Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 8Ella The Great (7/2) |
| Place: | 4South Street Sally (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Shoes And Handbags (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1She's Got Moxie (5/1), 2Princess Eliana (9/2), 5Victoria's Song (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Spirit Powered (6/1), 7Albali (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 843216 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 83145267 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Burning Bridges (2/1) |
| Place: | 1Stormbreaker (4/1) |
| Show: | 6White Sport Coat (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Right Wing Runner (9/2), 4Global Steve (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Gavone (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 516342 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 514362 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Dadoo (6/5) |
| Place: | 6Sliver Of Sunshine (5/2) |
| Show: | 1Melody's Kiss (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Spanish Girl (6/1), 4Sister Marjorie (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Azure Lady (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 561243 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 561423 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Aggregation (4/5) |
| Place: | 1Modica (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Save A Prayer (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Sophia's Prince (15/1), 2Chip's Friend (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Union Purrfection (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 614235 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 613245 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1Icecreamforevryone (3/1) |
| Place: | 2Red Rainbow (4/1) |
| Show: | 4Irish Banba (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Mon Cher Amour (9/2), 3Peacefulezfeeling (6/1), 6Yo Philly (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Tiza Smokeshow (5/1), 8Polar Magic (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 124736 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 14723658 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 7Anita Glassofwine (7/2) |
| Place: | 4Livinginthemoment (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Mi Amol (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Stone Cold Loreto (6/1), 3Sand Queen (10/1), 8Winnie Mae (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5Lady Amelie (15/1), 9Vino Bellatina (15/1), 6Hart Of Coupella (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 742813 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 473128596 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 6Spartacus (7/2) |
| Place: | 5Max Haste (5/2) |
| Show: | 4Lasting Quality (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Wholelotoftrouble (5/1), 1Resolute (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Kid Mo (12/1), 7Gee Pat (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 654217 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5614723 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $62,000 | |
| Win: | 5Wave Rider (3/1) |
| Place: | 8Cultivate (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Quasi Warrior (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Great Composer (5/1), 2The Boy's Warrior (5/1), 4Party At Sam's (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Carentan (6/1), 7Cody Pass (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 583624 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 85263417 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #8, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 2Wine And Roses (4/1) |
| Place: | 1Chambourcin (6/1) |
| Show: | 7Doppio Espresso (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3South Boundary (5/1), 5Synoptic (8/1), 8Panama Limited (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Endless Glow (10/1), 6Country Economics (8/1), 9Purple Lu Lu (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 218375 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 512478369 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 235 graded races at Parx Racing, 2026-09-07 to 2026-11-05.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 34.5% | 235 |
| Morning-line favourite | 31.5% | 235 |
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 8Ella The Great (7/2) 25% · fair 3-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 4South Street Sally (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -28% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Shoes And Handbags (6/1) 14% · fair 13-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Princess Eliana (9/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -33%, 1She's Got Moxie (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -25%, 6Spirit Powered (6/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -51% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Victoria's Song (8/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -38%, 7Albali (15/1) 5% · fair 37-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 1 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 842136 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 83145267 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Burning Bridges (2/1) 28% · fair 5-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Stormbreaker (4/1) 19% · fair 9-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6White Sport Coat (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -29% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Right Wing Runner (9/2) 16% · fair 11-2, 4Global Steve (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Gavone (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -35% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 2 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 516324 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 514362 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Dadoo (6/5) 56% · fair 4-5 overlay +54% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Sliver Of Sunshine (5/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -58% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Melody's Kiss (5/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -37% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Spanish Girl (6/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -43%, 4Sister Marjorie (8/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -41% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3Azure Lady (15/1) 3% · fair 75-2 underlay -60% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 3 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 561243 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 561423 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Aggregation (4/5) 62% · fair 3-5 overlay +28% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Modica (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 4Save A Prayer (5/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -52% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Chip's Friend (12/1) 3% · fair 31-1 underlay -61%, 3Sophia's Prince (15/1) 3% · fair 63-2 underlay -52% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Union Purrfection (15/1) 1% · fair 135-2 underlay -78% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 4 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 614235 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 613245 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 1Icecreamforevryone (3/1) 26% · fair 3-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2Red Rainbow (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 7Mon Cher Amour (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -34% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 4Irish Banba (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -32%, 3Peacefulezfeeling (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -26%, 6Yo Philly (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -28% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Tiza Smokeshow (5/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -51%, 8Polar Magic (15/1) 2% · fair 103-2 underlay -71% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 5 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 127435 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 14723658 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 7Anita Glassofwine (7/2) 27% · fair 5-2 overlay +31% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 4Livinginthemoment (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Mi Amol (10/1) 16% · fair 5-1 overlay +91% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Stone Cold Loreto (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -28%, 8Winnie Mae (9/2) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -57%, 3Sand Queen (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Lady Amelie (15/1) 4% · fair 25-1 underlay -40%, 9Vino Bellatina (15/1) 2% · fair 93-2 underlay -68%, 6Hart Of Coupella (20/1) 1% · fair 86-1 underlay -77% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 6 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 748213 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 473128596 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Spartacus (7/2) 27% · fair 5-2 overlay +32% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 4Lasting Quality (4/1) 23% · fair 7-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Wholelotoftrouble (5/1) 15% · fair 11-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 5Max Haste (5/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -58%, 1Resolute (5/1) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -27% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3Kid Mo (12/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -47%, 7Gee Pat (5/1) 3% · fair 33-1 underlay -85% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 7 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 645217 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 5614723 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $62,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Wave Rider (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -34% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 8Cultivate (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Quasi Warrior (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Great Composer (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -29%, 2The Boy's Warrior (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -34%, 4Party At Sam's (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -35% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Carentan (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -34%, 7Cody Pass (6/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -61% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 8 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 583624 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 85263417 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #8, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 2Wine And Roses (4/1) 23% · fair 7-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Chambourcin (6/1) 15% · fair 6-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Synoptic (8/1) 14% · fair 6-1 overlay +34% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 7Doppio Espresso (6/1) 14% · fair 13-2, 3South Boundary (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -30%, 8Panama Limited (3/1) 11% · fair 15-2 underlay -61% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Endless Glow (10/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 6Country Economics (8/1) 2% · fair 81-2 underlay -80%, 9Purple Lu Lu (20/1) 1% · fair 167-2 underlay -76% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 9 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 281375 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 512478369 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 8Ella The Great (7/2) |
| Place: | 4South Street Sally (4/1) |
| Show: | 2Princess Eliana (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1She's Got Moxie (5/1), 3Shoes And Handbags (6/1), 5Victoria's Song (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Spirit Powered (6/1), 7Albali (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 842136 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 83145267 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000 | |
| Win: | 5Burning Bridges (2/1) |
| Place: | 1Stormbreaker (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Right Wing Runner (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6White Sport Coat (7/2), 2Gavone (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Global Steve (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 513624 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 514362 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 5Dadoo (6/5) |
| Place: | 6Sliver Of Sunshine (5/2) |
| Show: | 1Melody's Kiss (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Spanish Girl (6/1), 4Sister Marjorie (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Azure Lady (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 561243 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 561423 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 6Aggregation (4/5) |
| Place: | 1Modica (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Save A Prayer (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Chip's Friend (12/1), 3Sophia's Prince (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Union Purrfection (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 614235 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 613245 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 1Icecreamforevryone (3/1) |
| Place: | 2Red Rainbow (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Peacefulezfeeling (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Yo Philly (6/1), 7Mon Cher Amour (9/2), 4Irish Banba (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Tiza Smokeshow (5/1), 8Polar Magic (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 127436 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 14723658 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 7Anita Glassofwine (7/2) |
| Place: | 4Livinginthemoment (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Mi Amol (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Winnie Mae (9/2), 3Sand Queen (10/1), 2Stone Cold Loreto (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Lady Amelie (15/1), 6Hart Of Coupella (20/1), 9Vino Bellatina (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 478213 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 473128596 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #1, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 6Spartacus (7/2) |
| Place: | 5Max Haste (5/2) |
| Show: | 1Resolute (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Lasting Quality (4/1), 2Wholelotoftrouble (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Gee Pat (5/1), 3Kid Mo (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 564127 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5614723 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $62,000 | |
| Win: | 5Wave Rider (3/1) |
| Place: | 8Cultivate (4/1) |
| Show: | 2The Boy's Warrior (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Great Composer (5/1), 3Quasi Warrior (5/1), 4Party At Sam's (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Carentan (6/1), 7Cody Pass (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 582634 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 85263417 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #8, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 1Chambourcin (6/1) no strong opinion This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection. |
| Place: | 2Wine And Roses (4/1) |
| Show: | 3South Boundary (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Synoptic (8/1), 8Panama Limited (3/1), 4Endless Glow (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Doppio Espresso (6/1), 6Country Economics (8/1), 9Purple Lu Lu (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 821375 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 512478369 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #8 over #4 ($1 straight; box #8-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #8, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #5 over #1 ($1 straight; box #5-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #5, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #5 over #6 ($1 straight; box #5-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #1, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #6 over #1 ($1 straight; box #6-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #1, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #1 over #2 ($1 straight; box #1-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #4 over #7 ($1 straight; box #4-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #7 over #4, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #5 over #6 ($1 straight; box #5-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #5, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #8 over #5 ($1 straight; box #8-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #8 over #5, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 9 | AI Exacta: #1 over #2 ($1 straight; box #1-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 8Ella The Great (7/2) |
| Place: | 4South Street Sally (4/1) |
| Show: | 2Princess Eliana (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Shoes And Handbags (6/1), 1She's Got Moxie (5/1), 6Spirit Powered (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Victoria's Song (8/1), 7Albali (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 842136 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 83145267 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000 | |
| Win: | 1Stormbreaker (4/1) |
| Place: | 3Right Wing Runner (9/2) |
| Show: | 5Burning Bridges (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6White Sport Coat (7/2), 4Global Steve (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Gavone (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 513624 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 514362 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 5Dadoo (6/5) |
| Place: | 6Sliver Of Sunshine (5/2) |
| Show: | 2Spanish Girl (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Melody's Kiss (5/1), 4Sister Marjorie (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Azure Lady (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 561243 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 561423 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 6Aggregation (4/5) |
| Place: | 1Modica (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Save A Prayer (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Sophia's Prince (15/1), 2Chip's Friend (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Union Purrfection (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 614235 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 613245 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 1Icecreamforevryone (3/1) |
| Place: | 2Red Rainbow (4/1) |
| Show: | 6Yo Philly (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Mon Cher Amour (9/2), 3Peacefulezfeeling (6/1), 5Tiza Smokeshow (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Irish Banba (5/1), 8Polar Magic (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 127654 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 14723658 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 7Anita Glassofwine (7/2) |
| Place: | 1Mi Amol (10/1) |
| Show: | 3Sand Queen (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Livinginthemoment (3/1), 2Stone Cold Loreto (6/1), 8Winnie Mae (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5Lady Amelie (15/1), 9Vino Bellatina (15/1), 6Hart Of Coupella (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 748213 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 473128596 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 1Resolute (5/1) |
| Place: | 6Spartacus (7/2) |
| Show: | 5Max Haste (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2Wholelotoftrouble (5/1), 4Lasting Quality (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Gee Pat (5/1), 3Kid Mo (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 561427 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5614723 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $62,000 | |
| Win: | 5Wave Rider (3/1) |
| Place: | 3Quasi Warrior (5/1) |
| Show: | 4Party At Sam's (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2The Boy's Warrior (5/1), 6Great Composer (5/1), 8Cultivate (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Carentan (6/1), 7Cody Pass (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 538426 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 85263417 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 1Chambourcin (6/1) |
| Place: | 2Wine And Roses (4/1) |
| Show: | 5Synoptic (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Panama Limited (3/1), 7Doppio Espresso (6/1), 4Endless Glow (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3South Boundary (5/1), 6Country Economics (8/1), 9Purple Lu Lu (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 821375 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 512478369 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 1She's Got Moxie (5/1) |
| Place: | 8Ella The Great (7/2) |
| Show: | 4South Street Sally (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Princess Eliana (9/2), 3Shoes And Handbags (6/1), 5Victoria's Song (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Spirit Powered (6/1), 7Albali (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 841236 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 83145267 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000 | |
| Win: | 1Stormbreaker (4/1) |
| Place: | 5Burning Bridges (2/1) |
| Show: | 3Right Wing Runner (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6White Sport Coat (7/2), 4Global Steve (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Gavone (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 516324 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 514362 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 5Dadoo (6/5) |
| Place: | 1Melody's Kiss (5/1) |
| Show: | 6Sliver Of Sunshine (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2Spanish Girl (6/1), 4Sister Marjorie (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Azure Lady (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 561243 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 561423 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 6Aggregation (4/5) |
| Place: | 1Modica (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Save A Prayer (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Chip's Friend (12/1), 3Sophia's Prince (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Union Purrfection (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 614235 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 613245 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 1Icecreamforevryone (3/1) |
| Place: | 2Red Rainbow (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Peacefulezfeeling (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Yo Philly (6/1), 4Irish Banba (5/1), 7Mon Cher Amour (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5Tiza Smokeshow (5/1), 8Polar Magic (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 123746 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 14723658 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 7Anita Glassofwine (7/2) |
| Place: | 4Livinginthemoment (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Mi Amol (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Sand Queen (10/1), 2Stone Cold Loreto (6/1), 5Lady Amelie (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Winnie Mae (9/2), 6Hart Of Coupella (20/1), 9Vino Bellatina (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 748213 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 473128596 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 6Spartacus (7/2) |
| Place: | 5Max Haste (5/2) |
| Show: | 1Resolute (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Lasting Quality (4/1), 2Wholelotoftrouble (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Gee Pat (5/1), 3Kid Mo (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 561427 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5614723 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $62,000 | |
| Win: | 8Cultivate (4/1) |
| Place: | 5Wave Rider (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Quasi Warrior (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Great Composer (5/1), 2The Boy's Warrior (5/1), 1Carentan (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Party At Sam's (5/1), 7Cody Pass (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 583624 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 85263417 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #5, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 1Chambourcin (6/1) |
| Place: | 2Wine And Roses (4/1) |
| Show: | 5Synoptic (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3South Boundary (5/1), 7Doppio Espresso (6/1), 8Panama Limited (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Endless Glow (10/1), 6Country Economics (8/1), 9Purple Lu Lu (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 281375 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 512478369 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #8,#4,#3 (54%) / R2: #5,#1,#6 (63%) / R3: #5,#6 (71%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 24% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #5,#1,#6 (63%) / R3: #5,#6 (71%) / R4: #6 (62%) $6 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 27% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #5,#6 (71%) / R4: #6 (62%) / R5: #1,#2,#7 (55%) $6 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 24% |
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #6 (62%) / R5: #1,#2,#7 (55%) / R6: #7,#4,#1 (65%) $9 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 22% |
| Pick 4 R2-5 | R2: #5,#1,#6 (63%) / R3: #5,#6 (71%) / R4: #6 (62%) / R5: #1,#2,#7 (55%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 15% |
| Pick 4 R3-6 | R3: #5,#6 (71%) / R4: #6 (62%) / R5: #1,#2,#7 (55%) / R6: #7,#4,#1 (65%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 16% |
| AGGREGATION | ALBALI | ANITA GLASSOFWINE | AZURE LADY | BURNING BRIDGES |
| CHAMBOURCIN | CHIP'S FRIEND | CODY PASS | COUNTRY ECONOMICS | CULTIVATE |
| DOPPIO ESPRESSO | ELLA THE GREAT | ENDLESS GLOW | GAVONE | GEE PAT |
| GREAT COMPOSER | HART OF COUPELLA | ICECREAMFOREVRYONE | IRISH BANBA | KID MO |
| LASTING QUALITY | LIVINGINTHEMOMENT | MAX HASTE | MELODY'S KISS | MI AMOL |
| MON CHER AMOUR | PANAMA LIMITED | PARTY AT SAM'S | PEACEFULEZFEELING | POLAR MAGIC |
| PURPLE LU LU | QUASI WARRIOR | RED RAINBOW | RESOLUTE | RIGHT WING RUNNER |
| SAVE A PRAYER | SHE'S GOT MOXIE | SHOES AND HANDBAGS | SISTER MARJORIE | SLIVER OF SUNSHINE |
| SOUTH BOUNDARY | SOUTH STREET SALLY | SPANISH GIRL | SPARTACUS | SPIRIT POWERED |
| STORMBREAKER | SYNOPTIC | THE BOY'S WARRIOR | TIZA SMOKESHOW | UNION PURRFECTION |
| VINO BELLATINA | WAVE RIDER | WHITE SPORT COAT | WHOLELOTOFTROUBLE | WINE AND ROSES |
| YO PHILLY |
Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
