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The Pick Pony Handicapper's Report is published daily and provides analysis of all races on the card. A Pick Pony analyst prepares the report, so selections may differ from the Pick Pony Expert Picks, which are based on the consensus of all Pick Pony analysts.
Every horse our AI Win Probability model rated, grouped by the chance we gave it, against how often that group actually won.
Where the two lines meet, the published percentage was exactly right.
Show the numbers
| Week | What we said | What happened |
|---|---|---|
| 3% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
| 7% | 7.3% | 8.3% |
| 12% | 12.4% | 13.5% |
| 18% | 18.1% | 21.0% |
| 26% | 26.0% | 30.0% |
| 39% | 39.0% | 43.6% |
Race Day Overview
Belmont Park presents an eight-race card on Sunday, November 8, 2026, beginning at 12:40 p.m. The program includes dirt routes, turf routes, and a closing maiden-claiming event. The opening race is the day's most prominent allowance feature, a $105,000 one-mile allowance/optional-claiming event for 2-year-olds. Hullabaloo Ray Ray (3) is the clear morning-line favorite after winning his second career start by 4 1/4 lengths and earning consideration for the Remsen Stakes.
The first race drew only five runners, while Race 6 is the day's largest field, a 12-horse, one-mile turf maiden special weight for 2-year-old fillies. Sellonthenews (4) and Inflect (11) are both listed at 2-1, creating a potentially vulnerable favorite situation in a race where post position and trip should matter.
Recent Belmont news has centered on Stimulate's 7 1/2-length upset of Ted Noffey in the Dwyer and Tap to Open's 3 1/4-length victory in the Mother Goose. Those results indicate that the leading connections remain aggressive in stakes and allowance placement during this meet.
The NYRA listing confirms the card begins with a 12:40 p.m. dirt race and identifies Hullabaloo Ray Ray (3) as the principal favorite.
Weather and Track Conditions
The available forecast calls for a cooler, mainly dry Sunday following earlier weekend showers. The broader New York forecast calls for mostly sunny afternoon conditions, a high near 62 degrees, west winds around 10 to 15 mph, and only a small chance of precipitation.
The most likely opening conditions are fast on the dirt and firm on the turf, although the turf should be monitored carefully after the preceding rain. The NYRA course information has recently shown a 24-foot rail configuration on the inner turf and fast Tapeta conditions for comparable races.
The wind may be the most relevant weather factor. A west wind of 10 to 15 mph can assist horses moving toward the clubhouse turn but may make a long outside trip more demanding, particularly for horses forced to race wide into the first turn.
Track Bias and Post Position Analysis
Recent Belmont meet statistics show a pronounced speed component in dirt races. At one mile, early and early-presser types have performed best, with the rail and inside posts holding an advantage. At 1 1/16 miles, outside and middle-to-outside posts have been more competitive, while the best one-mile dirt profile has favored rail or inside trips.
The one-mile dirt races on this card therefore favor horses capable of securing position before the first turn. Inside runners can save ground, but they must avoid being buried behind tiring speed. The outside posts are not automatically negative in the short fields, especially when a rider can establish a forward position.
The turf races should reward tactical positioning rather than pure front-running. The 1 1/8-mile turf configuration gives horses time to settle, but a slow pace can make it difficult for deep closers to make up meaningful ground. Inside turf posts are helpful when the horse has enough speed to avoid traffic, while outside runners need a clean early decision from the rider.
The available meet profile does not establish a sufficiently strong universal post bias to override individual pace and class handicapping. The practical approach is to favor inside or middle posts with tactical speed and downgrade wide runners lacking early position.
RACE 1 — Post (12:40)/11:40/10:40/9:40 — 1760f | D | AO | OClm 110000n1x | AON | Purse $105,000
Pace Analysis
This is a compact five-horse field, and the pace should be controlled rather than frantic. Hullabaloo Ray Ray (3) has enough positional speed to dictate or sit just off the leader. Its Saturday Night (2) should be the most likely alternative for forward placement, while Bandmaster (5) may be asked to stalk from the outside.
The small field reduces the risk of traffic and gives Hullabaloo Ray Ray (3) a major tactical advantage. Unless Its Saturday Night (2) applies serious pressure, the favorite should receive a comfortable trip.
Key Contenders
Hullabaloo Ray Ray (3) is the clear horse to beat. He improved sharply from his debut, where he was beaten 2 1/4 lengths by Dargham, and then won by 4 1/4 lengths in his second start. His first race included traffic and dirt kickback, while his second start improved when he was able to keep a clean face and produce his run in the clear.
The combination of Jose Lezcano and Thomas Proctor is particularly attractive here because the horse already has demonstrated the ability to make an effective second-start move. The main concern is price: at 1-9 on the supplied line, he offers little win value.
Its Saturday Night (2) is the logical alternative. He has enough speed to keep Hullabaloo Ray Ray (3) honest and may be the only horse capable of taking advantage if the favorite regresses. Chad Summers gives him a suitable rider in Kendrick Carmouche, who should be able to keep him close without forcing the issue too early.
Secondary Choices
Bandmaster (5) deserves respect after competing in the Grade 1 Spinaway. The class line is stronger than the price suggests, although she must improve her recent form and handle a route against males. The outside post is not a major problem in this short field.
Johnny Hockey (4) has an opportunity to pick up a minor share if the top two engage one another. Katie Davis should have options from the outside, but the horse needs a substantial improvement in speed.
Longshots
Rhythm Riot (1) is the longest-priced runner and must improve significantly to win. The inside post can help with ground saving, but the lack of apparent class support makes him more appealing underneath than on top.
Selections
Win: Hullabaloo Ray Ray (3)
Place: Its Saturday Night (2)
Show: Bandmaster (5)
Betting Strategy
Use Hullabaloo Ray Ray (3) primarily in exactas rather than accepting a short win price. The preferred exacta is Hullabaloo Ray Ray (3) over Its Saturday Night (2) and Bandmaster (5). A small saver using Its Saturday Night (2) over Hullabaloo Ray Ray (3) is justified only if the favorite drifts substantially.
RACE 2 — Post (1:10)/12:10/11:10/10:10 — 1980f | t | C | Clm 40000n2l | BUM | Purse $53,000
Pace Analysis
The race lacks an obvious committed front-runner. Livin The Breeze (5), Twirly (6), and Raging Bloom (8) should establish the early shape, with Intothewilderness (7) positioned close enough to capitalize if the leaders soften.
The distance favors a horse able to relax and produce a sustained run. A moderate pace would help Raging Bloom (8), but the favorite may be vulnerable if forced to make a long three-wide move.
Key Contenders
Twirly (6) is the most balanced candidate. The horse is listed at 3-1, owns a useful middle draw, and should be able to secure a stalking trip behind the speed. Manuel Franco is well suited to conserving ground while keeping the horse within striking range.
Raging Bloom (8) is the morning-line favorite and has the strongest apparent market support. The outside post is the principal concern, because the horse may need to spend energy securing position or risk losing ground on both turns. If Christopher Elliott can tuck in early, the favorite remains a serious threat.
Livin The Breeze (5) is a practical alternative. Samuel Marin should be able to place the horse in the first flight, and the fifth post provides more tactical flexibility than the extreme outside draw.
Secondary Choices
Intothewilderness (7) is a live upset candidate. The horse should benefit if the top three runners race too aggressively, and Dylan Davis is capable of producing a measured late run. The six-to-one price is more appealing than the shorter prices on Raging Bloom (8) and Twirly (6).
Heaven's Bolt (4) has the services of Flavien Prat and could improve with a cleaner, more economical trip. The horse needs to show more finishing ability but is usable in wider exotics.
Longshots
On A Summer Day (1) has the best opportunity among the two longest prices because the inside post can produce a ground-saving trip. Lil' Hottie (2) is a difficult win candidate but can be included at the bottom of larger exacta and trifecta tickets. Smokin Hot Blonde (3) has a middle draw and enough tactical speed to pick up a minor award if the pace collapses.
Selections
Win: Intothewilderness (7)
Place: Twirly (6)
Show: Livin The Breeze (5)
Betting Strategy
Intothewilderness (7) is the value play. Use a 7 with 5, 6, and 8 exacta structure, and reverse the 7-6 combination. For trifectas, use Intothewilderness (7), Twirly (6), and Livin The Breeze (5) in the top two positions with Raging Bloom (8) and Heaven's Bolt (4) underneath.
RACE 3 — Post (1:40)/12:40/11:40/10:40 — 1870f | T | S | Md Sp Wt | BUM | Purse $100,000
Pace Analysis
This turf maiden route should develop at a moderate pace. Candidly (4), Hypnotica (1), and Friendshipandlove (5) appear most likely to secure forward position, while Runyon Canyon (3) and Ifweonlyhavelove (6) should settle just behind the first flight.
The pace may favor horses with tactical acceleration rather than deep closers. A long, sustained move into the far turn should be more effective than waiting until the final sixteenth.
Key Contenders
Candidly (4) is the preferred top selection. The horse has the advantage of a favorable middle post, a strong rider in Manuel Franco, and a trainer with two representatives in the race. Candidly (4) should be able to avoid the inside traffic that can compromise Hypnotica (1).
Runyon Canyon (3) is another major contender. Antonio Fresu should be able to save ground while maintaining a clear lane. The horse's four-to-one line is fair if the pace remains honest.
Hypnotica (1) has the most obvious class appeal at two-to-one and gets Flavien Prat. The rail is both an asset and a concern: the horse can save ground, but a slow pace could leave Prat needing to find room at the head of the stretch.
Secondary Choices
Friendshipandlove (5) is attractive as a stalking option. Kendrick Carmouche should have the horse close enough to avoid a disadvantageous pace, and the fifth post provides a clean launch point.
Ifweonlyhave love (6) has a capable rider in Javier Castellano and can be included in horizontal wagers. The horse needs to show a little more late punch but is well placed to benefit from a contested stretch run.
Longshots
Yurak (2) is the best price horse for underneath use. The eight-to-one line is appealing if Jose Lezcano can secure a ground-saving trip without getting trapped.
Flying Hawley (7) is the widest draw and may be forced to race outside on both turns. Edgard Zayas must avoid losing too much ground, but the horse can fill out the bottom of a trifecta if the pace becomes more demanding than expected.
Selections
Win: Candidly (4)
Place: Runyon Canyon (3)
Show: Hypnotica (1)
Betting Strategy
Candidly (4) is the preferred win wager at four-to-one or better. Use exactas with Candidly (4) over Hypnotica (1), Runyon Canyon (3), and Friendshipandlove (5). Include Ifweonlyhave love (6) in trifectas, and use Yurak (2) as the price horse underneath.
RACE 4 — Post (2:10)/1:10/12:10/11:10 — 1870f | D | C | Clm 35000n2l | BUN | Purse $48,000
Pace Analysis
Franklin Delano (4) and Hot Property (6) are the principal speed horses. Both are listed at even money, and their likely duel is the central handicapping question. If either horse can establish a clear advantage before the first turn, that runner should be difficult to catch.
The race becomes more favorable to Elko County (2) if the two favorites exchange several early challenges. The distance gives the stalker enough time to make a controlled move.
Key Contenders
Elko County (2) is the value selection. The horse receives a ground-saving post, has the right type of stalking profile, and is identified as a leading best-bet candidate in the available race analysis.
Franklin Delano (4) has the strongest conventional profile among the favorites. Flavien Prat is an important positive, and the fourth post gives him enough room to secure a forward position. The concern is that he may be forced to work harder than expected against Hot Property (6).
Hot Property (6) is dangerous but must overcome the outside post in a six-horse field. Linda Rice and Manuel Franco form a potent combination, and the horse could win if Franco allows Franklin Delano (4) to go and establishes a stalking trip.
Secondary Choices
Chris's Song (1) can save ground and may be the beneficiary if the favorites tire. Antonio Fresu should be able to keep the horse covered and look for an inside lane.
E Z Bourbon (3) is an appealing long-price horse for exotics because the middle post offers tactical options. The horse needs a major class improvement but is not impossible underneath.
Longshots
Private Flight (5) is the most difficult horse to endorse on top. The price is attractive, but the form must improve sharply. Roshan Samsundar and Kendrick Carmouche can attempt to settle behind the expected duel.
Selections
Win: Elko County (2)
Place: Franklin Delano (4)
Show: Hot Property (6)
Betting Strategy
Elko County (2) is the preferred win value if the price remains near six-to-one. Use exactas with Elko County (2) over Franklin Delano (4) and Hot Property (6), then reverse the two-favorite combinations underneath. Add Chris's Song (1) and E Z Bourbon (3) to trifecta tickets.
RACE 5 — Post (2:41)/1:41/12:41/11:41 — 1430f | t | M | Md 55000 | BUN | Purse $59,000
Pace Analysis
This seven-furlong turf maiden race should have enough speed to produce an honest pace. Eske Castle (7), Frenchquarter Note (5), Munny Problem (1), and Turbo Launch (6) all have reasons to stay close.
The outside draw makes Eske Castle (7) vulnerable to a wide first turn, while Munny Problem (1) may obtain the best ground-saving trip. Frenchquarter Note (5) has the most attractive combination of pace position and post.
Key Contenders
Frenchquarter Note (5) is the top selection. The horse has a favorable middle draw, receives Edgard Zayas, and should be able to stalk without being forced into the first move. The three-to-one line is acceptable for a win wager.
Munny Problem (1) is a major threat. Javier Castellano can save ground from the rail, and the two-to-one line reflects a solid chance. The concern is whether the horse finds room when the field turns for home.
Eske Castle (7) is also dangerous. Wesley Ward's runner has enough speed to overcome some of the post disadvantage, and Antonio Fresu should be able to place the horse close. However, the seven post is less attractive than the prices suggest.
Secondary Choices
Battle (8) is a useful price horse. The outside post creates a trip risk, but Dylan Davis can take back and make one run. The eight-to-one line is attractive for exactas and trifectas.
Turbo Launch (6) has enough tactical speed to remain involved. Manuel Franco may attempt to secure a stalking position, and the horse is a logical inclusion beneath the top three.
Longshots
Instantly (4) and Crowned Moment (3) are both trained by Ilkay Kantarmaci. Instantly (4) has a more favorable post and can improve with a clean trip, while Crowned Moment (3) must take a meaningful step forward.
Oligarch (2) is a 30-1 outsider who needs substantial improvement but could save ground. Klimt Master (9) is the extreme longshot and faces the most difficult trip from the outside.
Selections
Win: Frenchquarter Note (5)
Place: Munny Problem (1)
Show: Battle (8)
Betting Strategy
Frenchquarter Note (5) is playable at three-to-one or higher. Use exactas with Frenchquarter Note (5) over Munny Problem (1), Eske Castle (7), Battle (8), and Turbo Launch (6). Include Battle (8) prominently in second and third positions because the price is likely to be stronger than the actual trip handicap.
RACE 6 — Post (3:12)/2:12/1:12/12:12 — 1760f | T | S | Md Sp Wt | AOF | Purse $100,000
Pace Analysis
The large field creates the day's most difficult trip scenario. Sellonthenews (4), Inflect (11), Royal Victoria (1), and Coastal Beauty (6) should be among the runners seeking forward position. Harmony Mill (9) and Norah Begorrah (3) may settle just behind the first flight.
The pace should be honest, but not necessarily fast enough to guarantee a closer's setup. The most important factor will be whether Inflect (11) can secure position without being hung wide. Sellonthenews (4) has the cleaner draw and may enjoy the better trip.
Key Contenders
Sellonthenews (4) is the preferred favorite. The fourth post is much more advantageous than the outside draw of Inflect (11), and Manuel Franco should be able to secure a stalking position. Chad Brown's two-horse entry gives this runner a strong foundation, although the short price leaves limited margin for error.
Inflect (11) has equal two-to-one support and must be respected. Flavien Prat is a major positive, but the outside post could force an early wide move or leave the filly farther back than preferred. If Prat can cross over and save ground, Inflect (11) may be the most talented horse in the field.
Norah Begorrah (3) is the best live longshot. The 12-1 price is attractive, the post is favorable, and the horse should receive a more efficient trip than several of the shorter-priced runners. The available selections also identify Norah Begorrah (3) as a live longshot.
Royal Victoria (1) can save ground and improve with a patient ride. William Mott and Antonio Fresu are capable of producing a well-timed turf effort, but the rail creates some risk of traffic.
Secondary Choices
Harmony Mill (9) is a logical exotics horse. Dylan Davis should be able to keep the filly in range, and the eight-to-one price is reasonable if the pace becomes more demanding.
Coastal Beauty (6) has a useful middle post and could be positioned behind the principal speed. Kendrick Carmouche should be able to avoid the worst of the traffic.
Palace Joy (7) has enough tactical ability to compete for a minor award. Edgard Zayas will need to secure cover early. Coastal Conflict (5) has a better post than the price suggests but must improve against this level.
Longshots
Golden Ember (8) is a difficult win candidate but can be used underneath because William Mott has a second runner in the race. Speak For Yourself (10) has the outside disadvantage and needs a major form reversal.
Kindness Wins (2) benefits from the inside portion of the course and can save ground, although the 15-1 price reflects the need for improvement. Cotton Queen (12) has the most difficult draw and must overcome both the outside post and the large field.
Selections
Win: Norah Begorrah (3)
Place: Sellonthenews (4)
Show: Inflect (11)
Betting Strategy
Norah Begorrah (3) is the strongest value play on the card. Use a win wager at 8-1 or higher, with exactas placing Norah Begorrah (3) over Sellonthenews (4), Inflect (11), Royal Victoria (1), and Harmony Mill (9). Use Sellonthenews (4) and Inflect (11) over Norah Begorrah (3) on saver tickets.
RACE 7 — Post (3:43)/2:43/1:43/12:43 — 1760f | D | AO | OClm 80000n2x | BUN | Purse $108,000
Pace Analysis
Dreamlike (4) and Time To Win (5) are the primary speed and pressing horses. Adero (3) and Secured Landing (2) should track closely, while Kinetic (1) may attempt to save ground and make one run.
The pace should be legitimate but not destructive. Dreamlike (4) has the best opportunity to control the first turn, while Time To Win (5) may be forced to apply pressure from the outside of the main speed.
Key Contenders
Dreamlike (4) is the top selection. The horse has the inside position relative to Time To Win (5), receives Manuel Franco, and should be able to secure a forward trip without spending too much energy. The two-to-one line is more attractive than the even-money price on Time To Win (5).
Time To Win (5) is the class horse and the clear favorite. Flavien Prat is a major asset, but the horse must either clear Dreamlike (4) or settle outside that rival. A wide stalking trip could make the favorite vulnerable late.
Adero (3) is the best alternative. Dylan Davis should be able to keep the horse in the second flight, and the six-to-one price is usable if the favorites battle.
Secondary Choices
Secured Landing (2) has a strong historical angle because he finished ahead of Kinetic (1) in this same condition on September 23. The rail should help, and Kendrick Carmouche can attempt to secure a patient inside trip. The eight-to-one price is appealing.
Kinetic (1) is a six-time winner but is being offered for the $80,000 claiming price. The inside post helps, but the horse must reproduce prior form against this allowance-quality group.
Longshots
Noble Heritage (6) has the least favorable overall profile but can benefit from a contested pace. Edgard Zayas should keep the horse outside and clear of traffic, although the 15-1 price is justified.
Selections
Win: Dreamlike (4)
Place: Secured Landing (2)
Show: Adero (3)
Betting Strategy
Dreamlike (4) is a sound win candidate if the price holds near 2-1. Use exactas with Dreamlike (4) over Secured Landing (2), Adero (3), and Time To Win (5). Include Kinetic (1) in trifecta combinations, especially underneath if the inside remains favorable.
RACE 8 — Post (4:14)/3:14/2:14/1:14 — 1760f | D | M | Md 20000 | BUN | Purse $38,000
Pace Analysis
Where's Your Boom (4) and Sfumato (3) are the most likely pace factors. True Adirondacker (1) can save ground near the leaders, while Authentic Legend (6) and Mr R T (7) should attempt to stalk.
The pace should be moderate, favoring runners able to remain within three lengths early. A longshot closer would need the top contenders to overcommit.
Key Contenders
Where's Your Boom (4) is the top selection. The horse has the services of Flavien Prat, a favorable middle post, and the shortest morning-line price. The main concern is that the two-to-one price may not reflect enough separation from Sfumato (3).
Sfumato (3) is the principal rival. Jose Lezcano should be able to secure a ground-saving trip, and the three-to-one price is reasonable. The horse's prior second-place finishes at Saratoga are a positive form reference.
True Adirondacker (1) is a useful underneath horse. The rail can produce an economical trip, and Edgard Zayas should have the opportunity to track the leaders. The horse needs to improve modestly but has a better chance than the six-to-one price implies.
Secondary Choices
Authentic Legend (6) has enough speed to remain involved and receives Antonio Fresu. The horse may be the first to challenge the leaders and is a legitimate exacta candidate.
Mr R T (7) can improve with a clean stalking journey. Kendrick Carmouche is a positive rider change for a horse that needs to show more finishing strength.
Longshots
Chess Match (5) has an inside-to-middle draw and can save enough ground to pick up a minor share. Violin (8) is a longer-priced runner who needs improvement but may benefit if the pace becomes more contested.
Big Time Story (2) can take advantage of an inside trip but needs a substantial form reversal. Go Dharma (10) and Thespian (9) are the two most difficult runners to endorse because of their prices and apparent trip challenges, although both can be included in very large trifecta tickets.
Selections
Win: Sfumato (3)
Place: Where's Your Boom (4)
Show: True Adirondacker (1)
Betting Strategy
Sfumato (3) is the preferred value play over the shorter-priced Where's Your Boom (4). Use exactas with Sfumato (3) over Where's Your Boom (4), True Adirondacker (1), and Authentic Legend (6). Add Mr R T (7) and Chess Match (5) to deeper trifecta tickets.
Jockey Notes and Insights
Flavien Prat has the most consequential assignments, riding Heaven's Bolt (4) in Race 2, Hypnotica (1) in Race 3, Franklin Delano (4) in Race 4, Time To Win (5) in Race 7, Inflect (11) in Race 6, and Where's Your Boom (4) in Race 8. His strongest tactical opportunities appear to be Franklin Delano (4), Time To Win (5), and Where's Your Boom (4), although all three are short-priced runners.
Jose Lezcano handles Hullabaloo Ray Ray (3) in Race 1 and Sfumato (3) in Race 8. His ability to keep Hullabaloo Ray Ray (3) relaxed and in the clear was a major factor in the colt's latest victory, and the small field should make the trip easier.
Manuel Franco rides Twirly (6), Ifweonlyhave love (6), Hot Property (6), Sellonthenews (4), and Dreamlike (4). His best opportunities are Sellonthenews (4) and Dreamlike (4), where controlled stalking trips should be available.
Kendrick Carmouche has several useful mounts, including Its Saturday Night (2), Friendshipandlove (5), Coastal Beauty (6), and Secured Landing (2). The best value opportunity appears to be Secured Landing (2), whose inside draw suits a patient route trip.
Dylan Davis rides Bandmaster (5), Intothewilderness (7), Battle (8), Harmony Mill (9), Adero (3), and Authentic Legend (6). His most attractive price assignments are Intothewilderness (7), Battle (8), and Adero (3).
Edgard Zayas has live chances with Rhythm Riot (1), Flying Hawley (7), Norah Begorrah (3), Palace Joy (7), Noble Heritage (6), True Adirondacker (1), and Kindness Wins (2). Norah Begorrah (3) is the most attractive value among those mounts.
Trainer Notes and Insights
Chad Brown has runners in Races 3, 6, and 7. His strongest concentration is Race 6, where Sellonthenews (4) and Inflect (11) are both listed at 2-1. The post-position contrast is important: Sellonthenews (4) has the cleaner tactical setup, while Inflect (11) may have the higher ceiling but faces more trip risk.
William Mott sends out Royal Victoria (1) and Golden Ember (8) in Race 6. Royal Victoria (1) has the more favorable draw and should be preferred between the two.
Linda Rice has Hot Property (6) in Race 4 and Dreamlike (4) and Secured Landing (2) in Race 7. Dreamlike (4) is the more attractive of the three because of the forward-running profile and inside position relative to the favorite.
Ilkay Kantarmaci has Crowned Moment (3) and Instantly (4) in Race 5, as well as Kinetic (1) in Race 7. Instantly (4) is the better-priced consideration in Race 5 because the post gives him more options.
Thomas Proctor's Hullabaloo Ray Ray (3) is the day's most obvious single. The colt's second-start improvement and clean-running trip make him the horse most likely to deliver a decisive performance, but the short price limits his wagering value.
Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays
The best win-value horses are Intothewilderness (7) in Race 2, Elko County (2) in Race 4, Norah Begorrah (3) in Race 6, and Sfumato (3) in Race 8.
The strongest straight exacta anchors are Candidly (4) in Race 3, Frenchquarter Note (5) in Race 5, Dreamlike (4) in Race 7, and Sfumato (3) in Race 8.
Hullabaloo Ray Ray (3) should be treated as a multi-race anchor only if the Pick 5 ticket can remain affordable. The proposed primary Pick 5 structure is:
Race 4: Elko County (2), Franklin Delano (4), Hot Property (6)
Race 5: Frenchquarter Note (5), Munny Problem (1), Eske Castle (7), Battle (8)
Race 6: Norah Begorrah (3), Sellonthenews (4), Inflect (11), Royal Victoria (1), Harmony Mill (9)
Race 7: Dreamlike (4), Secured Landing (2), Time To Win (5), Adero (3)
Race 8: Sfumato (3), Where's Your Boom (4), True Adirondacker (1), Authentic Legend (6)
For a more aggressive reduced-cost ticket, use Elko County (2) and Franklin Delano (4) in Race 4; Frenchquarter Note (5) and Munny Problem (1) in Race 5; Norah Begorrah (3), Sellonthenews (4), and Inflect (11) in Race 6; Dreamlike (4) and Secured Landing (2) in Race 7; and Sfumato (3) and Where's Your Boom (4) in Race 8.
The most attractive individual wager is Norah Begorrah (3) to win in Race 6 at 8-1 or higher, with a saver exacta using Sellonthenews (4) and Inflect (11) over Norah Begorrah (3). The best favorite to oppose is Raging Bloom (8) in Race 2 because of the outside draw and the possibility of a wide route trip.
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