Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Parx Racing, November 9, 2026


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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
 
Race 1  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $22,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:8Ella The Great (7/2)
Place:4South Street Sally (4/1)
Show:3Shoes And Handbags (6/1)
Other contenders:1She's Got Moxie (5/1), 2Princess Eliana (9/2), 5Victoria's Song (8/1)
Rest of field:6Spirit Powered (6/1), 7Albali (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 843216
🎯 Longshots: 83145267
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:5Burning Bridges (2/1)
Place:1Stormbreaker (4/1)
Show:6White Sport Coat (7/2)
Other contenders:3Right Wing Runner (9/2), 4Global Steve (8/1)
Rest of field:2Gavone (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 516342
🎯 Longshots: 514362
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:5Dadoo (6/5)
Place:6Sliver Of Sunshine (5/2)
Show:1Melody's Kiss (5/1)
Other contenders:2Spanish Girl (6/1), 4Sister Marjorie (8/1)
Rest of field:3Azure Lady (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 561243
🎯 Longshots: 561423
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:6Aggregation (4/5)
Place:1Modica (3/1)
Show:4Save A Prayer (5/1)
Other contenders:3Sophia's Prince (15/1), 2Chip's Friend (12/1)
Rest of field:5Union Purrfection (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 614235
🎯 Longshots: 613245
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:1Icecreamforevryone (3/1)
Place:2Red Rainbow (4/1)
Show:4Irish Banba (5/1)
Other contenders:7Mon Cher Amour (9/2), 3Peacefulezfeeling (6/1), 6Yo Philly (6/1)
Rest of field:5Tiza Smokeshow (5/1), 8Polar Magic (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 124736
🎯 Longshots: 14723658
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #4, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:7Anita Glassofwine (7/2)
Place:4Livinginthemoment (3/1)
Show:1Mi Amol (10/1)
Other contenders:2Stone Cold Loreto (6/1), 3Sand Queen (10/1), 8Winnie Mae (9/2)
Rest of field:5Lady Amelie (15/1), 9Vino Bellatina (15/1), 6Hart Of Coupella (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 742813
🎯 Longshots: 473128596
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:6Spartacus (7/2)
Place:5Max Haste (5/2)
Show:4Lasting Quality (4/1)
Other contenders:2Wholelotoftrouble (5/1), 1Resolute (5/1)
Rest of field:3Kid Mo (12/1), 7Gee Pat (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 654217
🎯 Longshots: 5614723
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $62,000
Win:5Wave Rider (3/1)
Place:8Cultivate (4/1)
Show:3Quasi Warrior (5/1)
Other contenders:6Great Composer (5/1), 2The Boy's Warrior (5/1), 4Party At Sam's (5/1)
Rest of field:1Carentan (6/1), 7Cody Pass (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 583624
🎯 Longshots: 85263417
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #8, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:2Wine And Roses (4/1)
Place:1Chambourcin (6/1)
Show:7Doppio Espresso (6/1)
Other contenders:3South Boundary (5/1), 5Synoptic (8/1), 8Panama Limited (3/1)
Rest of field:4Endless Glow (10/1), 6Country Economics (8/1), 9Purple Lu Lu (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 218375
🎯 Longshots: 512478369
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #7, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) at Parx Racing — win rate

How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 235 graded races at Parx Racing, 2026-09-07 to 2026-11-05.

0%11%22%32%43%Our top pick: 34.5% from 235 racesOur top pick34.5%Morning-line favourite: 31.5% from 235 racesMorning-line favourite31.5%

The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Our top pick34.5%235
Morning-line favourite31.5%235
 
Race 1  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $22,000
Win:8Ella The Great (7/2) 25% · fair 3-1
Place:4South Street Sally (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -28%
Show:3Shoes And Handbags (6/1) 14% · fair 13-2
Other contenders:2Princess Eliana (9/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -33%, 1She's Got Moxie (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -25%, 6Spirit Powered (6/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -51%
Rest of field:5Victoria's Song (8/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -38%, 7Albali (15/1) 5% · fair 37-2
Race 1 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Ella The Great — 25.0% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Ella The Great25.0% ◀South Street Sally — 15.3% win probability, morning line 4/1South Street Sally15.3%Shoes And Handbags — 13.8% win probability, morning line 6/1Shoes And Handbags13.8%Princess Eliana — 13.0% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Princess Eliana13.0%She'S Got Moxie — 13.0% win probability, morning line 5/1She'S Got Moxie13.0%Spirit Powered — 7.5% win probability, morning line 6/1Spirit Powered7.5%Victoria'S Song — 7.2% win probability, morning line 8/1Victoria'S Song7.2%Albali — 5.2% win probability, morning line 15/1Albali5.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Ella The Great25.0%3.5/1
South Street Sally15.3%4/1
Shoes And Handbags13.8%6/1
Princess Eliana13.0%4.5/1
She'S Got Moxie13.0%5/1
Spirit Powered7.5%6/1
Victoria'S Song7.2%8/1
Albali5.2%15/1
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherElla The Great: model 25.0% vs market 18.1% (+7.0 points)Ella The Great+7.0South Street Sally: model 15.3% vs market 16.3% (-1.0 points)South Street Sally-1.0Shoes And Handbags: model 13.8% vs market 11.6% (+2.2 points)Shoes And Handbags+2.2Princess Eliana: model 13.0% vs market 14.8% (-1.8 points)Princess Eliana-1.8She'S Got Moxie: model 13.0% vs market 13.5% (-0.6 points)She'S Got Moxie-0.6Spirit Powered: model 7.5% vs market 11.6% (-4.1 points)Spirit Powered-4.1Victoria'S Song: model 7.2% vs market 9.0% (-1.8 points)Victoria'S Song-1.8Albali: model 5.2% vs market 5.1% (+0.1 points)Albali+0.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Ella The Great25.0%18.1%+7.0
South Street Sally15.3%16.3%-1.0
Shoes And Handbags13.8%11.6%+2.2
Princess Eliana13.0%14.8%-1.8
She'S Got Moxie13.0%13.5%-0.6
Spirit Powered7.5%11.6%-4.1
Victoria'S Song7.2%9.0%-1.8
Albali5.2%5.1%+0.1
🌧️ Off-track: 842136
🎯 Longshots: 83145267
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #3, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000
Win:5Burning Bridges (2/1) 28% · fair 5-2
Place:1Stormbreaker (4/1) 19% · fair 9-2
Show:6White Sport Coat (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -29%
Other contenders:3Right Wing Runner (9/2) 16% · fair 11-2, 4Global Steve (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1
Rest of field:2Gavone (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -35%
Race 2 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Burning Bridges — 27.6% win probability, morning line 2/1Burning Bridges27.6% ◀Stormbreaker — 18.9% win probability, morning line 4/1Stormbreaker18.9%White Sport Coat — 16.8% win probability, morning line 3.5/1White Sport Coat16.8%Right Wing Runner — 15.7% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Right Wing Runner15.7%Global Steve — 11.2% win probability, morning line 8/1Global Steve11.2%Gavone — 9.8% win probability, morning line 6/1Gavone9.8%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Burning Bridges27.6%2/1
Stormbreaker18.9%4/1
White Sport Coat16.8%3.5/1
Right Wing Runner15.7%4.5/1
Global Steve11.2%8/1
Gavone9.8%6/1
🌧️ Off-track: 516324
🎯 Longshots: 514362
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:5Dadoo (6/5) 56% · fair 4-5 overlay +54%
Place:6Sliver Of Sunshine (5/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -58%
Show:1Melody's Kiss (5/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -37%
Other contenders:2Spanish Girl (6/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -43%, 4Sister Marjorie (8/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -41%
Rest of field:3Azure Lady (15/1) 3% · fair 75-2 underlay -60%
Race 3 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Dadoo — 56.2% win probability, morning line 1.2/1Dadoo56.2% ◀Sliver Of Sunshine — 14.4% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Sliver Of Sunshine14.4%Melody'S Kiss — 11.2% win probability, morning line 5/1Melody'S Kiss11.2%Spanish Girl — 8.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Spanish Girl8.7%Sister Marjorie — 6.9% win probability, morning line 8/1Sister Marjorie6.9%Azure Lady — 2.6% win probability, morning line 15/1Azure Lady2.6%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Dadoo56.2%1.2/1
Sliver Of Sunshine14.4%2.5/1
Melody'S Kiss11.2%5/1
Spanish Girl8.7%6/1
Sister Marjorie6.9%8/1
Azure Lady2.6%15/1
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherDadoo: model 56.2% vs market 37.2% (+19.1 points)Dadoo+19.1Sliver Of Sunshine: model 14.4% vs market 23.4% (-9.0 points)Sliver Of Sunshine-9.0Melody'S Kiss: model 11.2% vs market 13.6% (-2.4 points)Melody'S Kiss-2.4Spanish Girl: model 8.7% vs market 11.7% (-3.0 points)Spanish Girl-3.0Sister Marjorie: model 6.9% vs market 9.1% (-2.2 points)Sister Marjorie-2.2Azure Lady: model 2.6% vs market 5.1% (-2.5 points)Azure Lady-2.5

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Dadoo56.2%37.2%+19.1
Sliver Of Sunshine14.4%23.4%-9.0
Melody'S Kiss11.2%13.6%-2.4
Spanish Girl8.7%11.7%-3.0
Sister Marjorie6.9%9.1%-2.2
Azure Lady2.6%5.1%-2.5
🌧️ Off-track: 561243
🎯 Longshots: 561423
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:6Aggregation (4/5) 62% · fair 3-5 overlay +28%
Place:1Modica (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2
Show:4Save A Prayer (5/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -52%
Other contenders:2Chip's Friend (12/1) 3% · fair 31-1 underlay -61%, 3Sophia's Prince (15/1) 3% · fair 63-2 underlay -52%
Rest of field:5Union Purrfection (15/1) 1% · fair 135-2 underlay -78%
Race 4 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Aggregation — 61.6% win probability, morning line 0.8/1Aggregation61.6% ◀Modica — 22.0% win probability, morning line 3/1Modica22.0%Save A Prayer — 8.7% win probability, morning line 5/1Save A Prayer8.7%Chip'S Friend — 3.1% win probability, morning line 12/1Chip'S Friend3.1%Sophia'S Prince — 3.1% win probability, morning line 15/1Sophia'S Prince3.1%Union Purrfection — 1.5% win probability, morning line 15/1Union Purrfection1.5%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Aggregation61.6%0.8/1
Modica22.0%3/1
Save A Prayer8.7%5/1
Chip'S Friend3.1%12/1
Sophia'S Prince3.1%15/1
Union Purrfection1.5%15/1
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherAggregation: model 61.6% vs market 47.3% (+14.3 points)Aggregation+14.3Modica: model 22.0% vs market 21.3% (+0.7 points)Modica+0.7Save A Prayer: model 8.7% vs market 14.2% (-5.4 points)Save A Prayer-5.4Chip'S Friend: model 3.1% vs market 6.6% (-3.4 points)Chip'S Friend-3.4Sophia'S Prince: model 3.1% vs market 5.3% (-2.2 points)Sophia'S Prince-2.2Union Purrfection: model 1.5% vs market 5.3% (-3.9 points)Union Purrfection-3.9

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Aggregation61.6%47.3%+14.3
Modica22.0%21.3%+0.7
Save A Prayer8.7%14.2%-5.4
Chip'S Friend3.1%6.6%-3.4
Sophia'S Prince3.1%5.3%-2.2
Union Purrfection1.5%5.3%-3.9
🌧️ Off-track: 614235
🎯 Longshots: 613245
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:1Icecreamforevryone (3/1) 26% · fair 3-1
Place:2Red Rainbow (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1
Show:7Mon Cher Amour (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -34%
Other contenders:4Irish Banba (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -32%, 3Peacefulezfeeling (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -26%, 6Yo Philly (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -28%
Rest of field:5Tiza Smokeshow (5/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -51%, 8Polar Magic (15/1) 2% · fair 103-2 underlay -71%
Race 5 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Icecreamforevryone — 25.8% win probability, morning line 3/1Icecreamforevryone25.8% ◀Red Rainbow — 16.8% win probability, morning line 4/1Red Rainbow16.8%Mon Cher Amour — 12.9% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Mon Cher Amour12.9%Irish Banba — 12.0% win probability, morning line 5/1Irish Banba12.0%Peacefulezfeeling — 10.9% win probability, morning line 6/1Peacefulezfeeling10.9%Yo Philly — 10.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Yo Philly10.7%Tiza Smokeshow — 9.0% win probability, morning line 5/1Tiza Smokeshow9.0%Polar Magic — 1.9% win probability, morning line 15/1Polar Magic1.9%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Icecreamforevryone25.8%3/1
Red Rainbow16.8%4/1
Mon Cher Amour12.9%4.5/1
Irish Banba12.0%5/1
Peacefulezfeeling10.9%6/1
Yo Philly10.7%6/1
Tiza Smokeshow9.0%5/1
Polar Magic1.9%15/1
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherIcecreamforevryone: model 25.8% vs market 19.0% (+6.8 points)Icecreamforevryone+6.8Red Rainbow: model 16.8% vs market 15.2% (+1.6 points)Red Rainbow+1.6Mon Cher Amour: model 12.9% vs market 13.8% (-1.0 points)Mon Cher Amour-1.0Irish Banba: model 12.0% vs market 12.7% (-0.7 points)Irish Banba-0.7Peacefulezfeeling: model 10.9% vs market 10.9% (+0.1 points)Peacefulezfeeling+0.1Yo Philly: model 10.7% vs market 10.9% (-0.2 points)Yo Philly-0.2Tiza Smokeshow: model 9.0% vs market 12.7% (-3.7 points)Tiza Smokeshow-3.7Polar Magic: model 1.9% vs market 4.8% (-2.8 points)Polar Magic-2.8

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Icecreamforevryone25.8%19.0%+6.8
Red Rainbow16.8%15.2%+1.6
Mon Cher Amour12.9%13.8%-1.0
Irish Banba12.0%12.7%-0.7
Peacefulezfeeling10.9%10.9%+0.1
Yo Philly10.7%10.9%-0.2
Tiza Smokeshow9.0%12.7%-3.7
Polar Magic1.9%4.8%-2.8
🌧️ Off-track: 127435
🎯 Longshots: 14723658
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
Win:7Anita Glassofwine (7/2) 27% · fair 5-2 overlay +31%
Place:4Livinginthemoment (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2
Show:1Mi Amol (10/1) 16% · fair 5-1 overlay +91%
Other contenders:2Stone Cold Loreto (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -28%, 8Winnie Mae (9/2) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -57%, 3Sand Queen (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2
Rest of field:5Lady Amelie (15/1) 4% · fair 25-1 underlay -40%, 9Vino Bellatina (15/1) 2% · fair 93-2 underlay -68%, 6Hart Of Coupella (20/1) 1% · fair 86-1 underlay -77%
Race 6 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Anita Glassofwine — 27.3% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Anita Glassofwine27.3% ◀Livinginthemoment — 21.7% win probability, morning line 3/1Livinginthemoment21.7%Mi Amol — 16.0% win probability, morning line 10/1Mi Amol16.0%Stone Cold Loreto — 10.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Stone Cold Loreto10.7%Winnie Mae — 8.7% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Winnie Mae8.7%Sand Queen — 8.6% win probability, morning line 10/1Sand Queen8.6%Lady Amelie — 3.9% win probability, morning line 15/1Lady Amelie3.9%Vino Bellatina — 2.1% win probability, morning line 15/1Vino Bellatina2.1%Hart Of Coupella — 1.2% win probability, morning line 20/1Hart Of Coupella1.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Anita Glassofwine27.3%3.5/1
Livinginthemoment21.7%3/1
Mi Amol16.0%10/1
Stone Cold Loreto10.7%6/1
Winnie Mae8.7%4.5/1
Sand Queen8.6%10/1
Lady Amelie3.9%15/1
Vino Bellatina2.1%15/1
Hart Of Coupella1.2%20/1
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherAnita Glassofwine: model 27.3% vs market 19.3% (+8.0 points)Anita Glassofwine+8.0Livinginthemoment: model 21.7% vs market 21.7% (-0.0 points)Livinginthemoment-0.0Mi Amol: model 16.0% vs market 7.9% (+8.1 points)Mi Amol+8.1Stone Cold Loreto: model 10.7% vs market 12.4% (-1.8 points)Stone Cold Loreto-1.8Winnie Mae: model 8.7% vs market 15.8% (-7.1 points)Winnie Mae-7.1Sand Queen: model 8.6% vs market 7.9% (+0.7 points)Sand Queen+0.7Lady Amelie: model 3.9% vs market 5.4% (-1.6 points)Lady Amelie-1.6Vino Bellatina: model 2.1% vs market 5.4% (-3.3 points)Vino Bellatina-3.3Hart Of Coupella: model 1.2% vs market 4.1% (-3.0 points)Hart Of Coupella-3.0

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Anita Glassofwine27.3%19.3%+8.0
Livinginthemoment21.7%21.7%-0.0
Mi Amol16.0%7.9%+8.1
Stone Cold Loreto10.7%12.4%-1.8
Winnie Mae8.7%15.8%-7.1
Sand Queen8.6%7.9%+0.7
Lady Amelie3.9%5.4%-1.6
Vino Bellatina2.1%5.4%-3.3
Hart Of Coupella1.2%4.1%-3.0
🌧️ Off-track: 748213
🎯 Longshots: 473128596
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:6Spartacus (7/2) 27% · fair 5-2 overlay +32%
Place:4Lasting Quality (4/1) 23% · fair 7-2
Show:2Wholelotoftrouble (5/1) 15% · fair 11-2
Other contenders:5Max Haste (5/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -58%, 1Resolute (5/1) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -27%
Rest of field:3Kid Mo (12/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -47%, 7Gee Pat (5/1) 3% · fair 33-1 underlay -85%
Race 7 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Spartacus — 27.4% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Spartacus27.4% ◀Lasting Quality — 23.2% win probability, morning line 4/1Lasting Quality23.2%Wholelotoftrouble — 14.9% win probability, morning line 5/1Wholelotoftrouble14.9%Max Haste — 14.4% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Max Haste14.4%Resolute — 12.8% win probability, morning line 5/1Resolute12.8%Kid Mo — 4.2% win probability, morning line 12/1Kid Mo4.2%Gee Pat — 2.9% win probability, morning line 5/1Gee Pat2.9%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Spartacus27.4%3.5/1
Lasting Quality23.2%4/1
Wholelotoftrouble14.9%5/1
Max Haste14.4%2.5/1
Resolute12.8%5/1
Kid Mo4.2%12/1
Gee Pat2.9%5/1
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherSpartacus: model 27.4% vs market 17.3% (+10.1 points)Spartacus+10.1Lasting Quality: model 23.2% vs market 15.6% (+7.7 points)Lasting Quality+7.7Wholelotoftrouble: model 14.9% vs market 13.0% (+2.0 points)Wholelotoftrouble+2.0Max Haste: model 14.4% vs market 22.2% (-7.8 points)Max Haste-7.8Resolute: model 12.8% vs market 13.0% (-0.2 points)Resolute-0.2Kid Mo: model 4.2% vs market 6.0% (-1.8 points)Kid Mo-1.8Gee Pat: model 2.9% vs market 13.0% (-10.0 points)Gee Pat-10.0

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Spartacus27.4%17.3%+10.1
Lasting Quality23.2%15.6%+7.7
Wholelotoftrouble14.9%13.0%+2.0
Max Haste14.4%22.2%-7.8
Resolute12.8%13.0%-0.2
Kid Mo4.2%6.0%-1.8
Gee Pat2.9%13.0%-10.0
🌧️ Off-track: 645217
🎯 Longshots: 5614723
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $62,000
Win:5Wave Rider (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -34%
Place:8Cultivate (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1
Show:3Quasi Warrior (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2
Other contenders:6Great Composer (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -29%, 2The Boy's Warrior (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -34%, 4Party At Sam's (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -35%
Rest of field:1Carentan (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -34%, 7Cody Pass (6/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -61%
Race 8 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Wave Rider — 18.1% win probability, morning line 3/1Wave Rider18.1% ◀Cultivate — 17.0% win probability, morning line 4/1Cultivate17.0%Quasi Warrior — 13.3% win probability, morning line 5/1Quasi Warrior13.3%Great Composer — 12.4% win probability, morning line 5/1Great Composer12.4%The Boy'S Warrior — 11.6% win probability, morning line 5/1The Boy'S Warrior11.6%Party At Sam'S — 11.6% win probability, morning line 5/1Party At Sam'S11.6%Carentan — 9.9% win probability, morning line 6/1Carentan9.9%Cody Pass — 6.0% win probability, morning line 6/1Cody Pass6.0%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Wave Rider18.1%3/1
Cultivate17.0%4/1
Quasi Warrior13.3%5/1
Great Composer12.4%5/1
The Boy'S Warrior11.6%5/1
Party At Sam'S11.6%5/1
Carentan9.9%6/1
Cody Pass6.0%6/1
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherWave Rider: model 18.1% vs market 17.8% (+0.3 points)Wave Rider+0.3Cultivate: model 17.0% vs market 14.3% (+2.8 points)Cultivate+2.8Quasi Warrior: model 13.3% vs market 11.9% (+1.4 points)Quasi Warrior+1.4Great Composer: model 12.4% vs market 11.9% (+0.5 points)Great Composer+0.5The Boy'S Warrior: model 11.6% vs market 11.9% (-0.3 points)The Boy'S Warrior-0.3Party At Sam'S: model 11.6% vs market 11.9% (-0.3 points)Party At Sam'S-0.3Carentan: model 9.9% vs market 10.2% (-0.3 points)Carentan-0.3Cody Pass: model 6.0% vs market 10.2% (-4.1 points)Cody Pass-4.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Wave Rider18.1%17.8%+0.3
Cultivate17.0%14.3%+2.8
Quasi Warrior13.3%11.9%+1.4
Great Composer12.4%11.9%+0.5
The Boy'S Warrior11.6%11.9%-0.3
Party At Sam'S11.6%11.9%-0.3
Carentan9.9%10.2%-0.3
Cody Pass6.0%10.2%-4.1
🌧️ Off-track: 583624
🎯 Longshots: 85263417
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #8, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:2Wine And Roses (4/1) 23% · fair 7-2
Place:1Chambourcin (6/1) 15% · fair 6-1
Show:5Synoptic (8/1) 14% · fair 6-1 overlay +34%
Other contenders:7Doppio Espresso (6/1) 14% · fair 13-2, 3South Boundary (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -30%, 8Panama Limited (3/1) 11% · fair 15-2 underlay -61%
Rest of field:4Endless Glow (10/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 6Country Economics (8/1) 2% · fair 81-2 underlay -80%, 9Purple Lu Lu (20/1) 1% · fair 167-2 underlay -76%
Race 9 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Wine And Roses — 22.9% win probability, morning line 4/1Wine And Roses22.9% ◀Chambourcin — 14.6% win probability, morning line 6/1Chambourcin14.6%Synoptic — 14.3% win probability, morning line 8/1Synoptic14.3%Doppio Espresso — 13.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Doppio Espresso13.7%South Boundary — 12.3% win probability, morning line 5/1South Boundary12.3%Panama Limited — 11.5% win probability, morning line 3/1Panama Limited11.5%Endless Glow — 7.1% win probability, morning line 10/1Endless Glow7.1%Country Economics — 2.4% win probability, morning line 8/1Country Economics2.4%Purple Lu Lu — 1.2% win probability, morning line 20/1Purple Lu Lu1.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Wine And Roses22.9%4/1
Chambourcin14.6%6/1
Synoptic14.3%8/1
Doppio Espresso13.7%6/1
South Boundary12.3%5/1
Panama Limited11.5%3/1
Endless Glow7.1%10/1
Country Economics2.4%8/1
Purple Lu Lu1.2%20/1
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherWine And Roses: model 22.9% vs market 15.8% (+7.1 points)Wine And Roses+7.1Chambourcin: model 14.6% vs market 11.3% (+3.2 points)Chambourcin+3.2Synoptic: model 14.3% vs market 8.8% (+5.5 points)Synoptic+5.5Doppio Espresso: model 13.7% vs market 11.3% (+2.4 points)Doppio Espresso+2.4South Boundary: model 12.3% vs market 13.2% (-0.9 points)South Boundary-0.9Panama Limited: model 11.5% vs market 19.8% (-8.3 points)Panama Limited-8.3Endless Glow: model 7.1% vs market 7.2% (-0.1 points)Endless Glow-0.1Country Economics: model 2.4% vs market 8.8% (-6.4 points)Country Economics-6.4Purple Lu Lu: model 1.2% vs market 3.8% (-2.6 points)Purple Lu Lu-2.6

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Wine And Roses22.9%15.8%+7.1
Chambourcin14.6%11.3%+3.2
Synoptic14.3%8.8%+5.5
Doppio Espresso13.7%11.3%+2.4
South Boundary12.3%13.2%-0.9
Panama Limited11.5%19.8%-8.3
Endless Glow7.1%7.2%-0.1
Country Economics2.4%8.8%-6.4
Purple Lu Lu1.2%3.8%-2.6
🌧️ Off-track: 281375
🎯 Longshots: 512478369
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
 
Race 1  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $22,000
Win:8Ella The Great (7/2)
Place:4South Street Sally (4/1)
Show:2Princess Eliana (9/2)
Other contenders:1She's Got Moxie (5/1), 3Shoes And Handbags (6/1), 5Victoria's Song (8/1)
Rest of field:6Spirit Powered (6/1), 7Albali (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 842136
🎯 Longshots: 83145267
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #2, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000
Win:5Burning Bridges (2/1)
Place:1Stormbreaker (4/1)
Show:3Right Wing Runner (9/2)
Other contenders:6White Sport Coat (7/2), 2Gavone (6/1)
Rest of field:4Global Steve (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 513624
🎯 Longshots: 514362
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:5Dadoo (6/5)
Place:6Sliver Of Sunshine (5/2)
Show:1Melody's Kiss (5/1)
Other contenders:2Spanish Girl (6/1), 4Sister Marjorie (8/1)
Rest of field:3Azure Lady (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 561243
🎯 Longshots: 561423
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:6Aggregation (4/5)
Place:1Modica (3/1)
Show:4Save A Prayer (5/1)
Other contenders:2Chip's Friend (12/1), 3Sophia's Prince (15/1)
Rest of field:5Union Purrfection (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 614235
🎯 Longshots: 613245
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:1Icecreamforevryone (3/1)
Place:2Red Rainbow (4/1)
Show:3Peacefulezfeeling (6/1)
Other contenders:6Yo Philly (6/1), 7Mon Cher Amour (9/2), 4Irish Banba (5/1)
Rest of field:5Tiza Smokeshow (5/1), 8Polar Magic (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 127436
🎯 Longshots: 14723658
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
Win:7Anita Glassofwine (7/2)
Place:4Livinginthemoment (3/1)
Show:1Mi Amol (10/1)
Other contenders:8Winnie Mae (9/2), 3Sand Queen (10/1), 2Stone Cold Loreto (6/1)
Rest of field:5Lady Amelie (15/1), 6Hart Of Coupella (20/1), 9Vino Bellatina (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 478213
🎯 Longshots: 473128596
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #1, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:6Spartacus (7/2)
Place:5Max Haste (5/2)
Show:1Resolute (5/1)
Other contenders:4Lasting Quality (4/1), 2Wholelotoftrouble (5/1)
Rest of field:7Gee Pat (5/1), 3Kid Mo (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 564127
🎯 Longshots: 5614723
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $62,000
Win:5Wave Rider (3/1)
Place:8Cultivate (4/1)
Show:2The Boy's Warrior (5/1)
Other contenders:6Great Composer (5/1), 3Quasi Warrior (5/1), 4Party At Sam's (5/1)
Rest of field:1Carentan (6/1), 7Cody Pass (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 582634
🎯 Longshots: 85263417
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #8, #2, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:1Chambourcin (6/1) no strong opinion
This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection.
Place:2Wine And Roses (4/1)
Show:3South Boundary (5/1)
Other contenders:5Synoptic (8/1), 8Panama Limited (3/1), 4Endless Glow (10/1)
Rest of field:7Doppio Espresso (6/1), 6Country Economics (8/1), 9Purple Lu Lu (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 821375
🎯 Longshots: 512478369
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #8 over #4 ($1 straight; box #8-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #8, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #5 over #1 ($1 straight; box #5-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #5, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #5 over #6 ($1 straight; box #5-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #5 over #1, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #6 over #1 ($1 straight; box #6-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #6 over #1, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #1 over #2 ($1 straight; box #1-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #4 over #7 ($1 straight; box #4-#7 for cover)
Trifecta: #7 over #4, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #5 over #6 ($1 straight; box #5-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #6 over #5, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #8 over #5 ($1 straight; box #8-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #8 over #5, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 9AI Exacta: #1 over #2 ($1 straight; box #1-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #2, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $22,000
Win:8Ella The Great (7/2)
Place:4South Street Sally (4/1)
Show:2Princess Eliana (9/2)
Other contenders:3Shoes And Handbags (6/1), 1She's Got Moxie (5/1), 6Spirit Powered (6/1)
Rest of field:5Victoria's Song (8/1), 7Albali (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 842136
🎯 Longshots: 83145267
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #2, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000
Win:1Stormbreaker (4/1)
Place:3Right Wing Runner (9/2)
Show:5Burning Bridges (2/1)
Other contenders:6White Sport Coat (7/2), 4Global Steve (8/1)
Rest of field:2Gavone (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 513624
🎯 Longshots: 514362
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:5Dadoo (6/5)
Place:6Sliver Of Sunshine (5/2)
Show:2Spanish Girl (6/1)
Other contenders:1Melody's Kiss (5/1), 4Sister Marjorie (8/1)
Rest of field:3Azure Lady (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 561243
🎯 Longshots: 561423
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #2, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:6Aggregation (4/5)
Place:1Modica (3/1)
Show:4Save A Prayer (5/1)
Other contenders:3Sophia's Prince (15/1), 2Chip's Friend (12/1)
Rest of field:5Union Purrfection (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 614235
🎯 Longshots: 613245
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:1Icecreamforevryone (3/1)
Place:2Red Rainbow (4/1)
Show:6Yo Philly (6/1)
Other contenders:7Mon Cher Amour (9/2), 3Peacefulezfeeling (6/1), 5Tiza Smokeshow (5/1)
Rest of field:4Irish Banba (5/1), 8Polar Magic (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 127654
🎯 Longshots: 14723658
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #6, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
Win:7Anita Glassofwine (7/2)
Place:1Mi Amol (10/1)
Show:3Sand Queen (10/1)
Other contenders:4Livinginthemoment (3/1), 2Stone Cold Loreto (6/1), 8Winnie Mae (9/2)
Rest of field:5Lady Amelie (15/1), 9Vino Bellatina (15/1), 6Hart Of Coupella (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 748213
🎯 Longshots: 473128596
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:1Resolute (5/1)
Place:6Spartacus (7/2)
Show:5Max Haste (5/2)
Other contenders:2Wholelotoftrouble (5/1), 4Lasting Quality (4/1)
Rest of field:7Gee Pat (5/1), 3Kid Mo (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 561427
🎯 Longshots: 5614723
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #5, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $62,000
Win:5Wave Rider (3/1)
Place:3Quasi Warrior (5/1)
Show:4Party At Sam's (5/1)
Other contenders:2The Boy's Warrior (5/1), 6Great Composer (5/1), 8Cultivate (4/1)
Rest of field:1Carentan (6/1), 7Cody Pass (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 538426
🎯 Longshots: 85263417
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:1Chambourcin (6/1)
Place:2Wine And Roses (4/1)
Show:5Synoptic (8/1)
Other contenders:8Panama Limited (3/1), 7Doppio Espresso (6/1), 4Endless Glow (10/1)
Rest of field:3South Boundary (5/1), 6Country Economics (8/1), 9Purple Lu Lu (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 821375
🎯 Longshots: 512478369
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $22,000
Win:1She's Got Moxie (5/1)
Place:8Ella The Great (7/2)
Show:4South Street Sally (4/1)
Other contenders:2Princess Eliana (9/2), 3Shoes And Handbags (6/1), 5Victoria's Song (8/1)
Rest of field:6Spirit Powered (6/1), 7Albali (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 841236
🎯 Longshots: 83145267
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000
Win:1Stormbreaker (4/1)
Place:5Burning Bridges (2/1)
Show:3Right Wing Runner (9/2)
Other contenders:6White Sport Coat (7/2), 4Global Steve (8/1)
Rest of field:2Gavone (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 516324
🎯 Longshots: 514362
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:5Dadoo (6/5)
Place:1Melody's Kiss (5/1)
Show:6Sliver Of Sunshine (5/2)
Other contenders:2Spanish Girl (6/1), 4Sister Marjorie (8/1)
Rest of field:3Azure Lady (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 561243
🎯 Longshots: 561423
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:6Aggregation (4/5)
Place:1Modica (3/1)
Show:4Save A Prayer (5/1)
Other contenders:2Chip's Friend (12/1), 3Sophia's Prince (15/1)
Rest of field:5Union Purrfection (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 614235
🎯 Longshots: 613245
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:1Icecreamforevryone (3/1)
Place:2Red Rainbow (4/1)
Show:3Peacefulezfeeling (6/1)
Other contenders:6Yo Philly (6/1), 4Irish Banba (5/1), 7Mon Cher Amour (9/2)
Rest of field:5Tiza Smokeshow (5/1), 8Polar Magic (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 123746
🎯 Longshots: 14723658
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
Win:7Anita Glassofwine (7/2)
Place:4Livinginthemoment (3/1)
Show:1Mi Amol (10/1)
Other contenders:3Sand Queen (10/1), 2Stone Cold Loreto (6/1), 5Lady Amelie (15/1)
Rest of field:8Winnie Mae (9/2), 6Hart Of Coupella (20/1), 9Vino Bellatina (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 748213
🎯 Longshots: 473128596
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #1, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:6Spartacus (7/2)
Place:5Max Haste (5/2)
Show:1Resolute (5/1)
Other contenders:4Lasting Quality (4/1), 2Wholelotoftrouble (5/1)
Rest of field:7Gee Pat (5/1), 3Kid Mo (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 561427
🎯 Longshots: 5614723
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $62,000
Win:8Cultivate (4/1)
Place:5Wave Rider (3/1)
Show:3Quasi Warrior (5/1)
Other contenders:6Great Composer (5/1), 2The Boy's Warrior (5/1), 1Carentan (6/1)
Rest of field:4Party At Sam's (5/1), 7Cody Pass (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 583624
🎯 Longshots: 85263417
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #5, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:1Chambourcin (6/1)
Place:2Wine And Roses (4/1)
Show:5Synoptic (8/1)
Other contenders:3South Boundary (5/1), 7Doppio Espresso (6/1), 8Panama Limited (3/1)
Rest of field:4Endless Glow (10/1), 6Country Economics (8/1), 9Purple Lu Lu (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 281375
🎯 Longshots: 512478369
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets – Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R1-3R1: #8,#4,#3 (54%) / R2: #5,#1,#6 (63%) / R3: #5,#6 (71%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 24%
Pick 3 R2-4R2: #5,#1,#6 (63%) / R3: #5,#6 (71%) / R4: #6 (62%)
$6 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 27%
Pick 3 R3-5R3: #5,#6 (71%) / R4: #6 (62%) / R5: #1,#2,#7 (55%)
$6 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 24%
Pick 3 R4-6R4: #6 (62%) / R5: #1,#2,#7 (55%) / R6: #7,#4,#1 (65%)
$9 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 22%
Pick 4 R2-5R2: #5,#1,#6 (63%) / R3: #5,#6 (71%) / R4: #6 (62%) / R5: #1,#2,#7 (55%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 15%
Pick 4 R3-6R3: #5,#6 (71%) / R4: #6 (62%) / R5: #1,#2,#7 (55%) / R6: #7,#4,#1 (65%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 16%
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
AGGREGATIONALBALIANITA GLASSOFWINEAZURE LADYBURNING BRIDGES
CHAMBOURCINCHIP'S FRIENDCODY PASSCOUNTRY ECONOMICSCULTIVATE
DOPPIO ESPRESSOELLA THE GREATENDLESS GLOWGAVONEGEE PAT
GREAT COMPOSERHART OF COUPELLAICECREAMFOREVRYONEIRISH BANBAKID MO
LASTING QUALITYLIVINGINTHEMOMENTMAX HASTEMELODY'S KISSMI AMOL
MON CHER AMOURPANAMA LIMITEDPARTY AT SAM'SPEACEFULEZFEELINGPOLAR MAGIC
PURPLE LU LUQUASI WARRIORRED RAINBOWRESOLUTERIGHT WING RUNNER
SAVE A PRAYERSHE'S GOT MOXIESHOES AND HANDBAGSSISTER MARJORIESLIVER OF SUNSHINE
SOUTH BOUNDARYSOUTH STREET SALLYSPANISH GIRLSPARTACUSSPIRIT POWERED
STORMBREAKERSYNOPTICTHE BOY'S WARRIORTIZA SMOKESHOWUNION PURRFECTION
VINO BELLATINAWAVE RIDERWHITE SPORT COATWHOLELOTOFTROUBLEWINE AND ROSES
YO PHILLY

 


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