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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Amador (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Roadswitcher (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Durable (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Brahms Halo (3/1), 4 – Tlahuicole (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-2-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-3-5 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Stay Beautiful (4/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Long Tail Sally (8/5) |
| Show: | 5 – Sweet Star (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Spun To Purfection (3/1), 1 – Better Have Cash (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-4-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-5-2-1 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – Imtakinittothebank (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Mighty Mo (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Free America (8/5) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Noahs Ark (8/1), 4 – Say It Ain't So (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-1-2-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 8 – Homie (9/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Overhaul (20/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Personal Creed (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Collator (6/1), 3 – Zen It (5/2), 5 – Sir Liam (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Iknowyoucanwait (7/2), 9 – Moon Charger (8/1), 4 – Midnight Tequila (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-6-5-8-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-8-1-2-9-4-7 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 3 – Chasing Gray (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Saki Bomb (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – State Park (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – The Town Tap (7/2), 1 – Something Fast (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-4-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-2-1-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Rock N Roll Bolt (7/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Del Mo (9/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Authoritarian (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Golden Reign (8/1), 6 – Garden Leave (5/2), 8 – Skipper's Pride (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Race Day Rebal (12/1), 2 – Major Sparks (12/1), 5 – Crowned Jewel (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-3-4-6-2-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-8-7-6-4-9-2-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Delightful Cat (7/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Lipstick N Lashes (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Tale Of The Lyon (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Kozy Night (5/2), 2 – Be Kozy (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Ronni's Wind (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-4-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-6-3-2-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 1 – Temple Temptress (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Flaming Mama (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Luck Of The Day (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Ellada Fireball (20/1), 5 – Stevie Rae (5/1), 6 – Union Empress (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Cairosa (8/5), 8 – Easy Peasy Girl (20/1), 9 – Tiz A Princess (8/1), 10 – Teralee's Charm (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-8-2-6-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-9-1-2-6-5-3-8-4-10 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Amador (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Roadswitcher (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Durable (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Tlahuicole (4/1), 3 – Brahms Halo (3/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-2-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-3-5 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Stay Beautiful (4/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Long Tail Sally (8/5) |
| Show: | 5 – Sweet Star (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Spun To Purfection (3/1), 1 – Better Have Cash (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-5-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-5-2-1 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Free America (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Imtakinittothebank (9/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Mighty Mo (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Noahs Ark (8/1), 4 – Say It Ain't So (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-3-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-1-2-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Collator (6/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Iknowyoucanwait (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Personal Creed (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Homie (9/2), 3 – Zen It (5/2), 9 – Moon Charger (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Overhaul (20/1), 5 – Sir Liam (10/1), 4 – Midnight Tequila (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-6-5-2-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-8-1-2-9-4-7 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Saki Bomb (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Chasing Gray (8/5) |
| Show: | 2 – State Park (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – The Town Tap (7/2), 1 – Something Fast (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-4-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-2-1-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Rock N Roll Bolt (7/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Golden Reign (8/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Del Mo (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Garden Leave (5/2), 7 – Race Day Rebal (12/1), 8 – Skipper's Pride (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Authoritarian (6/1), 2 – Major Sparks (12/1), 5 – Crowned Jewel (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-3-4-6-2-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-8-7-6-4-9-2-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Delightful Cat (7/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Lipstick N Lashes (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Tale Of The Lyon (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Kozy Night (5/2), 2 – Be Kozy (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Ronni's Wind (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-2-4-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-6-3-2-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 1 – Temple Temptress (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Flaming Mama (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Luck Of The Day (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Ellada Fireball (20/1), 5 – Stevie Rae (5/1), 6 – Union Empress (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Cairosa (8/5), 8 – Easy Peasy Girl (20/1), 9 – Tiz A Princess (8/1), 10 – Teralee's Charm (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-8-2-6-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-9-1-2-6-5-3-8-4-10 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Amador (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Roadswitcher (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Brahms Halo (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Tlahuicole (4/1), 5 – Durable (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-3-5 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Stay Beautiful (4/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Sweet Star (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Long Tail Sally (8/5) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Spun To Purfection (3/1), 1 – Better Have Cash (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-5-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-5-2-1 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – Imtakinittothebank (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Free America (8/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Mighty Mo (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Noahs Ark (8/1), 4 – Say It Ain't So (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-5-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-1-2-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sir Liam (10/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Zen It (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Personal Creed (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Iknowyoucanwait (7/2), 8 – Homie (9/2), 2 – Collator (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Moon Charger (8/1), 7 – Overhaul (20/1), 4 – Midnight Tequila (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-5-6-8-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-8-1-2-9-4-7 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Saki Bomb (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Chasing Gray (8/5) |
| Show: | 5 – The Town Tap (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – State Park (4/1), 1 – Something Fast (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-2-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-2-1-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Rock N Roll Bolt (7/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Garden Leave (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Del Mo (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Authoritarian (6/1), 1 – Golden Reign (8/1), 7 – Race Day Rebal (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Skipper's Pride (8/1), 2 – Major Sparks (12/1), 5 – Crowned Jewel (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-3-4-6-2-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-8-7-6-4-9-2-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Lipstick N Lashes (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Delightful Cat (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Kozy Night (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Tale Of The Lyon (5/1), 2 – Be Kozy (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Ronni's Wind (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-4-2-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-6-3-2-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 1 – Temple Temptress (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Flaming Mama (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Luck Of The Day (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Ellada Fireball (20/1), 5 – Stevie Rae (5/1), 6 – Union Empress (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Cairosa (8/5), 8 – Easy Peasy Girl (20/1), 9 – Tiz A Princess (8/1), 10 – Teralee's Charm (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-8-2-6-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-9-1-2-6-5-3-8-4-10 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 26, FPS: 51, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 35, Mid Pace: 22, Late Pace: 43, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 51, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 51, All Races: 56, Best Race: 27, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots with positive calibrated edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 8 | 3 – Luck Of The Day | 10/1 | 13.7% | +51.1% | 1.28% | $2.55 |
| 4 | 5 – Sir Liam | 10/1 | 13.6% | +49.5% | 1.24% | $2.47 |
| 8 | 8 – Easy Peasy Girl | 20/1 | 6.4% | +34.0% | 0.43% | $0.85 |
| 6 | 5 – Crowned Jewel | 15/1 | 8.3% | +33.6% | 0.56% | $1.12 |
| 6 | 2 – Major Sparks | 12/1 | 8.9% | +15.1% | 0.31% | $0.63 |
| 6 | 7 – Race Day Rebal | 12/1 | 8.7% | +13.4% | 0.28% | $0.56 |
| 8 | 2 – Flaming Mama | 12/1 | 8.4% | +9.2% | 0.19% | $0.38 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| AMADOR | AUTHORITARIAN | BE KOZY | BETTER HAVE CASH | BRAHMS HALO |
| CHASING GRAY | COLLATOR | CROWNED JEWEL | DEL MO | DELIGHTFUL CAT |
| EASY PEASY GIRL | ELLADA FIREBALL | FLAMING MAMA | FREE AMERICA | GARDEN LEAVE |
| HOMIE | IKNOWYOUCANWAIT | IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK | KOZY NIGHT | LIPSTICK N LASHES |
| LUCK OF THE DAY | MAJOR SPARKS | MIDNIGHT TEQUILA | MIGHTY MO | MOON CHARGER |
| OVERHAUL | PERSONAL CREED | RACE DAY REBAL | ROADSWITCHER | ROCK N ROLL BOLT |
| SAKI BOMB | SAY IT AIN'T SO | SIR LIAM | SKIPPER'S PRIDE | SOMETHING FAST |
| STATE PARK | STAY BEAUTIFUL | STEVIE RAE | SWEET STAR | TALE OF THE LYON |
| TERALEE'S CHARM | THE TOWN TAP | TIZ A PRINCESS | TLAHUICOLE | UNION EMPRESS |
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