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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $3,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Westover Sunset (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Root Beer Paul (8/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Irish Writ (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Hillybilly Hot Rod (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $3,250 | |
| Win: | 5 – Moonshining (15/1) |
| Place: | 4 – My Little Caibo (4/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Pro Special (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Extremely Wicked (2/1), 3 – Goodbye Now (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Nana Moon (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-6-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $5,500 | |
| Win: | 6 – Ridin Solo (12/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Wednesday At Shady (6/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Osage Creek (4/5) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Gogo Oxbow (2/1), 2 – Take My Money (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mindshare (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-4-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-6-5-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $5,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sheza Delight (4/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Secret Hottie (10/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Voices Of Autism (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Ima Trouble Maker (2/1), 3 – Guarding Elk Camp (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Midship Molly (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-1-4-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-6-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $7,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Without Equal (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Northern Quest (9/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Wocka Wocka (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Calculated Luv (7/2), 4 – Bayou Chrome (5/1), 8 – Sophie's Painter (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Godsend (8/1), 2 – Fort Charles (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-5-4-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-8-5-7-4-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $3,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Root Beer Paul (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Irish Writ (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Hillybilly Hot Rod (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Westover Sunset (3/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $3,250 | |
| Win: | 6 – Extremely Wicked (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – My Little Caibo (4/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Pro Special (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Nana Moon (10/1), 3 – Goodbye Now (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Moonshining (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-4-1-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $5,500 | |
| Win: | 4 – Osage Creek (4/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Gogo Oxbow (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Wednesday At Shady (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Take My Money (10/1), 6 – Ridin Solo (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mindshare (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-3-6-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-6-5-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $5,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sheza Delight (4/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Ima Trouble Maker (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Voices Of Autism (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Secret Hottie (10/1), 3 – Guarding Elk Camp (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Midship Molly (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-6-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-6-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $7,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Without Equal (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Calculated Luv (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Northern Quest (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bayou Chrome (5/1), 3 – Godsend (8/1), 8 – Sophie's Painter (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Wocka Wocka (6/1), 2 – Fort Charles (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-7-4-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-8-5-7-4-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $3,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Root Beer Paul (8/5) 34% · fair 2-1 |
| Place: | 4 – Irish Writ (2/1) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -31% |
| Show: | 1 – Hillybilly Hot Rod (7/2) 23% · fair 7-2 |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Westover Sunset (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -37% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $3,250 | |
| Win: | 6 – Extremely Wicked (2/1) 34% · fair 2-1 |
| Place: | 4 – My Little Caibo (4/5) 27% · fair 5-2 underlay -70% |
| Show: | 1 – Pro Special (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2 |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Nana Moon (10/1) 10% · fair 17-2, 5 – Moonshining (15/1) 9% · fair 10-1 overlay +50% |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Goodbye Now (12/1) 7% · fair 25-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-4-1-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $5,500 | |
| Win: | 4 – Osage Creek (4/5) 33% · fair 2-1 underlay -60% |
| Place: | 1 – Gogo Oxbow (2/1) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -30% |
| Show: | 5 – Wednesday At Shady (6/1) 20% · fair 4-1 overlay +53% |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Ridin Solo (12/1) 8% · fair 23-2, 2 – Take My Money (10/1) 8% · fair 12-1 |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mindshare (15/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -26% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-5-6-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-6-5-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $5,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sheza Delight (4/5) 47% · fair 1-1 underlay -28% |
| Place: | 4 – Ima Trouble Maker (2/1) 27% · fair 5-2 underlay -27% |
| Show: | 6 – Secret Hottie (10/1) 9% · fair 10-1 |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Guarding Elk Camp (12/1) 7% · fair 27-2, 1 – Voices Of Autism (6/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -64% |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Midship Molly (15/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -33% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-6-3-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-6-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $7,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Without Equal (3/1) 25% · fair 3-1 |
| Place: | 5 – Calculated Luv (7/2) 22% · fair 7-2 |
| Show: | 7 – Northern Quest (9/2) 16% · fair 5-1 |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bayou Chrome (5/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -44%, 8 – Sophie's Painter (10/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 3 – Godsend (8/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -40% |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Wocka Wocka (6/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -57%, 2 – Fort Charles (12/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -25% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-5-7-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-8-5-7-4-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #3 over #4 ($1 straight; box #3-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #4, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #4 over #6 ($1 straight; box #4-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #6, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #4 over #1 ($1 straight; box #4-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #1, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #5 over #4 ($1 straight; box #5-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #4, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #1 over #5 ($1 straight; box #1-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #5, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $3,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Root Beer Paul (8/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Westover Sunset (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Irish Writ (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Hillybilly Hot Rod (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $3,250 | |
| Win: | 4 – My Little Caibo (4/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Extremely Wicked (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Moonshining (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Pro Special (6/1), 3 – Goodbye Now (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Nana Moon (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-6-1-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $5,500 | |
| Win: | 1 – Gogo Oxbow (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Wednesday At Shady (6/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Osage Creek (4/5) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Take My Money (10/1), 6 – Ridin Solo (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mindshare (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-4-2-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-6-5-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $5,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sheza Delight (4/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Ima Trouble Maker (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Secret Hottie (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Voices Of Autism (6/1), 3 – Guarding Elk Camp (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Midship Molly (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-6-1-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-6-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $7,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Without Equal (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Calculated Luv (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Bayou Chrome (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Northern Quest (9/2), 8 – Sophie's Painter (10/1), 3 – Godsend (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Wocka Wocka (6/1), 2 – Fort Charles (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-4-7-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-8-5-7-4-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $3,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Root Beer Paul (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Irish Writ (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Westover Sunset (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Hillybilly Hot Rod (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $3,250 | |
| Win: | 4 – My Little Caibo (4/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Extremely Wicked (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Moonshining (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Pro Special (6/1), 3 – Goodbye Now (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Nana Moon (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-6-1-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $5,500 | |
| Win: | 4 – Osage Creek (4/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Gogo Oxbow (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Wednesday At Shady (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Ridin Solo (12/1), 2 – Take My Money (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mindshare (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-4-6-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-6-5-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $5,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sheza Delight (4/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Ima Trouble Maker (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Secret Hottie (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Voices Of Autism (6/1), 3 – Guarding Elk Camp (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Midship Molly (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-6-1-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-6-3-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $7,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Without Equal (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Calculated Luv (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Bayou Chrome (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Northern Quest (9/2), 8 – Sophie's Painter (10/1), 6 – Wocka Wocka (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Godsend (8/1), 2 – Fort Charles (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-4-7-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-8-5-7-4-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| BAYOU CHROME | BW JUST A RUGER | CALCULATED LUV | CASH ME LEW | CD DASH OF AN ANGEL |
| EM NIGHTHAWK | EMPERADOR MOCTEZUMA | EXTREMELY WICKED | FIVE FIVE SIX | FLIPPINFAST |
| GODSEND | GOGO OXBOW | GOODBYE NOW | GUARDING ELK CAMP | HILLYBILLY HOT ROD |
| IRISH WRIT | JETTASTICS DIAMOND | JP SUPERSTAR | LEO DASH | MIDSHIP MOLLY |
| MOONSHINING | MY LITTLE CAIBO | MZ WHISKY | NANA MOON | NORTHERN QUEST |
| OZARK MOUNTAIN | PRO SPECIAL | RIDIN SOLO | ROCKY RETURNS | ROOT BEER PAUL |
| RTM MY TURN | SECRET HOTTIE | SHEZA DELIGHT | SLOW DOWN SUMMER | SOPHIE'S PAINTER |
| STREAKARUN | TAKE MY MONEY | VOICES OF AUTISM | WEDNESDAY AT SHADY | WESTOVER SUNSET |
| WOCKA WOCKA |
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