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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.
AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.
Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Odds-on to 5/2 | 41.1% | 2,566 |
| 5/2 to 5/1 | 29.6% | 2,334 |
| Longer than 5/1 | 30.2% | 86 |
Consensus Expert Picks
Consensus rankings based on 6 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.
Race 1
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 7 – Popover Gal (4-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 18 pts |
| Place: | 3 – Ximena (5-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 11 pts |
| Show: | 2 – Perugia (2-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 5 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 1 – Sheza Bernardini (3-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 5 pts |
| Alt 2: | 6 – Ready For Trouble (12-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 5 – Shudabeenacowgirl (15-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 4: | 4 – Moor Strength (8-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
Race 2
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Housebuster Dude (2-1) ⭐ | 5/6 | 83.3% | 20 pts |
| Place: | 1 – Imperial Spy (4-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 11 pts |
| Show: | 5 – Chuck's Law (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 9 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 4 – Easter Blessing (6-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – David's Kitten (15-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 7 – Winning Song (4-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 6 – Liberty Runner (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 3
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 4 – Honor Roll (3-1) ⭐ | 5/6 | 83.3% | 18 pts |
| Place: | 6 – Vorstin (2-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 10 pts |
| Show: | 1 – Natures Fury (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 7 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 2 – Luv Queen E (10-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 6 pts |
| Alt 2: | 5 – Standish (5-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Alt 3: | 7 – Little Gussie (4-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 3 – Alyvia's Lil Girl (20-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
Race 4
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 4 – Seismic Shift (4-1) ⭐ | 5/6 | 83.3% | 15 pts |
| Place: | 5 – Flamenca (3-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 14 pts |
| Show: | 2 – Peephole (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 8 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 1 – Fiordo Di Furore (5-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 7 pts |
| Alt 2: | 6 – She Said So (4-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Here She Goes (12-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 7 – Diamond Glory (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 5
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Duke Of Suggins (2-1) ⭐ | 4/6 | 66.7% | 15 pts |
| Place: | 7 – J Cody (3-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 14 pts |
| Show: | 6 – Fully Authorized (8-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 5 – Leigh's Last Hero (8-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 5 pts |
| Alt 2: | 4 – Southern Dream (5-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Alt 3: | 1 – Iron Sharpens Iron (5-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 3 – Ten Plus Ten (15-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 5: | 8 – The Tire Man (8-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 6
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 8 – Honor Our Country (3-1) ⭐ | 5/6 | 83.3% | 19 pts |
| Place: | 2 – Courageous Fergie (4-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 12 pts |
| Show: | 1 – Gingersayschill (4-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 6 – Dean Of Belonging (4-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 6 pts |
| Alt 2: | 5 – Pippa's Noncents (8-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 7 – Flirtin Again (5-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 3 – Pittore D'oro (10-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 4 – American Select (8-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 7
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 3 – Epic Luck (2-1) ⭐ | 5/6 | 83.3% | 19 pts |
| Place: | 1 – Boys Of Summer (2-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 16 pts |
| Show: | 5 – Fromanothamutha (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 2 – War Commander (8-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 4 – Time Tested (8-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 6 – Union Lights (5-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
Race 8
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 6 – Concord Bridge (2-1) ⭐ | 5/6 | 83.3% | 18 pts |
| Place: | 7 – Coach Bennett (4-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 10 pts |
| Show: | 4 – Dr. Steve (6-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 8 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 5 – Beach Colt (3-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 6 pts |
| Alt 2: | 2 – Countthebrave (6-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Alt 3: | 1 – Nancy Made My Day (6-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 3 – Handsome Pants (12-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 9
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 4 – Onishenko (3-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 19 pts |
| Place: | 7 – Halftime Show (2-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 16 pts |
| Show: | 2 – Vix (6-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 1 – Sergeant Sinatra (8-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 6 – Hephepcutdownnets (8-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 5 – We Miss Neil (4-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 3 – Sittin Chilly (8-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 8 – Pastero (10-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |