How did these picks do?
Results for this card as of 7:24 AM, graded from the official charts. Each row is that section's top pick in every race with a result; races still pending are not counted. The full week is in the weekly recap.
| Section | Races graded | Won | 2nd | 3rd | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algo 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14% |
| Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14% |
| Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0% |
| Experimental Weight Set 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29% |
| Experimental Weight Set 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 29% |
Kelly Edge Plays: 3 flagged longshot(s) graded, 1 won, 3 finished in the money.
Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
| Race 1 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 3 – Kikilove (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Hardly Mischievous (9/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Norma No (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Princess Aleska (6/1), 4 – Play Free Bird (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-5-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $21,500 | |
| Win: | 2 – She's A Maneater (9/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Honourable Mention (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Maximum Uproar (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Az Silencer (5/1), 5 – Onemorsteptoheaven (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Ringit (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-1-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-3-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Oregon County (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Shamayim (9/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Gallant Oak (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Free Maker (7/2), 1 – Sarah's Vision (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Captive Kitten (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-2-3-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,100 | |
| Win: | 3 – Ralph's Gift (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Sgt. Filkow (7/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Red Dirt Alley (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Saturdays Babe (15/1), 4 – Shocking Malice (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Silver Spiced (5/1), 6 – Liam's Starry Nite (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-2-4-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-1-4-7-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,400 | |
| Win: | 4 – Mo Ta (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Low Euro Cat (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Miss Z (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Short Speech (7/1), 7 – Valerie Valeski (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Unknown Caller (15/1), 6 – Maibella (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-5-2-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-1-7-3-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Classy Tiger (6/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Dress Me Up (10/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Off The Payroll (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – When I Saw You (2/1), 5 – Sum Up The Silver (3/1), 6 – Witt's Dubai Gal (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Cloudsinmycoffee (15/1), 8 – Fast Movin Train (30/1), 9 – Moonshine Boogie (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-1-2-5-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-5-6-3-7-9-1-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Judo (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Chief Brady (8/5) |
| Show: | 6 – Falsely Accused (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Foothills Blvd. (4/1), 3 – Nu Soup For Baby (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Frosty Blue (20/1), 5 – Pay My Way (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-4-6-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-5-3-4-6-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
| Race 1 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 2 – Norma No (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Hardly Mischievous (9/5) |
| Show: | 3 – Kikilove (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Princess Aleska (6/1), 4 – Play Free Bird (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-5-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-5-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $21,500 | |
| Win: | 2 – She's A Maneater (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Maximum Uproar (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Honourable Mention (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Az Silencer (5/1), 5 – Onemorsteptoheaven (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Ringit (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-6-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-3-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Oregon County (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Shamayim (9/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Gallant Oak (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Free Maker (7/2), 1 – Sarah's Vision (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Captive Kitten (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-2-3-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,100 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sgt. Filkow (7/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Ralph's Gift (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Red Dirt Alley (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Silver Spiced (5/1), 2 – Saturdays Babe (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Shocking Malice (20/1), 6 – Liam's Starry Nite (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-7-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-1-4-7-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,400 | |
| Win: | 4 – Mo Ta (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Low Euro Cat (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Miss Z (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Valerie Valeski (8/1), 2 – Short Speech (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Unknown Caller (15/1), 6 – Maibella (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-5-7-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-1-7-3-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – When I Saw You (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Off The Payroll (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Sum Up The Silver (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Dress Me Up (10/1), 1 – Classy Tiger (6/1), 6 – Witt's Dubai Gal (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Cloudsinmycoffee (15/1), 9 – Moonshine Boogie (25/1), 8 – Fast Movin Train (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-5-2-1-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-5-6-3-7-9-1-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Judo (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Chief Brady (8/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Foothills Blvd. (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Falsely Accused (6/1), 3 – Nu Soup For Baby (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Pay My Way (25/1), 2 – Frosty Blue (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-5-4-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-5-3-4-6-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
| Race 1 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 3 – Kikilove (5/2) 27% · fair 5-2 |
| Place: | 5 – Hardly Mischievous (9/5) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -36% |
| Show: | 2 – Norma No (2/1) 24% · fair 3-1 underlay -36% |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Princess Aleska (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 4 – Play Free Bird (10/1) 10% · fair 9-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-5-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $21,500 | |
| Win: | 6 – Honourable Mention (4/1) 30% · fair 5-2 overlay +69% |
| Place: | 2 – She's A Maneater (9/5) 27% · fair 5-2 underlay -33% |
| Show: | 1 – Maximum Uproar (5/2) 23% · fair 7-2 |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Az Silencer (5/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -40%, 5 – Onemorsteptoheaven (6/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -50% |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Ringit (15/1) 2% · fair 56-1 underlay -73% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-1-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-3-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Shamayim (9/5) 30% · fair 5-2 |
| Place: | 5 – Oregon County (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1 |
| Show: | 3 – Free Maker (7/2) 23% · fair 7-2 |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Gallant Oak (3/1) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -41%, 1 – Sarah's Vision (15/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -31% |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Captive Kitten (25/1) 2% · fair 44-1 underlay -43% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-3-2-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,100 | |
| Win: | 3 – Ralph's Gift (3/1) 24% · fair 3-1 |
| Place: | 5 – Sgt. Filkow (7/5) 24% · fair 3-1 underlay -56% |
| Show: | 7 – Silver Spiced (5/1) 19% · fair 4-1 |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Red Dirt Alley (7/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -43%, 2 – Saturdays Babe (15/1) 7% · fair 27-2 |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Shocking Malice (20/1) 6% · fair 29-2 overlay +39%, 6 – Liam's Starry Nite (25/1) 5% · fair 20-1 overlay +26% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-3-5-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-1-4-7-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,400 | |
| Win: | 4 – Mo Ta (7/5) 34% · fair 2-1 underlay -29% |
| Place: | 5 – Miss Z (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2 |
| Show: | 1 – Low Euro Cat (3/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -47% |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Short Speech (7/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 7 – Valerie Valeski (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -28% |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Unknown Caller (15/1) 8% · fair 11-1 overlay +34%, 6 – Maibella (30/1) 3% · fair 30-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-1-2-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-1-7-3-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sum Up The Silver (3/1) 19% · fair 9-2 underlay -31% |
| Place: | 4 – When I Saw You (2/1) 19% · fair 9-2 underlay -54% |
| Show: | 2 – Dress Me Up (10/1) 16% · fair 11-2 overlay +90% |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Off The Payroll (4/1) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -32%, 1 – Classy Tiger (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -25%, 6 – Witt's Dubai Gal (15/1) 7% · fair 27-2 |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Moonshine Boogie (25/1) 6% · fair 31-2 overlay +63%, 7 – Cloudsinmycoffee (15/1) 6% · fair 33-2, 8 – Fast Movin Train (30/1) 2% · fair 93-2 underlay -35% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-5-2-1-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-5-6-3-7-9-1-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Foothills Blvd. (4/1) 35% · fair 2-1 overlay +117% |
| Place: | 1 – Judo (2/1) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -44% |
| Show: | 7 – Chief Brady (8/5) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -65% |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Falsely Accused (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -26%, 5 – Pay My Way (25/1) 5% · fair 37-2 overlay +35% |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Frosty Blue (20/1) 5% · fair 41-2, 3 – Nu Soup For Baby (15/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -28% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-4-1-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-5-3-4-6-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #5 over #3 ($1 straight; box #5-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #3, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #2 over #1 ($1 straight; box #2-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #6 over #5 ($1 straight; box #6-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #6, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #5 over #3 ($1 straight; box #5-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #5, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #4 over #1 ($1 straight; box #4-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #4, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #4 over #5 ($1 straight; box #4-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #7 over #1 ($1 straight; box #7-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #7, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic) Morning-line reliability: +0.39 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 4 | 4 – Shocking Malice | 20/1 | — | 6.9% | +46.2% | 0.58% | $0.58 |
| 6 | 9 – Moonshine Boogie | 25/1 | — | 4.7% | +21.9% | 0.22% | $0.22 |
| 6 | 2 – Dress Me Up | 10/1 | — | 11.0% | +21.3% | 0.53% | $0.53 |
| TOTAL across 3 plays: | 1.3% | $1.33 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
| Race 1 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 5 - Hardly Mischievous (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 - Kikilove (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 - Norma No (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Princess Aleska (6/1), 4 - Play Free Bird (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-5-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $21,500 | |
| Win: | 2 - She's A Maneater (9/5) |
| Place: | 6 - Honourable Mention (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Maximum Uproar (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Az Silencer (5/1), 5 - Onemorsteptoheaven (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Ringit (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-1-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-3-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 6 - Shamayim (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 - Oregon County (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 - Gallant Oak (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Free Maker (7/2), 1 - Sarah's Vision (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Captive Kitten (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-2-3-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,100 | |
| Win: | 5 - Sgt. Filkow (7/5) |
| Place: | 3 - Ralph's Gift (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Red Dirt Alley (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Silver Spiced (5/1), 4 - Shocking Malice (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Saturdays Babe (15/1), 6 - Liam's Starry Nite (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-7-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-1-4-7-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,400 | |
| Win: | 4 - Mo Ta (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 - Low Euro Cat (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 - Miss Z (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Short Speech (7/1), 7 - Valerie Valeski (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Unknown Caller (15/1), 6 - Maibella (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-5-2-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-1-7-3-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Classy Tiger (6/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Dress Me Up (10/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Off The Payroll (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - When I Saw You (2/1), 5 - Sum Up The Silver (3/1), 6 - Witt's Dubai Gal (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Cloudsinmycoffee (15/1), 8 - Fast Movin Train (30/1), 9 - Moonshine Boogie (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-1-2-5-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-5-6-3-7-9-1-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 7 - Chief Brady (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 - Judo (2/1) |
| Show: | 4 - Foothills Blvd. (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Falsely Accused (6/1), 3 - Nu Soup For Baby (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Frosty Blue (20/1), 5 - Pay My Way (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-4-6-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-5-3-4-6-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
| Race 1 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 5 - Hardly Mischievous (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 - Kikilove (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 - Norma No (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Princess Aleska (6/1), 4 - Play Free Bird (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-2-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-5-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $21,500 | |
| Win: | 2 - She's A Maneater (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 - Maximum Uproar (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 - Honourable Mention (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Az Silencer (5/1), 5 - Onemorsteptoheaven (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Ringit (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-6-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-3-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 5 - Oregon County (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 - Shamayim (9/5) |
| Show: | 2 - Gallant Oak (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Free Maker (7/2), 1 - Sarah's Vision (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Captive Kitten (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-2-3-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,100 | |
| Win: | 3 - Ralph's Gift (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 - Sgt. Filkow (7/5) |
| Show: | 1 - Red Dirt Alley (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Silver Spiced (5/1), 4 - Shocking Malice (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Saturdays Babe (15/1), 6 - Liam's Starry Nite (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-7-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-1-4-7-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,400 | |
| Win: | 1 - Low Euro Cat (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 - Mo Ta (7/5) |
| Show: | 5 - Miss Z (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Short Speech (7/1), 7 - Valerie Valeski (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Unknown Caller (15/1), 6 - Maibella (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-5-2-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-1-7-3-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Classy Tiger (6/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Dress Me Up (10/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Off The Payroll (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - When I Saw You (2/1), 5 - Sum Up The Silver (3/1), 6 - Witt's Dubai Gal (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Cloudsinmycoffee (15/1), 8 - Fast Movin Train (30/1), 9 - Moonshine Boogie (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-1-2-5-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-5-6-3-7-9-1-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Judo (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 - Chief Brady (8/5) |
| Show: | 4 - Foothills Blvd. (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Falsely Accused (6/1), 3 - Nu Soup For Baby (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Frosty Blue (20/1), 5 - Pay My Way (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-4-6-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-5-3-4-6-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #3,#5,#2 (78%) / R2: #6,#2,#1 (80%) / R3: #6,#5,#3 (77%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 48% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #6,#2,#1 (80%) / R3: #6,#5,#3 (77%) / R4: #3,#5,#7 (68%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 42% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #6,#5,#3 (77%) / R4: #3,#5,#7 (68%) / R5: #4,#5,#1 (66%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 35% |
| Pick 3 R5-7 | R5: #4,#5,#1 (66%) / R6: #5,#4,#2 (53%) / R7: #4,#1,#7 (75%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 27% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #3,#5,#2 (78%) / R2: #6,#2,#1 (80%) / R3: #6,#5,#3 (77%) / R4: #3,#5,#7 (68%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 32% |
| Pick 4 R2-5 | R2: #6,#2,#1 (80%) / R3: #6,#5,#3 (77%) / R4: #3,#5,#7 (68%) / R5: #4,#5,#1 (66%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 28% |
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| AZ SILENCER | CAPTIVE KITTEN | CHIEF BRADY | CLASSY TIGER | CLOUDSINMYCOFFEE |
| FALSELY ACCUSED | FAST MOVIN TRAIN | FOOTHILLS BLVD. | FREE MAKER | FROSTY BLUE |
| HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS | HONOURABLE MENTION | JUDO | KIKILOVE | LIAM'S STARRY NITE |
| MAIBELLA | MAXIMUM UPROAR | MISS Z | MO TA | MOONSHINE BOOGIE |
| NU SOUP FOR BABY | OFF THE PAYROLL | ONEMORSTEPTOHEAVEN | OREGON COUNTY | PAY MY WAY |
| PRINCESS ALESKA | RALPH'S GIFT | RED DIRT ALLEY | RINGIT | SARAH'S VISION |
| SGT. FILKOW | SHAMAYIM | SHE'S A MANEATER | SHOCKING MALICE | SHORT SPEECH |
| SUM UP THE SILVER | UNKNOWN CALLER | VALERIE VALESKI | WHEN I SAW YOU | WITT'S DUBAI GAL |
Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
