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Race 1 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 5 Furlongs, Turf
Win: Ventry Strand (2) – 73% confidence
Place: Saul Elliott (1) – 55% confidence🥈
Show: Mo Holland Drive (6) – 55% confidence
Alternative: Wiki Kane (3) – 36% confidence🥉
Race 2 – Claiming, 5 Furlongs, Dirt BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: Pocket Venus (6) – 91% confidencePlace: Case Hit (1) – 82% confidence🥈
Show: Listenupshance (4) – 45% confidence🥇
Alternative: Its a Cinch (3) – 36% confidence🥉
Race 3 – Starter Optional Claiming, 1 1/16 Miles, Turf
Win: Night Out (2) – 67% confidence
Place: Time Song (6) – 56% confidence
Show: Burning Rubber (3) – 44% confidence🥈
Alternative: Poor Connection (1) – 33% confidence
Race 4 – Starter Optional Claiming, 5 1/2 Furlongs, Dirt BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: Darlin Sugaree (2) – 90% confidence🥈
Place: My Kat (4) – 80% confidence🥇
Show: Bobs Honey (3) – 60% confidence🥉
Alternative: Lady K Westfall (5) – 30% confidence
Race 5 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 5 Furlongs, Turf
Win: Lovin On the Run (2) – 44% confidence
Place: Young Love (6) – 44% confidence🥇
Show: Dare to Fly (8) – 44% confidence🥉
Alternative: Current Affair (9) – 33% confidence
Race 6 – Maiden Special Weight, 6 1/2 Furlongs, Dirt
Win: Into the Hall (8) – 89% confidence🥉
Place: Neko (3) – 67% confidence
Show: Lubie’s Music (7) – 56% confidence🥈
Alternative: Nafisa (4) – 44% confidence🥇
Race 7 – Red Carpet Stakes (G3), 1 3/8 Miles, Turf WIN
Win: Mrs. Astor (2) – 80% confidence🥇
Place: Paradise Lake (6) – 60% confidence🥉
Show: Will Then (4) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Public Assembly (5) – 30% confidence🥈
Race 8 – Maiden Special Weight, 6 1/2 Furlongs, Dirt WIN
Win: Nimah (2) – 100% confidence🥇
Place: Lerios (6) – 60% confidence
Show: Miss Watermelon (9) – 50% confidence🥈
Alternative: Getting Closer (3) – 30% confidence
Race 9 – Maiden Claiming, 1 Mile, Turf WIN
Win: Wildfire Princess (8) – 80% confidence🥇
Place: Gathered (4) – 60% confidence
Show: Paarl (7) – 30% confidence
Alternative: Authentic Grace (9) – 30% confidence🥉
Exotic Bets and Value Plays (Pick Pony Analysts)
Pick 3 and multi‑race structures:
Pick Pony analysts align closely with the JP approach to the late sequence.
Late Pick 3 (Races 7–9), aggressive coverage for a price outcome:
Race 7: Venganza (9), Musical Rhapsody (10), Cornelia Fort (8), Paradise Lake (6)
Race 8: Miss Watermelon (9), Nimah (2), Lerios (6)
Race 9: Authentic Grace (9), Blame Eve (10), Wildfire Princess (8)
Conservative Late Pick 3 leveraging the likely Red Carpet favorite:
Race 7: Mrs. Astor (2) as a single
Race 8: Miss Watermelon (9), Nimah (2), Lerios (6)
Race 9: Authentic Grace (9), Blame Eve (10), Wildfire Princess (8)
Race 1 verticals:
Pick Pony analysts recommend focusing on Ventry Strand, Saul Elliott, and Mo Holland Drive on top.
Suggested structure:
Win: Ventry Strand (2)
Exacta: Ventry Strand (2) over Saul Elliott (1), Mo Holland Drive (6), Wiki Kane (3)
Trifecta: Ventry Strand (2) over Saul Elliott (1), Mo Holland Drive (6) over Saul Elliott (1), Mo Holland Drive (6), Wiki Kane (3)
Race 2 verticals:
With very strong consensus on Pocket Venus and Case Hit, value hides in the third slot.
Suggested structure:
Win: Pocket Venus (6)
Exacta box: Pocket Venus (6) and Case Hit (1)
Trifecta: Pocket Venus (6), Case Hit (1) over Pocket Venus (6), Case Hit (1) over Listenupshance (4), Its a Cinch (3), Run for Kidder (2)
Race 5 turf sprint:
Consensus shows a tightly bunched cluster of Lovin On the Run, Young Love, Dare to Fly, and Current Affair.
Suggested structure:
Win: Dare to Fly (8) or Lovin On the Run (2) as primary plays
Exacta: Dare to Fly (8) and Lovin On the Run (2) over Young Love (6), Current Affair (9), Oveta’s Hobby (11)
Trifecta: Dare to Fly (8), Lovin On the Run (2) over Young Love (6), Current Affair (9), Oveta’s Hobby (11) over the same group
Race 6 key‑horse approach:
Into the Hall is an overwhelming consensus choice, suitable as a key.
Suggested structure:
Win: Into the Hall (8)
Exacta: Into the Hall (8) over Neko (3), Lubie’s Music (7), Nafisa (4)
Trifecta: Into the Hall (8) over Neko (3), Lubie’s Music (7) over Neko (3), Lubie’s Music (7), Nafisa (4), Mad Pursuit (1)
Race 7 Red Carpet Stakes:
The stakes event invites both a chalk‑leaning and price‑hunting approach.
Chalk‑leaning verticals:
Win: Mrs. Astor (2)
Exacta: Mrs. Astor (2) over Paradise Lake (6), Will Then (4), Public Assembly (5)
Trifecta: Mrs. Astor (2) over Paradise Lake (6), Will Then (4) over Public Assembly (5), Venganza (9), Cornelia Fort (8)
Price‑oriented verticals emphasizing JP bombs:
Win: Venganza (9) saver play
Exacta box: Venganza (9), Musical Rhapsody (10), Cornelia Fort (8), Paradise Lake (6)
Trifecta: Venganza (9), Musical Rhapsody (10), Cornelia Fort (8), Paradise Lake (6) over Mrs. Astor (2), Public Assembly (5) over the same group
Race 8 maiden sprint:
Nimah is a universal inclusion, but the presence of multiple live first‑time starters suggests spreading.
Suggested structure:
Win: Nimah (2), with saver bets on Lerios (6) and Miss Watermelon (9)
Exacta box: Nimah (2), Lerios (6), Miss Watermelon (9)
Trifecta: Nimah (2) over Lerios (6), Miss Watermelon (9), Getting Closer (3) over Lerios (6), Miss Watermelon (9), Getting Closer (3), Mesmerize (8)
Race 9 spread race:
With Wildfire Princess, Gathered, Paarl, and Authentic Grace all well supported and several deeper prices lurking, horizontal bettors should treat this as a spread leg.
Suggested structure:
Win: Wildfire Princess (8) as the key but with saver on Authentic Grace (9)
Exacta box: Wildfire Princess (8), Gathered (4), Paarl (7), Authentic Grace (9)
Superfecta (coverage focused): Wildfire Princess (8), Gathered (4), Paarl (7), Authentic Grace (9), Blame Eve (10), Winika (1), Global Consort (13), Angelica Bay (2)
These structures keep the consensus top selections in the strongest positions while still leaning into the bombs and price horses singled out by multiple Pick Pony analysts.
