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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Parx Racing, November 12, 2026

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AI Morning Update — overnight changes applied

Our AI picks are computed the night before from the official past performances. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes — the same information the human experts have when they publish — and re-rank any affected race. In maiden races, where late money has the best record, Algo 2's morning pick follows the live betting favourite once the pool is open. Changes from last night's published picks are listed here.

TrackRaceModelNew Top PickWhy
PRX9Model Algo 1#1 – Liberte De Bayeux1 scratch(es)
PRX9Model Algo 2 (Ensemble)#1 – Liberte De Bayeux1 scratch(es)
PRX9Model Algo 3 (Win Prob)#4 – Nicole'S King1 scratch(es)
PRX9Model Weight set 2#1 – Liberte De Bayeux1 scratch(es)
PRX9Model Weight set 3#1 – Liberte De Bayeux1 scratch(es)

Plays voided by scratches — these published value plays are officially scratched; win bets on them are refunds, so strike them from your card:

  • Trifecta play: PRX Race 9 — Get Set (SCRATCHED)

Where the experts back our strongest pick today

In 4 of today's 9 races, the published handicappers landed on the same horse as Algo 2, our best-performing model. Over the last 90 days (4,616 graded races), the races where they agreed won 37.4% of the time against 29.6% where they did not.

Today's agreement races — PR 1, 5, 6, 8.

Which horse the two agree on is part of Algo 2, included with Insider and above. The race numbers above are free to everyone: if you are playing these races, you now know the experts and our strongest model are pointing the same way.


Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

 

How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
 
Race 1  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:2America's Point (5/2)
Place:1Coach Rudy (5/1)
Show:6Spring St. Dreamer (7/2)
Other contenders:4Bliss Street (3/1), 5Little Sneckdraw (4/1)
Rest of field:3Final Joke (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 261453
🎯 Longshots: 231645
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Prince Colton (2/1)
Place:6I Feelucky Tonite (3/1)
Show:4Bob John Ray (4/1)
Other contenders:2Ahsad (5/1), 1Docsgotallthecandy (8/1)
Rest of field:5First Trumpet (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 364215
🎯 Longshots: 316542
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Vance Scholars (5/2)
Place:4Fast Bob (4/1)
Show:5Praetorian Guard (3/1)
Other contenders:6Traffic Master (7/2), 2Mission First (6/1)
Rest of field:1Broadcaster (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 345621
🎯 Longshots: 324561
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:2Medium Cool (5/2)
Place:4Pretty Cecy (3/1)
Show:3Maclean's Lullaby (7/2)
Other contenders:5Chiquita's Way (9/2), 1Miss Ida B (5/1)
Rest of field:6Joyful Joyce (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 243516
🎯 Longshots: 246351
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #3, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:7No Mor Stones (6/5)
Place:1Sweet Winner (5/2)
Show:3Inmate (9/2)
Other contenders:6Fastidious (8/1), 4Chilling Time (10/1)
Rest of field:5Lucky Capo (12/1), 2Big Dosser (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 713645
🎯 Longshots: 7136542
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000
Win:1Dreaming Of Gerry (3/1)
Place:3Recker Point (7/2)
Show:6Guaponess (4/1)
Other contenders:2Silent Mode (9/2), 5Devil's Cay (9/2)
Rest of field:4Electric Eel (10/1), 7Pit Stop Man (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 136254
🎯 Longshots: 1436257
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #6, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:2Sir Patrick (7/2)
Place:5Vital (5/2)
Show:3Bishops Gate (5/1)
Other contenders:4Hard Money Man (4/1), 6Itsagrandplacetobe (3/1)
Rest of field:1Mr Iren (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 253461
🎯 Longshots: 526431
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:5Costa Amalfitana (5/2)
Place:6Formaggio (3/1)
Show:2Prayed For Girl (4/1)
Other contenders:4Chilly Girl (7/2), 1Moon Halory (5/1)
Rest of field:3Mo Attitude (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 562413
🎯 Longshots: 562413
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #2, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:2Get Set (7/2)
Place:1Liberte De Bayeux (5/1)
Show:6Enforcer (3/1)
Other contenders:4Nicole's King (4/1), 7Midlaner (5/1)
Rest of field:3Amazing Woo (5/1), 5Twentyeighttothree (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 216473
🎯 Longshots: 2514736
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) at Parx Racing — win rate

How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 252 graded races at Parx Racing, 2026-09-07 to 2026-11-10.

0%11%21%32%43%Our top pick: 34.1% from 252 racesOur top pick34.1%Morning-line favourite: 31.0% from 252 racesMorning-line favourite31.0%

The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Our top pick34.1%252
Morning-line favourite31.0%252
 
Race 1  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:2America's Point (5/2) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -34%
Place:6Spring St. Dreamer (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2
Show:5Little Sneckdraw (4/1) 18% · fair 9-2
Other contenders:1Coach Rudy (5/1) 17% · fair 5-1, 4Bliss Street (3/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -44%
Rest of field:3Final Joke (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1
Race 1 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

America'S Point — 20.9% win probability, morning line 2.5/1America'S Point20.9% ◀Spring St. Dreamer — 18.1% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Spring St. Dreamer18.1%Little Sneckdraw — 17.7% win probability, morning line 4/1Little Sneckdraw17.7%Coach Rudy — 16.7% win probability, morning line 5/1Coach Rudy16.7%Bliss Street — 15.7% win probability, morning line 3/1Bliss Street15.7%Final Joke — 10.9% win probability, morning line 8/1Final Joke10.9%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
America'S Point20.9%2.5/1
Spring St. Dreamer18.1%3.5/1
Little Sneckdraw17.7%4/1
Coach Rudy16.7%5/1
Bliss Street15.7%3/1
Final Joke10.9%8/1
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherAmerica'S Point: model 20.9% vs market 23.1% (-2.3 points)America'S Point-2.3Spring St. Dreamer: model 18.1% vs market 18.0% (+0.1 points)Spring St. Dreamer+0.1Little Sneckdraw: model 17.7% vs market 16.2% (+1.6 points)Little Sneckdraw+1.6Coach Rudy: model 16.7% vs market 13.5% (+3.2 points)Coach Rudy+3.2Bliss Street: model 15.7% vs market 20.2% (-4.5 points)Bliss Street-4.5Final Joke: model 10.9% vs market 9.0% (+1.9 points)Final Joke+1.9

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
America'S Point20.9%23.1%-2.3
Spring St. Dreamer18.1%18.0%+0.1
Little Sneckdraw17.7%16.2%+1.6
Coach Rudy16.7%13.5%+3.2
Bliss Street15.7%20.2%-4.5
Final Joke10.9%9.0%+1.9
🌧️ Off-track: 265413
🎯 Longshots: 231645
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:3Prince Colton (2/1) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -41%
Place:6I Feelucky Tonite (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2
Show:4Bob John Ray (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1
Other contenders:2Ahsad (5/1) 17% · fair 5-1, 5First Trumpet (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1
Rest of field:1Docsgotallthecandy (8/1) 10% · fair 17-2
Race 2 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Prince Colton — 22.8% win probability, morning line 2/1Prince Colton22.8% ◀I Feelucky Tonite — 22.2% win probability, morning line 3/1I Feelucky Tonite22.2%Bob John Ray — 16.8% win probability, morning line 4/1Bob John Ray16.8%Ahsad — 16.6% win probability, morning line 5/1Ahsad16.6%First Trumpet — 11.3% win probability, morning line 8/1First Trumpet11.3%Docsgotallthecandy — 10.3% win probability, morning line 8/1Docsgotallthecandy10.3%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Prince Colton22.8%2/1
I Feelucky Tonite22.2%3/1
Bob John Ray16.8%4/1
Ahsad16.6%5/1
First Trumpet11.3%8/1
Docsgotallthecandy10.3%8/1
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherPrince Colton: model 22.8% vs market 28.4% (-5.6 points)Prince Colton-5.6I Feelucky Tonite: model 22.2% vs market 21.3% (+0.9 points)I Feelucky Tonite+0.9Bob John Ray: model 16.8% vs market 17.1% (-0.3 points)Bob John Ray-0.3Ahsad: model 16.6% vs market 14.2% (+2.4 points)Ahsad+2.4First Trumpet: model 11.3% vs market 9.5% (+1.8 points)First Trumpet+1.8Docsgotallthecandy: model 10.3% vs market 9.5% (+0.8 points)Docsgotallthecandy+0.8

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Prince Colton22.8%28.4%-5.6
I Feelucky Tonite22.2%21.3%+0.9
Bob John Ray16.8%17.1%-0.3
Ahsad16.6%14.2%+2.4
First Trumpet11.3%9.5%+1.8
Docsgotallthecandy10.3%9.5%+0.8
🌧️ Off-track: 364251
🎯 Longshots: 316542
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
Win:4Fast Bob (4/1) 23% · fair 7-2
Place:3Vance Scholars (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -30%
Show:5Praetorian Guard (3/1) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -41%
Other contenders:1Broadcaster (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 2Mission First (6/1) 12% · fair 7-1
Rest of field:6Traffic Master (7/2) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -52%
Race 3 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Fast Bob — 23.4% win probability, morning line 4/1Fast Bob23.4% ◀Vance Scholars — 21.8% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Vance Scholars21.8%Praetorian Guard — 16.4% win probability, morning line 3/1Praetorian Guard16.4%Broadcaster — 14.1% win probability, morning line 6/1Broadcaster14.1%Mission First — 12.2% win probability, morning line 6/1Mission First12.2%Traffic Master — 12.1% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Traffic Master12.1%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Fast Bob23.4%4/1
Vance Scholars21.8%2.5/1
Praetorian Guard16.4%3/1
Broadcaster14.1%6/1
Mission First12.2%6/1
Traffic Master12.1%3.5/1
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherFast Bob: model 23.4% vs market 16.1% (+7.3 points)Fast Bob+7.3Vance Scholars: model 21.8% vs market 23.0% (-1.2 points)Vance Scholars-1.2Praetorian Guard: model 16.4% vs market 20.1% (-3.7 points)Praetorian Guard-3.7Broadcaster: model 14.1% vs market 11.5% (+2.6 points)Broadcaster+2.6Mission First: model 12.2% vs market 11.5% (+0.7 points)Mission First+0.7Traffic Master: model 12.1% vs market 17.9% (-5.8 points)Traffic Master-5.8

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Fast Bob23.4%16.1%+7.3
Vance Scholars21.8%23.0%-1.2
Praetorian Guard16.4%20.1%-3.7
Broadcaster14.1%11.5%+2.6
Mission First12.2%11.5%+0.7
Traffic Master12.1%17.9%-5.8
🌧️ Off-track: 345612
🎯 Longshots: 324561
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:4Pretty Cecy (3/1) 28% · fair 5-2
Place:2Medium Cool (5/2) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -25%
Show:3Maclean's Lullaby (7/2) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -32%
Other contenders:5Chiquita's Way (9/2) 16% · fair 11-2, 1Miss Ida B (5/1) 11% · fair 15-2 underlay -35%
Rest of field:6Joyful Joyce (10/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -35%
Race 4 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Pretty Cecy — 27.5% win probability, morning line 3/1Pretty Cecy27.5% ◀Medium Cool — 23.0% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Medium Cool23.0%Maclean'S Lullaby — 16.2% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Maclean'S Lullaby16.2%Chiquita'S Way — 15.8% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Chiquita'S Way15.8%Miss Ida B — 11.4% win probability, morning line 5/1Miss Ida B11.4%Joyful Joyce — 6.1% win probability, morning line 10/1Joyful Joyce6.1%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Pretty Cecy27.5%3/1
Medium Cool23.0%2.5/1
Maclean'S Lullaby16.2%3.5/1
Chiquita'S Way15.8%4.5/1
Miss Ida B11.4%5/1
Joyful Joyce6.1%10/1
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherPretty Cecy: model 27.5% vs market 20.9% (+6.6 points)Pretty Cecy+6.6Medium Cool: model 23.0% vs market 23.9% (-0.9 points)Medium Cool-0.9Maclean'S Lullaby: model 16.2% vs market 18.6% (-2.4 points)Maclean'S Lullaby-2.4Chiquita'S Way: model 15.8% vs market 15.2% (+0.6 points)Chiquita'S Way+0.6Miss Ida B: model 11.4% vs market 13.9% (-2.5 points)Miss Ida B-2.5Joyful Joyce: model 6.1% vs market 7.6% (-1.5 points)Joyful Joyce-1.5

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Pretty Cecy27.5%20.9%+6.6
Medium Cool23.0%23.9%-0.9
Maclean'S Lullaby16.2%18.6%-2.4
Chiquita'S Way15.8%15.2%+0.6
Miss Ida B11.4%13.9%-2.5
Joyful Joyce6.1%7.6%-1.5
🌧️ Off-track: 423516
🎯 Longshots: 246351
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #3, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:7No Mor Stones (6/5) 49% · fair 1-1
Place:1Sweet Winner (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -30%
Show:3Inmate (9/2) 20% · fair 4-1
Other contenders:6Fastidious (8/1) 3% · fair 35-1 underlay -77%, 4Chilling Time (10/1) 3% · fair 75-2 underlay -73%
Rest of field:5Lucky Capo (12/1) 2% · fair 40-1 underlay -70%, 2Big Dosser (15/1) 1% · fair 151-2 underlay -80%
Race 5 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

No Mor Stones — 49.0% win probability, morning line 1.2/1No Mor Stones49.0% ◀Sweet Winner — 21.8% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Sweet Winner21.8%Inmate — 20.1% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Inmate20.1%Fastidious — 2.8% win probability, morning line 8/1Fastidious2.8%Chilling Time — 2.6% win probability, morning line 10/1Chilling Time2.6%Lucky Capo — 2.4% win probability, morning line 12/1Lucky Capo2.4%Big Dosser — 1.3% win probability, morning line 15/1Big Dosser1.3%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
No Mor Stones49.0%1.2/1
Sweet Winner21.8%2.5/1
Inmate20.1%4.5/1
Fastidious2.8%8/1
Chilling Time2.6%10/1
Lucky Capo2.4%12/1
Big Dosser1.3%15/1
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherNo Mor Stones: model 49.0% vs market 36.0% (+13.0 points)No Mor Stones+13.0Sweet Winner: model 21.8% vs market 22.6% (-0.8 points)Sweet Winner-0.8Inmate: model 20.1% vs market 14.4% (+5.7 points)Inmate+5.7Fastidious: model 2.8% vs market 8.8% (-6.0 points)Fastidious-6.0Chilling Time: model 2.6% vs market 7.2% (-4.6 points)Chilling Time-4.6Lucky Capo: model 2.4% vs market 6.1% (-3.6 points)Lucky Capo-3.6Big Dosser: model 1.3% vs market 4.9% (-3.6 points)Big Dosser-3.6

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
No Mor Stones49.0%36.0%+13.0
Sweet Winner21.8%22.6%-0.8
Inmate20.1%14.4%+5.7
Fastidious2.8%8.8%-6.0
Chilling Time2.6%7.2%-4.6
Lucky Capo2.4%6.1%-3.6
Big Dosser1.3%4.9%-3.6
🌧️ Off-track: 713645
🎯 Longshots: 7136542
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000
Win:1Dreaming Of Gerry (3/1) 29% · fair 5-2
Place:6Guaponess (4/1) 19% · fair 9-2
Show:3Recker Point (7/2) 17% · fair 9-2 underlay -26%
Other contenders:2Silent Mode (9/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -33%, 5Devil's Cay (9/2) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -36%
Rest of field:4Electric Eel (10/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -40%, 7Pit Stop Man (10/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -56%
Race 6 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Dreaming Of Gerry — 28.7% win probability, morning line 3/1Dreaming Of Gerry28.7% ◀Guaponess — 18.6% win probability, morning line 4/1Guaponess18.6%Recker Point — 17.5% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Recker Point17.5%Silent Mode — 13.0% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Silent Mode13.0%Devil'S Cay — 12.5% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Devil'S Cay12.5%Electric Eel — 5.6% win probability, morning line 10/1Electric Eel5.6%Pit Stop Man — 4.2% win probability, morning line 10/1Pit Stop Man4.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Dreaming Of Gerry28.7%3/1
Guaponess18.6%4/1
Recker Point17.5%3.5/1
Silent Mode13.0%4.5/1
Devil'S Cay12.5%4.5/1
Electric Eel5.6%10/1
Pit Stop Man4.2%10/1
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherDreaming Of Gerry: model 28.7% vs market 20.5% (+8.1 points)Dreaming Of Gerry+8.1Guaponess: model 18.6% vs market 16.4% (+2.2 points)Guaponess+2.2Recker Point: model 17.5% vs market 18.2% (-0.8 points)Recker Point-0.8Silent Mode: model 13.0% vs market 14.9% (-2.0 points)Silent Mode-2.0Devil'S Cay: model 12.5% vs market 14.9% (-2.5 points)Devil'S Cay-2.5Electric Eel: model 5.6% vs market 7.5% (-1.8 points)Electric Eel-1.8Pit Stop Man: model 4.2% vs market 7.5% (-3.3 points)Pit Stop Man-3.3

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Dreaming Of Gerry28.7%20.5%+8.1
Guaponess18.6%16.4%+2.2
Recker Point17.5%18.2%-0.8
Silent Mode13.0%14.9%-2.0
Devil'S Cay12.5%14.9%-2.5
Electric Eel5.6%7.5%-1.8
Pit Stop Man4.2%7.5%-3.3
🌧️ Off-track: 136254
🎯 Longshots: 1436257
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #3, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:2Sir Patrick (7/2) 27% · fair 5-2 overlay +28%
Place:3Bishops Gate (5/1) 22% · fair 7-2 overlay +40%
Show:5Vital (5/2) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -54%
Other contenders:6Itsagrandplacetobe (3/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -55%, 4Hard Money Man (4/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -46%
Rest of field:1Mr Iren (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -26%
Race 7 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Sir Patrick — 26.8% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Sir Patrick26.8% ◀Bishops Gate — 21.9% win probability, morning line 5/1Bishops Gate21.9%Vital — 15.4% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Vital15.4%Itsagrandplacetobe — 13.1% win probability, morning line 3/1Itsagrandplacetobe13.1%Hard Money Man — 11.9% win probability, morning line 4/1Hard Money Man11.9%Mr Iren — 10.9% win probability, morning line 6/1Mr Iren10.9%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Sir Patrick26.8%3.5/1
Bishops Gate21.9%5/1
Vital15.4%2.5/1
Itsagrandplacetobe13.1%3/1
Hard Money Man11.9%4/1
Mr Iren10.9%6/1
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherSir Patrick: model 26.8% vs market 17.5% (+9.2 points)Sir Patrick+9.2Bishops Gate: model 21.9% vs market 13.1% (+8.7 points)Bishops Gate+8.7Vital: model 15.4% vs market 22.5% (-7.1 points)Vital-7.1Itsagrandplacetobe: model 13.1% vs market 19.7% (-6.6 points)Itsagrandplacetobe-6.6Hard Money Man: model 11.9% vs market 15.8% (-3.9 points)Hard Money Man-3.9Mr Iren: model 10.9% vs market 11.3% (-0.4 points)Mr Iren-0.4

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Sir Patrick26.8%17.5%+9.2
Bishops Gate21.9%13.1%+8.7
Vital15.4%22.5%-7.1
Itsagrandplacetobe13.1%19.7%-6.6
Hard Money Man11.9%15.8%-3.9
Mr Iren10.9%11.3%-0.4
🌧️ Off-track: 235641
🎯 Longshots: 526431
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000
Win:5Costa Amalfitana (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1
Place:6Formaggio (3/1) 24% · fair 3-1
Show:2Prayed For Girl (4/1) 16% · fair 5-1
Other contenders:1Moon Halory (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2, 4Chilly Girl (7/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -48%
Rest of field:3Mo Attitude (6/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -38%
Race 8 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Costa Amalfitana — 24.3% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Costa Amalfitana24.3% ◀Formaggio — 23.8% win probability, morning line 3/1Formaggio23.8%Prayed For Girl — 16.3% win probability, morning line 4/1Prayed For Girl16.3%Moon Halory — 13.2% win probability, morning line 5/1Moon Halory13.2%Chilly Girl — 12.9% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Chilly Girl12.9%Mo Attitude — 9.4% win probability, morning line 6/1Mo Attitude9.4%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Costa Amalfitana24.3%2.5/1
Formaggio23.8%3/1
Prayed For Girl16.3%4/1
Moon Halory13.2%5/1
Chilly Girl12.9%3.5/1
Mo Attitude9.4%6/1
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherCosta Amalfitana: model 24.3% vs market 22.5% (+1.8 points)Costa Amalfitana+1.8Formaggio: model 23.8% vs market 19.7% (+4.1 points)Formaggio+4.1Prayed For Girl: model 16.3% vs market 15.8% (+0.5 points)Prayed For Girl+0.5Moon Halory: model 13.2% vs market 13.1% (+0.1 points)Moon Halory+0.1Chilly Girl: model 12.9% vs market 17.5% (-4.6 points)Chilly Girl-4.6Mo Attitude: model 9.4% vs market 11.3% (-1.9 points)Mo Attitude-1.9

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Costa Amalfitana24.3%22.5%+1.8
Formaggio23.8%19.7%+4.1
Prayed For Girl16.3%15.8%+0.5
Moon Halory13.2%13.1%+0.1
Chilly Girl12.9%17.5%-4.6
Mo Attitude9.4%11.3%-1.9
🌧️ Off-track: 562413
🎯 Longshots: 562413
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #2, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
Win:2Get Set (7/2) 32% · fair 2-1 overlay +61%
Place:4Nicole's King (4/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -26%
Show:1Liberte De Bayeux (5/1) 15% · fair 11-2
Other contenders:6Enforcer (3/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -47%, 7Midlaner (5/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -45%
Rest of field:3Amazing Woo (5/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -60%, 5Twentyeighttothree (12/1) 5% · fair 18-1 underlay -33%
Race 9 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Get Set — 31.5% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Get Set31.5% ◀Nicole'S King — 15.7% win probability, morning line 4/1Nicole'S King15.7%Liberte De Bayeux — 15.2% win probability, morning line 5/1Liberte De Bayeux15.2%Enforcer — 14.9% win probability, morning line 3/1Enforcer14.9%Midlaner — 9.9% win probability, morning line 5/1Midlaner9.9%Amazing Woo — 7.4% win probability, morning line 5/1Amazing Woo7.4%Twentyeighttothree — 5.3% win probability, morning line 12/1Twentyeighttothree5.3%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Get Set31.5%3.5/1
Nicole'S King15.7%4/1
Liberte De Bayeux15.2%5/1
Enforcer14.9%3/1
Midlaner9.9%5/1
Amazing Woo7.4%5/1
Twentyeighttothree5.3%12/1
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherGet Set: model 31.5% vs market 17.8% (+13.8 points)Get Set+13.8Nicole'S King: model 15.7% vs market 16.0% (-0.4 points)Nicole'S King-0.4Liberte De Bayeux: model 15.2% vs market 13.3% (+1.9 points)Liberte De Bayeux+1.9Enforcer: model 14.9% vs market 20.0% (-5.1 points)Enforcer-5.1Midlaner: model 9.9% vs market 13.3% (-3.4 points)Midlaner-3.4Amazing Woo: model 7.4% vs market 13.3% (-5.9 points)Amazing Woo-5.9Twentyeighttothree: model 5.3% vs market 6.2% (-0.8 points)Twentyeighttothree-0.8

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Get Set31.5%17.8%+13.8
Nicole'S King15.7%16.0%-0.4
Liberte De Bayeux15.2%13.3%+1.9
Enforcer14.9%20.0%-5.1
Midlaner9.9%13.3%-3.4
Amazing Woo7.4%13.3%-5.9
Twentyeighttothree5.3%6.2%-0.8
🌧️ Off-track: 264173
🎯 Longshots: 2514736
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
 
Race 1  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:2America's Point (5/2)
Place:1Coach Rudy (5/1)
Show:4Bliss Street (3/1)
Other contenders:6Spring St. Dreamer (7/2), 5Little Sneckdraw (4/1)
Rest of field:3Final Joke (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 241653
🎯 Longshots: 231645
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #4, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:3Prince Colton (2/1)
Place:6I Feelucky Tonite (3/1)
Show:4Bob John Ray (4/1)
Other contenders:2Ahsad (5/1), 5First Trumpet (8/1)
Rest of field:1Docsgotallthecandy (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 364251
🎯 Longshots: 316542
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
Win:3Vance Scholars (5/2)
Place:6Traffic Master (7/2)
Show:2Mission First (6/1)
Other contenders:4Fast Bob (4/1), 5Praetorian Guard (3/1)
Rest of field:1Broadcaster (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 365421
🎯 Longshots: 324561
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:2Medium Cool (5/2)
Place:4Pretty Cecy (3/1)
Show:5Chiquita's Way (9/2)
Other contenders:3Maclean's Lullaby (7/2), 1Miss Ida B (5/1)
Rest of field:6Joyful Joyce (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 243516
🎯 Longshots: 246351
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #5, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:7No Mor Stones (6/5)
Place:1Sweet Winner (5/2)
Show:3Inmate (9/2)
Other contenders:6Fastidious (8/1), 4Chilling Time (10/1)
Rest of field:5Lucky Capo (12/1), 2Big Dosser (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 713645
🎯 Longshots: 7136542
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000
Win:1Dreaming Of Gerry (3/1)
Place:6Guaponess (4/1)
Show:5Devil's Cay (9/2)
Other contenders:3Recker Point (7/2), 2Silent Mode (9/2)
Rest of field:4Electric Eel (10/1), 7Pit Stop Man (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 163524
🎯 Longshots: 1436257
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #5, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:2Sir Patrick (7/2)
Place:3Bishops Gate (5/1)
Show:5Vital (5/2)
Other contenders:6Itsagrandplacetobe (3/1), 4Hard Money Man (4/1)
Rest of field:1Mr Iren (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 526341
🎯 Longshots: 526431
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000
Win:5Costa Amalfitana (5/2)
Place:2Prayed For Girl (4/1)
Show:6Formaggio (3/1)
Other contenders:4Chilly Girl (7/2), 1Moon Halory (5/1)
Rest of field:3Mo Attitude (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 562413
🎯 Longshots: 562413
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
Win:2Get Set (7/2)
Place:1Liberte De Bayeux (5/1)
Show:3Amazing Woo (5/1)
Other contenders:6Enforcer (3/1), 4Nicole's King (4/1)
Rest of field:7Midlaner (5/1), 5Twentyeighttothree (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 264137
🎯 Longshots: 2514736
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #2 over #1 ($1 straight; box #2-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #1, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #3 over #6 ($1 straight; box #3-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #4, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #3 over #6 ($1 straight; box #3-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #4, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #2 over #4 ($1 straight; box #2-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #2, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #7 over #1 ($1 straight; box #7-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #7 over #1, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #1 over #3 ($1 straight; box #1-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #6, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #5 over #2 ($1 straight; box #5-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #3, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #5 over #6 ($1 straight; box #5-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #5, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 9AI Exacta: #2 over #6 ($1 straight; box #2-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:2America's Point (5/2)
Place:1Coach Rudy (5/1)
Show:3Final Joke (8/1)
Other contenders:4Bliss Street (3/1), 6Spring St. Dreamer (7/2)
Rest of field:5Little Sneckdraw (4/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 241635
🎯 Longshots: 231645
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:3Prince Colton (2/1)
Place:1Docsgotallthecandy (8/1)
Show:4Bob John Ray (4/1)
Other contenders:2Ahsad (5/1), 6I Feelucky Tonite (3/1)
Rest of field:5First Trumpet (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 364215
🎯 Longshots: 316542
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
Win:3Vance Scholars (5/2)
Place:6Traffic Master (7/2)
Show:2Mission First (6/1)
Other contenders:1Broadcaster (6/1), 4Fast Bob (4/1)
Rest of field:5Praetorian Guard (3/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 362451
🎯 Longshots: 324561
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:2Medium Cool (5/2)
Place:4Pretty Cecy (3/1)
Show:5Chiquita's Way (9/2)
Other contenders:3Maclean's Lullaby (7/2), 1Miss Ida B (5/1)
Rest of field:6Joyful Joyce (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 245316
🎯 Longshots: 246351
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #5, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:7No Mor Stones (6/5)
Place:1Sweet Winner (5/2)
Show:3Inmate (9/2)
Other contenders:6Fastidious (8/1), 5Lucky Capo (12/1)
Rest of field:4Chilling Time (10/1), 2Big Dosser (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 713645
🎯 Longshots: 7136542
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000
Win:1Dreaming Of Gerry (3/1)
Place:4Electric Eel (10/1)
Show:6Guaponess (4/1)
Other contenders:3Recker Point (7/2), 2Silent Mode (9/2)
Rest of field:5Devil's Cay (9/2), 7Pit Stop Man (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 163254
🎯 Longshots: 1436257
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #6, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:2Sir Patrick (7/2)
Place:5Vital (5/2)
Show:3Bishops Gate (5/1)
Other contenders:6Itsagrandplacetobe (3/1), 1Mr Iren (6/1)
Rest of field:4Hard Money Man (4/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 256341
🎯 Longshots: 526431
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000
Win:2Prayed For Girl (4/1)
Place:5Costa Amalfitana (5/2)
Show:6Formaggio (3/1)
Other contenders:4Chilly Girl (7/2), 1Moon Halory (5/1)
Rest of field:3Mo Attitude (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 526413
🎯 Longshots: 562413
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
Win:2Get Set (7/2)
Place:1Liberte De Bayeux (5/1)
Show:3Amazing Woo (5/1)
Other contenders:7Midlaner (5/1), 6Enforcer (3/1)
Rest of field:4Nicole's King (4/1), 5Twentyeighttothree (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 261374
🎯 Longshots: 2514736
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #3, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:2America's Point (5/2)
Place:1Coach Rudy (5/1)
Show:6Spring St. Dreamer (7/2)
Other contenders:5Little Sneckdraw (4/1), 4Bliss Street (3/1)
Rest of field:3Final Joke (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 261453
🎯 Longshots: 231645
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:3Prince Colton (2/1)
Place:4Bob John Ray (4/1)
Show:2Ahsad (5/1)
Other contenders:6I Feelucky Tonite (3/1), 1Docsgotallthecandy (8/1)
Rest of field:5First Trumpet (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 364215
🎯 Longshots: 316542
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #2, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
Win:3Vance Scholars (5/2)
Place:4Fast Bob (4/1)
Show:2Mission First (6/1)
Other contenders:5Praetorian Guard (3/1), 6Traffic Master (7/2)
Rest of field:1Broadcaster (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 345621
🎯 Longshots: 324561
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:4Pretty Cecy (3/1)
Place:2Medium Cool (5/2)
Show:5Chiquita's Way (9/2)
Other contenders:3Maclean's Lullaby (7/2), 1Miss Ida B (5/1)
Rest of field:6Joyful Joyce (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 243516
🎯 Longshots: 246351
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:7No Mor Stones (6/5)
Place:1Sweet Winner (5/2)
Show:3Inmate (9/2)
Other contenders:6Fastidious (8/1), 4Chilling Time (10/1)
Rest of field:5Lucky Capo (12/1), 2Big Dosser (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 713645
🎯 Longshots: 7136542
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $30,000
Win:1Dreaming Of Gerry (3/1)
Place:6Guaponess (4/1)
Show:3Recker Point (7/2)
Other contenders:5Devil's Cay (9/2), 4Electric Eel (10/1)
Rest of field:2Silent Mode (9/2), 7Pit Stop Man (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 136524
🎯 Longshots: 1436257
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #3, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:2Sir Patrick (7/2)
Place:3Bishops Gate (5/1)
Show:5Vital (5/2)
Other contenders:6Itsagrandplacetobe (3/1), 4Hard Money Man (4/1)
Rest of field:1Mr Iren (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 253641
🎯 Longshots: 526431
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000
Win:2Prayed For Girl (4/1)
Place:5Costa Amalfitana (5/2)
Show:6Formaggio (3/1)
Other contenders:4Chilly Girl (7/2), 1Moon Halory (5/1)
Rest of field:3Mo Attitude (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 526413
🎯 Longshots: 562413
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
Win:2Get Set (7/2)
Place:1Liberte De Bayeux (5/1)
Show:6Enforcer (3/1)
Other contenders:3Amazing Woo (5/1), 4Nicole's King (4/1)
Rest of field:7Midlaner (5/1), 5Twentyeighttothree (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 261437
🎯 Longshots: 2514736
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets – Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R3-5R3: #4,#3,#5 (62%) / R4: #4,#2,#3 (67%) / R5: #7,#1 (71%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 29%
Pick 3 R4-6R4: #4,#2,#3 (67%) / R5: #7,#1 (71%) / R6: #1,#6,#3 (65%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 31%
Pick 3 R5-7R5: #7,#1 (71%) / R6: #1,#6,#3 (65%) / R7: #2,#3,#5 (64%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 29%
Pick 3 R6-8R6: #1,#6,#3 (65%) / R7: #2,#3,#5 (64%) / R8: #5,#6,#2 (64%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 27%
Pick 4 R4-7R4: #4,#2,#3 (67%) / R5: #7,#1 (71%) / R6: #1,#6,#3 (65%) / R7: #2,#3,#5 (64%)
$54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 20%
Pick 4 R5-8R5: #7,#1 (71%) / R6: #1,#6,#3 (65%) / R7: #2,#3,#5 (64%) / R8: #5,#6,#2 (64%)
$54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 19%
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
AHSADAMAZING WOOAMERICA'S POINTBIG DOSSERBISHOPS GATE
BOB JOHN RAYBROADCASTERCHILLING TIMECHILLY GIRLCHIQUITA'S WAY
COSTA AMALFITANADEVIL'S CAYDOCSGOTALLTHECANDYDREAMING OF GERRYELECTRIC EEL
FAST BOBFASTIDIOUSFINAL JOKEFIRST TRUMPETFORMAGGIO
GUAPONESSHARD MONEY MANI FEELUCKY TONITEINMATEITSAGRANDPLACETOBE
LIBERTE DE BAYEUXLITTLE SNECKDRAWLUCKY CAPOMACLEAN'S LULLABYMEDIUM COOL
MISS IDA BMISSION FIRSTMO ATTITUDEMOON HALORYMR IREN
NO MOR STONESPIT STOP MANPRAETORIAN GUARDPRAYED FOR GIRLPRETTY CECY
RECKER POINTSILENT MODESIR PATRICKSPRING ST. DREAMERSWEET WINNER
TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREEVANCE SCHOLARSVITAL

 


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