How did these picks do?
Results for this card as of 8:26 AM, graded from the official charts. Each row is that section's top pick in every race with a result; races still pending are not counted. The full week is in the weekly recap.
| Section | Races graded | Won | 2nd | 3rd | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algo 1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 29% |
| Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 29% |
| Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25% |
| Experimental Weight Set 2 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12% |
| Experimental Weight Set 3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14% |
Kelly Edge Plays: 2 flagged longshot(s) graded, 0 won, 1 finished in the money.
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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $21,300 | |
| Win: | 3 – Lightning Speed (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Sweet Kylie (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Low Standards (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Cousin Joe (5/1), 5 – Buckeye Mike (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-1-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-2-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Humor Sense (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Councilwoman Jilly (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Neutral Cause (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Step Lightly (5/1), 2 – Market Of Stocks (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-3-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 4 – Going Streakin (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Rose Rita (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Push My Button (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – True Class (4/1), 2 – Maggie (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-3-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 1 – All Jokes Aside (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Ready To Pounce (7/5) |
| Show: | 5 – Molto Vivace (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Scoville Unit (5/2), 4 – My Dominator (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Stay Frosty (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-2-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-4-5-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Gleeful (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – The Pretty One (8/5) |
| Show: | 5 – Nueva Luna (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Unkept Promises (8/1), 1 – Better Have Cash (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Willowy (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-3-5-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-5-6-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 7 – Shane Falco (2/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Baytown Anubis (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Palagio (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Ora Certa (6/1), 4 – Spuns Son (10/1), 2 – White Blue (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Strike Price (20/1), 3 – American Bear (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-2-4-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-8-5-4-2-3-6-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – That Thing You Do (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – I'm Hungover (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Little Juanita (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Maca Abarrio (8/1), 5 – Panic Mode (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Court Costs (20/1), 6 – Bizy Dreamin (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-5-2-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-4-6-1-5-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Blue Coast (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Moogie Son (7/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Major Sparks (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Assiduously (8/1), 9 – Juanita's Express (5/1), 2 – Casanova Kitten (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Caballo Feliz (12/1), 7 – Authoritarian (15/1), 1 – New Year Surprise (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-3-8-9-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-8-5-9-6-2-7-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #8, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $21,300 | |
| Win: | 3 – Lightning Speed (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Sweet Kylie (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Low Standards (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Cousin Joe (5/1), 5 – Buckeye Mike (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-4-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-2-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Humor Sense (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Neutral Cause (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Councilwoman Jilly (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Step Lightly (5/1), 2 – Market Of Stocks (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-4-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 4 – Going Streakin (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Rose Rita (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Push My Button (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – True Class (4/1), 2 – Maggie (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-3-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ready To Pounce (7/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Molto Vivace (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Scoville Unit (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – All Jokes Aside (9/2), 4 – My Dominator (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Stay Frosty (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-5-3-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-4-5-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – The Pretty One (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Gleeful (9/5) |
| Show: | 5 – Nueva Luna (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Unkept Promises (8/1), 2 – Willowy (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Better Have Cash (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-3-5-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-5-6-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 7 – Shane Falco (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Palagio (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Baytown Anubis (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Ora Certa (6/1), 4 – Spuns Son (10/1), 3 – American Bear (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – White Blue (12/1), 1 – Strike Price (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-5-4-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-8-5-4-2-3-6-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #8, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – I'm Hungover (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – That Thing You Do (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Little Juanita (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Panic Mode (4/1), 2 – Maca Abarrio (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Bizy Dreamin (15/1), 7 – Court Costs (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-3-5-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-4-6-1-5-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Moogie Son (7/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Major Sparks (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Blue Coast (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Juanita's Express (5/1), 4 – Assiduously (8/1), 6 – Caballo Feliz (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Casanova Kitten (12/1), 1 – New Year Surprise (20/1), 7 – Authoritarian (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-3-9-8-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-8-5-9-6-2-7-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #8, #5, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $21,300 | |
| Win: | 3 – Lightning Speed (8/5) 34% · fair 2-1 |
| Place: | 1 – Sweet Kylie (2/1) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -30% |
| Show: | 2 – Low Standards (5/2) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -35% |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Cousin Joe (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -25%, 5 – Buckeye Mike (12/1) 7% · fair 29-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-3-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-2-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Neutral Cause (2/1) 40% · fair 3-2 overlay +33% |
| Place: | 5 – Councilwoman Jilly (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -28% |
| Show: | 4 – Humor Sense (9/5) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -62% |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Step Lightly (5/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 2 – Market Of Stocks (15/1) 6% · fair 31-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-4-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 4 – Going Streakin (2/1) 28% · fair 5-2 |
| Place: | 1 – Rose Rita (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1 |
| Show: | 3 – Push My Button (3/1) 23% · fair 7-2 |
| Other contenders: | 5 – True Class (4/1) 16% · fair 5-1, 2 – Maggie (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-3-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-3-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ready To Pounce (7/5) 32% · fair 2-1 underlay -33% |
| Place: | 6 – Scoville Unit (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -31% |
| Show: | 1 – All Jokes Aside (9/2) 15% · fair 6-1 |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Molto Vivace (7/2) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -40%, 4 – My Dominator (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1 |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Stay Frosty (20/1) 5% · fair 18-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-3-5-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-4-5-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – The Pretty One (8/5) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -43% |
| Place: | 4 – Gleeful (9/5) 25% · fair 3-1 underlay -40% |
| Show: | 5 – Nueva Luna (7/2) 22% · fair 7-2 |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Unkept Promises (8/1) 11% · fair 15-2, 2 – Willowy (15/1) 8% · fair 11-1 overlay +35% |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Better Have Cash (12/1) 7% · fair 13-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-3-5-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-5-6-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 7 – Shane Falco (2/1) 30% · fair 5-2 |
| Place: | 6 – Palagio (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1 |
| Show: | 8 – Baytown Anubis (3/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -44% |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Ora Certa (6/1) 13% · fair 13-2, 4 – Spuns Son (10/1) 8% · fair 12-1, 2 – White Blue (12/1) 6% · fair 15-1 |
| Rest of field: | 3 – American Bear (15/1) 6% · fair 33-2, 1 – Strike Price (20/1) 4% · fair 45-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-7-4-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-8-5-4-2-3-6-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #8, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – I'm Hungover (5/2) 34% · fair 2-1 overlay +27% |
| Place: | 4 – That Thing You Do (3/1) 19% · fair 4-1 underlay -28% |
| Show: | 1 – Little Juanita (7/2) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -39% |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Panic Mode (4/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -39%, 6 – Bizy Dreamin (15/1) 8% · fair 23-2 overlay +31% |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Maca Abarrio (8/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -38%, 7 – Court Costs (20/1) 4% · fair 26-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-3-5-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-4-6-1-5-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Moogie Son (7/2) 21% · fair 4-1 |
| Place: | 8 – Major Sparks (4/1) 18% · fair 9-2 |
| Show: | 5 – Blue Coast (3/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -52% |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Assiduously (8/1) 13% · fair 13-2, 9 – Juanita's Express (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -31%, 7 – Authoritarian (15/1) 6% · fair 16-1 |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Caballo Feliz (12/1) 5% · fair 35-2 underlay -31%, 1 – New Year Surprise (20/1) 5% · fair 37-2, 2 – Casanova Kitten (12/1) 5% · fair 19-1 underlay -36% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-3-9-8-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-8-5-9-6-2-7-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #8, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #3 over #1 ($1 straight; box #3-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #1, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #4 over #5 ($1 straight; box #4-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #4 over #1 ($1 straight; box #4-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #4, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #2 over #6 ($1 straight; box #2-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #1, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #3 over #4 ($1 straight; box #3-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #4, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #7 over #8 ($1 straight; box #7-#8 for cover) Trifecta: #7 over #8, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #3 over #4 ($1 straight; box #3-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #3, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #3 over #5 ($1 straight; box #3-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #8, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic) Morning-line reliability: +0.37 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.88 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 8 | 1 – New Year Surprise | 20/1 | — | 5.5% | +12.9% | 0.16% | $0.16 |
| 6 | 3 – American Bear | 15/1 | — | 6.9% | +9.3% | 0.16% | $0.16 |
| TOTAL across 2 plays: | 0.3% | $0.32 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $21,300 | |
| Win: | 3 - Lightning Speed (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 - Sweet Kylie (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 - Low Standards (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Cousin Joe (5/1), 5 - Buckeye Mike (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-2-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-2-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 3 - Neutral Cause (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 - Humor Sense (9/5) |
| Show: | 5 - Councilwoman Jilly (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Step Lightly (5/1), 2 - Market Of Stocks (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-5-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 1 - Rose Rita (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 - Going Streakin (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 - True Class (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Push My Button (3/1), 2 - Maggie (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-3-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-3-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 2 - Ready To Pounce (7/5) |
| Place: | 5 - Molto Vivace (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 - All Jokes Aside (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Scoville Unit (5/2), 4 - My Dominator (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Stay Frosty (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-2-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-4-5-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 3 - The Pretty One (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 - Gleeful (9/5) |
| Show: | 5 - Nueva Luna (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Unkept Promises (8/1), 2 - Willowy (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Better Have Cash (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-2-5-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-5-6-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 7 - Shane Falco (2/1) |
| Place: | 8 - Baytown Anubis (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 - Palagio (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - American Bear (15/1), 5 - Ora Certa (6/1), 2 - White Blue (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Spuns Son (10/1), 1 - Strike Price (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-2-4-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-8-5-4-2-3-6-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 4 - That Thing You Do (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 - Little Juanita (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 - I'm Hungover (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Panic Mode (4/1), 2 - Maca Abarrio (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Bizy Dreamin (15/1), 7 - Court Costs (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-5-2-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-4-6-1-5-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 3 - Moogie Son (7/2) |
| Place: | 5 - Blue Coast (3/1) |
| Show: | 8 - Major Sparks (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Casanova Kitten (12/1), 4 - Assiduously (8/1), 9 - Juanita's Express (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Caballo Feliz (12/1), 1 - New Year Surprise (20/1), 7 - Authoritarian (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-4-8-9-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-8-5-9-6-2-7-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #8, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $21,300 | |
| Win: | 3 - Lightning Speed (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 - Sweet Kylie (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 - Low Standards (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Cousin Joe (5/1), 5 - Buckeye Mike (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-1-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-2-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 4 - Humor Sense (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 - Councilwoman Jilly (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 - Neutral Cause (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Step Lightly (5/1), 2 - Market Of Stocks (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-3-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 1 - Rose Rita (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 - Going Streakin (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Push My Button (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - True Class (4/1), 2 - Maggie (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-3-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 2 - Ready To Pounce (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 - All Jokes Aside (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 - Molto Vivace (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Scoville Unit (5/2), 4 - My Dominator (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Stay Frosty (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-6-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-4-5-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 3 - The Pretty One (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 - Gleeful (9/5) |
| Show: | 5 - Nueva Luna (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Unkept Promises (8/1), 1 - Better Have Cash (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Willowy (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-2-5-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-5-6-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $9,600 | |
| Win: | 7 - Shane Falco (2/1) |
| Place: | 8 - Baytown Anubis (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 - Palagio (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Ora Certa (6/1), 4 - Spuns Son (10/1), 3 - American Bear (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - White Blue (12/1), 1 - Strike Price (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-2-4-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-8-5-4-2-3-6-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 4 - That Thing You Do (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 - I'm Hungover (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 - Maca Abarrio (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Little Juanita (7/2), 5 - Panic Mode (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Bizy Dreamin (15/1), 7 - Court Costs (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-2-5-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-4-6-1-5-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $8,000 | |
| Win: | 3 - Moogie Son (7/2) |
| Place: | 8 - Major Sparks (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 - Blue Coast (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Assiduously (8/1), 9 - Juanita's Express (5/1), 2 - Casanova Kitten (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Caballo Feliz (12/1), 1 - New Year Surprise (20/1), 7 - Authoritarian (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-4-8-9-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-8-5-9-6-2-7-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #8, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #3,#1,#2 (80%) / R2: #3,#5 (62%) / R3: #4,#1,#3 (75%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 38% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #3,#5 (62%) / R3: #4,#1,#3 (75%) / R4: #2,#6,#1 (69%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 32% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #4,#1,#3 (75%) / R4: #2,#6,#1 (69%) / R5: #3,#4,#5 (73%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 38% |
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #2,#6,#1 (69%) / R5: #3,#4,#5 (73%) / R6: #7,#6,#8 (63%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 32% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #3,#1,#2 (80%) / R2: #3,#5 (62%) / R3: #4,#1,#3 (75%) / R4: #2,#6,#1 (69%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 26% |
| Pick 4 R2-5 | R2: #3,#5 (62%) / R3: #4,#1,#3 (75%) / R4: #2,#6,#1 (69%) / R5: #3,#4,#5 (73%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 24% |
| ALL JOKES ASIDE | AMERICAN BEAR | ASSIDUOUSLY | AUTHORITARIAN | BAYTOWN ANUBIS |
| BIZY DREAMIN | BLUE COAST | BUCKEYE MIKE | CABALLO FELIZ | CASANOVA KITTEN |
| COURT COSTS | COUSIN JOE | GLEEFUL | GOING STREAKIN | HUMOR SENSE |
| JUANITA'S EXPRESS | LIGHTNING SPEED | LITTLE JUANITA | LOW STANDARDS | MACA ABARRIO |
| MAJOR SPARKS | MARKET OF STOCKS | MOLTO VIVACE | MOOGIE SON | MY DOMINATOR |
| NEW YEAR SURPRISE | NUEVA LUNA | ORA CERTA | PALAGIO | PANIC MODE |
| READY TO POUNCE | ROSE RITA | SCOVILLE UNIT | SHANE FALCO | SPUNS SON |
| STEP LIGHTLY | STRIKE PRICE | SWEET KYLIE | THAT THING YOU DO | THE PRETTY ONE |
| UNKEPT PROMISES | WHITE BLUE | WILLOWY |
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