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Race 1 – Maiden Special Weight – 1214Y – Dirt – 01:05pm
Win: Flash of Valor (4) – 43% confidence
Place: Hold My Scotch (1) – 71% confidence
Show: Ghosted Again (5) – 57% confidence🥈
Alternative: Sportatorium (2) – 43% confidence
Notes: Analysts note this race blends newcomers with proven performers. Flash of Valor emerges as a key debut contender with positive trainer signs. Hold My Scotch brings consistent placing form and tactical speed. Ghosted Again placed in non-metro company last start and returns with genuine contender status. Sportatorium is a first starter that could challenge for wider exotics.
Race 2 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1323Y – Dirt – 01:32pm WIN + TRIFECTA
Win: Lucky Vegas (3) – 83% confidence🥇
Place: Bella Baby (2) – 50% confidence🥈
Show: La Vikina (6) – 50% confidence🥉
Alternative: Ogallala (4) – 33% confidence
Notes: Lucky Vegas has outstanding form at this track with two previous wins and commands strong respect. Bella Baby has won twice at Zia Park and shows versatility to track and rally. La Vikina brings sharp form and advantages from connections. The race shapes as an intriguing betting affair with early speed expecting to be contested.
Race 3 – Claiming – 8F 66Y – Dirt – 01:59pm BOXED EXACTA
Win: Ivory Moon (1) – 100% confidence🥈
Place: Super Enticing (4) – 67% confidence🥇
Show: Turn On Arch (5) – 33% confidenceAlternative: Caden’s Girl (6) – 33% confidence
Notes: Ivory Moon enters after a win at Zia Park and looks set to control late. Super Enticing represents a danger showing consistent recent form. Turn On Arch placed when fresh and arrives with strong credentials for minor honors. Early positioning and tactical awareness will be key in this mile and 70 yards contest.
Race 4 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1323Y – Dirt – 02:26pm WIN
Win: Axton (5) – 100% confidence🥇
Place: Bye Bye Liam (3) – 67% confidence
Show: Truth Seeker (2) – 67% confidence🥈
Alternative: Sanger (4) – 33% confidence
Notes: Axton looks to make it four in a row after another win and should press forward to set a searching tempo. Bye Bye Liam returns from a 28-week spell but was a last-start winner at Sunray Park. Truth Seeker should settle mid-division before launching a late bid. The winner likely comes from the front pack but surprises are possible in minor placings.
Race 5 – Claiming – 1433Y – Dirt – 02:53pm WIN
Win: Be A Pro (3) – 100% confidence🥇
Place: Charlotte’s Spider (8) – 50% confidence
Show: Shame On Whiskey (7) – 50% confidence🥉
Alternative: Grifter (4) – 50% confidence
Notes: Be A Pro looks hard to oppose after an impressive win last time out and could follow up. Charlotte’s Spider should run fitter for past attempts and goes up in distance for the first time. Shame On Whiskey placed last start at Zia Park and maintains consistent form. The race features a mix of reliable contenders and dangerous outsiders.
Race 6 – Claiming – 1105Y – Dirt – 03:20pm
Win: Z Marks The Spot (3) – 40% confidence
Place: Playing Field (6) – 40% confidenceShow: Brandyn (8) – 60% confidenceAlternative: Shug’s Rocket (2) – 40% confidence
Notes: Hard to split the top two selections. Z Marks The Spot bolted in last start at Zia Park and won all previous races as a favorite. Playing Field looks to make it four in a row after another win at Zia Park last start. Brandyn should run fitter for past attempts and gets a big drop in trip for the first time. Shug’s Rocket bolted in last start at Zia Park when first up and cannot be ruled out.
Race 7 – Claiming – 1214Y – Dirt – 03:47pm
Win: Roll Penny Roll (11) – 50% confidence
Place: Wheres Brayden (6) – 50% confidence
Show: Shell Game (9) – 50% confidence
Alternative: Laugh Of The Party (10) – 33% confidence
Notes: Will be a close run race between the top picks. Roll Penny Roll just missed as favorite last start at Zia Park and placed twice at the track. Wheres Brayden resumes after a 28-week spell but has very strong form at Zia Park. Shell Game is a winner at first outing this prep and goes well at Zia Park. Expect plenty of early speed with several runners pushing forward.
Race 8 – Claiming – 1433Y – Dirt – 04:14pm
Win: Marked Cash (5) – 40% confidence
Place: Peekay (2) – 60% confidence
Show: G G Hennessy (7) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Just Keep Laughin (8) – 40% confidence
Notes: Marked Cash ran seven lengths back from the winner last start at Zia Park and should run fitter for past attempts. Peekay brings consistent form and tactical speed from the meet’s leading rider combination. G G Hennessy should run fitter for past attempts and goes up in distance for the first time. The main battle will be among the leading four but a strong pace could bring late chargers into the frame.
Race 9 – Claiming – 1433Y – Dirt – 04:41pm
Win: Forever Safe (1) – 60% confidence
Place: Channel Launch (3) – 40% confidence
Show: Wild Steel (2) – 60% confidence
Alternative: In Spite Of It (12) – 40% confidence
Notes: Hard to split the top two picks. Forever Safe has won at Remington Park and placed once this prep while racing back at non-metro class. Channel Launch placed last start at Zia Park when resuming and could improve. Wild Steel placed as a favorite last start at Zia Park and has two placings from five runs this prep. Jockey tactics will be vital in this true test for all runners.
Race 10 – Allowance – 1323Y – Dirt – 05:08pm
Win: Souped Up Wildcat (3) – 100% confidence
Place: Marksalot (1) – 50% confidence
Show: Shez Punctual (7) – 50% confidence
Alternative: Lora Lee Who (2) – 33% confidence
Notes: Souped Up Wildcat only just missed last start finishing a nose back from the winner at Zia Park and has placed twice at the track before. Marksalot is drawn perfectly and emerges as the principal runner. Shez Punctual finished midfield last start at Zia Park when resuming but could threaten. The race features ten fillies and mares chasing a $67,000 purse with quick early moves expected.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Early Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3):
Key Ivory Moon in Race 3 as a single. In Race 1, use Flash of Valor and Hold My Scotch. In Race 2, single Lucky Vegas. This creates a 2x1x1 structure emphasizing the strongest consensus picks.
Middle Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7):
Race 4: Single Axton as the heavy favorite. Race 5: Single Be A Pro. Race 6: Spread with Z Marks The Spot, Playing Field, and Brandyn. Race 7: Use Roll Penny Roll and Wheres Brayden. This 1x1x3x2 structure maximizes the strongest favorites while covering competitive middle races.
Late Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10):
Race 8: Use Marked Cash and Peekay. Race 9: Single Forever Safe. Race 10: Single Souped Up Wildcat. This 2x1x1 structure captures value in the competitive Race 8 while leveraging strong consensus singles.
Value Exacta Plays:
Race 1: Flash of Valor over Hold My Scotch
Race 3: Ivory Moon over Super Enticing
Race 4: Axton over Bye Bye Liam
Race 5: Be A Pro over Charlotte’s Spider
Trifecta Opportunities:
Race 2: Lucky Vegas over Bella Baby and La Vikina offers solid value with the favorite on top. Race 6: Playing Field over Z Marks The Spot and Brandyn could provide generous returns if the favorite gets challenged. Race 8: Peekay over Marked Cash and G G Hennessy represents a prime upset opportunity based on jockey and trainer combinations.
Best Longshot Wagering:
Race 1: D C Call Me George at 12-1 has shown recent progress and could upset the more fancied runners if the pace breaks down. Race 7: Laugh Of The Party at 9-2 has strong second-up form and could capitalize if the early speed battle compromises the favorites.
