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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Belmont, November 15, 2026

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AI Morning Update — overnight changes applied

Our AI picks are computed the night before from the official past performances. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes — the same information the human experts have when they publish — and re-rank any affected race. In maiden races, where late money has the best record, Algo 2's morning pick follows the live betting favourite once the pool is open. Changes from last night's published picks are listed here.

TrackRaceModelNew Top PickWhy
BEL2Model Algo 1#1 – Ancient World1 scratch(es)
BEL2Model Algo 2 (Ensemble)#1 – Ancient World1 scratch(es)
BEL2Model Algo 3 (Win Prob)#1 – Ancient World1 scratch(es)
BEL2Model Weight set 3#1 – Ancient World1 scratch(es)
BEL4Model Weight set 2#4 – All Of Itsurface Turf → All Weather Track — off-track ranking applied
BEL7Model Weight set 2#2 – Fairy Godmothersurface Inner turf → All Weather Track — off-track ranking applied; 1 scratch(es)
BEL7Model Weight set 3#2 – Fairy Godmothersurface Inner turf → All Weather Track — off-track ranking applied; 1 scratch(es)
BEL8Model Weight set 3#3 – Italiannesurface Turf → All Weather Track — off-track ranking applied; 1 scratch(es)

Plays voided by scratches — these published value plays are officially scratched; win bets on them are refunds, so strike them from your card:

Where the experts back our strongest pick today

In 6 of today's 8 races, the published handicappers landed on the same horse as Algo 2, our best-performing model. Over the last 90 days (4,864 graded races), the races where they agreed won 37.8% of the time against 29.3% where they did not.

Today's agreement races — BEL 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 8.

Which horse the two agree on is part of Algo 2, included with Insider and above. The race numbers above are free to everyone: if you are playing these races, you now know the experts and our strongest model are pointing the same way.


Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

 

How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) at Belmont — win rate

How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 299 graded races at Belmont, 2026-09-18 to 2026-11-13.

0%11%22%33%44%Our top pick: 35.5% from 299 racesOur top pick35.5%Morning-line favourite: 31.8% from 299 racesMorning-line favourite31.8%

The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Our top pick35.5%299
Morning-line favourite31.8%299
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $100,000
◆ Strong spot — an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:5Okay Annie (9/5)
Place:7Into The Unknown (2/1)
Show:4It'sgoodtobequeen (7/2)
Other contenders:3All Bright (6/1), 6Hanna's Hideaway (8/1)
Rest of field:2Funny Gal (12/1), 1Seize The Storm (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 574362
🎯 Longshots: 5746321
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $58,000
◆ Strong spot — an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Pair Of Socks (5/2)
Place:1Ancient World (3/1)
Show:4Trust Issues (9/2)
Other contenders:2Princip (6/1), 7Burninhunkoflove (4/1)
Rest of field:6Big Hat Willie (6/1), 5Riyadh Moon (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 314276
🎯 Longshots: 3152476
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $80,000
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:4The Gabe Digger (5/2)
Place:7Toneacity (8/5)
Show:2Diamond Juan (6/1)
Other contenders:5Papa Vegas (8/1), 6Tan Man (6/1)
Rest of field:3Bet Bold (10/1), 1Nodin (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 472653
🎯 Longshots: 4756231
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $108,000
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:4All Of It (9/5)
Place:3Charlottesuniverse (2/1)
Show:7Boomington (5/1)
Other contenders:2Cosmic Candy Girl (4/1), 6Grace And Grit (8/1)
Rest of field:1My First Dinah (15/1), 5Hello Beauty (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 437261
🎯 Longshots: 4635271
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #7, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:9Jackson Heights (8/5)
Place:1Nantz (7/2)
Show:6Interlock Empire (6/1)
Other contenders:2Late Call (8/1), 3Fever Night (8/1), 5Petrolo (6/1)
Rest of field:4Go Irish (12/1), 8Ice Time (20/1), 7Laughing Boy (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 916235
🎯 Longshots: 932146857
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #1, #6, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $75,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
Win:2Inexorable (4/1)
Place:1Breslau (7/2)
Show:4Normandy Coast (9/2)
Other contenders:5Shoot The Nickel (9/2), 7Twenty Four Mamba (4/1)
Rest of field:3Castle Chaos (6/1), 6Barb (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 124573
🎯 Longshots: 5241763
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Inner Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $108,000
Win:2Fairy Godmother (5/2)
Place:9Brokealltherules (3/1)
Show:5Long Legged Queen (6/1)
Other contenders:1Disco Star (6/1), 4Lil' Regard (8/1), 8Sweet Montreal (6/1)
Rest of field:3She's Country (8/1), 6Oklahoma Smoke (12/1), 7Pinky Brier (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 295184
🎯 Longshots: 294653187
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #9, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $56,000
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Italianne (3/1)
Place:2Whatta Weekend (7/2)
Show:7Two Clicks (6/1)
Other contenders:4Suited Connectors (9/2), 8Raynham Hall (8/1), 9Force Of Mischief (8/1)
Rest of field:10Catholic Edition (10/1), 1Addagirl Addie (12/1), 5Amicus Curiae (15/1), 6Gallipoli Girl (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 327489
🎯 Longshots: 32897410156
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) at Belmont — win rate vs the experts

How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 253 graded races at Belmont, 2026-09-18 to 2026-11-13.

0%10%21%31%42%Our top pick: 33.2% from 253 racesOur top pick33.2%Expert consensus pick: 28.5% from 253 racesExpert consensus pick28.5%

The consensus is the weighted top pick of 25+ published handicappers. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Our top pick33.2%253
Expert consensus pick28.5%253
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $100,000
Win:5Okay Annie (9/5) 34% · fair 2-1
Place:7Into The Unknown (2/1) 31% · fair 2-1
Show:3All Bright (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1
Other contenders:4It'sgoodtobequeen (7/2) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -57%, 6Hanna's Hideaway (8/1) 7% · fair 29-2 underlay -44%
Rest of field:2Funny Gal (12/1) 2% · fair 44-1 underlay -73%, 1Seize The Storm (30/1) 1% · fair 130-1 underlay -77%
Race 1 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Okay Annie — 33.9% win probability, morning line 1.8/1Okay Annie33.9% ◀Into The Unknown — 31.3% win probability, morning line 2/1Into The Unknown31.3%All Bright — 14.4% win probability, morning line 6/1All Bright14.4%It'Sgoodtobequeen — 10.9% win probability, morning line 3.5/1It'Sgoodtobequeen10.9%Hanna'S Hideaway — 6.5% win probability, morning line 8/1Hanna'S Hideaway6.5%Funny Gal — 2.2% win probability, morning line 12/1Funny Gal2.2%Seize The Storm — 0.8% win probability, morning line 30/1Seize The Storm0.8%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Okay Annie33.9%1.8/1
Into The Unknown31.3%2/1
All Bright14.4%6/1
It'Sgoodtobequeen10.9%3.5/1
Hanna'S Hideaway6.5%8/1
Funny Gal2.2%12/1
Seize The Storm0.8%30/1
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherOkay Annie: model 33.9% vs market 28.0% (+5.9 points)Okay Annie+5.9Into The Unknown: model 31.3% vs market 26.1% (+5.1 points)Into The Unknown+5.1All Bright: model 14.4% vs market 11.2% (+3.2 points)All Bright+3.2It'Sgoodtobequeen: model 10.9% vs market 17.4% (-6.5 points)It'Sgoodtobequeen-6.5Hanna'S Hideaway: model 6.5% vs market 8.7% (-2.2 points)Hanna'S Hideaway-2.2Funny Gal: model 2.2% vs market 6.0% (-3.8 points)Funny Gal-3.8Seize The Storm: model 0.8% vs market 2.5% (-1.8 points)Seize The Storm-1.8

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Okay Annie33.9%28.0%+5.9
Into The Unknown31.3%26.1%+5.1
All Bright14.4%11.2%+3.2
It'Sgoodtobequeen10.9%17.4%-6.5
Hanna'S Hideaway6.5%8.7%-2.2
Funny Gal2.2%6.0%-3.8
Seize The Storm0.8%2.5%-1.8
🌧️ Off-track: 574362
🎯 Longshots: 5746321
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $58,000
Win:3Pair Of Socks (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -31%
Place:1Ancient World (3/1) 21% · fair 4-1
Show:4Trust Issues (9/2) 19% · fair 4-1
Other contenders:2Princip (6/1) 13% · fair 13-2, 7Burninhunkoflove (4/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -43%
Rest of field:6Big Hat Willie (6/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -42%, 5Riyadh Moon (12/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -54%
Race 2 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Pair Of Socks — 21.7% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Pair Of Socks21.7% ◀Ancient World — 20.6% win probability, morning line 3/1Ancient World20.6%Trust Issues — 19.5% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Trust Issues19.5%Princip — 13.2% win probability, morning line 6/1Princip13.2%Burninhunkoflove — 12.5% win probability, morning line 4/1Burninhunkoflove12.5%Big Hat Willie — 8.8% win probability, morning line 6/1Big Hat Willie8.8%Riyadh Moon — 3.7% win probability, morning line 12/1Riyadh Moon3.7%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Pair Of Socks21.7%2.5/1
Ancient World20.6%3/1
Trust Issues19.5%4.5/1
Princip13.2%6/1
Burninhunkoflove12.5%4/1
Big Hat Willie8.8%6/1
Riyadh Moon3.7%12/1
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherPair Of Socks: model 21.7% vs market 22.3% (-0.6 points)Pair Of Socks-0.6Ancient World: model 20.6% vs market 19.5% (+1.1 points)Ancient World+1.1Trust Issues: model 19.5% vs market 14.2% (+5.3 points)Trust Issues+5.3Princip: model 13.2% vs market 11.2% (+2.0 points)Princip+2.0Burninhunkoflove: model 12.5% vs market 15.6% (-3.2 points)Burninhunkoflove-3.2Big Hat Willie: model 8.8% vs market 11.2% (-2.3 points)Big Hat Willie-2.3Riyadh Moon: model 3.7% vs market 6.0% (-2.3 points)Riyadh Moon-2.3

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Pair Of Socks21.7%22.3%-0.6
Ancient World20.6%19.5%+1.1
Trust Issues19.5%14.2%+5.3
Princip13.2%11.2%+2.0
Burninhunkoflove12.5%15.6%-3.2
Big Hat Willie8.8%11.2%-2.3
Riyadh Moon3.7%6.0%-2.3
🌧️ Off-track: 314726
🎯 Longshots: 3152476
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $80,000
Win:4The Gabe Digger (5/2) 37% · fair 3-2 overlay +46%
Place:7Toneacity (8/5) 19% · fair 4-1 underlay -61%
Show:2Diamond Juan (6/1) 16% · fair 11-2
Other contenders:5Papa Vegas (8/1) 11% · fair 17-2, 6Tan Man (6/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -55%
Rest of field:3Bet Bold (10/1) 6% · fair 17-1 underlay -41%, 1Nodin (8/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -61%
Race 3 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

The Gabe Digger — 36.9% win probability, morning line 2.5/1The Gabe Digger36.9% ◀Toneacity — 19.5% win probability, morning line 1.6/1Toneacity19.5%Diamond Juan — 15.8% win probability, morning line 6/1Diamond Juan15.8%Papa Vegas — 10.6% win probability, morning line 8/1Papa Vegas10.6%Tan Man — 7.0% win probability, morning line 6/1Tan Man7.0%Bet Bold — 5.6% win probability, morning line 10/1Bet Bold5.6%Nodin — 4.6% win probability, morning line 8/1Nodin4.6%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
The Gabe Digger36.9%2.5/1
Toneacity19.5%1.6/1
Diamond Juan15.8%6/1
Papa Vegas10.6%8/1
Tan Man7.0%6/1
Bet Bold5.6%10/1
Nodin4.6%8/1
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherThe Gabe Digger: model 36.9% vs market 22.5% (+14.4 points)The Gabe Digger+14.4Toneacity: model 19.5% vs market 30.3% (-10.8 points)Toneacity-10.8Diamond Juan: model 15.8% vs market 11.3% (+4.5 points)Diamond Juan+4.5Papa Vegas: model 10.6% vs market 8.8% (+1.8 points)Papa Vegas+1.8Tan Man: model 7.0% vs market 11.3% (-4.3 points)Tan Man-4.3Bet Bold: model 5.6% vs market 7.2% (-1.6 points)Bet Bold-1.6Nodin: model 4.6% vs market 8.8% (-4.1 points)Nodin-4.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
The Gabe Digger36.9%22.5%+14.4
Toneacity19.5%30.3%-10.8
Diamond Juan15.8%11.3%+4.5
Papa Vegas10.6%8.8%+1.8
Tan Man7.0%11.3%-4.3
Bet Bold5.6%7.2%-1.6
Nodin4.6%8.8%-4.1
🌧️ Off-track: 472651
🎯 Longshots: 4756231
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $108,000
Win:4All Of It (9/5) 30% · fair 5-2
Place:3Charlottesuniverse (2/1) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -42%
Show:7Boomington (5/1) 21% · fair 7-2 overlay +35%
Other contenders:2Cosmic Candy Girl (4/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -49%, 6Grace And Grit (8/1) 10% · fair 19-2
Rest of field:5Hello Beauty (20/1) 3% · fair 34-1 underlay -41%, 1My First Dinah (15/1) 2% · fair 97-2 underlay -69%
Race 4 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

All Of It — 30.2% win probability, morning line 1.8/1All Of It30.2% ◀Charlottesuniverse — 22.6% win probability, morning line 2/1Charlottesuniverse22.6%Boomington — 21.3% win probability, morning line 5/1Boomington21.3%Cosmic Candy Girl — 11.4% win probability, morning line 4/1Cosmic Candy Girl11.4%Grace And Grit — 9.6% win probability, morning line 8/1Grace And Grit9.6%Hello Beauty — 2.9% win probability, morning line 20/1Hello Beauty2.9%My First Dinah — 2.0% win probability, morning line 15/1My First Dinah2.0%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
All Of It30.2%1.8/1
Charlottesuniverse22.6%2/1
Boomington21.3%5/1
Cosmic Candy Girl11.4%4/1
Grace And Grit9.6%8/1
Hello Beauty2.9%20/1
My First Dinah2.0%15/1
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherAll Of It: model 30.2% vs market 27.9% (+2.2 points)All Of It+2.2Charlottesuniverse: model 22.6% vs market 26.1% (-3.4 points)Charlottesuniverse-3.4Boomington: model 21.3% vs market 13.0% (+8.2 points)Boomington+8.2Cosmic Candy Girl: model 11.4% vs market 15.6% (-4.2 points)Cosmic Candy Girl-4.2Grace And Grit: model 9.6% vs market 8.7% (+0.9 points)Grace And Grit+0.9Hello Beauty: model 2.9% vs market 3.7% (-0.9 points)Hello Beauty-0.9My First Dinah: model 2.0% vs market 4.9% (-2.9 points)My First Dinah-2.9

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
All Of It30.2%27.9%+2.2
Charlottesuniverse22.6%26.1%-3.4
Boomington21.3%13.0%+8.2
Cosmic Candy Girl11.4%15.6%-4.2
Grace And Grit9.6%8.7%+0.9
Hello Beauty2.9%3.7%-0.9
My First Dinah2.0%4.9%-2.9
🌧️ Off-track: 437261
🎯 Longshots: 4635271
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #7, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000
Win:9Jackson Heights (8/5) 28% · fair 5-2 underlay -38%
Place:1Nantz (7/2) 19% · fair 4-1
Show:6Interlock Empire (6/1) 17% · fair 9-2 overlay +27%
Other contenders:2Late Call (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2, 3Fever Night (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 5Petrolo (6/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -56%
Rest of field:4Go Irish (12/1) 6% · fair 16-1, 8Ice Time (20/1) 3% · fair 61-2 underlay -35%, 7Laughing Boy (30/1) 1% · fair 89-1 underlay -66%
Race 5 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Jackson Heights — 27.8% win probability, morning line 1.6/1Jackson Heights27.8% ◀Nantz — 19.3% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Nantz19.3%Interlock Empire — 17.5% win probability, morning line 6/1Interlock Empire17.5%Late Call — 9.5% win probability, morning line 8/1Late Call9.5%Fever Night — 8.8% win probability, morning line 8/1Fever Night8.8%Petrolo — 6.8% win probability, morning line 6/1Petrolo6.8%Go Irish — 5.9% win probability, morning line 12/1Go Irish5.9%Ice Time — 3.2% win probability, morning line 20/1Ice Time3.2%Laughing Boy — 1.1% win probability, morning line 30/1Laughing Boy1.1%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Jackson Heights27.8%1.6/1
Nantz19.3%3.5/1
Interlock Empire17.5%6/1
Late Call9.5%8/1
Fever Night8.8%8/1
Petrolo6.8%6/1
Go Irish5.9%12/1
Ice Time3.2%20/1
Laughing Boy1.1%30/1
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherJackson Heights: model 27.8% vs market 30.2% (-2.4 points)Jackson Heights-2.4Nantz: model 19.3% vs market 17.5% (+1.8 points)Nantz+1.8Interlock Empire: model 17.5% vs market 11.2% (+6.2 points)Interlock Empire+6.2Late Call: model 9.5% vs market 8.7% (+0.8 points)Late Call+0.8Fever Night: model 8.8% vs market 8.7% (+0.1 points)Fever Night+0.1Petrolo: model 6.8% vs market 11.2% (-4.4 points)Petrolo-4.4Go Irish: model 5.9% vs market 6.0% (-0.1 points)Go Irish-0.1Ice Time: model 3.2% vs market 3.7% (-0.6 points)Ice Time-0.6Laughing Boy: model 1.1% vs market 2.5% (-1.4 points)Laughing Boy-1.4

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Jackson Heights27.8%30.2%-2.4
Nantz19.3%17.5%+1.8
Interlock Empire17.5%11.2%+6.2
Late Call9.5%8.7%+0.8
Fever Night8.8%8.7%+0.1
Petrolo6.8%11.2%-4.4
Go Irish5.9%6.0%-0.1
Ice Time3.2%3.7%-0.6
Laughing Boy1.1%2.5%-1.4
🌧️ Off-track: 916523
🎯 Longshots: 932146857
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #1, #6, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $75,000
Win:5Shoot The Nickel (9/2) 20% · fair 4-1
Place:4Normandy Coast (9/2) 18% · fair 9-2
Show:1Breslau (7/2) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -37%
Other contenders:2Inexorable (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -29%, 7Twenty Four Mamba (4/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -44%
Rest of field:3Castle Chaos (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -33%, 6Barb (6/1) 10% · fair 19-2 underlay -36%
Race 6 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Shoot The Nickel — 20.0% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Shoot The Nickel20.0% ◀Normandy Coast — 17.9% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Normandy Coast17.9%Breslau — 15.2% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Breslau15.2%Inexorable — 15.0% win probability, morning line 4/1Inexorable15.0%Twenty Four Mamba — 12.3% win probability, morning line 4/1Twenty Four Mamba12.3%Castle Chaos — 10.0% win probability, morning line 6/1Castle Chaos10.0%Barb — 9.6% win probability, morning line 6/1Barb9.6%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Shoot The Nickel20.0%4.5/1
Normandy Coast17.9%4.5/1
Breslau15.2%3.5/1
Inexorable15.0%4/1
Twenty Four Mamba12.3%4/1
Castle Chaos10.0%6/1
Barb9.6%6/1
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherShoot The Nickel: model 20.0% vs market 14.3% (+5.7 points)Shoot The Nickel+5.7Normandy Coast: model 17.9% vs market 14.3% (+3.6 points)Normandy Coast+3.6Breslau: model 15.2% vs market 17.5% (-2.3 points)Breslau-2.3Inexorable: model 15.0% vs market 15.7% (-0.7 points)Inexorable-0.7Twenty Four Mamba: model 12.3% vs market 15.7% (-3.5 points)Twenty Four Mamba-3.5Castle Chaos: model 10.0% vs market 11.2% (-1.2 points)Castle Chaos-1.2Barb: model 9.6% vs market 11.2% (-1.7 points)Barb-1.7

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Shoot The Nickel20.0%14.3%+5.7
Normandy Coast17.9%14.3%+3.6
Breslau15.2%17.5%-2.3
Inexorable15.0%15.7%-0.7
Twenty Four Mamba12.3%15.7%-3.5
Castle Chaos10.0%11.2%-1.2
Barb9.6%11.2%-1.7
🌧️ Off-track: 541273
🎯 Longshots: 5241763
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Inner Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $108,000
Win:2Fairy Godmother (5/2) 34% · fair 2-1 overlay +30%
Place:5Long Legged Queen (6/1) 21% · fair 4-1 overlay +57%
Show:9Brokealltherules (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -40%
Other contenders:1Disco Star (6/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -47%, 4Lil' Regard (8/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -45%, 8Sweet Montreal (6/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -62%
Rest of field:3She's Country (8/1) 3% · fair 57-2 underlay -72%, 6Oklahoma Smoke (12/1) 3% · fair 29-1 underlay -58%, 7Pinky Brier (30/1) 1% · fair 71-1 underlay -58%
Race 7 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Fairy Godmother — 34.2% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Fairy Godmother34.2% ◀Long Legged Queen — 20.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Long Legged Queen20.7%Brokealltherules — 16.6% win probability, morning line 3/1Brokealltherules16.6%Disco Star — 8.1% win probability, morning line 6/1Disco Star8.1%Lil' Regard — 6.4% win probability, morning line 8/1Lil' Regard6.4%Sweet Montreal — 5.9% win probability, morning line 6/1Sweet Montreal5.9%She'S Country — 3.4% win probability, morning line 8/1She'S Country3.4%Oklahoma Smoke — 3.3% win probability, morning line 12/1Oklahoma Smoke3.3%Pinky Brier — 1.4% win probability, morning line 30/1Pinky Brier1.4%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Fairy Godmother34.2%2.5/1
Long Legged Queen20.7%6/1
Brokealltherules16.6%3/1
Disco Star8.1%6/1
Lil' Regard6.4%8/1
Sweet Montreal5.9%6/1
She'S Country3.4%8/1
Oklahoma Smoke3.3%12/1
Pinky Brier1.4%30/1
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherFairy Godmother: model 34.2% vs market 22.1% (+12.1 points)Fairy Godmother+12.1Long Legged Queen: model 20.7% vs market 11.0% (+9.7 points)Long Legged Queen+9.7Brokealltherules: model 16.6% vs market 19.3% (-2.7 points)Brokealltherules-2.7Disco Star: model 8.1% vs market 11.0% (-3.0 points)Disco Star-3.0Lil' Regard: model 6.4% vs market 8.6% (-2.2 points)Lil' Regard-2.2Sweet Montreal: model 5.9% vs market 11.0% (-5.1 points)Sweet Montreal-5.1She'S Country: model 3.4% vs market 8.6% (-5.2 points)She'S Country-5.2Oklahoma Smoke: model 3.3% vs market 5.9% (-2.6 points)Oklahoma Smoke-2.6Pinky Brier: model 1.4% vs market 2.5% (-1.1 points)Pinky Brier-1.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Fairy Godmother34.2%22.1%+12.1
Long Legged Queen20.7%11.0%+9.7
Brokealltherules16.6%19.3%-2.7
Disco Star8.1%11.0%-3.0
Lil' Regard6.4%8.6%-2.2
Sweet Montreal5.9%11.0%-5.1
She'S Country3.4%8.6%-5.2
Oklahoma Smoke3.3%5.9%-2.6
Pinky Brier1.4%2.5%-1.1
🌧️ Off-track: 295184
🎯 Longshots: 294653187
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #9, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $56,000
Win:3Italianne (3/1) 21% · fair 7-2
Place:2Whatta Weekend (7/2) 19% · fair 9-2
Show:7Two Clicks (6/1) 16% · fair 5-1
Other contenders:4Suited Connectors (9/2) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -37%, 8Raynham Hall (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 9Force Of Mischief (8/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -44%
Rest of field:1Addagirl Addie (12/1) 6% · fair 17-1 underlay -30%, 10Catholic Edition (10/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -51%, 5Amicus Curiae (15/1) 2% · fair 41-1 underlay -63%, 6Gallipoli Girl (30/1) 1% · fair 91-1 underlay -67%
Race 8 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Italianne — 21.3% win probability, morning line 3/1Italianne21.3% ◀Whatta Weekend — 18.8% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Whatta Weekend18.8%Two Clicks — 16.3% win probability, morning line 6/1Two Clicks16.3%Suited Connectors — 12.4% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Suited Connectors12.4%Raynham Hall — 11.1% win probability, morning line 8/1Raynham Hall11.1%Force Of Mischief — 6.5% win probability, morning line 8/1Force Of Mischief6.5%Addagirl Addie — 5.5% win probability, morning line 12/1Addagirl Addie5.5%Catholic Edition — 4.7% win probability, morning line 10/1Catholic Edition4.7%Amicus Curiae — 2.4% win probability, morning line 15/1Amicus Curiae2.4%Gallipoli Girl — 1.1% win probability, morning line 30/1Gallipoli Girl1.1%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Italianne21.3%3/1
Whatta Weekend18.8%3.5/1
Two Clicks16.3%6/1
Suited Connectors12.4%4.5/1
Raynham Hall11.1%8/1
Force Of Mischief6.5%8/1
Addagirl Addie5.5%12/1
Catholic Edition4.7%10/1
Amicus Curiae2.4%15/1
Gallipoli Girl1.1%30/1
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherItalianne: model 21.3% vs market 19.5% (+1.8 points)Italianne+1.8Whatta Weekend: model 18.8% vs market 17.3% (+1.4 points)Whatta Weekend+1.4Two Clicks: model 16.3% vs market 11.1% (+5.1 points)Two Clicks+5.1Suited Connectors: model 12.4% vs market 14.2% (-1.8 points)Suited Connectors-1.8Raynham Hall: model 11.1% vs market 8.7% (+2.5 points)Raynham Hall+2.5Force Of Mischief: model 6.5% vs market 8.7% (-2.2 points)Force Of Mischief-2.2Addagirl Addie: model 5.5% vs market 6.0% (-0.5 points)Addagirl Addie-0.5Catholic Edition: model 4.7% vs market 7.1% (-2.4 points)Catholic Edition-2.4Amicus Curiae: model 2.4% vs market 4.9% (-2.5 points)Amicus Curiae-2.5Gallipoli Girl: model 1.1% vs market 2.5% (-1.4 points)Gallipoli Girl-1.4

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Italianne21.3%19.5%+1.8
Whatta Weekend18.8%17.3%+1.4
Two Clicks16.3%11.1%+5.1
Suited Connectors12.4%14.2%-1.8
Raynham Hall11.1%8.7%+2.5
Force Of Mischief6.5%8.7%-2.2
Addagirl Addie5.5%6.0%-0.5
Catholic Edition4.7%7.1%-2.4
Amicus Curiae2.4%4.9%-2.5
Gallipoli Girl1.1%2.5%-1.4
🌧️ Off-track: 327489
🎯 Longshots: 32897410156
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
Algo 1 (Weighted Rating) at Belmont — win rate vs the experts

How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 255 graded races at Belmont, 2026-09-18 to 2026-11-13.

0%10%20%30%40%Our top pick: 31.8% from 255 racesOur top pick31.8%Expert consensus pick: 28.2% from 255 racesExpert consensus pick28.2%

The consensus is the weighted top pick of 25+ published handicappers. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Our top pick31.8%255
Expert consensus pick28.2%255
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $100,000
Win:5Okay Annie (9/5)
Place:7Into The Unknown (2/1)
Show:3All Bright (6/1)
Other contenders:4It'sgoodtobequeen (7/2), 6Hanna's Hideaway (8/1)
Rest of field:2Funny Gal (12/1), 1Seize The Storm (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 574362
🎯 Longshots: 5746321
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $58,000
Win:3Pair Of Socks (5/2)
Place:1Ancient World (3/1)
Show:4Trust Issues (9/2)
Other contenders:2Princip (6/1), 7Burninhunkoflove (4/1)
Rest of field:6Big Hat Willie (6/1), 5Riyadh Moon (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 314726
🎯 Longshots: 3152476
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $80,000
Win:4The Gabe Digger (5/2)
Place:7Toneacity (8/5)
Show:2Diamond Juan (6/1)
Other contenders:5Papa Vegas (8/1), 3Bet Bold (10/1)
Rest of field:6Tan Man (6/1), 1Nodin (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 742653
🎯 Longshots: 4756231
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $108,000
Win:4All Of It (9/5)
Place:3Charlottesuniverse (2/1)
Show:2Cosmic Candy Girl (4/1)
Other contenders:7Boomington (5/1), 6Grace And Grit (8/1)
Rest of field:5Hello Beauty (20/1), 1My First Dinah (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 432761
🎯 Longshots: 4635271
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #2, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000
Win:9Jackson Heights (8/5)
Place:6Interlock Empire (6/1)
Show:1Nantz (7/2)
Other contenders:2Late Call (8/1), 5Petrolo (6/1), 4Go Irish (12/1)
Rest of field:3Fever Night (8/1), 8Ice Time (20/1), 7Laughing Boy (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 916523
🎯 Longshots: 932146857
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #6, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $75,000
Win:2Inexorable (4/1)
Place:1Breslau (7/2)
Show:4Normandy Coast (9/2)
Other contenders:5Shoot The Nickel (9/2), 7Twenty Four Mamba (4/1)
Rest of field:6Barb (6/1), 3Castle Chaos (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 124576
🎯 Longshots: 5241763
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Inner Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $108,000
Win:2Fairy Godmother (5/2)
Place:9Brokealltherules (3/1)
Show:5Long Legged Queen (6/1)
Other contenders:8Sweet Montreal (6/1), 4Lil' Regard (8/1), 3She's Country (8/1)
Rest of field:1Disco Star (6/1), 6Oklahoma Smoke (12/1), 7Pinky Brier (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 295814
🎯 Longshots: 294653187
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #9, #5, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $56,000
Win:3Italianne (3/1)
Place:7Two Clicks (6/1)
Show:2Whatta Weekend (7/2)
Other contenders:4Suited Connectors (9/2), 8Raynham Hall (8/1), 9Force Of Mischief (8/1)
Rest of field:10Catholic Edition (10/1), 5Amicus Curiae (15/1), 1Addagirl Addie (12/1), 6Gallipoli Girl (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 324789
🎯 Longshots: 32897410156
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #2, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #5 over #7 ($1 straight; box #5-#7 for cover)
Trifecta: #7 over #5, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #3 over #1 ($1 straight; box #3-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #1, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #7 over #4 ($1 straight; box #7-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #7, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #4 over #3 ($1 straight; box #4-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #3, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #9 over #1 ($1 straight; box #9-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #9 over #1, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #5 over #4 ($1 straight; box #5-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #1, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #2 over #9 ($1 straight; box #2-#9 for cover)
Trifecta: #9 over #2, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #3 over #2 ($1 straight; box #3-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #3, #7, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $100,000
Win:5Okay Annie (9/5)
Place:7Into The Unknown (2/1)
Show:4It'sgoodtobequeen (7/2)
Other contenders:3All Bright (6/1), 2Funny Gal (12/1)
Rest of field:6Hanna's Hideaway (8/1), 1Seize The Storm (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 574362
🎯 Longshots: 5746321
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $58,000
Win:1Ancient World (3/1)
Place:3Pair Of Socks (5/2)
Show:4Trust Issues (9/2)
Other contenders:7Burninhunkoflove (4/1), 2Princip (6/1)
Rest of field:5Riyadh Moon (12/1), 6Big Hat Willie (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 134726
🎯 Longshots: 3152476
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #4, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $80,000
Win:4The Gabe Digger (5/2)
Place:5Papa Vegas (8/1)
Show:7Toneacity (8/5)
Other contenders:2Diamond Juan (6/1), 6Tan Man (6/1)
Rest of field:3Bet Bold (10/1), 1Nodin (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 475261
🎯 Longshots: 4756231
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #7, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $108,000
Win:3Charlottesuniverse (2/1)
Place:4All Of It (9/5)
Show:6Grace And Grit (8/1)
Other contenders:7Boomington (5/1), 2Cosmic Candy Girl (4/1)
Rest of field:5Hello Beauty (20/1), 1My First Dinah (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 437261
🎯 Longshots: 4635271
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #6, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000
Win:9Jackson Heights (8/5)
Place:2Late Call (8/1)
Show:1Nantz (7/2)
Other contenders:6Interlock Empire (6/1), 5Petrolo (6/1), 3Fever Night (8/1)
Rest of field:4Go Irish (12/1), 8Ice Time (20/1), 7Laughing Boy (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 916253
🎯 Longshots: 932146857
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $75,000
Win:2Inexorable (4/1)
Place:1Breslau (7/2)
Show:4Normandy Coast (9/2)
Other contenders:5Shoot The Nickel (9/2), 7Twenty Four Mamba (4/1)
Rest of field:6Barb (6/1), 3Castle Chaos (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 214576
🎯 Longshots: 5241763
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Inner Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $108,000
Win:9Brokealltherules (3/1)
Place:2Fairy Godmother (5/2)
Show:4Lil' Regard (8/1)
Other contenders:5Long Legged Queen (6/1), 1Disco Star (6/1), 8Sweet Montreal (6/1)
Rest of field:6Oklahoma Smoke (12/1), 3She's Country (8/1), 7Pinky Brier (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 295418
🎯 Longshots: 294653187
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $56,000
Win:2Whatta Weekend (7/2)
Place:9Force Of Mischief (8/1)
Show:3Italianne (3/1)
Other contenders:7Two Clicks (6/1), 4Suited Connectors (9/2), 5Amicus Curiae (15/1)
Rest of field:8Raynham Hall (8/1), 1Addagirl Addie (12/1), 10Catholic Edition (10/1), 6Gallipoli Girl (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 234798
🎯 Longshots: 32897410156
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #9, #3, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $100,000
Win:7Into The Unknown (2/1)
Place:5Okay Annie (9/5)
Show:3All Bright (6/1)
Other contenders:4It'sgoodtobequeen (7/2), 6Hanna's Hideaway (8/1)
Rest of field:2Funny Gal (12/1), 1Seize The Storm (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 754362
🎯 Longshots: 5746321
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $58,000
Win:3Pair Of Socks (5/2)
Place:1Ancient World (3/1)
Show:4Trust Issues (9/2)
Other contenders:2Princip (6/1), 7Burninhunkoflove (4/1)
Rest of field:6Big Hat Willie (6/1), 5Riyadh Moon (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 314726
🎯 Longshots: 3152476
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $80,000
Win:4The Gabe Digger (5/2)
Place:7Toneacity (8/5)
Show:2Diamond Juan (6/1)
Other contenders:5Papa Vegas (8/1), 3Bet Bold (10/1)
Rest of field:6Tan Man (6/1), 1Nodin (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 742653
🎯 Longshots: 4756231
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $108,000
Win:4All Of It (9/5)
Place:3Charlottesuniverse (2/1)
Show:7Boomington (5/1)
Other contenders:2Cosmic Candy Girl (4/1), 6Grace And Grit (8/1)
Rest of field:5Hello Beauty (20/1), 1My First Dinah (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 432761
🎯 Longshots: 4635271
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #7, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000
Win:9Jackson Heights (8/5)
Place:1Nantz (7/2)
Show:6Interlock Empire (6/1)
Other contenders:2Late Call (8/1), 5Petrolo (6/1), 3Fever Night (8/1)
Rest of field:4Go Irish (12/1), 8Ice Time (20/1), 7Laughing Boy (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 916253
🎯 Longshots: 932146857
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #1, #6, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $75,000
Win:2Inexorable (4/1)
Place:1Breslau (7/2)
Show:4Normandy Coast (9/2)
Other contenders:5Shoot The Nickel (9/2), 3Castle Chaos (6/1)
Rest of field:7Twenty Four Mamba (4/1), 6Barb (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 124573
🎯 Longshots: 5241763
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Inner Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $108,000
Win:9Brokealltherules (3/1)
Place:2Fairy Godmother (5/2)
Show:5Long Legged Queen (6/1)
Other contenders:1Disco Star (6/1), 8Sweet Montreal (6/1), 3She's Country (8/1)
Rest of field:4Lil' Regard (8/1), 6Oklahoma Smoke (12/1), 7Pinky Brier (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 295183
🎯 Longshots: 294653187
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $56,000
Win:2Whatta Weekend (7/2)
Place:3Italianne (3/1)
Show:7Two Clicks (6/1)
Other contenders:8Raynham Hall (8/1), 9Force Of Mischief (8/1), 4Suited Connectors (9/2)
Rest of field:10Catholic Edition (10/1), 5Amicus Curiae (15/1), 1Addagirl Addie (12/1), 6Gallipoli Girl (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 327489
🎯 Longshots: 32897410156
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #7, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets – Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R1-3R1: #5,#7 (65%) / R2: #3,#1,#4 (62%) / R3: #4,#7,#2 (72%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 29%
Pick 3 R2-4R2: #3,#1,#4 (62%) / R3: #4,#7,#2 (72%) / R4: #4,#3,#7 (74%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 33%
Pick 3 R3-5R3: #4,#7,#2 (72%) / R4: #4,#3,#7 (74%) / R5: #9,#1,#6 (65%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 35%
Pick 3 R4-6R4: #4,#3,#7 (74%) / R5: #9,#1,#6 (65%) / R6: #5,#4,#1 (53%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 25%
Pick 4 R1-4R1: #5,#7 (65%) / R2: #3,#1,#4 (62%) / R3: #4,#7,#2 (72%) / R4: #4,#3,#7 (74%)
$54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 22%
Pick 4 R2-5R2: #3,#1,#4 (62%) / R3: #4,#7,#2 (72%) / R4: #4,#3,#7 (74%) / R5: #9,#1,#6 (65%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21%
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
ADDAGIRL ADDIEALL BRIGHTALL OF ITAMICUS CURIAEANCIENT WORLD
BET BOLDBIG HAT WILLIEBOOMINGTONBRESLAUBROKEALLTHERULES
CASTLE CHAOSCATHOLIC EDITIONCHARLOTTESUNIVERSECOSMIC CANDY GIRLDIAMOND JUAN
FAIRY GODMOTHERFEVER NIGHTFORCE OF MISCHIEFFUNNY GALGALLIPOLI GIRL
GRACE AND GRITHANNA'S HIDEAWAYHELLO BEAUTYICE TIMEINEXORABLE
INTO THE UNKNOWNIT'SGOODTOBEQUEENITALIANNEJACKSON HEIGHTSLATE CALL
LIL' REGARDLONG LEGGED QUEENMY FIRST DINAHNANTZNODIN
OKAY ANNIEOKLAHOMA SMOKEPAIR OF SOCKSPAPA VEGASPETROLO
PRINCIPRAYNHAM HALLRIYADH MOONSEIZE THE STORMSHE'S COUNTRY
SUITED CONNECTORSSWEET MONTREALTAN MANTHE GABE DIGGERTONEACITY
TWENTY FOUR MAMBATWO CLICKSWHATTA WEEKEND

 


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