainer at Remington Park, and Jara has shown he can navigate traffic on the main track. Gospel Nancy (4) at 8-1 for Steve Williams and Emanuel Castillo Zabala has the backing of a multi-race barn today and could offer pace pressure that disrupts the two favorites.

Longshots

Gigi's Six Pack (5) at 10-1 for Oscar Flores and Tyler Bacon is a filly that could improve off earlier efforts for a trainer who develops maiden types patiently. Miss Neigh Neigh (10) at 10-1 is Swan's second runner and is likely the barn's secondary option; at 10-1 there is some curiosity value. Cross Posh (11) at 15-1 for Steve Martin and Isaiah Wiseman is a difficult sell but could find the board in a wide-open field. Ms Madd Code Bdub (12) at 15-1 for Scott Corderman and Ronnie Huckaby is another deep longshot that would require a career-best effort. Bop With Ya Baby (6) at 15-1 for Corderman and I.V. Diego is the second Corderman entry and is a throwout. Lucky Lass (7) at 20-1 for Tim Dixon and Weston Hamilton is a major price in a race with legitimate top choices. Cherokee Express (2) at 20-1 for Randy Swango and Leandro Goncalves and Sheza Shiney Mine (1) at 20-1 for J. Alan Williams and Lindsey Hebert are both horses that figure to struggle against this level of competition.

Betting Strategy

Nedra Nell (3) is the play, but the 2-1 price requires pairing with Shotgun Sally (8) for meaningful exacta returns. Key Nedra Nell (3) over Shotgun Sally (8) and Real Eyes (9) in exactas. Trifectas should use the top three horses with Gospel Nancy (4) and Gigi's Six Pack (5) spread into third. At 5-1, Real Eyes (9) to place represents value if you expect the pace to get hot.

Selections

Win: Nedra Nell (3) Place: Shotgun Sally (8) Show: Real Eyes (9)

RACE 7 — Post 10:18 — 1830f | D | C | Clm 10000n3l | BUN | Purse $17,500

A nine-horse claiming race for geldings and horses that have not won three times, going approximately one mile and one sixteenth on the main track. The nine-horse field is clean and manageable, with Justice Department (7) installed as the morning line favorite at 2-1 and Austin Cruise (6) at 4-1 as the main challenger.

Pace Analysis

Justice Department (7) for trainer Dick Cappellucci and Floyd Wethey Jr. is likely to be positioned stalking the early pace at this distance. Straightaway (5) for Jaime Castellanos and Jose Alvarez could be one of the early pace setters. The claiming route distance of approximately nine-sixteenths of a mile on dirt figures to produce moderate early fractions, which typically favor horses with class advantages rather than pure speed.

Key Contenders

Justice Department (7) at 2-1 for Dick Cappellucci and Floyd Wethey Jr. is the morning line choice and carries the class credentials to handle this field. Cappellucci is a careful conditioner who does not spot his horses in bad spots, and Wethey has been consistently effective at Remington Park this fall. At 2-1, this horse is expected to settle the question quickly, though the price requires exacta and trifecta support to generate meaningful profits.

Austin Cruise (6) at 4-1 for trainer J.R. Caldwell and Rene Diaz is the leading challenger. Caldwell has placed this horse in a spot where the claiming price and race conditions fit, and Diaz is a rider who can navigate these claiming route distances efficiently. Austin Cruise (6) at 4-1 is the main exacta partner for the favorite.

Secondary Choices

Backdoor Royalty (3) at 5-1 for Isaiah Ortiz and Geovanni Franko-Angeles is a horse that handicappers have noted for pace figures that could embarrass some of the higher-profile runners. Ortiz is a competent trainer in these conditions, and Backdoor Royalty (3) deserves a spot in exotic ticket structures. Straightaway (5) at 6-1 for Castellanos and Alvarez is a pace factor that could prove more durable than expected if the early fractions set up in her favor.

Longshots

Coach Kev (8) at 8-1 for Scott Corderman and I.V. Diego is a horse that could find the board at a price if the pace collapses up front. Empire Ranch (4) at 10-1 for Scott Young and Fernando Jara is the Young barn's entry in this race and could represent stable confidence at a mild price. Ihavetoomuchair (9) at 10-1 for Castellanos and Lane Luzzi is the barn's second runner in this race and gives Castellanos two shots at the purse. Tiz Ticktok (2) at 12-1 for Anthony Nichols and Zabala is a horse that could improve off a recent effort but faces a stiff challenge. Momissioner (1) at 15-1 for Buehrer and D.L. Parker is a tough sell at the bottom of the morning line.

Betting Strategy

Justice Department (7) is the win single on this race. Use Austin Cruise (6) on top as well for a two-horse exacta key. Trifectas should run both as the top two in combination with Backdoor Royalty (3), Straightaway (5), and Coach Kev (8) in third. At 2-1 for the favorite, the most profitable approach is to load up on exactas using the chalk on top over multiple horses.

Selections

Win: Justice Department (7) Place: Austin Cruise (6) Show: Backdoor Royalty (3)

RACE 8 — Post 10:46 — 1650f | T | R | Alw 20000s | BUN | Purse $27,000

The allowance race on the turf is one of the marquee events of the afternoon from a quality standpoint. Ten horses compete for $27,000 going approximately six furlongs and one quarter on the turf. The allowance conditions for non-winners of a specific earnings bracket make this a level above the claiming ranks, and the class of horse entered here is noticeably superior to what has run earlier in the card. Calibrate (6) for Asmussen is the 2-1 morning line choice, while Star Rock Star (7) and Blue Light (9) both figure prominently at 4-1.

Pace Analysis

The turf allowance figures to produce competitive early fractions. Calibrate (6) has shown the ability to rate in turf routes and sprints, and with Erik Asmussen in the saddle, the expectation is a professional trip. Star Rock Star (7) for Shane Wilson and Jose Alvarez has shown tactical speed in turf efforts. Blue Light (9) for Caldwell and Rene Diaz could be positioned anywhere based on trainer preference. The pace scenario here is more nuanced than in the maiden or claiming turf events, as these horses are more experienced and reliable in their pace deployment.

Key Contenders

Calibrate (6) at 2-1 for Steven Asmussen and Erik Asmussen is the expected market leader. Asmussen's turf horses at Remington Park during the fall meet have a notable win rate in allowance company, and Calibrate (6) projects as a horse with class figures superior to most of this field. The 2-1 morning line is again short for a ten-horse field on turf, but in allowance company the chalk is more reliable than in maiden or wide claiming fields.

Star Rock Star (7) at 4-1 for Shane Wilson and Jose Alvarez is a genuine contender. Wilson is a trainer who carefully manages his turf horses, and Star Rock Star (7) has shown solid figures in recent outings. At 4-1 this horse represents legitimate value in a spot where the favorite may be slightly overbet.

Blue Light (9) at 4-1 for Caldwell and Rene Diaz rounds out the top three. Caldwell has been an effective trainer at Remington Park during the fall, and Diaz is a strong pilot in turf races at this distance. Blue Light (9) has the profile of a horse that can make a sustained run in the lane.

Secondary Choices

Executive Power (2) at 6-1 for Mindy Willis and S. Elliott is a horse that deserves respect in turf allowance company. Willis is a thoughtful conditioner, and Executive Power (2) may be the type that performs better than morning line odds suggest. Trevaggio (8) at 8-1 for Kari Craddock and D.L. Parker is another horse worth including in trifecta structures.

Longshots

One Time Mark (3) at 10-1 for Isaiah Ortiz and Floyd Wethey Jr. is a turf runner that could improve enough to factor in a wide exotic. Aaron (1) at 15-1 for Oscar Flores and Tyler Bacon is likely a horse at the bottom of this field in class terms. Kosari (5) at 15-1 for Riley Parsons and Ronnie Huckaby faces long odds of improving enough to factor. No Trouble (4) at 12-1 for Scott Young and Fernando Jara could find the board at a price but needs everything to go right. Iowa Club (10) at 15-1 for Jashua Robinson and Ernesto Valdez-Jimenez is the longest of the long prices here and is a throwout for practical betting purposes.

Betting Strategy

Calibrate (6) is the anchor of this race. Despite the short price, use him on top of exactas with Star Rock Star (7) and Blue Light (9) underneath. Trifectas should spread slightly to include Executive Power (2) and Trevaggio (8) in third. At 4-1, either Star Rock Star (7) or Blue Light (9) as a win play represents overlay value in a turf race where upsets are always possible.

Selections

Win: Calibrate (6) Place: Star Rock Star (7) Show: Blue Light (9)

RACE 9 — Post 11:14 — 1320f | D | S | Md Sp Wt | AOC | Purse $38,000

The finale is a twelve-horse maiden special weight event for colts and geldings open to all ages on the main track going a mile. At $38,000, it is one of the stronger maiden events on the card, and Chase's Mojo (3) looms as the dominant morning line choice at 2-1 for trainer Joe Offolter and jockey Jose Alvarez. This race closes the Pick 5 sequence and is a critical component of any late multi-race exotic.

Pace Analysis

Gospel Russell (8) for Steve Williams and Emanuel Castillo Zabala figures to be forwardly placed given Williams' typical running style with his horses. Rising Lion (9) for Brent Davidson and S. Elliott is a closer type who will need the pace to be honest. Chase's Mojo (3) has shown the ability to be positioned wherever the jockey prefers, giving Alvarez maximum tactical flexibility. With twelve horses going a mile on dirt, the pace figures to be competitive enough to set things up for the middle of the pack.

Key Contenders

Chase's Mojo (3) at 2-1 for Joe Offolter and Jose Alvarez is the clear morning line choice. Offolter is a barn that has shown it can develop maiden types carefully, and Alvarez's presence in the saddle indicates strong stable confidence. Chase's Mojo (3) is the cornerstone of all exotic tickets here.

Gospel Russell (8) at 4-1 for Steve Williams and Emanuel Castillo Zabala is the main danger. Williams has had multiple entries across today's card, and Gospel Russell (8) looks to be one of the barn's stronger representatives of the day. If he can establish a controlling pace position and hold it through the stretch, the 4-1 represents genuine value.

Rising Lion (9) at 5-1 for Brent Davidson and S. Elliott is a closer that handicappers have identified as having strong late-pace figures for maiden company. At 5-1, this horse is worth a serious look in exactas and trifectas.

Secondary Choices

Clear The Clock (2) at 6-1 for Caldwell and Rene Diaz gives Caldwell another entry on the card, and Diaz is a rider who has been producing results throughout today's program. At 6-1, Clear The Clock (2) represents genuine alternative value in exacta structures. Forged With Fyre (10) at 10-1 for Vic Hanson and Isaiah Wiseman is a horse to consider in trifecta sequences, as Hanson has been active throughout today's card.

Longshots

How About That (1) at 12-1 for Tristan Ashford and Lane Luzzi is a horse that could improve dramatically in this maiden setting. Trajan Will (11) at 20-1 for Mark Lee and I.V. Diego is a deep longshot with limited upside at current odds. Mogamble Mofuture (6) at 15-1 for Stacy Rushton and Ernesto Valdez-Jimenez is a price play that would need significant improvement to factor. Just Bring It (7) at 20-1 for Patrick Swan and Weston Hamilton is a difficult sell given the morning line positioning. Saw Dog (5) at 15-1 for Oscar Flores and Tyler Bacon has shown some ability in workouts but faces a tough field. Come On Jake (4) at 20-1 for Randy Swango and Leandro Goncalves and I'm The Posse (12) at 15-1 for Juan Padilla and Ezequiel Lara are both throwouts in this field.

Betting Strategy

Chase's Mojo (3) is the anchor of the closing leg of all multi-race exotics. Use him on top in exactas with Gospel Russell (8), Rising Lion (9), and Clear The Clock (2) underneath. Trifectas should run those four in various combinations, adding Forged With Fyre (10) for depth. At 5-1, Rising Lion (9) to win is a legitimate single bet for horseplayers who like closing types in maiden route fields.

Selections

Win: Chase's Mojo (3) Place: Gospel Russell (8) Show: Rising Lion (9)

Jockey Notes and Insights

Erik Asmussen is the rider to watch at Remington Park on this Saturday card. He has mounts in Race 1 on Gonnabeagoodday (5), Race 2 on Mo Town Jerome (3), Race 3 on Beverly Diner (6), Race 5 on Divineintervention (3), and Race 8 on Calibrate (6). Each of those horses is the barn's primary representative, and when Erik Asmussen has the call for the family operation at Remington Park, the win percentage is notable. On a single card with five live mounts for the top stable, the younger Asmussen's performances will shape the course of the entire afternoon.

Rene Diaz has arguably the strongest book of mounts across today's card with live chances in Race 1 on Fully Funded (8), Race 2 on Bear Down Eleven (8), Race 4 on Fifty Two Fifty (4), Race 5 as a secondary consideration, Race 6 on Shotgun Sally (8), Race 7 on Austin Cruise (6), Race 8 on Blue Light (9), and Race 9 on Clear The Clock (2). Diaz has been one of the more active and effective riders at Remington Park this fall, and with multiple live mounts throughout the card, his win percentage deserves attention.

Jose Alvarez has a quality book with live shots in Race 3 on Momacya (1), Race 4 on Lucky You (8), and Race 9 on Chase's Mojo (3). All three of those are morning line choices in their respective races, suggesting strong agent work in securing top calls.

Tyler Bacon is spread across the card with mounts in several races. His most notable call is Triple Blessings (7) in Race 2. Bacon has developed into a reliable rider at the meet.

Fernando Jara has his best shot with Real Eyes (9) in Race 6 and Ruby's Posse (8) in Race 3. Jara is a steady professional who does not make many mistakes.

Emanuel Castillo Zabala has multiple Steve Williams barn mounts across the card and represents that barn's primary riding option throughout today's program.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Steven M. Asmussen is the dominant trainer at Remington Park and has live representatives in nearly every race on today's card. His barn operates at high efficiency during the fall meet at the Oklahoma City oval, and any horse bearing his name on the program deserves automatic consideration. His five most notable runners today are Gonnabeagoodday (5) in Race 1, Mo Town Jerome (3) in Race 2, Beverly Diner (6) in Race 3, Divineintervention (3) in Race 5, and Calibrate (6) in Race 8.

Mark Buehrer is having an active day with entries in Race 3 with Momacya (1), Race 4 with Engine Ninety Nine (1), Lucky You (8), and Fifty Two Fifty (4), and Race 6 with Shotgun Sally (8). Buehrer running three horses in a maiden special weight in Race 4 is an interesting stable angle — when a trainer fires multiple bullets in the same race, it typically indicates strong stable confidence in at least one of the runners, and the market will often sort out which one is the intended primary effort.

Steve Williams runs horses in Race 1, Race 6, and Race 9, giving him a full day. His horses under GOSPEL branding — Gospel War Cry (4) in Race 1, Gospel Nancy (4) in Race 6, Gospel Russell (8) in Race 9 — and Njustlikethat (7) in Race 1 give Williams multiple chances to land a winner.

Vic Hanson has a two-horse entry in Race 3 with Eurpurdy (7) and Ruby's Posse (8), and also sends out Real Eyes (9) in Race 6 and Forged With Fyre (10) in Race 9. Hanson is a veteran conditioner who uses the full card wisely.

Justin Evans fires a two-horse entry in Race 2 with Triple Blessings (7) and Last Call Cowboy (5), a strong statement from a trainer who places horses carefully.

Jaime Castellanos runs Straightaway (5) and Ihavetoomuchair (9) in Race 7, giving him a two-pronged attack in the claiming route.

Scott Corderman sends out Bop With Ya Baby (6) and Ms Madd Code Bdub (12) in Race 6 and Coach Kev (8) in Race 7, keeping the barn busy throughout the second half of the card.

Jesse Oberlander has Brody's Chrome (9) in Race 1, Brielle (6) in Race 4, and Natalies Code (10) in Race 4, showing an active book today.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The best single bet on today's card is Calibrate (6) in Race 8, the turf allowance. While the 2-1 price is short, the class of the Asmussen barn in allowance turf conditions at Remington Park is the most reliable combination on the card. A win single on Calibrate (6) anchors any win-place sequence and should be used as a base bet.

The best value play at legitimate odds is Rising Lion (9) in Race 9 at 5-1. A closer with strong late-pace figures in a maiden route setting, with a competent trainer in Brent Davidson and the field-compressing scenario of twelve maidens going a mile, this horse is the type that can sneak up at a price in the final race of the card.

Bear Down Eleven (8) in Race 2 at 4-1 for Austin Gustafson and Rene Diaz is a horse that could be an overlay on the board if the morning line holds. Gustafson running two horses in this race is a strong confidence signal, and Bear Down Eleven (8) as the primary entry at 4-1 in a maiden $20,000 sprint is reasonable value.

For Pick 5 wagering, the final five races — Races 5 through 9 — offer the best opportunities. A structured Pick 5 ticket might use Divineintervention (3) as a single in Race 5, Nedra Nell (3) as a single in Race 6, and spread in Race 7 between Justice Department (7) and Austin Cruise (6), use Calibrate (6) as a single in Race 8, and spread in Race 9 between Chase's Mojo (3) and Gospel Russell (8). This creates a 1x1x2x1x2 structure that is cost-effective while maintaining strong horses in the key singles spots.

For a budget-friendly exacta approach, the Race 7 exacta using Justice Department (7) on top over Austin Cruise (6) and Backdoor Royalty (3) is a tight, well-structured play. Justice Department (7) to win with Backdoor Royalty (3) in second at 5-1 offers excellent potential return given the moderate chalk price.

The Race 3 exacta using Momacya (1) on top over Beverly Diner (6) is a clean, two-horse play in a manageable eight-horse field. At 4-1 for Beverly Diner (6) to come in second, the $2 exacta return should be in the double-digit range and represents one of the more reliable exacta plays on the card.

For horseplayers who enjoy building trifectas in maiden specials, Race 6 and Race 9 both offer opportunities to use the heavy favorite on top and spread aggressively in second and third. In Race 6, Nedra Nell (3) on top with Shotgun Sally (8) and Real Eyes (9) in second and third in all combinations, adding Gospel Nancy (4) in third, creates a four-horse trifecta wheel that can return 30-1 or better depending on final odds.

Today's card at Remington Park is a solid Saturday program that rewards systematic exotic wagering anchored by the Asmussen barn's consistent production. Play the card with discipline, use the chalk where appropriate, and look for value in the second and third slots of exactas and trifectas where the morning lines are most likely to diverge from actual race outcomes.

Before wagering, check the Latest Race Scratches, Changes, and Conditions post for any last-minute scratches or race changes.


Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

Tags:

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback