How did these picks do?
Results for this card as of 8:14 AM, graded from the official charts. Each row is that section's top pick in every race with a result; races still pending are not counted. The full week is in the weekly recap.
| Section | Races graded | Won | 2nd | 3rd | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algo 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 33% |
| Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 40% |
| Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Experimental Weight Set 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Experimental Weight Set 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17% |
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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 2 – Little Trouble (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Silent Runner (9/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Moral Dilemma (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Zoffarelli (4/1), 3 – Summer In Adriane (6/1), 8 – Lord Knows (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Jackie Paper (8/1), 7 – Sir Exton (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-1-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-8-5-1-7-6-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,500 | |
| Win: | 6 – Private Speaker (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Cachinnation (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Rhythm Ready (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Cowboy Killer (3/1), 2 – Radio Charlie (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Honorable Mischief (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-1-5-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-3-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ann Alee (7/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Jocasta (3/1) |
| Show: | 10 – Everything Bugs Me (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Sahara Kara (9/2), 4 – Arijana's Pearl (10/1), 6 – Martynas' Joy (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Tour Queen (6/1), 1 – Mendelssohns Comet (15/1), 9 – Morgs World (15/1), 8 – Mitole Princess (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-10-3-4-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-7-5-4-8-1-2-9-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #10, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Fun Lovin Guy (5/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Jackfire (9/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Rockin Powerhouse (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Belmont Shore (7/2), 12 – Ima Complex Guy (8/1), 7 – Marq Loantree (15/1), 3 – Nobel Nonsense (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Glorious Liaison (12/1), 9 – Band Of Sons (12/1), 11 – Irish Liaison (20/1), 4 – J. L. Break (12/1), 6 – T. A.'s Dancer (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-2-8-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-8-1-3-12-5-7-4-6-9-2-11 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #2, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 3/8 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Victorious Vanda (2/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Mendelssohn Joy (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Bizzee Channel (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Van Ginkel (6/1), 9 – Treble Clef (8/1), 5 – Mansoura (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Found Jordan (8/1), 2 – Ramblingamblinman (15/1), 3 – High Ransom (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-3-4-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-9-8-4-7-5-2-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $10,500 | |
| Win: | 8 – Maywood Honor (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Minnesota Rose (9/2) |
| Show: | 12 – Blues Cross (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Instant Love (8/1), 10 – Magica (12/1), 2 – Midnight Joy (5/1), 4 – Heavenly Tactic (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Dancing Boots (15/1), 1 – Beautiful Judge (20/1), 5 – Charging Darling (10/1), 3 – Alltail (20/1), 11 – Annaline (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-10-12-8-4-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-7-8-4-12-6-2-5-9-11-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #12, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Zatara (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Batter Up (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – R N R Audible (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Outofthedark (6/1), 6 – Spun Not Stirred (5/1), 8 – Dancing Porky (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Dual Monarchy (8/1), 2 – Knick's Honor (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-7-5-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-8-4-2-6-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 2 – Little Trouble (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Zoffarelli (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Moral Dilemma (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Silent Runner (9/2), 3 – Summer In Adriane (6/1), 1 – Jackie Paper (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Lord Knows (8/1), 7 – Sir Exton (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-3-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-8-5-1-7-6-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,500 | |
| Win: | 6 – Private Speaker (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Cachinnation (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Cowboy Killer (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Rhythm Ready (9/2), 1 – Honorable Mischief (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Radio Charlie (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-6-5-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-3-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ann Alee (7/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Jocasta (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Tour Queen (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Sahara Kara (9/2), 4 – Arijana's Pearl (10/1), 10 – Everything Bugs Me (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Martynas' Joy (6/1), 1 – Mendelssohns Comet (15/1), 8 – Mitole Princess (15/1), 9 – Morgs World (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-10-4-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-7-5-4-8-1-2-9-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 8 – Belmont Shore (7/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Fun Lovin Guy (5/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Nobel Nonsense (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Rockin Powerhouse (6/1), 5 – Jackfire (9/2), 12 – Ima Complex Guy (8/1), 10 – Glorious Liaison (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Marq Loantree (15/1), 6 – T. A.'s Dancer (15/1), 9 – Band Of Sons (12/1), 4 – J. L. Break (12/1), 11 – Irish Liaison (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-3-2-5-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-8-1-3-12-5-7-4-6-9-2-11 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #1, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 3/8 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Victorious Vanda (2/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Mendelssohn Joy (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Bizzee Channel (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Treble Clef (8/1), 6 – Van Ginkel (6/1), 4 – Found Jordan (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Ramblingamblinman (15/1), 5 – Mansoura (12/1), 3 – High Ransom (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-3-4-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-9-8-4-7-5-2-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #7, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $10,500 | |
| Win: | 8 – Maywood Honor (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Minnesota Rose (9/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Midnight Joy (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Instant Love (8/1), 4 – Heavenly Tactic (8/1), 10 – Magica (12/1), 12 – Blues Cross (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Charging Darling (10/1), 9 – Dancing Boots (15/1), 1 – Beautiful Judge (20/1), 3 – Alltail (20/1), 11 – Annaline (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-10-12-4-9-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-7-8-4-12-6-2-5-9-11-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #2, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Zatara (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Batter Up (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – R N R Audible (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Outofthedark (6/1), 6 – Spun Not Stirred (5/1), 1 – Dual Monarchy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Dancing Porky (10/1), 2 – Knick's Honor (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-7-2-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-8-4-2-6-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 2 – Little Trouble (3/1) 19% · fair 4-1 underlay -29% |
| Place: | 4 – Zoffarelli (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1 |
| Show: | 6 – Moral Dilemma (7/2) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -32% |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Silent Runner (9/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -33%, 1 – Jackie Paper (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 3 – Summer In Adriane (6/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -31% |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Lord Knows (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 7 – Sir Exton (15/1) 4% · fair 24-1 underlay -38% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-3-5-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-8-5-1-7-6-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,500 | |
| Win: | 6 – Private Speaker (9/5) 30% · fair 5-2 |
| Place: | 3 – Rhythm Ready (9/2) 17% · fair 5-1 |
| Show: | 5 – Cowboy Killer (3/1) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -48% |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Cachinnation (4/1) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -36%, 2 – Radio Charlie (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -31% |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Honorable Mischief (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-5-6-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-3-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 7 – Jocasta (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -33% |
| Place: | 5 – Ann Alee (7/2) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -39% |
| Show: | 3 – Tour Queen (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2 |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Everything Bugs Me (10/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 2 – Sahara Kara (9/2) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -46%, 6 – Martynas' Joy (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -33% |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Arijana's Pearl (10/1) 8% · fair 12-1, 9 – Morgs World (15/1) 7% · fair 27-2, 1 – Mendelssohns Comet (15/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -28%, 8 – Mitole Princess (15/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -34% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-10-4-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-7-5-4-8-1-2-9-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #3, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Rockin Powerhouse (6/1) 17% · fair 5-1 |
| Place: | 8 – Belmont Shore (7/2) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -39% |
| Show: | 1 – Fun Lovin Guy (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2 |
| Other contenders: | 12 – Ima Complex Guy (8/1) 10% · fair 19-2, 5 – Jackfire (9/2) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -55%, 3 – Nobel Nonsense (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 7 – Marq Loantree (15/1) 8% · fair 12-1 overlay +26% |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Glorious Liaison (12/1) 6% · fair 15-1, 9 – Band Of Sons (12/1) 6% · fair 17-1 underlay -29%, 11 – Irish Liaison (20/1) 4% · fair 51-2, 6 – T. A.'s Dancer (15/1) 3% · fair 71-2 underlay -58%, 4 – J. L. Break (12/1) 1% · fair 137-2 underlay -82% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-8-1-5-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-8-1-3-12-5-7-4-6-9-2-11 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #8, #1, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 3/8 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 8 – Mendelssohn Joy (7/2) 20% · fair 4-1 |
| Place: | 1 – Victorious Vanda (2/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -55% |
| Show: | 7 – Bizzee Channel (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -30% |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Treble Clef (8/1) 14% · fair 6-1 overlay +29%, 6 – Van Ginkel (6/1) 13% · fair 13-2, 2 – Ramblingamblinman (15/1) 5% · fair 35-2 |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Found Jordan (8/1) 5% · fair 35-2 underlay -54%, 5 – Mansoura (12/1) 5% · fair 35-2 underlay -32%, 3 – High Ransom (15/1) 3% · fair 31-1 underlay -52% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-3-4-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-9-8-4-7-5-2-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #1, #7, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $10,500 | |
| Win: | 8 – Maywood Honor (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -40% |
| Place: | 2 – Midnight Joy (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -30% |
| Show: | 6 – Minnesota Rose (9/2) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -41% |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Instant Love (8/1) 10% · fair 17-2, 12 – Blues Cross (8/1) 10% · fair 19-2, 10 – Magica (12/1) 10% · fair 19-2 overlay +29%, 4 – Heavenly Tactic (8/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -35% |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Dancing Boots (15/1) 6% · fair 33-2, 5 – Charging Darling (10/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -50%, 11 – Annaline (15/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -33%, 1 – Beautiful Judge (20/1) 4% · fair 23-1, 3 – Alltail (20/1) 3% · fair 30-1 underlay -33% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-10-12-4-9-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-7-8-4-12-6-2-5-9-11-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #2, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Batter Up (7/2) 19% · fair 9-2 |
| Place: | 3 – Zatara (2/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -60% |
| Show: | 5 – R N R Audible (9/2) 16% · fair 5-1 |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Outofthedark (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 6 – Spun Not Stirred (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2, 8 – Dancing Porky (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2 |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Dual Monarchy (8/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -43%, 2 – Knick's Honor (12/1) 6% · fair 17-1 underlay -30% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-7-4-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-8-4-2-6-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #2 over #4 ($1 straight; box #2-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #5, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #6 over #4 ($1 straight; box #6-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #4, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #5 over #7 ($1 straight; box #5-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #7 over #5, #2, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #8 over #1 ($1 straight; box #8-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #5, #8, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #1 over #8 ($1 straight; box #1-#8 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #7, #8, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #8 over #6 ($1 straight; box #8-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #8 over #10, #12, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #3 over #4 ($1 straight; box #3-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #4, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic) Morning-line reliability: +0.39 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.95 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 6 | 10 – Magica | 12/1 | — | 9.8% | +26.9% | 0.56% | $0.56 |
| TOTAL across 1 play: | 0.6% | $0.56 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 2 - Little Trouble (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 - Zoffarelli (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 - Silent Runner (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Moral Dilemma (7/2), 3 - Summer In Adriane (6/1), 1 - Jackie Paper (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - Lord Knows (8/1), 7 - Sir Exton (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-1-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-8-5-1-7-6-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,500 | |
| Win: | 6 - Private Speaker (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 - Cachinnation (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Rhythm Ready (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Cowboy Killer (3/1), 1 - Honorable Mischief (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Radio Charlie (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-1-5-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-3-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 7 - Jocasta (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 - Ann Alee (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 - Arijana's Pearl (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10 - Everything Bugs Me (10/1), 3 - Tour Queen (6/1), 2 - Sahara Kara (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Martynas' Joy (6/1), 8 - Mitole Princess (15/1), 9 - Morgs World (15/1), 1 - Mendelssohns Comet (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-10-4-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-7-5-4-8-1-2-9-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #4, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 8 - Belmont Shore (7/2) |
| Place: | 1 - Fun Lovin Guy (5/1) |
| Show: | 5 - Jackfire (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 12 - Ima Complex Guy (8/1), 2 - Rockin Powerhouse (6/1), 3 - Nobel Nonsense (8/1), 10 - Glorious Liaison (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Marq Loantree (15/1), 9 - Band Of Sons (12/1), 6 - T. A.'s Dancer (15/1), 11 - Irish Liaison (20/1), 4 - J. L. Break (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-5-2-3-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-8-1-3-12-5-7-4-6-9-2-11 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #1, #5, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 3/8 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 8 - Mendelssohn Joy (7/2) |
| Place: | 1 - Victorious Vanda (2/1) |
| Show: | 7 - Bizzee Channel (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 - Treble Clef (8/1), 4 - Found Jordan (8/1), 6 - Van Ginkel (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - High Ransom (15/1), 2 - Ramblingamblinman (15/1), 5 - Mansoura (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-4-3-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-9-8-4-7-5-2-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #1, #7, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $10,500 | |
| Win: | 8 - Maywood Honor (3/1) |
| Place: | 12 - Blues Cross (8/1) |
| Show: | 2 - Midnight Joy (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Minnesota Rose (9/2), 4 - Heavenly Tactic (8/1), 10 - Magica (12/1), 7 - Instant Love (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Charging Darling (10/1), 11 - Annaline (15/1), 9 - Dancing Boots (15/1), 1 - Beautiful Judge (20/1), 3 - Alltail (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-10-12-8-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-7-8-4-12-6-2-5-9-11-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #12, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 3 - Zatara (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 - Outofthedark (6/1) |
| Show: | 4 - Batter Up (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Spun Not Stirred (5/1), 5 - R N R Audible (9/2), 1 - Dual Monarchy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Knick's Honor (12/1), 8 - Dancing Porky (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-4-6-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-8-4-2-6-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 2 - Little Trouble (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 - Silent Runner (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 - Zoffarelli (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Moral Dilemma (7/2), 8 - Lord Knows (8/1), 3 - Summer In Adriane (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Jackie Paper (8/1), 7 - Sir Exton (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-3-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-8-5-1-7-6-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,500 | |
| Win: | 6 - Private Speaker (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 - Cachinnation (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 - Cowboy Killer (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Rhythm Ready (9/2), 1 - Honorable Mischief (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Radio Charlie (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-1-5-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-3-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 7 - Jocasta (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 - Ann Alee (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 - Sahara Kara (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 10 - Everything Bugs Me (10/1), 4 - Arijana's Pearl (10/1), 6 - Martynas' Joy (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Tour Queen (6/1), 1 - Mendelssohns Comet (15/1), 9 - Morgs World (15/1), 8 - Mitole Princess (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-10-3-4-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-7-5-4-8-1-2-9-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #2, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Fun Lovin Guy (5/1) |
| Place: | 5 - Jackfire (9/2) |
| Show: | 8 - Belmont Shore (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Rockin Powerhouse (6/1), 12 - Ima Complex Guy (8/1), 7 - Marq Loantree (15/1), 3 - Nobel Nonsense (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 - Glorious Liaison (12/1), 9 - Band Of Sons (12/1), 6 - T. A.'s Dancer (15/1), 4 - J. L. Break (12/1), 11 - Irish Liaison (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-8-2-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-8-1-3-12-5-7-4-6-9-2-11 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #8, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 3/8 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Victorious Vanda (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 - Bizzee Channel (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 - Mendelssohn Joy (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Van Ginkel (6/1), 9 - Treble Clef (8/1), 4 - Found Jordan (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Mansoura (12/1), 2 - Ramblingamblinman (15/1), 3 - High Ransom (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-4-3-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-9-8-4-7-5-2-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #8, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $10,500 | |
| Win: | 8 - Maywood Honor (3/1) |
| Place: | 10 - Magica (12/1) |
| Show: | 12 - Blues Cross (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Midnight Joy (5/1), 6 - Minnesota Rose (9/2), 7 - Instant Love (8/1), 4 - Heavenly Tactic (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 - Dancing Boots (15/1), 5 - Charging Darling (10/1), 1 - Beautiful Judge (20/1), 3 - Alltail (20/1), 11 - Annaline (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-10-12-4-8-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-7-8-4-12-6-2-5-9-11-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #10, #12, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 3 - Zatara (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 - Batter Up (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 - R N R Audible (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Outofthedark (6/1), 6 - Spun Not Stirred (5/1), 1 - Dual Monarchy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - Dancing Porky (10/1), 2 - Knick's Honor (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-7-5-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-8-4-2-6-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #2,#4,#6 (53%) / R2: #6,#3,#5 (62%) / R3: #7,#5,#3 (45%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 15% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #6,#3,#5 (62%) / R3: #7,#5,#3 (45%) / R4: #2,#8,#1 (45%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 13% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #7,#5,#3 (45%) / R4: #2,#8,#1 (45%) / R5: #8,#1,#7 (54%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 11% |
| Pick 3 R5-7 | R5: #8,#1,#7 (54%) / R6: #8,#2,#6 (41%) / R7: #4,#3,#5 (52%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 11% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #2,#4,#6 (53%) / R2: #6,#3,#5 (62%) / R3: #7,#5,#3 (45%) / R4: #2,#8,#1 (45%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 7% |
| Pick 4 R2-5 | R2: #6,#3,#5 (62%) / R3: #7,#5,#3 (45%) / R4: #2,#8,#1 (45%) / R5: #8,#1,#7 (54%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 7% |
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| ALLTAIL | ANN ALEE | ANNALINE | ARIJANA'S PEARL | BAND OF SONS |
| BEAUTIFUL JUDGE | BELMONT SHORE | BIZZEE CHANNEL | BLUES CROSS | CACHINNATION |
| COWBOY KILLER | DANCING BOOTS | DANCING PORKY | DUAL MONARCHY | EVERYTHING BUGS ME |
| FUN LOVIN GUY | GLORIOUS LIAISON | HEAVENLY TACTIC | HIGH RANSOM | HONORABLE MISCHIEF |
| INSTANT LOVE | IRISH LIAISON | J. L. BREAK | JACKFIRE | JACKIE PAPER |
| KNICK'S HONOR | LITTLE TROUBLE | LORD KNOWS | MAGICA | MANSOURA |
| MARTYNAS' JOY | MAYWOOD HONOR | MENDELSSOHN JOY | MENDELSSOHNS COMET | MIDNIGHT JOY |
| MITOLE PRINCESS | MORAL DILEMMA | MORGS WORLD | NOBEL NONSENSE | OUTOFTHEDARK |
| R N R AUDIBLE | RADIO CHARLIE | RAMBLINGAMBLINMAN | RHYTHM READY | ROCKIN POWERHOUSE |
| SILENT RUNNER | SIR EXTON | SPUN NOT STIRRED | SUMMER IN ADRIANE | T. A.'S DANCER |
| TREBLE CLEF | VAN GINKEL | VICTORIOUS VANDA | ZATARA | ZOFFARELLI |
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