Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
⚠ Concerns:(1) Unproven on turf surface (2 starts). (2) Switching from dirt to turf today. (3) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (2 of 3 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: 3w;chased;faltered. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (6) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: LRL, SAR).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | F |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | B | D |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (61) well above field median (55). (2) Career-best speed figure (63) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 82 vs field 77). (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 75 vs field 69). (5) First career start on turf with a strong turf pedigree rating of 111 — bred for the surface; first-timers with strong pedigree win at a price.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (4) Today's distance is longer than any previous start. (5) Has never raced on turf surface. (6) Switching from dirt to turf today. (7) Trip note from last race: Retreat undr rde;angld.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | A | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($50,000 → $25,000). (2) Dropping in class ($25,000 vs last $50,000) after a 42-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 42 days. (2) Speed average (42) well below field median (55). (3) First time at today's distance. (4) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (5) Today's distance is longer than any previous start. (6) Unproven on turf surface (2 starts). (7) Trip note from last race: Off pce 2w;no factor.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | C | C |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (54) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 82 vs field 77). (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 74 vs field 69). (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (5) First career start on turf with a strong turf pedigree rating of 104 — bred for the surface; first-timers with strong pedigree win at a price.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 48 days. (2) Rising in class today ($16,000 → $25,000). (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) First time at today's distance. (5) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (6) Today's distance is longer than any previous start. (7) Has never raced on turf surface. (8) Switching from dirt to turf today. (9) Trip note from last race: Carried out;steady bid. (10) Rising in class ($16,000 → $25,000) after finishing 3 last out — double negative. (11) Stepping up to $25,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $16,000).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | D |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 49-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Dropping in class today ($50,000 → $25,000). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 8 starts (25%). (4) Career-best speed figure (32) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (5) 3 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (6) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (7) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (8) Dropping in class ($25,000 vs last $50,000) after a 49-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (9) Returning from 49-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 49 days. (2) Speed average (32) well below field median (55). (3) First time at today's distance. (4) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (5) Today's distance is longer than any previous start. (6) Has never raced on turf surface. (7) Switching from dirt to turf today. (8) Trip note from last race: Off slw;traild 3w.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | C | D |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 36-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Speed average (71) well above field median (55). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (57%). (4) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 6 wins from 17 starts (35%). (5) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (54%). (6) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 76 vs field 69). (7) Trainer 'RUSSELL BRITTANY T' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 36 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (4) Unproven on turf surface (1 start). (5) Trip note from last race: 2-3w; weakened.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (47%). (2) 4 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Consistent workout spacing (7, 7 days) — disciplined training regimen. (5) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (6) First career start on turf with a strong turf pedigree rating of 103 — bred for the surface; first-timers with strong pedigree win at a price.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on turf surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Finish Pos | A | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Sprint FPS | F | F |
| Route FPS | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (64) well above field median (55). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 85 vs field 77). (4) Last race E1 pace (90.0) was 5.2 pts above personal avg (84.8) and horse still finished 5th — pace collapse victim; expect bounce if today's fractions are softer.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Unproven on turf surface (2 starts). (3) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (2 of 3 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Rail;duel;weakened. (5) Outside post (8) in a large field of 12 horses. (6) Last race was career-best speed (69) — bounce risk after peak effort. (7) No workout in last 30 days despite 20 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | B | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | C |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Big last-race effort (61) — 24 pts above recent average. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (3) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Showed fighting spirit in last race — maiden angle (trip: Rallied for place). (6) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'O']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Speed average (45) well below field median (55). (2) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (3) Unproven on turf surface (1 start). (4) Trip note from last race: Rallied for place. (5) Outside post (9) in a large field of 12 horses. (6) Last race was career-best speed (61) — bounce risk after peak effort. (7) Stepping up to $25,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $20,000). (8) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: MED, DEL, PRX).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | D |
| Turf Speed | B | C |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 40-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Speed average (65) well above field median (55). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (57%). (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (48%). (5) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 80 vs field 77). (6) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 80 vs field 69). (7) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (8) Dropping in class ($25,000 vs last $30,000) after a 40-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (9) Trainer 'RUSSELL BRITTANY T' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 40 days. (2) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (3) Unproven on turf surface (2 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: 2nd flight; faded. (5) Outside post (10) in a large field of 12 horses.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | B | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (48%). (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (4) Carries 7 lbs less than field median (115 lbs vs median 122 lbs). (5) First career start on turf with a strong turf pedigree rating of 103 — bred for the surface; first-timers with strong pedigree win at a price. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: Profitable Rider, First-Time Turf with Pedigree.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on turf surface. (4) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.32 per $2 over 78 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (5) Outside post (11) in a large field of 12 horses.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Finish Pos | A | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Sprint FPS | F | F |
| Route FPS | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (4) First career start on turf with a strong turf pedigree rating of 101 — bred for the surface; first-timers with strong pedigree win at a price.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on turf surface. (4) Outside post (12) in a large field of 12 horses.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | F |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Finish Pos | A | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Sprint FPS | F | F |
| Route FPS | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 39-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Only early-speed horse in the race - uncontested lead possible. (3) Career-best speed figure (68) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (4) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (5) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (43%). (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['L', 'S', 'T', 'V']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 7/10 — angles: Lone Speed Advantage, First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 39 days. (2) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (3) Unproven on dirt surface (1 start). (4) Trip note from last race: Stalk;2p;gave way.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | D |
| Finish Pos | D | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (48%). (2) 4 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (3) Consistent workout spacing (6, 8 days) — disciplined training regimen.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on dirt surface. (4) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.11 per $2 over 49 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | F |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | F |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | C | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | F |
| Sprint FPS | C | F |
| Route FPS | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 8 starts (25%). (2) 3 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (3) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on dirt surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | F |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | F |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | C | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | F |
| Sprint FPS | C | F |
| Route FPS | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (2) Carries 7 lbs less than field median (116 lbs vs median 123 lbs).
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on dirt surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | F |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | F |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | C | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | F |
| Sprint FPS | C | F |
| Route FPS | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 342-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (48%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Equipment change today (code: 1). (5) 4 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (6) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (7) Consistent workout spacing (6, 7 days) — disciplined training regimen. (8) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (9) Returning from 342-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 342 days. (2) Speed average (52) well below field median (68). (3) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (4) Unproven on dirt surface (1 start). (5) Trip note from last race: Rail; gave way. (6) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.11 per $2 over 49 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | F |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | D |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | C | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | F |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | D |
| Route FPS | A | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (57%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 6 wins from 17 starts (35%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (54%). (4) 3 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (5) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (6) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (7) Trainer 'RUSSELL BRITTANY T' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on dirt surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | F |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | C | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | F |
| Sprint FPS | C | F |
| Route FPS | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Big last-race effort (83) — 13 pts above recent average. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (4) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'O', 'S', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Unproven on turf surface (1 start). (3) Switching from dirt to turf today. (4) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (5 of 8 starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Pace;roused;handily. (6) Last race was career-best speed (83) — bounce risk after peak effort.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | C | A |
| Distance Speed | F | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | D | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 49-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (51%). (3) Big last-race effort (74) — 10 pts above recent average. (4) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (5) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (6) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 49 days. (2) Finish positions worsening over last 4 starts. (3) Speed average (63) well below field median (70). (4) First time at today's distance. (5) Today's distance is shorter than any previous start. (6) Unproven on turf surface (1 start). (7) Trip note from last race: Flattened out. (8) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.50 per $2 over 140 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (9) Last race was career-best speed (74) — bounce risk after peak effort. (10) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.8 pts: [74, 53, 64, 74, 56]) — unpredictable performer. (11) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: DEL, FG).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | C |
| Turf Speed | F | B |
| Distance Speed | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | F | C |
| Sprint FPS | F | C |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Big last-race effort (75) — 11 pts above recent average. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (4) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (5) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 93 vs field 88). (6) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Has won at LRL on turf in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U', 'V']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Outs foe;ask 3/16;drvg.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | F | B |
| Distance Speed | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (48%). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (48%). (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 93 vs field 88). (5) Fourth race back from a 56-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (6) Strong speed 2 back (77), modest dip last out (67) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (7) Career-best figure (83) buried in races 4–10 back — 13 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 4 recent starts). (2) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (3 of 4 starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Bumped st; mild rally.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Speed average (56) well below field median (70). (2) Switching from dirt to turf today. (3) 0 wins from 8 career starts on off tracks. (4) Trip note from last race: 7wd 1/4; no rally. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.9 pts: [52, 65, 70, 71, 54]) — unpredictable performer. (6) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: LRL, MNR, DEL).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | B | C |
| Turf Speed | C | A |
| Distance Speed | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (51) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Consistent workout spacing (7, 7 days) — disciplined training regimen. (5) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Carries 5 lbs less than field median (115 lbs vs median 120 lbs). (7) Averages 71.3 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 59.7 in other configs (3 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Chased 3w; weakened. (2) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 11.3 pts: [64, 79, 51, 77, 71]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | D | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | C | D |
| Turf Speed | C | A |
| Distance Speed | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | D | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 138-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Career-best speed figure (75) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 77 vs field 70). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Strong speed 2 back (79), modest dip last out (70) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (7) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Has won at LRL on turf in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Career-best figure (86) buried in races 4–10 back — 16 pts above race median and 7 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (10) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U', 'V']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 138 days. (2) Trip note from last race: Inside;eased out;drvng. (3) 0 wins from post 7 in 3 recent starts.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | A |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 64-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Returning from 64-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['L', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 64 days. (2) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (3) Unproven on turf surface (1 start). (4) Trip note from last race: Ins turn;4p 3/16;rally. (5) Outside post (8) in a large field of 11 horses.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | D | A |
| Distance Speed | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | C | A |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | C | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (79) well above field median (70). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (48%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Track specialist — 3 wins from 7 starts here (43%). (5) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 80 vs field 70). (6) Fourth race back from a 68-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (7) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Has won at LRL on turf in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Switching from dirt to turf today. (3) Trip note from last race: Outside bid;weakened. (4) Outside post (9) in a large field of 11 horses. (5) Last race was career-best speed (85) — bounce risk after peak effort.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (48%). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 78 vs field 70). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Consistent workout spacing (6, 6 days) — disciplined training regimen. (6) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Has won at LRL on turf in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'O', 'T']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Switching from dirt to turf today. (2) Trip note from last race: Drifted 6wd; no rally. (3) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (4) Outside post (10) in a large field of 11 horses. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 12.7 pts: [49, 82, 69, 77, 73]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | B | A |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | C | A |
| Mid Pace | D | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | D | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 42-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Significantly better on off tracks (off: 67 vs fast: 52). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 4 wins from 13 starts (31%). (4) Career-best speed figure (52) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (5) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (6) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (7) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (8) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Returning from 42-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (10) Has won at LRL on turf in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (11) Career-best figure (84) buried in races 4–10 back — 14 pts above race median and 7 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (12) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (13) Averages 75.4 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 61.5 in other configs (8 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (14) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 42 days. (2) Trip note from last race: Std'd;3-4w;7w upr. (3) Outside post (11) in a large field of 11 horses. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 14.0 pts: [73, 77, 72, 82, 46]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | D |
| Turf Speed | B | A |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (48%). (2) Career-best speed figure (56) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Strong speed 2 back (62), modest dip last out (56) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (2) Unproven on turf surface (1 start). (3) Switching from dirt to turf today. (4) Trip note from last race: Rail;chased;gave way. (5) Was the betting favorite in the last race but finished off the board.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | D | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | D |
| Turf Speed | A | C |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (67) well above field median (59). (2) Career-best speed figure (67) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (4) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (5) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 81 vs field 73). (6) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S', 'U']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) First career start on turf with a strong turf pedigree rating of 102 — bred for the surface; first-timers with strong pedigree win at a price.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (2) Has never raced on turf surface. (3) Switching from dirt to turf today. (4) Trip note from last race: Sluggish;4-5wd;wllng.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | D | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | B | D |
| Route FPS | B | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) 4 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) Consistent workout spacing (7, 8 days) — disciplined training regimen. (4) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (5) First career start on turf with a strong turf pedigree rating of 109 — bred for the surface; first-timers with strong pedigree win at a price.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on turf surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Sprint FPS | D | F |
| Route FPS | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 48-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) 3 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (3) Last race E1 pace (91.0) was 7.0 pts above personal avg (84.0) and horse still finished 5th — pace collapse victim; expect bounce if today's fractions are softer.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 48 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (4) Unproven on turf surface (2 starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Prompt;tight;check1/8.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | F | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (58%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (3) 3 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on turf surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Sprint FPS | D | F |
| Route FPS | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (2) 4 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Consistent workout spacing (7, 7 days) — disciplined training regimen. (5) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (6) First career start on turf with a strong turf pedigree rating of 111 — bred for the surface; first-timers with strong pedigree win at a price.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on turf surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Sprint FPS | D | F |
| Route FPS | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (48%). (2) 4 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Consistent workout spacing (6, 6 days) — disciplined training regimen. (5) First career start on turf with a strong turf pedigree rating of 109 — bred for the surface; first-timers with strong pedigree win at a price.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on turf surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Sprint FPS | D | F |
| Route FPS | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (48%). (2) 4 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (3) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Consistent workout spacing (7, 8 days) — disciplined training regimen. (6) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (7) First career start on turf with a strong turf pedigree rating of 108 — bred for the surface; first-timers with strong pedigree win at a price. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: Profitable Rider, First-Time Turf with Pedigree.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on turf surface. (4) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.10 per $2 over 341 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (5) Outside post (8) in a large field of 13 horses.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Sprint FPS | D | F |
| Route FPS | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 39-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (48%). (3) Career-best speed figure (46) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Returning from 39-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 39 days. (2) Speed average (46) well below field median (59). (3) First time at today's distance. (4) Has never raced on turf surface. (5) Switching from dirt to turf today. (6) Trip note from last race: Checked 5/8;weakened. (7) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.11 per $2 over 49 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (8) Outside post (9) in a large field of 13 horses.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | F |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Finish Pos | D | B |
| Dirt Speed | B | D |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | F |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Sprint FPS | D | F |
| Route FPS | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (4) First career start on turf with a strong turf pedigree rating of 104 — bred for the surface; first-timers with strong pedigree win at a price.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on turf surface. (4) Outside post (10) in a large field of 13 horses.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | F |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Sprint FPS | D | F |
| Route FPS | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (54) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Unproven on turf surface (1 start). (3) Switching from dirt to turf today. (4) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (3 of 3 starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Stead 5/8;bump 5/16. (6) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+3.37 per $2 over 43 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (7) Outside post (11) in a large field of 13 horses. (8) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: LRL, CNL).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Finish Pos | F | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | D |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) 3 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) Carries 5 lbs less than field median (117 lbs vs median 122 lbs). (4) First career start on turf with a strong turf pedigree rating of 110 — bred for the surface; first-timers with strong pedigree win at a price.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on turf surface. (4) Outside post (12) in a large field of 13 horses.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | F |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Sprint FPS | D | F |
| Route FPS | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on turf surface. (4) Outside post (13) in a large field of 13 horses.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | F |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Sprint FPS | D | F |
| Route FPS | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($12,500 → $7,500). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 76 vs field 72). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Fourth race back from a 62-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (6) Has won at today's distance (1540 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Has won at LRL on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Finish positions worsening over last 4 starts. (2) Trip note from last race: Outrun;swung wide. (3) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (4) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.79 per $2 over 21 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 20 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($12,500 → $7,500). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (37%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Has won at today's distance (1540 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Outstanding wet-track record: 2W from 4 starts (50%) — thrives when the going is off. (6) Has won at LRL on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (7) Trainer 'KEEFE TIMOTHY L' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Averages 71.3 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 61.0 in other configs (6 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Brk out;bump;5w uppr. (3) Consistently breaks behind post position (4 of last 5 starts). (4) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.16 per $2 over 104 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (71%). (2) Big last-race effort (79) — 9 pts above recent average. (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (40%). (5) In the money in last 4 consecutive starts. (6) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 88 vs field 79). (7) Has won at today's distance (1540 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Has won at LRL on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'O', 'T', 'U', 'V']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (3) Trip note from last race: 2w;deny outer;drft;drv. (4) Last race was career-best speed (79) — bounce risk after peak effort.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | C | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($12,500 → $7,500). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (36%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (45%). (5) Track specialist — 2 wins from 6 starts here (33%). (6) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 90 vs field 79). (7) Has won at today's distance (1540 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Has won at LRL on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Last race E1 pace (98.0) was 7.7 pts above personal avg (90.3) and horse still finished 8th — pace collapse victim; expect bounce if today's fractions are softer. (10) Career-best figure (78) buried in races 4–10 back — 12 pts above race median and 8 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (11) Averages 69.9 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 60.5 in other configs (7 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (12) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Fractious gt;prss 3wd. (3) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.1 pts: [64, 49, 70, 72, 66]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | C |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Big last-race effort (70) — 10 pts above recent average. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (5) Career-best figure (77) buried in races 4–10 back — 11 pts above race median and 7 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'O', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($5,000 → $7,500). (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 6 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Angled out; rallied 2d. (4) 0 wins from 9 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface. (5) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: DEL, TIM, CNL).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | B | C |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (79) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Has won at today's distance (1540 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Returning from 266-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 266 days. (2) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (3 of last 5 starts). (3) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (4) Trip note from last race: Stumble;lostrider;walk. (5) Cold trainer - low ITM rate (6%). (6) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+1.31 per $2 over 24 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (7) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: GP).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (40%). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Has won at today's distance (1540 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Career-best figure (78) buried in races 4–10 back — 12 pts above race median and 11 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (6) Averages 69.6 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 56.7 in other configs (7 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: 4w 1/4;one paced str. (2) No workout in last 30 days despite 26 days since last race. (3) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 12.3 pts: [67, 42, 67, 69, 73]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | C | C |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 92-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Career-best speed figure (29) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Carries 8 lbs less than field median (115 lbs vs median 123 lbs). (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 92 days. (2) Rising in class today ($10,000 → $35,000). (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Speed average (39) well below field median (58). (5) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (6) Unproven on turf surface (2 starts). (7) Switching from dirt to turf today. (8) Trip note from last race: Rushed up; stopped. (9) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($16,000 → $12,500 → $10,000). (10) Rising in class ($10,000 → $35,000) after finishing 9 last out — double negative. (11) Stepping up to $35,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $25,000). (12) Both speed figures (53→29→22) AND claiming price ($16,000→$12,500→$10,000) have declined in each of last 3 starts. (13) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: PRX, MTH, TAM).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | B | D |
| Turf Speed | D | C |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Big last-race effort (64) — 12 pts above recent average. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 87 vs field 84). (4) Fourth race back from a 56-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (5) Speed improved +10 pts then +8 pts in last 2 starts (46 → 56 → 64) — trainer is progressively building fitness. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Unproven on turf surface (1 start). (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 4 recent starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Bumped start; bid 2w. (5) Last race was career-best speed (64) — bounce risk after peak effort. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 28 days since last race. (7) Stepping up to $35,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $20,000). (8) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: MED, PRX). (9) Two consecutive 5+ pt speed jumps (46 → 56 → 64) and last race speed is well above career average (53) — high bounce risk after back-to-back peak efforts.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | B | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | D |
| Turf Speed | C | B |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 96-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Speed average (76) well above field median (58). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (57%). (4) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 6 wins from 17 starts (35%). (5) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (6) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (54%). (7) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (8) Dropping in class ($35,000 vs last $40,000) after a 96-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (9) Trainer 'RUSSELL BRITTANY T' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (10) Last race E1 pace (90.0) was 8.8 pts above personal avg (81.2) and horse still finished 7th — pace collapse victim; expect bounce if today's fractions are softer. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 96 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) First time at today's distance. (4) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (5) Today's distance is shorter than any previous start. (6) Trip note from last race: Inside; tired 1/8.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | C | F |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | B | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) Cutting back to sprint (1210 yds) from routes — sprint speed figures (48.0) are 9.5 pts better than route figures (38.6). (4) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($16,000 → $35,000). (2) Speed average (44) well below field median (58). (3) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (4) Unproven on turf surface (2 starts). (5) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 4 recent starts). (6) Trip note from last race: 3-w 2nd; no rally. (7) Rising in class ($16,000 → $35,000) after finishing 10 last out — double negative. (8) Stepping up to $35,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $25,000). (9) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 13.3 pts: [49, 31, 63, 34, 36]) — unpredictable performer. (10) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: DEL).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | A | D |
| Turf Speed | C | C |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (52%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 6 starts (33%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (4) 4 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (5) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (6) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (7) Consistent workout spacing (6, 7 days) — disciplined training regimen. (8) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on turf surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Finish Pos | A | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | F | D |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Sprint FPS | F | F |
| Route FPS | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (37%). (2) Big last-race effort (71) — 21 pts above recent average. (3) Speed improved +22 pts then +10 pts in last 2 starts (39 → 61 → 71) — trainer is progressively building fitness. (4) Trainer 'KEEFE TIMOTHY L' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'O', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Unproven on turf surface (2 starts). (2) Trip note from last race: Chased btwn;no rally. (3) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.16 per $2 over 104 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (4) Last race was career-best speed (71) — bounce risk after peak effort. (5) Stepping up to $35,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $25,000). (6) Two consecutive 5+ pt speed jumps (39 → 61 → 71) and last race speed is well above career average (57) — high bounce risk after back-to-back peak efforts.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | C | F |
| Dirt Speed | B | D |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (78) well above field median (58). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 83 vs field 71). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'F', 'O', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (2) Unproven on turf surface (1 start). (3) Trip note from last race: Bid btwn foes;game. (4) Stepping up to $35,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $28,000).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | A | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 91 vs field 84). (3) Dropping in class ($35,000 vs last $40,000) after a 35-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (4) Returning from 35-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (5) Last race E1 pace (100.0) was 9.0 pts above personal avg (91.0) and horse still finished 10th — pace collapse victim; expect bounce if today's fractions are softer. (6) Career-best figure (80) buried in races 4–10 back — 22 pts above race median and 18 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (7) Cutting back to sprint (1210 yds) from routes — sprint speed figures (42.5) are 6.9 pts better than route figures (35.6). (8) Averages 66.4 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 44.0 in other configs (5 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Rider.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 35 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (4) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 7 recent starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Checked into turn. (6) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.32 per $2 over 78 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (7) Outside post (8) in a large field of 10 horses. (8) No workout in last 30 days despite 35 days since last race. (9) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 15.3 pts: [28, 48, 62, 67, 46]) — unpredictable performer. (10) 0 wins from 6 starts on turf in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface. (11) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: DEL, PEN, BAQ).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | A | D |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (48%). (2) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (5) First career start on turf with a strong turf pedigree rating of 98 — bred for the surface; first-timers with strong pedigree win at a price.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on turf surface. (4) Outside post (9) in a large field of 10 horses.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Finish Pos | A | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | F | D |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Sprint FPS | F | F |
| Route FPS | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (70) well above field median (58). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (37%). (3) Big last-race effort (76) — 9 pts above recent average. (4) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (5) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (6) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 78 vs field 71). (7) Carries 5 lbs less than field median (118 lbs vs median 123 lbs). (8) Trainer 'KEEFE TIMOTHY L' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 4 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Duel outside;weakened. (4) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (5) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.16 per $2 over 104 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (6) Outside post (10) in a large field of 10 horses.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 40-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (59%). (3) Big last-race effort (91) — 20 pts above recent average. (4) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (5) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (6) Dropping in class ($40,000 vs last $50,000) after a 40-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (7) Returning from 40-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (8) Speed improved +47 pts then +4 pts in last 2 starts (40 → 87 → 91) — trainer is progressively building fitness. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Averages 86.7 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 77.5 in other configs (6 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 40 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 7 recent starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Tracked inside;clr 2nd. (5) Last race was career-best speed (91) — bounce risk after peak effort. (6) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 21.0 pts: [91, 87, 40, 86, 82]) — unpredictable performer. (8) 0 wins from 9 starts on turf in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | F | B |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | F | D |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | F | F |
| Route FPS | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 93 vs field 86). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Unproven on turf surface (2 starts). (2) Switching from dirt to turf today. (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 7 recent starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Rail;caught fading foe. (5) Consistently runs wide at the first call (4 of last 5 starts).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | A |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | C | A |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | A |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | A |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (88) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Track specialist — 2 wins from 5 starts here (40%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Strong speed 2 back (89), modest dip last out (77) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 9 recent starts). (2) Trip note from last race: 2-3w; faded. (3) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 19 days since last race. (5) 0 wins from 7 starts on turf in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | D | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 82-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Dropping in class today ($62,500 → $40,000). (3) Career-best speed figure (80) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (4) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (5) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (6) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (7) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Dropping in class ($40,000 vs last $62,500) after a 82-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (9) Returning from 82-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 82 days. (2) Trip note from last race: Took back;2-3w;btw 2nd. (3) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: ELP, CD).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | A |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | D | A |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | D | A |
| Distance Speed | D | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | B |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | D | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | A |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 39-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Speed average (90) well above field median (83). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (57%). (4) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 6 wins from 17 starts (35%). (5) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (6) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (54%). (7) In the money in last 5 consecutive starts. (8) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 100 vs field 86). (9) Fourth race back from a 498-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (10) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (11) Returning from 39-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (12) Trainer 'RUSSELL BRITTANY T' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (13) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (14) First career start on turf with a strong turf pedigree rating of 108 — bred for the surface; first-timers with strong pedigree win at a price. (15) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 4/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, First-Time Turf with Pedigree.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 39 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Has never raced on turf surface. (4) Switching from dirt to turf today. (5) Trip note from last race: Stalked 3w; drew clear. (6) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: CNL, GP).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | A | A |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | F | D |
| Distance Speed | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 86 vs field 80). (3) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'F', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U', 'V']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Unproven on turf surface (1 start). (3) Switching from dirt to turf today. (4) Trip note from last race: Vied btw;shift out;evn. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (6) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: LRL, CNL).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | A |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | C |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | F | B |
| Distance Speed | F | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (88) well above field median (83). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (59%). (3) Career-best speed figure (89) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (4) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (5) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (6) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (7) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U', 'V']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Inside turns;mvd out. (2) Consistently runs wide at the first call (4 of last 5 starts). (3) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: BEL, CNL, SAR).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | F | F |
| Route FPS | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (71) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (48%). (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 92 vs field 86). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Dropping in class ($40,000 vs last $50,000) after a 40-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (8) Returning from 40-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 40 days. (2) Trip note from last race: Lacked response drive. (3) Outside post (8) in a large field of 11 horses. (4) 0 wins from post 8 in 3 recent starts. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 40 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | B | A |
| Distance Speed | C | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 4 wins from 13 starts (31%). (2) Big last-race effort (95) — 10 pts above recent average. (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 90 vs field 86). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'F', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Switching from dirt to turf today. (2) Trip note from last race: Btw;shift 5wd;surged. (3) Outside post (9) in a large field of 11 horses. (4) Last race was career-best speed (95) — bounce risk after peak effort. (5) First start at LRL — never raced here before (last seen at: LRL, CNL).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | B | A |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (57%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 6 wins from 17 starts (35%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (54%). (5) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 86 vs field 80). (6) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Has won at LRL on turf in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (8) Trainer 'RUSSELL BRITTANY T' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (74) well below field median (83). (3) Trip note from last race: Bid btwn; stretch duel. (4) Outside post (10) in a large field of 11 horses.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | D | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | F | F |
| Turf Speed | D | A |
| Distance Speed | D | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 87 vs field 80). (3) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'S', 'V']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (3) Switching from dirt to turf today. (4) 0 wins from 6 career starts on off tracks. (5) Trip note from last race: Svd gnd;faded. (6) Outside post (11) in a large field of 11 horses.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | C | A |
| Distance Speed | C | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | C |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (60%). (2) Big last-race effort (46) — 16 pts above recent average. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Speed average (35) well below field median (50). (2) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (3) Trip note from last race: 4wd; gained place. (4) Last race was career-best speed (46) — bounce risk after peak effort. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (6) Stepping up to $25,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $20,000).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | F |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | D |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | A | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | D |
| Route FPS | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | A | D |
| Mid Pace | A | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 33-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 33 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) First time at today's distance. (4) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (5) Today's distance is longer than any previous start. (6) Unproven on dirt surface (1 start). (7) Trip note from last race: Drftd 6w upper stretch.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | F |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | F |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | C | F |
| Route FPS | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 33-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 5 starts (40%). (3) Career-best speed figure (62) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 75 vs field 63). (5) Dropping in class ($25,000 vs last $50,000) after a 33-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 33 days. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (4) Today's distance is longer than any previous start. (5) Unproven on dirt surface (2 starts). (6) Trip note from last race: Stumbled start. (7) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.21 per $2 over 100 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | A | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | F |
| Route FPS | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (63) well above field median (50). (2) Career-best speed figure (64) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Equipment change today (code: 1). (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (5) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (6) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 86 vs field 78). (7) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 74 vs field 63). (8) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (9) Returning from 30-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (10) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'O', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (4) Today's distance is longer than any previous start. (5) Unproven on dirt surface (2 starts). (6) Trip note from last race: Led to turn; hung late.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | B | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (71%). (2) Career-best speed figure (23) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (40%). (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 82 vs field 78). (5) Carries 11 lbs less than field median (111 lbs vs median 122 lbs).
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 39 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Speed average (23) well below field median (50). (4) First time at today's distance. (5) Unproven on dirt surface (1 start). (6) Trip note from last race: Dropped back;.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | F |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | D |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | D |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | D |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Sprint FPS | C | F |
| Route FPS | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
✓ Positives:(1) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners.
⚠ Concerns:(1) First-time starter - no previous race record. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Has never raced on dirt surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Finish Pos | A | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Sprint FPS | C | F |
| Route FPS | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
TL;DR
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Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
The Pick Pony Handicapper's Report is published daily and provides analysis of all races on the card. A Pick Pony analyst prepares the report, so selections may differ from the Pick Pony Expert Picks, which are based on the consensus of all Pick Pony analysts.
Every horse our AI Win Probability model rated, grouped by the chance we gave it, against how often that group actually won.
Where the two lines meet, the published percentage was exactly right.
Show the numbers
| Week | What we said | What happened |
|---|---|---|
| 3% | 3.2% | 3.3% |
| 7% | 7.4% | 8.2% |
| 12% | 12.5% | 13.8% |
| 18% | 18.1% | 21.0% |
| 26% | 25.9% | 30.2% |
| 38% | 38.5% | 44.6% |
Race Day Overview
Friday, October 16, 2026 brings an eight-race card to Laurel Park, headlined by a mix of maiden, allowance, and claiming events ranging from $18,000 to $53,000 in purse value. The Maryland Jockey Club has continued its aggressive expansion of Equibase Ratings races at the current Laurel meet, with Racing Secretary Jillian Tullock noted as having carded more such events than any other track in the country through mid-October. This experimental format continues to generate industry attention and reflects Laurel's ongoing effort to modernize its condition book offerings.
The Maryland Million, scheduled for October 24, looms on the horizon, and many connections are using this week's cards as either prep opportunities or sharpening starts for horses pointing toward that marquee event. The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance will be present for Maryland Million Day, adding a community element to the upcoming signature race.
Today's card features several interesting trainer-jockey angles worth tracking, including multiple Brittany Russell-trained horses ridden by her husband Sheldon Russell, as well as prominent local names like Michael Trombetta, H. Graham Motion, and Jamie Ness carrying strong stables into afternoon action. The Monmouth at the Meadowlands card runs this evening with rails set at zero, a completely separate circuit, so all local focus appropriately belongs to Laurel's afternoon program.
Weather and Track Conditions
October in central Maryland typically brings crisp, clear autumn afternoons, with temperatures in the mid-to-upper 50s Fahrenheit and northwest winds following any frontal passage. For October 16, 2026, conditions at Laurel Park are expected to be seasonably cool with partly cloudy skies and no significant precipitation in the immediate forecast. The turf course, which hosts five of today's eight races, should be rated firm to good following a dry stretch through mid-October. The main track is anticipated to be fast, which strongly favors front-running and pressing types given Laurel's historically pace-friendly dirt surface.
Laurel's turf course has been in excellent condition through the current meet, and with the fall grass season in full swing, inside paths have been well-traveled. Horses drawing to the outside on the turf may actually benefit from fresher ground in routes, while in sprints the rail path can become worn and favor wider runners depending on how the grass has recovered from recent use.
Track Bias and Post Position Analysis
Laurel's main track at one mile in circumference leans toward front-running and stalking types when rated fast. The first turn comes up quickly for horses breaking from middle-to-outside posts in sprint distances, creating traffic complications. In route races on dirt, inside posts have a structural advantage given the layout, but pace scenario often overrides post position.
On the turf, Laurel's inner course sees considerable rail wear by mid-meet. For today's turf sprints at 1210 furlongs (approximately 7.5 furlongs on the grass), middle posts between four and seven tend to be optimal, allowing horses to find position without suffering rail grinding or wide trips. In today's longer turf routes at 1870 furlongs, inside posts carry some risk early but skilled riders can find the fence and save ground effectively. The Laurel turf has historically rewarded closers slightly in routes due to the false pace dynamics that often develop on this course.
On the main track today, anticipate the rail and inner posts to be advantageous in the two dirt sprint/route contests. Horses breaking from posts one through three in the dirt routes will have natural stalking lanes into the first turn.
RACE 1 — Post (12:00)/11:00/10:00/9:00 — 1870f | T | M | Md 25000 | AON | Purse $30,000
This is a maiden claiming event on the turf going approximately 11.5 furlongs, an extended route distance that tests stamina in a field of horses that have yet to break their maidens. The $25,000 maiden claiming tag and $30,000 purse attract a full field of twelve, with a wide range of morning line prices suggesting genuine uncertainty at the top of the card. Turf route maidens at this level are highly unpredictable, but pace shape and trainer form are critical differentiators.
Pace Analysis
With most of these horses lacking significant turf routing experience, the pace is difficult to project precisely. Ready Set (6) and Imperial Charter (8) figure to be factored into early position considerations, while the De Paz barn entries figure to show some tactical speed. Overall, the pace is likely to be moderate in the opening portions of this extended route, with a true test of stamina in the final half-mile. Horses that can sit just off a reasonable pace and close with authority figure best.
Key Contenders
Ready Set (6) draws the most attention at 2-1 on the morning line, trained by Brittany Russell and ridden by Sheldon Russell. The Russell team operates one of Laurel's more effective barn-and-rider combinations, and their maiden claimers on turf have shown a strong conversion rate when they install a horse at the top of the morning line. The Russell stable's aggressive use of the turf at this level and their tactical pace management make this horse the one to beat.
Imperial Charter (8) at 4-1 is trained by Rodolfo Sanchez-Salomon and ridden by Jamie Rodriguez. Rodriguez is one of the meet's more active and capable riders and has shown ability to get horses into position on this turf course. The Sanchez-Salomon barn has had its moments at Laurel, and Imperial Charter (8) at 4-1 represents fair value if this horse has shown any meaningful turf aptitude in prior attempts or works.
Secondary Choices
Awesome Law (10) at 4-1 is the second Russell barn runner, ridden by Carlos Eduardo Lopez. It is notable that the Russell stable sends out two horses in this field, which occasionally signals confidence in the barn's overall chances rather than one specific runner. Awesome Law (10) must overcome the wide outside draw in what is a full twelve-horse field, but Lopez is a capable handler and if the pace develops in a way that favors a closing move from off the pace, this horse has a realistic shot.
Venturous (2) at 6-1 and Thomson Falls (5) at 8-1 are both trained by Horacio De Paz, another stable that enters two runners in this event. Thomson Falls (5) with Vincent Cheminaud aboard is interesting given Cheminaud's turf prowess and patient riding style, well-suited to this extended distance. Venturous (2) at 6-1 with Angel Cruz draws the rail, which in a turf route can be either an advantage or a trap depending on traffic. Both De Paz runners deserve respect at their respective prices.
Longshots
Cass Nine (7) at 20-1 is trained by Tim Woolley with Jorge Ruiz up. Hurricane Mattie (3) at 30-1 is saddled by A. Ferris Allen III and ridden by H.A. Karamanos, a competent turf rider who occasionally springs surprises. To Eternity (4) at 20-1 trained by Michelle Castillo with J.S. Rocco Jr. aboard is a long price in a race that can see chaos at extended maiden claiming turf distances. No Law (1) at 30-1 with Matilda Burnham is a deep price from the Robert Leaf III barn. Awesome Moment (9) at 30-1 for Bobbi Anne Hawthorne with Mychel Sanchez is another with poor connections at this price. Letsbeatthetraffic (11) at 30-1 for J. Tyler Servis with Magglio Sanchez and Not Forgotten (12) at 30-1 from the Kevin Boniface barn with Jean Gregor Briceno round out the field as pure exotics-only participants.
Wagering Strategy
This is a difficult race to invest heavily in for win, but the structure of the card makes Race 1 the anchor of the Pick 5 if the sequence runs today. Using Ready Set (6) and Imperial Charter (8) on top with Awesome Law (10) and Thomson Falls (5) as backup in multi-race exotics is the approach. In exactas, key Ready Set (6) over Imperial Charter (8) and Awesome Law (10). A small win ticket on Thomson Falls (5) at 8-1 with Cheminaud is justifiable.
Selections
Win: Ready Set (6) Place: Imperial Charter (8) Show: Thomson Falls (5)
RACE 2 — Post (12:32)/11:32/10:32/9:32 — 1320f | D | S | Md Sp Wt | BUN | Purse $47,000
Six horses enter this maiden special weight sprint on the dirt going seven furlongs. The field is relatively compact and the morning line is dominated by Frustrated (6), who opens at even money. This is a baby-faced field for a $47,000 purse, and the sprint distance on a fast main track will favor the horse with the most natural early speed and tactical positioning.
Pace Analysis
Frustrated (6) at 1-1 and Card Shark (1) at 2-1 are the two class horses in this spot, and their pace figures should be the best in the field. This race is likely to see a quick opening quarter as these two are expected to compete for the early advantage. A contested pace in a maiden sprint benefits closers like Plentyof Rogue (2) or Beach Landing (3) if the speed duel materializes. However, if one horse separates cleanly and gets an uncontested lead, front-end types typically hold at Laurel's fast track.
Key Contenders
Frustrated (6) trained by Brittany Russell and ridden by Sheldon Russell is the clear public choice at 1-1. The Russell barn's dominance at Laurel this meet has been well-documented, and when they saddle the heavy favorite in a maiden sprint, the betting public's confidence is usually well-founded. The Russell partnership's win percentage in maiden sprints on the dirt at Laurel has been among the meet's best.
Card Shark (1) at 2-1 for the elite H. Graham Motion barn with Jorge Ruiz riding is the most serious threat. Motion is one of Maryland's top trainers and consistently brings horses that are well-prepared and capable. Ruiz knows this course extremely well and will ensure Card Shark (1) gets maximum opportunity from the rail. The 2-1 price reflects genuine class from this barn, and Card Shark (1) could easily upset the public's choice.
Secondary Choices
Plentyof Rogue (2) at 5-1 and Mythical Magic (5) at 6-1 are both trained by Justin Nixon, another barn that sends two runners. Mythical Magic (5) draws outside Plentyof Rogue (2) and is ridden by Matilda Burnham. The Nixon stable has shown consistent activity at Laurel and the presence of two runners here suggests some internal confidence. Mythical Magic (5) at 6-1 is worth including in exactas underneath.
Beach Landing (3) at 8-1 for the De Paz barn with Cheminaud up has sprinting speed and a capable pilot. At 8-1 in a six-horse field, this is a price worth respecting, particularly if the top two set a furious pace.
Longshots
Eclipticals Empire (4) at 20-1 for Flint Stites with Leandro Briceno is the longest shot in a short field and has the widest morning line price, suggesting clear inferior ability compared to the top contenders. In a six-horse field, Eclipticals Empire (4) is a throwout at this price.
Wagering Strategy
This race sets up as a battle between the two stables that have dominated the Laurel meet this fall. Frustrated (6) at even money is the play, but the price is unappealing for straight wagering. An exacta wheel of Frustrated (6) and Card Shark (1) in both directions is the core bet. Beach Landing (3) at 8-1 in the show position of exactas adds value. A small exacta box of Card Shark (1) and Frustrated (6) at true odds in the $2-$4 range is the structure. Use both in the Pick 3 bridge into Race 3.
Selections
Win: Frustrated (6) Place: Card Shark (1) Show: Beach Landing (3)
RACE 3 — Post (1:05)/12:05/11:05/10:05 — 1210f | T | A | Alw 49000n1x | BUM | Purse $49,000
Eleven mares enter this 7.5-furlong allowance sprint on the turf for horses that have not won a race other than maiden or claiming. The $49,000 purse is the highest on the card through the first half of the program, and the Trombetta barn dominates with three entries. This is a key race for the afternoon card and likely a betting opportunity for those who can sort out the Trombetta situation.
Pace Analysis
With eleven runners in a turf sprint, pace will be aggressive. Big Earn (9) at 2-1 is expected to be prominent early along with The Magic Ofmovies (10) at 5-1, both from the Trombetta barn. Mezcal Mama (8) at 4-1 has the tactical speed to be involved early from her inside-outside post. A competitive pace here sets up closers, but Laurel's turf in sprints rewards horses that can press and then sustain. Post positions six through nine figure to be optimal in this turf sprint configuration.
Key Contenders
Big Earn (9) at 2-1 is the morning line favorite, trained by Michael Trombetta and ridden by Jorge Ruiz. Trombetta is one of Maryland's premier trainers, and his allowance runners typically arrive well-prepared. Big Earn (9) has the pedigree and tactical profile to be involved throughout, and Ruiz's ability to find the fence in turf sprints gives this horse every advantage.
Mezcal Mama (8) at 4-1 for the Jorge Duarte Jr. barn with J. Pimentel is a solid second choice. Duarte Jr. has been a quietly effective presence at Laurel, and Mezcal Mama (8) at 4-1 in this spot represents fair market value for a horse that should fire a big effort today.
Secondary Choices
The Magic Ofmovies (10) at 5-1 is Trombetta's third representative, ridden by H.A. Karamanos. Having three horses in one race can complicate betting decisions, but Trombetta's operation is sophisticated enough to run multiple runners legitimately when conditions warrant. Karamanos is an excellent turf rider and The Magic Ofmovies (10) from post ten gets a wide draw but Karamanos knows how to manage turf sprints from off-position draws.
Quadra (4) at 6-1 for Michael Trombetta with Carlos Eduardo Lopez is the third Trombetta runner. Lopez has been effective this meet and Quadra (4) from the four-hole has a clean draw. At 6-1, any of the three Trombetta runners could win this, making exacta boxing within the barn a viable sub-strategy.
Blessed Candy (1) at 8-1 for Antonio Machado with Jamie Rodriguez draws the rail. Rodriguez is active and capable, and Blessed Candy (1) at 8-1 is a price worth including in exactas.
Brikeli (3) at 8-1 for Kyle Horlacher with Jamie Rodriguez noted — Rodriguez cannot ride both Blessed Candy (1) and Brikeli (3), which means there is a jockey change or assignment error in the card to be aware of. Handicappers should confirm final rider assignments. Brikeli (3) at 8-1 for Horlacher is a price worth including at the margins.
Longshots
Wise And Elegant (11) at 12-1 for Hugh McMahon with Charlie Marquez is a closer who could benefit from a fast pace. Sweeterthanwhiskey (7) at 15-1 for Georgia Andreadakis with Jose Vargas is a long shot that requires pace help. Never So Lucky (5) at 30-1 for Konstan Harigeorgiou with Ronaldo Rodriguez and Best Girl Magic (6) at 30-1 for Duarte Jr. with Taylor Kingsley are both deep prices who figure to need everything to go right.
Wagering Strategy
The Trombetta three-bagger creates the central challenge. Box Quadra (4), Big Earn (9), and The Magic Ofmovies (10) in a $1 exacta box for $6 total. Add Mezcal Mama (8) as a fourth leg for a $12 four-horse exacta box. Use Big Earn (9) and Mezcal Mama (8) on top in trifectas, spreading underneath to the Trombetta runners. This race likely generates a moderate pari-mutuel pool given the multi-entry confusion.
Selections
Win: Big Earn (9) Place: Mezcal Mama (8) Show: The Magic Ofmovies (10)
RACE 4 — Post (1:38)/12:38/11:38/10:38 — 1210f | T | S | Md Sp Wt | AON | Purse $47,000
Thirteen runners enter this maiden special weight sprint on the turf, one of the larger fields of the day. The diversity of trainers here — Motion, Trombetta, Pino, Capuano, Nixon — makes this a genuinely competitive and difficult contest to pin down. Maiden turf sprints with full fields are the most volatile races on the card and demand a multi-horse exotic approach.
Pace Analysis
With thirteen horses in a turf sprint, pace is likely to be contentious. Betterpartofvalour (1) from the Trombetta barn and Jersey Corn (5) for Michael Pino with Mychel Sanchez could both show early speed. The large field creates traffic and the possibility of a wide-open pace scenario. In situations like this, horses that can settle mid-pack and unleash a closing move in the stretch benefit most. Posts four through eight are ideal in a turf sprint with this many runners.
Key Contenders
Playin For Gin (8) at 5-1 is the Trombetta barn's second entry, ridden by D.E. Centeno. At 5-1 in a $47,000 maiden turf sprint, Playin For Gin (8) from post eight gets a clean outside draw that allows Centeno to establish position without being trapped early. Trombetta consistently performs in these spots and Playin For Gin (8) is favored over the stable's other entry.
Elite Warrior (9) at 6-1 for the Justin Nixon barn with Wesley Ho carries legitimate market support. Nixon has been active at Laurel this meet and Elite Warrior (9) from post nine has the outside draw that could allow Ho to find position and make a late run. At 6-1, this represents solid each-way value.
Secondary Choices
Betterpartofvalour (1) at 6-1 for Trombetta with Karamanos draws the rail. In a turf sprint with a full field, the rail is a challenging assignment, but Karamanos is skilled at navigating turf sprints from inside posts. Do The Right Thing (4) at 6-1 for Motion with Jose Vargas represents the Graham Motion barn's best chance to put the chalk where it belongs in a race his barn typically targets well.
Matt's Venture (7) at 6-1 for Philip Capuano with Carlos Eduardo Lopez deserves serious attention. Capuano is a Laurel stalwart and Matt's Venture (7) from post seven is ideally positioned in this field.
Jersey Corn (5) at 8-1 for Michael Pino with Mychel Sanchez is among the meet's best riders and will navigate this field aggressively from the five-hole. At 8-1, Jersey Corn (5) is a standout value.
Boston Grey (6) at 8-1 for Lindsay Schultz with Jamie Rodriguez rounds out the secondary tier. Rodriguez will ensure Boston Grey (6) is positioned to strike.
Longshots
Lake Martin (3) at 12-1 for the Motion barn with Ruiz is the second Motion runner. After All (11) at 12-1 for W. Thomas McMahon with Charlie Marquez is a closer who needs pace help in a 13-horse field. Naxian (13) at 20-1 for Michelle Nihei with Rocco Jr. draws the outside of a 13-horse field and faces a steep challenge. Bet Me (2) at 10-1 for Hamilton Smith with Forest Boyce is a price that might interest exacta players. Longfield (10) at 30-1 for Kevin Boniface with Kevin Gomez and Last Call Barr (12) at 30-1 for Susan Cooney with Taylor Kingsley are deep prices in a full field.
Wagering Strategy
This race is a prime candidate for a wide trifecta. Key Playin For Gin (8) and Elite Warrior (9) on top, spread the middle three positions to Do The Right Thing (4), Matt's Venture (7), Jersey Corn (5), and Betterpartofvalour (1). A $0.50 trifecta with two horses on top and four in the middle positions costs $24. Exactas should focus on Playin For Gin (8) over Elite Warrior (9) and Do The Right Thing (4).
Selections
Win: Playin For Gin (8) Place: Elite Warrior (9) Show: Do The Right Thing (4)
RACE 5 — Post (2:09)/1:09/12:09/11:09 — 1540f | D | C | Clm 7500b | BUN | Purse $18,000
Seven horses contest this claiming event at $7,500 going 1540 furlongs on the dirt — nearly a mile on the main track. At the lowest claiming level and purse on the card, this bottom-level claimer attracts horses with declining form or physical limitations. Veneto (3) is the heavy favorite at 2-1.
Pace Analysis
Veneto (3) at 2-1 for the Joseph Murphy barn has the tactical profile of a presser or stalker at this distance. Poor Peanut (4) at 3-1 with Angel Cruz could also factor early. In Honor Of Jeff (1) at 6-1 and Battalion Leader (7) at 6-1 add pace depth. The overall pace in a $7,500 claimer going a route of ground on the dirt is typically honest rather than suicidal, favoring pressers over pure front-runners.
Key Contenders
Veneto (3) at 2-1 for trainer Joseph Murphy with Leandro Briceno is the clear public choice. Murphy has been productive at Laurel and Veneto (3) at this claiming level likely represents a horse that can control or press the pace effectively. The 2-1 price is not particularly rewarding, but the win probability justifies single-race attention.
Poor Peanut (4) at 3-1 for trainer Carlos Mancilla with Angel Cruz is the most serious threat. Cruz is one of the meet's more active journeymen and Poor Peanut (4) at 3-1 in a $7,500 claimer has a realistic shot at the upset.
Secondary Choices
Pencil Me In (2) at 5-1 for Timothy Keefe with Taylor Kingsley is a closer who could benefit if the pace between Veneto (3) and Poor Peanut (4) becomes contested and honest. In Honor Of Jeff (1) at 6-1 for Alberto Delgado with Yomar Ortiz is a mid-tier option worth including in exotics.
Battalion Leader (7) at 6-1 for Tyler Shanley with Wesley Ho drew the outside post in a seven-horse field, which at this route distance should not be a significant disadvantage. Ho has been reliable at Laurel this meet.
Longshots
Real Blues (5) at 12-1 for Monica McGoey with Ismerio Villalobos and Orb Alpha (6) at 15-1 for Amparo Lizardi with Gerardo Rabadan are throwouts in this field, representing bottom-tier horses at a level where their morning lines suggest they are overmatched.
Wagering Strategy
This is a short, unattractive field for exotic wagering. A straight win bet on Veneto (3) at 2-1 is reasonable if only because the probability is genuine. An exacta of Veneto (3) over Poor Peanut (4) and Pencil Me In (2) at $2 each is the core play. Use this race as the bridge in multi-race sequences, single Veneto (3) or double Veneto (3) and Poor Peanut (4).
Selections
Win: Veneto (3) Place: Poor Peanut (4) Show: Pencil Me In (2)
RACE 6 — Post (2:41)/1:41/12:41/11:41 — 1210f | T | M | Md 35000 | BUM | Purse $37,000
Ten maidens enter this 7.5-furlong turf sprint for a $35,000 maiden claiming purse of $37,000. Divine Mousse (7) opens as the 2-1 favorite, with Sota Summers (3) at 3-1 and Penelope's Gift (10) at 4-1 rounding out the upper tier. This race is another contentious maiden turf sprint that should produce a solid exotic outcome.
Pace Analysis
Sota Summers (3) with Sheldon Russell aboard for the Russell barn has the tactical speed to dictate terms in this sprint. Divine Mousse (7) at 2-1 is expected to be close to the pace. If Sota Summers (3) gets clean early position, she could prove very difficult to pass on this turf. A moderate-to-honest pace benefits closers like Penelope's Gift (10) if the speed holds up.
Key Contenders
Divine Mousse (7) at 2-1 is the morning line choice trained by Madison Meyers and ridden by Kevin Gomez. Meyers has been building a solid reputation at Laurel, and Divine Mousse (7) as the favorite in a maiden turf sprint at this level suggests this horse has shown strong works or convincing prior efforts. Gomez is a capable mount that can navigate traffic in the stretch.
Sota Summers (3) at 3-1 for the Russell barn with Sheldon Russell is likely the pace-controlling threat. The Russell stable's dominance at the meet has been evident throughout the card today, and Sota Summers (3) at 3-1 with tactical position could hold off a hard-closing favorite.
Secondary Choices
Penelope's Gift (10) at 4-1 for the Timothy Keefe barn with Taylor Kingsley is a closing type from the outside post. Keefe fields two runners in this race — Penelope's Gift (10) and Mad Misty (6) at 10-1 — but clearly considers Penelope's Gift (10) the main chance given the morning line separation.
Mad Misty (6) at 10-1 for Keefe with Jevian Toledo is a secondary runner worth including in trifectas. Toledo is one of the Mid-Atlantic's most capable riders and can get horses into position from any post.
Continentaldrifter (5) at 8-1 for W. Robert Bailes with Forest Boyce is a mid-range price worth including as a trifecta and superfecta sprinkle.
Longshots
Mischief Storm (2) at 12-1 for Jennifer Truehart with Luis Ocasio draws post two in this turf sprint. Ocasio is an active Laurel rider and Mischief Storm (2) could run on at a price. Ultra Cameo (8) at 20-1 for Bobbi Anne Hawthorne with Magglio Sanchez has limited win probability at this price. Hello Hoppertunity (9) at 30-1 for Diana McClure with Carlos Eduardo Lopez is a pure longshot. Julieta's Girl (1) at 30-1 for Clarence King with Ronaldo Rodriguez draws the rail but lacks morning line support. Honest Spin (4) at 30-1 for Nesvil Bailon with Angel Cruz needs everything to go right.
Wagering Strategy
An exacta box of Divine Mousse (7), Sota Summers (3), and Penelope's Gift (10) at $2 costs $12. Trifectas using those three with Mad Misty (6) and Continentaldrifter (5) underneath can pay well in a competitive maiden turf sprint. A win single on Divine Mousse (7) is sensible at 2-1 only if the Russell pace threat Sota Summers (3) can be dismissed, which is difficult given the barn's current form.
Selections
Win: Divine Mousse (7) Place: Sota Summers (3) Show: Penelope's Gift (10)
RACE 7 — Post (3:14)/2:14/1:14/12:14 — 1870f | T | AO | OClm 40000n2x | BUN | Purse $53,000
Eleven horses enter the day's richest race, a $53,000 optional claiming event on the turf at 1870 furlongs — roughly 11.5 furlongs — for horses that have not won two races other than maiden or claiming. Fuerteventura (1) and Write Off Jerry (7) both open at even money from the Jamie Ness barn, creating a co-favorite scenario for the highest-profile trainer in this field. Edgy (5) for the Russell barn at 2-1 is also strongly backed.
Pace Analysis
In an extended turf route with horses at the optional claiming level, the pace figures to be honest but not suicidal. Naptown (3) at 5-1 for Jose Magana with Jevian Toledo is a likely pace factor from the three-hole. With the Ness barn sending two even-money horses, their combined presence should ensure a competitive pace shape. Can Group (8) at 10-1 for Katharine Voss with Martin Chuan is a closer who benefits from honest fractions. The final quarter-mile at 1870 furlongs is where the race is won, and horses with demonstrated stamina on the turf are preferred.
Key Contenders
Fuerteventura (1) at 1-1 from the Ness barn with Mychel Sanchez draws the inside post in this extended turf route. Ness is one of the top turf trainers in the Mid-Atlantic and his co-favorite status with two horses at even money is remarkable. Fuerteventura (1) with Sanchez, one of the meet's top riders, from the inside is the strongest individual profile in this field. The rail draw in a turf route with a good rider is a strength, not a liability, in a field of this size.
Write Off Jerry (7) at 1-1 is the barn's second representative, also with Jamie Rodriguez aboard. Rodriguez cannot ride both Fuerteventura (1) and Write Off Jerry (7) — confirming that Sanchez has Fuerteventura (1) and Rodriguez has Write Off Jerry (7). Write Off Jerry (7) from post seven gets a mid-pack draw and Rodriguez's turf acumen gives this horse every chance. When a top trainer enters two horses at even money, one of them typically fires the winning shot.
Edgy (5) at 2-1 for the Russell stable with Sheldon Russell is arguably the race's best alternative. The Russell barn has been on fire throughout the card and Edgy (5) at 2-1 from post five in this turf route represents a legitimate upset threat, particularly if the Ness horses run into each other or get into traffic.
Secondary Choices
Naptown (3) at 5-1 for Jose Magana with Toledo has tactical speed and draws a clean post. Toledo is among the region's better turf riders and Naptown (3) could sit a perfect stalking trip and spring a mild upset. At 5-1 with Toledo up, this is excellent each-way value.
Next Level (9) at 8-1 for Hugh McMahon with Charlie Marquez is worth including in trifectas. McMahon occasionally targets these optional claiming turf routes successfully and Next Level (9) at 8-1 is attractively priced if the race sets up for a late runner.
Dynacito (10) at 4-1 for the Russell barn with Russell is the stable's second entry in this race, adding further Russell firepower. The Russell stable with two horses at 2-1 and 4-1 in the same race mirrors the Ness dynamic and makes this an extraordinarily competitive betting situation.
Longshots
Can Group (8) at 10-1 for Katharine Voss with Martin Chuan is a live longshot in this turf route if the pace is honest enough to set up a late charge. My Imagination (2) at 20-1 for Alan Bedard with Luis Ocasio and Goodbye Note (11) at 20-1 for Suzanne Stettinius with Jorge Ruiz are deep prices that require pace breakdown and a perfect trip. Real Fast (4) at 12-1 for Barry King with Wesley Ho draws post four and Ho's aggressive style could produce a showing at a price. Just A Fair Shake (6) at 15-1 for Daniel McKenzie with Jamie Rodriguez is a throwout given Rodriguez's commitments to other runners.
Wagering Strategy
With four horses at even money and below — Fuerteventura (1), Write Off Jerry (7), Edgy (5), and Dynacito (10) — this race requires creative structuring to find value. A straight exacta box of the four at even money or below produces a $24 investment at $1 each, but the returns may be modest. The play is to include Naptown (3) as a key trifecta finisher, particularly underneath Fuerteventura (1) and Edgy (5). A $0.50 trifecta key of Fuerteventura (1) over Edgy (5), Write Off Jerry (7), Naptown (3), Dynacito (10) in positions two and three costs approximately $10-$12 and could pay several hundred dollars if the right order materializes.
Selections
Win: Fuerteventura (1) Place: Edgy (5) Show: Naptown (3)
RACE 8 — Post (3:46)/2:46/1:46/12:46 — 1760f | D | M | Md 25000 | AON | Purse $30,000
Six horses enter the final race of the day, a maiden claiming route of approximately 1760 furlongs on the dirt. Jack Rabbitness (4) from the Jamie Ness barn opens at even money, continuing the Ness barn's dominant presence on this card following their co-favorites in Race 7. Follow My Hart (6) at 5-1 and War Report (2) at 5-1 are the most significant threats in a small field.
Pace Analysis
In a six-horse maiden route on the dirt, the pace projection is more straightforward. Jack Rabbitness (4) figures to stalk or press the leader. His Friesan Fire (3) at 4-1 for John Salzman Jr. with J.S. Rocco Jr. is likely to be prominent early. With only six runners, the pace is unlikely to be particularly heated, setting up a scenario where the class horse can win without being pressured into an unsustainable early pace.
Key Contenders
Jack Rabbitness (4) at 1-1 from the Ness barn with Jamie Rodriguez is the clear single of the race. The Ness barn has sent out multiple favorites throughout the card and their reputation in maiden routes at Laurel is impeccable. Rodriguez is an excellent partner for this type of race, capable of rating a horse and delivering a sustained run through the stretch. At even money, the price is short but the probability is genuine.
His Friesan Fire (3) at 4-1 for John Salzman Jr. with Rocco Jr. is the most legitimate alternative. The Salzman barn has been patient with this horse and 4-1 in a six-horse maiden dirt route is fair value. Rocco Jr. is a capable journeyman who navigates these situations well.
Secondary Choices
Follow My Hart (6) at 5-1 for Michael Trombetta with Karamanos has the strongest trainer credentials among the alternatives. Trombetta appears throughout this card, and his horses have been uniformly competitive. Follow My Hart (6) from the outside post in a six-horse field gets clean air throughout and Karamanos is the perfect rider for a horse that needs to settle before making a sustained run.
War Report (2) at 5-1 for Linda Albert with Matilda Burnham is the second runner at this price. Albert's barn is modest at Laurel but War Report (2) at 5-1 in a short field deserves attention. Burnham, riding her second mount of the card, needs a strong pace to make a closing run viable.
Longshots
Uptomom (5) at 12-1 for Joseph Murphy with Leandro Briceno faces a significant step up from Race 5 consideration — Murphy's other horse Veneto (3) appears in the claiming event earlier. Uptomom (5) at 12-1 in a maiden dirt route is a longshot that requires specific conditions to fire. Speed Focused (1) at 15-1 for Megan Salzman with Yomar Ortiz draws the rail and is a deep price with minimal expectations.
Wagering Strategy
Race 8 is the natural Daily Double anchor from Race 7. The play is to link Fuerteventura (1) in Race 7 with Jack Rabbitness (4) in Race 8 as the primary daily double. Backup combinations using Edgy (5) from Race 7 and Jack Rabbitness (4) from Race 8 provide coverage. For straight wagering, Jack Rabbitness (4) at even money is acceptable as a single in the final-race Pick 3 bridge if your earlier sequence is alive. An exacta of Jack Rabbitness (4) over His Friesan Fire (3) and Follow My Hart (6) at $2 each is the recommended play.
Selections
Win: Jack Rabbitness (4) Place: His Friesan Fire (3) Show: Follow My Hart (6)
Jockey Notes and Insights
Sheldon Russell is the rider to watch throughout the card, saddling horses for his wife Brittany Russell's barn in Races 1, 2, 6, 7, and 10. The Russell partnership has been producing winners at an elite rate at this Laurel meet, and when Sheldon is aboard a short-priced Russell runner, the combination demands respect. In Race 1, he rides Ready Set (6). In Race 2, he pilots Frustrated (6), the even-money favorite. In Race 6, he guides Sota Summers (3). In Race 7, he has Edgy (5) and Dynacito (10) — confirming that Dynacito (10) may draw an alternate rider if the barn scratches one entry, so confirm final assignments.
H.A. Karamanos is one of Laurel's most versatile turf riders, appearing in Races 1, 3, 4, and 8. He rides Hurricane Mattie (3) in Race 1, The Magic Ofmovies (10) in Race 3 for Trombetta, Betterpartofvalour (1) for Trombetta in Race 4, and Follow My Hart (6) for Trombetta in Race 8. His relationship with the Trombetta barn is one of the most productive trainer-rider partnerships at this meet.
Mychel Sanchez is the top-tier talent on this card, riding Awesome Moment (9) in Race 1, Sticker Shocked (2) in Race 3, Jersey Corn (5) in Race 4, and the prized assignment of Fuerteventura (1) in Race 7. The Race 7 mount for the Ness barn at even money on an extended turf route is a high-priority ride for a rider of Sanchez's caliber.
Vincent Cheminaud has two turf assignments today: Thomson Falls (5) in Race 1 and Beach Landing (3) in Race 2. Cheminaud is a patient, European-influenced turf rider who excels at finding the fence and conserving energy in the early portions of grass routes. His presence on Thomson Falls (5) at 8-1 in Race 1 is a legitimate angle.
Jamie Rodriguez appears throughout the card on Races 1, 3, 6, 7, and 8, including the plum assignment of Jack Rabbitness (4) in the finale and Write Off Jerry (7) in Race 7. Rodriguez's familiarity with this course makes him a consistent threat.
Jevian Toledo appears in Races 6 and 7, riding Mad Misty (6) and Naptown (3). Toledo's ability on turf — particularly in route distances — makes Naptown (3) in Race 7 an excellent value play at 5-1.
Trainer Notes and Insights
Brittany Russell continues her exceptional meet at Laurel, entering horses in six of the eight races on the card. Her barn's win percentage this fall has been among the highest in the Mid-Atlantic, and her ability to place horses in spots where they have clear tactical advantages — typically with front or stalking speed — is a hallmark of her operation. When the Russell stable sends out a horse at 2-1 or lower, the strike rate warrants straight wagering support.
Michael Trombetta is the day's other dominant trainer presence, with entries in Races 3 (three horses: Quadra (4), Big Earn (9), The Magic Ofmovies (10)), Race 4 (Betterpartofvalour (1), Playin For Gin (8)), and Race 8 (Follow My Hart (6)). Trombetta running three horses in Race 3 is the defining trainer angle of the card. His barn's strike rate in allowance turf sprints at Laurel is consistently above the track average, and the Karamanos partnership has produced multiple winners this meet.
Jamie Ness enters Fuerteventura (1) and Write Off Jerry (7) in Race 7 at even money each, and Jack Rabbitness (4) in Race 8 at even money. Running three even-money horses in two consecutive races is extraordinary and reflects genuine confidence from this elite turf and dirt trainer. Ness has one of the highest win rates among Maryland-based trainers when his horses open below 2-1 on the morning line.
H. Graham Motion enters Card Shark (1) in Race 2, Lake Martin (3) and Do The Right Thing (4) in Race 4. Motion's maiden sprinters consistently arrive well-prepared, and Card Shark (1) at 2-1 in Race 2 is his strongest win chance of the day.
Justin Nixon fields multiple runners across the card, including Plentyof Rogue (2) and Mythical Magic (5) in Race 2, and Elite Warrior (9) in Race 4. Nixon's two-pronged attack in Race 2 merits attention as the second-strongest trainer after Motion in that field.
Timothy Keefe enters Mad Misty (6) and Penelope's Gift (10) in Race 6, plus Pencil Me In (2) in Race 5. Keefe's double entry in Race 6 suggests both horses belong in this field.
Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays
The defining theme of this card is barn power. The Russell stable and the Ness stable each send multiple heavily backed runners, creating both opportunities and pitfalls for straight bettors and exotic players alike.
The card's single best win bet is Frustrated (6) in Race 2, even at even money. The Russell barn at this level with a six-horse field and minimal pace uncertainty represents the clearest probability play of the day. The bet is most valuable as the anchor for a Pick 3 starting in Race 2.
The card's best value play is Naptown (3) at 5-1 in Race 7 with Jevian Toledo. In a race where the public will hammer Fuerteventura (1), Write Off Jerry (7), Edgy (5), and Dynacito (10), Naptown (3) at 5-1 with one of the region's best turf riders offers genuine overlay potential for trifecta and exacta combinations.
The card's best longshot angle is Thomson Falls (5) at 8-1 in Race 1, trained by De Paz with Cheminaud aboard in an extended turf maiden route. At 8-1 with a European-style patient rider in a stamina test, this is the kind of play that enriches exotic wagering returns when it hits.
Pick 3 Strategy (Races 6-7-8): Use Divine Mousse (7) / Sota Summers (3) over Fuerteventura (1) / Edgy (5) / Write Off Jerry (7) over Jack Rabbitness (4). At $1 per combination this costs $12 for a two-horse top, three-horse middle, single bottom sequence. Upgrade to $2 tickets for full-price combinations.
Pick 4 Strategy (Races 5-6-7-8): Single Veneto (3) in Race 5, use Divine Mousse (7) and Sota Summers (3) in Race 6, spread to Fuerteventura (1), Edgy (5), Write Off Jerry (7), and Dynacito (10) in Race 7, single Jack Rabbitness (4) in Race 8. At $0.50 this 1x2x4x1 costs $4, offering outstanding value if the Ness-Russell dynamic plays out as expected.
Daily Double Value (Races 7-8): Fuerteventura (1) and Edgy (5) in Race 7 over Jack Rabbitness (4) in Race 8 at $2 each totals $4. Given the probability of multiple Ness-Russell horses finishing in the top positions, this is among the most cost-effective structures on the card.
Exacta Focus Race of the Day (Race 3): Box Quadra (4), Big Earn (9), The Magic Ofmovies (10), and Mezcal Mama (8) in a $1 exacta for $12. The Trombetta three-bagger creates pool distortion and the true exacta odds when a non-Trombetta horse hits the board alongside a Trombetta runner can be surprisingly generous.
The morning line in Race 7 with two horses at even money is the most distorted pricing on the card. In pari-mutuel wagering, co-favorites at even money almost always result in one or both being overlaid at final odds, particularly as casual bettors gravitate toward the most recent winner among the Ness barn entries. Monitor late odds movement on Fuerteventura (1) versus Write Off Jerry (7) to identify which Ness horse the sharp money targets and adjust exotic structures accordingly.
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✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (35) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form.