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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.

How often our pick wins, by its price

AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.

Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.

Show the numbers

Group	Win rate	Races
Odds-on to 5/2	41.1%	2,566
5/2 to 5/1	29.6%	2,334
Longer than 5/1	30.2%	86

Consensus Expert Picks

Consensus rankings based on 6 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.

Race 1

Pick	Horse	Experts	Agreement	Score
Win:	5 – Mysterioso (2-1) ⭐	6/6	100.0%	22 pts
Place:	4 – Sense Of Wonder (3-1)	4/6	66.7%	11 pts
Show:	1 – Rebellution (8-1)	2/6	33.3%	5 pts

Alternatives

Pick	Horse	Experts	Agreement	Score
Alt 1:	2 – Charm And Thunder (6-1)	1/6	16.7%	3 pts
Alt 2:	3 – Hands Up Style (4-1)	1/6	16.7%	2 pts
Alt 3:	6 – Eclipticals Empire (4-1)	1/6	16.7%	1 pts

Race 2

Pick	Horse	Experts	Agreement	Score
Win:	1 – Beau Hill (2-1) ⭐	6/6	100.0%	21 pts
Place:	4 – Secret Oaks (4-1)	3/6	50.0%	10 pts
Show:	2 – Holy Fit (2-1)	3/6	50.0%	9 pts

Alternatives

Pick	Horse	Experts	Agreement	Score
Alt 1:	5 – Landofhopeandreams (4-1)	2/6	33.3%	3 pts
Alt 2:	3 – I'mamaterialgirl (5-1)	1/6	16.7%	1 pts

Race 3

Pick	Horse	Experts	Agreement	Score
Win:	5 – Fairfield Bay (3-1)	5/6	83.3%	17 pts
Place:	4 – Fratellone (2-1)	5/6	83.3%	15 pts
Show:	1 – Thirteen G's (4-1)	3/6	50.0%	10 pts

Alternatives

Pick	Horse	Experts	Agreement	Score
Alt 1:	6 – Neptune Beach (6-1)	1/6	16.7%	1 pts
Alt 2:	7 – Atomico (8-1)	1/6	16.7%	1 pts
Alt 3:	2 – Birravino Blvd (8-1)	0/6	0.0%	0 pts
Alt 4:	3 – Lucky Double Zero (8-1)	0/6	0.0%	0 pts

Race 4

Pick	Horse	Experts	Agreement	Score
Win:	1 – Back Wall Bandit (4-1) ⭐	5/6	83.3%	17 pts
Place:	4 – Blast Of Mischief (4-1)	4/6	66.7%	11 pts
Show:	3 – Gwen To Win (2-1)	2/6	33.3%	8 pts

Alternatives

Pick	Horse	Experts	Agreement	Score
Alt 1:	2 – Tipmanee (4-1)	2/6	33.3%	4 pts
Alt 2:	6 – Cassie's Vault (6-1)	1/6	16.7%	3 pts
Alt 3:	5 – Music Clarifcation (4-1)	1/6	16.7%	1 pts

Race 5

Pick	Horse	Experts	Agreement	Score
Win:	5 – Explosive Run (4-1) ⭐	4/6	66.7%	13 pts
Place:	4 – Dont Even Think (4-1)	4/6	66.7%	11 pts
Show:	2 – Pozo (2-1)	3/6	50.0%	12 pts

Alternatives

Pick	Horse	Experts	Agreement	Score
Alt 1:	1 – Twisted Pine (5-1)	2/6	33.3%	5 pts
Alt 2:	3 – Tiz Her Law (2-1)	2/6	33.3%	3 pts

Race 6

Pick	Horse	Experts	Agreement	Score
Win:	4 – Don's Last Ride (2-1) ⭐	4/6	66.7%	16 pts
Place:	5 – Migratory (2-1)	4/6	66.7%	11 pts
Show:	2 – Torotoro (4-1)	4/6	66.7%	10 pts

Alternatives

Pick	Horse	Experts	Agreement	Score
Alt 1:	1 – Thomas Benjamin (5-1)	3/6	50.0%	7 pts
Alt 2:	3 – The Piranha (4-1)	0/6	0.0%	0 pts

Race 7

Pick	Horse	Experts	Agreement	Score
Win:	8 – Nit Witness (3-1) ⭐	4/6	66.7%	13 pts
Place:	2 – Serious Nonsense (6-1)	4/6	66.7%	11 pts
Show:	9 – Dakota Springs (6-1)	3/6	50.0%	7 pts

Alternatives

Pick	Horse	Experts	Agreement	Score
Alt 1:	5 – Lady Charlotte (4-1)	2/6	33.3%	8 pts
Alt 2:	6 – Magnolia Wind (8-1)	1/6	16.7%	3 pts
Alt 3:	1 – Normandy Life (6-1)	1/6	16.7%	2 pts
Alt 4:	7 – Imperio Azteca (12-1)	0/6	0.0%	0 pts
Alt 5:	3 – Cloud In The Wind (8-1)	0/6	0.0%	0 pts
Alt 6:	4 – Prussian Blue (10-1)	0/6	0.0%	0 pts