Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Century Mile, August 3, 2026


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Algo Picks – Algo 1
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:3 – El Bonita Cara (9/5)
Place:1 – Touristica (3/1)
Show:4 – Red Charity (5/2)
Other contenders:5 – Distorted Tilly (4/1), 2 – Annabelle Lee (15/1)
Rest of field:6 – Punch Bizz (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-4-5-2-6
🎯 Longshots: 3-4-1-2-6-5
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,500
Win:6 – Prairie Sky (6/5)
Place:1 – Just Scarlett (5/2)
Show:4 – Flirtation Card (5/1)
Other contenders:3 – Runway Lights (8/1), 2 – Diamond Di (6/1)
Rest of field:5 – Cranberry Chill (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-2-1-3-5
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-3-5-4-2
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $28,000
Win:3 – Big Bad Bizooke (2/1)
Place:6 – Dr Broker (8/5)
Show:1 – Raise Money (9/2)
Other contenders:7 – Incredible Buddy (8/1), 5 – Bizness Account (8/1)
Rest of field:4 – Nineoclocksomewher (15/1), 2 – Da Boss (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-1-7-4-5
🎯 Longshots: 6-3-5-4-7-1-2
 
Race 5  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $14,500
Win:3 – Thompson (6/5)
Place:5 – Broke An Broken (5/1)
Show:1 – Right In Front (9/2)
Other contenders:4 – Mehlek (5/1), 2 – Derzkii (6/1)
Rest of field:7 – Thiscatsgotspeed (8/1), 6 – Our Sunshine (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-4-1-2-7
🎯 Longshots: 3-7-1-6-4-5-2
 
Race 6  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $21,500
Win:1 – Senecait (6/1)
Place:2 – Promise To Win (5/1)
Show:6 – Unveil The Grace (6/1)
Other contenders:3 – Ladyace Of Speight (6/1), 7 – Run As One (10/1), 9 – Nasas Princess (10/1)
Rest of field:5 – Lutedidit (12/1), 4 – Karensnotimpressed (20/1), 8 – Spadina (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-2-6-3-7
🎯 Longshots: 9-7-5-1-2-6-3-4-8
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,500
Win:6 – Tennessee Moses (4/5)
Place:8 – Fed Boy (9/2)
Show:1 – Stone House (7/2)
Other contenders:4 – Chickoutthebizz (8/1), 3 – Man At The Pulpit (15/1), 2 – Vantasticcanaveral (30/1)
Rest of field:9 – Independence Neigh (20/1), 5 – Remarkable Eli (30/1), 7 – Bri's Boy (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-1-4-3-9
🎯 Longshots: 6-4-3-1-8-9-7-2-5
 
Race 8  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $21,500
Win:3 – Snap To It (5/2)
Place:1 – Cousin Richie (6/1)
Show:9 – Pioneer Storm King (5/1)
Other contenders:8 – Magicstrikesagain (5/1), 7 – Coolwind (8/1), 4 – You'reinthearmynow (6/1)
Rest of field:6 – American Farmer (6/1), 5 – Pacheco (15/1), 2 – Taylor Field (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-3-1-4-7-6
🎯 Longshots: 3-7-5-9-4-1-6-8-2
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
Algo Picks – Algo 2
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:3 – El Bonita Cara (9/5)
Place:1 – Touristica (3/1)
Show:4 – Red Charity (5/2)
Other contenders:5 – Distorted Tilly (4/1), 6 – Punch Bizz (8/1)
Rest of field:2 – Annabelle Lee (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-4-5-6-2
🎯 Longshots: 3-4-1-2-6-5
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,500
Win:6 – Prairie Sky (6/5)
Place:1 – Just Scarlett (5/2)
Show:3 – Runway Lights (8/1)
Other contenders:4 – Flirtation Card (5/1), 2 – Diamond Di (6/1)
Rest of field:5 – Cranberry Chill (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-3-2-1-5
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-3-5-4-2
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $28,000
Win:3 – Big Bad Bizooke (2/1)
Place:1 – Raise Money (9/2)
Show:6 – Dr Broker (8/5)
Other contenders:5 – Bizness Account (8/1), 7 – Incredible Buddy (8/1)
Rest of field:2 – Da Boss (20/1), 4 – Nineoclocksomewher (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-6-7-5-4
🎯 Longshots: 6-3-5-4-7-1-2
 
Race 5  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $14,500
Win:3 – Thompson (6/5)
Place:7 – Thiscatsgotspeed (8/1)
Show:5 – Broke An Broken (5/1)
Other contenders:4 – Mehlek (5/1), 1 – Right In Front (9/2)
Rest of field:2 – Derzkii (6/1), 6 – Our Sunshine (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-5-4-1-2
🎯 Longshots: 3-7-1-6-4-5-2
 
Race 6  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $21,500
Win:1 – Senecait (6/1)
Place:2 – Promise To Win (5/1)
Show:3 – Ladyace Of Speight (6/1)
Other contenders:6 – Unveil The Grace (6/1), 9 – Nasas Princess (10/1), 7 – Run As One (10/1)
Rest of field:4 – Karensnotimpressed (20/1), 5 – Lutedidit (12/1), 8 – Spadina (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-6-9-8
🎯 Longshots: 9-7-5-1-2-6-3-4-8
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,500
Win:6 – Tennessee Moses (4/5)
Place:1 – Stone House (7/2)
Show:8 – Fed Boy (9/2)
Other contenders:4 – Chickoutthebizz (8/1), 3 – Man At The Pulpit (15/1), 9 – Independence Neigh (20/1)
Rest of field:2 – Vantasticcanaveral (30/1), 7 – Bri's Boy (30/1), 5 – Remarkable Eli (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-8-4-3-9
🎯 Longshots: 6-4-3-1-8-9-7-2-5
 
Race 8  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $21,500
Win:9 – Pioneer Storm King (5/1)
Place:3 – Snap To It (5/2)
Show:1 – Cousin Richie (6/1)
Other contenders:4 – You'reinthearmynow (6/1), 6 – American Farmer (6/1), 7 – Coolwind (8/1)
Rest of field:8 – Magicstrikesagain (5/1), 5 – Pacheco (15/1), 2 – Taylor Field (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-3-1-4-6-7
🎯 Longshots: 3-7-5-9-4-1-6-8-2
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Algo Picks – Algo 3
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:3 – El Bonita Cara (9/5)
Place:1 – Touristica (3/1)
Show:4 – Red Charity (5/2)
Other contenders:5 – Distorted Tilly (4/1), 6 – Punch Bizz (8/1)
Rest of field:2 – Annabelle Lee (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-4-5-6-2
🎯 Longshots: 3-4-1-2-6-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,500
Win:6 – Prairie Sky (6/5)
Place:1 – Just Scarlett (5/2)
Show:4 – Flirtation Card (5/1)
Other contenders:3 – Runway Lights (8/1), 2 – Diamond Di (6/1)
Rest of field:5 – Cranberry Chill (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-3-2-1-5
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-3-5-4-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $28,000
Win:3 – Big Bad Bizooke (2/1)
Place:6 – Dr Broker (8/5)
Show:1 – Raise Money (9/2)
Other contenders:5 – Bizness Account (8/1), 7 – Incredible Buddy (8/1)
Rest of field:2 – Da Boss (20/1), 4 – Nineoclocksomewher (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-1-7-5-4
🎯 Longshots: 6-3-5-4-7-1-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $14,500
Win:3 – Thompson (6/5)
Place:7 – Thiscatsgotspeed (8/1)
Show:5 – Broke An Broken (5/1)
Other contenders:4 – Mehlek (5/1), 1 – Right In Front (9/2)
Rest of field:2 – Derzkii (6/1), 6 – Our Sunshine (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-5-4-1-2
🎯 Longshots: 3-7-1-6-4-5-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $21,500
Win:2 – Promise To Win (5/1)
Place:1 – Senecait (6/1)
Show:3 – Ladyace Of Speight (6/1)
Other contenders:6 – Unveil The Grace (6/1), 9 – Nasas Princess (10/1), 7 – Run As One (10/1)
Rest of field:4 – Karensnotimpressed (20/1), 5 – Lutedidit (12/1), 8 – Spadina (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-6-9-7
🎯 Longshots: 9-7-5-1-2-6-3-4-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,500
Win:6 – Tennessee Moses (4/5)
Place:1 – Stone House (7/2)
Show:8 – Fed Boy (9/2)
Other contenders:4 – Chickoutthebizz (8/1), 3 – Man At The Pulpit (15/1), 9 – Independence Neigh (20/1)
Rest of field:7 – Bri's Boy (30/1), 2 – Vantasticcanaveral (30/1), 5 – Remarkable Eli (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-8-4-3-9
🎯 Longshots: 6-4-3-1-8-9-7-2-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #8, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $21,500
Win:9 – Pioneer Storm King (5/1)
Place:3 – Snap To It (5/2)
Show:1 – Cousin Richie (6/1)
Other contenders:4 – You'reinthearmynow (6/1), 6 – American Farmer (6/1), 7 – Coolwind (8/1)
Rest of field:8 – Magicstrikesagain (5/1), 5 – Pacheco (15/1), 2 – Taylor Field (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-3-1-4-6-7
🎯 Longshots: 3-7-5-9-4-1-6-8-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #3, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Kelly Edge Plays
Kelly Edge Plays   (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim)    Morning-line reliability: +0.36 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it)
RaceHorseMLP(win)Edge¼ KellyBet on $ bankroll
69 – Nasas Princess10/117.4%+89.0%2.23%$2.23
22 – Annabelle Lee15/111.1%+74.9%1.25%$1.25
42 – Da Boss20/16.9%+42.8%0.54%$0.54
64 – Karensnotimpressed20/16.9%+42.8%0.54%$0.54
TOTAL across 4 plays:4.5%$4.54
Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly.
Index - Horses Running In This Card
AMERICAN FARMERANNABELLE LEEBIG BAD BIZOOKEBIZNESS ACCOUNTBRI'S BOY
CHICKOUTTHEBIZZCOOLWINDCOUSIN RICHIECRANBERRY CHILLDA BOSS
DIAMOND DIDISTORTED TILLYDR BROKEREL BONITA CARAFED BOY
FLIGHT CLUBFLIRTATION CARDINCREDIBLE BUDDYINDEPENDENCE NEIGHJUST SCARLETT
KRASH ON OKEYLADYACE OF SPEIGHTLUTEDIDITMAGICSTRIKESAGAINMAN AT THE PULPIT
NASAS PRINCESSNINEOCLOCKSOMEWHEROUR SUNSHINEPACHECOPIONEER STORM KING
PROMISE TO WINPUNCH BIZZRAISE MONEYRED CHARITYREMARKABLE ELI
RUN AS ONERUNWAY LIGHTSSENECAITSNAP TO ITSPADINA
TAYLOR FIELDTEAM RIP 109TENNESSEE MOSESTHISCATSGOTSPEEDTHOMPSON
UNCOMMON SOLDIERUNVEIL THE GRACEVANTASTICCANAVERALYOU'REINTHEARMYNOW

 


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