Pick Pony Tip Sheet – Expert picks for Mahoning Valley, December 19, 2025. 33% WIN RATE + 1 EXACTA + 1 BOXED TRIFECTA


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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.

Race 1: Claiming, 1320Y, Dirt WIN

Win: 1. Improbable First (83% confidence)🥇
Place: 6. Harbour Bridge (50% confidence)
Show: 5. Pace (33% confidence)
Alternative: 7. Gamboling Ghost (33% confidence)🥈

Notes: One analyst identifies Improbable First as a standout top pick in the race. The horse is in strong form with two wins this campaign and won its last start at this track. Another analyst notes that Harbour Bridge looks well-placed after a game third-place finish in its last outing.

Race 2: Claiming, 8F 70Y, Dirt

Win: 7. Starofthegame (33% confidence)
Place: 3. Daytona Gold (33% confidence)
Show: 6. One Destination (33% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 8. With Full Honors (33% confidence)

Notes: Analysts believe this race is a toss-up between the top selections. Starofthegame earned money in its last start by finishing third at this track. Daytona Gold won once this prep four runs back. One Destination placed as a favorite in its last start.

Race 3: Claiming, 1320Y, Dirt

Win: 3. Photo Finish (67% confidence)
Place: 7. Kozem (33% confidence)
Show: 2. Miss Fussy Pants (50% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 5. A Kiss For Khozan (33% confidence)🥉

Notes: Multiple analysts agree that the winner will likely be one of the top two selections. Photo Finish is coming off a six-week let-up but has strong form. Kozem is returning from an eight-week let-up and won its last start. Miss Fussy Pants has multiple wins at this track.

Race 4: Maiden Claiming, 1210Y, Dirt WIN

Win: 4. Fromthewonderland (67% confidence)🥇
Place: 5. Dame’s Rocket (50% confidence)
Show: 2. Midnight Glimmer (33% confidence)🥉
Alternative: 6. Late For A Date (17% confidence)

Notes: There is a consensus that the top three selections will likely decide the race. Fromthewonderland is coming back from a nine-week spell and finished just a neck from the leader in its last start. Dame’s Rocket ran eight lengths behind the winner in its last outing but is considered well-placed.

Race 5: Claiming, 1320Y, Dirt

Win: 3. David’s Gem (67% confidence)
Place: 2. Making Me Crazy (50% confidence)🥉
Show: 7. Road To Stardom (33% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 6. Orb Of The Boro (17% confidence)

Notes: It is widely believed that nothing will upset the top two choices. David’s Gem has five placings from five runs this prep and narrowly missed a win in the last start. An analyst notes that Making Me Crazy finished a close second in a similar race and merits respect.

Race 6: Claiming, 1320Y, Dirt

Win: 3. Liberate (83% confidence)
Place: 6. Henry Mac (50% confidence)🥇
Show: 5. Lust For Life (17% confidence)
Alternative: 4. Wetzel (17% confidence)

Notes: Liberate is considered a key chance and hard to oppose by multiple analysts, having won four of five races as a favorite. Though the horse disappointed when placing as a favorite last start, it must be respected. Henry Mac has multiple wins at this track and could be an upset threat.

Race 7: Claiming, 1320Y, Dirt WIN + EXACTA

Win: 3. Pay Zone (50% confidence)🥇
Place: 6. John’s Rock (50% confidence)🥈
Show: 2. More Love (50% confidence)
Alternative: 1. Bureau (33% confidence)

Notes: This race is seen as hard to split between the top selections. Pay Zone is coming off a win and is in strong form with three wins this campaign. John’s Rock has two wins this campaign and performs well at this track. Bureau won impressively in its last outing.

Race 8: Claiming, 1320Y, Dirt

Win: 3. Betta Go Go Go (67% confidence)
Place: 2. Beechmont (50% confidence)
Show: 4. A La Carte (33% confidence)
Alternative: 1. Bright Charger (33% confidence)🥈

Notes: Betta Go Go Go is coming off a win at this track and is considered a key chance. Beechmont has two wins this campaign and is seen as the real danger in the race. Grand Bey won at big odds in its last start and is considered a horse to watch.

Race 9: Maiden Special Weight, 1320Y, Dirt BOXED TRIFECTA

Win: 3. Jac’s Cocoabella (67% confidence)🥉
Place: 4. Stacy Ellen (50% confidence)🥈
Show: 1. Holiday Betty (50% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 2. Team Chiquita (33% confidence)

Notes: Jac’s Cocoabella has placed in the last two runs and looks ready to win. Holiday Betty draws a good post position and is considered a leading hope. Stacy Ellen showed improvement in her last start, running second.

Recommended Exotic Plays by Race

The Pick Pony analysts have identified several opportunities for exotic wagers based on the day’s expert consensus.

Race 1: The commentary suggests including Harbour BridgePace, and Gamboling Ghost in exotic bets. A Trifecta or Exacta box including these horses with the top pick, Improbable First, could be a reasonable play.

Race 2: With StarofthegameDaytona GoldOne Destination, and With Full Honors all receiving attention, a boxed Trifecta or Superfecta might capture value in what analysts see as a wide-open race.

Race 3: Kozem and Miss Fussy Pants are repeatedly mentioned as contenders for exotic wagers. Boxing them with the favorite, Photo Finish, in an Exacta or Trifecta is suggested.

Race 4: FromthewonderlandDame’s Rocket, and Late For A Date are highlighted for consideration. Including these runners in exotic combinations could be strategic.

Race 6: Analysts suggest Henry Mac and Wetzel could be part of the exotics. Pairing them with the strong favorite Liberate could be a prudent approach.

Race 7: With multiple horses having strong claims, this race lends itself to exotic plays. Including Pay ZoneJohn’s RockMore Love, and Bureau in boxed wagers could cover the likely contenders.

Value Play Observations

Based on the analysis, the Pick Pony analysts have noted the following potential value plays.

Race 2: With Full Honors is noted as a dangerous horse despite a distant finish in its last start. At odds of 7-2, this horse could provide value.

Race 6: Henry Mac is mentioned as a horse that could upset the favorite. With multiple wins at the track, this horse presents potential value.

Race 8: Grand Bey won at big odds in its last start and is considered a horse that has a chance, representing a potential value play again.

Race 9: Stacy Ellen, at 3-1 odds, received a win prediction from one handicapper and place predictions from others, suggesting good value against the other top contenders.

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