Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Ajax Downs, July 1, 2026


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Algo Picks – Algo 1
 
Race 1
Win:4 – Bodhi (5/2)
Place:3 – General Skywalker (8/5)
Show:1 – Jess A Deal (2/1)
Other contenders:5 – Suge (9/2), 2 – Tell Him No Secrets (3/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-1-5-2
🎯 Longshots: 4-3-2-1-5
 
Race 2
Win:6 – Magic Guitar (5/2)
Place:4 – Quicksipofcorona (7/2)
Show:1 – Stonecutter Form (5/1)
Other contenders:2 – Fly Fishn (3/1), 3 – Tragically Ripped (10/1)
Rest of field:5 – Caraways Rushin Risk (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-1-2-3-5
🎯 Longshots: 6-2-4-1-3-5
 
Race 3
Win:2 – Working Class Hero (5/2)
Place:4 – Turnpike Tripping (5/1)
Show:5 – Shadow Of The Knight (7/2)
Other contenders:3 – Eye Spy My (3/1), 1 – Rushn Valentine (10/1)
Rest of field:6 – Caraways Sugar Joe (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-4-3-1-6
🎯 Longshots: 5-2-4-3-1-6
 
Race 4
Win:3 – Royal Zanbo (5/1)
Place:5 – Mi Reina Janette (9/2)
Show:6 – Decode (3/1)
Other contenders:2 – Drouillard (4/1), 1 – Oneofthemeangirls (7/1)
Rest of field:4 – Chamacas Rocket (10/1), 7 – Caraways Magic Rain (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-6-2-1-4
🎯 Longshots: 6-3-5-2-4-1-7
 
Race 5
Win:4 – Elvis The Famous (4/1)
Place:2 – Sweet Kara (9/2)
Show:6 – Kissin Ella (3/1)
Other contenders:1 – Jjjohnnypopper (7/1), 7 – Flyin Lady (10/1)
Rest of field:5 – Nadir (5/1), 3 – All Outta Sugar (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-6-1-7-5
🎯 Longshots: 4-2-6-5-3-1-7
 
Race 6
Win:6 – Copilot (5/2)
Place:1 – Rushn In The Rain (3/1)
Show:2 – Magic In Wonderland (5/1)
Other contenders:3 – Ivory Queen (7/2), 4 – Look Twice (10/1)
Rest of field:5 – Runaway Fate (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-2-3-4-5
🎯 Longshots: 1-3-6-4-5-2
 
Race 7
Win:7 – Chillin With Peeps (3/2)
Place:2 – Alabama Mooonshine (2/1)
Show:6 – Haaave You Met Karma (3/1)
Other contenders:3 – Suit Up (7/2), 1 – Shake Em Alice (4/1), 8 – Agent Ice (6/1)
Rest of field:4 – Cold And Sassy (8/1), 5 – Ef Cartel Rush (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-6-3-1-8
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-2-1-3-8-4-5
 
Race 8
Win:2 – Politics N Lights (9/2)
Place:5 – One Fabulous Wave (5/1)
Show:1 – Sixes Royal Maiden (4/1)
Other contenders:6 – Lights Dynasty (3/1), 7 – Lil Mz Win (10/1)
Rest of field:3 – Especially Tempting (15/1), 4 – Lil Phyler (7/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-1-6-7-4
🎯 Longshots: 6-7-1-5-2-4-3
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
Algo Picks – Algo 2
 
Race 1
Win:4 – Bodhi (5/2)
Place:2 – Tell Him No Secrets (3/1)
Show:3 – General Skywalker (8/5)
Other contenders:5 – Suge (9/2), 1 – Jess A Deal (2/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-3-5-1
🎯 Longshots: 4-3-2-1-5
 
Race 2
Win:4 – Quicksipofcorona (7/2)
Place:6 – Magic Guitar (5/2)
Show:1 – Stonecutter Form (5/1)
Other contenders:2 – Fly Fishn (3/1), 3 – Tragically Ripped (10/1)
Rest of field:5 – Caraways Rushin Risk (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-1-2-3-5
🎯 Longshots: 6-2-4-1-3-5
 
Race 3
Win:2 – Working Class Hero (5/2)
Place:6 – Caraways Sugar Joe (15/1)
Show:4 – Turnpike Tripping (5/1)
Other contenders:3 – Eye Spy My (3/1), 5 – Shadow Of The Knight (7/2)
Rest of field:1 – Rushn Valentine (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-5-4-3-1
🎯 Longshots: 5-2-4-3-1-6
 
Race 4
Win:5 – Mi Reina Janette (9/2)
Place:2 – Drouillard (4/1)
Show:3 – Royal Zanbo (5/1)
Other contenders:6 – Decode (3/1), 4 – Chamacas Rocket (10/1)
Rest of field:7 – Caraways Magic Rain (15/1), 1 – Oneofthemeangirls (7/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-6-4-1
🎯 Longshots: 6-3-5-2-4-1-7
 
Race 5
Win:5 – Nadir (5/1)
Place:6 – Kissin Ella (3/1)
Show:2 – Sweet Kara (9/2)
Other contenders:4 – Elvis The Famous (4/1), 3 – All Outta Sugar (15/1)
Rest of field:1 – Jjjohnnypopper (7/1), 7 – Flyin Lady (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-2-4-3-1
🎯 Longshots: 4-2-6-5-3-1-7
 
Race 6
Win:1 – Rushn In The Rain (3/1)
Place:2 – Magic In Wonderland (5/1)
Show:5 – Runaway Fate (15/1)
Other contenders:6 – Copilot (5/2), 4 – Look Twice (10/1)
Rest of field:3 – Ivory Queen (7/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-5-6-4-3
🎯 Longshots: 1-3-6-4-5-2
 
Race 7
Win:8 – Agent Ice (6/1)
Place:4 – Cold And Sassy (8/1)
Show:2 – Alabama Mooonshine (2/1)
Other contenders:6 – Haaave You Met Karma (3/1), 3 – Suit Up (7/2), 7 – Chillin With Peeps (3/2)
Rest of field:1 – Shake Em Alice (4/1), 5 – Ef Cartel Rush (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-2-6-3-7
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-2-1-3-8-4-5
 
Race 8
Win:1 – Sixes Royal Maiden (4/1)
Place:2 – Politics N Lights (9/2)
Show:5 – One Fabulous Wave (5/1)
Other contenders:7 – Lil Mz Win (10/1), 4 – Lil Phyler (7/1)
Rest of field:6 – Lights Dynasty (3/1), 3 – Especially Tempting (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-5-4-7-6
🎯 Longshots: 6-7-1-5-2-4-3
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Algo Picks – Algo 3
 
Race 1
Win:4 – Bodhi (5/2)
Place:2 – Tell Him No Secrets (3/1)
Show:3 – General Skywalker (8/5)
Other contenders:5 – Suge (9/2), 1 – Jess A Deal (2/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-3-5-1
🎯 Longshots: 4-3-2-1-5
 
Race 2
Win:4 – Quicksipofcorona (7/2)
Place:6 – Magic Guitar (5/2)
Show:1 – Stonecutter Form (5/1)
Other contenders:2 – Fly Fishn (3/1), 3 – Tragically Ripped (10/1)
Rest of field:5 – Caraways Rushin Risk (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-1-2-3-5
🎯 Longshots: 6-2-4-1-3-5
 
Race 3
Win:2 – Working Class Hero (5/2)
Place:6 – Caraways Sugar Joe (15/1)
Show:3 – Eye Spy My (3/1)
Other contenders:4 – Turnpike Tripping (5/1), 5 – Shadow Of The Knight (7/2)
Rest of field:1 – Rushn Valentine (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-5-3-4-1
🎯 Longshots: 5-2-4-3-1-6
 
Race 4
Win:5 – Mi Reina Janette (9/2)
Place:2 – Drouillard (4/1)
Show:3 – Royal Zanbo (5/1)
Other contenders:6 – Decode (3/1), 4 – Chamacas Rocket (10/1)
Rest of field:1 – Oneofthemeangirls (7/1), 7 – Caraways Magic Rain (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-6-4-1
🎯 Longshots: 6-3-5-2-4-1-7
 
Race 5
Win:5 – Nadir (5/1)
Place:6 – Kissin Ella (3/1)
Show:2 – Sweet Kara (9/2)
Other contenders:4 – Elvis The Famous (4/1), 3 – All Outta Sugar (15/1)
Rest of field:1 – Jjjohnnypopper (7/1), 7 – Flyin Lady (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-2-4-3-1
🎯 Longshots: 4-2-6-5-3-1-7
 
Race 6
Win:1 – Rushn In The Rain (3/1)
Place:2 – Magic In Wonderland (5/1)
Show:5 – Runaway Fate (15/1)
Other contenders:6 – Copilot (5/2), 4 – Look Twice (10/1)
Rest of field:3 – Ivory Queen (7/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-5-6-4-3
🎯 Longshots: 1-3-6-4-5-2
 
Race 7
Win:8 – Agent Ice (6/1)
Place:4 – Cold And Sassy (8/1)
Show:2 – Alabama Mooonshine (2/1)
Other contenders:6 – Haaave You Met Karma (3/1), 3 – Suit Up (7/2), 7 – Chillin With Peeps (3/2)
Rest of field:1 – Shake Em Alice (4/1), 5 – Ef Cartel Rush (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-2-6-3-7
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-2-1-3-8-4-5
 
Race 8
Win:1 – Sixes Royal Maiden (4/1)
Place:2 – Politics N Lights (9/2)
Show:5 – One Fabulous Wave (5/1)
Other contenders:7 – Lil Mz Win (10/1), 6 – Lights Dynasty (3/1)
Rest of field:4 – Lil Phyler (7/1), 3 – Especially Tempting (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-5-4-7-6
🎯 Longshots: 6-7-1-5-2-4-3
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Kelly Edge Plays
Kelly Edge Plays   (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim)    Morning-line reliability: +0.30 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it)    Weekend sizing: ×0.95 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged)
RaceHorseMLP(win)Edge¼ KellyBet on $ bankroll
25 – Caraways Rushin Risk15/130.4%+305.1%5.00%$5.00
36 – Caraways Sugar Joe15/130.4%+305.1%5.00%$5.00
47 – Caraways Magic Rain15/130.4%+305.1%5.00%$5.00
53 – All Outta Sugar15/130.4%+305.1%5.00%$5.00
65 – Runaway Fate15/130.4%+305.1%5.00%$5.00
75 – Ef Cartel Rush10/121.2%+104.8%2.62%$2.62
87 – Lil Mz Win10/121.2%+104.8%2.62%$2.62
23 – Tragically Ripped10/116.7%+66.3%1.66%$1.66
TOTAL across 8 plays:31.9%$31.90
Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly.
Index - Horses Running In This Card
AGENT ICEALABAMA MOOONSHINEALL OUTTA SUGARBODHICARAWAYS MAGIC RAIN
CARAWAYS SUGAR JOECHAMACAS ROCKETCHILLIN WITH PEEPSCOLD AND SASSYCOPILOT
DROUILLARDEF CARTEL RUSHELVIS THE FAMOUSESPECIALLY TEMPTINGEYE SPY MY
FLYIN LADYGENERAL SKYWALKERHAAAVE YOU MET KARMAIVORY QUEENJESS A DEAL
KISSIN ELLALIGHTS DYNASTYLIL MZ WINLIL PHYLERLOOK TWICE
MAGIC IN WONDERLANDMI REINA JANETTENADIRONE FABULOUS WAVEONEOFTHEMEANGIRLS
QUICKSIPOFCORONAROYAL ZANBORUNAWAY FATERUSHN IN THE RAINRUSHN VALENTINE
SHAKE EM ALICESIXES ROYAL MAIDENSTONECUTTER FORMSUGESUIT UP
TELL HIM NO SECRETSTRAGICALLY RIPPEDTURNPIKE TRIPPINGWORKING CLASS HERO

 


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