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Race 1 – Claiming – 1110m – 4:30 PM – Purse $36,300
Win: 1-Come On Big Lou – 89%
Place: 7-Go Jimmy Go – 78%
Show: 2-Conacher – 56%
Alternative: 5-Lemon Twist – 44%
Come On Big Lou strengthens the top position with eight of nine analysts mentioning the horse, including four win selections. The horse set the pace last start before being caught late and appears to have another speed advantage in this field. Go Jimmy Go received four win picks and earned 78% confidence across seven mentions. Conacher maintains solid support with five mentions including two place selections. Miah Said draws interest from multiple analysts as an alternative selection after the narrow Fort Erie defeat. The recent local maiden winner returns to familiar surroundings and could factor at a price.
Race 2 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1110m – 4:59 PM – Purse $36,300
Win: 2-Garnet And Gold – 75%
Place: 8-Tabloid Material – 62%
Show: 5-Love You Lippy – 62%
Alternative: 4-Ol’ Blondie – 25%
Garnet And Gold emerges as the consensus leader with six total mentions across eight analysts, though notably not receiving win selections. The horse returned from a two-month break with a solid effort last start and should improve second off the layoff. Tabloid Material captured four win picks but fewer total mentions. Love You Lippy earned five mentions with strong place support. Ol’ Blondie receives attention as an alternative selection dropping in class after facing tougher competition. The horse’s August form suggests winning ability at this level if fitness holds.
Race 3 – Optional Claiming – 1710m – 5:28 PM – Purse $42,000
Win: 1-King Rosso – 89%
Place: 4-Holiday Snooze – 78%
Show: 7-Yorkton’s Honour – 56%
Alternative: 6-Lonny’s Gamble – 33%
King Rosso achieves perfect consensus with all eight analysts selecting the horse for the win at 89% confidence. The recent maiden winner drops into claiming company after breaking through against allowance rivals and draws the favorable rail position. Holiday Snooze earns seven mentions including three place selections after the recent game second at this level. Yorkton’s Honour collects five mentions with four analysts placing the horse in show position. The horse makes the second start with blinkers and should benefit from a better trip. Thor’s Cause represents value as an alternative after the wide trip last start.
Race 4 – Claiming – 1710m – 5:57 PM – Purse $36,300
Win: 3-Ever Dangerous – 75%
Place: 2-Malibu Mambo – 75%
Show: 6-Lasting Silence – 75%
Alternative: 8-C My Meister – 12%
This race presents the tightest consensus with the top three selections all earning 75% confidence across six mentions each. Ever Dangerous leads with four win selections after the game third-place effort last start. The horse returns after the unusual scratch on October 24 and appears well positioned. Malibu Mambo takes a sharp drop in class after the narrow defeat in allowance company and shows turf-to-dirt versatility. Lasting Silence maintains strong support across all positions with the solid four-win campaign. C My Meister drops back to a more suitable level after struggling in allowance company and should close late for a share.
Race 5 – Claiming – 1310m – 6.5F – 6:26 PM – Purse $39,900
Win: 7-Stirling Castle – 100%
Place: 9-Ride For The Purse – 57%
Show: 3-Pin Boy – 43%
Alternative: 8-Captivating Name – 29%
Stirling Castle achieves perfect 100% consensus with all seven analysts mentioning the horse and five selecting for the win. The recent gate-to-wire maiden winner faces winners for the first time but drops in claiming value and shows strong speed. Ride For The Purse earned four mentions with analysts noting the beneficial pace scenario and late-running style. Pin Boy receives contrarian support as the top selection from one analyst who notes the horse wants to be further off the pace and should benefit from the expected speed duel. Captivating Name drops another level after the solid fourth-place finish and shows competitive speed figures.
Race 6 – Optional Claiming – 1710m – 8.5F – 6:55 PM – Purse $63,800
Win: 1-Spun Around – 62%
Place: 3-Periwinkle – 75%
Show: 5-Good As Gone – 62%
Alternative: 6-Bedazzle Me – 25%
Periwinkle leads with six total mentions at 75% confidence but received no win selections, earning all support in place and alternative positions. Spun Around captures five win selections from the five analysts who mention the horse and stands as the best bet selection. The horse returns to the Tapeta surface after the unsuccessful turf attempt and could be the controlling speed against non-winners-of-three. Good As Gone earned three win picks and five total mentions with strong course-and-distance form. Bedazzle Me drops back to preferred Tapeta after the wide trip in stakes company and seeks a return to winning form.
Race 7 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1710m – 8.5F – 7:24 PM – Purse $36,300
Win: 1-Tiz Romantic – 86%
Place: 3-Media Sensation – 71%
Show: 4-Grey Princess – 71%
Alternative: 5-Three Sonny Sideup – 43%
Tiz Romantic earns 86% confidence with six mentions including five win selections after the strong runner-up effort last start. The horse set comfortable fractions and stuck on well while taking a sharp class drop. Media Sensation receives contrarian support as the top selection from one analyst who notes the solid fourth-place finish at a higher level. The horse drops to the lowest tag and should be very competitive. Grey Princess and Media Sensation both earned five mentions at 71% confidence with different position distributions. Three Sonny Sideup has three consecutive third-place finishes at this level and shows consistent form for another share.
Race 8 – Maiden Claiming – 1210m – 6F – 7:53 PM – Purse $32,500
Win: 5-She’s So Croatian – 100%
Place: 6-Tanzanite Lily – 71%
Show: 8-Sweet Valentine – 43%
Alternative: 1-Ami’s Cry – 29%
She’s So Croatian achieves unanimous support with 100% confidence as all seven analysts select the horse for the win. The consistent performer has three placings from nine starts this preparation and finished a close third two weeks ago. The race lacks significant speed, allowing the forwardly-placed runner to control the pace. Tanzanite Lily earned five place selections after failing against tougher competition last start. The sharp drop to the lowest claiming level combined with blinkers being readded suggests improvement. Sweet Valentine adds blinkers for the third career start and could show improvement with experience. Ami’s Cry has shown early speed in the past and could rebound with aggressive tactics from the rail.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Pick Pony analysts identify several high-value exotic wagering opportunities for the November 20 card at Woodbine:
Race 1 Exacta Box: The top three selections of Come On Big Lou, Go Jimmy Go, and Conacher create an attractive exacta box with 89%, 78%, and 56% confidence levels respectively. Come On Big Lou should control the pace while Go Jimmy Go draws the outside post again. Consider adding Miah Said for superfecta value after the narrow Fort Erie defeat.
Race 3 Single: King Rosso’s perfect 89% consensus with eight win selections makes this the strongest single-race bet on the card. Consider win, place, and show wagering with high confidence. The recent maiden winner drops into claiming company with ideal rail position.
Race 4 Trifecta: The three-way tie at 75% confidence creates exceptional trifecta value. Box Ever Dangerous, Malibu Mambo, and Lasting Silence to cover multiple scenarios. Consider adding C My Meister as a fourth horse for superfecta coverage as the horse drops back to a suitable level.
Races 3-4-5 Pick 3: Key King Rosso in Race 3 (89% confidence) with Ever Dangerous and Malibu Mambo in Race 4, landing on Stirling Castle in Race 5 (100% confidence). This combination captures the two strongest consensus picks while allowing for the competitive Race 4 outcome.
Race 5 Win/Place/Show: Stirling Castle’s perfect 100% consensus represents the strongest betting opportunity on the card. All seven analysts mention the horse with five win selections. Consider aggressive win, place, and show wagering combined with exacta keys over Ride For The Purse and Pin Boy.
Race 6 Best Bet: Spun Around earns best bet designation and five win selections from analysts mentioning the horse. The surface switch back to Tapeta after the unsuccessful turf try positions the mare perfectly. Consider win wagering combined with exactas using Periwinkle and Good As Gone.
Races 6-7-8 Pick 3: Spun Around (best bet in Race 6) to Tiz Romantic (86% confidence in Race 7) to She’s So Croatian (100% confidence in Race 8) represents the strongest late Pick 3 combination. All three horses earned win selections from multiple analysts.
Race 7-8 Daily Double: Tiz Romantic (86% confidence) to She’s So Croatian (100% confidence) creates excellent daily double value. Both horses dominate their respective analyst selections with five and seven win picks respectively. Consider this the strongest two-race exotic combination on the card.
Race 8 Win Bet: She’s So Croatian’s perfect 100% confidence with unanimous win support makes this the strongest individual win bet alongside Race 5. Consider aggressive win wagering with exacta coverage using Tanzanite Lily and Sweet Valentine.
Superfecta Value in Race 2: The competitive nature of the fillies and mares starter optional claiming creates superfecta opportunity. Consider a superfecta wheel using Garnet And Gold and Tabloid Material on top with Love You Lippy and Ol’ Blondie underneath for coverage of the split analyst opinions.
Pick Pony analysts emphasize that Races 3, 5, and 8 present the strongest standalone betting opportunities with overwhelming consensus support (89%, 100%, and 100% respectively), while Races 2, 4, and 6 offer exotic value through competitive fields with diverse analyst opinions. Race 6 features the card’s best bet selection with Spun Around.
