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Fairmount Park – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News and Analysis for the September 19, 2026 card

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The Pick Pony Handicapper's Report is published daily and provides analysis of all races on the card. A Pick Pony analyst prepares the report, so selections may differ from the Pick Pony Expert Picks, which are based on the consensus of all Pick Pony analysts.

 

Race Day Overview

Fairmount Park opens a significant Saturday card on September 19, 2026 as the lone remaining Thoroughbred racetrack operating in Illinois, with eight races featuring a mix of maiden claimers, low- to mid-level claimers, and two allowance optional claiming sprints that headline the program. The card is typical of the late-season Collinsville meet, with a strong local presence from barns such as Scott Becker, Frank Randazzo, Ralph Martinez, and Larry Rivelli, and several short-field races that should produce potent favorites alongside interesting value alternatives.

Recent regulatory developments have elevated the importance of Fairmount Park's live product, as the Illinois Racing Board has denied Hawthorne's bid for 2027 racing dates, effectively leaving Fairmount as the only track in the state and increasing reliance on its live cards and associated off-track wagering revenue. At the same time, Fairmount management is seeking board or legislative relief to expand its signal reach to Northern Illinois off-track betting outlets, underscoring the pressure to maintain robust handle and competitive racing throughout the meet. This context tends to encourage full fields where possible and aggressive placement by local trainers, both factors that can create betting opportunities when the public leans too heavily on obvious favorites.

Today's eight-race program offers two logical single-type favorites in Summer Of Mischief (7) in Race 5 and Disguised Devil (6) in Race 7, but the surrounding races include enough depth, mixed form, and trainer angles to support a multi-race strategy built around carefully chosen value plays rather than simply riding chalk in every slot. The presence of multiple coupled or de facto “entry” situations from top barns (notably Becker and Pompell) further complicates pace and betting dynamics and must be weighed race by race.

Weather and Track Conditions

National Weather Service data for central and southwestern Illinois in the days leading into September 19 show warm, late-summer conditions, with high temperatures around 90°F, lows in the low 60s, and no recorded precipitation yesterday. Winds have been light to moderate and sky cover minimal, indicating predominantly dry, fast-weather profiles. Under these conditions, Fairmount Park's dirt surface is expected to play on the fast side, with minimal moisture and typical afternoon sun further tightening the track by mid-card.

Fairmount's maintenance crew generally keeps the surface consistent through the meet, and on warm, dry stretches like this the track tends to favor horses that can maintain position on or near the pace, particularly in the 5.5- and 6-furlong sprints. Route races at roughly a mile and 70 yards can occasionally offer more opportunity for mid-pack grinders, but even there, forward position into the far turn remains a key factor when the surface is uniformly dry and firm.

Track Bias and Post Position Profile

Recent Fairmount Park racecards and results indicate the typical profile of a one-mile dirt oval with a slight tilt toward inside speed in sprints, especially at 5.5 and 6 furlongs. Inside posts have shown a small but persistent edge in short sprints when breaking sharply, as the run to the turn is relatively short and outside speed can be forced to lose ground three or four wide. In today's card, that bias is most relevant in Races 1, 3, 5, 7, and 8, all sprints where posts 1–3 should be considered slightly advantageous for horses with tactical speed.

In the route races (Races 2, 4, and 6), post position is somewhat less critical, though extreme outside draws combined with need-the-lead running styles can still be disadvantaged, especially if there is other pace drawn inside. Fairmount's configuration allows mid-pack runners from middle posts to secure relatively clean trips, making trip and rider judgment more important than raw post number in these races.

Given the likely fast surface and modest prevailing winds, no strong changing bias is expected through the afternoon, but as always on this circuit, early speed and tactical positioning should be weighted more heavily than deep-closing ability unless the race shape is exceptionally loaded with pace.

RACE 1 — Post 2:30/(1:30)/12:30/11:30 — 1320f | D | M | Md 15000 | BUN | Purse $13,000

This is a maiden claiming sprint for local 3-year-olds and up, with two key barns (Becker and Bahena) holding dual entries and a short field that will concentrate the wagering on the Becker pair.

Pace Analysis

With seven runners and several first- or lightly-raced maidens, the pace should be honest but not suicidal. Dang It Dan (2), W W Nolan (1), and Midnight Master (5) project as the main candidates to be forward early, given their connections and typical sprint placement from these barns. Instant Classic (6) and Blakely's Boy (7) should track just behind, while Bear Rilla (3) and Quiet Deputy (4) appear more likely to sit mid-pack and hope to grind into contention late.

Given Fairmount's sprint bias toward forwardly placed runners, whichever of the Becker pair breaks cleanly and secures the rail or near-rail position into the turn should have a notable advantage if the fractions stay reasonable.

Key Contenders

W W Nolan (1) comes in representing the Scott Becker barn, which is consistently strong with maiden claimers at Fairmount and similar Midwest circuits. The horse carries one of the better recent performance ratings among this group in published form data and appears to have enough tactical speed to capitalize on the inside draw. With Victor Santiago, a capable local rider, taking the mount, W W Nolan (1) looks poised to sit either on the lead or right behind Dang It Dan (2), and the combination of trainer intent, post, and likely trip makes this runner a major win candidate.

Dang It Dan (2) is the other Becker runner and the morning-line favorite, indicating strong barn confidence and likely public support. The horse is well placed at the 15,000 maiden claiming level, and the Becker/Bendezu combination has been productive with aggressively spotted sprinters. Dang It Dan (2) is likely to show speed from the 2-hole, and if W W Nolan (1) does not apply significant early pressure, this runner could control the pace throughout.

Midnight Master (5), from the Fernando Bahena barn, offers the main outside threat to the Becker pair. Bahena has been live with sprinters at this meet and frequently improves horses second off the layoff or after a race at a similar level. Midnight Master (5) sits drawn just outside the Becker pair, giving flexibility to either press or stalk, and projects as the most likely non-Becker runner to take advantage if the two favorites hook each other early.

Secondary Choices

Instant Classic (6), also from the Bahena barn, has an intermediate performance rating and appears slightly less accomplished than Midnight Master (5), but the outside draw and the presence of Angel Stanley, who rides Fairmount's sprints well, make this runner a logical secondary contender. If the pace collapses or if the inside trio tussles early, Instant Classic (6) is well situated to make a wide but sustained run into the lane.

Blakely's Boy (7), trained by Amy Nesbitt and ridden by Alvin Ortiz, has lower published ratings but enough experience to offer some reliability in a modest field. The outside post is a minor disadvantage, but Blakely's Boy (7) can sit just off the pace and hope to grind into the minor money if one or more of the favorites underperform.

Longshots

Bear Rilla (3) and Quiet Deputy (4), both from the David Anthony barn, look like outsiders on paper. Neither has strong recent ratings or proven speed figures at this level, and their mid-pack running style may be ill-suited to the expected fair-to-fast pace. Quiet Deputy (4) has a slightly better chance to pick up pieces late if the field strings out, but both appear more suited to underneath slots in exotics rather than serious win threats.

Selections

Win: W W Nolan (1) Place: Dang It Dan (2) Show: Midnight Master (5)

Betting strategy and wagering angles: This race revolves around the Becker pair. W W Nolan (1) offers a potentially better price than Dang It Dan (2) and the more advantageous inside draw, making W W Nolan (1) the preferred win play. An exacta key W W Nolan (1) over Dang It Dan (2) and Midnight Master (5) is a sound approach, with a smaller saver exacta using Dang It Dan (2) over W W Nolan (1). In multi-race exotics starting here, both Becker runners should be used as primary tickets, with Midnight Master (5) as a backup to catch potential upset scenarios.

RACE 2 — Post 2:55/(1:55)/12:55/11:55 — 1830f | D | C | Clm 4000n1y | BUN | Purse $10,000

A low-level route claimer restricted to horses without a win in the last year, this race often produces inconsistent form and surprising outcomes.

Pace Analysis

Boogie Bode (1) and Lemon Drop Shot (4) appear most likely to vie for early control, with Tapinyourbluejeans (3) capable of sitting just behind in a stalking role. License To Steal (2) and Electric Charge (5) are likely mid-pack runners, while Major Contender (6) and Millard's Smile (7) may be forced to drop in behind from their outside posts.

Given that several of these have been unable to win recently, a moderate pace is expected, with riders favoring comfort over aggression. That can favor the best tactical stalker, making Tapinyourbluejeans (3) particularly interesting.

Key Contenders

Boogie Bode (1), trained by James Watkins and ridden by Ademar Santos, draws the rail and comes in as a co-headliner on the morning line. Watkins is adept with route claimers on this circuit, often keeping horses in the right class band and leveraging inside draws to secure ground-saving trips. Boogie Bode (1) should be prominent early and has the profile of a horse that can grind out a win if left alone on the front end.

Tapinyourbluejeans (3), from the Frank Randazzo barn, is a consistent performer at this level and holds a respectable recent performance rating. Randazzo's horses are generally well-prepared to stretch out or maintain route form, and Javier Tavares excels at getting route claimers to relax just off the pace before timing a move at the three-eighths pole. Tapinyourbluejeans (3) has the best combination of tactical speed and finishing ability in this group, making this runner the most appealing win candidate on overall profile.

Lemon Drop Shot (4), with Ralph Martinez training and Brody Martinez riding, completes the top tier. The Martinez barn frequently spots horses aggressively in low-level claimers, and Lemon Drop Shot (4) has enough speed to either press Boogie Bode (1) or clear if that rival breaks poorly. If the pace is soft and Lemon Drop Shot (4) secures a comfortable lead, this horse could wire the field.

Secondary Choices

Major Contender (6) carries a name that overstates form but does have some underlying appeal as an off-the-pace type who could exploit a pace meltdown. The outside draw and modest morning line suggest the public will not overbet Major Contender (6), making this runner a reasonable inclusion underneath in exactas and trifectas.

License To Steal (2) and Electric Charge (5) offer secondary possibilities. License To Steal (2) may sit a pocket trip behind the speed if breaking sharply, and Eduardo Rodriguez has had success sneaking in prices in races just like this. Electric Charge (5) has a lower rating but could be used on deep tickets given the weak overall form of the field.

Millard's Smile (7) is a deeper secondary type, needing both a clean trip and a favorable pace to hit the board.

Longshots

None of the runners are true throwouts in a 4000n1y claimer, but Electric Charge (5) and Millard's Smile (7) have the least compelling recent profiles and would need significant improvement or multiple rivals underperforming to win. They fit better as C-level inclusions in multi-race tickets, primarily in third and fourth positions in intra-race exotics.

Selections

Win: Tapinyourbluejeans (3) Place: Boogie Bode (1) Show: Lemon Drop Shot (4)

Betting strategy and wagering angles: Tapinyourbluejeans (3) offers a blend of form and likely trip that should produce a fair price relative to Boogie Bode (1). Focus win betting on Tapinyourbluejeans (3), with exactas using Tapinyourbluejeans (3) over Boogie Bode (1) and Lemon Drop Shot (4). Include Boogie Bode (1) as a saver on top in a smaller exacta, given the rail draw and potential pace advantage. In multi-race wagers, Tapinyourbluejeans (3) can be a primary anchor, with Boogie Bode (1) as backup.

RACE 3 — Post 3:20/(2:20)/1:20/12:20 — 1210f | D | M | Md 6250 | BUM | Purse $10,500

Maiden claiming sprint for fillies, with several local barns represented and a mix of early-speed and late-running profiles.

Pace Analysis

Whitelick Road (2) is likely pace commander from the inside-middle draw, with Atraxa (3) and Elsie's Legacy (1) expected to show speed as well. Rather Late (4) may track just behind, while Libby Loo (7) and La Rose Blanche (8) sit mid-pack. Maya's Warrior (5) and Lady Artist (6) profile as deeper closers or stalkers.

The setup suggests a genuine but manageable pace; the key will be whether Whitelick Road (2) is pressured hard early or allowed to dictate terms.

Key Contenders

Whitelick Road (2), trained by Ben Delong and ridden by Angel Stanley, holds a strong recent rating and is projected as the main pace player. Delong's barn is quietly solid with maiden claimers, and Whitelick Road (2) has the look of a filly who may have needed a race or two to find proper company. Today's drop into 6250 claiming and favorable post should put her squarely in the picture.

Elsie's Legacy (1), from the Randazzo barn with Javier Tavares aboard, is another major contender. Published ratings show Elsie's Legacy (1) with competitive numbers relative to the field, and the inside draw allows Tavares to decide whether to send aggressively or sit just behind Whitelick Road (2). Randazzo's maidens often improve with experience, so any hint of progression in recent form lines is meaningful.

Rather Late (4), one of two Duane Wells trainees in the field, offers a stalking profile and the possibility of trip advantage if the inside pair tangle early. With Victor Lara riding, Rather Late (4) is well suited to an outside pressing trip where she can avoid kickback and make a sustained run turning for home.

Secondary Choices

Atraxa (3), with Higgins training and Bendezu riding, presents additional speed and could make things uncomfortable for Whitelick Road (2) if she breaks sharply. Secondary win chances arise if Atraxa (3) shakes loose or if Whitelick Road (2) fails to show expected early foot.

Libby Loo (7), trained by Edward Essenpreis and ridden by Brody Martinez, sits in the mid-pack range and may inherit a good outside stalking position. Her rating is fair but not top-tier, making Libby Loo (7) more attractive for exacta and trifecta spots than as a primary win candidate.

La Rose Blanche (8), the other Wells runner with Ademar Santos aboard, sits outside all the speed and could find a comfortable, unpressured lane if the inside bunch compresses. La Rose Blanche (8) is an interesting underneath inclusion, particularly in deeper trifectas.

Longshots

Maya's Warrior (5) and Lady Artist (6), from barns that tend to be patient with their stock, represent longshot closers in a race that may not collapse enough to fully suit them. Lady Artist (6) has a published rating that lags the top contenders but shows at least some ability to pass horses late, giving her an outside shot to sneak into the minor money if pace dynamics become more stressful than expected.

Selections

Win: Whitelick Road (2) Place: Elsie's Legacy (1) Show: Rather Late (4)

Betting strategy and wagering angles: Key Whitelick Road (2) on top in exactas with Elsie's Legacy (1) and Rather Late (4). For value, include Libby Loo (7) and Atraxa (3) underneath in trifectas, especially in combinations where Whitelick Road (2) and Elsie's Legacy (1) occupy first and second. In multi-race exotics, Whitelick Road (2) and Elsie's Legacy (1) should be both used, with Rather Late (4) as a backup.

RACE 4 — Post 3:45/(2:45)/1:45/12:45 — 1870f | D | C | Clm 5000n4l | BUN | Purse $10,600

This 5000 non-winners-of-four route is anchored by a strong favorite and a couple of serious threats from capable local barns.

Pace Analysis

Cutlass King (1) looks like the controlling speed or tactical pace horse from the rail, with Two Step Jake (3) and Rumbling (7) potential pressers. Smile Like Kyle (2) and Aspiring Comedian (5) project to sit mid-pack, while Severance (4) and Solomon Vandy (6) may drop out toward the rear and hope to rally late.

Pace should be moderate, with riders cognizant of Cutlass King (1)'s strength and wary of challenging too early. That scenario favors the favorite and any horse that can sit right behind without losing ground.

Key Contenders

Cutlass King (1), trained by Harry Lynch and ridden by Victor Lara, stands out as the key horse and justifiable heavy favorite. Lynch places his route claimers well, and Cutlass King (1) has the look of a horse who has already proven capable at this level and distance. The rail draw allows Lara to control the ground and pace; if he secures a comfortable rhythm, Cutlass King (1) is extremely tough to reel in.

Two Step Jake (3), with Jessika Jelinski and Ademar Santos, is the main alternative. This runner brings consistent form and a competitive rating, suggesting the ability to sit second or third and make a decisive move approaching the far turn. Jelinski's runners often outrun their odds when well-placed, and Two Step Jake (3) fits that pattern.

Aspiring Comedian (5), trained by Mark Anderson and ridden by Javier Tavares, completes the top tier. Anderson's barn can move horses forward off recent efforts, and Aspiring Comedian (5)'s stalking style suits a race where Cutlass King (1) may be allowed to dictate. If the favorite is pressured or fails to fire, Aspiring Comedian (5) is well positioned to pick up pieces.

Secondary Choices

Rumbling (7), from Maximino Quinonez with Alexander Bendezu aboard, has enough speed to press the inside horses, but the outside post and potential for a wide first turn make this runner more of a secondary win candidate. Rumbling (7) is best used underneath in exactas and trifectas, particularly if the pace is more contested than expected.

Severance (4), from Rhonda Thurman and Harold Ortega, and Smile Like Kyle (2), from Robert Pompell and Felix Vasquez Jr, are mid-pack types who may benefit if the favorite comes under heavy early fire. They are legitimate secondary inclusions in exotics but lack a strong profile for outright victory in a race with a dominant rail horse.

Solomon Vandy (6), trained by Marvel Straub and ridden by Johanis Aranguren, is another deep secondary type who may be too dependent on unusual pace dynamics to win.

Longshots

Smile Like Kyle (2), Severance (4), Solomon Vandy (6), and Rumbling (7) collectively form the longshot tier in terms of win probability, though Rumbling (7) has the best chance to upset via aggressive tactics. They should be considered primarily for third and fourth positions in intra-race exotics, where their modest ratings but potential for trip improvements can produce value.

Selections

Win: Cutlass King (1) Place: Two Step Jake (3) Show: Aspiring Comedian (5)

Betting strategy and wagering angles: Cutlass King (1) is a logical single in multi-race sequences and a strong key in exactas. Exacta structure should focus on Cutlass King (1) over Two Step Jake (3) and Aspiring Comedian (5), with small savers including Rumbling (7) underneath in trifectas. Given the likely short price, win betting on Cutlass King (1) is less attractive than building multi-race tickets around this horse as a strong anchor.

RACE 5 — Post 4:10/(3:10)/2:10/1:10 — 1210f | D | C | Clm 4000b | BUM | Purse $10,000

A 4000b sprint that features an overwhelming morning-line favorite Summer Of Mischief (7) from a dominant local barn.

Pace Analysis

Summer Of Mischief (7) projects as the primary speed or stalk-and-pounce runner from the middle of the gate, with Miss Saipan (3), Alternative Grace (4), and Bethy (8) contributing to the early mix. Rock The Birdhouse (1), Ornery Angel (2), Midnight's Girl (5), Blaze Beauty (6), and Stagflation (9) should be scattered from just off the pace to mid-pack.

The pace could be honest to fast, but Summer Of Mischief (7)'s class and tactical speed indicate that this runner can sit where needed and assert dominance turning for home.

Key Contenders

Summer Of Mischief (7), trained by Scott Becker and ridden by Alexander Bendezu, stands as the day's shortest price and most obvious single. Becker is exceptionally strong with mid-level claimers sprinting on this circuit, and Summer Of Mischief (7) appears well-spotted against a field of mostly inconsistent rivals. From post 7, Bendezu can choose to press or sit just off the early leaders; either way, Summer Of Mischief (7) is overwhelmingly the most likely winner.

Bethy (8), from the Randazzo barn with Javier Tavares, is the primary threat if the favorite falters. Randazzo's sprinters frequently show late energy and steady form, and Bethy (8) is drawn outside the main speed, enabling a stalking trip in clear air.

Stagflation (9), trained by Mark Anderson and ridden by Ademar Santos, may also offer a mild upset chance if the race collapses. The outside draw lets Santos watch the early scramble and decide whether to engage or sit back.

Secondary Choices

Alternative Grace (4), from Harry Lynch with Victor Lara aboard, has enough speed to be involved early and could, in theory, make life harder for Summer Of Mischief (7). Alternative Grace (4) fits well underneath in exactas and trifectas.

Midnight's Girl (5), the second Randazzo entrant with Reynier Arrieta riding, is a mid-pack type who could run on late into minor awards. Ornery Angel (2), Rock The Birdhouse (1), and Blaze Beauty (6) offer additional secondary possibilities, but their overall profiles make them better used underneath rather than as serious win threats.

Miss Saipan (3), with Joel Martinez and Frank Reyes, may show speed but appears vulnerable to the superior class and finishing kick of Summer Of Mischief (7) and Bethy (8).

Longshots

Rock The Birdhouse (1), Ornery Angel (2), Miss Saipan (3), Blaze Beauty (6), and even Midnight's Girl (5) and Stagflation (9) are best considered longshots in terms of win probability. They are important for trifectas and superfectas, especially given the likelihood of a heavy favorite on top, but they rank behind Summer Of Mischief (7) and Bethy (8) in most reasonable scenarios.

Selections

Win: Summer Of Mischief (7) Place: Bethy (8) Show: Alternative Grace (4)

Betting strategy and wagering angles: Summer Of Mischief (7) should be strongly keyed on top in exactas and trifectas. The best value comes from structuring tickets with Summer Of Mischief (7) over Bethy (8), Alternative Grace (4), and Stagflation (9), while sprinkling the others into third and fourth slots in larger exotics. In multi-race sequences, Summer Of Mischief (7) is a cornerstone single, allowing bettors to spread in more contentious races.

RACE 6 — Post 4:35/(3:35)/2:35/1:35 — 1830f | D | C | Clm 6250n5l | BUN | Purse $12,500

A 6250 non-winners-of-five route with a couple of strong favorites and several grinding types.

Pace Analysis

Sound Of Victory (3) and Booming (4) project as the primary pace players, with Roussette (2) and City Of God (7) sitting just behind. Sponge Bath (8) and Patch O'brien (9) may stalk from mid-pack, while African Warrior (1), Black White N Gold (5), and Heartbreak Game (6) are more likely deeper closers.

Pace could be moderately fast for the level, as route claimers often jockey early for position, but there is no obvious suicidal speed. The race should favor horses who can sit second or third and avoid severe traffic.

Key Contenders

Sound Of Victory (3), trained by Armando Hernandez and ridden by Ademar Santos, looks like the central win candidate. Hernandez's horses often show a blend of speed and stamina in these route claimers, and Sound Of Victory (3) has the profile of a horse that can either make the lead or sit just off it, then quicken into the lane.

Sponge Bath (8), from Eduardo Rodriguez with Frank Reyes aboard, is a co-favorite type with a strong recent rating and an outside stalking draw. Rodriguez's runners have performed well in similar spots, and Sponge Bath (8) can secure a good position without heavy early pressure, making this runner a major player.

Roussette (2), trained by James Watkins and ridden by Luis Colon, offers a potent combination of class and finishing ability. Watkins is effective with route claimers, and Roussette (2) has enough tactical speed to avoid getting shuffled back while still reserving energy for the stretch run.

Secondary Choices

Patch O'brien (9), from Hugo Rodriguez with Alexander Bendezu, sits as a secondary contender. The outside draw requires a bit more ground, but Patch O'brien (9) has enough ability to track Sponge Bath (8) and aim to outfinish mid-pack rivals.

Booming (4), with Brian Cook and Brody Martinez, and City Of God (7), trained by Gene Sandrowski with Felix Vasquez Jr, are mid-tier secondary options. Either could win if the main trio underperform, but their more modest ratings and post positions place them a notch below Sound Of Victory (3), Sponge Bath (8), and Roussette (2).

Heartbreak Game (6), from Harry Lynch and Victor Lara, is a grinding type who may sneak into trifectas if the pace becomes more demanding than expected.

Longshots

African Warrior (1) and Black White N Gold (5) look overmatched on paper, with lower ratings and less consistent form than the top four or five. They should be considered primarily for deeper exotic tickets and only as remote win chances.

Selections

Win: Sound Of Victory (3) Place: Sponge Bath (8) Show: Roussette (2)

Betting strategy and wagering angles: Focus win betting on Sound Of Victory (3), who may offer a better price than Sponge Bath (8). Exacta tickets should be built around Sound Of Victory (3) and Sponge Bath (8), with Roussette (2) and Patch O'brien (9) filling out the second and third positions. In multi-race exotics, use Sound Of Victory (3) and Sponge Bath (8) as co-anchors, with Roussette (2) on backup tickets to guard against variability in this route field.

RACE 7 — Post 5:00/(4:00)/3:00/2:00 — 1320f | D | AO | OClm 20000n4l | BUM | Purse $40,500

This is one of the day's co-features: a strong allowance optional claiming sprint with several capable runners and a standout favorite from a powerhouse barn.

Pace Analysis

Disguised Devil (6) and Biagoddess (2) figure to be the primary pace players, with Bikini Martini (7), Bar Money (4), and Lady Elise (9) contributing to the early or tactical mix. Devil (1) and Laly (3) may settle mid-pack, while Hootie Hoot (5) and Vasariah's Image (8) are more likely closers.

The pace should be sharp, as allowance-level sprinters here tend to show more early foot. That makes trip and rider judgment crucial.

Key Contenders

Disguised Devil (6), trained by Larry Rivelli and ridden by Alexander Bendezu, is a high-profile favorite. Rivelli's barn is exceptionally strong with allowance sprinters, particularly off synthetic or turf form lines into dirt, and Disguised Devil (6) has the class edge and tactical speed to either clear or stalk Biagoddess (2). This colt or filly (depending on sex) looks like the most likely winner on the card aside from Summer Of Mischief (7).

Lady Elise (9), trained by Mark Cristel and ridden by Frank Reyes, is a potent closer or stalking type who can take advantage if the inside and middle pace players lock up early. Drawn outside, Lady Elise (9) can track three-wide in the clear and produce a sustained run into the lane, making this runner the main threat to the favorite.

Biagoddess (2), also from Rivelli but with Felix J E aboard, presents another major contender. The barn's presence with two serious runners underscores intent, and Biagoddess (2) has enough quality to either press Disguised Devil (6) or control the pace if the favorite opts to sit just behind.

Secondary Choices

Bikini Martini (7), trained by Edward Essenpreis with Johanis Aranguren riding, offers a secondary win chance if the top trio underperform. Bikini Martini (7) can stalk just off the pace and may benefit from any inside traffic.

Bar Money (4), another Essenpreis runner with Reynier Arrieta, fits well as a mid-pack stalking type. This horse is well suited to underneath spots in exactas and trifectas, especially if Bar Money (4) draws into a rail-skimming trip behind speed.

Devil (1) and Laly (3), both trained by Michele Boyce with Victor Lara and Javier Tavares riding respectively, present honest secondary profiles. Boyce's horses are typically well-conditioned and can surprise in these spots, particularly if the pace scenario becomes more chaotic than expected.

Longshots

Hootie Hoot (5), trained by Jose Huerta and ridden by Harold Ortega, and Vasariah's Image (8), trained by Gabe Retana with Javier Diego, appear as deeper longshots. Both would need a significant pace collapse or a major underperformance from the top barns to win, but they can be useful in superfectas where coverage of late-running longshots pays dividends.

Selections

Win: Disguised Devil (6) Place: Lady Elise (9) Show: Biagoddess (2)

Betting strategy and wagering angles: Disguised Devil (6) is a primary single in late multi-race wagers. Exactas should focus on Disguised Devil (6) over Lady Elise (9) and Biagoddess (2), with modest backup using Lady Elise (9) on top over Disguised Devil (6) and Biagoddess (2) to capture a potential upset. Trifectas can incorporate Bikini Martini (7), Bar Money (4), Devil (1), and Laly (3) in third and fourth positions.

RACE 8 — Post 5:25/(4:25)/3:25/2:25 — 1210f | D | AO | OClm 20000n2l | BUN | Purse $38,500

The finale is a competitive allowance optional claiming sprint for horses with limited wins, offering one of the best wagering races of the day.

Pace Analysis

Itdontcomeeasy (5), Adam Five Oh (6), Fight The Power (3), and Big Skookum (4) are likely pace players, with Playground Warrior (2) and Tower Grove Park (1) just behind. Senor Ruben (8), Somethintobelieven (11), and Ciao Tommaso (10) sit mid-pack, while Chef Ray Wiley (9), Wahida Of Mardan (7), and Holden Michael (12) are potential closers or stalkers depending on break.

This should be a lively pace, as multiple horses possess early speed and connections will be keen to secure position in a relatively large field. The race sets up well for a tactical stalker who can sit just off the leaders and finish.

Key Contenders

Itdontcomeeasy (5), trained by Scott Becker and ridden by Victor Santiago, is the morning-line favorite and a key contender. Becker's record with allowance-level sprinters is consistently strong, and Itdontcomeeasy (5) combines speed and class in a way that fits this race perfectly. The middle draw allows Santiago to watch the inside speed and decide whether to press or sit just off; a perfect trip could translate into a decisive win.

Somethintobelieven (11), trained by Robert Pompell and ridden by Ademar Santos, is a serious threat from the outside. This horse has the look of a late-running or tactical type who can sit in the clear and launch a wide rally as the leaders tire. Pompell's barn is crafty with allowance horses, and Somethintobelieven (11) may offer value if the public focuses heavily on Itdontcomeeasy (5) and Adam Five Oh (6).

Adam Five Oh (6), also from Pompell with Felix J E aboard, is another key contender. Drawn just outside Itdontcomeeasy (5), Adam Five Oh (6) figures to press the pace and can win if allowed to dictate fractions or if Somethintobelieven (11) does not fire its best shot.

Secondary Choices

Tower Grove Park (1), trained by Fernando Bahena with Angel Stanley riding, has a solid recent rating and the rail draw. Bahena's horses often perform well in allowance company when they can sit just off the pace and save ground, making Tower Grove Park (1) an appealing secondary win candidate and a strong exacta/trifecta player.

Fight The Power (3), trained by Elias Lopez with Frank Reyes aboard, is a speed-type who can make the front or sit just off the leaders. If the pace is not overly contested, Fight The Power (3) could carry his speed a long way.

Senor Ruben (8), a second Becker runner with Reynier Arrieta, and Ciao Tommaso (10), from Brian Cook with Alexander Bendezu, are mid-field types who should be used underneath and on backup multi-race tickets. Both possess enough ability to get involved if the main pace players falter.

Big Skookum (4) and Playground Warrior (2) have some speed but may find themselves caught between faster rivals and late runners, making them more attractive underneath than on top.

Longshots

Chef Ray Wiley (9), Wahida Of Mardan (7), and Holden Michael (12) appear as longshots. Wahida Of Mardan (7), from Amy Nesbitt with Felix Vasquez Jr, may be overmatched at this level but could pick off tiring rivals late, making this horse a potential superfecta inclusion. Chef Ray Wiley (9) and Holden Michael (12) need significant improvement to factor strongly but should not be entirely dismissed for fourth-place slots in larger tickets.

Selections

Win: Itdontcomeeasy (5) Place: Somethintobelieven (11) Show: Adam Five Oh (6)

Betting strategy and wagering angles: This is an excellent race for spreading in exotics. Focus win betting on Itdontcomeeasy (5), with saver wagers on Somethintobelieven (11) for value. Exactas should be structured around Itdontcomeeasy (5) and Somethintobelieven (11), with Adam Five Oh (6), Tower Grove Park (1), and Fight The Power (3) underneath. Trifectas can include Senor Ruben (8), Ciao Tommaso (10), and Big Skookum (4) in third and fourth positions, where prices may be more generous.

Jockey Notes and Insights

Victor Santiago has multiple key mounts for Scott Becker today, notably W W Nolan (1) in Race 1 and Itdontcomeeasy (5) in Race 8, positioning him as one of the pivotal riders for bettors seeking to leverage Becker's strong local program. Santiago's familiarity with Fairmount's sprint configuration and ability to secure rail-saving trips will be especially important in those races.

Alexander Bendezu is in a similar position, riding several major favorites including Dang It Dan (2) in Race 1, Summer Of Mischief (7) in Race 5, Patch O'brien (9) in Race 6, Disguised Devil (6) in Race 7, and Ciao Tommaso (10) in Race 8. His day will likely define several multi-race sequences, and his handling of pace and positioning with the Becker and Rivelli stock is crucial.

Javier Tavares, Ademar Santos, and Frank Reyes all hold multiple live mounts, particularly in Race 2 (Tapinyourbluejeans (3) with Tavares), Race 3 (Elsie's Legacy (1) with Tavares), Race 4 (Two Step Jake (3) with Santos), Race 6 (Sound Of Victory (3) with Santos and Sponge Bath (8) with Reyes), and Race 8 (Somethintobelieven (11) with Santos and Fight The Power (3) with Reyes). These riders are experienced at Fairmount and generally reliable in navigating traffic in route and sprint races.

Victor Lara, Brody Martinez, Angel Stanley, Luis Colon, Reynier Arrieta, Felix Vasquez Jr, Alvin Ortiz, Johanis Aranguren, and Harold Ortega all appear on mounts where trip and post will matter more than raw talent, but several of them sit on key pace horses like Cutlass King (1) in Race 4 (Lara), Roussette (2) in Race 6 (Colon), Tower Grove Park (1) in Race 8 (Stanley), and Lady Elise (9) in Race 7 (Reyes). Their tactical decisions early in races will significantly shape how pace scenarios play out.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Scott Becker anchors the card with multiple serious contenders: W W Nolan (1) and Dang It Dan (2) in Race 1, Summer Of Mischief (7) in Race 5, and Itdontcomeeasy (5) plus Senor Ruben (8) in Race 8. Becker's barn is known for strong conditioning and smart placement at Fairmount, and his runners often outrun their odds. His horses can be confidently used as anchors in multi-race wagers when form and placement align, as they do today.

Frank Randazzo has live runners sprinkled throughout, including Tapinyourbluejeans (3) in Race 2, Elsie's Legacy (1) and Bethy (8) in Races 3 and 5, and Midnight's Girl (5) in Race 5. Randazzo's maidens and claimers tend to improve with racing, making his horses reliable secondary contenders and occasional upset threats.

Harry Lynch's Cutlass King (1) in Race 4 and Alternative Grace (4) plus Heartbreak Game (6) in Races 5 and 6 show his typical strength with route and sprint claimers placed at realistic levels. Lynch's horses are often fit and ready, particularly when they draw favorable posts.

Larry Rivelli's presence in Race 7 with Disguised Devil (6) and Biagoddess (2) is a major signal of quality and intent. Rivelli is a high-percentage trainer with allowance sprinters and often ships or spots horses where they can win quickly; both runners in Race 7 should be treated with respect.

James Watkins, Ralph Martinez, Eduardo Rodriguez, Armando Hernandez, Brian Cook, Mark Anderson, Ben Delong, Duane Wells, Rhonda Thurman, Marvel Straub, Gene Sandrowski, Michele Boyce, Jose Huerta, Gabe Retana, Clay Laux, Amy Nesbitt, Hugo Rodriguez, and John Rednour Jr all contribute runners with varying degrees of live potential. The common thread among the more successful of these barns is realistic placement and careful management of their stock, particularly in the claiming ranks where minor class drops and post advantages can significantly change a horse's prospects.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The structure of today's Fairmount Park card lends itself well to multi-race exotics anchored by a few strong favorites. A practical strategy is to build tickets around Summer Of Mischief (7) in Race 5 and Disguised Devil (6) in Race 7 as primary singles, while using Cutlass King (1) in Race 4 and Sound Of Victory (3) or Sponge Bath (8) in Race 6 as strong but not absolute anchors.

Early sequences (for example, a Pick 3 or early Pick 4 starting with Race 1) can leverage the Becker entry W W Nolan (1) and Dang It Dan (2), Tapinyourbluejeans (3) in Race 2, Whitelick Road (2) and Elsie's Legacy (1) in Race 3, and Cutlass King (1) in Race 4. Spreading modestly in the maiden races while tightening around the dominant favorites is a sensible approach.

Late sequences (such as a Pick 4 from Races 5–8) should use Summer Of Mischief (7) as a single in Race 5, then spread slightly in Race 6 around Sound Of Victory (3), Sponge Bath (8), and Roussette (2). In Race 7, Disguised Devil (6) can be used as a single or a heavy A-level horse with Lady Elise (9) and Biagoddess (2) as backups. Race 8 offers the best opportunity to differentiate, with Itdontcomeeasy (5) and Somethintobelieven (11) as primary selections, and Adam Five Oh (6), Tower Grove Park (1), and Fight The Power (3) as value-enhancing inclusions.

For vertical exotics, focus on these value plays:

W W Nolan (1) in Race 1 as the preferred win choice over a heavy stablemate favorite.

Tapinyourbluejeans (3) in Race 2 as a likely winner at a potentially fair price relative to Boogie Bode (1).

Whitelick Road (2) and Elsie's Legacy (1) in Race 3 as key exacta horses that may offer more value than short-priced, lightly-raced rivals.

Bethy (8) in Race 5 and Lady Elise (9) in Race 7 as strong underneath and possible upset candidates against two of the shortest-priced favorites on the card.

Somethintobelieven (11) and Tower Grove Park (1) in Race 8 as high-upside value plays in one of the day's deepest fields.

Overall, the card rewards a strategy of identifying and keying logical favorites like Summer Of Mischief (7), Disguised Devil (6), Cutlass King (1), and Sound Of Victory (3), while consistently incorporating second-tier value horses such as Tapinyourbluejeans (3), Whitelick Road (2), Elsie's Legacy (1), Bethy (8), Lady Elise (9), Itdontcomeeasy (5), Somethintobelieven (11), and Tower Grove Park (1) into the exacta, trifecta, and multi-race structures.

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