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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – American Witt (4/5) |
| Place: | 5 – I Conduit (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Pleasant Time (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Special Gift (15/1), 3 – Sea Gold Go (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Messagefromheaven (20/1), 4 – Oh So Bouncy (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-1-6-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-6-4-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $17,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Calming Force (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Jacks Spring Break (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Luka Grazie (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Bati King (5/1), 5 – Smokeintheair (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Complete Overhaul (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-6-3-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-1-6-3-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $16,500 | |
| Win: | 3 – The Ronald (7/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Lab Rat (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Burn Jakey Burn (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Omaha Warrior (4/1), 2 – No Show No Call (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Soaringforthesun (15/1), 7 – Ready For Anything (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-1-4-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-7-3-1-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 5 – Layla's Song (6/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Neighneigh (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Maybe So (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Brown Liaison (12/1), 2 – Highlander Honey (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Flying Miss (20/1), 1 – Tia Suzi (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-3-2-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-7-4-2-6-3-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $40,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Mechanic Susie (1/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Clippity Cop (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Rise Again (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Catch The Dream (6/1), 3 – My Kinda Delite (20/1), 8 – Zibibbo (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Dreamin Out Loud (15/1), 4 – Point Maid (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-1-7-3-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-1-6-8-7-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 5 – Happy Camper (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Sarge's Sermon (5/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Lexington River (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – In Form (3/1), 1 – Betterlucknexttime (6/1), 3 – Wrong Direction (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Zultan (20/1), 8 – Rugged Rooster (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-7-4-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-7-3-4-1-6-2-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $13,200 | |
| Win: | 6 – Tap The Parlay (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Arikara (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Mystic Song (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Cumberland Falls (8/1), 8 – Get My Drift (10/1), 3 – Not So Swift (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Indyetta (10/1), 7 – Sumitup (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-2-8-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-1-2-4-5-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 6 – Weekendindelmar (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Apple Fest (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Neytiri (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Counting On You (8/1), 5 – Haute Charlotte (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Casually Classy (15/1), 1 – Ms Bumblebee (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-3-5-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-4-3-1-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – American Witt (4/5) |
| Place: | 5 – I Conduit (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Pleasant Time (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Sea Gold Go (6/1), 6 – Special Gift (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Messagefromheaven (20/1), 4 – Oh So Bouncy (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-1-3-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-6-4-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $17,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Jacks Spring Break (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Calming Force (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Luka Grazie (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Bati King (5/1), 5 – Smokeintheair (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Complete Overhaul (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-6-3-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-1-6-3-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $16,500 | |
| Win: | 4 – Burn Jakey Burn (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Lab Rat (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Omaha Warrior (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – The Ronald (7/2), 2 – No Show No Call (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Ready For Anything (12/1), 1 – Soaringforthesun (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-6-4-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-7-3-1-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 5 – Layla's Song (6/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Neighneigh (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Highlander Honey (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Maybe So (6/1), 4 – Brown Liaison (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Flying Miss (20/1), 1 – Tia Suzi (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-2-5-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-7-4-2-6-3-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $40,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Mechanic Susie (1/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Clippity Cop (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Rise Again (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Catch The Dream (6/1), 5 – Dreamin Out Loud (15/1), 8 – Zibibbo (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – My Kinda Delite (20/1), 4 – Point Maid (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-8-6-1-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-1-6-8-7-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 5 – Happy Camper (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – In Form (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Betterlucknexttime (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Sarge's Sermon (5/1), 7 – Lexington River (8/1), 3 – Wrong Direction (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Zultan (20/1), 8 – Rugged Rooster (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-4-1-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-7-3-4-1-6-2-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $13,200 | |
| Win: | 6 – Tap The Parlay (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Arikara (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Mystic Song (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Cumberland Falls (8/1), 8 – Get My Drift (10/1), 3 – Not So Swift (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Indyetta (10/1), 7 – Sumitup (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-2-8-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-1-2-4-5-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 6 – Weekendindelmar (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Apple Fest (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Neytiri (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Counting On You (8/1), 5 – Haute Charlotte (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Casually Classy (15/1), 1 – Ms Bumblebee (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-3-5-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-4-3-1-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – American Witt (4/5) 38% · fair 3-2 underlay -52% |
| Place: | 5 – I Conduit (4/1) 23% · fair 7-2 |
| Show: | 3 – Sea Gold Go (6/1) 13% · fair 7-1 |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Special Gift (15/1) 12% · fair 15-2 overlay +105%, 1 – Pleasant Time (5/1) 7% · fair 29-2 underlay -65% |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Oh So Bouncy (25/1) 4% · fair 49-2, 2 – Messagefromheaven (20/1) 4% · fair 49-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-6-1-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-6-4-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $17,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Jacks Spring Break (2/1) 30% · fair 5-2 |
| Place: | 5 – Smokeintheair (7/1) 21% · fair 4-1 overlay +81% |
| Show: | 4 – Calming Force (5/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -50% |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Luka Grazie (7/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -41%, 3 – Bati King (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2 |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Complete Overhaul (15/1) 5% · fair 37-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-4-6-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-1-6-3-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $16,500 | |
| Win: | 5 – Omaha Warrior (4/1) 21% · fair 4-1 |
| Place: | 4 – Burn Jakey Burn (2/1) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -48% |
| Show: | 6 – Lab Rat (3/1) 19% · fair 4-1 underlay -28% |
| Other contenders: | 3 – The Ronald (7/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -49%, 2 – No Show No Call (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2 |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Ready For Anything (12/1) 11% · fair 8-1 overlay +48%, 1 – Soaringforthesun (15/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -42% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-6-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-7-3-1-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 5 – Layla's Song (6/5) 30% · fair 5-2 underlay -49% |
| Place: | 7 – Neighneigh (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2 |
| Show: | 3 – Maybe So (6/1) 15% · fair 6-1 |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Highlander Honey (5/1) 15% · fair 6-1, 4 – Brown Liaison (12/1) 10% · fair 9-1 overlay +34% |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Flying Miss (20/1) 6% · fair 17-1, 1 – Tia Suzi (30/1) 3% · fair 57-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-2-4-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-7-4-2-6-3-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $40,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Rise Again (3/1) 34% · fair 2-1 overlay +54% |
| Place: | 2 – Mechanic Susie (1/1) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -73% |
| Show: | 6 – Clippity Cop (4/1) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -36% |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Catch The Dream (6/1) 10% · fair 19-2 underlay -36%, 8 – Zibibbo (12/1) 7% · fair 27-2, 3 – My Kinda Delite (20/1) 6% · fair 31-2 overlay +29% |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Dreamin Out Loud (15/1) 5% · fair 39-2, 4 – Point Maid (30/1) 4% · fair 26-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-7-1-2-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-1-6-8-7-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 2 – Sarge's Sermon (5/1) 29% · fair 5-2 overlay +102% |
| Place: | 4 – In Form (3/1) 21% · fair 4-1 |
| Show: | 5 – Happy Camper (9/5) 19% · fair 4-1 underlay -57% |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Betterlucknexttime (6/1) 10% · fair 19-2 underlay -36%, 7 – Lexington River (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -26%, 3 – Wrong Direction (10/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -31% |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Zultan (20/1) 4% · fair 45-2, 8 – Rugged Rooster (25/1) 2% · fair 85-2 underlay -42% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-4-1-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-7-3-4-1-6-2-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $13,200 | |
| Win: | 6 – Tap The Parlay (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1 |
| Place: | 5 – Mystic Song (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -30% |
| Show: | 1 – Arikara (3/1) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -48% |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Cumberland Falls (8/1) 14% · fair 13-2 overlay +27%, 3 – Not So Swift (6/1) 13% · fair 7-1, 8 – Get My Drift (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2 |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Indyetta (10/1) 5% · fair 17-1 underlay -42%, 7 – Sumitup (25/1) 4% · fair 47-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-8-5-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-1-2-4-5-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 6 – Weekendindelmar (2/1) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -29% |
| Place: | 3 – Neytiri (7/2) 20% · fair 4-1 |
| Show: | 7 – Apple Fest (5/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -49% |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Counting On You (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 5 – Haute Charlotte (6/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -39% |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Ms Bumblebee (12/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 2 – Casually Classy (15/1) 7% · fair 25-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-3-5-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-4-3-1-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #7 over #5 ($1 straight; box #7-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #7 over #5, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #2 over #4 ($1 straight; box #2-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #4, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #4 over #6 ($1 straight; box #4-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #6, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #5 over #7 ($1 straight; box #5-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #7, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #2 over #6 ($1 straight; box #2-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #2, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #5 over #4 ($1 straight; box #5-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #4, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #6 over #1 ($1 straight; box #6-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #1, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #6 over #7 ($1 straight; box #6-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #3, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic) Morning-line reliability: +0.39 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.95 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 5 | 3 – My Kinda Delite | 20/1 | — | 5.9% | +24.0% | 0.30% | $0.30 |
| 4 | 6 – Flying Miss | 20/1 | — | 5.9% | +23.7% | 0.30% | $0.30 |
| 1 | 2 – Messagefromheaven | 20/1 | — | 5.5% | +15.1% | 0.19% | $0.19 |
| 6 | 6 – Zultan | 20/1 | — | 5.2% | +9.5% | 0.12% | $0.12 |
| TOTAL across 4 plays: | 0.9% | $0.91 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 7 - American Witt (4/5) |
| Place: | 5 - I Conduit (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Sea Gold Go (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Pleasant Time (5/1), 6 - Special Gift (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Messagefromheaven (20/1), 4 - Oh So Bouncy (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-3-1-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-6-4-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $17,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Jacks Spring Break (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 - Calming Force (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 - Bati King (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Smokeintheair (7/1), 6 - Luka Grazie (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Complete Overhaul (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-3-5-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-1-6-3-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $16,500 | |
| Win: | 6 - Lab Rat (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 - Omaha Warrior (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 - The Ronald (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - No Show No Call (6/1), 4 - Burn Jakey Burn (2/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Ready For Anything (12/1), 1 - Soaringforthesun (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-5-2-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-7-3-1-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 7 - Neighneigh (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 - Layla's Song (6/5) |
| Show: | 3 - Maybe So (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Brown Liaison (12/1), 2 - Highlander Honey (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Flying Miss (20/1), 1 - Tia Suzi (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-3-2-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-7-4-2-6-3-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $40,000 | |
| Win: | 6 - Clippity Cop (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Mechanic Susie (1/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Rise Again (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - My Kinda Delite (20/1), 8 - Zibibbo (12/1), 7 - Catch The Dream (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Dreamin Out Loud (15/1), 4 - Point Maid (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-1-3-8-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-1-6-8-7-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 5 - Happy Camper (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 - Sarge's Sermon (5/1) |
| Show: | 4 - In Form (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Lexington River (8/1), 1 - Betterlucknexttime (6/1), 3 - Wrong Direction (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Zultan (20/1), 8 - Rugged Rooster (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-4-7-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-7-3-4-1-6-2-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $13,200 | |
| Win: | 6 - Tap The Parlay (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 - Arikara (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 - Mystic Song (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Cumberland Falls (8/1), 8 - Get My Drift (10/1), 3 - Not So Swift (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Indyetta (10/1), 7 - Sumitup (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-2-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-1-2-4-5-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 6 - Weekendindelmar (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 - Neytiri (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 - Apple Fest (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Counting On You (8/1), 5 - Haute Charlotte (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Casually Classy (15/1), 1 - Ms Bumblebee (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-7-5-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-4-3-1-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 7 - American Witt (4/5) |
| Place: | 5 - I Conduit (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Pleasant Time (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Sea Gold Go (6/1), 6 - Special Gift (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Messagefromheaven (20/1), 4 - Oh So Bouncy (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-1-3-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-6-4-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $17,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Jacks Spring Break (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 - Calming Force (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 - Luka Grazie (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Bati King (5/1), 5 - Smokeintheair (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Complete Overhaul (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-6-3-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-1-6-3-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $16,500 | |
| Win: | 3 - The Ronald (7/2) |
| Place: | 6 - Lab Rat (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 - Burn Jakey Burn (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Omaha Warrior (4/1), 2 - No Show No Call (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Soaringforthesun (15/1), 7 - Ready For Anything (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-4-5-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-7-3-1-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 5 - Layla's Song (6/5) |
| Place: | 7 - Neighneigh (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 - Highlander Honey (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Maybe So (6/1), 4 - Brown Liaison (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Flying Miss (20/1), 1 - Tia Suzi (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-3-2-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-7-4-2-6-3-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $40,000 | |
| Win: | 6 - Clippity Cop (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Mechanic Susie (1/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Rise Again (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Catch The Dream (6/1), 5 - Dreamin Out Loud (15/1), 8 - Zibibbo (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - My Kinda Delite (20/1), 4 - Point Maid (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-1-7-8-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-1-6-8-7-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 5 - Happy Camper (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 - In Form (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Betterlucknexttime (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Sarge's Sermon (5/1), 7 - Lexington River (8/1), 3 - Wrong Direction (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Zultan (20/1), 8 - Rugged Rooster (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-4-1-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-7-3-4-1-6-2-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $13,200 | |
| Win: | 6 - Tap The Parlay (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 - Arikara (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 - Cumberland Falls (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Mystic Song (7/2), 3 - Not So Swift (6/1), 4 - Indyetta (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - Get My Drift (10/1), 7 - Sumitup (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-5-1-3-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-1-2-4-5-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,200 | |
| Win: | 6 - Weekendindelmar (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 - Neytiri (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 - Apple Fest (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Counting On You (8/1), 5 - Haute Charlotte (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Casually Classy (15/1), 1 - Ms Bumblebee (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-3-5-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-4-3-1-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #7,#5 (61%) / R2: #2,#5,#4 (67%) / R3: #5,#4,#6 (61%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 25% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #2,#5,#4 (67%) / R3: #5,#4,#6 (61%) / R4: #5,#7,#3 (66%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 27% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #5,#4,#6 (61%) / R4: #5,#7,#3 (66%) / R5: #1,#2,#6 (69%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 28% |
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #5,#7,#3 (66%) / R5: #1,#2,#6 (69%) / R6: #2,#4,#5 (69%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 31% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #7,#5 (61%) / R2: #2,#5,#4 (67%) / R3: #5,#4,#6 (61%) / R4: #5,#7,#3 (66%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 16% |
| Pick 4 R3-6 | R3: #5,#4,#6 (61%) / R4: #5,#7,#3 (66%) / R5: #1,#2,#6 (69%) / R6: #2,#4,#5 (69%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 19% |
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| AMERICAN WITT | APPLE FEST | ARIKARA | BATI KING | BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME |
| BURN JAKEY BURN | CALMING FORCE | CASUALLY CLASSY | CATCH THE DREAM | CLIPPITY COP |
| COUNTING ON YOU | CUMBERLAND FALLS | DREAMIN OUT LOUD | FLYING MISS | GET MY DRIFT |
| HAUTE CHARLOTTE | HIGHLANDER HONEY | I CONDUIT | IN FORM | INDYETTA |
| LAB RAT | LAYLA'S SONG | LEXINGTON RIVER | LUKA GRAZIE | MAYBE SO |
| MESSAGEFROMHEAVEN | MS BUMBLEBEE | MY KINDA DELITE | MYSTIC SONG | NEIGHNEIGH |
| NO SHOW NO CALL | NOT SO SWIFT | OH SO BOUNCY | OMAHA WARRIOR | PLEASANT TIME |
| READY FOR ANYTHING | RISE AGAIN | RUGGED ROOSTER | SARGE'S SERMON | SEA GOLD GO |
| SOARINGFORTHESUN | SPECIAL GIFT | SUMITUP | TAP THE PARLAY | THE RONALD |
| WEEKENDINDELMAR | WRONG DIRECTION | ZIBIBBO | ZULTAN |
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