Pick Pony Tip Sheet – Expert picks for Parx Racing, November 24, 2025. 30% WIN RATE + 1 EXACTA + 2 BOXED TRIFECTAS

Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.

Race 1: Claiming $12,500, 7F Dirt, $23,000

Win: #2 Frosted Lace (60% confidence)🥉
Place: #4 Purple Lu Lu (60% confidence)🥈
Show: #7 It's A Shore Thing (40% confidence)
Alternative: #6 Al Gimaam (20% confidence)

Multiple analysts favor the top two selections, with Frosted Lace drawing support from three handicappers in the win position. Purple Lu Lu represents strong value as a consensus place finisher. It's a Shore Thing shows consistent support across multiple analysts as a contender for the top three positions.

Race 2: Claiming $12,500, 1M Dirt, $23,000 WIN

Win: #5 Notturno (60% confidence)
Place: #6 Earl Of Dassel (40% confidence)🥇
Show: #2 Max's Glory (60% confidence)
Alternative: #3 Union Purrfection (20% confidence)

Notturno receives strong backing from multiple experts as the top selection. Max's Glory appears prominently across several handicapping sheets despite not being the top win pick from most analysts. Earl of Dassel splits opinions as either a win or place contender.

Race 3: Maiden Claiming, 1M Dirt, $25,000

Win: #4 St Pete's Passion (83% confidence)
Place: #5 Sunny Magic (67% confidence)🥉
Show: #1 Rogue Prince (50% confidence)
Alternative: #3 Son Of Delilah (17% confidence)🥇

St Pete's Passion emerges as the clear consensus choice with five of six analysts backing this runner. Sunny Magic receives equally strong support for exacta and trifecta consideration. This maiden claiming event shows strong analyst agreement on the top two finishers.

Race 4: Starter Optional Claiming, 1M 70Y Dirt, $25,000 WIN + EXACTA

Win: #4 Encrypt (100% confidence)🥇
Place: #5 Go Yoshida (50% confidence)
Show: #1 Light My Way (50% confidence)🥈
Alternative: #6 Desert Aire (17% confidence)

Encrypt receives unanimous support from all six handicapping sources, making this horse the strongest consensus pick of the entire card. The place and show positions are more competitive, with Light My Way and Go Yoshida receiving equal backing. This represents an excellent single or key horse for exotic wagers.

Race 5: Maiden Claiming, 1M Dirt, $25,000

Win: #6 Churning Berni (100% confidence)🥈
Place: #3 Bermuda Triangle (50% confidence)
Show: #1 It's Authentic (50% confidence)🥉
Alternative: #5 No Mor Stones (17% confidence)🥇

Churning Berni matches Encrypt as a unanimous consensus selection across all handicapping sources. The filly has been competitive in previous efforts and represents another strong single or key horse opportunity. Bermuda Triangle and It's Authentic show split support for minor positions.

Race 6: Maiden Special Weight, 6F Dirt, $40,000 BOXED TRIFECTA

Win: #5 Extrasexyzqteepeye (80% confidence)🥉
Place: #1 Exciter (60% confidence)🥈
Show: #7 Eake (40% confidence)🥇
Alternative: #6 Polar Magic (20% confidence)

Extrasexyzqteepeye draws strong consensus support despite the unconventional name. Four of five analysts favor this runner for the win. Exciter receives consistent backing for the exacta. Eake represents a potential upset threat with support from two handicappers as a win selection.

Race 7: Claiming, 6F Dirt, $21,000 BOXED TRIFECTA

Win: #2 Smooth Motion (80% confidence)🥈
Place: #7 Exclusive Dancer (80% confidence)🥉
Show: #9 B D Saints (60% confidence)🥇

Smooth Motion and Exclusive Dancer receive equally strong support, though positioned differently by various analysts. Four analysts back each of these runners for the top two positions. B D Saints rounds out the consensus trifecta with solid backing from three sources.

Race 8: Maiden Special Weight, 1M Dirt, $50,000

Win: #1 Quaker City (80% confidence)
Place: #5 Grey Bull (40% confidence)🥉
Show: #7 Wave Rider (40% confidence)🥇
Alternative: #4 Higher Sense (20% confidence)

Quaker City dominates the consensus with four of five analysts supporting this runner for the win. The minor positions show more competition, with Grey Bull, Wave Rider, and Higher Sense all drawing consideration from different experts. This maiden special weight carries the highest purse on the card.

Race 9: Starter Optional Claiming, 1M Dirt, $25,000

Win: #1 Casilda (80% confidence)
Place: #7 Truthorconsequence (60% confidence)
Show: #2 Boutwell Time (40% confidence)🥇
Alternative: #5 Music Clarifcation (20% confidence)

Casilda receives overwhelming support as the top selection from four of five analysts. Truthorconsequence shows strength as an exacta companion. Multiple analysts position these two horses in different order, suggesting a strong exacta box opportunity.

Race 10: Claiming, 1M 70Y Dirt, $23,000 WIN

Win: #9 Cold Feet (80% confidence)🥇
Place: #7 Borracho (80% confidence)
Show: #3 Golden Candy (40% confidence)
Alternative: #8 Tuff Constitution (20% confidence)

Cold Feet and Borracho receive equal strong backing from four sources each, though analysts differ on which should finish first. Both horses represent solid exacta components. Golden Candy adds value as a show selection.


Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays

Race 4 Single Play: With 100% consensus on Encrypt, this represents the strongest single horse opportunity on the card. Use Encrypt as a key in exactas, trifectas, and multi-race wagers. Consider straight win bets if the odds exceed 2-1.

Race 5 Single Play: Churning Berni matches Encrypt with 100% analyst agreement. The filly offers another opportunity to key in all exotic wagers. This horse can anchor Pick 3, Pick 4, and Pick 5 sequences.

Race 4-5 Daily Double: The consecutive unanimous selections create a high-probability daily double opportunity. The 4-6 combination (Encrypt-Churning Berni) represents exceptional value for the double.

Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6): Begin with the single Encrypt in Race 4, follow with single Churning Berni in Race 5, then spread in Race 6 using Extrasexyzqteepeye, Exciter, and Eake. This provides coverage of the top consensus selections while maintaining a reasonable ticket cost.

Race 3 Exacta Box: St Pete's Passion and Sunny Magic show 83% and 67% confidence respectively. Box these two horses for exacta coverage. Both have drawn consistent analyst support.

Race 7 Exacta Box: Smooth Motion and Exclusive Dancer each received 80% confidence ratings. Analysts differ on finish order between these two, making an exacta box the optimal play.

Race 9 Exacta Box: Similar to Race 7, Casilda (80%) and Truthorconsequence (60%) show strong analyst support with disagreement on exact finish order. Box these two horses for exacta coverage.

Race 10 Exacta Box: Cold Feet and Borracho both earned 80% confidence with split opinions on winner. An exacta box captures both finish scenarios.

Trifecta Value Play Race 4: Key Encrypt on top with Go Yoshida, Light My Way, and Desert Aire underneath. The unanimous support for Encrypt makes this a logical trifecta structure.

Trifecta Value Play Race 5: Key Churning Berni on top, box Bermuda Triangle, It's Authentic, and No Mor Stones for second and third. Strong favorite with competitive minor positions creates value.

Late Pick 4 (Races 7-10): This sequence offers value with competitive fields. Use the following structure: Race 7 – Smooth Motion, Exclusive Dancer; Race 8 – Quaker City, Grey Bull, Wave Rider; Race 9 – Casilda, Truthorconsequence; Race 10 – Cold Feet, Borracho. This 2x3x2x2 ticket provides 24 combinations covering the strongest consensus selections.

Superfecta Play Race 1: With multiple horses receiving scattered support, construct a superfecta using Frosted Lace, Purple Lu Lu, It's a Shore Thing, and Al Gimaam. The divided opinions create potential for higher payouts.

Rolling Pick 3 Strategy: Start with the Race 3-4-5 sequence using St Pete's Passion or Sunny Magic (Race 3), single Encrypt (Race 4), and single Churning Berni (Race 5). Continue rolling winners through subsequent Pick 3 opportunities.

Show Parlay Opportunity: The high-confidence horses in Races 4, 5, 7, 9, and 10 could create a profitable show parlay. Show bets on consensus favorites offer higher probability returns that can be parlayed throughout the card.

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